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The Age of Dissonance
1.
THE AGE OF
DISSONANCE MARKETERS’ TRUST IN DIGITAL DRIVES SPEND DESPITE CHALLENGES Copyright © 2020 The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute. NIELSEN ANNUAL MARKETING REPORT
2.
2Copyright © 2020
The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute. WELCOME TO NIELSEN’S ANNUAL MARKETING REPORT SECOND EDITION 2019-2020 Marketing is undergoing a transformation. For the first time, many of you committed to spending more of your ad dollars in digital media. Digital now captures more than half of all advertising spending in the U.S.1 But how do marketers perceive the effectiveness of all the new channels at their disposal? Are those insights driven by measurement data they can trust? How does perception versus reality ultimately influence budget decisions? We surveyed over 350 marketers around the globe to get answers and found that your enthusiasm for digital was tempered by severe data quality issues and measurement challenges. Digital has made the customer journey more complex. With new metrics, platforms and tools, measuring that journey is even more difficult. While digital channels continue to gain ground, the ambivalence isn’t gone. Many of you feel you don’t have the right tools to measure and compare the ROI of your ad campaigns across all the channels you use. Investments in media are sometimes driven by a sense of effectiveness that isn’t entirely grounded in reality, leading to wasted spend and huge missed opportunities. To maintain a seat at the table, you need to prove how your marketing strategy improves the top and bottom line. The detailed findings in this report offer a powerful view into the current state of the industry. We hope they’ll help you understand the dynamics at play and identify promising areas of development for you and your media partners. For us at Nielsen, these findings are a stark reminder that the measurement industry—while evolving in leaps and bounds—still has a lot of work ahead to help you unlock the full potential of your marketing campaigns. 1 2018 Nielsen CMO Report
3.
3Copyright © 2020
The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute. CONTENTS Perception, confidence and spending decisions ............... 4 Findings summary .............................................................. 5 1. Digital media budgets follow perception, not reality ..................................... 6 2. Brands shrug off data quality issues ....................... 11 3. Digital will break down advertising and promotion silos .............................. 13 4. Obstacles hinder OTT advertising ............................ 15 5. Marketers favor new customers over old ............... 17 Recommendations for marketers................................... 19 Next steps........................................................................... 20 About this report............................................................... 20 1 2 3 4 5
4.
4Copyright © 2020
The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute. DIGITAL PERCEPTION, CONFIDENCE AND SPENDING Digital has turned the business of marketing on its head. We’re long past the time when a consumer purchase decision could be traced back to a single point of contact: a mailed-in coupon, in-store discount, or even TV campaign. Knowing which channels will reach consumers along an increasingly fragmented purchase path—and measuring their performance—make it difficult to create the marketing mix that works best. But these aren’t the only challenges facing marketers today. In this year’s edition of the Nielsen Marketing Report2 , we studied the psychology of the modern marketer. We asked how they perceive the effectiveness of all of those channels, even when ROI measurement isn’t very clear, and whether this new multi-channel environment is changing how they see their role as marketers. Our research shows that marketers today are holding digital channels to a different standard than traditional channels. The novelty factor is strong, and a digital channel that’s perceived to be effective invites more spending even when that effectiveness cannot be readily verified. Traditional channels don’t have that luxury. We hope you’ll enjoy this report and put in practice some of its recommendations! 2 Nielsen Annual Marketing Report, second edition 2019-2020 is based on a comprehensive survey conducted between January-March 2019 and includes responses from marketers at more than 350 brands and agencies.
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The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute. FINDINGS SUMMARY DIGITAL MEDIA BUDGETS FOLLOW PERCEPTION, NOT REALITY Novelty plays a role in marketers’ confidence, and a digital channel that’s perceived to be effective invites more spending even when that effectiveness cannot be readily verified. Measurement and a channel’s perceived effectiveness are aligned, but not always. Newer channels tend to get the benefit of the doubt. BRANDS SHRUG OFF DATA QUALITY ISSUES Despite the negative outcomes of using poor quality data, data quality is a top priority for only a quarter of marketers, well behind targeting, ad creative and reach. Brands are often less concerned than their agency about how data quality might affect the success of their campaigns. DIGITAL WILL BREAK DOWN ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION SILOS Marketers place a much higher priority on advertising than they do on promotions, with paid media often favored by agencies and earned media by brands. But digital will disrupt conventional silos, rewiring promotions and creating new opportunities. 1 2 3 OBSTACLES HINDER OTT ADVERTISING One of the most promising new channels for advertising is over-the-top (OTT) TV, but its development is currently hampered by a variety of issues that will need to be addressed to fulfill its potential. MARKETERS FAVOR NEW CUSTOMERS OVER OLD Despite the value of existing customers, marketers prioritize acquiring new customers and increasing brand awareness. Retaining customers is a distant third, while preventing churn is least important. 4 5
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6Copyright © 2020
The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute. DIGITAL MEDIA BUDGETS FOLLOW PERCEPTION, NOT REALITY NEWER CHANNELS GET BENEFIT OF THE DOUBT, DESPITE LACK OF CONFIDENCE IN ROI Our analysis found that novelty plays a huge role in marketers’ confidence, and newer channels tend to get the benefit of the doubt—even when measurement and a channel’s perceived effectiveness aren’t necessarily aligned. Moreover, a digital channel that’s perceived to be effective invites more spending even when that effectiveness cannot be readily verified—a scary proposition when millions of dollars could be at stake. As Figure 1.1 shows, we asked respondents to rate what they perceive to be the effectiveness of paid digital media channels for their business.3 FINDING #1 FIG 1.1 MOST EFFECTIVE PAID DIGITAL MEDIA CHANNELS Search 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Video (online / mobile) Social Media Email Display (online / mobile) Native Advertising OTT / Connected- TV Streaming Audio Podcasts 3 We combine mobile and online/programmatic for both display and video ads to focus our analysis on the format of the ad rather than the device (computer, tablet or smartphone).
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7Copyright © 2020
The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute. As was the case in the 2018 report, paid search and social media are at the top of the list, and they’re joined this year by the video category. For all the other channels, less than half of all respondents consider them effective. This isn’t surprising for digital channels where advertising is a relatively new development (such as podcasts, streaming audio or native advertising). OTT falls into that group as well, with virtually no improvement over last year (from 40% in 2018 to 41% this year). Figure 1.2 shows that agencies are slightly more confident than their clients in the effectiveness of digital channels across the board, but for the most part they rate them in the same order. FIG 1.2 MOST EFFECTIVE PAID DIGITAL MEDIA CHANNELS FOR BRANDS AND AGENCIES Search 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Video (online / mobile) Social Media Email Display (online / mobile) Native Advertising OTT / Connected- TV Streaming Audio Podcasts Brands Agencies
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The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute. 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Email Search Display (online / mobile) Video (online / mobile) Social Media Native Advertising OTT / Connected- TV Streaming Audio Podcasts FIG 1.3 CONFIDENCE IN ROI MEASUREMENT FOR DIGITAL CHANNELS Yet the perceived effectiveness of certain channels isn’t necessarily tied to marketers’ confidence in their ability to measure ROI, as shown in figure 1.3. Among digital channels, email comes out as the digital channel that marketers have the most confidence in (with 67% of respondents being very confident that they know how to measure its ROI), followed by search (63%) and display (53%). Those results make sense, considering that those are the digital channels that have been around the longest.
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The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute. ISTHISMEDIAEFFECTIVEFORYOURBUSINESS? HOWDOYOUEXPECTYOURBUDGETTOCHANGE FORTHISMEDIAOVERTHE12MONTHS? Not at all Effective 0 50%+ 0%-49% 0%-49% No Change 50%+ Not so Effective Somewhat Effective Very Effective Extremely Effective Bubble size: number of respondents in that group. The data covers all digital media channels. FIG 1.4 FUTURE BUDGETS FOR DIGITAL CHANNELS AS A FUNCTION OF MEDIA EFFECTIVENESS Yet social media and video aren’t faring as well as they did on the effectiveness scale: marketers evidently have a lot of faith in these relatively new digital channels and tend to call them effective without being absolutely confident in their ability to measure ROI. In fact, when we analyzed the correlation between a channel’s perceived effectiveness and a marketer’s decision to invest more money into it over the next 12 months, we found that they’re willing to continue to invest in a digital channel even if that channel’s performance is lackluster. Figure 1.4 shows that analysis for digital media. The size of each bubble is proportional to the number of respondents in that particular group.
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The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute. The story is very different for traditional media. Figure 1.5 shows the exact same analysis, but this time for traditional media such as linear TV, radio or print. Those channels have been around for much longer, and their effectiveness is not a guarantee that budgets will increase. Consciously or not, marketers seem to hold traditional channels to a higher standard. FIG 1.5 FUTURE BUDGETS FOR TRADITIONAL CHANNELS AS A FUNCTION OF MEDIA EFFECTIVENESS ISTHISMEDIAEFFECTIVEFORYOURBUSINESS? HOWDOYOUEXPECTYOURBUDGETTOCHANGE FORTHISMEDIAOVERTHE12MONTHS? Not at all Effective 0 50%+ 0%-49% 0%-49% No Change 50%+ Not so Effective Somewhat Effective Very Effective Extremely Effective Bubble size: number of respondents in that group. The data covers all traditional media channels. • Gut feel isn’t good enough anymore. Acknowledge that your media decisions today are to some extent driven by perceptions rather than hard data, and seek out measurement solutions to confirm that your decisions are well-founded. • While it can be hard to detect which of your marketing activities are changing consumer behavior, relying on assumptions isn’t the answer. Partner with industry experts to climb the learning curve and feel confident that your investments are paying off. MARKETER’STAKEAWAY
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The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute. BRANDS SHRUG OFF DATA QUALITY ISSUES DATA QUALITY IS ALARMINGLY LOW PRIORITY Running an effective advertising campaign starts with setting the right objectives and having a good idea of how to use all the media channels at one’s disposal. But once the strategy is in place, what are modern marketers focusing on? The top priorities are targeting and reaching an audience with the best creatives possible. Figure 2.1 shows that audience targeting is ranked at the top by the most number of respondents (53%), followed by ad creative (37%), audience reach (31%) and data quality (28%). Brands value data quality even less so than agencies do. This could become a problem in the long term. Companies typically have access to much more data about their brands than their agencies do (first-party customer data, partner data, multi-campaign performance data, historical trends, etc.). FINDING #2 FIG 2 MARKETING CAMPAIGN PRIORITIES 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Audience Targeting Ad Creative Audience Reach Data Quality Personalization AI/Machine Learning Path-to- Purchase Publisher Placement
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The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute. The quality of that data is paramount. The fact that brands rank the importance of data quality last is alarming. Without accurate data, marketers must question the validity of any insight. This is a sign that the industry must invest more heavily in educating front line marketers on the value of their data assets. • Don’t be misled about the importance of data quality. Focus on improving data quality as much as you focus on reaching and targeting your audience. None of that targeting will hit the mark if the data that sustains it isn’t accurate. MARKETER’STAKEAWAY
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The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute. DIGITAL WILL BREAK DOWN ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION SILOS TRADE PROMOTIONS ARE RIPE FOR DISRUPTION Marketers view all forms of media (paid, owned and earned) as much more critical to their success than trade promotions. Figure 3 shows that owned media, for instance, is very important to nearly 85% of respondents, but promotion barely hits the 30% mark for brands. That’s a surprising result, considering the fact that brands generally spend more on trade promotions than they do on advertising4 , but that’s also a reminder that trade spending is often seen as a cost of doing business outside of the purview of the marketing department. FINDING #3 4 Nielsen: Overcoming the barriers to superior trade promotion effectiveness FIG 3 RELATIVE IMPORTANCE OF MEDIA CATEGORIES FOR BRANDS AND AGENCIES Brands Paid Media Owned Media Earned Media Trade Promotion Agencies 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
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The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute. • Don’t discount the value of promotions for your brand: Use them to learn about your customers and prepare for tech-enable promotions. • Make sure your agency doesn’t focus disproportionately on paid media and engage them to contribute more to earned media. MARKETER’STAKEAWAY This might have been the case back when trade promotions were limited to one-for-all coupon booklets in Sunday newspapers and marketers had no way to pinpoint their audiences. In today’s world, treating promotions as a cost of goods sold is a missed opportunity. Trade promotions are ripe for disruption. Digital will break down the silos between trade and above the line spend. Future technology such as augmented reality/virtual reality will reduce trial and error and give greater control in-store, enabling better planning and optimization.
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The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute. OBSTACLES HAMPER OTT ADOPTION BRANDS SLOW TO PURSUE PROMISING NEW CHANNEL OTT has the potential to be the ultimate advertising platform: a bridge between traditional and digital media, it combines, on paper at least, the reach and captive audiences of television with the addressability of paid search and video. But there are many reasons why it hasn’t been more widely adopted. Figure 4.1 shows that concerns associated with measurement capabilities give pause to the largest number of marketers (62%). Internal knowledge gaps play a big role as well (58%). The most striking finding is that OTT adoption as an advertising platform is hampered by a wide variety of challenges—not just one or two. But savvy marketers who want to be the first to this new channel before the competition crowds in have opportunity. Marketing success boils down to your ability to detect the complex web of factors that affect consumer decisions. Partnering with vendors to fill coverage gaps is one way brands can overcome these obstacles. FINDING #4 FIG 4.1 OBSTACLES TO OTT ADOPTION AS AN ADVERTISING PLATFORM 58% INTERNALKNOWLEDGEGAPS 53% MEDIAPLANNINGEFFICIENCY/TRANSPARENCY 50% ADVERTISINGINVENTORYSCALE 62% MEASUREMENTCAPABILITIES 40% ORGANIZATIONALBUY-IN 47% AUDIENCETARGETING 47% ADVERTISINGINVENTORYQUALITY 38% OVERLAPWITHLINEARTVMEDIA
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The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute. There are a few key differences between brands and agencies: Brands see measurement capabilities and targeting as taller obstacles to overcome than agencies do, while agencies see more obstacles than brands do in ad inventory scale and quality. Figure 4.2 illustrates those differences as well as the many similarities between the two groups of respondents. FIG 4.2 BRANDS AND AGENCIES VIEW OBSTACLES SLIGHTLY DIFFERENTLY 65% 57% 59% 57% INTERNALKNOWLEDGEGAPS 54% 52% MEDIAPLANNINGEFFICIENCY/ TRANSPARENCY 46% 56% 39% 37% 40% 42% 50% 43% 43% 55% ADVERTISINGINVENTORYSCALE MEASUREMENTCAPABILITIES ORGANIZATIONALBUY-IN AUDIENCETARGETING ADVERTISINGINVENTORYQUALITY OVERLAPWITHLINEARTVMEDIA Brands Agencies • Get ready: industry partners are ramping up OTT measurement solutions. Build your in-house skill set to prepare. • Test small-scale campaigns, work on internal buy-in, and start forming media and technology partnerships to hit the ground running. MARKETER’STAKEAWAY
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17Copyright © 2020
The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute. MARKETERS PRIORITIZE NEW CUSTOMERS OVER OLD CHURN IS LAST PRIORITY Most advertisers accept the 80/20 rule as true: In general, approximately 80% of a company’s revenue and profits come from approximately 20% of its customers. Despite the value of existing customers, marketers prioritize acquiring new customers and increasing brand awareness. When we asked respondents to rank marketing objectives in order of importance to their business, acquiring new customers comes out on top for 41% of all respondents (Figure 5.1). For 28% of respondents, increasing brand awareness is the top priority. Customer retention came in a distant third at just 13%, while preventing churn is least important. This lack of focus on churn is a missed opportunity for marketers. Recent Nielsen research found that global disloyalty is growing, with just 8% of consumers considering themselves firm loyalists to products. FINDING #5 FIG 5.1 TOP MARKETING OBJECTIVES What is your most important marketing objective? 41% 28% 13% 5% 6% 8% Acquire customers Increase awareness Retain customers Encourage advocacy Beat competitor Reduce churn
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18Copyright © 2020
The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute. These findings suggest the 80/20 rule may not be as golden as it used to be. Since brands can no longer rely on the strength of their household names to keep customers coming back for more, marketers need to adjust their marketing tactics and investments to boost—or more likely recapture—retention. Figure 5.2 takes into account not just the top priority for each respondent, but also how they ranked every other answer. It shows the same overall ranking as Figure 5.1, but also highlights the spread in their answers and points out differences between brands and agencies. Agencies seem to operate under more emphatic directives from their clients (more spread in their answers), which isn’t surprising considering that they’re more likely to focus on the narrow objectives of a particular campaign (e.g., ‘develop a campaign specifically to retain customers’) while a brand might be focused on the bigger picture and assign separate objectives to different agencies. FIG 5.2. RELATIVE IMPORTANCE OF MARKETING OBJECTIVES BRANDS AGENCIES ALLRESPONDENTS (least important) (average important) (most important) Retain customers Increase awareness Acquire customers Reduce churn Beat competitor Encourage advocacy MARKETER’STAKEAWAY • Segment high-value customers to guide media planning and messaging strategies. • Communicate your campaign objectives clearly to your agency. Don’t assume they know what your priorities are.
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19Copyright © 2020
The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute. RECOMMENDATIONS FOR MARKETERS Follow these tactical recommendations to get the most value from your investments and improve marketing effectiveness. • Communicate your campaign objectives clearly to your agency. Don’t assume they know what your priorities are. • Make sure your agency doesn’t focus disproportionately on paid media and engage them to contribute more to earned media. Don’t discount the value of promotions for your brand: use them to learn about your customers. • Focus on improving data quality as much as you do on reaching and targeting your audience. None of that targeting will hit the mark if the data that sustains it isn’t accurate. • Invest in paid search, video and social media but don’t neglect email, linear TV and other channels that might be well-suited to your marketing objectives. • Get ready: industry partners are ramping up OTT measurement solutions. Build your in-house skill set to prepare. Test small-scale campaigns, work on internal buy-in, and start forming media and technology partnerships to hit the ground running. • Don’t base your marketing on guesswork. Measuring ROI is not easy: partner with industry experts today to climb the learning curve and feel more confident that your investments are paying off. • Acknowledge that your media decisions today are to some extent driven by perceptions rather than hard data, and seek out measurement solutions to confirm that your decisions are well-founded.
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20Copyright © 2020
The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute. NEXT STEPS Our research found that the perception of a channel’s effectiveness rather than hard data sometimes drives media planning. Marketers (especially agencies) are bullish on relatively new digital channels such as paid search, video or social media, and they give these channels the benefit of the doubt while they hold more established channels to a higher standard. This is the natural course of progress, but some marketers are justifiably getting nervous that the payoff might not measure up to the enthusiasm. The good news is that the industry is hard at work to bring credible measurement solutions to market, to not just make sense of these new channels but also compare performance across all channels, old and new. These solutions will level the playing field. We encourage you to contact your data partners and get involved. ABOUT THIS REPORT We collected the data for this report from marketers contacted via newsletter and through follow-up emails in 2019. The sample consists of 247 brand executives and 116 agency executives, for a total of 363 respondents. 74% of survey respondents are based in the U.S., 5% in Canada and 3% in the U.K. Nearly 12% work in the CPG industry. In terms of job positions, 47% are responsible for the marketing function at their company and 18% operate primarily in their company’s analytics / research department. Close to 80% of participants are at the Director-level and above, 45% at the VP-level and above, and 16% sit in the executive suite. We wish to thank all respondents for their time and invaluable input. This research would not be possible without their attention to detail and thoughtful contributions. Individual survey data and participant lists are held in strict confidence.
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21 ABOUT NIELSEN Nielsen Holdings
plc (NYSE: NLSN) is a global measurement and data analytics company that provides the most complete and trusted view available of consumers and markets worldwide. Our approach marries proprietary Nielsen data with other data sources to help clients around the world understand what’s happening now, what’s happening next, and how to best act on this knowledge. For more than 90 years Nielsen has provided data and analytics based on scientific rigor and innovation, continually developing new ways to answer the most important questions facing the media, advertising, retail and fast-moving consumer goods industries. An S&P 500 company, Nielsen has operations in over 100 countries, covering more than 90% of the world’s population. For more information, visit www.nielsen.com Copyright © 2020 The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute.
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At Nielsen, data
drives everything we do—even art. That’s why we used real data to create this image. Copyright © 2020 The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute.
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