Reflections on a National Agricultural Policy for Malawi in the context of FISP, by Todd Benson
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Reflections on a National
Agricultural Policy for Malawi
In the context of an evolving Farm Input
Subsidy Programme
Farm Input Subsidy Program (FISP)
National Symposium
14-15 July 2014
Lilongwe, Malawi
Todd Benson
IFPRI
2. Overview
Context
Ministry of Agriculture, Irrigation and Water Development
now developing a draft National Agriculture Policy (NAP)
In coming months, content of policy will be subjected to broad
consultations for review and comment
Provides an opportunity to consider more closely:
Vision of development for Malawi – both agricultural and
broader human and economic development
In particular, the place of smallholder farming in that vision
Scope of duties of the Ministry
A more narrowly defined set of duties potentially allows for more
strategic and transformational public sector action for agricultural
development
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3. I. Vision for Malawi’s development
Dr. Dorward uses a framework for conceptualizing
development and our aspirations
We all want for ourselves, for our children, and for the
nation two things. These are to:
Maintain and protect our current wealth and welfare, and
Advance our wealth and welfare
Three strategies to accomplish these aims:
1. Hanging-in – maintain and protect current welfare
2. Stepping-up – expand scale and productivity of current
livelihood strategies
– agricultural growth and, ideally, transformation
3. Stepping-out – engage in new livelihood strategies
– structural transformation of the economy
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4. Vision for Malawi’s development (cont.)
How do we characterize in these terms the broad
development ambitions of Malawian?
What about smallholder farming in those ambitions?
Is it desired that smallholder farming continue to employ a
majority of Malawian workers in 2050?
FISP has been a Hanging-in strategy
But, will it leave the next generation of Malawians with the basis
for enjoying long, healthy, productive, and creative lives?
If not, Ministry must act strategically to enable Malawian
smallholders to Step-up and transform agriculture
And, coordinating with other Ministries, make public
investments to enable many Malawians to Step-out into
livelihoods in other economic sectors
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5. Vision for Malawi’s development (cont.)
For Stepping-up and agricultural transformation:
NAP should provide guidance for action to increase:
agricultural specialization at the farm household level,
agricultural diversification at the sectoral level, and
improved domestic output market functions to increasingly allow
Malawian households to rely more on markets for the
consumption of a broader diversity of foods
For Stepping-out and economic structural change:
Coordinate NAP and its implementation explicitly with:
broader human & economic development visions for Malawi, and
actions and investments being made in other sectors for which
developments in the agricultural sector are critical to success
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6. II. What are the Ministry’s duties to the
citizens of Malawi?
Decisions must be made on what aspects of agricultural
livelihoods need prioritization in the NAP
This involves considerations of the duties to the citizens of
Malawi that the Ministry bears
Is it responsible for safeguarding welfare of farming
households?
And the food security of all Malawian households
Or are its responsibilities more limited?
Focused on ensuring farming households are as productive as
possible in pursuing their agricultural livelihoods
If more limited, this has ramification for strategic priorities in
agriculture that should feature in the NAP and for design of FISP
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7. Implications of more limited duties
If rural household welfare is not principal concern and duty
of Ministry of Agriculture, several implications:
Stronger commitment to public investments for agricultural
transformation and structural change in the economy
Engage farmers in more specialized, market-driven production, but within
context of more diverse farming systems overall
Strengthened markets a necessary corollary
Direct poverty reduction no longer as salient a goal for Ministry in its
operations in the longer term
Strategies to achieve food security would necessarily be broadened
Particularly through an increased reliance by households on income,
rather than subsistence production, to obtain the food they require
Income from commercial agriculture and, increasingly, non-farm sources
With social protection programs to assure access to food for the most
vulnerable
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8. Implications for design of FISP
Focus on farmers best positioned to make use of fertilizer
effectively
Those with labor, assets, and management skills to attain higher
nitrogen use efficiencies, but who remain constrained in their access
to fertilizer
Such farmers likely will require lower subsidy benefit
Increased private-sector role in FISP input supply
If beneficiaries are commercially oriented & creditworthy
Aim would be for input subsidy to contribute to agricultural
and economic transformation
Food security would be a secondary objective of FISP
Expand rural social protection programmes
As FISP increasingly is directed away from the most vulnerable
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9. Summary
Here proposed several strategic, but difficult, choices for
consideration in developing the National Agricultural Policy
Motivated by a concern that pursuing Hanging-in
agricultural development strategies will prove insufficient
Development aspirations of Malawians will require that the
government support them to both Step-up and Step-out
Allocating most public resources in agriculture to FISP
alone has important opportunity costs
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Editor's Notes
Seeding discussion on some challenging issues.
The Ministry of Agriculture is now engaged in drafting a strategic National Agricultural Policy to provide policy coherence and identify strategic development priorities within the agriculture sector and to delineate stronger and clearer linkages with other sectors of government to foster stronger and sustained national economic growth over the longer term.
IFPRI has been supporting the Ministry in this effort. In light of my engagement in the development of the National Agricultural Policy, or NAP with the Ministry, I was asked to provide some reflections on a couple of broad and difficult issues that are foundational to the content of the policy and will certainly have a bearing on the future design of the Farm Input Subsidy Programme.
I need to make it clear that my presentation here is my own personal reflection on the challenges facing Malawi in achieving its development aspiration and the pathways the country might follow to do so. The points I raise here have not been discussed by senior management at the Ministry, much less subjected to any broad consultative review among stakeholders. A draft NAP will be forthcoming from the Ministry in the coming month or two for a structured set of reviews by stakeholders to determine its final structure and content.
With that disclaimer, in this presentation let me make a few comments on two issues:
First the vision of development for Malawi, both for agriculture, but also more broadly; and
Secondly, what are the responsibilities or duties of the Ministry of Agriculture in this regard.
The NAP is to be a strategic document that will provide a roadmap for agricultural development and how the public agricultural sector can allocate it limited resources to best achieve a set of longer-term development objectives for the sector and the country as a whole. As such, its content needs to reflect more than simply short-term objectives. Rather, the NAP needs to reflect to an important degree how the agriculture sector might develop to better meet the needs of Malawians today and, perhaps more importantly, the needs of your children and their children. It needs to be aspirational.
Dr. Dorward about five years ago described a useful framework for discussing our aspirations for broad human development that also has clear application to considering economic and agricultural development. This framework is quite useful because it can be applied at multiple scales – individual, household, community, country – and over a range of development themes and sectors, including agricultural development.
I want to use here two components of his framework to seed some discussion on what are the aspirations on which Malawians can agree.
First, Andrew notes that we generally have two sorts of development aspirations:
The first is to maintain and protect our current wealth and well-being by managing risks to it; and
Secondly, we often desire to advance our wealth and well-being by growing our wealth.
There then follows three types of strategies we might use to accomplish these aims:
The Hanging-in strategy is used to maintain and protect current welfare and manage negative shocks or threats to current livelihoods and productive resources;
The Stepping-up strategy seeks to expand the productivity of current activities and assets. In the context of agricultural development, stepping-up is about agricultural transformation – increasing land and labor productivity within agriculture so greater economic returns are obtained and improved welfare is achieved from how existing agricultural resources are applied, whether at household or national level;
Finally, the Stepping-out strategy seeks to expand the range of activities and assets used to build wealth and improve welfare. In the context of economic development, this is about structural transformation of the economy, pursuing remunerative economic activities outside of agriculture in the manufacturing and service sectors. This involves expanding beyond agriculture he range of livelihood strategies that a household would pursue.
So, how do we characterize in these terms the broad development ambitions of Malawians?
And what about smallholder farming?
Most of the evidence discussed over the past two days indicates that the FISP has been relatively effective as a Hanging-in strategy of development, safeguarding the food security of the country and of many vulnerable households.
However, is maintaining the current structure of agricultural production in Malawi what would be wished for the next and following generations?
If not, the NAP should provide guidance and chart a course to enable farmers in Malawi to Step-up in the medium-term and, in the long-term, Step-out and pursue economic activities, whether in agriculture or elsewhere, in which they can derive the greatest return from their labor and creativity.
Stepping-up will involve the Ministry taking action to transform the sector from being dominated by primarily subsistence-oriented farm households to farm households with a much stronger orientation towards commercial production. For this approach to succeed, it will be necessary for the agricultural output markets of Malawi to become more efficient and integrated, better able to supply a broader diversity of food at low cost to specialized farm households and city dwellers.
Stepping-out, will require close engagement by the Ministry of Agriculture with other Ministries to take joint action and to make joint public investments to more closely link agriculture to other sectors and expand the employment opportunities and incomes that can be found in other economic sectors than agriculture.
These are necessarily long-term ambitions. But if choices are not made today in how the government of Malawi will allocate its resources to build a foundation for stepping-up or stepping-out, a strategy of hanging-in may prove insufficient in the longer term to deal with growing stresses and shocks on the limited agricultural resources of the country, particularly from the growing population. More productive agriculture is required even as we increasingly seek to enable more and more Malawians to find their livelihoods in other sectors than in agriculture.
For the second part of this presentation, I want to raise for discussion what responsibilities does the Ministry of Agriculture have towards the citizens of Malawi. In the context of limited financial resources, insufficient staff, and often weak institutions and agencies, priorities should be set and decisions made on how the Ministry can most effectively meet the most important needs of Malawians for which it may be held responsible. For the National Agricultural Policy to be truly a strategic document, it needs explicitly to make choices among the broad set of obligations and objectives with which the Ministry and its programs, including the FISP, have been saddled. To guide agricultural development, the NAP cannot be a comprehensive list of possible functions that the Ministry could carry out. Choices must be made.
One of the first questions to ask in this regard is whether the Ministry of Agriculture can be expected to take principal responsibility for the well-being of farming households across the country and the food security of all Malawian households.
If its principal duties to Malawians are more limited and more focused on productivity and the economic performance of the sector, than this has important implications for the content of the National Agricultural Policy, as well as for the design of the FISP.
If the welfare of rural households is no longer a principal concern of the Ministry, this will free up public resources to promote agricultural transformation through investment in market systems, rural transport infrastructure, agricultural research, agricultural extension services, and the like. Farmers will increasingly specialize in production of those crops for which they have a comparative advantage, including non-staples, using income to acquire staples and other food.
In the longer term, we would seek structural transformation of the economy of Malawi to offer all Malawians a broader range of livelihood choices beyond agriculture to enable them to meet their food needs and to maximize the returns from their labor.
There will be Malawian households that will see a reduction in their welfare with the implementation of a more targeted, agricultural growth and transformation strategy. Their needs must be addressed.
Here I would argue that the Ministry of Agriculture is not best placed to provide them with the social protection they should expect. Rather the government as a whole, including the Ministry of Agriculture, but not the Ministry exclusively, would work in a coordinated manner to assure the food and other needs of those whose welfare is adversely affected by a reorientation of public investments by the Ministry of Agriculture away from directly supporting rural household welfare to one more oriented towards agricultural transformation.
If the NAP has a Stepping-up orientation, in particular, and the Ministry seeks the FISP to be consistent in its design with that orientation, then several elements of FISP would change. There would be increasing focus on farmers best positioned to use fertilizer effectively, but who are still unable to access the fertilizer they require due to cost. This generally will mean that the FISP will be targeted at some of the better endowed farmers in a community.
For these farmers, lower subsidy benefits than are provided at present under the FISP may be sufficient to enable them to acquire the fertilizer they require.
Moreover, as such farmers likely are more commercially oriented, there would be increased scope for private sector based fertilizer distribution mechanisms under such a FISP.
Such a design would primarily rely on indirect effects to improve the food security of Malawi.
However, a necessary parallel set of public investments in social protection programs would be needed to assure the household food security of those households that would lose out with a reformulation of how the farm input subsidy program is implemented and targeted. The burden of direct support to rural household welfare would rest primarily on effective social welfare programs, however
Here I proposed for consideration several strategic, but difficult, choices in developing the National Agricultural Policy. They are necessarily politically contentious to design and adopt; require a long-term commitment; and will require strong leadership and vision across all of government.
The proposals are motivated by a concern that pursuing Hanging-in agricultural development strategies will prove insufficient in meeting the development aspirations of the country. Malawi needs agricultural transformation – it needs to Step-up, even as we increasingly seek to enable more and more Malawians to find their livelihoods in other sectors than in agriculture, by Stepping-out.
Finally, allocating most of the public resources allocated to agriculture to the FISP alone has important opportunity costs. There are clearly immediate benefits and clear beneficiaries to FISP. But, many more Malawians will benefit in the long-run from a strategic transformational approach to agricultural development and the structural transformation of the economy than will benefit in the short-term from FISP in its current design.