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Roberto Saracco Technology Evolution: Impact on the Telecommunications World Montevideo October 11th, 2007

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Ambient Evolution Infrastructure driven Terminal, User driven Organized /Structured Creative/Innovative Health Care Automotive Home Gaming Transport Media Tourism Learning Trading Shops

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Storage Roadmap All rights reserved 2010 2020 SSD 1 TB 5-30 TB 10s TB 10s TB ? 50 ns

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Processing Roadmap 2010 2020 1c GFlop 100 TFlop 100s PFlop 0.2% 0.001% TFLOPS< 100$ 2Tbps Interc. fabric Gbps Interc. F. 100s’Gbps Interc. F. WperGflop ? Com

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Display Roadmap Sw Dvc <ul><li>Visualization </li></ul>2010 2020 32 Mpixel Size Resol Radio Semantics 2010 Contextual Content? ? Contx

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New Drivers for Ultra Broad Band 2020 2010 2015 Mega… 2 Mpx 15 Mbps TV –HDTV - TrueLifeTV Digital Camera Display 16 Mpx 120 Mbps WQXGA NED Av. Bandwidth per home Home Bandwidth Giga… VDSL-3 HD channel Upload HR Data Detection HD Terminals Niche enterprises take the upper hand 32 Mpx 240 Mbps SED Immersive video 8 Mpx 60 Mbps

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Infrastructures Roadmap 2010 2020 ? Transparency Alternatives Multiple Players ? Dens

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Infrastructures - Wireless

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Italian NGN

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Telecoms & Energy: where are we going ? <ul><li>During the last years TLC have deeply changed….. </li></ul><ul><li>…… and even more will change in the near future </li></ul>E TOT E TLC E TOT: total energy consumption from mains (TLC equipment, cooling, ausiliary systems) E TLC: energy consumption of TLC equipment Wireline network domain ‘ 84 ‘ 88 ‘ 92 ‘ 96 GWh Years ‘ 98 ‘ 06 ‘ 08 Start of network digitalization End of network digitalization Energy consumption became a Key Issue Start ADSL deployment Actions on cooling and energy systems Start NGN2 deployment New challenge on energy saving Need of further actions on TLC equipments Appliances Power Consumpt.

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The growth of the content ecosystem EB 2003 2006 2010 5 41 17 161 988 196 670 Created 700 Storage Transmitted

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Content vs Biz 2001 – 120 Bl minutes (wireline Italy) 2006 – 600 Bl minutes (wireline Italy) 80,000 minutes each of Television 12,000 minutes each (33 minutes a day)

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Content vs Biz EB $

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Content vs Biz

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The Semantic Information Statistics analyses to retrieve meanings

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Paradigms Load Sharing Data Sharing Broadcasting Peer to Peer Cluster to Cluster

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Load Sharing Data Sharing Paradigms Broadcasting Peer to Peer Cluster to Cluster Sticker

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Load Sharing Data Sharing Paradigms Broadcasting Peer to Peer Cluster to Cluster Sticker Bit/Vid Torrent

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Load Sharing Data Sharing Paradigms Broadcasting Peer to Peer Cluster to Cluster Sticker Layered/Mashed Bit/Vid Torrent

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Load Sharing Data Sharing Paradigms Web 2.0 Broadcasting Peer to Peer Cluster to Cluster Sticker Layered/Mashed Bit/Vid Torrent

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Scenario – Liquid communications

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Scenario – Mesh communications

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Scenario – Information wrapping

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Technology Evolution: Impact on the Telecommunications World Roberto Saracco [email_address] Thanks Montevideo October 11th, 2007