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Research Findings on
SCHIP Funding Alternatives


  National Poll of Seniors


         July, 2007
The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007
                                                                     Slide 2




        Methodology
Survey of Seniors: A survey of likely 2008 voters age 65
and over. Survey conducted July 26th – July 30th.

Sample Size: 603
Margin of Error: ±4.0%
The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007
                                                 Slide 3




Outline


POLITICAL CONTEXT




MEDICARE ADVANTAGE




CIGARETTE TAX
The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007
                                                 Slide 4




Outline


POLITICAL CONTEXT




MEDICARE ADVANTAGE




CIGARETTE TAX
The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007
                                                                                             Slide 5




 Medicare remains the third rail of politics.
            Strongly             Moderately

                                                     Question:
                                                     One proposal currently in front of
                                                     Congress would cut funding to
Favor             9                                  Medicare to pay for the increase in
                                                     funding for children’s health
                                                     insurance.
                                                     Do you favor or oppose cutting
                                                     Medicare to fund children’s health
                                                     insurance?
                                                     Do you feel that way strongly or
Oppose                 61             16        77   moderately?




        0        20         40   60        80
The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007
                                                                                    Slide 6
Nearly two-thirds of all seniors would be less likely to
vote for their congressman if he or she voted to cut
funding for Medicare.
      Much               Somewhat

                                              Question:
  More                                        If your congressman voted to cut
  Likely       8                              funding to Medicare to pay for fifty
                                              billion dollars in funding for
                                              children’s health insurance, would
                                              you be more or less likely to vote
                                              for him or her in 2008?
 No Diff       5
                                              Is that much (MORE/LESS) likely
                                              or somewhat (MORE/LESS)
                                              likely?

  Less
  Likely
                    47         16        63

           0       20     40        60
The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007
                                                 Slide 7




Outline


POLITICAL CONTEXT




MEDICARE ADVANTAGE




CIGARETTE TAX
The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007
                                                                   Slide 8
Only 40 percent of seniors have heard of Medicare
Advantage, while 53 percent have not heard of the
program.



    Heard of Medicare
    Advantage                          40


    Have not heard of
    Medicare Advantage
                                                    7

    Unsure/refuse                53
The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007
                                                                                         Slide 9

Seniors heard a balanced description of
Medicare Advantage.

Question:
The part of Medicare that some people have proposed cutting is Medicare
Advantage, a part of Medicare that is administered by private health insurance
companies.
Medicare Advantage plans often have lower out-of-pocket costs for seniors.
Medicare Advantage plans cover more services than traditional Medicare, often
including vision, dental, and hearing benefits, as well as prescription drug coverage
and better preventative care.
Medicare Advantage costs the federal government 12 percent more than traditional
Medicare, meaning all of the other Medicare recipients pay about $2 more per
month to cover these costs. Medicare Advantage is administered by private health
insurance companies, leading to bigger profits for health insurance companies.
Do you favor or oppose cutting Medicare Advantage to fund children’s health
insurance programs?
The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007
                                                                                    Slide 10


 After hearing a balanced description, seniors opposed cutting
 Medicare Advantage to fund children’s health insurance.
        Strongly             Moderately
        Medicare Advantage Enrollees                Non MA Enrollees



Favor    4 10   14                             13   16       29




Oppose             49        12     61          28         12       40



         0      20      40     60     80   0        20         40         60         80
The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007
                                                                                              Slide 11

After hearing a balanced description of Medicare Advantage, seniors say
they would be less likely to support a member of Congress who voted to
cut Medicare Advantage in order to fund children’s health insurance.
          Much                   Somewhat
      Medicare Advantage Enrollees                        Non MA Enrollees


More
Likely
              8   12        20                       12        14         26



No Diff           5                                            8



Less
                      39              18    57            24            14          38
Likely


          0            20        40        60    0             20              40             60
The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007
                                                                           Slide 12



Subgroups

• Union Members:

  – Twenty-nine (29) percent of seniors identify as either current
    or former union members.

• AARP Members:

  – Fifty-seven (57) percent of seniors say they are members of
    AARP.

• Low Income Voters:

  – Twenty-seven (27) percent of seniors say their household
    income is less than $25,000 per year.
The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007

After hearing a balanced description of Medicare Advantage, union Slide 13
members say they would be less likely to support a member of Congress
who voted to cut Medicare Advantage in order to fund children’s health
insurance.

                        All Seniors                             Union Members

More
Likely
              11    13       24                       12    11         23



No Diff             8                                      7



Less
                   27         15        42                 29               15         44
Likely


          0             20         40        60   0             20             40             60
The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007

After hearing a balanced description of Medicare Advantage, AARP Slide 14
members say they would be less likely to support a member of Congress
who voted to cut Medicare Advantage in order to fund children’s health
insurance.

                        All Seniors                            AARP Members

More
Likely
              11    13       24                       9   15           24



No Diff             8                                      8



Less
                   27         15        42                28              16         44
Likely


          0             20         40        60   0            20             40             60
The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007
                                                                                                Slide 15
After hearing a balanced description of Medicare Advantage, low income
seniors say they would be less likely to support a member of Congress who
voted to cut Medicare Advantage in order to fund children’s health
insurance.

                        All Seniors               Income of Less than $25,000

More
              11    13       24                       13    13           26
Likely




No Diff             8                                  2



Less
                   27         15        42                 29              13        42
Likely


          0             20         40        60   0             20             40             60
The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007
                                                Slide 16




Outline


POLITICAL CONTEXT




MEDICARE ADVANTAGE




CIGARETTE TAX
The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007
                                                                                    Slide 17

 Over three-quarters of all seniors favor increasing the
 cigarette tax to fund children’s health insurance.
        Strongly             Moderately

                                             Question:
                                             Another proposal currently in front
Favor                                        of Congress would raise the tax on
                   66             10    76   cigarettes to pay for the increase in
                                             funding for children’s health
                                             insurance.
                                             Do you favor or oppose raising the
                                             tax on cigarettes to fund children’s
                                             health insurance programs?
                                             Do you feel that way strongly or
Oppose 16 3        19                        moderately?




        0    20         40   60        80
The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007
                                                                                      Slide 18
In order to fund SCHIP, nearly three-quarters of seniors would
prefer raising the cigarette tax instead of cutting Medicare
Advantage.
      Strongly                  Moderately

                                                  Question:
Increase                                          In order to fund children’s health
Cig Tax
                      63               11    74   insurance programs, would you
                                                  rather your congressman voted
                                                  to: (ROTATE)
                                                  Increase the cigarette tax by
Neither          12                               sixty-one cents to one dollar per
                                                  pack
                                                  OR
                                                  Cut funding to Medicare
Cut                                               Advantage?
Med Adv       5
                                                  Do you feel that way strongly or
                                                  moderately?
          0   20           40     60        80
Roy Temple
        Principal
 The Feldman Group, Inc.
Roy@thefeldmangroup.com
      202-547-3000


      July, 2007

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Medicare Powerpoint

  • 1. Research Findings on SCHIP Funding Alternatives National Poll of Seniors July, 2007
  • 2. The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007 Slide 2 Methodology Survey of Seniors: A survey of likely 2008 voters age 65 and over. Survey conducted July 26th – July 30th. Sample Size: 603 Margin of Error: ±4.0%
  • 3. The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007 Slide 3 Outline POLITICAL CONTEXT MEDICARE ADVANTAGE CIGARETTE TAX
  • 4. The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007 Slide 4 Outline POLITICAL CONTEXT MEDICARE ADVANTAGE CIGARETTE TAX
  • 5. The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007 Slide 5 Medicare remains the third rail of politics. Strongly Moderately Question: One proposal currently in front of Congress would cut funding to Favor 9 Medicare to pay for the increase in funding for children’s health insurance. Do you favor or oppose cutting Medicare to fund children’s health insurance? Do you feel that way strongly or Oppose 61 16 77 moderately? 0 20 40 60 80
  • 6. The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007 Slide 6 Nearly two-thirds of all seniors would be less likely to vote for their congressman if he or she voted to cut funding for Medicare. Much Somewhat Question: More If your congressman voted to cut Likely 8 funding to Medicare to pay for fifty billion dollars in funding for children’s health insurance, would you be more or less likely to vote for him or her in 2008? No Diff 5 Is that much (MORE/LESS) likely or somewhat (MORE/LESS) likely? Less Likely 47 16 63 0 20 40 60
  • 7. The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007 Slide 7 Outline POLITICAL CONTEXT MEDICARE ADVANTAGE CIGARETTE TAX
  • 8. The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007 Slide 8 Only 40 percent of seniors have heard of Medicare Advantage, while 53 percent have not heard of the program. Heard of Medicare Advantage 40 Have not heard of Medicare Advantage 7 Unsure/refuse 53
  • 9. The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007 Slide 9 Seniors heard a balanced description of Medicare Advantage. Question: The part of Medicare that some people have proposed cutting is Medicare Advantage, a part of Medicare that is administered by private health insurance companies. Medicare Advantage plans often have lower out-of-pocket costs for seniors. Medicare Advantage plans cover more services than traditional Medicare, often including vision, dental, and hearing benefits, as well as prescription drug coverage and better preventative care. Medicare Advantage costs the federal government 12 percent more than traditional Medicare, meaning all of the other Medicare recipients pay about $2 more per month to cover these costs. Medicare Advantage is administered by private health insurance companies, leading to bigger profits for health insurance companies. Do you favor or oppose cutting Medicare Advantage to fund children’s health insurance programs?
  • 10. The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007 Slide 10 After hearing a balanced description, seniors opposed cutting Medicare Advantage to fund children’s health insurance. Strongly Moderately Medicare Advantage Enrollees Non MA Enrollees Favor 4 10 14 13 16 29 Oppose 49 12 61 28 12 40 0 20 40 60 80 0 20 40 60 80
  • 11. The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007 Slide 11 After hearing a balanced description of Medicare Advantage, seniors say they would be less likely to support a member of Congress who voted to cut Medicare Advantage in order to fund children’s health insurance. Much Somewhat Medicare Advantage Enrollees Non MA Enrollees More Likely 8 12 20 12 14 26 No Diff 5 8 Less 39 18 57 24 14 38 Likely 0 20 40 60 0 20 40 60
  • 12. The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007 Slide 12 Subgroups • Union Members: – Twenty-nine (29) percent of seniors identify as either current or former union members. • AARP Members: – Fifty-seven (57) percent of seniors say they are members of AARP. • Low Income Voters: – Twenty-seven (27) percent of seniors say their household income is less than $25,000 per year.
  • 13. The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007 After hearing a balanced description of Medicare Advantage, union Slide 13 members say they would be less likely to support a member of Congress who voted to cut Medicare Advantage in order to fund children’s health insurance. All Seniors Union Members More Likely 11 13 24 12 11 23 No Diff 8 7 Less 27 15 42 29 15 44 Likely 0 20 40 60 0 20 40 60
  • 14. The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007 After hearing a balanced description of Medicare Advantage, AARP Slide 14 members say they would be less likely to support a member of Congress who voted to cut Medicare Advantage in order to fund children’s health insurance. All Seniors AARP Members More Likely 11 13 24 9 15 24 No Diff 8 8 Less 27 15 42 28 16 44 Likely 0 20 40 60 0 20 40 60
  • 15. The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007 Slide 15 After hearing a balanced description of Medicare Advantage, low income seniors say they would be less likely to support a member of Congress who voted to cut Medicare Advantage in order to fund children’s health insurance. All Seniors Income of Less than $25,000 More 11 13 24 13 13 26 Likely No Diff 8 2 Less 27 15 42 29 13 42 Likely 0 20 40 60 0 20 40 60
  • 16. The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007 Slide 16 Outline POLITICAL CONTEXT MEDICARE ADVANTAGE CIGARETTE TAX
  • 17. The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007 Slide 17 Over three-quarters of all seniors favor increasing the cigarette tax to fund children’s health insurance. Strongly Moderately Question: Another proposal currently in front Favor of Congress would raise the tax on 66 10 76 cigarettes to pay for the increase in funding for children’s health insurance. Do you favor or oppose raising the tax on cigarettes to fund children’s health insurance programs? Do you feel that way strongly or Oppose 16 3 19 moderately? 0 20 40 60 80
  • 18. The Feldman Group, Inc. – July 2007 Slide 18 In order to fund SCHIP, nearly three-quarters of seniors would prefer raising the cigarette tax instead of cutting Medicare Advantage. Strongly Moderately Question: Increase In order to fund children’s health Cig Tax 63 11 74 insurance programs, would you rather your congressman voted to: (ROTATE) Increase the cigarette tax by Neither 12 sixty-one cents to one dollar per pack OR Cut funding to Medicare Cut Advantage? Med Adv 5 Do you feel that way strongly or moderately? 0 20 40 60 80
  • 19. Roy Temple Principal The Feldman Group, Inc. Roy@thefeldmangroup.com 202-547-3000 July, 2007