Emerson's Tim Olsen presents to Argentinean refiners on the changes in automation technologies and how they are being applied to improve efficiency and reduce costs.
5. Computer Advances Cray 2 Supercomputer 1 Gigaflop 1985 - $23 million Ref Wired , February 22, 2008 , by Rob Beschizza Cray CX1: 4 Terraflops $25,000 Available on Amazon.com Ref: Wired; September 16, 2008; by Brian Chen
6. Memory Cost 70% per year increase! Compounded for 40 years (RAM); 25 years (Disk) ! 100 gigabytes – Basic Demographic information on every human on earth!
7. IP Network Communication – Wired (Max - Bandwidth x Distance (wo amp)) Any information will be available anywhere! Bandwidth will substitute for local memory!
9. The Exception - Software Productivity Growth Only 4% per year increase from 1970 to 2000; less thereafter! Salary increases similar! No net cost reduction. Software is dominant cost in system development/ implementation! However, software has much longer life than hardware.
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11. What does this mean for the Refining Industry? The Growth of The Smart Refinery through Digital Automation
12. Older Automation Field Networks – Analog 4-20 ma 4-20 mA Only 1 value is transmitted Only one direction
14. Control Rooms have also Modernized Site Wide Control Room Coordinated Multiple Loop Digital Control Computer Screen Interface Each Unit had a separate Control Room Single Loop Analog Control Panel Board Interface Photo Ref: Emerson Process Management Photo Ref: Emerson Process Management
15. Ref: A. Chatha; “Current Business Drivers and Trends;” ARC 2009 Orlando Conference; February, 2009
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17. Predictive Diagnostics and Analytics Condition Detection BEFORE it becomes a problem in the Plant! Photo Ref: Emerson Process Management
18. Future Trends – Predictive Analytics - How do we avoid this? Photo Ref: Emerson Process Management
19. Smart cars monitor tire pressure Tire icon indicates low pressure Car advises driver of abnormal situation made possible via new technologies Photo Ref: Emerson Process Management
20. Two requirements: - Sensing technology - Presentation to user at the right time
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26. KPI Dashboard Case “ After the installation of data reconciliation software and a KPI dashboard display, the model showed an incorrect process unit lineup. A recycle line was open that should have been closed. After closing the recycle we were able to increase hydrotreater throughput by 8 percent. This resulted in an energy savings of $400,000 per year and a product profit increase of $500,000 per year, for a total benefit of $900,000 USD per year .” Planning Manager Refinery, North America Abnormal Operation does not go Undetected
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31. Multi-Site Control Center / Remote Support Control Center Engineering Center Plant 1 Plant 2 Plant 3 Photo Ref: Emerson Process Management
33. US Oil Refining Industry Employee Productivity Employee Productivity Up 300%, Even With: - Increased Complexity - More Crudes/ Product Grades - Increased Regulatory Requirements Crude Run Employment Ref: Crude Run: US DOE EIA: http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/hist/mttrius2a.htm Employment: US DOL BLS; http://www.bls.gov/oes/
Not very many 20 to 30 year old computers in the process industries Many, many 20 to 30 year old software packages running – with updates
digital infrastructures that allow process Plants to organize and manage their activities in new ways
Move from single unit control physically close to unit to central control rooms Incremental cost of new measurement connections dramatically reduced – new alarms even cheaper Incremental cost of transmitting measurements throughout the organization dramatically reduced
Smart messages by smart technologies Note messages are prioritized Signal has consistent audible alarm whereas the seatbelt does not Turn signal on trumps set belts