Data is at the core of the emerging digital economy. The next wave of innovation driven by artificial intelligence and cognitive computing will boost the ability of companies to capture the value of data and through digital transformation accelerate economic growth. IDC’s forecast models developed on behalf of the European Commission expect the European data market to more than double in value by 2025 reaching up to 147 B€ - and this will happen in Hungary too. Each euro invested in the data market generates between 5 to 7 euros of induced and indirect positive impacts in the economy as well as new jobs. But these potential rewards of a data-centric innovation process are counterbalanced by equally formidable transformation challenges for organizations as well as individuals. We’ll explore the potential development paths of the European data economy to 2025 through alternative scenarios.
2. Digital Disruption Ahead
Worldwide IT spending - overall 2016-2021 CAGR 6.4%
2016 2021
Trillion$
Traditional IT
Big Data, Cloud, Mobile,
Social
IoT, Cognitive Systems,
Robotics
10. 50%
By 2020, 50% of
Large Enterprises
Will Be Generating
Data-as-a-Service
Revenue from the
Sale of Data
11. By 2020, 75% of
enterprise and ISV
development will
include cognitive/AI
or machine learning
functionality
including all business
analytics tools
40%
By 2020, 40% of All
Digital Transformation
Initiatives, and 100% of
All Effective IoT Efforts,
Will Be Supported by
Cognitive/AI
Capabilities
17. The Data Market value will double from 2017 to 2025
Source: IDC, EDM Monitoring Tool, 2018 - DRAFT
HIGH GROWTH SCENARIO
EXPLOITING INNOVATION
– BASELINE SCENARIO
CHALLENGE SCENARIO
110
€Bn
85
€Bn
74
€Bn
46
50
60
2016 2017 2020
EU 27 Value 2017-2020
€Bn
EU 27 Value
2025 Forecast Scenarios
18. Hungary: a small but lively Data Market
Source: IDC, EDM Monitoring Tool, 2018 - DRAFT
HIGH GROWTH SCENARIO
EXPLOITING INNOVATION
– BASELINE SCENARIO
CHALLENGE SCENARIO
976
€M
822
€M
716
€M
Hungary DM Value
2025 Forecast Scenarios
395
435
532
2016 2017 2020
Hungary DM Value
2017-2020
20. Data users are enterprises who focus strategically on
extracting value from data for their business.
Financial
Services
Conduct risk
analysis &
understand
exposure
Fraud
protection &
detection
Customer
analysis
Manufacturing
Improve
production
processes &
operations
Support service &
product
innovation
Analysis of
machine or device
data
Public
Sector
Improve tax
collection
Fight welfare
fraud
Enhance
threat &
cyber-threat
intelligence
5.8%
2017
% of Data
Users on tot
EU 27
companies
Data users are the most advanced and innovative enterprises
in every sector, pursuing new business models
Most frequent Use Cases
Data Users are data-driven companies
Source: IDC, EDM Monitoring Tool, 2018 DRAFT
21. Data users are the most advanced and innovative enterprises
in every sector
Data Market Value by
industry, €B
Data workers, % on
employment by industry
Data Users, % on
companies by industry2017
Source: IDC, EDM Monitoring Tool, 2018, draft
0,3
1,7
2,0
2,7
2,9
3,6
6,5
7,0
9,1
13,0
14
Construction
Education
Healthcare
Utilities
Transport
Public Administration
ICT
Retail, Wholesale
Professional services
Financial Services
Manufacturing
3%
8%
5%
18%
13%
15%
3%
9%
19%
9%
0.9%
2.9%
2.1%
3.0%
1.7%
2.7%
10.8%
2.8%
5.7%
9.9%
2.2%
23. Alternative Paths for the European Data Economy by 2025
HIGH GROWTH
SCENARIO
769 €B
5.4%
EU GDP
544
€B
4.0%
EU GDP
CHALLENGE
SCENARIO
376
€B
2.9%
EU GDP
Source: IDC, EDM Monitoring Tool, 2018 DRAFT
Exploiting Innovation
Continuing on the positive growth path
Strong supply-push by the data industry
Maximising data users
benefits
Hyperconnected society
High data sharing
Fragmented Market
Weak Demand
Low data sharing
24. The Data Market multipliers show the Power of Data
1 Euro
spent in the Data
Market
generates between
4 to 6 Euros
in the Data
Economy
Source: IDC, EDM Monitoring Tool, 2018 DRAFT