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Trends in Trade Book Retailing 2009

June 5, 2009


A sister report to our annual Business of Consumer Book Publishing and new for
2009, Trends in Trade Book Retailing compiles national data on who is buying books,
what they're buying and where they‟re buying them, as well as detailed overviews of the
major channels and how their market share is trending.

The one-upmanship of Amazon, Walmart and Target's price war for new hardcover
releases in fall 2009 was foreshadowed in the report, which also spells out the
consumer share of online and non-bookstore retailing channels.

The report provides a “scorecard” for each channel—bookstores, the Internet, book
clubs, and “other”—and a demographic overview of the average consumer who uses
each, including book clubs. Simba compiled data from Simmons Market Research
Bureau‟s national consumer survey for this analysis. The four channels are also ranked
by the estimated number of customers, what formats they buy, and how many titles the
consumers purchase.

To gain a better understanding of the relationship consumers have with books on the
retail level, Simba has added this essential analysis to its research collection.

With the book retailing segment as challenged as it is, no publisher, retailer, or industry
analyst can afford not to have this vital tool.



Additional Information

Stamford, CT—October 19, 2009—Simba Information, which recently produced the
groundbreaking Trade E-Book Publishing 2009 and Overview of the U.S. Comic
Book & Graphic Novel Market, this year also added Trends in Trade Book Retailing
2009 to its research offerings. The one-upmanship of Amazon and Walmart's recent
price war is foreshadowed in the report, which also spells out the consumer share of
online and non-bookstore retailing channels.
“A lot of the coverage over what happened last week between Amazon and Walmart
makes it look like this price war came out of the blue," Michael Norris, senior analyst at
Simba Information. "But Wal-Mart has expanded its presence in books quietly for years,
and our ongoing pricing analysis tells us the two companies have been paying attention
to each other for some time."

While the total number of bookstores in the U.S. has shrunk significantly over the years,
the number of big-box department stores has jumped, the Simba study found. “Big-box
stores have a place in the retailing ecosystem, but when you combine the convenience
of the „non-bookstores‟ with their ability to sell popular books at a loss you get a volatile
situation for the entire industry.”

According to the report, the number of U.S. adults who have bought books at a non-
bookstore physical retail location exceeds the number who purchase books online by
about 10 million consumers.

The report also provides a “scorecard” for each channel—bookstores, the Internet, book
clubs, and “other”—and a demographic overview of the average consumer who uses
each, including book clubs. Simba compiled data from Simmons Market Research
Bureau‟s national consumer survey for this analysis. The four channels are also ranked
by the estimated number of customers, what formats they buy, and how many titles the
consumers purchase.

For additional information please visit www.simbainformation.com or contact Warren
Pawlowski at 203-325-8193 x114.

About Simba Information:

Simba Information is widely recognized as the leading authority for market intelligence
in the media and publishing industry. Simba's extensive information network delivers top
quality, independent perspective on the people, events and alliances shaping the media
and information industry. Simba provides consulting and reports that provide key
decision-makers at more than 15,000 client companies around the globe with timely
analysis, exclusive statistics and proprietary industry forecasts. For more information,
please visit www.simbainformation.com.



TABLE OF CONTENTS

Methodology

Executive Summary

Chapter 1: Introduction
     Introduction
Chapter 2: Channel Trends & Demographics
     Introduction
     Estimated Size of the Book Market (Retail Level)
     The Four Channels
     Other Trends in Book Retailing
     Demographic Data and the Channels
     Gender
     Age
     Race
     Region and Metro Markets
     Education Level
     Employment Status
     Profession
     Individual & Household Income
     Marital Status
     No. of People in Household
     No. of Children in Household
     Age of Children in Household
     Type and Value of Residence

     Table 2.1: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Consumers
     Who Did/Did Not Buy a Book in Previous 12 Months
     Table 2.2: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Sales Channel
     Trends
     Table 2.3: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Buying Books
     as Gifts, Fall 2008
     Table 2.4: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Customer
     Trends
     Table 2.5: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Sales Channel
     Trends
Table 2.6: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): The Channels
Crossed Against Themselves, Fall 2008
Table 2.7: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel
Allocations - Type of Book Purchased, Fall 2008
Table 2.8: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel
Allocation - No. of Hardcover Books Purchased, Fall 2008
Table 2.9: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel
Allocation - No. of Paperback Books Purchased, Fall 2008
Table 2.10: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel
Preferences by Gender, Fall 2008
Table 2.11: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel
Preferences by Age, Fall 2008
Table 2.12: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel
Preferences by Race, Fall 2008
Table 2.13: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel
Preferences by Region, Fall 2008
Table 2.14: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel
Preferences by Metro Market, Fall 2008
Table 2.15: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel
Preferences by Education Level, Fall 2008
Table 2.16: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel
Preferences by Employment Status, Fall 2008
Table 2.17: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel
Preferences by Profession, Fall 2008
Table 2.18: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel
Preferences by Individual Income, Fall 2008
Table 2.19: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel
Preferences by Household Income, Fall 2008
Table 2.20: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel
Preferences by Marital Status, Fall 2008
Table 2.21: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel
Preferences by No. of People in Household, Fall 2008
Table 2.22: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel
Allocation by Children/No. of Children in Household, Fall 2008
Table 2.23: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel
      Preferences by Age of Children in Household, Fall 2008
      Table 2.24: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel
      Preferences by Type of Residence, Fall 2008
      Table 2.25: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel
      Preferences by Value of Residence, Fall 2008

Chapter 3: Bookstore Performance and Challenges
     Introduction
      The Importance of Bookstores Over Other Channels
      Bookstore Trends
      Superstores and Small-Format Store Closings
      Performance and Outlook of the Big Three Chains
      Barnes & Noble
      Borders Group
      Books-A-Million
      Profit Margins at the Big Three Chains
      Independent Booksellers and Small Chains

      Table 3.1: Bookstore Users: Key Statistics and Demographics
      Table 3.2: Number of Superstore Outlets, 2004-2008
      Table 3.3: Big Three Store Outlets by State
      Table 3.4: Growth in Superstore Sales, Major Retail Chains, 2004-2008
      Table 3.5: Big Three Bookstore Chains Operating Performance, 2004-2008
      Table 3.6: Who Is the Most Common/Least Common Customer at Your
      Store?_51
      Table 3.7: What One Factor Results in the Most Increased Store Traffic at
      Independents?
      Table 3.8: How Was the First Three Months of 2009 at Your Store Compared to
      the Same Period in 2008?

Chapter 4: Internet Retailing and Digital Distribution
     Introduction
      Amazon.com
The Big Three
      eBay and the Purveyance of Used Books
      E-Books
      Online Book Buyer Characteristics

      Table 4.1: Amazon‟s North American and Total Media Sales Growth, 2002-2009
      Table 4.2: Amazon‟s North American Media Sales as a Percentage of Total
      Sales, 2002-2009
      Table 4.3: Revenue Leading Online Booksellers, 2004-2008
      Table 4.4: Book Auctions on eBay, July 2008-March 2009
      Table 4.5: Book Auctions on eBay with Store Inventories Included, August 2008-
      March 2009
      Table 4.6: Devices Used to Read E-Books
      Table 4.7: Online Book Buyers: Key Statistics and Demographics

Chapter 5: The Growth of Non-Bookstore Retailers and Their Impact
     Introduction
      Overview of Buyers

      Table 5.1: Number of Stores, Big Three vs. Big Box
      Table 5.2: Big Three, Walmart and Target Store Outlets by State, 2008
      Table 5.3: Price Comparison of the Top 10 Bestselling Books at Select Stores,
      April 2009
      Table 5.4: “Other” Users: Key Statistics and Demographics

Chapter 6: Consumer Psychographics
     Introduction

      Table 6.1: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Attitudes and
      Opinions of the Internet by Channel, Fall 2008
      Table 6.2: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Attitudes and
      Opinions of Television by Channel, Fall 2008
      Table 6.3: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Attitudes and
      Opinions of Advertising by Channel, Fall 2008
      Table 6.4: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Attitudes and
      Opinions of Shopping by Channel, Fall 2008
Table 6.5: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Impulse
       Shopping Habits by Channel, Fall 2008

Chapter 7: Conclusions and Recommendations
     Introduction
       Recommendations

Chapter 8: Channel Profiles
     Introduction

       Table 8.1: Book Club Users: Key Statistics and Demographics
       Table 8.2: Book Store Users: Key Statistics and Demographics
       Table 8.3: Online Book Users: Key Statistics and Demographics
       Table 8.4: “Other” Users: Key Statistics and Demographics

Profiles of Leading Booksellers
       Amazon.com
       Barnes & Noble
       Books-A-Million
       Borders Group
       eBay Inc.




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Trends in Trade Book Retailing 2009

  • 1. Get more info on this report! Trends in Trade Book Retailing 2009 June 5, 2009 A sister report to our annual Business of Consumer Book Publishing and new for 2009, Trends in Trade Book Retailing compiles national data on who is buying books, what they're buying and where they‟re buying them, as well as detailed overviews of the major channels and how their market share is trending. The one-upmanship of Amazon, Walmart and Target's price war for new hardcover releases in fall 2009 was foreshadowed in the report, which also spells out the consumer share of online and non-bookstore retailing channels. The report provides a “scorecard” for each channel—bookstores, the Internet, book clubs, and “other”—and a demographic overview of the average consumer who uses each, including book clubs. Simba compiled data from Simmons Market Research Bureau‟s national consumer survey for this analysis. The four channels are also ranked by the estimated number of customers, what formats they buy, and how many titles the consumers purchase. To gain a better understanding of the relationship consumers have with books on the retail level, Simba has added this essential analysis to its research collection. With the book retailing segment as challenged as it is, no publisher, retailer, or industry analyst can afford not to have this vital tool. Additional Information Stamford, CT—October 19, 2009—Simba Information, which recently produced the groundbreaking Trade E-Book Publishing 2009 and Overview of the U.S. Comic Book & Graphic Novel Market, this year also added Trends in Trade Book Retailing 2009 to its research offerings. The one-upmanship of Amazon and Walmart's recent price war is foreshadowed in the report, which also spells out the consumer share of online and non-bookstore retailing channels.
  • 2. “A lot of the coverage over what happened last week between Amazon and Walmart makes it look like this price war came out of the blue," Michael Norris, senior analyst at Simba Information. "But Wal-Mart has expanded its presence in books quietly for years, and our ongoing pricing analysis tells us the two companies have been paying attention to each other for some time." While the total number of bookstores in the U.S. has shrunk significantly over the years, the number of big-box department stores has jumped, the Simba study found. “Big-box stores have a place in the retailing ecosystem, but when you combine the convenience of the „non-bookstores‟ with their ability to sell popular books at a loss you get a volatile situation for the entire industry.” According to the report, the number of U.S. adults who have bought books at a non- bookstore physical retail location exceeds the number who purchase books online by about 10 million consumers. The report also provides a “scorecard” for each channel—bookstores, the Internet, book clubs, and “other”—and a demographic overview of the average consumer who uses each, including book clubs. Simba compiled data from Simmons Market Research Bureau‟s national consumer survey for this analysis. The four channels are also ranked by the estimated number of customers, what formats they buy, and how many titles the consumers purchase. For additional information please visit www.simbainformation.com or contact Warren Pawlowski at 203-325-8193 x114. About Simba Information: Simba Information is widely recognized as the leading authority for market intelligence in the media and publishing industry. Simba's extensive information network delivers top quality, independent perspective on the people, events and alliances shaping the media and information industry. Simba provides consulting and reports that provide key decision-makers at more than 15,000 client companies around the globe with timely analysis, exclusive statistics and proprietary industry forecasts. For more information, please visit www.simbainformation.com. TABLE OF CONTENTS Methodology Executive Summary Chapter 1: Introduction Introduction
  • 3. Chapter 2: Channel Trends & Demographics Introduction Estimated Size of the Book Market (Retail Level) The Four Channels Other Trends in Book Retailing Demographic Data and the Channels Gender Age Race Region and Metro Markets Education Level Employment Status Profession Individual & Household Income Marital Status No. of People in Household No. of Children in Household Age of Children in Household Type and Value of Residence Table 2.1: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Consumers Who Did/Did Not Buy a Book in Previous 12 Months Table 2.2: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Sales Channel Trends Table 2.3: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Buying Books as Gifts, Fall 2008 Table 2.4: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Customer Trends Table 2.5: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Sales Channel Trends
  • 4. Table 2.6: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): The Channels Crossed Against Themselves, Fall 2008 Table 2.7: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel Allocations - Type of Book Purchased, Fall 2008 Table 2.8: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel Allocation - No. of Hardcover Books Purchased, Fall 2008 Table 2.9: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel Allocation - No. of Paperback Books Purchased, Fall 2008 Table 2.10: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel Preferences by Gender, Fall 2008 Table 2.11: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel Preferences by Age, Fall 2008 Table 2.12: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel Preferences by Race, Fall 2008 Table 2.13: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel Preferences by Region, Fall 2008 Table 2.14: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel Preferences by Metro Market, Fall 2008 Table 2.15: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel Preferences by Education Level, Fall 2008 Table 2.16: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel Preferences by Employment Status, Fall 2008 Table 2.17: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel Preferences by Profession, Fall 2008 Table 2.18: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel Preferences by Individual Income, Fall 2008 Table 2.19: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel Preferences by Household Income, Fall 2008 Table 2.20: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel Preferences by Marital Status, Fall 2008 Table 2.21: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel Preferences by No. of People in Household, Fall 2008 Table 2.22: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel Allocation by Children/No. of Children in Household, Fall 2008
  • 5. Table 2.23: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel Preferences by Age of Children in Household, Fall 2008 Table 2.24: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel Preferences by Type of Residence, Fall 2008 Table 2.25: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Channel Preferences by Value of Residence, Fall 2008 Chapter 3: Bookstore Performance and Challenges Introduction The Importance of Bookstores Over Other Channels Bookstore Trends Superstores and Small-Format Store Closings Performance and Outlook of the Big Three Chains Barnes & Noble Borders Group Books-A-Million Profit Margins at the Big Three Chains Independent Booksellers and Small Chains Table 3.1: Bookstore Users: Key Statistics and Demographics Table 3.2: Number of Superstore Outlets, 2004-2008 Table 3.3: Big Three Store Outlets by State Table 3.4: Growth in Superstore Sales, Major Retail Chains, 2004-2008 Table 3.5: Big Three Bookstore Chains Operating Performance, 2004-2008 Table 3.6: Who Is the Most Common/Least Common Customer at Your Store?_51 Table 3.7: What One Factor Results in the Most Increased Store Traffic at Independents? Table 3.8: How Was the First Three Months of 2009 at Your Store Compared to the Same Period in 2008? Chapter 4: Internet Retailing and Digital Distribution Introduction Amazon.com
  • 6. The Big Three eBay and the Purveyance of Used Books E-Books Online Book Buyer Characteristics Table 4.1: Amazon‟s North American and Total Media Sales Growth, 2002-2009 Table 4.2: Amazon‟s North American Media Sales as a Percentage of Total Sales, 2002-2009 Table 4.3: Revenue Leading Online Booksellers, 2004-2008 Table 4.4: Book Auctions on eBay, July 2008-March 2009 Table 4.5: Book Auctions on eBay with Store Inventories Included, August 2008- March 2009 Table 4.6: Devices Used to Read E-Books Table 4.7: Online Book Buyers: Key Statistics and Demographics Chapter 5: The Growth of Non-Bookstore Retailers and Their Impact Introduction Overview of Buyers Table 5.1: Number of Stores, Big Three vs. Big Box Table 5.2: Big Three, Walmart and Target Store Outlets by State, 2008 Table 5.3: Price Comparison of the Top 10 Bestselling Books at Select Stores, April 2009 Table 5.4: “Other” Users: Key Statistics and Demographics Chapter 6: Consumer Psychographics Introduction Table 6.1: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Attitudes and Opinions of the Internet by Channel, Fall 2008 Table 6.2: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Attitudes and Opinions of Television by Channel, Fall 2008 Table 6.3: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Attitudes and Opinions of Advertising by Channel, Fall 2008 Table 6.4: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Attitudes and Opinions of Shopping by Channel, Fall 2008
  • 7. Table 6.5: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Impulse Shopping Habits by Channel, Fall 2008 Chapter 7: Conclusions and Recommendations Introduction Recommendations Chapter 8: Channel Profiles Introduction Table 8.1: Book Club Users: Key Statistics and Demographics Table 8.2: Book Store Users: Key Statistics and Demographics Table 8.3: Online Book Users: Key Statistics and Demographics Table 8.4: “Other” Users: Key Statistics and Demographics Profiles of Leading Booksellers Amazon.com Barnes & Noble Books-A-Million Borders Group eBay Inc. Available immediately for Online Download at http://www.marketresearch.com/product/display.asp?productid=2088304 US: 800.298.5699 UK +44.207.256.3920 Int'l: +1.240.747.3093 Fax: 240.747.3004