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Economic and Social Impacts
of Land Degradation and Drought
Framework, Assessment and Policy Implications


             Joachim von Braun
     Center for Development Research (ZEF),
                University of Bonn



              09 April, 2013
       UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference
Problem Definition        Conceptual Framework    ELD Assessment       Policy Implications




Basic Facts about Land Degradation and Drought


             It is estimated that about a quarter of global land area is
             degraded (Lal et al. 2012).

             Droughts are one of the largest determinants of human
             misery. The extent, frequency and intensity of droughts are
             expected to increase due to climate change.

             Land degradation and drought affect the poorest the most
             and are huge development constraints.




                                                                                            2
Problem Definition   Conceptual Framework   ELD Assessment   Policy Implications




World Food and Agriculture:
The Changing Equation




                                                                                  3
Problem Definition           Conceptual Framework            ELD Assessment            Policy Implications




Need for NEXUS Perspective: Water–Food–Energy




             Land and SLM should be an integral part and action agenda for the NEXUS.
      Source: Bonn2011 Conference: The Water, Energy and Food Security Nexus. 16-18 Nov. 2011
                                                                                                            4
Problem Definition         Conceptual Framework       ELD Assessment            Policy Implications




Total Arable Land is Limited
             Climate change, urbanization and degradation affect arable land.
             Protection of forests imposes further environmental limits.




      Source: FAOSTAT                                                                                5
Problem Definition           Conceptual Framework          ELD Assessment           Policy Implications




Farmland Price Dynamics




             Even as such, market prices are capturing only marketed values, ignoring
             numerous essential ecosystem services of land.
      Source: von Braun et al (2012)
                                                                                                         6
Problem Definition        Conceptual Framework    ELD Assessment      Policy Implications




Problem Definition


             Markets are sending clear signals that land and soil
             degradation, and also droughts, are globally critical problems
             that require urgent action to address.

             However, the efforts to address them have so far been
             insufficient.

             What is lacking: policy action, based on evidence-based policy
             framework to address the two interlinked slow onset-disasters:
             land degradation and drought.




                                                                                           7
Problem Definition        Conceptual Framework       ELD Assessment   Policy Implications




Framework: Economics of Land Degradation (ELD)



       UNCCD and BMZ-commissioned global
       study assessing the
       state-of-the-knowledge on the economics
       of land degradation and drought,
       conducted by IFPRI and ZEF
       (2010–2011).
       Reviewed the state-of-the-art
       Developed a conceptual framework
       for economic assessment
       Identified gaps in the science,
       partnerships and institutional setups
       required for ELD

                                                 click to read

                                                                                           8
Problem Definition        Conceptual Framework      ELD Assessment       Policy Implications




Investment for Sustainable Wellbeing


      Wellbeing Function:
      Output for Income and Wellbeing = f(Labor, Fertilizers, Land
      quantity and Land quality, Water, Climate, Others)
             Natural capital – including land and soil resources, water – is an
             essential building block of the economy.
             Land degradation and drought have differing characteristics
             (gradual change vs recurrent shocks), their economic valuation
             should be conceptualized in terms of their association with the
             change in productivity and with changes in the provision of
             ecosystem services and the human benefits derived from them.




                                                                                              9
Problem Definition         Conceptual Framework        ELD Assessment   Policy Implications




Innovation Feeds the World:
Sources of Productivity Growth in World Agriculture




      Source: IFPRI 2012; Global Policy Report 2013
                                                                                         10
Problem Definition   Conceptual Framework   ELD Assessment   Policy Implications




Economics of Land Degradation (ELD)




                                                                              11
Problem Definition         Conceptual Framework   ELD Assessment   Policy Implications




Comparing Action vs Inaction:
Some Case Study Results




      Source: Nkonya et al (2011)                                                   12
Problem Definition      Conceptual Framework     ELD Assessment       Policy Implications




Strategy in ELD Assessment
        1. Building and informing the policy debate and dialogue on land
           degradation at regional and global levels guided by
           evidence-based and policy-oriented research.
        2. Forming an inclusive and open collaboration of all stakeholders
           for addressing land degradation.
        3. Communication to increase awareness and commitment to take
           action against land degradation.
        4. Conducting the global ELD assessment, based on carefully
           selected case studies acting as stepping stones and templates for
           future research and action. Highlight successful experiences of
           countries and locations that created incentives and program
           actions for sustainable land use (returns to farmers and to
           society).
        5. Independent peer-review of the results.


                                                                                       13
Problem Definition        Conceptual Framework    ELD Assessment      Policy Implications




ELD Research Principles
             Ground-proofing is a must!
             Market and non-market valuation of land and its degradation
             with strong emphasis on valuing non-market ecosystem
             services!
             Global and national/local, with integrating across scales by
             modelling!
             Science-driven and practitioner-oriented, with strong
             involvement by local partners and farming communities!
             Focus on rehabilitation and prevention of degradation in a
             sustainable land use framework, but prevention is better than
             cure!
             Focus on land degradation or on people affected by it? Link
             both from the beginning.

                                                                                       14
Problem Definition      Conceptual Framework   ELD Assessment      Policy Implications




Prevention and Management of the Great Risks:
Bringing action for prevention of Land and Soil Degradation and action
on Drought together

        1. Risk prevention: sustainable intensification in agriculture;
           productivity across value chains; R&D.
        2. Risk management: Facilitation of reduced market volatility
           with appropriate stocks, appropriate regulation, and
           international cooperation.
        3. Social protection: productive safety nets, expanded action
           for nutrition security of children.
        4. Insurance systems: insurance of crops, peoples’ health,
           public insurance mechanisms for catastrophic events in low
           income countries (e.g. regional droughts, climate shocks)

                                                                                    15
Problem Definition        Conceptual Framework     ELD Assessment       Policy Implications




Toward Appropriate Action

        a. Land degradation is a consequence of market failures and partly
           consequence of poverty. There is a need for policy action to
           appropriately address land degradation externalities, including
           the non-market values of land.
        b. Remedies for the different forms of land degradation, drought
           management strategies and technologies need to be incentivized.

         c. Land users must receive direct benefits for adopting sustainable
            land management (SLM) practices.
        d. Access to rural services, access to markets are important to
           increasing the benefits from investments in SLM.
             In Sum: ELD initiative is to foster a sound combination of
             transparent and enforceable rules and market-oriented incentives
             for sustainable land and soil use practices. Countries are in the
             lead, as optimal solution are mostly local.


                                                                                         16

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Joachim Von Braun "Economic and social impacts of land degradation and drought - framework, assessment and policy implications"

  • 1. Economic and Social Impacts of Land Degradation and Drought Framework, Assessment and Policy Implications Joachim von Braun Center for Development Research (ZEF), University of Bonn 09 April, 2013 UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference
  • 2. Problem Definition Conceptual Framework ELD Assessment Policy Implications Basic Facts about Land Degradation and Drought It is estimated that about a quarter of global land area is degraded (Lal et al. 2012). Droughts are one of the largest determinants of human misery. The extent, frequency and intensity of droughts are expected to increase due to climate change. Land degradation and drought affect the poorest the most and are huge development constraints. 2
  • 3. Problem Definition Conceptual Framework ELD Assessment Policy Implications World Food and Agriculture: The Changing Equation 3
  • 4. Problem Definition Conceptual Framework ELD Assessment Policy Implications Need for NEXUS Perspective: Water–Food–Energy Land and SLM should be an integral part and action agenda for the NEXUS. Source: Bonn2011 Conference: The Water, Energy and Food Security Nexus. 16-18 Nov. 2011 4
  • 5. Problem Definition Conceptual Framework ELD Assessment Policy Implications Total Arable Land is Limited Climate change, urbanization and degradation affect arable land. Protection of forests imposes further environmental limits. Source: FAOSTAT 5
  • 6. Problem Definition Conceptual Framework ELD Assessment Policy Implications Farmland Price Dynamics Even as such, market prices are capturing only marketed values, ignoring numerous essential ecosystem services of land. Source: von Braun et al (2012) 6
  • 7. Problem Definition Conceptual Framework ELD Assessment Policy Implications Problem Definition Markets are sending clear signals that land and soil degradation, and also droughts, are globally critical problems that require urgent action to address. However, the efforts to address them have so far been insufficient. What is lacking: policy action, based on evidence-based policy framework to address the two interlinked slow onset-disasters: land degradation and drought. 7
  • 8. Problem Definition Conceptual Framework ELD Assessment Policy Implications Framework: Economics of Land Degradation (ELD) UNCCD and BMZ-commissioned global study assessing the state-of-the-knowledge on the economics of land degradation and drought, conducted by IFPRI and ZEF (2010–2011). Reviewed the state-of-the-art Developed a conceptual framework for economic assessment Identified gaps in the science, partnerships and institutional setups required for ELD click to read 8
  • 9. Problem Definition Conceptual Framework ELD Assessment Policy Implications Investment for Sustainable Wellbeing Wellbeing Function: Output for Income and Wellbeing = f(Labor, Fertilizers, Land quantity and Land quality, Water, Climate, Others) Natural capital – including land and soil resources, water – is an essential building block of the economy. Land degradation and drought have differing characteristics (gradual change vs recurrent shocks), their economic valuation should be conceptualized in terms of their association with the change in productivity and with changes in the provision of ecosystem services and the human benefits derived from them. 9
  • 10. Problem Definition Conceptual Framework ELD Assessment Policy Implications Innovation Feeds the World: Sources of Productivity Growth in World Agriculture Source: IFPRI 2012; Global Policy Report 2013 10
  • 11. Problem Definition Conceptual Framework ELD Assessment Policy Implications Economics of Land Degradation (ELD) 11
  • 12. Problem Definition Conceptual Framework ELD Assessment Policy Implications Comparing Action vs Inaction: Some Case Study Results Source: Nkonya et al (2011) 12
  • 13. Problem Definition Conceptual Framework ELD Assessment Policy Implications Strategy in ELD Assessment 1. Building and informing the policy debate and dialogue on land degradation at regional and global levels guided by evidence-based and policy-oriented research. 2. Forming an inclusive and open collaboration of all stakeholders for addressing land degradation. 3. Communication to increase awareness and commitment to take action against land degradation. 4. Conducting the global ELD assessment, based on carefully selected case studies acting as stepping stones and templates for future research and action. Highlight successful experiences of countries and locations that created incentives and program actions for sustainable land use (returns to farmers and to society). 5. Independent peer-review of the results. 13
  • 14. Problem Definition Conceptual Framework ELD Assessment Policy Implications ELD Research Principles Ground-proofing is a must! Market and non-market valuation of land and its degradation with strong emphasis on valuing non-market ecosystem services! Global and national/local, with integrating across scales by modelling! Science-driven and practitioner-oriented, with strong involvement by local partners and farming communities! Focus on rehabilitation and prevention of degradation in a sustainable land use framework, but prevention is better than cure! Focus on land degradation or on people affected by it? Link both from the beginning. 14
  • 15. Problem Definition Conceptual Framework ELD Assessment Policy Implications Prevention and Management of the Great Risks: Bringing action for prevention of Land and Soil Degradation and action on Drought together 1. Risk prevention: sustainable intensification in agriculture; productivity across value chains; R&D. 2. Risk management: Facilitation of reduced market volatility with appropriate stocks, appropriate regulation, and international cooperation. 3. Social protection: productive safety nets, expanded action for nutrition security of children. 4. Insurance systems: insurance of crops, peoples’ health, public insurance mechanisms for catastrophic events in low income countries (e.g. regional droughts, climate shocks) 15
  • 16. Problem Definition Conceptual Framework ELD Assessment Policy Implications Toward Appropriate Action a. Land degradation is a consequence of market failures and partly consequence of poverty. There is a need for policy action to appropriately address land degradation externalities, including the non-market values of land. b. Remedies for the different forms of land degradation, drought management strategies and technologies need to be incentivized. c. Land users must receive direct benefits for adopting sustainable land management (SLM) practices. d. Access to rural services, access to markets are important to increasing the benefits from investments in SLM. In Sum: ELD initiative is to foster a sound combination of transparent and enforceable rules and market-oriented incentives for sustainable land and soil use practices. Countries are in the lead, as optimal solution are mostly local. 16