Why breeding rust resistant varieties is not sufficient to control Yellow Rust

ICARDA
ICARDACommunications & Social Media Administrator; Publications, Production & Workflow Coordinator en ICARDA
Why breeding rust resistant varieties is ,[object Object],not sufficient to control Yellow Rust,[object Object],Hans-Joachim Braun,[object Object],CIMMYT,[object Object],International Wheat Stripe Rust Symposium Aleppo, Syria ,[object Object],April 18 – 20, 2011,[object Object]
Importance of wheat,[object Object],[object Object]
Second most important food crop in the developing world after rice
Food to 2.5 billion poor people (< 2 USD) in 89 countries
Provides calories (20%) and protein (20%) in LDC
Most traded food crop,[object Object]
Percentage of daily calories from Wheat,[object Object],> 40%     ,[object Object],> 30-39%,[object Object],> 20-29%,[object Object],> 10-19%,[object Object],< 10%     ,[object Object],Source: FAO 2009,[object Object]
Consumer price index basket weights (2009 or latest available),[object Object],PM JawaharLal Nehru famously said in the early 1960s:“Everything else can wait but not agriculture”,[object Object],Source: Economist, Jan 22, 2011: OECD; IMF; Chinese Nat Bureau of Statistics; Indian Labour Bureau,[object Object]
Red alert zone for global food security,[object Object],Real wheat prices (USD) 1960 - 2011,[object Object],[object Object]
Production lags behind demand
Further decreasing global stocks
International markets fail the poor
Financial realities in first world “bread baskets” and on global financial markets do no longer tally with what the poor in developing countries can pay for food
Urgent demand to increase and protect local production in low and middle income countries
Genetics + Agronomy + Markets + Risk management + Policies + Infrastructure,[object Object]
[object Object]
Basis for Yr resistance / suscepetibility was known
5 – 10 years gap from Yr9 virulence occurrence in Kenya until it reached Asia
No (?) country has removed 1B.1R varieties from seed production before an epidemic occurred  – but then fast reaction e.g. Iran, established first class YR facilities, Pakistan,[object Object]
Iran: 15 % loss in 1993, 1995.
Pakistan very significant loss in consecutive years 1990, 1991, 1992.
Syria and Lebanon: 30% loss in 1988 and 1994 respectively.
Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan: severe epidemics in 1998.
Azerbaijan: nearly every year.
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Why breeding rust resistant varieties is not sufficient to control Yellow Rust