2. A few of my favorite things…
Some bits of now and later shaping society, technology and civil society…
• Social Media
• Mobile
• BOP Design
• Demographics
• 3DPrinting
3. Social Media
Let’s start with an easy one…
8.26 million users in Poland vs 38 million population
1.17 million joined in the last 6 months
SO WHAT? What does it mean for civil society?
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4. Example: Restart Challenges in RO
• 2 topics
• 800 ideas generated
• 250+ ideas entered
• 8,000 unique profiles created
• more than 150k unique visits, more than 1.3 million hits
• 2,400+ hours of IT volunteerism
• 14 websites
• Mass democratic dialog and citizen engagement
• Interesting leaders
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6. What’s important in social media …
• Democratization of dialog
• Seeding Grass-roots
• Aggregation potential
• Ability to challenge ‘democracy’
The death of Authority … we need not apply
7. A few of my favorite things…
• Social Media
• Mobile
• BOP Design
• Demographics
• 3DPrinting
11. A few of my favorite things…
Some bits shaping society, technology and civil society…
• Social Media
• Mobile
• BOP Design
• Demographics
• 3DPrinting
12. These go together because their
interaction may change everything…
Definitions:
• BOP Design: Business services or processes for
people living at/below their country’s poverty level.
• 3D printing: Additive technology
• Demographics: population stuff…
13. Base of Pyramid/Bottom of the Pyramid
Serving the Un-served: a Social Market
Examples:
- Banking, Farming, etc…
A couple stats:
2.6 billion under $3k/year = $7 trillion
1.4 billion at $3k - $20k = $18.5 trillion
= $25.5 trillion
14. That’s a decent amount of zloty…
By market segment:
• $100 billion ICT market ($10B in E. Europe)
• $300 billion Health
• $900 billion energy market
15. Yeah, but we are in Europe…
The BOP market in Eastern Europe is estimated
at nearly $700 billion per year.
= 64% of the people
= 36% of total income generated…
It is our market, we know it better than anyone
and it is in flux…
17. Population Growth… it took:
250,000 years to hit 1 billion people
1 century to hit 2 billion (1927)
32 years to hit 3 billion…
44 years to double that…
Now 12 years/B babies…
.. 9.3 Billion by 2050…
19. Eh. Maybe.
Growth does not necessarily = BAD
– Violence is not increasing
– Pollution is not increasing
20. Eh. Maybe.
We do need to get smarter about:
– Food
– Population bubbles
– Having more babies…
21. Go back a bit
More babies?
FYI : Fewer babies are the future…
Growth of mankind peaked in 1960 at 2%.
It is now 1% and dropping.
Much of the world is already shrinking…
22. My favorite question… So WHAT?
So what if there are fewer babies?
So what if we peak at 10 Billion people and
start shrinking?
23. What happens then?
• Income goes up rapidly…
• Premium on services for the elderly
• Need for Adaptive Technology
• Healthcare keeps on growing
• Education changes
• Migration changes
• Change in consumer patterns
• … a lot changes …
24. Demographics, Us, and Technology?
Today we talk about:
…youth, over-consumption, environmental
degradation, politics, engagement, fighting
the ghosts of communism, health care,
capitalism …
No idea how this is going to hit us but the
ability of new tech to listen and gather data
will keep us in the game.
29. Recap
• Population goes down
• Income goes up
• Consumerism changes
Market economics if flipped on head…
What about our models?
30. Put it all together and…
Mobile
Expectation
Social
Civil
Society
3D Power Comms
Printing
Techno –
Interaction Models ?
democracy
31. Put it all together and…
We have a lot of learning, thinking and
decentralizing of our own to do.
Hope: we can listen and engage better than
ever, we can influence behavior based on
people’s own willingness to change, we will
have more resources to do it with, we need
partners…
