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                                           Mark

              COURSE
            MANAGEMENT


          Control Panel                    Thread:               SHELTER            Posted Date:           September
                                           Post:                 SHELTER                                   9, 2010
          Course Tools                                                                                     1:54 PM
                                           Author:               Jordan Wyss
          Course Links                                                              Status:                Published
                                                                                    Overall Rating:
          Users and Groups
                                           Flying Apartment Systems: The Future of Mobile
                                           Residences
          Utilities
          Help                               What is the future of air travel? Imagine being in Shanghi and then just
                                             twenty short minutes later stepping off the plane in New York. Dennus
                                             Ingemansson has visualized the future of air travel and apartment living
                                             combining the two into a hybrid floating apartment system. The exterior
                                             of the air ship has morphing capabilities that allow the ship to easily battle
                                             through the harshness of our atmosphere and allows residents to get back
                                             and forth from continent to continent in extremely short amounts of time.

                                           Forecast made in: 2009
                                           Predicted time of arrival: 2060

                                           STEEPA
                                             (T)echnological - It is going to take advanced technology to
                                             build something like this.
                                             (A)rt (& Design)- Design is key in making this work.

                                             http://www.thedesignblog.org/entry/flying-apartments-
                                             systems-the-future-of-mobile-residences/


                                                                                              Reply     Quote      Mark as
                                                                                                                   Unread
                                                                                                                         OK

                                           Thread:

1 of 3                                                                                                                    9/12/10 4:22 PM
”Riddley Walker“                                         Acceptable
                                                                                     (sustainable)
                                                      ”Ecotopia”
                                                                                        worlds




                                                                                “Star Trek”
                                                     b1
                             a1
                                                            b
                                       a2
           “Nature”
                                                                                          “Blade Runner”

           “Technology”                                   a3


           Present                     a

Figure 5, Pathways to sustainable future worlds
Path (a) is unsustainable, and may lead to ecological collapse (a1) , or it may be deflected towards
sustainability (a2) and (a3). Path (b) is sustainable, but may be fine-tuned (b1).
The
TRENDMASTER’S
          Guide
     G E T A J U M P O N W H AT
Y O U R C U S T O M E R WA N T S N E X T




   Robyn Waters
  Illustrated by Lindsay Van De Weghe




                Portfolio
A
   Is for

ANTENNAE
___LOVE                           ___KINDNESS    ___FRIENDSHIP    ___TENDERNESS        ___AFFECTION             ___


___RECOGNITION                    ___HONOR       ___COURTESY      ___ADMIRATION        ___RESPECT               ___


___ABILITY                        ___TALENT      ___INGENUITY     ___CAPABILITY        ___SKILL                 ___


___KNOWLEDGE                      ___EDUCATION   ___WISDOM        ___UNDERSTANDING     ___ENLIGHTENMENT ___


___LEADERSHIP                     ___AUTHORITY   ___INFLUENCE     ___DECISION-MAKING   ___POWER                 ___


___MONEY                          ___PROPERTY    ___INCOME        ___FOOD              ___WEALTH                ___


___HEALTH                         ___HAPPINESS   ___CONTENTMENT   ___RELAXATION        ___WELL-BEING            ___


___HONESTY                        ___JUSTICE     ___TRUST         ___FAIRPLAY          ___RECTITUDE             ___




                                                                                       Remember: please don't
Overview                                                                               rate the above list for
Here are words that hold                                                               now — wait for your
some sort of meaning to                                                                facilitator to help.
most people. As such
these words embody
something we call
values. Please ponder
them. We'd like to find
out which ones you think
are important to you.

Instructions
To do this we're asking
you to rate the
importance of values on
a scale of 1 to 8. 1 is the
most important, 8 is least
important. Assign one
rating (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or
8) for each slot that
precedes a word. Work
one list at a time, starting
with the left-most list
first. Once you're done
rating each list move on;
please avoid going back
to revise previous lists.

Please do not rate the
last list (the one boxed
in). Your facilitator will                                                             This values survey
guide you through a final                                                              courtesy Ann Blocker
phase pertaining to this
list.                                                                                  MI2002/1/07ValSurv.doc
Envision scenarios that might affect your future
Posted 8/2/2010 4:04 AM | Comment     | Recommend       2                                                                                              E-mail | S

                                                   By Andrea Kay, Gannett

                                                   I just spent three days listening to people from across the planet talk about how we might live, work
                                                   and think in 2025 and beyond.

                                                   It seems eons away, and you may be so focused on getting or keeping your job today that you don't
                                                   give the future much thought. But the choices you make now can help you discover how things could
                                                   pan out later.

                                                    Mind you, no one can predict the future with certainty. One after the other, these researchers,
inventors, professors, consultants and futurists at the World Future Conference who covered everything from the most highly valued future professions to
simulating the human brain always added this caveat: Of course, no one knows for sure.

So how do you plan for your future if you don't know what's around the corner? How do you know whether your industry will even exist by 2025?

One thing we do know is that the pace of change is accelerating because of "exponential growth of information technology," says Ray Kurzweil, one of
the speakers.

Dubbed by Inc. magazine as the "rightful heir to Thomas Edison," this inventor and author demonstrated just how fast.

"The first steps in technology — fire, stone tools, the wheel — took tens of thousands of years to take hold," he says. "Guttenberg's invention of the printing
about 400 years to reach a mass audience. The telephone reached a quarter of the U.S. population in 50 years, the cellphone did that in seven years. Soci
wikis and blogs took about three years."

So how do you decide whether to go into this or that career when things change so quickly? Research, right?

But "it's simply impossible to research away the uncertainties on which the success of a key decision will hang," Lawrence Wilkinson, co-founder of the thin
Business Network, says in Wired.

The tool of choice for making decisions in the midst of uncertainty is scenario planning. The military began using it after Word War II to imagine what enemi
to plan alternative strategies.

Shell Oil, which in the 1970s was looking for events that might affect the price of oil, has used it extensively. When the energy crisis burst upon the world in
major oil companies, only Shell was prepared emotionally for the change" and responded quickly, says Peter Schwartz, author of The Art of the Long View.

Scenario thinking is an organized way to "dream effectively about our own future," he says. It helps you present "alternative images of the future, not just ex
trends of the present" and make choices today with an understanding of how they might turn out.
Scenarios versus forecasts

     The Present       The Path    The Future

                                                FORECAST



          Current       Multiple    Alternative
         Realities       Paths     Future Images
       (mental maps)




                                                SCENARIOS




6
15
Energy Demand
     Predetermineds


                               Overall Demand


                      Coal                          % Fossil fuels in demand
                                                                               2025 range
                                                                               of possible
                                                                               outcomes
         Renewables                                       % Oil in Transport




                                                                               2005
          Power/Transport                           Diesel demand              position and
                                                                               magnitude
                             Developing countries                              of change
                              demand relative to
28                                developed
Which signposts?




32
MCAD Futures Course 2010 – summary slide show
MCAD Futures Course 2010 – summary slide show
MCAD Futures Course 2010 – summary slide show
MCAD Futures Course 2010 – summary slide show
MCAD Futures Course 2010 – summary slide show
MCAD Futures Course 2010 – summary slide show
MCAD Futures Course 2010 – summary slide show

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MCAD Futures Course 2010 – summary slide show

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  • 13. Forum: 360 SCANNING Blog--2010 http://learn.mcad.edu/webapps/discussionboard/do/message?fo... Futures For Society and Individuals (Fall 2010) Discussion Board Edit Mode: OFF Forum: 360 SCANNING Blog--2010 Collection Collection Society and Users can Collect posts into a printable, sortable format. Collections are a Individuals good way to organize posts for quick reading. A Collection must be (Fall 2010) created to tag posts. More Help Print Preview Filter Sort by Date Order ▲ Ascending Mark COURSE MANAGEMENT Control Panel Thread: SHELTER Posted Date: September Post: SHELTER 9, 2010 Course Tools 1:54 PM Author: Jordan Wyss Course Links Status: Published Overall Rating: Users and Groups Flying Apartment Systems: The Future of Mobile Residences Utilities Help What is the future of air travel? Imagine being in Shanghi and then just twenty short minutes later stepping off the plane in New York. Dennus Ingemansson has visualized the future of air travel and apartment living combining the two into a hybrid floating apartment system. The exterior of the air ship has morphing capabilities that allow the ship to easily battle through the harshness of our atmosphere and allows residents to get back and forth from continent to continent in extremely short amounts of time. Forecast made in: 2009 Predicted time of arrival: 2060 STEEPA (T)echnological - It is going to take advanced technology to build something like this. (A)rt (& Design)- Design is key in making this work. http://www.thedesignblog.org/entry/flying-apartments- systems-the-future-of-mobile-residences/ Reply Quote Mark as Unread OK Thread: 1 of 3 9/12/10 4:22 PM
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  • 20. ”Riddley Walker“ Acceptable (sustainable) ”Ecotopia” worlds “Star Trek” b1 a1 b a2 “Nature” “Blade Runner” “Technology” a3 Present a Figure 5, Pathways to sustainable future worlds Path (a) is unsustainable, and may lead to ecological collapse (a1) , or it may be deflected towards sustainability (a2) and (a3). Path (b) is sustainable, but may be fine-tuned (b1).
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  • 32. The TRENDMASTER’S Guide G E T A J U M P O N W H AT Y O U R C U S T O M E R WA N T S N E X T Robyn Waters Illustrated by Lindsay Van De Weghe Portfolio
  • 33. A Is for ANTENNAE
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  • 41. ___LOVE ___KINDNESS ___FRIENDSHIP ___TENDERNESS ___AFFECTION ___ ___RECOGNITION ___HONOR ___COURTESY ___ADMIRATION ___RESPECT ___ ___ABILITY ___TALENT ___INGENUITY ___CAPABILITY ___SKILL ___ ___KNOWLEDGE ___EDUCATION ___WISDOM ___UNDERSTANDING ___ENLIGHTENMENT ___ ___LEADERSHIP ___AUTHORITY ___INFLUENCE ___DECISION-MAKING ___POWER ___ ___MONEY ___PROPERTY ___INCOME ___FOOD ___WEALTH ___ ___HEALTH ___HAPPINESS ___CONTENTMENT ___RELAXATION ___WELL-BEING ___ ___HONESTY ___JUSTICE ___TRUST ___FAIRPLAY ___RECTITUDE ___ Remember: please don't Overview rate the above list for Here are words that hold now — wait for your some sort of meaning to facilitator to help. most people. As such these words embody something we call values. Please ponder them. We'd like to find out which ones you think are important to you. Instructions To do this we're asking you to rate the importance of values on a scale of 1 to 8. 1 is the most important, 8 is least important. Assign one rating (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8) for each slot that precedes a word. Work one list at a time, starting with the left-most list first. Once you're done rating each list move on; please avoid going back to revise previous lists. Please do not rate the last list (the one boxed in). Your facilitator will This values survey guide you through a final courtesy Ann Blocker phase pertaining to this list. MI2002/1/07ValSurv.doc
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  • 47. Envision scenarios that might affect your future Posted 8/2/2010 4:04 AM | Comment | Recommend 2 E-mail | S By Andrea Kay, Gannett I just spent three days listening to people from across the planet talk about how we might live, work and think in 2025 and beyond. It seems eons away, and you may be so focused on getting or keeping your job today that you don't give the future much thought. But the choices you make now can help you discover how things could pan out later. Mind you, no one can predict the future with certainty. One after the other, these researchers, inventors, professors, consultants and futurists at the World Future Conference who covered everything from the most highly valued future professions to simulating the human brain always added this caveat: Of course, no one knows for sure. So how do you plan for your future if you don't know what's around the corner? How do you know whether your industry will even exist by 2025? One thing we do know is that the pace of change is accelerating because of "exponential growth of information technology," says Ray Kurzweil, one of the speakers. Dubbed by Inc. magazine as the "rightful heir to Thomas Edison," this inventor and author demonstrated just how fast. "The first steps in technology — fire, stone tools, the wheel — took tens of thousands of years to take hold," he says. "Guttenberg's invention of the printing about 400 years to reach a mass audience. The telephone reached a quarter of the U.S. population in 50 years, the cellphone did that in seven years. Soci wikis and blogs took about three years." So how do you decide whether to go into this or that career when things change so quickly? Research, right? But "it's simply impossible to research away the uncertainties on which the success of a key decision will hang," Lawrence Wilkinson, co-founder of the thin Business Network, says in Wired. The tool of choice for making decisions in the midst of uncertainty is scenario planning. The military began using it after Word War II to imagine what enemi to plan alternative strategies. Shell Oil, which in the 1970s was looking for events that might affect the price of oil, has used it extensively. When the energy crisis burst upon the world in major oil companies, only Shell was prepared emotionally for the change" and responded quickly, says Peter Schwartz, author of The Art of the Long View. Scenario thinking is an organized way to "dream effectively about our own future," he says. It helps you present "alternative images of the future, not just ex trends of the present" and make choices today with an understanding of how they might turn out.
  • 48. Scenarios versus forecasts The Present The Path The Future FORECAST Current Multiple Alternative Realities Paths Future Images (mental maps) SCENARIOS 6
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  • 50. Energy Demand Predetermineds Overall Demand Coal % Fossil fuels in demand 2025 range of possible outcomes Renewables % Oil in Transport 2005 Power/Transport Diesel demand position and magnitude Developing countries of change demand relative to 28 developed