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PHILIPS DigiSummit - A startup approach to hacking markets

  1. @jeroentjepkema Philips DigiSummit, 3 November 2016 A startup approach to hacking markets
  2. Slides: bit.ly/MW-PDS16
  3. The best pitch ever: The Penny Machinehttps://medium.com/@acroll/the-penny-machine-ec1bd0a0ebc5
  4. An entrepreneur walks into a boardroom: Entrepreneur: Does anyone have a penny on them? Investor 1: Yes, here’s one... Entrepreneur: Now watch! (The entrepeneur puts the penny in the machine, there’s a pause, and then a shiny nickel tumbles out of the machine) Investor 2: That’s a great trick, do it again... (The entrepeneur again puts the penny in the machine, there’s a pause, and then again a shiny nickel tumbles out of the machine) Investor 1: How many pennies an hour can I put in there? Entrepreneur: It takes 5 seconds to cool down, so you can insert 720 pennies an hour. That’s $36 in nickels and hour, with a margin of 80% (the audience pauses) Investor 1: Can I put nickels into it? Entrepreneur: I’ve tried it with dimes, it works. It produces neatly folded dollar bills. I haven’t tried more than that Investor 2: How many machines can you make an run at once? Entrepreneur: I think we can have five hundred running around the clock Investor 2: One more questions and I think we have a deal. Why can’t someone else build one? Entrepreneur: I have intellectual property protection and I’ve signed an exclusive agreement with the US mint.... http://differentbetterbook.comSee:https://medium.com/@acroll/the-penny-machine-ec1bd0a0ebc5
  5. The perfect pitch? http://differentbetterbook.comSee:
  6. Penny = Familiar http://differentbetterbook.comSee: The perfect pitch?
  7. Penny = Familiar Answers key questions http://differentbetterbook.comSee: The perfect pitch?
  8. Penny = Familiar Answers key questions http://differentbetterbook.comSee: The perfect pitch? Leading the customer
  9. Penny = Familiar Answers key questions http://differentbetterbook.comSee: The perfect pitch? Leading the customer customer in charge
  10. Penny = Familiar Answers key questions http://differentbetterbook.comSee: The perfect pitch? Business model = Product Leading the customer customer in charge
  11. Penny = Familiar Answers key questions Leading the customer customer in charge http://differentbetterbook.comSee: The perfect pitch? Business model = Product Customer = Intrinsic Motivation
  12. Building the perfect pitch for your (existing) products...
  13. Step 1: Hacking into current markets
  14. Current markets & channels are noisy!
  15. But most of all, users are skeptical and have the ability to check everything
  16. Enter positioning...
  17. Positioning brings focus to your entire organization, as it has to match every interaction a user has with both company, competitor and product...
  18. Position yourself: What kind of market am I chasing for my product?
  19. New Current Current New Market Product category Based on H. Igor Ansoff’s matrix
  20. New Current Current New Market Product category Dominate: Go for market leadership to increase revenues, market share and brand differentiation. Based on H. Igor Ansoff’s matrix
  21. New Current Current New Market Dominate: Go for market leadership to increase revenues, market share and brand differentiation. Segment: Wrap your product around customers understanding of market. High reward, less potential growth Based on H. Igor Ansoff’s matrix Product category
  22. New Current Current New Market Reframe: Beat leadership by creating new category from existing one. Focus on innovation Based on H. Igor Ansoff’s matrix Dominate: Go for market leadership to increase revenues, market share and brand differentiation. Product category Segment: Wrap your product around customers understanding of market. High reward, less potential growth
  23. New Current Current New Market Reframe: Beat leadership by creating new category from existing one. Focus on innovation Create new: Merge existing categories to create blue ocean. Convince the world for first mover advantage Based on H. Igor Ansoff’s matrix Dominate: Go for market leadership to increase revenues, market share and brand differentiation. Product category Segment: Wrap your product around customers understanding of market. High reward, less potential growth
  24. But what if I already have a product?
  25. Dominate: New Current Current New Entering Market Segment: Reframe: Create new: Based on H. Igor Ansoff’s matrix Business model Product Features Constraints? Your competitors?
  26. Dominate: New Current Current New Entering Market Segment: Reframe: Create new: Based on H. Igor Ansoff’s matrix $ & Categorize Add & Replace Business model Product Features Constraints? Your competitors?
  27. Dominate: New Current Current New Entering Market Segment: Reframe: Create new: Based on H. Igor Ansoff’s matrix $ & Categorize Add & Replace Business model Product Features Constraints? Your competitors?
  28. Dominate: New Current Current New Entering Market Segment: Reframe: Create new: Based on H. Igor Ansoff’s matrix $ & Categorize Add & Replace Stack&Conquer Business model Product Features Constraints? Your competitors?
  29. Dominate: New Current Current New Entering Market Segment: Reframe: Create new: Based on H. Igor Ansoff’s matrix $ & Categorize Add & Replace Stack&Conquer Pivot Business model Product Features Constraints? Your competitors?
  30. The Positioning Canvas (because all good things need one)
  31. A positioning statement describes your unique value for something that an identified market segment truly cares about http://differentbetterbook.comSee:
  32. What is it? A short statement that describes what you are/do Target Segment The specific target market you are targeting in the short term (aka which are the leads you’re most likely to close?) Market Category Describe the market that you’re competing in Competitive Alternatives If your customers don’t use you, what products/services do they use? Primary Differentiation The one thing (yes, one!) that sets you apart the most from competitive analysis? Key benefit The biggest benefit your target market derives from your offering? Positioning Canvas http://differentbetterbook.comSee:
  33. Step 2: Fail Fast, Learn Fast
  34. The core of lean is iteration...
  35. Data Ideas Product Measure Learn Build Lean = Iteration
  36. The faster you can iterate, the faster you can find the right product & market...
  37. Data Ideas Product Measure Learn Build 1 iteration = 1 Experiment Rapid MVP experiment framework
  38. Data Ideas Product Measure Learn Build 1 iteration = 1 Experiment Rapid MVP experiment framework Experiment Backlog Be Creative Teamwork Customer Validation Data Driven Positioning Framework
  39. Data Ideas Product Measure Learn Build 1 iteration = 1 Experiment Rapid MVP experiment framework Experiment Backlog Be Creative Teamwork Customer Validation Data Driven Positioning Framework Product Best Customer Core Values Customer Care On Boarding Channel activation Success? Implement into core product
  40. Data Ideas Product Measure Learn Build 1 iteration = 1 Experiment Rapid MVP experiment framework Experiment Backlog Be Creative Teamwork Customer Validation Data Driven Positioning Framework Product Best Customer Core Values Customer Care On Boarding Channel activation Success? Implement into core product Failure? Store data, rinse & repeat experiment
  41. Pirate Metrics = Your Framework
  42. Acquisition Activation Retention Revenue Referal AARRR Framework
  43. Anatomy of a web page AARRR = Search fo DNA of best bustomer
  44. “”Zero moment of Truth: That moment when you grab your laptop, mobile phone or other device and start learning about a product/service you’re thinking about trying. It’s a moment where consumers make choices that affect the success and failure of nearly every brand in the world...
  45. Customer Journey: Consider your Monday morning routine? Wake up What happens here? First coffee break
  46. Secret sauce?
  47. Repeatable growth comes from understanding how to market your product, finding your best user and how to acquire more of them...
  48. Why your experiments love positioning...
  49. Positioning. Your experiment umbrella: (re-)Framing Product Message map Market Positioning components http://differentbetterbook.comSee:
  50. Step 3: Product/Content Fit
  51. Best Customer Scaleable Product Business model Startup Corporate The startup challenge
  52. Best Customer Scaleable Product Business model Startup Corporate The startup challenge
  53. Product/Content fit: Turn your audience into a prospect http://solveforinteresting.com/building-a-message-map/
  54. Building a Message Map
  55. “Your best customer” “I need a vehicle to get around, be productive, and enjoy my life.” “I want to own a car because it’s convenient; it’s a personal relationship; I don’t trust others.” “I want to save money and fuel. I also care about the environment and want to be seen as ‘green’.” People who want to driveA. Prospective car buyersB. People looking for a hybridC. Honda Civic OwnersD. Everyone in the world
  56. “Your best customer” Those who don’t need cars •I’m too young to drive •I’m too old to drive •I can walk or take public transit Car users who won’t buy •It’s too expensive for me •I will use a shared car service •It’ll get stolen Those who won’t buy hybrids •Hybrids are gutless •Batteries are toxic & explosive •In the end it costs more than it saves I will buy another brand •I’ve always driven a VW •Toyotas are reliable •I want something prestigious “I need a vehicle to get around, be productive, and enjoy my life.” “I want to own a car because it’s convenient; it’s a personal relationship; I don’t trust others.” “I want to save money and fuel. I also care about the environment and want to be seen as ‘green’.” People who want to driveA. Prospective car buyersB. People looking for a hybridC. D. Everyone in the world Honda Civic Owners
  57. Targeted messaging
  58. Those who don’t need cars •I’m too young to drive •I’m too old to drive •I can walk or take public transit Car users who won’t buy •It’s too expensive for me •I will use a shared car service •It’ll get stolen Those who won’t buy hybrids •Hybrids are gutless •Batteries are toxic & explosive •In the end it costs more than it saves I will buy another brand •I’ve always driven a VW •Toyotas are reliable •I want something prestigious “I need a vehicle to get around, be productive, and enjoy my life.” “I want to own a car because it’s convenient; it’s a personal relationship; I don’t trust others.” “I want to save money and fuel. I also care about the environment and want to be seen as ‘green’.” People who want to driveA. Prospective car buyersB. People looking for a hybridC. D. Everyone in the world “Your best customer” “Isn’t it time you got out of the city?” campaign showing how cars make nature accessible & ridiculing urban hipsters. Ads showing how cars are needed any time (pregnancy, errands, urgent business) and how a car is a “personal assistant.” Urgency (“every time you drive a non- hybrid car you kill the planet a little”) and testimonials from buyers who’ve saved money. Honda branding ads and model- specific promotions. Referral campaign to encourage buyers to tell their friends Honda Civic Owners
  59. Evil messaging
  60. “I need a vehicle to get around, be productive, and enjoy my life.” “I want to own a car because it’s convenient; it’s a personal relationship; I don’t trust others.” “I want to save money and fuel. I also care about the environment and want to be seen as ‘green’.” People who want to driveA. Prospective car buyersB. People looking for a hybridC. D. Everyone in the world “Your best customer” Honda Civic Owners Those who don’t need cars •I’m too young to drive •I’m too old to drive •I can walk or take public transit Car users who won’t buy •It’s too expensive for me •I will use a shared car service •It’ll get stolen Those who won’t buy hybrids •Hybrids are gutless •Batteries are toxic & explosive •In the end it costs more than it saves I will buy another brand •I’ve always driven a VW •Toyotas are reliable •I want something prestigious Sponsor a driving school “Give the gift of driving” campaign for grandparents. Financing, cashback Sell to carshares; underscore their limitations PR on dangers of commuting, pedestrian deaths Independent tests, standard metrics (0-60 in X) Lab research, studies Spontaneous accel. stories Premium brand (Acura)
  61. It defines your marketing campaign
  62. http://www.yearonelabs.com/three-questions-all-marketers-must-answer/ Decide how you will know if it worked, or need to adjust? Who are you targeting? Size, reachability, homogeneity. What do you want them to do? Specific, measurable call to action. Why should they do it? Laid, paid, made, or afraid; message fits their mindset. How will you know if they did? Analytics, instrumentation.
  63. Using lean to get your message map...
  64. Scale Scale-up/Business Unit Message/ Solution Content Fit Growth Product Features Pain/ Gain Lean Experiment Cycles
  65. Pain/ Gain Message/ Solution Growth Product Features Message Best Customer Repeatable revenue Content Fit Lean Experiment Cycles Scale Scale-up/Business Unit “Growth hack”
  66. Scale Pain/ Gain Message/ Solution Growth Product Features Repeatable revenue Explorative (< 6 weeks) (Digital) Validation (< 6 weeks) Scale ($$$) Analytics stages “Growth hack” Content Fit Lean Experiment Cycles Message Best Customer Scale-up/Business Unit
  67. The power of explorative research
  68. 0 25 50 75 100 2007 2008 2009 2010 Untitled 1 Untitled 2 Untitled 3 Untitled 4 Untitled 5 Untitled 6 Untitled 7 Untitled 8 Untitled 9 Untitled 10 Untitled 11 Zipf’s law #mentions Keywords
  69. Step 4: Knowing what works, when?
  70. Why is Nigerian spam so badly written?
  71. Aunshul Rege of Rutgers University, USA in 2009 1000 emails 1-2 responses 1 fool and their money, parted. Bad language (0.1% conversion) Gullible (70% conversion) 1000 emails 100 responses 1 fool and their money, parted. Good language (10% conversion) Not-gullible (.07% conversion)
  72. Nigerian spammers have really learned to understand their target market and ‘best customers’
  73. Influencing behavior? Know what lever to pull
  74. Experimentation vs. Causation
  75. Correlated Two variables that are related (but may be dependent on something else.) Causal An independent variable that directly impacts a dependent one.
  76. Alarm clock Being Late Traffic
  77. Not knowing what normal behavior looks like makes us do stupid things...
  78. Alarm clock Being late Traffic Power Disaster Weather Bills Health GPS
  79. Adding common, large, effects to the model treats them as noise and turns causation into likelihood
  80. A leading, causal, connection is the analytics superpower...
  81. ‣ A Facebook user reaching 7 friends within 10 days of signing up (Chamath Palihapitiya) ‣ A Dropbox user who puts at least one file in one folder on one device (ChenLi Wang) ‣ Twitter user following a certain number of people, and a certain percentage of those people following the user back (Josh Elman) ‣ A LinkedIn user getting to X connections in Y days (Elliot Schmukler) Some examples (From the 2012 Growth Hacking conference. http://growthhackersconference.com/)
  82. The simplest rule of causation: If a metric doesn’t change behavior it’s a bad metric
  83. Stretching your resources?
  84. Your experiments, demystified. Find correlation Test causality Rinse & Repeat for optimum Pick 1 metric at a time
  85. Step 5: Replacing opinion with facts
  86. Analytics is the measurement of movement towards your business goals.
  87. In a startup, the purpose of analytics is to iterate to product/ market fit before the money runs out.
  88. In a corporate, the purpose of analytics is to replace opinion with facts.
  89. Complete Web Monitoring
  90. Complete Web Monitoring Web Analytics (what did they do on the site?)
  91. Complete Web Monitoring Web Analytics (what did they do on the site?) Usability (how did they interact with it?)
  92. Complete Web Monitoring Web Analytics (what did they do on the site?) Performance (could they do what they wanted to?) Usability (how did they interact with it?)
  93. Complete Web Monitoring Web Analytics (what did they do on the site?) Performance (could they do what they wanted to?) VoC (what were their motivations?) Usability (how did they interact with it?)
  94. Complete Web Monitoring Web Analytics (what did they do on the site?) Competition (what are they up to?) Performance (could they do what they wanted to?) VoC (what were their motivations?) Usability (how did they interact with it?)
  95. Complete Web Monitoring Web Analytics (what did they do on the site?) Competition (what are they up to?) Performance (could they do what they wanted to?) VoC (what were their motivations?) Usability (how did they interact with it?) Social Media (what were they saying?)
  96. Complete Web Monitoring Web Analytics (what did they do on the site?) Competition (what are they up to?) Performance (could they do what they wanted to?) VoC (what were their motivations?) Usability (how did they interact with it?) Social Media (what were they saying?) “Soft” data “Hard” data
  97. Putting a line in the sandAccounting...
  98. vs. Optimization
  99. Build your analytics stack
  100. Voice of Customer PerformanceUsabilityWeb Analytics Social Media Google Analytics Hotjar Usabilla Webpagetest Obi4Wan Mouseflow Optimizely Qualaroo Hotjar Soasta mPulseMixpanel Sprout Visual Web Optimizer Google Experiments SpeedCurveLocalytics IntercomWoopra Firebase
  101. Analytics stack @ Soundcloud Install Attribution In-App Events Campaign Measurement Screen Flows Conversion Funnels User Testing User/Device demographics Cohort Analysis Bug Tracking A/B Testing HeatMaps App Store Analytics Sentiment Tracking Keyword Performance CPU/Battery/ Network LTV modeling
  102. Holy Growth, Batman...
  103. Analytics is your oxygen. Pick one metric at a time Optimize for the right product/content fit Experiment! Rinse, repeat to find causation 2 3 4 1 Build your positioning statement Grow Better Products demystified Then, scale your AARRR funnel5
  104. Remember, Cycle time is everything
  105. Something to read...
  106. Thanks! More questions? M: jtjepkema@measureworks.nl T: @jeroentjepkema W: www.measureworks.nl View slides: bit.ly/MW-PDS16
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