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RTAs: enlarging the
coverage of trade-
related issues
Dale Andrew
OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate
Workshop on RTAs and Environment
Tokyo, 19-20 June 2007
RTAs: numbers and coverage
• Number and % of trade covered has been
steadily increasing since 1995
• As of December 2006, 367 RTAs notified
to WTO; of which 214 were in force
– NB: Inflated numbers since e.g. goods and
services RTAs must be notified separately,
although same chapters of same agreement
• Guestimate: 40-50% of world goods trade
now covered
RTAs in the Asia-Pacific Region
• Asia-Pacific Intra-Regional
• Asia-Pacific Cross-Regional
RTAs: 4 key trends
1) RTAs have taken front & centre stage in
trade policy
– shift of resources away from the
multilateral trade system
2) Innovative in content
– services;
--and Environment
-- and not geographically bound, e.g. cross-
regional and into new areas
RTAs: 4 trends
3) North-South RTAs replacing former
preferential arrangements in favour of
secure reciprocal arrangements
4) Consolidation of intra-regional RTAs into
continent-wide regional trading blocks
Are RTAs effective?
Spaghetti bowl ?
Are RTAs effective?
Building blocks ?
• Increasing sophistication and inclusion of
new topics strengthens capacity of
government negotiators
Are RTAs effective?
Stumbling blocks ?
Indisputable consequence: a growing gap
between preferential and MFN treatment
– Can foster trade lib & economic development
(in principle new and deeper cuts eg in agric.)
– But increases discrimination and the risks of
leaving out the poorer and those already
marginalised in international trade
Are RTAs effective?
• Holmes (2005): Out of 122 agreements
tested, less than half are « effective » (i.e.
have genuinely increased trade flows
between members)
– Agreements are not always effectively
implemented
– The coverage and real preferences might be
low
– Recent agreements are more likely to be
effective.
Agriculture in selected RTAs
• Some include tariff lines for further
liberalisation (= WTO + )
• but also some exclude tariff lines from any
liberalisation commitments
• 8 (of 18) include provisions to eliminate
export subsidies on trade within the RTA
i.e. little to be generalised: tailored to
interests of parties
Investment provisions in RTAs
The inclusion of investment provisions in trade
agreements is a recent phenomenon. At the
origin:
– NAFTA (entered into force in 1994)
– GATS (1995)
• All “second generation” RTAs signed since the
mid-1990s have incorporated investment
provisions
– Since 1994, some 180 RTAs combining
investment and trade in services rules have
come into existence
Investment provisions in RTAs
Investment provisions in trade agreements are
about investment liberalisation in addition to
investment protection and promotion
… and interact with trade in services provisions
(Mode 3, commercial presence).
OECD research highlights that RTAs with
substantive investment provisions are positively
associated with trade and, to an even greater
extent, investment flows.
– RTA with substantive investment provisions is
associated with 21% increase in exports and
57% increase in FDI.
Competition provisions in RTAs
also commonly found in RTAs.
Over 100 agreements with competition-related
provisions. OECD has analysed 86 of them:
– Trade is the overriding principle: main
motivation is to protect the gains from trade
liberalisation
– RTAs take different approaches as to substantive
competition rules and setting up of mechanisms
on competition-related matters.
Competition provisions in RTAs
• Competition provisions in RTAs related to
co-operation and consultation are not
viewed as very useful by competition
authorities
– they prefer to resort to co-operation on informal
basis
• But the private sector might be of a different
opinion: Anderson and Evenett show that
some of these provisions have an impact on
cross-border mergers and acquisitions.
References
• Houde, Kolse-Patil and Miroudot (2007), “The
Interaction between Investment and Services Chapters in
Selected RTAs” OECD Trade Policy Working Paper No.
55 COM/DAF/INV/TD(2006)40/FINAL.
• Lesher and Miroudot (2006), “Analysis of the Economic
Impact of Investment Provisions in RTAs”, OECD Trade
Policy Working Paper No. 36,
TD/TC/WP(2005)40/FINAL.
• Solano and Sennekamp (2006), “Competition Provisions
in RTAs”, OECD Trade Policy Working Paper No. 31,
COM/DAF/TD(2005)3/FINAL.
OECD contacts & web pages
More information on OECD work on trade:
http://www.oecd.org/trade
Contact: sebastien.miroudot@oecd.org
On environment and trade :
http://www.oecd.org/trade
click on Environment and trade
Contacts: joy.kim@oecd.org or
cristina.tebar-less@oecd.org

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38894563.ppt

  • 1. RTAs: enlarging the coverage of trade- related issues Dale Andrew OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate Workshop on RTAs and Environment Tokyo, 19-20 June 2007
  • 2. RTAs: numbers and coverage • Number and % of trade covered has been steadily increasing since 1995 • As of December 2006, 367 RTAs notified to WTO; of which 214 were in force – NB: Inflated numbers since e.g. goods and services RTAs must be notified separately, although same chapters of same agreement • Guestimate: 40-50% of world goods trade now covered
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. RTAs in the Asia-Pacific Region • Asia-Pacific Intra-Regional • Asia-Pacific Cross-Regional
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8. RTAs: 4 key trends 1) RTAs have taken front & centre stage in trade policy – shift of resources away from the multilateral trade system 2) Innovative in content – services; --and Environment -- and not geographically bound, e.g. cross- regional and into new areas
  • 9. RTAs: 4 trends 3) North-South RTAs replacing former preferential arrangements in favour of secure reciprocal arrangements 4) Consolidation of intra-regional RTAs into continent-wide regional trading blocks
  • 11.
  • 12. Are RTAs effective? Building blocks ? • Increasing sophistication and inclusion of new topics strengthens capacity of government negotiators
  • 13. Are RTAs effective? Stumbling blocks ? Indisputable consequence: a growing gap between preferential and MFN treatment – Can foster trade lib & economic development (in principle new and deeper cuts eg in agric.) – But increases discrimination and the risks of leaving out the poorer and those already marginalised in international trade
  • 14. Are RTAs effective? • Holmes (2005): Out of 122 agreements tested, less than half are « effective » (i.e. have genuinely increased trade flows between members) – Agreements are not always effectively implemented – The coverage and real preferences might be low – Recent agreements are more likely to be effective.
  • 15. Agriculture in selected RTAs • Some include tariff lines for further liberalisation (= WTO + ) • but also some exclude tariff lines from any liberalisation commitments • 8 (of 18) include provisions to eliminate export subsidies on trade within the RTA i.e. little to be generalised: tailored to interests of parties
  • 16. Investment provisions in RTAs The inclusion of investment provisions in trade agreements is a recent phenomenon. At the origin: – NAFTA (entered into force in 1994) – GATS (1995) • All “second generation” RTAs signed since the mid-1990s have incorporated investment provisions – Since 1994, some 180 RTAs combining investment and trade in services rules have come into existence
  • 17. Investment provisions in RTAs Investment provisions in trade agreements are about investment liberalisation in addition to investment protection and promotion … and interact with trade in services provisions (Mode 3, commercial presence). OECD research highlights that RTAs with substantive investment provisions are positively associated with trade and, to an even greater extent, investment flows. – RTA with substantive investment provisions is associated with 21% increase in exports and 57% increase in FDI.
  • 18. Competition provisions in RTAs also commonly found in RTAs. Over 100 agreements with competition-related provisions. OECD has analysed 86 of them: – Trade is the overriding principle: main motivation is to protect the gains from trade liberalisation – RTAs take different approaches as to substantive competition rules and setting up of mechanisms on competition-related matters.
  • 19. Competition provisions in RTAs • Competition provisions in RTAs related to co-operation and consultation are not viewed as very useful by competition authorities – they prefer to resort to co-operation on informal basis • But the private sector might be of a different opinion: Anderson and Evenett show that some of these provisions have an impact on cross-border mergers and acquisitions.
  • 20. References • Houde, Kolse-Patil and Miroudot (2007), “The Interaction between Investment and Services Chapters in Selected RTAs” OECD Trade Policy Working Paper No. 55 COM/DAF/INV/TD(2006)40/FINAL. • Lesher and Miroudot (2006), “Analysis of the Economic Impact of Investment Provisions in RTAs”, OECD Trade Policy Working Paper No. 36, TD/TC/WP(2005)40/FINAL. • Solano and Sennekamp (2006), “Competition Provisions in RTAs”, OECD Trade Policy Working Paper No. 31, COM/DAF/TD(2005)3/FINAL.
  • 21. OECD contacts & web pages More information on OECD work on trade: http://www.oecd.org/trade Contact: sebastien.miroudot@oecd.org On environment and trade : http://www.oecd.org/trade click on Environment and trade Contacts: joy.kim@oecd.org or cristina.tebar-less@oecd.org