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Treasury and Research Division
NBO Egypt
Chart Book
September 2016
1
2
1. BUDGET
2. INTEREST RATE
3. POPULATION
4. GDP
5. FOREIGN TRADE
3
1. BUDGET
4
-56.1%
-58.1%
-81.2%
-79.8%
-89.8%
-90.0%
-85.0%
-80.0%
-75.0%
-70.0%
-65.0%
-60.0%
-55.0%
-50.0%
-600,000
-500,000
-400...
5
-14.8%
-17.0%
-25.0%
-53.4%
-60.0%
-50.0%
-40.0%
-30.0%
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015 2015/2016
Actua...
6
2. INTEREST RATE
7
9.25%
10.75% 10.75%
11.75%
10.25%
11.75% 11.75%
12.75%
8.50%
9.00%
9.50%
10.00%
10.50%
11.00%
11.50%
12.00%
12.50%
13.00...
8
8.80%
9.30%
9.80%
10.30%
10.80%
11.30%
11.80%
12.30%
12.80%
1/9/2015 1/10/2015 1/11/2015 1/12/2015 1/1/2016 1/2/2016 1/3...
9
3. POPULATION
10
- 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00
0-4
5-9
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70-74
75+
P...
11
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1.9 1.9 2.3
6.7 5.7 6.3 9.1 7.3 5.3...
12
4. GDP
13
Agriculture, Forests & Fishing, 13.83%
Extractions, 9.22%
Manufacturing Industries, 28.80%
Electricity, 1.41%
Water, 0....
14
48%
49%
4%
Domestic Production [Extractions]
Petroleum Gas Other Extractions
50.4%49.6%
Domestic Production [Real Estat...
15
5. Inflation Rate
16
8.38%
7.88%
9.21%
9.70%
11.10% 11.10%
10.10%
9.14% 9.03%
10.30%
12.30%
14.00%
J U L - 1 5 A U G - 1 5 S E P - 1 5 O C T...
17
Fuel, Mineral Oils & Products
34%
Raw Materials
8%
Semi-Finished Goods
9%
Finished Goods
49%
Proceeds of Exports by Deg...
18
6. Foreign Trade
19
27,103
34,139
30,695
34,159
39,060
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014 ...
20
20%
80%
2014/2015
Petroleum imports Other imports
47%
53%
2013/2014
Petroleum exports Other exports
40%
60%
2014/2015
P...
21
60%
39%
1%
Fuel, Mineral Oils &
Products
Crude Oil
Petroleum Products
Coal & Types Thereof
4%
26%
12%6%
6%
45%
1%Raw Ma...
22
Payments for Imports
Fuel, Mineral Oils & Products
17%
Raw Materials
11%
Intermediate Goods
25%
Investment Goods
20%
Co...
23
6%
16%
16%
10%
9%
23%
4%
11%
5%Intermediate Goods
Animal & Veg. Fats,
Greases & Oils
Organic & Inorganic
Chemicals
Plas...
24
Payments for Imports - Consumer Goods
27.8%
72.2%
Consumer Goods Durable Goods Non-Durable Goods
6%
28%
66%
Durable Goo...
25
Exports & Imports By Geographical Distribution
31%
7%
5%
5%
20%
21%
2%
9%
Imports by Geographical
Distribution
EU
Other...
49.9%
42.3%
46.8%
43.2%
36.3%
35.1%
31.5%
Merchandise Exports/Merchandise Imports
156.3%
136.5%
129.3%
106.1%
129.7%
118.0...
-2.6%
-3.7%
-2.2%
-0.9%
-3.6%
-1.2%
-1.4%
-4.0%
-3.5%
-3.0%
-2.5%
-2.0%
-1.5%
-1.0%
-0.5%
0.0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20...
882.2
472.6
1283.2
416.1
595.1
1259.8
92.5
820.5
512.9
845.1
602.1
204.4
150.4
58
0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400
Unit...
2053.6
2826.1
1080.6
1704.9
2715.8
1745.8
904.2
1003.8
1280.4
934.8
1213.9
1067.1
548.6
1381.2
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,5...
16%
84%
Free Zones Imports
Oil industrial imports
Non-oil commodity imports
30
Free Zones Transactions
8%
92%
Free Zones E...
31
Main Exports by Commodity
& Geographical Distribution
25%
14%
32%
18%
11%
Ready-Made Clothes
E.U.
Oth. Eur.
USA
Arab
As...
32
Main Exports by Commodity
& Geographical Distribution
50%
15%
13%
15%
5%
2%
Fertilizers
E.U.
Oth. Eur.
USA
Arab
Asia
Ot...
33
Main Exports by Commodity
& Geographical Distribution
9%
9%
77%
2%
3%
Dairy Products, Eggs
& Honey
E.U.
USA
Arab
Asia
O...
34
Main Imports by Commodity
& Geographical Distribution
16%
4%
5%
46%
28% 1%
Plastic
E.U.
Oth.
Eur.
USA
Arab
Asia
Other
3...
100%
Crude Oil
Arab
30%
1%
2%
30%
36%
1%
Cars
E.U.
Oth.
Eur.
USA
Arab
Asia
Other
17%
1%
1% 6%
0.57%
75%
Wheat
E.U.
Oth. Eu...
16%
5%
14%
25%
1%
39%
Maize
E.U.
Oth. Eur.
USA
Arab
Asia
Other
12%
1%
1%
36%
49%
1%
Electric Appliances for Tel.
& Telegra...
37
TREASURY AND RESEARCH
Khaled Ahmed Eid (+202) 2290 9301 KhaledEid@nbo.co.om
38
National Bank of Oman, Treasury and Research Division, 133/135 Abdel Aziz Fahmy Street, Egypt
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  1. 1. Treasury and Research Division NBO Egypt Chart Book September 2016 1
  2. 2. 2 1. BUDGET 2. INTEREST RATE 3. POPULATION 4. GDP 5. FOREIGN TRADE
  3. 3. 3 1. BUDGET
  4. 4. 4 -56.1% -58.1% -81.2% -79.8% -89.8% -90.0% -85.0% -80.0% -75.0% -70.0% -65.0% -60.0% -55.0% -50.0% -600,000 -500,000 -400,000 -300,000 -200,000 -100,000 0 2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 EGPMillion Government Budget Deficit Surplus/Deficit Budget Deficit as % of Budget Revenue
  5. 5. 5 -14.8% -17.0% -25.0% -53.4% -60.0% -50.0% -40.0% -30.0% -20.0% -10.0% 0.0% 2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015 2015/2016 Actual Deficit as % of Nominal GDP
  6. 6. 6 2. INTEREST RATE
  7. 7. 7 9.25% 10.75% 10.75% 11.75% 10.25% 11.75% 11.75% 12.75% 8.50% 9.00% 9.50% 10.00% 10.50% 11.00% 11.50% 12.00% 12.50% 13.00% 1/1/2016 1/2/2016 1/3/2016 1/4/2016 1/5/2016 1/6/2016 EGP Corridor CBE O/N Deposit CBE O/N Lending 2 . I n t e r e s t R a t e
  8. 8. 8 8.80% 9.30% 9.80% 10.30% 10.80% 11.30% 11.80% 12.30% 12.80% 1/9/2015 1/10/2015 1/11/2015 1/12/2015 1/1/2016 1/2/2016 1/3/2016 1/4/2016 1/5/2016 1/6/2016 30/9/2015 30/12/2015 31/3/2016 30/6/2016 O/N 8.90% 8.90% 10.75% 11.75% 1 Week 9.10% 9.10% 11.75% 12.75% 1 Month 9.25% 9.25% 11.25% 12.25% 3 Months 9.30% 9.30% 10.90% 11.77% CAIBOR O/N 1 Week 1 Month 3 Months
  9. 9. 9 3. POPULATION
  10. 10. 10 - 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75+ Population in Million AgeGroup Population Breakdown By Gender [Mid-Year 2016] Male Female
  11. 11. 11 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 1.9 1.9 2.3 6.7 5.7 6.3 9.1 7.3 5.3 6 6.8 69.3 70.7 72.2 73.6 75.2 76.9 78.7 80.5 82.5 84.6 86.8 MILLION YEAR EGYPT POPULATION Total Population Abroad Total Population in A.R.E.
  12. 12. 12 4. GDP
  13. 13. 13 Agriculture, Forests & Fishing, 13.83% Extractions, 9.22% Manufacturing Industries, 28.80% Electricity, 1.41% Water, 0.24%Sanitation, 0.06% Construction & Building, 6.03% Transportation & Storage, 4.05% Communications, 2.29% Information, 0.25% Suez Canal, 1.33% Wholesale & Retail Trade, 9.64% Finance, 2.81% Insurance, 0.25% Social Insurance, 1.99% Tourism, 3.46% Real Estate, 1.59% General Government, 8.32% Total Domestic Production By Economic Activity 2014/2015
  14. 14. 14 48% 49% 4% Domestic Production [Extractions] Petroleum Gas Other Extractions 50.4%49.6% Domestic Production [Real Estate] Real Estate Ownership Business Services 9% 91% Domestic Production [Manufacturing] Petroleum Refining Other Manufacturing 22% 37% 41% Domestic Production [Social Services] Education Health Other Services
  15. 15. 15 5. Inflation Rate
  16. 16. 16 8.38% 7.88% 9.21% 9.70% 11.10% 11.10% 10.10% 9.14% 9.03% 10.30% 12.30% 14.00% J U L - 1 5 A U G - 1 5 S E P - 1 5 O C T - 1 5 N O V - 1 5 D E C - 1 5 J A N - 1 6 F E B - 1 6 M A R - 1 6 A P R - 1 6 M A Y - 1 6 J U N - 1 6 J U L - 1 6 INFLATION RATE: TREND & FORECAST
  17. 17. 17 Fuel, Mineral Oils & Products 34% Raw Materials 8% Semi-Finished Goods 9% Finished Goods 49% Proceeds of Exports by Degree of Processing Fuel, Mineral Oils & Products Raw Materials Semi-Finished Goods Finished Goods Proceeds of Exports
  18. 18. 18 6. Foreign Trade
  19. 19. 19 27,103 34,139 30,695 34,159 39,060 - 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015 Balance of Payments Export proceeds Import payments Trade Balance Dificit
  20. 20. 20 20% 80% 2014/2015 Petroleum imports Other imports 47% 53% 2013/2014 Petroleum exports Other exports 40% 60% 2014/2015 Petroleum exports Other exports 22% 78% 2013/2014 Petroleum imports Other imports Imports to Exports Year on Year Comparison
  21. 21. 21 60% 39% 1% Fuel, Mineral Oils & Products Crude Oil Petroleum Products Coal & Types Thereof 4% 26% 12%6% 6% 45% 1%Raw Materials Cotton Potatoes Citrus Fruits Medicinal Plants Spices & Vanilla Dairy Eggs & Honey Flax, Raw 28% 9%8% 12% 43% Semi-Finished Goods Carbon Essential Oils & Resins Aluminium, Unalloyed Cotton Yarn Organic & Inorganic Chemicals 0.8% 9.9% 0.1% 7.5% 18.8% 6.7% 6.8% 5.8% 22.8% 20.8% Finished Goods Rice Soap & Artificial Waxes Dried Onion Pharmaceuticals Fertilizers Carpets/Floor Coverings Articles of Iron & Steel Aluminium Articles Ready-Made Clothes Cotton Textiles Proceeds of Exports
  22. 22. 22 Payments for Imports Fuel, Mineral Oils & Products 17% Raw Materials 11% Intermediate Goods 25% Investment Goods 20% Consumer Goods 25% Undistributed Imports 2%Payments for Imports by Degree of Use Fuel, Mineral Oils & Products Raw Materials Intermediate Goods Investment Goods Consumer Goods Undistributed Imports
  23. 23. 23 6% 16% 16% 10% 9% 23% 4% 11% 5%Intermediate Goods Animal & Veg. Fats, Greases & Oils Organic & Inorganic Chemicals Plastic & Articles Thereof Wood & Articles and Charcoal Paper, Cardboard Paper & Articles Thereof Iron & Steel Products Aluminium & Articles 99% 1% Fuel, Mineral Oils & Products Petroleum Products Coal & Types Thereof 24% 37% 22% 8% 7% 2% Raw Materials Crude Oil Wheat Maize Tobacco Iron Ore Cotton 13.3% 21.5% 0.1% 40.8% 24.3% Investment Goods Computers Motors, Generators & Spare Parts Vehicles for Passengers Electric Appliances for Tel. Optical Appliances Payments for Imports
  24. 24. 24 Payments for Imports - Consumer Goods 27.8% 72.2% Consumer Goods Durable Goods Non-Durable Goods 6% 28% 66% Durable Goods Household Refrigerators & Freezers Televisions, Videos and Computer Monitors Cars 9.3% 1.7% 58.6%0.8% 16.0% 13.6% Non-Durable Goods Dairy Products, Eggs & Honey Refined Sugar & Products Pharmaceuticals Insecticides Ready-Made Clothes Cotton Textiles
  25. 25. 25 Exports & Imports By Geographical Distribution 31% 7% 5% 5% 20% 21% 2% 9% Imports by Geographical Distribution EU Other European Countries Russian Federation & C.I.S. USA Arab Countries Asian Countries African Countries Other Countries & Regions 33.4% 6.5% 1.2% 6.7% 30.7% 8.4% 3.1% 10.0% Exports by Geographical Distribution EU Other European Countries Russian Federation & C.I.S. USA Arab Countries Asian Countries African Countries Other Countries & Regions
  26. 26. 49.9% 42.3% 46.8% 43.2% 36.3% 35.1% 31.5% Merchandise Exports/Merchandise Imports 156.3% 136.5% 129.3% 106.1% 129.7% 118.0% 115.2% Service Receipts/Service Payments Current 91.1% 86.4% 91.5% 96.4% 84.5% 80.1% 71.4% Receipts/Current Payments 0.9% 1.4% 1.3% 1.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.5% FDI/GDP 26 Balance of Payments Indicators
  27. 27. -2.6% -3.7% -2.2% -0.9% -3.6% -1.2% -1.4% -4.0% -3.5% -3.0% -2.5% -2.0% -1.5% -1.0% -0.5% 0.0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 C u r r e n t A c c o u n t / G D P 27 Balance of Payments Indicators -11.5% -12.4% -10.7% -11.3% -11.7% -2.9% -2.7% -13.0% -11.0% -9.0% -7.0% -5.0% -3.0% -1.0% 1.0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 T r a d e B a l a n c e / G D P
  28. 28. 882.2 472.6 1283.2 416.1 595.1 1259.8 92.5 820.5 512.9 845.1 602.1 204.4 150.4 58 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 United Arab Emirates China Italy Germany Saudi Arabia United States of America Russia United Kingdom Turkey India France Switzerland The Netherlands Kuwait 28 Egypt's Value of Exports with Main Trade Partners [US$ MN]
  29. 29. 2053.6 2826.1 1080.6 1704.9 2715.8 1745.8 904.2 1003.8 1280.4 934.8 1213.9 1067.1 548.6 1381.2 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 United Arab Emirates China Italy Germany Saudi Arabia United States of America Russia United Kingdom Turkey India France Switzerland The Netherlands Kuwait 29 Egypt's Value of Imports with Main Trade Partners[US$ MN]
  30. 30. 16% 84% Free Zones Imports Oil industrial imports Non-oil commodity imports 30 Free Zones Transactions 8% 92% Free Zones Exports Oil industrial exports Non-oil commodity exports 3,922 3,888 4,188 4,407 5,219 4,492 4,008 5,790 2012 2013 2014 2015 Free Zones Import & Export 2012-2015 (US$ MN) Free Zones Exports Free Zones Imports
  31. 31. 31 Main Exports by Commodity & Geographical Distribution 25% 14% 32% 18% 11% Ready-Made Clothes E.U. Oth. Eur. USA Arab Asia 51% 5% 2% 23% 19% Crude Oil E.U. Oth. Eur. Arab Asia Other 42% 5%17% 9% 9% 18% Petroleum Products E.U. Oth. Eur. USA Arab Asia Other 14% 1% 71% 8% 6% Machines & Electric Appliances E.U. USA Arab Asia Other
  32. 32. 32 Main Exports by Commodity & Geographical Distribution 50% 15% 13% 15% 5% 2% Fertilizers E.U. Oth. Eur. USA Arab Asia Other 27% 23% 32% 12% 6% Cotton Textiles E.U. Oth. Eur. USA Arab Asia 3% 7% 7% 83% Gold, Pearls & Precious Stones E.U. USA Arab Other 23% 12% 2% 57% 2% 4% Plastic E.U. Oth. Eur. USA Arab Asia Other
  33. 33. 33 Main Exports by Commodity & Geographical Distribution 9% 9% 77% 2% 3% Dairy Products, Eggs & Honey E.U. USA Arab Asia Other 31% 3% 5% 40% 13% 8% Frozen, Chilled or Fresh Vegetables & Plants E.U. Oth. Eur. USA Arab Asia Other 28% 6% 9% 33% 8% 16% Organic & Inorganic Chemicals E.U. Oth. Eur. USA Arab Asia Other 12% 1% 70% 5% 12% Cars, Bicycles & Tractors E.U. USA Arab Asia Other
  34. 34. 34 Main Imports by Commodity & Geographical Distribution 16% 4% 5% 46% 28% 1% Plastic E.U. Oth. Eur. USA Arab Asia Other 33% 6% 2% 40% 2% 17% Petroleum Products E.U. Oth. Eur. USA Arab Asia Other 60% 12% 6% 8% 12% 2% Pharmaceuticals E.U. Oth. Eur. USA Arab Asia Other 19% 17% 2% 24% 19% 19% Iron & Steel Products E.U. Oth. Eur. USA Arab Asia
  35. 35. 100% Crude Oil Arab 30% 1% 2% 30% 36% 1% Cars E.U. Oth. Eur. USA Arab Asia Other 17% 1% 1% 6% 0.57% 75% Wheat E.U. Oth. Eur. USA Arab Asia Other 37% 9% 6% 17% 28% 3% Organic & Inorganic Chemicals E.U. Oth. Eur. USA Arab Asia Other 35 Main Imports by Commodity & Geographical Distribution
  36. 36. 16% 5% 14% 25% 1% 39% Maize E.U. Oth. Eur. USA Arab Asia Other 12% 1% 1% 36% 49% 1% Electric Appliances for Tel. & Telegraph E.U. Oth. Eur. USA Arab Asia Other 79% 1% 5% 2% 12% 1% Motors, Generators, Transformers E.U. Oth. Eur. USA Arab Asia Other 28% 3% 3% 7% 56% 3% Spare Parts & Accessories for Cars E.U. Oth. Eur. USA Arab Asia Other 36 Main Imports by Commodity & Geographical Distribution
  37. 37. 37 TREASURY AND RESEARCH Khaled Ahmed Eid (+202) 2290 9301 KhaledEid@nbo.co.om
  38. 38. 38 National Bank of Oman, Treasury and Research Division, 133/135 Abdel Aziz Fahmy Street, Egypt

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