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      GIGAPP (Research Group in Government, Administration and Public Policy)
           Instituto Universitario de Investigación Ortega y Gasset-Spain


  Legitimation and policy
  dynamics approach for the
  study of policy change: a
  proposal
XXII World Congress in Political Science
IPSA-AISP

    8-12 July 2012

       César Nicandro Cruz-Rubio
            @cesarncruz
2 - 20




What the audience should be expect on this
paper?
• This a preliminary theory-development endeavor

• This effort is made based on the “third scenario” in Paul A.
  Sabatier’s guidelines of theory development. (No inductive or in a
  deductive strategy. Instead, a dissatisfaction with existing
  conceptual framework or body of theories)

• “The development (or elaboration) of theory needs to be
  distinguished from its verification” (Sabatier, 2007).

• LPD is currently at the elaboration stage. All suggestions from you
  of course will be very welcome. Thank you in advance.

              Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
3 - 20




LPD approach: What is this about?
• I propose here an approach for the study of policy stability &
  change (called legitimation & policy dynamics) LPD approach.
• Oriented mainly (but not exclusively) to explain policy change in
  political systems defined by its institutional fragility and persistent
  legitimacy deficits, in which legitimation of power through policy is
  assumed as an unavoidable task.
• LPD is an actor-centered perspective (subsystemic positions; a
  bounded rational model of individual, who may use all intelligence
  forms at disposal as well as organized hypocrisy as resources in
  managing conflict)
• The legitimation of power in public policy and the control over
  potential change dynamics by the dominant political coalition
  conforms in LPD approach as the two causal-drivers in explaining
  policy stability and change.
               Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
4 - 20




Policy Legitimacy and legitimation (1/2)
• Legitimacy has historically been considered as a top subject of
  study in political science,
• However, in public policy studies- research, legitimacy (viewed as
  product based on “the belief” in the existence of a legitimate
  power relation) and the legitimation of power (viewed as a
  process of achieving and maintaining legitimacy) have not been
  historically assumed as relevant topics of study. (except Caldeira,
  Gibson)
• The reason is very simple: regimes, political actors and
  institutions are all relevant subjects in the study of legitimacy.
  Public policies are viewed simply as products (or as an
  instruments for regime’s legitimation) that are part of a larger
  political system. So, policy legitimacy and policy legitimation is
  mainly dependent on a broader political system’s legitimacy.
              Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
5 -20




Policy Legitimacy and legitimation (2/2)
• In traditional policy process literature (until 80’s) legitimacy and
  legitimation as an oriented activity has been played a small or
  peripheral role:
   ▫ Policy legitimation was identified as a stage of de policy cycle
     (C.O Jones, Palumbo) confined to the institutional approval
     made by the legislative o judicial bodies, then considering
     policy approval =policy legitimation
   ▫ Further decision-making policy literature considering
     legitimation as an activity potentially present in all stages of the
     policy process-cycle, because instead public policy as an
     instrument, what is necessary to legitimate are policy decisions
     (B. G.Peters)


               Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
6-20




What’s new in public policy change literature?
(1/2)
• Relatively new studies recues legitimacy as an important feature
  ▫ Social construction and policy design theory (which assumes a
    substantive conception of public policy) identifies in rationales
    (legitimations and justifications) key constituent elements of policy
    design (Ingram, Schneider, & deLeon, 2007; Schneider & Ingram,
    1997)
  ▫ a) C. Wilson model (Wilson, 2000, 2006) identifies the crisis of
    legitimacy as a key phase in explaining major policy regimes change
  ▫ b) E. Montpetit analysis (Montpetit, 2008), which shows that to obtain
    legitimacy (via expertise and citizen involvement) is a central task in
    the formulation of policy designs




               Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
7




What’s new in public policy change literature?
(2/2)
• Relatively new studies recues legitimacy as an important feature
  ▫ c) J. Wallner (Wallner, 2008) that identified legitimacy as an additional
    criterion (along with effectiveness, efficiency and performance) for
    policy evaluation, and specifically in explaining policy failure.
  ▫ d) M. Macbeth et.al. (2007 -) policy narratives framework, that links
    literature on policy narratives and policy change and focus on the
    tactics and rhetorical devices used by policy advocates and interest
    groups (called ‘narrative strategies’) to understand how these
    strategies are used to issue contention or expansion, and thereby
    legitimize or delegitimize policy options and problem definitions.




               Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
8




 Why David Beetham’s legitimacy model? (1/2)
• LPD is not the first endeavor in adapting D. Beetham model for the study of
  public policy (see Carrillo 1998, Simon Matti 2009)
• All public policies configures a power relation that needs to be legitimate
• Beetham (1991) model identifies four dimensions for the study legitimacy in
  social sciences (substantive view, in wich all dimensions are not optional)
   1. legal conformity
   2. justifiability of rules based on shared beliefs,
   3. consent evidence and
   4. adecquate performance (added by Alagappa 1995)
• The emergency of non legitimate forms of power (ilegitimacy, legitimacy
  deficits and delegitimation) linked to public policy are all possible scenarios
  in policy dynamics, as well as possible objectives to achieve of political
  actors implicated in policy change processes. Here the use of narrative
  strategies and mechanisms of policy stability and change are important in
  doing so.
                  Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
9




Why David Beetham’s model? (2/2)
• In political systems where institutional (input oriented) and performance’s
  (output oriented) legitimacy is very difficult to achieve (or recurrently
  tends to disappear, erode or weaken) the legitimation of power as a
  causal-driver of policy development acquires all its analytical relevance,
  In those countries and regimes with persistent legitimacy deficits,
  Beetham model may help us in identifying and in determining the
  rationales structure linked to policy at a given time
• A key distinguishing feature of systemic processes of policy making in
  less developed countries, where institutional fragility pervades and its
  government agencies - despite its power vis-à-vis their societies - have a
  limited room for maneuver, is a chronic legitimacy deficits that flows most
  of the time in a questioned legitimacy (see Horowitz, 1989)
• Beetham’s model claims that the legitimation of power is a political priority
  for those in a power position in justifying a given power relation.


                Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
10




What previously needs to be taking into
account for LPD theory development?
• The relevance and applicability of models theories of policy process and policy
  dynamics depend on 3 theoretical & methodological key questions
• The way in which theoretical approaches are able to take into account regime’s
  institutional and structural constraints that influence policy formulation (O'Donnell &
  Oszlak, 1976; Oszlak, 1980) and determines its dynamics (Cabrero Mendoza,
  2000; Medellín Torres, 2004; Torgerson, 1985).
• Its ability to consider and include all (or the majority of) causes associated with
  major policy change and the systemic possibilities beyond those traditionally
  undertaken within the current neoincremental-homeostatic orthodoxy (Howlett,
  2007; Howlett & Cashore, 2009).
• The dependent variable problem: Its ability to consider and include all (or the
  majority of) the components, dimensions or elements of public policy, and thus
  attend a methodological key question: what changes when policy change?
  (Howlett & Cashore, 2009) (for a typological integration proposal see also Cruz-
  Rubio, 2012)


                  Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
11




LPD approach: assumptions (1/3)
• Public policies are designs that configure a power relation and
  hence may influence the “politics of policy change”.
• Alterations in the “legitimacy pattern” define policy
  development. The specific configuration of rationales at a given
  time (and associated with a given policy design), defines what I
  call here the legitimacy pattern, conceived as the main category
  of analysis of LPD approach. Not all changes in rationales
  transform a legitimacy pattern. There is only with the
  transformation of the legitimacy pattern when major policy change
  takes place
• A strong (or renewed) legitimacy pattern explains policy stasis
  and long-term planned changes (negotiated agreements and
  planned-paradigmatic policy change).
              Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
12
The legitimacy pattern, a system of rationales
                                   Public debate                                                               Decision making process
                                (outcome legitimacy)                                                             (process legitimacy)
   Political dimension
    ( predecisional)
     Administrative dimension
         (postdesional)




                                          Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
13




LPD approach: assumptions (2/3)
• For the actors of dominant political coalition, policy legitimation and
  control over change process are two imperative political activities
• As we well know, policy change literature agree in the identification of two
  groups of “analytical grouping of entities” that are useful in studying
  political interaction in policy dynamics, namely: mechanisms of policy
  stability and change (at meso and macro levels) and the use of policy
  narratives that define (at meso level) and orient actors’ positions and
  discourses.
• At the meso-level, to adopt a subsystemic operational position is a
  necessary task for those actors of the dominant coalition, and this
  dimension must be in included in any policy change analytical strategy
• Changes forced by actors of minority coalitions over subsystemic
  operational positions favors policy change


                Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
Operational positions used to face potential policy change                                                                             14




          LPD: Subsystemic Operational positions used to face potential
          policy change

                                                   Non- Reversible                                       Reversible- accumulative
                                                systemic adaptative                                      (operational and collective
                                                   (institutional and                                          action levels)
                                               collective action levels)
                  Reactive
                                                   a) Shock response                                 d) Perpetuation and
             (policy change as
                                                          based                                         change contention
                  an issue)
                 Proactive
             (policy change as                       b) Strategic and                                         c) Thermostatic
               a development                        improvement based                                            calibrations
                  process)
                                                      Source: (C. Cruz-Rubio, 2011b)



                                    Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
15




Subsystemic operational positions (1/2)
• Putting this typology on the table, it is possible to propose tripartite
   strategy of analysis based on the three analytical devices (mechanisms,
   narrative strategies, and operational positions). In using this analytical
   strategy it is assumed that dominant coalition actors (and policy makers
   implicated) are forced:
2. To define (if necessary) an individual position that is known by all political
   actors of coalitions he (she) belongs.
3. To know, to support or to accept subsystemic (operational) position of the
   policy dominant coalition who belongs, and related.
4. To adequately communicate and reflect adopted coalition’s position,
   based i.e. on an adequate use of narrative strategies, policy surrogates
   and the selective use or roles.



                 Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
16




Subsystemic operational positions (2/2)
• The operational positions here identified have at least three common important
  characteristics.
• a)    Useful in reducing controversy and uncertainty, a definition and adoption of a
  specific operational position by dominant coalition also allow all political actors
  implicated – including those of minority coalitions – to bound limits, to define their
  role and specific weight, as well as construct realistic expectations and strategic
  calculation about their possibilities and alternatives.
• b) With an operational position adopted, a subsystemic modus operandi is
  projected, and in doing so all actors of dominant coalition must defend it and
  assume it as the valid one in facing potential change.
• c) A deliberate switching on the operational position by the dominant coalition has
  no other purpose than to maintain control over the process of change. Changes in
  operational position may be calculated and decided by the dominant coalition (in a
  preventive or proative fashion), or it may be forced systemically. In this case the
  dominant coalition assumes a political failure that forces them to change its
  operational position that benefits to its political contenders.

                  Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
17




LPD approach: assumptions (3/3)
• At the micro-level, LPD approach is based on a bounded-rational model
  of the individual (with time, information access and processing limitations)
  that accepts and take into account all intelligence forms at disposal as
  well as the use of ”organized hypocrisy” (Brunnson)
• Actors may define position for or against substantive policy change or
  maintain an undefined base position based on negotiation process and its
                                                ​
  results. Actors may act according to values (including conflicting values)
  (Stewart, 2006) opportunistically (self interested with no values
  implicated) or develop the so called “organized hypocrisy”, that is to say,
  a behavior characterized by inconsistencies, given a selective and
  differential position choices in discourse, decisions and actions, in order
  to manage (or to reflect adequately) conflict (Brunsson, 2002, 2006)
• Actors may act in a coherent way with the subsystemic position adopted
  in potential change processes

                Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
18


                          Analytical strategy proposed by LPD

ASSOCIATED
CAUSES OF                                                       MECHANISMS OF POLICY
  MAJOR                                                         STABILITY AND CHANGE
  POLICY                                                                                      POLICY DYNAMICS
  CHANGE                                                            -Positive and negative       SYSTEMIC
                                                                           Feedback             POSSIBILITIES
                                                                    - Endogenus change
  Focusing                                                            - Issue expansion       Incremental change
 events, elite                                                       - Exogenus shocks
                     SUBSYSTEMIC                                                              (policy manteinance)
  turnover.
                 OPERATIONAL POSITIONS
                                                                                               No policy change
   External                                                                                      (policy stasis-
                   -Shock response based
   Shocks                                                                                        perpetuation)
                 -Strategic and improvement
                            based
    Oriented                                                                                     Major policy
                  -Thermostatic calibrations
 learning and                                                                                      change
                  -Perpetuation and change
lesson drawing
                          contention
   processes                                                NARRATIVE STRATEGIES                  Punctuated
                                                                                                  equilibrium
Innovation anf
   difussion                                             - Identifying winners and losers       Policy oriented-
  tendencies                                           - Construction of benefits and costs   learning and lesson
                                                          - Use of condesation symbols              drawing
                                                                 -Policy surrogates
                                                      -Scientific certanty and disagreement       Strategic and
                                                                         -                    planned programatic
                                                                                                     change

                                                                                              Gradual paradigmatic
                                                                                                 policy change

                       Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
19


                        Legitimation and Policy dynamics LPD approach

ASSOCIATED                                                                                          Legitimacy
                                                                                                                      Policy termination
CAUSES OF                                                                                          pattern dilution
  MAJOR
  POLICY
                                                                                                                      POLICY DYNAMICS
  CHANGE
                                   Legitimacy                                                                            SYSTEMIC
                                                                                                      Weaking
                                     deficits                                                                           POSSIBILITIES
                                                                                                     legitimacy
  Focusing                         (no shared                                                          pattern        Incremental change
 events, elite                       beliefs)
                                                                                                                      (policy manteinance)
  turnover.
                 Illegality   Inadequate policy                                                                        No policy change
   External                                                             LEGITIMACY                                       (policy stasis-
                                 performance
   Shocks                                                                PATTERN                                         perpetuation)
    Oriented                                                                                                             Major policy
 learning and                                                                                                              change
lesson drawing                   Withdrawal of                                                       Enhanced
   processes                       consent                                                           legitimacy
                                                                                                                          Punctuated
                                                                                                       pattern            equilibrium
Innovation anf
   difussion                                                                                                            Policy oriented-
  tendencies                                                                                                          learning and lesson
                                                                                                                            drawing
                                                                         LEGITIMACY
                                                                           PATTERN                                        Strategic and
                                                                       TRANSFORMATION                                 planned programatic
                                                                                                                             change
                              Direct relation
                                                                                                                      Gradual paradigmatic
                                                                                                                         policy change
                              Contributor relation
                              Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
20




It seems great, but now what?
• Is LPD logically coherent?
• Do LPD have clear causal drivers and a sense of causal process?
• Are LPD mayor propositions may be empirically falsifiable?
• Is the intended scope of theory clear and relatively broad?
• Is LPD fertile?: May LPD give rise to non obvious implications and
  produce a realtively large number of interesting predictions per
  assumption
• Testing LPD approach
• Case study: how policy change in combating the threats of drug
  trafficking and organized crime in Mexico (2000-2012) (Cruz-
  Rubio)
• Case study Innovation policy in Venezuela (Romero, 2011)

              Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
21




Thank you
Gracias por su atención


cesar.cruz.rubio@gigapp.org




 César Nicandro Cruz-Rubio
        @cesarncruz

 Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .

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Legitimation and Policy Dynamics Approach

  • 1. 1 - 20 GIGAPP (Research Group in Government, Administration and Public Policy) Instituto Universitario de Investigación Ortega y Gasset-Spain Legitimation and policy dynamics approach for the study of policy change: a proposal XXII World Congress in Political Science IPSA-AISP 8-12 July 2012 César Nicandro Cruz-Rubio @cesarncruz
  • 2. 2 - 20 What the audience should be expect on this paper? • This a preliminary theory-development endeavor • This effort is made based on the “third scenario” in Paul A. Sabatier’s guidelines of theory development. (No inductive or in a deductive strategy. Instead, a dissatisfaction with existing conceptual framework or body of theories) • “The development (or elaboration) of theory needs to be distinguished from its verification” (Sabatier, 2007). • LPD is currently at the elaboration stage. All suggestions from you of course will be very welcome. Thank you in advance. Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
  • 3. 3 - 20 LPD approach: What is this about? • I propose here an approach for the study of policy stability & change (called legitimation & policy dynamics) LPD approach. • Oriented mainly (but not exclusively) to explain policy change in political systems defined by its institutional fragility and persistent legitimacy deficits, in which legitimation of power through policy is assumed as an unavoidable task. • LPD is an actor-centered perspective (subsystemic positions; a bounded rational model of individual, who may use all intelligence forms at disposal as well as organized hypocrisy as resources in managing conflict) • The legitimation of power in public policy and the control over potential change dynamics by the dominant political coalition conforms in LPD approach as the two causal-drivers in explaining policy stability and change. Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
  • 4. 4 - 20 Policy Legitimacy and legitimation (1/2) • Legitimacy has historically been considered as a top subject of study in political science, • However, in public policy studies- research, legitimacy (viewed as product based on “the belief” in the existence of a legitimate power relation) and the legitimation of power (viewed as a process of achieving and maintaining legitimacy) have not been historically assumed as relevant topics of study. (except Caldeira, Gibson) • The reason is very simple: regimes, political actors and institutions are all relevant subjects in the study of legitimacy. Public policies are viewed simply as products (or as an instruments for regime’s legitimation) that are part of a larger political system. So, policy legitimacy and policy legitimation is mainly dependent on a broader political system’s legitimacy. Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
  • 5. 5 -20 Policy Legitimacy and legitimation (2/2) • In traditional policy process literature (until 80’s) legitimacy and legitimation as an oriented activity has been played a small or peripheral role: ▫ Policy legitimation was identified as a stage of de policy cycle (C.O Jones, Palumbo) confined to the institutional approval made by the legislative o judicial bodies, then considering policy approval =policy legitimation ▫ Further decision-making policy literature considering legitimation as an activity potentially present in all stages of the policy process-cycle, because instead public policy as an instrument, what is necessary to legitimate are policy decisions (B. G.Peters) Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
  • 6. 6-20 What’s new in public policy change literature? (1/2) • Relatively new studies recues legitimacy as an important feature ▫ Social construction and policy design theory (which assumes a substantive conception of public policy) identifies in rationales (legitimations and justifications) key constituent elements of policy design (Ingram, Schneider, & deLeon, 2007; Schneider & Ingram, 1997) ▫ a) C. Wilson model (Wilson, 2000, 2006) identifies the crisis of legitimacy as a key phase in explaining major policy regimes change ▫ b) E. Montpetit analysis (Montpetit, 2008), which shows that to obtain legitimacy (via expertise and citizen involvement) is a central task in the formulation of policy designs Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
  • 7. 7 What’s new in public policy change literature? (2/2) • Relatively new studies recues legitimacy as an important feature ▫ c) J. Wallner (Wallner, 2008) that identified legitimacy as an additional criterion (along with effectiveness, efficiency and performance) for policy evaluation, and specifically in explaining policy failure. ▫ d) M. Macbeth et.al. (2007 -) policy narratives framework, that links literature on policy narratives and policy change and focus on the tactics and rhetorical devices used by policy advocates and interest groups (called ‘narrative strategies’) to understand how these strategies are used to issue contention or expansion, and thereby legitimize or delegitimize policy options and problem definitions. Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
  • 8. 8 Why David Beetham’s legitimacy model? (1/2) • LPD is not the first endeavor in adapting D. Beetham model for the study of public policy (see Carrillo 1998, Simon Matti 2009) • All public policies configures a power relation that needs to be legitimate • Beetham (1991) model identifies four dimensions for the study legitimacy in social sciences (substantive view, in wich all dimensions are not optional) 1. legal conformity 2. justifiability of rules based on shared beliefs, 3. consent evidence and 4. adecquate performance (added by Alagappa 1995) • The emergency of non legitimate forms of power (ilegitimacy, legitimacy deficits and delegitimation) linked to public policy are all possible scenarios in policy dynamics, as well as possible objectives to achieve of political actors implicated in policy change processes. Here the use of narrative strategies and mechanisms of policy stability and change are important in doing so. Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
  • 9. 9 Why David Beetham’s model? (2/2) • In political systems where institutional (input oriented) and performance’s (output oriented) legitimacy is very difficult to achieve (or recurrently tends to disappear, erode or weaken) the legitimation of power as a causal-driver of policy development acquires all its analytical relevance, In those countries and regimes with persistent legitimacy deficits, Beetham model may help us in identifying and in determining the rationales structure linked to policy at a given time • A key distinguishing feature of systemic processes of policy making in less developed countries, where institutional fragility pervades and its government agencies - despite its power vis-à-vis their societies - have a limited room for maneuver, is a chronic legitimacy deficits that flows most of the time in a questioned legitimacy (see Horowitz, 1989) • Beetham’s model claims that the legitimation of power is a political priority for those in a power position in justifying a given power relation. Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
  • 10. 10 What previously needs to be taking into account for LPD theory development? • The relevance and applicability of models theories of policy process and policy dynamics depend on 3 theoretical & methodological key questions • The way in which theoretical approaches are able to take into account regime’s institutional and structural constraints that influence policy formulation (O'Donnell & Oszlak, 1976; Oszlak, 1980) and determines its dynamics (Cabrero Mendoza, 2000; Medellín Torres, 2004; Torgerson, 1985). • Its ability to consider and include all (or the majority of) causes associated with major policy change and the systemic possibilities beyond those traditionally undertaken within the current neoincremental-homeostatic orthodoxy (Howlett, 2007; Howlett & Cashore, 2009). • The dependent variable problem: Its ability to consider and include all (or the majority of) the components, dimensions or elements of public policy, and thus attend a methodological key question: what changes when policy change? (Howlett & Cashore, 2009) (for a typological integration proposal see also Cruz- Rubio, 2012) Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
  • 11. 11 LPD approach: assumptions (1/3) • Public policies are designs that configure a power relation and hence may influence the “politics of policy change”. • Alterations in the “legitimacy pattern” define policy development. The specific configuration of rationales at a given time (and associated with a given policy design), defines what I call here the legitimacy pattern, conceived as the main category of analysis of LPD approach. Not all changes in rationales transform a legitimacy pattern. There is only with the transformation of the legitimacy pattern when major policy change takes place • A strong (or renewed) legitimacy pattern explains policy stasis and long-term planned changes (negotiated agreements and planned-paradigmatic policy change). Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
  • 12. 12 The legitimacy pattern, a system of rationales Public debate Decision making process (outcome legitimacy) (process legitimacy) Political dimension ( predecisional) Administrative dimension (postdesional) Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
  • 13. 13 LPD approach: assumptions (2/3) • For the actors of dominant political coalition, policy legitimation and control over change process are two imperative political activities • As we well know, policy change literature agree in the identification of two groups of “analytical grouping of entities” that are useful in studying political interaction in policy dynamics, namely: mechanisms of policy stability and change (at meso and macro levels) and the use of policy narratives that define (at meso level) and orient actors’ positions and discourses. • At the meso-level, to adopt a subsystemic operational position is a necessary task for those actors of the dominant coalition, and this dimension must be in included in any policy change analytical strategy • Changes forced by actors of minority coalitions over subsystemic operational positions favors policy change Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
  • 14. Operational positions used to face potential policy change 14 LPD: Subsystemic Operational positions used to face potential policy change Non- Reversible Reversible- accumulative systemic adaptative (operational and collective (institutional and action levels) collective action levels) Reactive a) Shock response d) Perpetuation and (policy change as based change contention an issue) Proactive (policy change as b) Strategic and c) Thermostatic a development improvement based calibrations process) Source: (C. Cruz-Rubio, 2011b) Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
  • 15. 15 Subsystemic operational positions (1/2) • Putting this typology on the table, it is possible to propose tripartite strategy of analysis based on the three analytical devices (mechanisms, narrative strategies, and operational positions). In using this analytical strategy it is assumed that dominant coalition actors (and policy makers implicated) are forced: 2. To define (if necessary) an individual position that is known by all political actors of coalitions he (she) belongs. 3. To know, to support or to accept subsystemic (operational) position of the policy dominant coalition who belongs, and related. 4. To adequately communicate and reflect adopted coalition’s position, based i.e. on an adequate use of narrative strategies, policy surrogates and the selective use or roles. Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
  • 16. 16 Subsystemic operational positions (2/2) • The operational positions here identified have at least three common important characteristics. • a) Useful in reducing controversy and uncertainty, a definition and adoption of a specific operational position by dominant coalition also allow all political actors implicated – including those of minority coalitions – to bound limits, to define their role and specific weight, as well as construct realistic expectations and strategic calculation about their possibilities and alternatives. • b) With an operational position adopted, a subsystemic modus operandi is projected, and in doing so all actors of dominant coalition must defend it and assume it as the valid one in facing potential change. • c) A deliberate switching on the operational position by the dominant coalition has no other purpose than to maintain control over the process of change. Changes in operational position may be calculated and decided by the dominant coalition (in a preventive or proative fashion), or it may be forced systemically. In this case the dominant coalition assumes a political failure that forces them to change its operational position that benefits to its political contenders. Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
  • 17. 17 LPD approach: assumptions (3/3) • At the micro-level, LPD approach is based on a bounded-rational model of the individual (with time, information access and processing limitations) that accepts and take into account all intelligence forms at disposal as well as the use of ”organized hypocrisy” (Brunnson) • Actors may define position for or against substantive policy change or maintain an undefined base position based on negotiation process and its ​ results. Actors may act according to values (including conflicting values) (Stewart, 2006) opportunistically (self interested with no values implicated) or develop the so called “organized hypocrisy”, that is to say, a behavior characterized by inconsistencies, given a selective and differential position choices in discourse, decisions and actions, in order to manage (or to reflect adequately) conflict (Brunsson, 2002, 2006) • Actors may act in a coherent way with the subsystemic position adopted in potential change processes Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
  • 18. 18 Analytical strategy proposed by LPD ASSOCIATED CAUSES OF MECHANISMS OF POLICY MAJOR STABILITY AND CHANGE POLICY POLICY DYNAMICS CHANGE -Positive and negative SYSTEMIC Feedback POSSIBILITIES - Endogenus change Focusing - Issue expansion Incremental change events, elite - Exogenus shocks SUBSYSTEMIC (policy manteinance) turnover. OPERATIONAL POSITIONS No policy change External (policy stasis- -Shock response based Shocks perpetuation) -Strategic and improvement based Oriented Major policy -Thermostatic calibrations learning and change -Perpetuation and change lesson drawing contention processes NARRATIVE STRATEGIES Punctuated equilibrium Innovation anf difussion - Identifying winners and losers Policy oriented- tendencies - Construction of benefits and costs learning and lesson - Use of condesation symbols drawing -Policy surrogates -Scientific certanty and disagreement Strategic and - planned programatic change Gradual paradigmatic policy change Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
  • 19. 19 Legitimation and Policy dynamics LPD approach ASSOCIATED Legitimacy Policy termination CAUSES OF pattern dilution MAJOR POLICY POLICY DYNAMICS CHANGE Legitimacy SYSTEMIC Weaking deficits POSSIBILITIES legitimacy Focusing (no shared pattern Incremental change events, elite beliefs) (policy manteinance) turnover. Illegality Inadequate policy No policy change External LEGITIMACY (policy stasis- performance Shocks PATTERN perpetuation) Oriented Major policy learning and change lesson drawing Withdrawal of Enhanced processes consent legitimacy Punctuated pattern equilibrium Innovation anf difussion Policy oriented- tendencies learning and lesson drawing LEGITIMACY PATTERN Strategic and TRANSFORMATION planned programatic change Direct relation Gradual paradigmatic policy change Contributor relation Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
  • 20. 20 It seems great, but now what? • Is LPD logically coherent? • Do LPD have clear causal drivers and a sense of causal process? • Are LPD mayor propositions may be empirically falsifiable? • Is the intended scope of theory clear and relatively broad? • Is LPD fertile?: May LPD give rise to non obvious implications and produce a realtively large number of interesting predictions per assumption • Testing LPD approach • Case study: how policy change in combating the threats of drug trafficking and organized crime in Mexico (2000-2012) (Cruz- Rubio) • Case study Innovation policy in Venezuela (Romero, 2011) Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .
  • 21. 21 Thank you Gracias por su atención cesar.cruz.rubio@gigapp.org César Nicandro Cruz-Rubio @cesarncruz Calle Fortuny, 53. 28010 Madrid. (España). http://www.gigapp.org .