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Roadmap History, Progress and Assessment
              Procedures

                         3rd April 2013

                        Keith Sumption
                     Acknowledgements :
   Melissa McLaws, Chris Bartels, Carsten Potzsch and Giancarlo
                             Ferrari
Summary
West Eurasia Roadmap
• Developed – Shiraz, Iran, 2008
• PCP-FMD used for first time
• 2009 - 1st Progress Review
• 2010 – 2nd Progress Review
• PCP – reviewed, revised , became
  Joint FAO-EuFMD-OIE Tool
  January 2011
• Assessment tool developed 2011
• 2012 – 3rd progress review, (PCP
  assessment tool applied)
Vision for the West Asia Roadmap for FMD Control

 Regional cooperation among Eurasian countries for the
 progressive control of FMD through public and private
 partnerships leading towards freedom of clinical disease by 2020
 for regional economic development, food security, and poverty
 alleviation.


 Региональная кооперация между Евразийскими странами в
 целях прогрессивного контроля ящура через общественное и
 частное партнерство ведет к свободе от клинического
 проявления болезни к 2020 г. для экономического развития и
 снижения уровня бедности.
Conclusions of 1st Review - 2009

• Of the 14 countries participating in the Roadmap:
   – One area was considered to have progressed from Stage 3 to
     Stage 4 (Turkish Thrace)
   – 12 countries were considered to remain at the same PCP stage as
     in 2009
   – 1 country did not present material for evaluation
   – 1 country was demoted on the basis of no action towards
     progress on the PCP in 2010.
• The progress in the second year was considered to be
  good, and the Roadmap remains on track to achieve the
  vision of freedom from clinical cases of FMD being
  achieved by the year 2020.
PCP – stepwise along the road
 Country Stages -
  facilitate progress
  monitoring
 at national and regional
  level
 Global scale -across
  Regional Roadmaps
   and at every stage generates
    information for risk assessment
Report of the 1st Review - Governance of the Roadmap


•   The Advisory Committee (AC) at CVO level, from 3 countries in the Region, and 4
    international bodies (EC/OIE/EuFMD/FAO)

•   WELNET and Epi-NET network leaders being present as Observers;
•   to report to the annual meeting and to the relevant GfTADS Steering Committees.

•   The President should be a CVO, or higher, from the 14 countries of the Roadmap, and
    should serve for 3 years after election. The technical representatives that can
    represent the FMD Laboratory Network and the Monitoring and Surveillance network
    should also serve for 2 years after election.
•   The AC should meet twice per year, with meetings that could be back to back with the
    Annual Meeting and with the OIE or EuFMD General Sessions.
•   AC elected in 2010: Turkey (President), Azerbaijan and Pakistan (to 2013)
West-Eurasia regional roadmap – after 2nd Review, 2010
                                  2008     2009       2010
                                  Shiraz   Istanbul   Istanbul   2011   2012   2013   2014   2015   2016       2017   2018   2019   2020
                  Afghanistan

                  Armenia

                  Azerbaijan

                  Georgia

                  I.R. Iran

                  Iraq
   West Eurasia




                  Kazakhstan

                  Kyrgyzstan

                  Pakistan

                  Syria

                  Tajikistan

                  Turkey

                  Turkey Thrace

                  Turkmenistan

                  Uzbekistan




                                                                                                      3           2

                            N        Z                                           7 4                                         1
Level 0
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
                                                                                                           5
Level 4
Level 5
                                                                                                           6
2008 2009     2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
                                                           Kazakh                      1 (NEW)     2   2   2     2   3   3   3    3    4    4
                                                            Kyrgyz                       0         1   1   2     2   3   3   3    4    4    5
                                                             Tajik                       1         1   2   2     2   3   3   3    3    4    4
                                                           Turkmen                     0 (NEW)     1   1   2     2   3   3   3    4    4    4
                                                            Uzbek                      0 (NEW)     1   1   2     2   3   3   3    3    3    3

In late 2010..the
                                                                                                                                                  Return


                                                             AFG                         1         1   2   2     2   3   3   4    4    4    4
                                                             IRN

Outlook to 2013                                              PAK
                                                                                         2         2   2   3     3   3   4   4    4    4    5




                                        West Eurasia
                                                                                         1         1   2   2     2   3   3   3    4    4    4
                                                        East Anatolia
                                                            (TR)                         2         2   2   2     2   2   2   2    3    3    3
                                                        Thrace (TR)                     new       4    4   4     5   5   5   5    5    5    5     FMD-fr
                                                          Marmara                                 2    2   3     3   3   4   4    4    4    4
                                                        Aegean (TR)
                                                       Central Anatolia
                                                             (TR)                                  2   2   2     2   2   3   3    3    3   4?
                                                            Syria                        1         2   2   3     3   3   4   4    4    4    5
                                                             Iraq                                                                                 Not eva
                                                           Armenia                       2         2   2   2     3   3   3   4    4    4    4
                                                          Azerbaijan                   2 (NEW)     2   2   2     3   3   3   3    4    4    4
                                                           Georgia        pe nding       1         2   2   2     2   3   3   3    4    4    5



... until 2013:
 Turkey plans further zoning
                                                                                                                 develop &
 all countries or zones min. stage 2                                                                          implement risk
                                                                                                                based control
    = 12 PCP progressions in countries or zones                                                                    plans
    13x   stage 2 (9x new)
     3x   stage 3 (all new)                                                                      ... eliminate
     1x   stage 4                                                                                 circulation
Vaccination use – change between 2008 and 2010

   •   Doses used in region (without Russia):        2008: 92 mln.
                                                     2010: 178 mln.
             410 mln. FMD susceptible animals in region
   •   Vaccine suppliers (2010):
       FGI-ARRIAH, Shelkov, Pokrov, Merial, Razi, Indian Imm., Intervet,
       SAP-Inst., Jovac, Lahore
       1 country stopped production of non-OIE standard vaccines
   •   strains poorly/not matching field virus in 2010 (lack of info in 2008 & 09):
                                            5-11x O PanAsia 1
                                            5x other
   •   Improved vaccinations:
        o use of guidance on vacc. matching
        o improved monitoring & reporting
        o vacc. management & cold chain
Increased use of sero surveys for monitoring of
        vaccination and estimation of virus circulation
                           2008-10
•   post vaccination: 11/14 (2009: 9/12)
•   pre vaccination: 3/14 sero surveys (2009: none)
•   to support risk-based control: 2008-10 large scale sero surveys in Turkey, Iran,
    Trans Caucasus, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan
•   But: data are still insufficiently used for implementation of measures (timeliness,
    scientific analyses, risk management)

•   All countries use ELISA in national labs (2010: 14/14; 2009: 12/12)
     trainings, increased national use
West Eurasia -Progress
PCP supported by:
• FMD Lab Network (WELNET)
• Epidemiology Network
• Roadmap Advisory Group

 countries increasingly use PCP as tool in identification of gaps and for FMD
  control

Main problems:
• high volumes of uncontrolled animal movement
• Insufficient government support for enforcement of FMD national
  legislation and PCP standards
• limited data/information sharing
3rd West Eurasia Regional Roadmap meeting

             27-28 March 2012, Istanbul - Turkey




Convened by FAO as a Joint FAO/OIE/EuFMD Meeting of the regional FMD control projects supported by
      Italy (GTFS/INT/907/ITA) and EC (MTF/INT/003/EC) and under the framework of GF TADs
                                27-28 March 2012, Istanbul - Turkey
3rd Roadmap - Conclusions I
•   The West Eurasia Roadmap has made good progress since
    start 3.5 years ago; now:
     – better awareness of the FMD risks
     – progress in many countries
     – identifying "new epidemic events" at an earlier point

    But virus circulation at regional level & large epidemics continue to occur
    despite mass vaccinations in all countries

     gaps in preventive measures, control strategies
        & limited control of international
        animal movements
Conclusions II
• Countries should manage their own risks with own resources
• PCP process assists countries to develop sustainable strategies
• International support to the region has played a vital role in promoting
  reviews of national strategies
• At regional level, need for :
   – Actions to reduce risk of animal movements
   – Economic analysis, stakeholder inputs
   – sharing of data on vaccination, serological surveys and FMDV at
      suitable scale
   – improved human resources for epidemiology, risk assessment &
      management
• Need for greater regional ownership
FMD outbreaks & epidemic events


Iran & Turkey : Large scale
outbreaks of O-PanAsia-2 & A-Iran-
05, evolution of sublineages
     oA-Iran-05 (ARD-07, AFG-07, BAR-08)
     oO-PanAsia-2 (YAZ-09, FAR-09, ANT-10,
     BAL-09, SAN-09, PUN-10)




                     Bulgaria                Iran &
                     2010/11: O-             Turkey:
                     PanAsia-2               Asia1
PCP Assessment
• New assessment tools developed in 2011
   – Checklist: for self assessment by each country
   – Manual and glossary to explain checklist
   – Form for external assessment by trained assessors via review of
     documentation or visit to the country
• These tools were used in East-Africa (Nairobi) and West Eurasia
  (Istanbul) Roadmap meetings
• Assessment tool -will be reviewed after 4th Roadmap Meeting,
  on 5th April 2012 (EuFMD-OIE-FAO)
Example of Checklist for
                                             Outcome 1, Stage 1
                                                                                                                                           Yes=1
                                                                                                                                           No=0
                                                                                                                          Required = 1
                                                                                                                                            Not
        Outcome                 Criteria                                        Questions                                 Recommende
                                                                                                                                       applicable=NA
                                                                                                                              d=0
                                                                                                                                         Yellow =
                                                                                                                                          number
Outcome 1
                                                    Has the incidence of FMD been estimated for one or more
                                                1.1 regions (e.g. province, district) of the country, using robust
                                                    epidemiological data collected within the last 12 months)?                       1
                                                    Has the incidence of FMD been estimated for each and every
                                                1.2 region of the country, using robust epidemiological data collected
                                                    in the last 12 months)                                                           0
                                                    Has the incidence of FMD been estimated in one or more
                                                1.3 husbandry systems, using robust epidemiological data collected
                          Monitor incidence         in the last 12 months)                                                           1
                                                    Has the incidence of FMD been estimated for each and every
                                                1.4 husbandry system, using robust epidemiological data collected in
Ongoing monitoring of                               the last 12 months)                                                              0
circulating strains and                             Has an NSP serosurvey, specifically designed to estimate FMD
    risk in different                           1.5
                                                    incidence been done in the last 12 months?                                       0
  husbandry systems                                 How many outbreaks have been clinically reported in the last 12
                                                    months                                                                           1
                                                    For how many outbreaks has the serotype been identified? (O, A,
                                                1.6
                                                    Asia-1)                                                                          1
                          Monitor circulating
                                                    For how many outbreaks has the virus been completely
                               strains
                                                1.7 characterized in the last 12 months (FMD strain identified,
                                                    sequenced, vaccine matching done) ?                                              1
                                                1.8 Did these isolates originate from different regions of the country?
                                                                                                                                     0
                          Quality assurance
                                                1.9 Did these isolates originate from different husbandry systems?
                                                                                                                                     0
2012 Roadmap - provisional
                   2008   2009    2010   2011   2012   2013   2014   2015   2016   2017   2018   2019   2020
  Kazakh                          1      1      1      2      3      3      4      4      5      5      5
   Kyrgyz                         0      0      1      2      2      3      3      3      4      4      5
    Tajik                         1      1      1      2      2      2      2      3      3      3      3
  Turkmen                         0      0      1      2      2      2      3      3      3      3      3
   Uzbek                          0      0      1      2      2      2      3      3      3      3      3


    AFG                           1      1      2      2      2      2      3      3      3      3      4
    IRN                           2      2      2      2      2      3      3      3      4      4      4
    PAK                           1      1      1      2      2      3      3      3      4      4      4
East Anatolia
    (TR)                          2      2      2      2      2      2      2      2      3      3      3
Thrace (TR)                      new     4      4      4      4      5      5      5      5      5      5
  Marmara                                2      2      2      3      3      4      4      4      4      4
Aegean (TR)
   Central
Anatolia (TR)                            2      2      2      2      2      2      2      3      3      3
    Syria                         1      1             3      3      3      4      4      4      4      5
    Iraq
  Armenia                         2      2      2      2      3      3      3      4      4      4      4
 Azerbaijan                       2      2      2      2      3      3      3      3      4      4      5
  Georgia       pending           1      1      1      2      2      3      3      3      4      4      5
2012 Roadmap                                                       2010 Roadmap
                     2011        2012          2013
                                                          2008 2009
                                                       2014     2015
                                                                         2010 2011 2012 2013 20142020
                                                                          2016 2017  2018  2019
                                                                                                    2015 2016 2017 2018 201
  Kazakh                             Kazakh                            1 (NEW)       2   2   2    2       3   3   3   3   4
                1                1         2          3          3       4       4       5    5       5
   Kyrgyz                            Kyrgyz                                 0        1   1   24   2 5     3   3   3   4   4
                0                1         2          2          3      3        3       4
    Tajik                             Tajik
                1                1         2          2          2      21       31      2
                                                                                         3   23   2 3     3   3   3   3   4
  Turkmen       0                1
                                     Turkmen
                                          2           2          2     03
                                                                        (NEW)    31      1
                                                                                         3   23   2 3     3   3   3   4   4
   Uzbek        0                1   Uzbek
                                         2            2          2     03
                                                                        (NEW)    31      1
                                                                                         3   23   2 3     3   3   3   3   3

    AFG         1                2    AFG2            2          2      31       31      2
                                                                                         3   23   2 4     3   3   4   4   4
    IRN         2                2      IRN2          2          3      32       32      2
                                                                                         4   34   3 4     3   4   4   4   4
    PAK                                 PAK2
                West Eurasia




                1                1                    2          3      31       31      4
                                                                                         2   24   2 4     3   3   3   4   4
East Anatolia                   East Anatolia
    (TR)
                2                2  (TR)2             2          2      22       22      2
                                                                                         3   23   2 3     2   2   2   3   3
Thrace (TR)     4
                                Thrace (TR)
                                 4      4             4          5      new
                                                                        5        54      4
                                                                                         5   45   5 5     5   5   5   5   5
  Marmara       2                2 Marmara
                                        2             3          3      4        42      4
                                                                                         2   34   3 4     3   4   4   4   4
Aegean (TR)                     Aegean (TR)
   Central                     Central Anatolia
Anatolia (TR)   2                2   (TR)2            2          2      2        22      2
                                                                                         3   23   2 3     2   3   3   3   3
   Syria        1
                                    Syria3            3          3      41       42      2
                                                                                         4   34   3 5     3   4   4   4   4
    Iraq                                Iraq
  Armenia       2                2 Armenia
                                       2              3          3      32       42      2
                                                                                         4   24   3 4     3   3   4   4   4
 Azerbaijan     2                2Azerbaijan
                                        2             3          3     23
                                                                        (NEW)    32      2
                                                                                         4   24   3 5     3   3   3   4   4
  Georgia       1                1 Georgia
                                       2              2
                                                      pe nding   3      31       32      2
                                                                                         4   24   2 5     3   3   3   4   4
2012– Roadmap Advisory Group conclusions
• Roadmap “”On track for reaching Stage 3 in 2018”” - self-assessment of
  progress
• Actions relating to expert review of the assessments
•   Countries with no reported FMD outbreaks but positive serology
    (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan)
     –   request additional information on the possible origin of seropositive-testing animals
•   Countries that have not completed PCP-Stage 1 but were assigned in PCP-Stage 2 during previous
    Roadmap, 2010.
     –   require a risk-based control strategy to maintain Stage 2, by end of 2012
•   Countries for which EUFMD/FAO committee requested feedback
     –   Kazakhstan: self-assess in Stage 1 and 2, but again did not provide concrete info in presentation on
         numbers of outbreaks, serotypes, strains…
     –   Kyrgyzstan: only filled out for Stage 2, despite previous assessment in Stage 0. Our assessment in Stage 1,
         based on presentation
•   Need for a mid-year reminder will be send to all countries.
After the Roadmap meeting

• Further evidence may be requested:
   – examination of documentation (dossier)
   – mission to the country
• Acceptance of change in PCP stage requires evidence to be
  reviewed
• Acceptance procedures – GfTADS
   Country Groups that have developed Regional Roadmaps based on the PCP-
                     PCP Regional Roadmaps
   FMD


                                                        South Asia
                                                        West Eurasia
                                                        Western Africa
                                                        Eastern Africa
                                                        Central Africa
                                                        South America
                                                        Southern Africa
2012 - Overall assessment


• For countries in Stage 1, most relevant issues are:
   – Conducting socio-economic analysis
   – Description of value chain/risk require more details
   – Risk-based FMD control strategy should reflect the above issues as
     well as risk hot-spots
• For countries in Stage 2, there is a need to:
   – Apply impact and implementation indicators in the FMD control
     strategy
   – Define, when moving into Stage 3, how elimination strategy is
     different from control strategy
West Eurasia Roadmap - funding

• Meetings: FAO projects+ EuFMD
• Projects: National, via FAO and EuFMD (Italy, US, EC)
• 2013 onwards –
    – Agreements being developed FAO/OIE/EuFMD
    – New EuFMD Strategic Plan 2013-17 : for adoption April 24th , Rome
        • Support to Turkey in role in West Eurasia Roadmap
        • Budget for technical support to PCP/FMD management (under review)
    – FAO/OIE National project development process (starts here)
• Almost all efforts are Nationally funded
• International bodies – important support role – continuation must
  occur – too important work to fail!
Acknowledgements

Institutional commitment:
 EUFMD Commission member states
 CVOs of West Eurasian countries
 EC (DG-SANCO –Trust Fund; Alf Füssel)
 FAO (J. Domenech, J. Lubroth, G Ferrari, J Pinto)
 OIE (G. Bruckner, J Domenech, N Leboucq)

Financial support
 EC (SANCO, EuropeAid –Turkey)
 Italy: GTFS/INT/907/ITA project
 USDA (Pakistan)
 FAO (TCPs)
 UK (to the IAH-Pirbright Reference Laboratory)

Technical support
 FAO World Reference Laboratory (WRL) Pirbright
 IZSLER Brescia
 SAP Insitute Ankara

 Supporting centres:
 EUFMD Secretariat staff (Nadia Rumich, Eoin Ryan) and consultants (C.Potzcsh, C Bartels, M McLaws)
 FAO Country and SubRegional Offices

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History of the Roadmap up to now including Summary, Vision for the West Asia Roadmap for FMD Control

  • 1. Roadmap History, Progress and Assessment Procedures 3rd April 2013 Keith Sumption Acknowledgements : Melissa McLaws, Chris Bartels, Carsten Potzsch and Giancarlo Ferrari
  • 2. Summary West Eurasia Roadmap • Developed – Shiraz, Iran, 2008 • PCP-FMD used for first time • 2009 - 1st Progress Review • 2010 – 2nd Progress Review • PCP – reviewed, revised , became Joint FAO-EuFMD-OIE Tool January 2011 • Assessment tool developed 2011 • 2012 – 3rd progress review, (PCP assessment tool applied)
  • 3. Vision for the West Asia Roadmap for FMD Control Regional cooperation among Eurasian countries for the progressive control of FMD through public and private partnerships leading towards freedom of clinical disease by 2020 for regional economic development, food security, and poverty alleviation. Региональная кооперация между Евразийскими странами в целях прогрессивного контроля ящура через общественное и частное партнерство ведет к свободе от клинического проявления болезни к 2020 г. для экономического развития и снижения уровня бедности.
  • 4.
  • 5. Conclusions of 1st Review - 2009 • Of the 14 countries participating in the Roadmap: – One area was considered to have progressed from Stage 3 to Stage 4 (Turkish Thrace) – 12 countries were considered to remain at the same PCP stage as in 2009 – 1 country did not present material for evaluation – 1 country was demoted on the basis of no action towards progress on the PCP in 2010. • The progress in the second year was considered to be good, and the Roadmap remains on track to achieve the vision of freedom from clinical cases of FMD being achieved by the year 2020.
  • 6. PCP – stepwise along the road  Country Stages - facilitate progress monitoring  at national and regional level  Global scale -across Regional Roadmaps  and at every stage generates information for risk assessment
  • 7. Report of the 1st Review - Governance of the Roadmap • The Advisory Committee (AC) at CVO level, from 3 countries in the Region, and 4 international bodies (EC/OIE/EuFMD/FAO) • WELNET and Epi-NET network leaders being present as Observers; • to report to the annual meeting and to the relevant GfTADS Steering Committees. • The President should be a CVO, or higher, from the 14 countries of the Roadmap, and should serve for 3 years after election. The technical representatives that can represent the FMD Laboratory Network and the Monitoring and Surveillance network should also serve for 2 years after election. • The AC should meet twice per year, with meetings that could be back to back with the Annual Meeting and with the OIE or EuFMD General Sessions. • AC elected in 2010: Turkey (President), Azerbaijan and Pakistan (to 2013)
  • 8. West-Eurasia regional roadmap – after 2nd Review, 2010 2008 2009 2010 Shiraz Istanbul Istanbul 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Afghanistan Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia I.R. Iran Iraq West Eurasia Kazakhstan Kyrgyzstan Pakistan Syria Tajikistan Turkey Turkey Thrace Turkmenistan Uzbekistan 3 2 N Z 7 4 1 Level 0 Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 5 Level 4 Level 5 6
  • 9. 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Kazakh 1 (NEW) 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 Kyrgyz 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 5 Tajik 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 Turkmen 0 (NEW) 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 Uzbek 0 (NEW) 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 In late 2010..the Return AFG 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 IRN Outlook to 2013 PAK 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 West Eurasia 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 East Anatolia (TR) 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 Thrace (TR) new 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 FMD-fr Marmara 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 Aegean (TR) Central Anatolia (TR) 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4? Syria 1 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 Iraq Not eva Armenia 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 Azerbaijan 2 (NEW) 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 Georgia pe nding 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 5 ... until 2013:  Turkey plans further zoning develop &  all countries or zones min. stage 2 implement risk based control = 12 PCP progressions in countries or zones plans 13x stage 2 (9x new) 3x stage 3 (all new) ... eliminate 1x stage 4 circulation
  • 10. Vaccination use – change between 2008 and 2010 • Doses used in region (without Russia): 2008: 92 mln. 2010: 178 mln. 410 mln. FMD susceptible animals in region • Vaccine suppliers (2010): FGI-ARRIAH, Shelkov, Pokrov, Merial, Razi, Indian Imm., Intervet, SAP-Inst., Jovac, Lahore 1 country stopped production of non-OIE standard vaccines • strains poorly/not matching field virus in 2010 (lack of info in 2008 & 09): 5-11x O PanAsia 1 5x other • Improved vaccinations: o use of guidance on vacc. matching o improved monitoring & reporting o vacc. management & cold chain
  • 11. Increased use of sero surveys for monitoring of vaccination and estimation of virus circulation 2008-10 • post vaccination: 11/14 (2009: 9/12) • pre vaccination: 3/14 sero surveys (2009: none) • to support risk-based control: 2008-10 large scale sero surveys in Turkey, Iran, Trans Caucasus, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan • But: data are still insufficiently used for implementation of measures (timeliness, scientific analyses, risk management) • All countries use ELISA in national labs (2010: 14/14; 2009: 12/12)  trainings, increased national use
  • 12. West Eurasia -Progress PCP supported by: • FMD Lab Network (WELNET) • Epidemiology Network • Roadmap Advisory Group  countries increasingly use PCP as tool in identification of gaps and for FMD control Main problems: • high volumes of uncontrolled animal movement • Insufficient government support for enforcement of FMD national legislation and PCP standards • limited data/information sharing
  • 13. 3rd West Eurasia Regional Roadmap meeting 27-28 March 2012, Istanbul - Turkey Convened by FAO as a Joint FAO/OIE/EuFMD Meeting of the regional FMD control projects supported by Italy (GTFS/INT/907/ITA) and EC (MTF/INT/003/EC) and under the framework of GF TADs 27-28 March 2012, Istanbul - Turkey
  • 14. 3rd Roadmap - Conclusions I • The West Eurasia Roadmap has made good progress since start 3.5 years ago; now: – better awareness of the FMD risks – progress in many countries – identifying "new epidemic events" at an earlier point But virus circulation at regional level & large epidemics continue to occur despite mass vaccinations in all countries  gaps in preventive measures, control strategies & limited control of international animal movements
  • 15. Conclusions II • Countries should manage their own risks with own resources • PCP process assists countries to develop sustainable strategies • International support to the region has played a vital role in promoting reviews of national strategies • At regional level, need for : – Actions to reduce risk of animal movements – Economic analysis, stakeholder inputs – sharing of data on vaccination, serological surveys and FMDV at suitable scale – improved human resources for epidemiology, risk assessment & management • Need for greater regional ownership
  • 16. FMD outbreaks & epidemic events Iran & Turkey : Large scale outbreaks of O-PanAsia-2 & A-Iran- 05, evolution of sublineages oA-Iran-05 (ARD-07, AFG-07, BAR-08) oO-PanAsia-2 (YAZ-09, FAR-09, ANT-10, BAL-09, SAN-09, PUN-10) Bulgaria Iran & 2010/11: O- Turkey: PanAsia-2 Asia1
  • 17. PCP Assessment • New assessment tools developed in 2011 – Checklist: for self assessment by each country – Manual and glossary to explain checklist – Form for external assessment by trained assessors via review of documentation or visit to the country • These tools were used in East-Africa (Nairobi) and West Eurasia (Istanbul) Roadmap meetings • Assessment tool -will be reviewed after 4th Roadmap Meeting, on 5th April 2012 (EuFMD-OIE-FAO)
  • 18. Example of Checklist for Outcome 1, Stage 1 Yes=1 No=0 Required = 1 Not Outcome Criteria Questions Recommende applicable=NA d=0 Yellow = number Outcome 1 Has the incidence of FMD been estimated for one or more 1.1 regions (e.g. province, district) of the country, using robust epidemiological data collected within the last 12 months)? 1 Has the incidence of FMD been estimated for each and every 1.2 region of the country, using robust epidemiological data collected in the last 12 months) 0 Has the incidence of FMD been estimated in one or more 1.3 husbandry systems, using robust epidemiological data collected Monitor incidence in the last 12 months) 1 Has the incidence of FMD been estimated for each and every 1.4 husbandry system, using robust epidemiological data collected in Ongoing monitoring of the last 12 months) 0 circulating strains and Has an NSP serosurvey, specifically designed to estimate FMD risk in different 1.5 incidence been done in the last 12 months? 0 husbandry systems How many outbreaks have been clinically reported in the last 12 months 1 For how many outbreaks has the serotype been identified? (O, A, 1.6 Asia-1) 1 Monitor circulating For how many outbreaks has the virus been completely strains 1.7 characterized in the last 12 months (FMD strain identified, sequenced, vaccine matching done) ? 1 1.8 Did these isolates originate from different regions of the country? 0 Quality assurance 1.9 Did these isolates originate from different husbandry systems? 0
  • 19. 2012 Roadmap - provisional 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Kazakh 1 1 1 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 Kyrgyz 0 0 1 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 5 Tajik 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 Turkmen 0 0 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 Uzbek 0 0 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 AFG 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 IRN 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 PAK 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 East Anatolia (TR) 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 Thrace (TR) new 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 Marmara 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 Aegean (TR) Central Anatolia (TR) 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 Syria 1 1 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 Iraq Armenia 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 Azerbaijan 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 Georgia pending 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 5
  • 20. 2012 Roadmap 2010 Roadmap 2011 2012 2013 2008 2009 2014 2015 2010 2011 2012 2013 20142020 2016 2017 2018 2019 2015 2016 2017 2018 201 Kazakh Kazakh 1 (NEW) 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 1 1 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 Kyrgyz Kyrgyz 0 1 1 24 2 5 3 3 3 4 4 0 1 2 2 3 3 3 4 Tajik Tajik 1 1 2 2 2 21 31 2 3 23 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 Turkmen 0 1 Turkmen 2 2 2 03 (NEW) 31 1 3 23 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 Uzbek 0 1 Uzbek 2 2 2 03 (NEW) 31 1 3 23 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 AFG 1 2 AFG2 2 2 31 31 2 3 23 2 4 3 3 4 4 4 IRN 2 2 IRN2 2 3 32 32 2 4 34 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 PAK PAK2 West Eurasia 1 1 2 3 31 31 4 2 24 2 4 3 3 3 4 4 East Anatolia East Anatolia (TR) 2 2 (TR)2 2 2 22 22 2 3 23 2 3 2 2 2 3 3 Thrace (TR) 4 Thrace (TR) 4 4 4 5 new 5 54 4 5 45 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 Marmara 2 2 Marmara 2 3 3 4 42 4 2 34 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 Aegean (TR) Aegean (TR) Central Central Anatolia Anatolia (TR) 2 2 (TR)2 2 2 2 22 2 3 23 2 3 2 3 3 3 3 Syria 1 Syria3 3 3 41 42 2 4 34 3 5 3 4 4 4 4 Iraq Iraq Armenia 2 2 Armenia 2 3 3 32 42 2 4 24 3 4 3 3 4 4 4 Azerbaijan 2 2Azerbaijan 2 3 3 23 (NEW) 32 2 4 24 3 5 3 3 3 4 4 Georgia 1 1 Georgia 2 2 pe nding 3 31 32 2 4 24 2 5 3 3 3 4 4
  • 21. 2012– Roadmap Advisory Group conclusions • Roadmap “”On track for reaching Stage 3 in 2018”” - self-assessment of progress • Actions relating to expert review of the assessments • Countries with no reported FMD outbreaks but positive serology (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan) – request additional information on the possible origin of seropositive-testing animals • Countries that have not completed PCP-Stage 1 but were assigned in PCP-Stage 2 during previous Roadmap, 2010. – require a risk-based control strategy to maintain Stage 2, by end of 2012 • Countries for which EUFMD/FAO committee requested feedback – Kazakhstan: self-assess in Stage 1 and 2, but again did not provide concrete info in presentation on numbers of outbreaks, serotypes, strains… – Kyrgyzstan: only filled out for Stage 2, despite previous assessment in Stage 0. Our assessment in Stage 1, based on presentation • Need for a mid-year reminder will be send to all countries.
  • 22. After the Roadmap meeting • Further evidence may be requested: – examination of documentation (dossier) – mission to the country • Acceptance of change in PCP stage requires evidence to be reviewed • Acceptance procedures – GfTADS Country Groups that have developed Regional Roadmaps based on the PCP- PCP Regional Roadmaps FMD South Asia West Eurasia Western Africa Eastern Africa Central Africa South America Southern Africa
  • 23. 2012 - Overall assessment • For countries in Stage 1, most relevant issues are: – Conducting socio-economic analysis – Description of value chain/risk require more details – Risk-based FMD control strategy should reflect the above issues as well as risk hot-spots • For countries in Stage 2, there is a need to: – Apply impact and implementation indicators in the FMD control strategy – Define, when moving into Stage 3, how elimination strategy is different from control strategy
  • 24. West Eurasia Roadmap - funding • Meetings: FAO projects+ EuFMD • Projects: National, via FAO and EuFMD (Italy, US, EC) • 2013 onwards – – Agreements being developed FAO/OIE/EuFMD – New EuFMD Strategic Plan 2013-17 : for adoption April 24th , Rome • Support to Turkey in role in West Eurasia Roadmap • Budget for technical support to PCP/FMD management (under review) – FAO/OIE National project development process (starts here) • Almost all efforts are Nationally funded • International bodies – important support role – continuation must occur – too important work to fail!
  • 25. Acknowledgements Institutional commitment:  EUFMD Commission member states  CVOs of West Eurasian countries  EC (DG-SANCO –Trust Fund; Alf Füssel)  FAO (J. Domenech, J. Lubroth, G Ferrari, J Pinto)  OIE (G. Bruckner, J Domenech, N Leboucq) Financial support  EC (SANCO, EuropeAid –Turkey)  Italy: GTFS/INT/907/ITA project  USDA (Pakistan)  FAO (TCPs)  UK (to the IAH-Pirbright Reference Laboratory) Technical support  FAO World Reference Laboratory (WRL) Pirbright  IZSLER Brescia  SAP Insitute Ankara Supporting centres:  EUFMD Secretariat staff (Nadia Rumich, Eoin Ryan) and consultants (C.Potzcsh, C Bartels, M McLaws)  FAO Country and SubRegional Offices