4. FOREIGN POLICY ISSUES NOT THE MOST
IMPORTANT PROBLEMS FACING THE U.S.
3
March 6-9,
2014
Unemployment / Jobs 23%
Economy in general 20%
Dissatisfaction with
Government/Congress/Politicians
19%
Poor Healthcare/Hospitals; High Cost of
Healthcare
15%
Federal Budget Deficit/ Federal Debt 8%
Immigration/Illegal Aliens 6%
Ethics/moral/religious/family decline;
Dishonesty
5%
March6-9,
2014
Foreign aid / focus overseas 4%
War (nonspecific)/Fear of war 2%
Situation with Russia 1%
Lack of Military Defense 1%
National security 1%
War/conflict between Middle East
nations
*
Situation/ War in Afghanistan *
Situation in Syria *
Situation in Iraq -
What do you think is the most important problem facing this country today?
Source: Gallup Poll, March 6-9, 2014
* Indicates a number between 0 and 1%
5. OBAMA’S JOB APPROVAL ON FOREIGN POLICY
HAS TAKEN A HIT RECENTLY
4
Source: Pollster.com Aggregate Data, Latest Poll as of March 12, 2014
APPROVAL %
Overall approval 44%
Foreign policy 42%
The economy 40%
Healthcare 40%
Job Approval on
Foreign Policy
Still Better than
on the Economy
& Health Care
Job Approval on Foreign Policy
Disapprove 49.7%
Approve 41.6%
6. A MAJORITY OF AMERICANS BELIEVE THAT
OBAMA IS NOT RESPECTED IN OTHER
COUNTRIES
5
72%
56%
39%
24%
42%
57%
Mar 12-15 2009 Apr 9-11 2010 Mar 7-9 2014
Respect him Don't have much respect
Do you think leaders of other countries around the world have respect for Barack
Obama, or do you think they don’t have much respect for him?
Source: CNN Poll, March 7-9, 2014
7. PUBLIC SEES A GLOBAL LOSS OF RESPECT FOR
THE UNITED STATES
6
More
Respected
7%
Less
Respected
70%
As
Respected
19%
Don't
Know
3% Impressions of how the U.S. is
perceived abroad are now as
negative as they were during the
Bush administration.
Compared to the past, the U.S. is ___ by other
countries these days...
Jul -
04
Oct -
05
Aug -
06
Nov -
13
More respected 10% 9% 7% 7%
Less respected 67% 66% 65% 70%
As respected 20% 21% 23% 19%
Don’t know 3% 4% 5% 3%
Source: Pew Research Center Poll, October 30 – November 6, 2013
8. Source: Pew Research Center Poll, October 30 – November 6, 2013
7
AMERICANS ARE MUCH LESS LIKELY TO WANT
TO INTERVENE IN FOREIGN COUNTRIES
Please tell me whether you agree or disagree with each of the following statements –
The U.S. should mind its own business internationally and let other countries get along
the best they can on their own.
For the first time in fifty
years, a majority of
Americans believe that
the United States should
generally follow non-
interventionism
9. THEREFORE - AMERICANS WOULD LIKE TO SEE
MORE EMPHASIS ON SAFETY AND SECURITY
AT HOME RATHER THAN WORLD STABILITY
8
If you had to choose, would you rather see the U.S. place more emphasis on safety and security within
the United States or making sure there is peace and stability throughout the world?
Source: CNN/ORC Poll, March 7-9 2014
2%
28%
69%
Unsure
World peace and stability
Safety, security within the U.S
11. AMERICANS LEAST FAVORABLETOWARD IRAN;
CANADA, GREAT BRITAIN, AND GERMANY, GET HIGHEST MARKS
10
Source: Gallup Poll, February 7-10, 2013
Total
favorable
Total
unfavorable
Canada 93% 5%
Great Britain 90% 6%
Germany 81% 13%
Japan 80% 15%
France 78% 17%
India 72% 21%
Israel 72% 23%
South Korea 64% 29%
Mexico 58% 38%
Egypt 45% 45%
China 43% 53%
Total
favorable
Total
unfavorable
Cuba 38% 57%
Saudi Arabia 35% 57%
Russia 34% 60%
The Palestine
Authority
19% 60%
Libya 19% 70%
Pakistan 17% 77%
Iraq 16% 80%
Afghanistan 14% 83%
Syria 13% 78%
Iran 12% 84%
North Korea 11% 84%
“No opinion” results not shown
12. AMERICANS SEE INTERNATIONALTERRORISM,
NUCLEARWEAPONS AS CRITICALTHREATS
11
Source: Gallup Poll, February 6-9, 2014
28%
32%
46%
46%
52%
53%
57%
76%
77%
Conflict between India and Pakistan
Military power of Russia
Conflict between Israel and the Palestinians
Military power of China
Economic power of China
Conflict between North Korea and South Korea
Islamic fundamentalism
Development of nuclear weapons by Iran
International terrorism
% saying it’s a critical threat
I am going to read you a list of possible threats to the vital interests of the United States in
the next 10 years. For each one, please tell me if you see this as a critical threat, or not an
important threat at all.
14. A MAJORITY OF AMERICANS ARE CLOSELY
FOLLOWING AND ARE WORRIED ABOUT THE
SITUATION IN UKRAINE
13
Very/
Somewhat
closely
68%
Not too
closely
18%
Not at all
14%
How closely are you following the
news about Russia’s involvement in
the situation in Ukraine?
Very/Som
ewhat
worried
67%
Not too
worried
21%
Not
worried
at all
12%
How worried are you that the current
situation in Ukraine will develop into a
larger regional conflict that could lea to
the U.S. military getting involved?
Source: Gallup Poll, March 6-9, 2014
*Answers for Don’t know
are not shown
15. REACTIONS TO OBAMA’S HANDLING THE
SITUATION HAVE BEEN MIXED
14
Source: NBC News/ Wallstreet Journal Poll, March 5-9 2014
NBC/WSJ: Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job
Barack Obama is handling the situation between Russia and
Ukraine?
Approve Disapprove Not Sure
43% 40% 17%
ABC News : Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way
Barack Obama is handling the situation involving Russia and
Ukraine? Do you feel that way strongly, or somewhat?
Approve Disapprove No opinion
42% 43% 15%
Source: ABC News, March 5-9, 2014
CNN/ORC Poll: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack
Obama is handling the situation in Ukraine?
Source: CNN/ORC Poll, March 7-9, 2014
Approve Disapprove No opinion
48% 43% 9%
PEW Research Center Poll: Do you approve or disapprove of the
way the Obama administration is handling the situation involving
Russia and Ukraine?
Source: CNN/ORC Poll, March 7-9, 2014
Approve Disapprove No opinion
30% 44% 26%
16. PARTISAN SPLIT OVER APPROVAL OF OBAMA'S
HANDLING THE SITUATION
15
Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Obama administration is handling
the situation involving Russia and Ukraine?
Source: Pew Research Center Poll, March 6-9, 2014
17. AMERICANS WOULD RATHER NOT GET
INVOLVED IN THE SITUATION IN UKRAINE
16
Not get too
involved in the
situation
56%
Don't know/
Refused
15%
Consider
military option
8%
Only consider
economic and
political
options
19%
Don't know/
Refused
2%
Take a firm
stand against
russian
actions
29%
Thinking about the situation in Ukraine, do you think it is more important for the U.S.
to take a firm stand against Russian actions or Not get too involved in the situation?
Of the 29% who believe
that the U.S. should take
a firm stance, only a
small number (8% of the
total respondents) said
they would consider a
military option.
Source: Pew Research Center Poll, March 6-9, 2014
18. AMERICANS FAVOR ECONOMIC SANCTIONS TO
RESOLVE SITUATION; SENDING GROUND
TROOPS LEAST FAVORABLE OPTION
17
Favor Oppose Unsure
Imposing economic sanctions on Russia 59% 39% 2%
Providing economic assistance to the Ukrainian government 46% 52% 2%
Canceling the summit meeting between the leaders of Russia and
the U.S. and its Western European allies
40% 58% 2%
Sending weapons and other military supplies to the Ukrainian
government
23% 76% 2%
U.S. military action against Russian troops in Ukraine involving air
strikes but no ground troops
17% 82% 2%
Sending U.S. ground troops to Ukraine 12% 88% 1%
Here are some actions which the United States and its allies might take to try to force Russia to remove
its troops from the Crimean Peninsula and to make sure Russia does not send troops into other parts of
Ukraine. Which of these actions do you favor and which do you oppose?
Source: CNN/ ORC Poll, March 7-9, 2014
19. MOST AMERICANS BELIEVE RUSSIA’S ACTIONS
IN THE UKRAINE ARE NOT JUSTIFIED
18
Justified
10%
Not justified
68%
Don’t know/
Refused
22%
Source: Pew Research Center Poll, March 6-9, 2014
Do you think Russia was justified or not justified in sending troops into Ukraine?
21. A MAJORITY OF AMERICANS BELIEVE THAT
RELATIONS WITH RUSSIA ARE IMPORTANT
20
Extremely , 31% Fairly, 34%
Just Somewhat,
25%
Not At
All, 9%
Not Sure, 1%
How important are relations with – Russia – to the United States’ national interest –
extremely important, fairly important, just somewhat important, or not important at all?
Source: NBC News/ Wallstreet Journal Poll, March 5-9 2014
65% of Americans believe that having relations with
Russia is important to the U.S.’ national interest
22. YET - RUSSIA IS INCREASINGLY SEEN AS AN
ADVERSARY RATHER THAN AN ALLY
21
Source: NBC News/ Wallstreet Journal Poll, March 5-9 2013
56%
48%
52%
19%
29%
19%
35%
28% 26%
62%
49%
72%
1995 1996 2002 2008 2009 2014
Ally
Adversary
In general, do you think of Russia as more of an ally or more of an adversary?
Answers for
Both/Neither
and Not Sure
are not shown.
23. AMERICANS ARE DIVIDED ON THE POSSIBILITY
OF A NEW COLD WAR
22
Source: CNN Poll, March 7-9 2014
Likely
48%
Not likely
49%
No opinion
3%
Do you think it is likely or not likely that there will be a new cold war between
the United States and Russia in the next few years?
25. A NUCLEAR IRAN IS SEEN AS A MAJOR THREAT
TO THE UNITED STATES
24
How much of a threat are each of the following international concerns to the well-
being of the United States – Iran’s nuclear program?
91% of
Americans
believe that an
Iranian nuclear
program is a
threat
Source: Pew Research Center Poll, October 30 – November 6, 2013
Major
threat
69%
Minor
threat
23%
Not a threat
5%
No answer
3%
26. ADDRESSING IRAN'S NUCLEAR PROGRAM IS
SEEN AS AN ABSOLUTE PRIORITY FOR THIS
YEAR
25
Please tell me wither you think [addressing Iran’s nuclear program] should be an
absolute priority for the Obama administration and THIS year’s Congress, it is
something that can be delayed until next year, or something that you think the
Obama administration and Congress should not pursue
Absolute
Priority For This
Year, 60%
Can Be Delayed
Until Next Year,
23%
Should Not
Be Pursued,
12%
Not Sure, 5%
Source: NBC News/ Wallstreet Journal Poll, January 5-9 2014
27. AMERICANS APPROVE OF THE AGREEMENT
BUT ARE NEGATIVE ABOUT THE OUTCOME
26
Do you approve, disapprove, or neither
approve nor disapprove of the interim
agreement reached between Iran and six
world powers that is designed to curb Iran’s
nuclear program
Source: AP-GfK Poll, January 17-21 2014
60%
36%
2%
Approve Disapprove Neither
Likely
8%
Somewhat
likely
40%
Not likely
52%
How likely do you think it is that these
initial steps towards curbing Iran’s nuclear
program reached between Iran and six
world powers will stop Iran from building its
own nuclear weapon?
29. VIEWS ON THE WAR IN AFGHANISTAN DEPEND
ON QUESTION WORDING
28
Right
decisio
n
55%
Wrong
decisio
n
37% No
answer
8%
Do you think the United States
made the right decision or the
wrong decision in using military
force in Afghanistan?
Yes, a mistake
49%
No, not a
mistake
48%
No opinion
3%
Looking back, do you think the
United States made a mistake
sending troops to fight in
Afghanistan?
Source: Gallup Poll, February 6-9, 2014Source: Pew Research Center Poll, October 30 – November 6th=, 2013
30. TREND SHOWS THAT MORE VIEW SENDING THE
TROOPS AS A MISTAKE AS WAR DRAGGED ON
29
Looking back, do you think the United States made a mistake sending
troops to fight in Afghanistan?
Source: Gallup Poll February 6-9, 2014
31. A PLURALITY OF AMERICANS BELIEVE THAT
THE WAR HAS MADE THEM SAFER
30
Safer
Less Safe
Has not made a difference
No answer
43%
26% 30%
2%
Overall, do you think each of the following has made the United States [RANDOMIZE: safer
from terrorist, less safe from terrorism] or hasn’t it made a difference – The war in
Afghanistan?
Source: Pew Research Center Poll, October 30 – November 6, 2013
32. BUT - MOST AMERICANS BELIEVE THAT THE
U.S. HAS MOSTLY FAILED IN AFGHANISTAN
31
Mostly
succeeded
38%
Mostly
failed
52%
Don't know
10%
In achieving its goals in Afghanistan,
U.S. has…
Source: Pew Research Center Poll, January 15-19, 2014
34. AMERICAN SYMPATHIES FOR ISRAEL CONTINUE
TO INCREASE; MATCH ALL TIME HIGH
33
Source: Gallup Poll, February 7-10, 2014
In the Middle East situation, are you sympathies more with the Israelis or more with the
Palestinians?
35. A MAJORITY OF AMERICANS BELIEVE THAT
RELATIONS WITH ISRAEL ARE IMPORTANT
34
How important are relations with – Israel– to the United States’ national interest –
extremely important, fairly important, just somewhat important, or not important at all?
Extremely , 37% Fairly, 27%
Just Somewhat,
27%
Not At
All, 7%
Not Sure, 2%
64% of Americans believe that having relations with
Israel is important to the U.S.’ national interest
Source: NBC News/ Wallstreet Journal Poll, March 5-9, 2014
36. A PLURALITY OF AMERICANS CONTINUE TO
FAVOR AN INDEPENDENT PALESTINIAN STATE
35
Source: Gallup Poll, February 7-10, 2014
Do you favor or oppose the establishment of an independent Palestinian state on the
West Bank and the Gaza strip?
37. AMERICANS ARE POSITIVE ABOUT A PEACEFUL
SOLUTION BETWEEN ISRAEL AND PALESTINE
36
Yes
77%
No
21%
No answer
2%
Do you think a way can be found for Israel and an independent Palestine state to exist
peacefully with each other, or not?
Source: Pew Research Center Poll, October 30 – November 6, 2013
38. HOWEVER – AMERICANS ARE PESSIMISTIC
ABOUT ARAB-ISRAELI PEACE
37
Source: Gallup Poll, February 7-10, 2014
Do you think there will or will not come a time when Israel and the Arab nations will be
able to settle their differences and live in peace?
39. AND THEY DO NOT BELIEVE THAT THE U.S.
SHOULD BE MORE INVOLVED
38
A plurality (39%) of
Americans believe
that the U.S. should
be less involved
In terms of resolving the dispute between Israel and the Palestinians, do you think the
United States should be [RANDOMIZE: more involved than it is now, less involved than it
is now], or as involved as it currently is?
As involved as it
currently is
Less involved
More involved
36%
39%
21%
* No answer results not shown
Source: Pew Research Center Poll, October 30 – November 6, 2013
41. 14%
10% 10% 11%
14% 16%
23%
20%
2%
22%
15% 18%
9%
10%
16%
8%
14%
31%
26% 25% 25%
32%
38%
22% 21%
22%
7%
5%
7%
2001 2005 2006 2007 2008 2011 2012 2014
China North Korea Iran Iraq
CHINA CONSIDERED THE UNITED STATES’
GREATEST ENEMY
40
What one country anywhere in the world do you consider to be
the United States’ greatest enemy today? [OPEN-ENDED]
Source: Gallup Poll, February 6-9, 2014
42. HOWEVER – WHEN GIVEN THE OPTION, A
PLURALITY OF AMERICANS LABEL CHINA AS A
SERIOUS PROBLEM RATHER THAN AN ADVERSARY
41
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%
No answer
Not much of a problem
A serious problem, but not an adversary
An adversary
6%
28%
43%
23%
All things considered, which of these descriptions comes closest to your view of
China today? Do you think China is…
Source: Pew Research Center Poll, October 30 – November 6, 2013
43. AMERICANS BELIEVE THAT RELATIONS WITH
CHINA ARE IMPORTANT TO THE UNITED
STATES’ NATIONAL INTEREST
42
Extremely, 47% Fairly, 29%
Just Somewhat,
19%
Not At All, 4%
Not Sure, 1%
How important are relations with - China - to the United States’ national interest –
extremely important, fairly important, just somewhat important, or not important at all?
76% of Americans believe that having relations with
China is important to the U.S.’ national interest
Source: NBC News/ Wallstreet Journal Poll, March 5-9 2014
44. 43
Which one of the following do you think is the leading economic power in the world
today{ROTATED: the United States, the European Union, Russia, China, Japan, India?
A MAJORITY OF AMERICANS VIEW CHINA AS
WORLD’S LEADING ECONOMIC POWER
“Other,” “None,” and “Don’t
Know/Refused” results not shown
Source: Gallup Poll, February 6-9, 2014
China United States European Union
2014 52% 31% 7%
2013 53% 32% 8%
2012 53% 33% 7%
2011 52% 32% 7%
45. AMERICANS BELIEVETHAT CHINAWILL BECOME
MORE DEMOCRATIC INTHE NEXT 10YEARS
44
More
democratic
52%
About the
same as it
is now
40%
Less
democratic
6%
No answer
2%
Over the next ten years, do you think each of the following will become more
democratic, less democratic, or will it be about the same – China?
Source: Pew Research Center Poll, October 30 – November 6, 2013
46. 45
GPG Research
GPG has a full-scale internal research team offering the full complement of qualitative and
quantitative public opinion research services. We use research to inform message
development and communication strategy, as well as to help clients assess and monitor
critical issues and track the effectiveness of strategic communication campaigns.
GPG has a deep experience conducting research about complex international affairs topics
with diverse audiences. We go beyond the standard Q&A, using innovative, projective
techniques to uncover key insights. The result is actionable research that helps shape our
clients’ messaging and strategy.
For more information about this presentation or to find out more
about GPG’s research capabilities contact:
Jason Boxt (Jboxt@gpgdc.com)