Survival of Esophageal Cancer Patients was Significantly Superior in Comparison with Cardioesophageal Cancer Patients after Surgery
Kshivets Oleg Surgery Department, Roshal Hospital, Moscow, Russia
OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine localization influence of tumor for 5-year survival (5YS) of esophageal (EC) or cardioesophageal (CC) cancer patients (ECP, CEP) after complete en block (R0) esophagogastrectomies (EG) through left/right thoracoabdominal incision.
METHODS: We analyzed data of 543 consecutive patients (age=56.4±8.8 years; tumor size=6±3.5 cm) radically operated (R0) and monitored in 1975-2019 (m=405, f=138; ECP=259, CEP=284; esophagogastrectomies (EG) Garlock=280, EG Lewis=263, combined EG with resection of pancreas, liver, diaphragm, aorta, VCS, colon transversum, lung, trachea, pericardium, splenectomy=151; adenocarcinoma=308, squamous=225, mix=10; T1=126, T2=114, T3=178, T4=125; N0=275, N1=69, N2=199; G1=157, G2=139, G3=247; early EC=107, invasive=436; only surgery=420, adjuvant chemoimmunoradiotherapy-AT=123: 5-FU+thymalin/taktivin+radiotherapy 45-50Gy). Multivariate Cox modeling, clustering, SEPATH, Monte Carlo, bootstrap and neural networks computing were used to determine any significant dependence.
RESULTS: Overall life span (LS) was 1892.4±2241 days and cumulative 5-year survival (5YS) reached 51.9%, 10 years – 45.7%, 20 years – 33.5%. 183 ECP lived more than 5 years (LS=4311±2419.7 days), 98 ECP – more than 10 years (LS=5903.4±2299.4 days). 224 died because of EC/CC (LS=629.2±320.1 days). 5YS of ECP (67.3%, LS=2605±2628.9 days) was significantly superior in comparison with CEP (36.4%, LS=1242.6±1558.5 days) (P=0.00000 by log-rank test). AT significantly improved 5YS (68.2% vs. 48.5%) (P=0.00033 by log-rank test). Cox modeling displayed that 5YS of ECP/CEP significantly depended on: phase transition (PT) N0—N12 in terms of synergetics, cell ratio factors (ratio between cancer cells- CC and blood cells subpopulations), T, G, histology, age, AT, localization, blood cells, prothrombin index, coagulation time, residual nitrogen, blood group, Rh, glucose, protein (P=0.000-0.008). Neural networks, genetic algorithm selection and bootstrap simulation revealed relationships between 5YS and healthy cells/CC (rank=1), PT early-invasive EC (rank=2), PT N0—N12 (rank=3), erythrocytes/CC (4), thrombocytes/CC (5), stick neutrophils/CC (6), lymphocytes/CC (7), segmented neutrophils/CC (8), eosinophils/CC (9), leucocytes/CC (10), monocytes/CC (11). Correct prediction of 5YS was 100% by neural networks computing (area under ROC curve=1.0; error=0.0).