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23rd january,2014 daily exclusive rice e newsletter by riceplus magazine
1. 23rd January , 2014
TOP Contents - Tailored for YOU
Latest News Headlines…
Pakistan Rice Sellers Lower Some of Their Quotes Today;
Other Asia Rice Quotes Mostly Unchanged
Philippines Government to Form Inter-Agency Team to
Combat Rice Smuggling
USDA Increases 2013-14 Global Rice Production Forecast to
471.1 Million Tons
Cambodia Likely to Achieve One Million Tons Rice Export
Target in 2015, Claims Minister
Thailand Rice Farmers to Sue Caretaker Government Over
Delayed Payments
Oryza Overnight Recap – Chicago Rough Rice Futures Silent
Overnight Following Yesterday’s Massive Sell-off in Beans
Nigeria Targets 45% Increase in 2014 Dry Season Rice Crop
Oryza Afternoon Recap – Chicago Rough Rice Futures Erase a
Portion of Yesterday’s Losses as Market Returns to Technically
Supportive Territory
Oryza Rice Currency Analysis for Today – Argentina Peso Down 1.1%
Oryza U.S. Rough Rice Recap – Despite Limited Trade Activity, Sellers Continue to Hold Out for Higher
Prices
Italian Paddy Prices Hold Firm on Domestic Demand
Start Young: Ghana Tries to Develop a Taste for Domestic Rice, Starting with Schools
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2. A New Trend? Cambodia Exports Rice to South Korea
Like 'White on Rice', or Rice for White?
Oryza Global Rice Quotes
NEWS DETAILS:
Pakistan Rice Sellers Lower Some of Their Quotes Today; Other Asia Rice Quotes
Mostly Unchanged
Jan 22, 2014
Pakistan rice sellers lowered their quotes for parboiled rice by about $10 per ton to around $400 - $410 per ton
today. Other Asia rice sellers kept their quotes mostly unchanged.
5% Broken Rice
Thai 5% rice (of new crop) is quoted around $435 - $445 per ton, about a $35 per ton premium over Viet 5%
rice shown around $400 - $410 per ton. Thai 5% rice of the old crop is shown around $370 - $380 per ton.
Indian 5% rice is quoted around $405 - $415 per ton, about a $15 per ton premium over Pak 5% rice quoted
around $390 - $400 per ton.
25% Broken Rice
Thai 25% rice (of new crop) is quoted about $390 - $400 per ton, about a $15 per ton premium over Viet 25%
rice shown around $375 - $385 per ton. Thai 25% rice of the old crop is shown around $345 - $355 per ton.
Indian 25% rice is quoted about $350 - $360 per ton, about a $5 per ton premium over Pak 25% rice quoted
around $345 - $355 per ton.
Parboiled Rice
Thai parboiled rice of the old crop is quoted around $455 - $465 per ton.
Indian parboiled rice is quoted around $395 - $405 per ton, about a $5 per ton discount to Pak parboiled rice
quoted around $400 - $410 per ton, down about $10 per ton from yesterday.
100% Broken Rice
Thai broken rice, A1 Super, of the old crop is quoted around $305 - $315 per ton, about a $50 per ton discount
to Viet broken rice shown around $355 - $365 per ton.
Indian broken sortexed rice is quoted about $295 - $305 per ton, about a $25 per ton discount to Pak broken
sortexed rice quoted around $320 - $330 per ton.
Philippines Government to Form Inter-Agency Team to Combat Rice Smuggling
Jan 22, 2014
The Philippines government is planning to establish an inter-agency team to fight rice smuggling.The new team
will include representatives from the Department of Justice (DOJ), the Department of Agriculture (DOA), the
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3. National Food Authority (NFA), and the Bureau of Customs (BOC), locals sources say. The National Bureau of
Investigation (NBI) chief says that coordinated efforts of different departments will help curb rice smuggling
into the Philippines.
Reducing rice imports is one of the goals of the government but high production costs and import tariffs lead to
entry of smuggled rice into the country. According to the BOC, the government loses a revenue of around P7
billion (around $154 million) annually due to rice smuggling.
Recently, the BOC said that it has to release seized shipments as the importers and alleged smugglers are
getting court injunctions as a part of a new strategy to get smuggled rice in to the country.
Tags: Philippines rice imports, Philippines rice smuggling
USDA Increases 2013-14 Global Rice Production Forecast to 471.1 Million Tons
Jan 22, 2014
The USDA has increased its forecast for 2013-14 global milled rice production to around 471.1 million tons,
up about 500,000 tons from its December 2013 forecast of 470.6 million tons, and up about 72,757 tons from an
estimated 471.02 million tons produced in 2012-13.
The USDA says that much of the increase in rice production this year is due to larger cultivated area which is
expected to reach a record 160.1 million hectares in 2013-14, up about 2% from around 157.4 million hectares
in 2012-13. However, average global rice yield is expected to decline to around 4.39 tons per hectare, down
about 1% from around 4.4 tons per hectare in 2012-13 because of adverse weather conditions in China and
India, the world's two largest rice producing countries.The USDA increased its 2013-14 rice production forecast
for Pakistan, the U.S. and Brazil. Pakistan's 2013-14 production forecast is up by around 400,000 tons to about
6.4 million tons due to better-than-expected monsoon rains and higher yields from the hybrid varieties.
The USDA increased the U.S. 2013-14 crop estimate by 154,000 tons to about 6.05 million tons due to slightly
higher area and yield. The agency also increased Brazil's 2013-14 rice production forecast by 100,000 tons to
8.3 million tons due to slightly larger area and an even higher record yield. The USDA also made small upward
revisions to Spain and Kazakhstan 2013-14 rice production estimates.The USDA also increased its 2013-14
global consumption forecast to a record 473.1 million tons, up about 200,000 tons from its December 2013
forecast of 472.9 million tons, and up about 4.7 million tons or about 1% from an estimated 468.2 million tons
in 2012-13. The USDA says that rice consumption in 2013-14 is expected to increase in Bangladesh, Brazil,
Cambodia, China, Egypt, India, Indonesia and Vietnam, but decline in Japan and South Korea.The USDA
increased its forecast for 2013-14 global ending stocks to 105.2 million tons, up 900,000 tons from its
December 2013 forecast of 104.1 million tons, but down about 1.9 million tons from 2012-13 stocks of 107.1
million tons. The U.S. agency increased its 2013-14 global ending stocks forecast for Pakistan, the Philippines
and Thailand, while it lowered its forecast for China, India, Indonesia, Vietnam and the U.S. The USDA
projects Thailand will have highest rice stocks in 2013-14 and Vietnam to carry lowest stocks. The USDA
slightly lowered the global stocks-to-use ratio for 2013-14 to 22.2%.
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4. The USDA says that global rice trade is likely to reach a record 40.2 million tons in calendar year 2014, up
about 400,000 tons or about 1% from its December 2013 forecast of 39.8 million tons, and up about 1.9 million
tons or about 5% from 38.3 million tons in 2013. The U.S. agency increased Pakistan's 2014 export forecast to
3.4 million tons, up about 400,000 tons or about 13% from its December forecast of 3 million tons based a
larger crop. The USDA increased the Philippines 2014 rice import forecast to 1.4 million tons, up about
200,000 tons or about 16% from its December 2013 forecast of 1.2 million tons due to government plans to
improve rice buffer stocks.
The USDA projects Thailand's export prices for most rice varieties to continue to decline this year. Average
prices of Thailand's high-quality regular-milled white rice have declined by about 4% over the last one month,
while prices for medium- and lower-quality rice have declined by about 10% in the same period.
Tags: global rice production, USDA Rice outlook
Cambodia Likely to Achieve One Million Tons Rice Export Target in 2015, Claims
Minister
Jan 22, 2014
Cambodia is close to achieving its goal of exporting one million tons of rice in 2015, according to the country's
Minister of Commerce.Cambodia exported 378,856 tons of rice in 2013, 84% more than around 201,899 tons in
2012. Cambodia’s rice exports have grown steadily since 2010 when the government targeted exports of one
million tons of milled rice by 2015. According to local sources, Cambodia exported around 105,000 tons of rice
in 2010; about 202,000 tons of rice in 2011; and about 206,000 tons of rice in 2012. Cambodia exported around
378,856 tons of rice in 2013, up about 84% from the previous year.A government report states that nearly 84
companies in Cambodia export rice to about 16 countries. Cambodia exports mostly to the EU nations.
According to the EU data, Cambodia exported around 195,544 tons of rice to the EU in Marketing Year (MY)
2012-13 (October - September), which is up about 79% from previous year. The EU's rice imports consist 16%
of Cambodian rice.
Cambodia’s Commerce Minister says that Cambodia rice is gaining popularity in export markets. The minister
says that Cambodian fragrant rice, which was awarded the world's best rice for two consecutive years, is famous
for its delicious flavor and has a good export market. The minister claims that Cambodia can produce about 9
million tons of paddy rice yearly, of which around 3 million tons of milled rice could be exported.However, the
USDA estimates Cambodia’s MY 2013-14 rice production to reach around 4.9 million tons (milled basis), up
about 6.5% from around 4.6 million tons in the MY 2012-13. Rice consumption in Cambodia is estimated at
around 3.8 million tons, while Cambodia’s rice exports are expected to increase to around 1 million tons in MY
2013-14, up slightly from around 975,000 tons in MY 2012-13.
Tags: Cambodia rice exports
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5. Thailand Rice Farmers to Sue Caretaker Government Over Delayed Payments
Jan 22, 2014
Members of the Thai Rice Growers Association (TRGA) led by its president met the Lawyers' Council of
Thailand yesterday to file civil and criminal charges against the caretaker government, the Bank for Agriculture
and Agricultural Cooperatives (BAAC) and ministers, over delay in payments under the rice mortgage program
2013-14 (October – September).Some rice farmers in Thailand say the government has not paid them since
October 2013 and have threatened to join protesters if the government does not clear the payments with 7.5%
interest, according to local sources.The government's attempts to raise funds through the BAAC reserves have
failed as BAAC executives are against using the bank's funds to fund the rice mortgage program. However, the
Election Commission has left it to the government to decide over its debt restructuring program, a decision
which allows the government to raise a loan of 130 billion baht (around $3.95 million) to fund the rice mortgage
program.The Thai government declared a state of emergency in Bangkok and nearby provinces for 60 days to
control ongoing political unrest there. New elections are scheduled to be held on February 2, 2014.
Tags: Thailand rice mortgage program
Oryza Overnight Recap – Chicago Rough Rice Futures Silent Overnight Following
Yesterday’s Massive Sell-off in Beans
Jan 22, 2014
Chicago rough rice futures for March delivery are currently paused 3 cents per cwt (about $1 per ton) higher at
$15.480 per cwt (about $341 per ton) as of 8:00am Chicago time. The other grains are seen mixed this morning
ahead of floor trading in Chicago: soybeans are currently seen about 0.3% lower, wheat was paused unchanged,
and corn is noted about 0.5% higher.U.S. stock index futures pointed to a flat open on Wall Street on
Wednesday, ahead of another busy day for quarterly earnings. The day will be a light for economic indicators,
with U.S. mortgage applications being the only major indicator to watch.
The Mortgage Bankers Association said its seasonally adjusted index of mortgage application activity, which
includes both refinancing and home purchase demand, rose 4.7% to 404.1 in the week ended Jan. 17. In Europe,
the world's political and economic leaders, including Treasury Secretary Jack Lew, have gathered for the World
Economic Forum in Switzerland, which starts on Wednesday. More than 2,500 participants are attending the
event, which is expected to focus on rising income disparity. U.S. stock index futures are currently trading
about 0.1% higher, gold is currently trading about 0.1% lower, crude oil is seen trading about 0.8% higher, and
the U.S. dollar is currently trading about 0.2% lower at 8:00am Chicago time.
Tags: chicago rough rice futures
Nigeria Targets 45% Increase in 2014 Dry Season Rice Crop
Jan 22, 2014
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6. The Nigerian government is targeting to increase rice production in the 2014 dry season crop to around 1.6
million tons, up about 45% from around 1.1 million tons produced in the previous year.Dry season rice crop,
which usually begins in November – February, accounts for around 40 - 45% of total rice production of around
2.7 million tons in Nigeria. Government spending is increasing on dry season rice crop to help reduce rice
imports which currently stands at around 3 million tons. Last year, the government announced N9 billion (about
$57 million) to support dry season crop in the country, but has increased it by around 55% to N14 billion (about
$89 million) this year.
While funds will be used for increasing production of wheat and groundnut, most of the funds will be used to
provide rice seedlings, subsidized fertilizers and other inputs to boost rice production in key rice growing
states.The president says that government support for dry season crop in Nigeria should begin in October and
not in January to help farmers prepare well for planting. He has also promised better market facilities for
farmers to sell their rice. According to local sources, about 20 states are participating in dry season crop farming
this year, up from around 10 states in 2013.However, it is a challenge for Nigeria to achieve the targeted 100%
self-sufficiency in rice in 2015. According to the USDA, Nigeria consumes about 6 million tons of rice
annually, against a production of 2.7 million tons. Total imports in 2013-14 are estimated at around 3 million
tons. The Nigerian government hopes that dry season crop production will increase significantly this year and is
exploring possibilities to introduce more rice crops to help improve rice production.
Tags: Nigeria rice production
Oryza Afternoon Recap – Chicago Rough Rice Futures Erase a Portion of
Yesterday’s Losses as Market Returns to Technically Supportive Territory
Jan 22, 2014
Chicago rough rice futures for March delivery settled 5.5 cents per cwt (about $1 per ton) higher at $15.505 per
cwt (about $342 per ton). Rough rice futures recovered a portion of yesterday’s losses and moved back above
the closely watched 20-day moving average. Today’s action has returned the market to technically positive
territory and provides a more supportive outlook for the remainder of the week’s trade direction. However; a
close below $15.450 per cwt (about $341 per ton) would be seen as a further bearish development.
The negativity provided by the other grains was absent today as the complex finished the day mixed; soybeans
closed about 0.1% lower at $12.7950 per bushel; wheat finished about 0.2% lower at $5.6125 per bushel; and
corn finished the day about 0.3% higher at $4.2625 per bushel.U.S. stocks traded mixed on Wednesday as Wall
Street appraised results from International Business Machines and others. The Dow Jones Industrial Average
declined 26.81 points, or 0.2%, to 16,387.63. The S&P 500 rose almost 2 points, or 0.1%, to 1,845.71, with
materials the weakest performer and energy the strongest of its 10 major sectors. The Nasdaq rose 18.20 points,
or 0.4%, to 4,243.95. The dollar edged higher against the currencies of major U.S. trading partners. The 10-year
Treasury note yield rose 2 basis points to 2.86%. Gold is trading about 0.2% lower, crude oil is seen trading
about 1.9% higher, and the U.S. dollar is seen trading about 0.1% higher at about 2:00pm Chicago
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7. time.Tuesday, there were 236 contracts traded, down from 321 contracts traded on Friday. Open interest – the
number of contracts outstanding – on Tuesday increased by 8 contracts to 7,125.
Tags: chicago rough rice futures, U.S. rice prices, U.S. rice market
Oryza Rice Currency Analysis for Today – Argentina Peso Down 1.1%
Jan 22, 2014
U.S. dollar index was up +0.10% from the open today, when it traded at 81.181 at the close.
Euro was weaker -0.09% today by the close, trading around 1.3549 by end of day, after trading between an
intraday high of 1.3583 and low of 1.3535.
Thai baht was weaker -0.02%, trading at 32.922 at the close of business.
Indian rupee was stronger +0.11% at 61.8250.
Brazilian real was -0.54% weaker than the open at today’s close, when it ended at 2.3733 reais per dollar.
Pakistan rupee was +0.09% stronger at 105.4125.
Vietnamese dong was +0.02% stronger, trading at 21090.
Mexican peso was -0.32% weaker today, when it traded at 13.3148 pesos per dollar by the close of business
today.
Chinese yuan was weaker -0.02%, trading at 6.0515.
Argentine peso was -1.15% weaker, trading at 6.9641 pesos per dollar.
Tags: foreign exchange rates
Oryza U.S. Rough Rice Recap – Despite Limited Trade Activity, Sellers Continue to
Hold Out for Higher Prices
Jan 22, 2014
The U.S. cash market remains firm despite limited trade activity as sellers hold out for higher prices as supplies
tighten. Analysts contend that many buyers will likely have to pay up to get farmers to move their rice although
most insist that there is very little demand at the level most farmers are asking for. As of today, offers could be
found around $15.55-$16.66 per fob farm (about $343-$367 per ton), depending on where they are located in
the U.S. mid-South, for January through March shipment.Bids from larger mills were still said to be around
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8. $15.00 per cwt (about $331 per ton) while bids for exporters increased to around $15.50 per cwt (about $342
per ton), both for January through March delivery, although there were still reports of smaller mills paying
between $16.00-$16.25 per cwt (about $353-$358 per ton) for delivery before April.In other news, the USDA
will delay the release of their weekly export sales data until Friday morning due to the MLK holiday on
Monday.
Tags: U.S. rice prices, U.S. rice market
Italian Paddy Prices Hold Firm on Domestic Demand
Jan 22, 2014
The Italian paddy market is firm thanks only to the increase of Long A and medium paddy prices, demanded by
the domestic market. Yesterday at the Milan commodities exchange the quotes of varieties Vialone Nano,
Baldo e Roma increased 50 euros (about $67) per ton compared to the previous week, while Carnaroli increased
20 euros (about $27) per ton.
Export varieties are still pressed by competition from Asian rice, according to local sources; thus, there was
very little price movement for Long B and round rices; such varieties advanced only 5 euros (about $6) per ton
up and quotes remain down compared to one week ago.
For the current crop year, about 51% of Long A rice has been sold, while only about 37% of Long B and 37%
of round rice has been sold.
Below find farm gate paddy quotes from the Milan grain exchange, as of January 21:
Arborio rice was quoted 605-625 euros (about $819-846) per ton, one week ago 575-595 euros (about $782809) per ton
Balilla rice was quoted 250-260 euros (about $338-352) per ton, compared to 255-265 euros (about $346-360)
per ton one week ago
Lido and similar varieties were quoted 290-310 euros (about $ 392-419) per ton, compared to 290-310 euros
(about $394-421) one week ago
Padano/Argo received no quotations, one week ago 570 euros (about $775) per ton
Vialone Nano was quoted 715-750 euros (about $968-1,016) per ton, one week ago 665-700 euros (about $904952) per ton
Thai Bonnet and similar varieties were quoted 245-255 euros (about $332-345 ) per ton, no variations on one
week ago
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9. Sant'Andrea was quoted 510-530 euros (about $690-717) per ton, one week ago 490-510 euros (about $666693) per ton
Ariete and similar varieties were quoted 315-335 euros (about $426-453) per ton, no variations on one week ago
Carnaroli was quoted 610-630 euros (about $826-853) per ton, one week ago 590-610 euros (about $802-829)
per ton
Baldo was quoted 555-575 euros (about $751-778) per ton, one week ago 505-525 euros (about $687-714) per
ton
Roma was quoted 555-575 euros (about $751-778) per ton, one week ago 505-525 euros (about $687-714) per
ton Selenio was quoted 260-280 euros (about $352-379) per ton, one week ago 265-285 euros (about $360-387)
per ton
Tags: italian paddy quotes
Start Young: Ghana Tries to Develop a Taste for Domestic Rice, Starting with
Schools
Jan 22, 2014
The Chief Executive of Ghana’s Kwaebibirim District, Emmanuel Osae, is encouraging rice producers in the
region to sell their grains directly to local schools under the School Feeding Programme. The area is making a
big push to improve consumption of domestic rice. The region is also working to improve rice
production. Several private milling companies have purchased de-stoning machines, and this has encouraged
rice
producers
to
promote
their
brands
locally.
Improving the quality of rice in Ghana is a concern of the national government, as well. While rice
consumption among the urban class is increasing, they tend to prefer Thai and U.S. rice. Ghana is estimated to
import about 575,000 tons in 2013-14, equivalent to over half of the nation’s annual consumption of about
900,000 tons.
Tags: Ghana rice production, Ghana rice imports
A New Trend? Cambodia Exports Rice to South Korea
Jan 22, 2014
A Cambodian rice exporter and South Korean corporation have signed an agreement to begin exporting
Cambodian rice to South Korea, starting this month. The South Korean corporation reportedly paid $2m for
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10. nearly 5,000 tons of jasmine rice and the promise for future business.
South Korea typically imports mostly Thai, U.S. and Chinese rice, and this shift, while not large, may indicate a
growing trend. Cambodia exported nearly 379,000 tons of rice last year, according to government data. This is
an increase of 84% from the previous year.
Tags: Cambodia rice exports, South Korea rice imports
Like 'White on Rice', or Rice for White?
Jan 22, 2014
Producers and suppliers of rice starch are pressuring customers to choose this natural additive over the artificial
color titanium dioxide that is commonly used in products such as chewing gum, sugar coated candies, printing
inks, toothpaste, plastics, papers, paint and more. Titanium dioxide gives these items their white
appearance.Although by some estimates titanium dioxide accounts for as much as 70% of the total production
volume of pigments worldwide, there has been some media publicity recently concerning its possible
classification as a carcinogen.
The International Agency for Research on Cancer has found no conclusive link but has classified it as a
“possibly carcinogen to humans.” Others are concerned about its possible link to asthma and Crohn’s
disease. While there is no scientific proof that the ingredient is dangerous to humans, “rice starch” might just
be a more consumer-friendly ingredient than “titanium dioxide.” With more customers gravitating toward
natural and organic products, it’s an optimal time for rice starch to market itself as a viable alternative to
titanium dioxide. While rice starch will increase production costs compared to titanium dioxide, it also has some
benefits. Rice starch granules are finer than most other starches which results in a finished coating that is
smoother and more even, making it excellent for confectionary and food products.
Tags: Titanium dioxide, rice starch
Oryza Global Rice Quotes
January 22nd, 2014
Long grain white rice - high quality
Thailand 100% B grade
445-455
Vietnam 5% broken 400-410
↔
India 5% broken
405-415
↔
Pakistan 5% broken 390-400
↔
Cambodia 5% broken 450-460
↔
↔
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11. U.S. 4% broken
585-595
↔
Uruguay 5% broken 625-635
↔
Argentina 5% broken 625-635
↔
Long grain white rice - low quality
Thailand 25% broken 390-400
↔
Vietnam 25% broken 375-385
↔
Pakistan 25% broken 345-355
↔
Cambodia 25% broken
425-435
↔
India 25% broken
350-360
↔
U.S. 15% broken
565-575
↔
Long grain parboiled rice
Thailand parboiled 100% stxd
455-465
Pakistan parboiled 5% broken stxd 400-410
India parboiled 5% broken stxd
395-405
U.S. parboiled 4% broken
660-670
↔
Brazil parboiled 5% broken 590-600
↔
Uruguay parboiled 5% broken
NQ ↔
Long grain fragrant rice
Thailand Hommali 92%
945-955
↔
Vietnam Jasmine
555-565
↔
India basmati 2% broken
1515 -1525 ↔
Pakistan basmati 2% broken NQ ↔
Cambodia Phka Malis 895-905
↔
Brokens
Thailand A1 Super
305-315
↔
Vietnam 100% broken
355-365
↔
Pakistan 100% broken stxd 320-320
↔
Cambodia A1 Super 365-375
↔
India 100% Broken stxd
295-305
↔
Egypt medium grain brokens NQ ↔
U.S. pet food 470-480
↔
Brazil half grain
345-355
↔
Medium grain milled
U.S. Calrose 4% broken
620-630
↔
Egypt medium grain 6%
NQ ↔
All prices USD per ton, FOB vessel, oryza.com
↔
↓
↔
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