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www.mercercapital.com
Second Quarter 2018
VALUE FOCUS
Transportation & Logistics
Third Quarter 2021
Article: ATRI’s Report on Critical Issues in 2021
BUSINESS VALUATION &
FINANCIAL ADVISORY SERVICES
In This Issue
ATRI’s Report on Critical
Issues in 2021 1
Industry Macro Trends	 3
Trucking 6
Rail  Intermodal	 9
MA Activity	 10
Select Transactions	 11
Public Company Performance	14
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 1
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2021
In October 2021, the American Transportation Research Institute released its 2021 survey of Critical Issues in the Truck-
ing Industry. The ATRI survey was open from September 8, 2021 through October 15, 2021 and includes responses from
over 2,500 stakeholders in the trucking industry in North America. Respondents include motor carrier personnel (52.4%
of respondents), commercial drivers (24.1%), and other industry stakeholders (23.5%, including suppliers, trainers, and
law enforcement).
Driver-related concerns – including driver shortages, driver retention, and driver compensation – continued to dominate
the list of top concerns. The driver shortage claimed the top position for the fifth year in a row. The driver shortage is being
exacerbated by increasing demand for freight services, COVID-related training and licensing backlogs, and drivers exiting
the industry due to COVID risks. Driver compensation has been a top-ten concern for three years running and is strongly
linked to the driver shortage problem.
Lawsuit abuse reform took the fourth slot in the overall ranking. ATRI estimates that the average verdict size increased
967% between 2010 and 2018, due largely to nuclear verdicts that have skewed the dangers of litigation to trucking indus-
try participants (see our previous analysis of nuclear verdicts originally published in the second quarter of 2020). Lawsuit
abuse, insurance costs and availability are linked – the rising expenses of trucking industry litigation has caused some
insurers to drastically raise premiums or to exit the trucking industry altogether.
It is interesting to see the differences in opinions held by drivers versus motor carrier stakeholders. As one might expect,
the commercial drivers tend to focus on the day-to-day issues of trucking, including parking, fuel prices, and legal compli-
ance. Motor carriers are more concerned about driver retention, litigation, insurance, and technician shortages, as shown
in the table below.
FEATURE ARTICLE
ATRI’s Report
on Critical
Issues in 2021
Commercial Drivers vs Motor Carrier Issues
Rank Overall Ranking Commercial Drivers Motor Carriers
1 Driver Shortage Driver Compensation / Trucking Parking (Tie) Driver Shortage
2 Driver Retention Detention / Delay at Customer Facilities Driver Retention
3 Driver Compensation Fuel Prices Lawsuit Abuse Reform
4 Lawsuite Abuse Reform (previously, Tort Reform) Driver Training Standards Compliance, Safety, Accountability
5 Truck Parking Hours-of-Service Rules Driver Compensation
6 Compliance, Safety, Accountability ELD Mandate Insurace Cost / Availability
7 Detention / Delay at Customer Facilities Driver Distraction Diesel Technician Shortage
8 Transportation Infrastructure Congestion / Funding Transportation Infrastructure Congestion / Funding Transportation Infrastructure Congestion / Funding
9 Insurace Cost / Availability Speed Limiters Driver Distraction
10 Diesel Technician Shortage Compliance, Safety, Accountability Detention / Delay at Customer Facilities
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 2
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2021
ATRI also provided a break down of the top three concerns of company drivers compared to owner-operators or indepen-
dent contractors. While both groups included compensation and parking in their top three concerns, company drivers
rated driver training standards as a critical issue, while owner-operators and contractors were more concerned with fuel
prices.
FEATURE ARTICLE
ATRI’s Report
on Critical
Issues in 2021
(continued)
Samantha L. Albert, ASA
alberts@mercercapital.com | 901.322.9702
Company Drivers vs Owner-Operator / Contractor Issues
Rank All Commercial Drivers Company Drivers Owner- Operators / Independent Contractors
1 Driver Compensation / Trucking Parking (Tie) Driver Compensation Fuel Prices
2 Detention / Delay at Customer Facilities Truck Parking Truck Parking
3 Fuel Prices Driver Training Standards Driver Compensation
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 3
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2021
Industry Macro
Trends
Industrial Production Index
Demand for services in the logistics industry
is tied to the level of domestic industrial
production. The Industrial Production Index
is an economic measure of all real output
from manufacturing, mining, electric, and gas
utilities. The COVID-19 pandemic resulted
in numerous shutdowns and manufacturing
disruptions that resulted in productivity
falling to lows previously seen during the
Great Recession. Production recovered
during the summer months of 2020 and
generally continued its upward trend through
2021 before falling in September 2021. The
index value at the beginning of September
2021 was 99.98, a 1.3% decline from August
2021 but, while also increasing 4.58% on a
year-over-year basis. The index has fallen
1.4% from its pre-COVID level in February
2020.
Industrial Production Index (Seasonally Adjusted)
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
Sep-11
Mar-12
Sep-12
Mar-13
Sep-13
Mar-14
Sep-14
Mar-15
Sep-15
Mar-16
Sep-16
Mar-17
Sep-17
Mar-18
Sep-18
Mar-19
Sep-19
Mar-20
Sep-20
Mar-21
Sep-21
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Indexed to 2017
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 4
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2021
Industry Macro
Trends
Transportation Services
Index
The Transportation Services Index, which
measures freight traffic in the United States,
decreased from June to September of 2021
while increasing 2.41% on a year-over-year
basis. The index in September 2021 was
135.8.
Cass Freight Index
The Cass Freight Index of shipments and
expenditures is considered one of the best
indicators of overall U.S. freight activity. In
April 2020, shipments fell to their lowest lev-
els since January 2010 due to COVID-19
related shutdowns in the U.S. and abroad.
Shipments have generally increased since
COVID-induced lows, though the index has
experienced several periods of decline.
Expenditures recovered rapidly through
September 2021, experiencing a largely
upward trend that was punctuated by periodic
declines. Shipments declined 3.8% relative
to June 2021, while expenditures increased
2.3% over the same period.
Transportation Services Index (Freight, Seasonally Adjusted)
Cass Freight Index
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
S
e
p
-
1
1
M
a
r
-
1
2
S
e
p
-
1
2
M
a
r
-
1
3
S
e
p
-
1
3
M
a
r
-
1
4
S
e
p
-
1
4
M
a
r
-
1
5
S
e
p
-
1
5
M
a
r
-
1
6
S
e
p
-
1
6
M
a
r
-
1
7
S
e
p
-
1
7
M
a
r
-
1
8
S
e
p
-
1
8
M
a
r
-
1
9
S
e
p
-
1
9
M
a
r
-
2
0
S
e
p
-
2
0
M
a
r
-
2
1
S
e
p
-
2
1
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics Indexed to January 2000
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
Sep-11
M
ar-12
Sep-12
M
ar-13
Sep-13
M
ar-14
Sep-14
M
ar-15
Sep-15
M
ar-16
Sep-16
M
ar-17
Sep-17
M
ar-18
Sep-18
M
ar-19
Sep-19
M
ar-20
Sep-20
M
ar-21
Sep-21
Shipments Expenditures
Source: Cass Information Systems, Inc. and Avondale Partners Indexed to January 1990
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 5
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2021
Industry Macro
Trends
Shipments
The Shipments Index hit 1.184 in
September 2021. Shipments in September
2021 increased 0.6% relative to September
2020 and 0.4% relative to August 2021. The
Shipments Index also saw a 3.8% decline
on quarter-over-quarter basis.
Cass Freight Shipments Index
0.90
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
Jan
Feb
M
ar
Apr
M
ay
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
O
ct
N
ov
D
ec
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Source: Cass Information Systems, Inc. and Avondale Partners Indexed to January 1990
		
Expenditures
The Expenditures Index measures the total
amount spent on freight. The Expenditures
Index hit 3.818 in September 2021, an
increase of 2.3% on a quarterly basis and
an increase of 32.2% on an annual basis.
The index declined 0.4% from June 2021.
The Expenditures Index has been steadily
rising in 2021 and has reached previously
unrecorded levels.
The American Trucking Association (“ATA”)
estimates trucking accounts for almost
73% of all domestic freight tonnage and
over 80% of total freight expenditures.
Cass Freight Expenditures Index
2.00
2.20
2.40
2.60
2.80
3.00
3.20
3.40
3.60
3.80
4.00
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Source: Cass Information Systems, Inc. and Broughton Capital Indexed to January 1990
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 6
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2021
Trucking Truck Tonnage (Seasonally Adjusted)
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
S
e
p
-
1
1
M
a
r
-
1
2
S
e
p
-
1
2
M
a
r
-
1
3
S
e
p
-
1
3
M
a
r
-
1
4
S
e
p
-
1
4
M
a
r
-
1
5
S
e
p
-
1
5
M
a
r
-
1
6
S
e
p
-
1
6
M
a
r
-
1
7
S
e
p
-
1
7
M
a
r
-
1
8
S
e
p
-
1
8
M
a
r
-
1
9
S
e
p
-
1
9
M
a
r
-
2
0
S
e
p
-
2
0
M
a
r
-
2
1
S
e
p
-
2
1
Seasonally-adjusted
Tonnage
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics Indexed to 2015
Truck Tonnage
The Truck Tonnage Index has increased
significantly since April 2020 but has not
yet recovered to pre-COVID levels. The
Truck Tonnage Index reached 113.20 in
September 2021, compared to March 2020
when the index was at 116.90. The Truck
Tonnage Index increased 2.17% relative
to August 2021 and 1.71% relative to June
2021.
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 7
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2021
Trucking
Spot vs. Contract Rates
The Spot vs. Contract Rates chart depicts
monthly national average line haul rates and
fuel surcharges from DAT. Shippers enter
contracts that lock in a static contract rate
for a period of time. Spot rates, on the other
hand, are one-time shipping quotes for a
specific transaction or series of transactions.
As capacity has tightened during 2021, spot
rates have eclipsed contract rates in the
reefer and van categories; flatbed spot rates
lag behind contract rates.
All classes of rates except for flatbed contract
rates increased during the third quarter.
Flatbed contract rates were unchanged
relative to June 2021. All classes of rate
increased on a year over year basis with
flatbed contract rates showing the highest
growth rate at 29.25%. Overall, spot rates
have continued to escalate in the last year
with reefer, flatbed, and dry van spot rates
showing increases of 25.68%, 27.39%, and
18.99%, respectively, on a year-over-year
basis.
Spot vs. Contract Rates
$1.60
$1.80
$2.00
$2.20
$2.40
$2.60
$2.80
$3.00
$3.20
$3.40
Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
2020 2021
Reefer Spot Flatbed Spot Dry Van Spot
Reefer Contract Flatbed Contract Dry Van Contract
Source: DAT
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 8
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2021
Trucking
Load-to-Truck Ratio
The load-to-truck ratio is calculated by
dividing the total number of loads for shipment
by the total number of trucks available. As
a result, the load-to-truck ratio can signal a
shortage or excess of capacity, which in turn
influences changes in freight. An increase
in the ratio (i.e., a higher number of loads
relative to the level of available trucks)
is typically associated with shipping rate
increases. While economic factors typically
push supply and demand, compression or
expansion that occurs faster in the shipping
industry can accelerate movements faster
than the overall economy.
Vanandreeferclassesexperiencedincreases
of 13.67% and 16.48%, respectively, in
the third quarter of 2021 compared to the
previous quarter. The flatbed load-to-truck
ratio saw a quarter-over-quarter decline of
28.24%. All three classes posted significant
gains on a year-over-year basis. Relative
to September 2020, the van, reefer, and
flatbed ratios increased 16%, 39%, and 19%,
respectively.
Dry Van Load-to-Truck
Reefer Load-to-Truck
Flatbed Load-to-Truck
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
10.0
12.5
Sep-18
Dec-18
Mar-19
Jun-19
Sep-19
Dec-19
Mar-20
Jun-20
Sep-20
Dec-20
Mar-21
Jun-21
Sep-21
0.0
4.0
8.0
12.0
16.0
20.0
Sep-18
Dec-18
Mar-19
Jun-19
Sep-19
Dec-19
Mar-20
Jun-20
Sep-20
Dec-20
Mar-21
Jun-21
Sep-21
0.0
25.0
50.0
75.0
100.0
125.0
Sep-18
D
ec-18
M
ar-19
Jun-19
Sep-19
D
ec-19
M
ar-20
Jun-20
Sep-20
D
ec-20
M
ar-21
Jun-21
Sep-21
Source: DAT
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 9
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2021
Rail 
Intermodal
Rail Freight Intermodal Traffic
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000
1,100,000
1,200,000
1,300,000
1,400,000
S
e
p
-
1
1
S
e
p
-
1
2
S
e
p
-
1
3
S
e
p
-
1
4
S
e
p
-
1
5
S
e
p
-
1
6
S
e
p
-
1
7
S
e
p
-
1
8
S
e
p
-
1
9
S
e
p
-
2
0
S
e
p
-
2
1
Rail
Carloads
(Seasonally
Adjusted)
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics
Rail Freight Intermodal
Traffic
As reported by the Bureau of
Transportation Statistics, intermodal
shipments index increased declined
during each month of the third quarter
of 2021. Rail freight intermodal traffic
also posted a decrease of 6.62% on a
year-over-year basis. The intermodal
shipments index has posted monthly
year-over-year increases in every month
dating from August 2020 through July
2021.
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 10
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2021
MA Activity
Featured Transactions
Kansas City Southern Re-enters Deal with Canadian Pacific
In the first quarter of 2021, Canadian Pacific (CP) agreed to acquire Kansas City Southern (KSU) in a cash-and-stock
deal valued at $25 billion. In May 2021, KSU announced it was disengaging from the transaction process with CP and
instead entering into an agreement with Canadian National Railway (CN). In August 2021, KSU returned to a CP offer.
CP’s total transaction value of $31.7 million would value KSU at 11.16x revenue and 20.77x EBITDA. Deals with either
CP or CN and KSU would create an rail network that stretches from Canada to Mexico and both deals would be subject
to regulatory approval.
Echo Global Logistics Enters Into Agreement to be
Acquired by The Jordan Company
ArcBest Set to Acquire MoLo Solutions, LLC
On September 10, 2021, Echo Global Logistics
(ECHO) entered into an agreement with private equity
firm, The Jordan Company, to be acquired for $48.25
per share in a cash transaction. The proposed share
price reflects a 54% premium to the prior day’s share
price and values ECHO at $1.3 billion. The transaction
is expected to be completed in the fourth quarter of
2021.
MoLo Solutions, LLC is a Chicago-based truck
brokerage company that has experienced rapid growth
in recent years. MoLo’s 2020 revenue increased
approximately 100% to $274 million, and MoLo’s
2021 revenue is expected to be on the order of $600
million. ArcBest (ARCB) agreed to purchase MoLo in
a deal valued at $690 million. This deal value reflects
2.52x LTM revenue at MoLo and 1.15x expected 2021
revenue.
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 11
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2021
Select Transactions
Date
Announced
Deal
Status
Total
Deal Value
Deal Value to
Target Buyer Sales EBITDA
Trucking
R.S. Harris Transport Ltd. Mullen Group Ltd. 7/2/21 Closed 11.500 0.460 -
AAA Cooper Transportation, Inc. Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. 7/6/21 Closed 1,350.000 - -
Double Eagle Transportation Corp. Trimac Transportation Services Inc. 7/12/21 Closed - - -
Osborn  Son Trucking Co., Inc. V  S Midwest Carriers, Corp. 7/20/21 Effective - - -
Transport Distribution Company Interstate Personnel Services, Inc. 7/23/21 Closed - - -
RJ's Transportation LLC AR Logistics, Inc. 7/30/21 Closed - - -
SSBB, LLC Xpress Global Systems, LLC 8/5/21 Closed - - -
Substantially All transportation assets of Patriot Transit,
LLC and Patriot Logistics, LLC
PS Logistics, LLC 7/30/21 Closed - - -
Complete Transport Systems LLC EFL Global Logistics (Pte.) Ltd 9/9/21 Closed 6.100 - -
D  L Transport, Llc Pittsburgh Logistics Systems, Inc. 9/20/21 Closed - - -
MFX, LLC Brooks Furniture Xpress, Inc. 9/16/21 Closed - - -
Molo Solutions, LLC ArcBest Corporation 9/29/21 Closed 690.000 2.520 -
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
in USD millions
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 12
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2021
Date
Announced
Deal
Status
Total
Deal Value
Deal Value to
Target Buyer Sales EBITDA
Rail
Kansas City Southern Canadian Pacific Railway Limited 8/10/21 Announced 31,654.800 11.160 20.770
Marine
U.S. Shipping Corp. SEACOR Holdings Inc. 8/13/21 Closed - - -
Lady Rose Marine Services Ltd. Devon Transport Ltd. 8/17/21 Announced - - -
Freightway International Ltd. Blue Water Shipping A/S 9/15/21 Closed - - -
Air Freight  Logistics
Quad Logistics Services, LLC Mullen Group Ltd. 6/30/21 Closed 40.000 0.296 -
Alliance Technical Services Inc. Valiant Integrated Services LLC 7/1/21 Closed - - -
Syncreon.Us Inc. DP World Limited 7/1/21 Announced 1,200.000 1.090 -
Carson Air Ltd. Exchange Income Corporation 7/5/21 Closed 61.000 - -
Velocity Freight Transport, Inc. Geodis Logistics LLC 7/6/21 Closed - - -
Ship Art-Terry Dowd, LLC and Ship Art International, Inc. UOVO ART LLC 7/14/21 Closed - - -
Transplace Inc. Uber Freight LLC 7/22/21 Closed 2,250.000 - 29.220
Chancellor Holding Co, LLC MGN Logistics, Inc. 7/23/21 Closed - - -
Trinity Logistics USA Inc. Omni Logistics, LLC 7/6/21 Closed - - -
Sauceda Industries LLC Cart.com, Inc. 7/27/21 Closed - - -
Intelligent Logistics, L.L.C. AIT Worldwide Logistics, Inc. 8/3/21 Closed - - -
Hanson Logistics LLC Lineage Logistics, LLC 8/4/21 Closed - - -
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
in USD millions
Select Transactions (continued)
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 13
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2021
Date
Announced
Deal
Status
Total
Deal Value
Deal Value to
Target Buyer Sales EBITDA
Air Freight  Logistics (cont.)
Worldwide Express Operations, LLC - 8/5/21 Closed - - -
Visible Supply Chain Management, LLC A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S 8/6/21 Closed - - -
RRF Logistics, LLC MODE Transportation, LLC 8/10/21 Closed - - -
Consumer Delivery Hub TPCO Holding Corp. 8/16/21 Announced - - -
Xios Global Projects LLC - 8/16/21 Closed - - -
Scout Logistics Corporation TA Services, Inc. 8/19/21 Closed - - -
MCG Logistics, Inc. TransImpact, LLC 8/25/21 Closed - - -
IDEA Logistics LLC EFL Global Logistics (Pte.) Ltd; EFL Global LLC (USA) 8/27/21 Closed 9.700 - -
Enlinx, LLC Whiplash Inc. 9/8/21 Closed - - -
Rapid Delivery, Inc. Canada Cartage System Limited 9/9/21 Closed - - -
Echo Global Logistics, Inc. The Jordan Company, L.P. 9/10/21 Announced 1,463.720 0.440 15.840
IAS Logistics DFW, LLC WFS Global SAS 9/24/21 Closed - - -
Expedited Logistics and Freight Services, LLC Janel Group, Inc. 9/27/21 Closed 47.000 - -
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
in USD millions
Select Transactions (continued)
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 14
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2021
Public
Company
Performance
Monthly Median TEV/EBITDA Multiples (as of September 30, 2021)
2.6x
6.5x
4.4x
5.6x
12.7x
4.5x
13.5x
22.7x
14.8x
11.7x
18.9x
15.3x
5.3x
8.7x
5.5x
8.0x
13.9x
8.8x
0x
5x
10x
15x
20x
25x
Truckload LTL Air Freight Marine Rail Logistics
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence Data as of September 30, 2021, excludes outliers
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 15
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2021
LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples
Company Name Ticker
Price at
9/30/21
QoQ
Price
Change
Enterprise
Value
Debt /
Total
Capital
Return on
Assets Rev.
EBITDA
Margin
EV /
Rev.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
Truckload
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. JBHT $167.22 81% $18,476 5% 946% $11,409 13% 1.6x 12.5x 26.2x 11.8x 24.4x
Ryder System, Inc. R $82.71 213% $10,668 58% 374% $9,276 27% 1.2x 4.2x 12.2x 4.1x 9.7x
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. KNX $51.15 56% $9,288 9% 516% $5,459 24% 1.7x 7.0x 13.5x 6.2x 11.3x
Landstar System, Inc. LSTR $157.82 65% $5,956 -1% 1674% $5,892 8% 1.0x 12.1x 18.1x 11.1x 16.4x
Schneider National, Inc. SNDR $22.74 18% $3,808 -6% 755% $5,299 14% 0.7x 5.0x 11.6x 4.8x 10.6x
Werner Enterprises, Inc. WERN $44.27 22% $3,126 4% 713% $2,589 20% 1.2x 6.1x 12.4x 5.5x 13.4x
Heartland Express, Inc. HTLD $16.02 -14% $1,106 -15% 451% $615 29% 1.8x 6.3x 16.6x 5.3x 16.0x
Daseke, Inc. DSKE $9.21 558% $1,243 49% 461% $1,498 12% 0.8x 6.8x 10.1x 5.9x 11.5x
Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. ULH $20.08 53% $1,056 49% 590% $1,670 10% 0.6x 6.1x 7.3x 6.0x 7.5x
Marten Transport, Ltd. MRTN $15.69 15% $1,221 -7% 652% $934 22% 1.3x 6.1x 16.2x 5.8x 15.9x
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. CVLG $27.65 219% $553 16% 474% $977 11% 0.6x 5.0x 26.8x 4.5x 7.7x
P.A.M. Transportation Services, Inc. PTSI $44.98 193% $711 29% 922% $636 22% 1.1x 5.2x 8.0x nm nm
USA Truck, Inc. USAK $15.28 382% $291 56% 551% $668 10% 0.4x 4.2x 6.9x 4.4x 7.1x
U.S. Xpress Enterprises, Inc. USX $8.63 158% $1,034 58% 198% $1,873 6% 0.6x 9.0x 18.3x 8.3x 24.9x
Patriot Transportation Holding, Inc. PATI $11.40 23% $31 -27% 2% $82 10% 0.4x 3.6x 34.2x nm nm
Median 65% 9% 13.0% 1.0x 6.1x 13.5x 5.8x 11.5x
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q3 2021
Publicly Traded Companies
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 16
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2021
LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples
Company Name Ticker
Price at
9/30/21
QoQ
Price
Change
Enterprise
Value
Debt /
Total
Capital
Return on
Assets Rev.
EBITDA
Margin
EV /
Rev.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
Less-Than-Truckload
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. ODFL $285.98 118% $32,570 -2% 1791% $4,919 31% 6.6x 21.3x 35.0x 20.0x 32.8x
Saia, Inc. SAIA $238.03 224% $6,362 2% 1056% $2,148 20% 3.0x 15.0x 28.4x 13.4x 26.0x
ArcBest Corporation ARCB $81.77 367% $2,021 -3% 704% $3,611 9% 0.6x 6.1x 12.2x 5.0x 10.6x
Mullen Group Ltd. MTL $10.19 252% $1,535 37% 353% $1,054 15% 1.5x 9.8x 19.8x 8.4x 18.7x
Yellow Corporation YELL $5.65 236% $1,668 83% 180% $4,977 4% 0.3x 8.2x nm 5.5x nm
Median 236% 2% 15% 1.5x 9.8x 24.1x 8.4x 22.4x
Air Freight
Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings, Inc. AAWW $81.68 218% $4,326 45% 664% $3,800 25% 1.1x 4.6x 4.7x 4.1x 4.7x
Air T, Inc. AIRT $28.68 129% $183 55% -179% $194 2% 0.9x 62.6x nm nm nm
Forward Air Corporation FWRD $83.02 64% $2,512 10% 802% $1,553 11% 1.6x 14.7x 36.9x 12.9x 20.0x
Air Transport Services Group, Inc. ATSG $25.81 41% $3,289 42% 414% $1,651 31% 2.0x 6.4x 9.9x 6.1x 15.4x
Cargojet Inc. CJT $160.09 124% $2,946 7% 700% $561 31% 5.3x 17.0x 76.9x 13.3x 38.2x
Median 124% 42% 25% 1.6x 14.7x 23.4x 9.5x 17.7x
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q3 2021
Publicly Traded Companies
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 17
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2021
LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples
Company Name Ticker
Price at
9/30/21
QoQ
Price
Change
Enterprise
Value
Debt /
Total
Capital
Return on
Assets Rev.
EBITDA
Margin
EV /
Rev.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
Marine
Kirby Corporation KEX $47.96 10% $4,295 33% 86% $2,145 14% 2.0x 14.5x nm 14.4x 88.2x
Atlas Corp. ATCO $15.19 98% $9,327 57% 431% $1,581 65% 5.9x 9.1x 16.2x 8.5x 9.0x
Matson, Inc. MATX $80.71 164% $4,404 20% 1640% $3,358 27% 1.3x 4.8x 5.7x 3.8x 4.6x
Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. EGLE $50.42 289% $1,093 38% 1019% $485 45% 2.3x 5.0x 7.0x 3.8x 3.2x
Pangaea Logistics Solutions, Ltd. PANL $5.05 153% $482 52% 641% $596 13% 0.8x 6.3x 3.9x 5.1x 4.2x
Global Ship Lease, Inc. GSL $23.71 541% $1,537 44% 689% $364 53% 4.2x 7.9x 7.5x 6.2x 6.4x
Genco Shipping  Trading Limited GNK $20.13 214% $1,096 23% 616% $459 37% 2.4x 6.4x 33.4x 4.4x 4.9x
Algoma Central Corporation ALC $13.33 108% $822 39% 408% $454 26% 1.8x 7.1x 8.0x 5.5x 8.6x
Sino-Global Shipping America, Ltd. SINO $2.29 25% -$14 360% -1564% $5 -304% -2.7x 0.9x nm nm nm
Median 153% 39% 2.0x 6.4x 7.5x 5.3x 5.7x
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q3 2021
Publicly Traded Companies
© 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 18
Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation  Logistics Third Quarter 2021
LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples
Company Name Ticker
Price at
9/30/21
QoQ
Price
Change
Enterprise
Value
Debt /
Total
Capital
Return on
Assets Rev.
EBITDA
Margin
EV /
Rev.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
EV /
EBITDA
Price /
Earn.
Railroads
Union Pacific Corporation UNP $196.01 39% $157,027 19% 886% $21,212 53% 7.4x 14.1x 20.6x 13.5x 19.7x
Canadian National Railway Company CNR $116.09 50% $92,879 12% 782% $11,373 52% 8.2x 15.8x 22.0x 16.2x 25.3x
CSX Corporation CSX $29.74 56% $80,778 17% 804% $11,920 55% 6.8x 12.4x 18.6x 11.9x 19.1x
Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC $239.25 64% $71,669 18% 716% $10,863 51% 6.6x 12.9x 20.3x 12.7x 19.9x
Canadian Pacific Railway Limited CP $65.42 49% $50,231 13% 951% $6,301 57% 8.0x 13.9x 17.7x 15.1x 21.3x
Kansas City Southern KSU $270.64 113% $28,457 13% 682% $2,893 52% 9.8x 18.9x 255.4x 18.6x 33.2x
Median 53% 15% 7.7x 14.0x 20.5x 14.3x 20.6x
Logistics  Intermodal
United Parcel Service, Inc. UPS $182.10 95% $174,876 9% 777% $94,412 12% 1.9x 16.1x 24.6x 11.3x 15.7x
FedEx Corporation FDX $219.29 81% $87,725 34% 614% $78,752 11% 1.1x 10.2x 19.2x 8.9x 12.2x
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. EXPD $119.13 79% $19,020 -6% 1714% $14,640 11% 1.3x 11.7x 17.4x 10.5x 15.6x
TFI International Inc. TFII $102.49 368% $11,488 17% 759% $6,202 13% 1.9x 14.1x 17.7x 11.1x 20.9x
XPO Logistics, Inc. XPO $79.58 63% $16,329 44% 455% $18,436 9% 0.9x 9.9x 26.9x 13.0x 18.2x
GXO Logistics, Inc. GXO $78.44 nm $11,078 19% 0% $7,444 8% 1.5x 19.0x 71.9x 17.7x 39.0x
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. CHRW $87.00 31% $12,968 12% 1072% $21,150 5% 0.6x 12.1x 15.0x 10.9x 13.7x
Forward Air Corporation FWRD $83.02 64% $2,512 10% 802% $1,553 11% 1.6x 14.7x 36.9x 12.9x 20.0x
Hub Group, Inc. HUBG $68.75 51% $2,394 1% 468% $3,929 7% 0.6x 8.2x 21.6x 7.6x 17.2x
Air Transport Services Group, Inc. ATSG $25.81 41% $3,289 42% 414% $1,651 31% 2.0x 6.4x 9.9x 6.1x 15.4x
Echo Global Logistics, Inc. ECHO $47.71 179% $1,357 6% 508% $3,475 3% 0.4x 13.5x 21.7x 10.1x 16.2x
Radiant Logistics, Inc. RLGT $6.39 65% $374 16% 657% $907 5% 0.4x 8.0x 19.0x 8.0x 10.1x
Median 65% 14% 1.2x 11.9x 20.4x 10.7x 15.9x
Source: SP Global Market Intelligence
USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q3 2021
Publicly Traded Companies
Mercer
Capital
Transportation  Logistics
Industry Services
Contact Us
Copyright © 2021 Mercer Capital Management, Inc. All rights reserved. It is illegal under Federal law to reproduce this publication or any portion of its contents without the publisher’s permission. Media quotations with source attribution are encouraged.
Reporters requesting additional information or editorial comment should contact Barbara Walters Price at 901.685.2120. Mercer Capital’s Industry Focus is published quarterly and does not constitute legal or financial consulting advice. It is offered as an
information service to our clients and friends. Those interested in specific guidance for legal or accounting matters should seek competent professional advice. Inquiries to discuss specific valuation matters are welcomed. To add your name to our mailing
list to receive this complimentary publication, visit our web site at www.mercercapital.com.
Mercer Capital provides valuation and transaction advisory
services to the transportation  logistics industry.
Industry Segments
Mercer Capital serves the following industry
segments:
•	 Trucking
•	 Air Freight
•	 Marine
•	 Railroads
•	 Logistics  Intermodal
Contact a Mercer Capital professional to discuss your needs in confidence.
Timothy R. Lee, ASA
901.322.9740
leet@mercercapital.com
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901.685.2120
heinzn@mercercapital.com
Scott A. Womack, ASA, MAFF
615.345.0234
womacks@mercercapital.com
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901.322.9702
alberts@mercercapital.com
www.mercercapital.com
BUSINESS VALUATION 
FINANCIAL ADVISORY SERVICES
Services Provided
•	 Valuation of transportation and logistics companies
•	 Transaction advisory for acquisitions and
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Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Transportation & Logistics | Q3 2021 | Feature Article: ATRI’s Report on Critical Issues in 2021

  • 1. www.mercercapital.com Second Quarter 2018 VALUE FOCUS Transportation & Logistics Third Quarter 2021 Article: ATRI’s Report on Critical Issues in 2021 BUSINESS VALUATION & FINANCIAL ADVISORY SERVICES In This Issue ATRI’s Report on Critical Issues in 2021 1 Industry Macro Trends 3 Trucking 6 Rail Intermodal 9 MA Activity 10 Select Transactions 11 Public Company Performance 14
  • 2. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 1 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2021 In October 2021, the American Transportation Research Institute released its 2021 survey of Critical Issues in the Truck- ing Industry. The ATRI survey was open from September 8, 2021 through October 15, 2021 and includes responses from over 2,500 stakeholders in the trucking industry in North America. Respondents include motor carrier personnel (52.4% of respondents), commercial drivers (24.1%), and other industry stakeholders (23.5%, including suppliers, trainers, and law enforcement). Driver-related concerns – including driver shortages, driver retention, and driver compensation – continued to dominate the list of top concerns. The driver shortage claimed the top position for the fifth year in a row. The driver shortage is being exacerbated by increasing demand for freight services, COVID-related training and licensing backlogs, and drivers exiting the industry due to COVID risks. Driver compensation has been a top-ten concern for three years running and is strongly linked to the driver shortage problem. Lawsuit abuse reform took the fourth slot in the overall ranking. ATRI estimates that the average verdict size increased 967% between 2010 and 2018, due largely to nuclear verdicts that have skewed the dangers of litigation to trucking indus- try participants (see our previous analysis of nuclear verdicts originally published in the second quarter of 2020). Lawsuit abuse, insurance costs and availability are linked – the rising expenses of trucking industry litigation has caused some insurers to drastically raise premiums or to exit the trucking industry altogether. It is interesting to see the differences in opinions held by drivers versus motor carrier stakeholders. As one might expect, the commercial drivers tend to focus on the day-to-day issues of trucking, including parking, fuel prices, and legal compli- ance. Motor carriers are more concerned about driver retention, litigation, insurance, and technician shortages, as shown in the table below. FEATURE ARTICLE ATRI’s Report on Critical Issues in 2021 Commercial Drivers vs Motor Carrier Issues Rank Overall Ranking Commercial Drivers Motor Carriers 1 Driver Shortage Driver Compensation / Trucking Parking (Tie) Driver Shortage 2 Driver Retention Detention / Delay at Customer Facilities Driver Retention 3 Driver Compensation Fuel Prices Lawsuit Abuse Reform 4 Lawsuite Abuse Reform (previously, Tort Reform) Driver Training Standards Compliance, Safety, Accountability 5 Truck Parking Hours-of-Service Rules Driver Compensation 6 Compliance, Safety, Accountability ELD Mandate Insurace Cost / Availability 7 Detention / Delay at Customer Facilities Driver Distraction Diesel Technician Shortage 8 Transportation Infrastructure Congestion / Funding Transportation Infrastructure Congestion / Funding Transportation Infrastructure Congestion / Funding 9 Insurace Cost / Availability Speed Limiters Driver Distraction 10 Diesel Technician Shortage Compliance, Safety, Accountability Detention / Delay at Customer Facilities
  • 3. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 2 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2021 ATRI also provided a break down of the top three concerns of company drivers compared to owner-operators or indepen- dent contractors. While both groups included compensation and parking in their top three concerns, company drivers rated driver training standards as a critical issue, while owner-operators and contractors were more concerned with fuel prices. FEATURE ARTICLE ATRI’s Report on Critical Issues in 2021 (continued) Samantha L. Albert, ASA alberts@mercercapital.com | 901.322.9702 Company Drivers vs Owner-Operator / Contractor Issues Rank All Commercial Drivers Company Drivers Owner- Operators / Independent Contractors 1 Driver Compensation / Trucking Parking (Tie) Driver Compensation Fuel Prices 2 Detention / Delay at Customer Facilities Truck Parking Truck Parking 3 Fuel Prices Driver Training Standards Driver Compensation
  • 4. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 3 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2021 Industry Macro Trends Industrial Production Index Demand for services in the logistics industry is tied to the level of domestic industrial production. The Industrial Production Index is an economic measure of all real output from manufacturing, mining, electric, and gas utilities. The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in numerous shutdowns and manufacturing disruptions that resulted in productivity falling to lows previously seen during the Great Recession. Production recovered during the summer months of 2020 and generally continued its upward trend through 2021 before falling in September 2021. The index value at the beginning of September 2021 was 99.98, a 1.3% decline from August 2021 but, while also increasing 4.58% on a year-over-year basis. The index has fallen 1.4% from its pre-COVID level in February 2020. Industrial Production Index (Seasonally Adjusted) 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 Sep-11 Mar-12 Sep-12 Mar-13 Sep-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Mar-15 Sep-15 Mar-16 Sep-16 Mar-17 Sep-17 Mar-18 Sep-18 Mar-19 Sep-19 Mar-20 Sep-20 Mar-21 Sep-21 Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Indexed to 2017
  • 5. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 4 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2021 Industry Macro Trends Transportation Services Index The Transportation Services Index, which measures freight traffic in the United States, decreased from June to September of 2021 while increasing 2.41% on a year-over-year basis. The index in September 2021 was 135.8. Cass Freight Index The Cass Freight Index of shipments and expenditures is considered one of the best indicators of overall U.S. freight activity. In April 2020, shipments fell to their lowest lev- els since January 2010 due to COVID-19 related shutdowns in the U.S. and abroad. Shipments have generally increased since COVID-induced lows, though the index has experienced several periods of decline. Expenditures recovered rapidly through September 2021, experiencing a largely upward trend that was punctuated by periodic declines. Shipments declined 3.8% relative to June 2021, while expenditures increased 2.3% over the same period. Transportation Services Index (Freight, Seasonally Adjusted) Cass Freight Index 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 S e p - 1 1 M a r - 1 2 S e p - 1 2 M a r - 1 3 S e p - 1 3 M a r - 1 4 S e p - 1 4 M a r - 1 5 S e p - 1 5 M a r - 1 6 S e p - 1 6 M a r - 1 7 S e p - 1 7 M a r - 1 8 S e p - 1 8 M a r - 1 9 S e p - 1 9 M a r - 2 0 S e p - 2 0 M a r - 2 1 S e p - 2 1 Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics Indexed to January 2000 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 Sep-11 M ar-12 Sep-12 M ar-13 Sep-13 M ar-14 Sep-14 M ar-15 Sep-15 M ar-16 Sep-16 M ar-17 Sep-17 M ar-18 Sep-18 M ar-19 Sep-19 M ar-20 Sep-20 M ar-21 Sep-21 Shipments Expenditures Source: Cass Information Systems, Inc. and Avondale Partners Indexed to January 1990
  • 6. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 5 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2021 Industry Macro Trends Shipments The Shipments Index hit 1.184 in September 2021. Shipments in September 2021 increased 0.6% relative to September 2020 and 0.4% relative to August 2021. The Shipments Index also saw a 3.8% decline on quarter-over-quarter basis. Cass Freight Shipments Index 0.90 1.00 1.10 1.20 1.30 1.40 Jan Feb M ar Apr M ay Jun Jul Aug Sep O ct N ov D ec 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Source: Cass Information Systems, Inc. and Avondale Partners Indexed to January 1990 Expenditures The Expenditures Index measures the total amount spent on freight. The Expenditures Index hit 3.818 in September 2021, an increase of 2.3% on a quarterly basis and an increase of 32.2% on an annual basis. The index declined 0.4% from June 2021. The Expenditures Index has been steadily rising in 2021 and has reached previously unrecorded levels. The American Trucking Association (“ATA”) estimates trucking accounts for almost 73% of all domestic freight tonnage and over 80% of total freight expenditures. Cass Freight Expenditures Index 2.00 2.20 2.40 2.60 2.80 3.00 3.20 3.40 3.60 3.80 4.00 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Source: Cass Information Systems, Inc. and Broughton Capital Indexed to January 1990
  • 7. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 6 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2021 Trucking Truck Tonnage (Seasonally Adjusted) 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 S e p - 1 1 M a r - 1 2 S e p - 1 2 M a r - 1 3 S e p - 1 3 M a r - 1 4 S e p - 1 4 M a r - 1 5 S e p - 1 5 M a r - 1 6 S e p - 1 6 M a r - 1 7 S e p - 1 7 M a r - 1 8 S e p - 1 8 M a r - 1 9 S e p - 1 9 M a r - 2 0 S e p - 2 0 M a r - 2 1 S e p - 2 1 Seasonally-adjusted Tonnage Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics Indexed to 2015 Truck Tonnage The Truck Tonnage Index has increased significantly since April 2020 but has not yet recovered to pre-COVID levels. The Truck Tonnage Index reached 113.20 in September 2021, compared to March 2020 when the index was at 116.90. The Truck Tonnage Index increased 2.17% relative to August 2021 and 1.71% relative to June 2021.
  • 8. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 7 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2021 Trucking Spot vs. Contract Rates The Spot vs. Contract Rates chart depicts monthly national average line haul rates and fuel surcharges from DAT. Shippers enter contracts that lock in a static contract rate for a period of time. Spot rates, on the other hand, are one-time shipping quotes for a specific transaction or series of transactions. As capacity has tightened during 2021, spot rates have eclipsed contract rates in the reefer and van categories; flatbed spot rates lag behind contract rates. All classes of rates except for flatbed contract rates increased during the third quarter. Flatbed contract rates were unchanged relative to June 2021. All classes of rate increased on a year over year basis with flatbed contract rates showing the highest growth rate at 29.25%. Overall, spot rates have continued to escalate in the last year with reefer, flatbed, and dry van spot rates showing increases of 25.68%, 27.39%, and 18.99%, respectively, on a year-over-year basis. Spot vs. Contract Rates $1.60 $1.80 $2.00 $2.20 $2.40 $2.60 $2.80 $3.00 $3.20 $3.40 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 2020 2021 Reefer Spot Flatbed Spot Dry Van Spot Reefer Contract Flatbed Contract Dry Van Contract Source: DAT
  • 9. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 8 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2021 Trucking Load-to-Truck Ratio The load-to-truck ratio is calculated by dividing the total number of loads for shipment by the total number of trucks available. As a result, the load-to-truck ratio can signal a shortage or excess of capacity, which in turn influences changes in freight. An increase in the ratio (i.e., a higher number of loads relative to the level of available trucks) is typically associated with shipping rate increases. While economic factors typically push supply and demand, compression or expansion that occurs faster in the shipping industry can accelerate movements faster than the overall economy. Vanandreeferclassesexperiencedincreases of 13.67% and 16.48%, respectively, in the third quarter of 2021 compared to the previous quarter. The flatbed load-to-truck ratio saw a quarter-over-quarter decline of 28.24%. All three classes posted significant gains on a year-over-year basis. Relative to September 2020, the van, reefer, and flatbed ratios increased 16%, 39%, and 19%, respectively. Dry Van Load-to-Truck Reefer Load-to-Truck Flatbed Load-to-Truck 0.0 2.5 5.0 7.5 10.0 12.5 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 Dec-19 Mar-20 Jun-20 Sep-20 Dec-20 Mar-21 Jun-21 Sep-21 0.0 4.0 8.0 12.0 16.0 20.0 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 Dec-19 Mar-20 Jun-20 Sep-20 Dec-20 Mar-21 Jun-21 Sep-21 0.0 25.0 50.0 75.0 100.0 125.0 Sep-18 D ec-18 M ar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 D ec-19 M ar-20 Jun-20 Sep-20 D ec-20 M ar-21 Jun-21 Sep-21 Source: DAT
  • 10. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 9 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2021 Rail Intermodal Rail Freight Intermodal Traffic 600,000 700,000 800,000 900,000 1,000,000 1,100,000 1,200,000 1,300,000 1,400,000 S e p - 1 1 S e p - 1 2 S e p - 1 3 S e p - 1 4 S e p - 1 5 S e p - 1 6 S e p - 1 7 S e p - 1 8 S e p - 1 9 S e p - 2 0 S e p - 2 1 Rail Carloads (Seasonally Adjusted) Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics Rail Freight Intermodal Traffic As reported by the Bureau of Transportation Statistics, intermodal shipments index increased declined during each month of the third quarter of 2021. Rail freight intermodal traffic also posted a decrease of 6.62% on a year-over-year basis. The intermodal shipments index has posted monthly year-over-year increases in every month dating from August 2020 through July 2021.
  • 11. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 10 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2021 MA Activity Featured Transactions Kansas City Southern Re-enters Deal with Canadian Pacific In the first quarter of 2021, Canadian Pacific (CP) agreed to acquire Kansas City Southern (KSU) in a cash-and-stock deal valued at $25 billion. In May 2021, KSU announced it was disengaging from the transaction process with CP and instead entering into an agreement with Canadian National Railway (CN). In August 2021, KSU returned to a CP offer. CP’s total transaction value of $31.7 million would value KSU at 11.16x revenue and 20.77x EBITDA. Deals with either CP or CN and KSU would create an rail network that stretches from Canada to Mexico and both deals would be subject to regulatory approval. Echo Global Logistics Enters Into Agreement to be Acquired by The Jordan Company ArcBest Set to Acquire MoLo Solutions, LLC On September 10, 2021, Echo Global Logistics (ECHO) entered into an agreement with private equity firm, The Jordan Company, to be acquired for $48.25 per share in a cash transaction. The proposed share price reflects a 54% premium to the prior day’s share price and values ECHO at $1.3 billion. The transaction is expected to be completed in the fourth quarter of 2021. MoLo Solutions, LLC is a Chicago-based truck brokerage company that has experienced rapid growth in recent years. MoLo’s 2020 revenue increased approximately 100% to $274 million, and MoLo’s 2021 revenue is expected to be on the order of $600 million. ArcBest (ARCB) agreed to purchase MoLo in a deal valued at $690 million. This deal value reflects 2.52x LTM revenue at MoLo and 1.15x expected 2021 revenue.
  • 12. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 11 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2021 Select Transactions Date Announced Deal Status Total Deal Value Deal Value to Target Buyer Sales EBITDA Trucking R.S. Harris Transport Ltd. Mullen Group Ltd. 7/2/21 Closed 11.500 0.460 - AAA Cooper Transportation, Inc. Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. 7/6/21 Closed 1,350.000 - - Double Eagle Transportation Corp. Trimac Transportation Services Inc. 7/12/21 Closed - - - Osborn Son Trucking Co., Inc. V S Midwest Carriers, Corp. 7/20/21 Effective - - - Transport Distribution Company Interstate Personnel Services, Inc. 7/23/21 Closed - - - RJ's Transportation LLC AR Logistics, Inc. 7/30/21 Closed - - - SSBB, LLC Xpress Global Systems, LLC 8/5/21 Closed - - - Substantially All transportation assets of Patriot Transit, LLC and Patriot Logistics, LLC PS Logistics, LLC 7/30/21 Closed - - - Complete Transport Systems LLC EFL Global Logistics (Pte.) Ltd 9/9/21 Closed 6.100 - - D L Transport, Llc Pittsburgh Logistics Systems, Inc. 9/20/21 Closed - - - MFX, LLC Brooks Furniture Xpress, Inc. 9/16/21 Closed - - - Molo Solutions, LLC ArcBest Corporation 9/29/21 Closed 690.000 2.520 - Source: SP Global Market Intelligence in USD millions
  • 13. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 12 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2021 Date Announced Deal Status Total Deal Value Deal Value to Target Buyer Sales EBITDA Rail Kansas City Southern Canadian Pacific Railway Limited 8/10/21 Announced 31,654.800 11.160 20.770 Marine U.S. Shipping Corp. SEACOR Holdings Inc. 8/13/21 Closed - - - Lady Rose Marine Services Ltd. Devon Transport Ltd. 8/17/21 Announced - - - Freightway International Ltd. Blue Water Shipping A/S 9/15/21 Closed - - - Air Freight Logistics Quad Logistics Services, LLC Mullen Group Ltd. 6/30/21 Closed 40.000 0.296 - Alliance Technical Services Inc. Valiant Integrated Services LLC 7/1/21 Closed - - - Syncreon.Us Inc. DP World Limited 7/1/21 Announced 1,200.000 1.090 - Carson Air Ltd. Exchange Income Corporation 7/5/21 Closed 61.000 - - Velocity Freight Transport, Inc. Geodis Logistics LLC 7/6/21 Closed - - - Ship Art-Terry Dowd, LLC and Ship Art International, Inc. UOVO ART LLC 7/14/21 Closed - - - Transplace Inc. Uber Freight LLC 7/22/21 Closed 2,250.000 - 29.220 Chancellor Holding Co, LLC MGN Logistics, Inc. 7/23/21 Closed - - - Trinity Logistics USA Inc. Omni Logistics, LLC 7/6/21 Closed - - - Sauceda Industries LLC Cart.com, Inc. 7/27/21 Closed - - - Intelligent Logistics, L.L.C. AIT Worldwide Logistics, Inc. 8/3/21 Closed - - - Hanson Logistics LLC Lineage Logistics, LLC 8/4/21 Closed - - - Source: SP Global Market Intelligence in USD millions Select Transactions (continued)
  • 14. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 13 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2021 Date Announced Deal Status Total Deal Value Deal Value to Target Buyer Sales EBITDA Air Freight Logistics (cont.) Worldwide Express Operations, LLC - 8/5/21 Closed - - - Visible Supply Chain Management, LLC A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S 8/6/21 Closed - - - RRF Logistics, LLC MODE Transportation, LLC 8/10/21 Closed - - - Consumer Delivery Hub TPCO Holding Corp. 8/16/21 Announced - - - Xios Global Projects LLC - 8/16/21 Closed - - - Scout Logistics Corporation TA Services, Inc. 8/19/21 Closed - - - MCG Logistics, Inc. TransImpact, LLC 8/25/21 Closed - - - IDEA Logistics LLC EFL Global Logistics (Pte.) Ltd; EFL Global LLC (USA) 8/27/21 Closed 9.700 - - Enlinx, LLC Whiplash Inc. 9/8/21 Closed - - - Rapid Delivery, Inc. Canada Cartage System Limited 9/9/21 Closed - - - Echo Global Logistics, Inc. The Jordan Company, L.P. 9/10/21 Announced 1,463.720 0.440 15.840 IAS Logistics DFW, LLC WFS Global SAS 9/24/21 Closed - - - Expedited Logistics and Freight Services, LLC Janel Group, Inc. 9/27/21 Closed 47.000 - - Source: SP Global Market Intelligence in USD millions Select Transactions (continued)
  • 15. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 14 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2021 Public Company Performance Monthly Median TEV/EBITDA Multiples (as of September 30, 2021) 2.6x 6.5x 4.4x 5.6x 12.7x 4.5x 13.5x 22.7x 14.8x 11.7x 18.9x 15.3x 5.3x 8.7x 5.5x 8.0x 13.9x 8.8x 0x 5x 10x 15x 20x 25x Truckload LTL Air Freight Marine Rail Logistics Source: SP Global Market Intelligence Data as of September 30, 2021, excludes outliers
  • 16. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 15 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2021 LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples Company Name Ticker Price at 9/30/21 QoQ Price Change Enterprise Value Debt / Total Capital Return on Assets Rev. EBITDA Margin EV / Rev. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. Truckload J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. JBHT $167.22 81% $18,476 5% 946% $11,409 13% 1.6x 12.5x 26.2x 11.8x 24.4x Ryder System, Inc. R $82.71 213% $10,668 58% 374% $9,276 27% 1.2x 4.2x 12.2x 4.1x 9.7x Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. KNX $51.15 56% $9,288 9% 516% $5,459 24% 1.7x 7.0x 13.5x 6.2x 11.3x Landstar System, Inc. LSTR $157.82 65% $5,956 -1% 1674% $5,892 8% 1.0x 12.1x 18.1x 11.1x 16.4x Schneider National, Inc. SNDR $22.74 18% $3,808 -6% 755% $5,299 14% 0.7x 5.0x 11.6x 4.8x 10.6x Werner Enterprises, Inc. WERN $44.27 22% $3,126 4% 713% $2,589 20% 1.2x 6.1x 12.4x 5.5x 13.4x Heartland Express, Inc. HTLD $16.02 -14% $1,106 -15% 451% $615 29% 1.8x 6.3x 16.6x 5.3x 16.0x Daseke, Inc. DSKE $9.21 558% $1,243 49% 461% $1,498 12% 0.8x 6.8x 10.1x 5.9x 11.5x Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. ULH $20.08 53% $1,056 49% 590% $1,670 10% 0.6x 6.1x 7.3x 6.0x 7.5x Marten Transport, Ltd. MRTN $15.69 15% $1,221 -7% 652% $934 22% 1.3x 6.1x 16.2x 5.8x 15.9x Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. CVLG $27.65 219% $553 16% 474% $977 11% 0.6x 5.0x 26.8x 4.5x 7.7x P.A.M. Transportation Services, Inc. PTSI $44.98 193% $711 29% 922% $636 22% 1.1x 5.2x 8.0x nm nm USA Truck, Inc. USAK $15.28 382% $291 56% 551% $668 10% 0.4x 4.2x 6.9x 4.4x 7.1x U.S. Xpress Enterprises, Inc. USX $8.63 158% $1,034 58% 198% $1,873 6% 0.6x 9.0x 18.3x 8.3x 24.9x Patriot Transportation Holding, Inc. PATI $11.40 23% $31 -27% 2% $82 10% 0.4x 3.6x 34.2x nm nm Median 65% 9% 13.0% 1.0x 6.1x 13.5x 5.8x 11.5x Source: SP Global Market Intelligence USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q3 2021 Publicly Traded Companies
  • 17. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 16 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2021 LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples Company Name Ticker Price at 9/30/21 QoQ Price Change Enterprise Value Debt / Total Capital Return on Assets Rev. EBITDA Margin EV / Rev. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. Less-Than-Truckload Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. ODFL $285.98 118% $32,570 -2% 1791% $4,919 31% 6.6x 21.3x 35.0x 20.0x 32.8x Saia, Inc. SAIA $238.03 224% $6,362 2% 1056% $2,148 20% 3.0x 15.0x 28.4x 13.4x 26.0x ArcBest Corporation ARCB $81.77 367% $2,021 -3% 704% $3,611 9% 0.6x 6.1x 12.2x 5.0x 10.6x Mullen Group Ltd. MTL $10.19 252% $1,535 37% 353% $1,054 15% 1.5x 9.8x 19.8x 8.4x 18.7x Yellow Corporation YELL $5.65 236% $1,668 83% 180% $4,977 4% 0.3x 8.2x nm 5.5x nm Median 236% 2% 15% 1.5x 9.8x 24.1x 8.4x 22.4x Air Freight Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings, Inc. AAWW $81.68 218% $4,326 45% 664% $3,800 25% 1.1x 4.6x 4.7x 4.1x 4.7x Air T, Inc. AIRT $28.68 129% $183 55% -179% $194 2% 0.9x 62.6x nm nm nm Forward Air Corporation FWRD $83.02 64% $2,512 10% 802% $1,553 11% 1.6x 14.7x 36.9x 12.9x 20.0x Air Transport Services Group, Inc. ATSG $25.81 41% $3,289 42% 414% $1,651 31% 2.0x 6.4x 9.9x 6.1x 15.4x Cargojet Inc. CJT $160.09 124% $2,946 7% 700% $561 31% 5.3x 17.0x 76.9x 13.3x 38.2x Median 124% 42% 25% 1.6x 14.7x 23.4x 9.5x 17.7x Source: SP Global Market Intelligence USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q3 2021 Publicly Traded Companies
  • 18. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 17 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2021 LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples Company Name Ticker Price at 9/30/21 QoQ Price Change Enterprise Value Debt / Total Capital Return on Assets Rev. EBITDA Margin EV / Rev. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. Marine Kirby Corporation KEX $47.96 10% $4,295 33% 86% $2,145 14% 2.0x 14.5x nm 14.4x 88.2x Atlas Corp. ATCO $15.19 98% $9,327 57% 431% $1,581 65% 5.9x 9.1x 16.2x 8.5x 9.0x Matson, Inc. MATX $80.71 164% $4,404 20% 1640% $3,358 27% 1.3x 4.8x 5.7x 3.8x 4.6x Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. EGLE $50.42 289% $1,093 38% 1019% $485 45% 2.3x 5.0x 7.0x 3.8x 3.2x Pangaea Logistics Solutions, Ltd. PANL $5.05 153% $482 52% 641% $596 13% 0.8x 6.3x 3.9x 5.1x 4.2x Global Ship Lease, Inc. GSL $23.71 541% $1,537 44% 689% $364 53% 4.2x 7.9x 7.5x 6.2x 6.4x Genco Shipping Trading Limited GNK $20.13 214% $1,096 23% 616% $459 37% 2.4x 6.4x 33.4x 4.4x 4.9x Algoma Central Corporation ALC $13.33 108% $822 39% 408% $454 26% 1.8x 7.1x 8.0x 5.5x 8.6x Sino-Global Shipping America, Ltd. SINO $2.29 25% -$14 360% -1564% $5 -304% -2.7x 0.9x nm nm nm Median 153% 39% 2.0x 6.4x 7.5x 5.3x 5.7x Source: SP Global Market Intelligence USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q3 2021 Publicly Traded Companies
  • 19. © 2021 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 18 Mercer Capital’s Value Focus: Transportation Logistics Third Quarter 2021 LTM LTM Multiples Forward Multiples Company Name Ticker Price at 9/30/21 QoQ Price Change Enterprise Value Debt / Total Capital Return on Assets Rev. EBITDA Margin EV / Rev. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. EV / EBITDA Price / Earn. Railroads Union Pacific Corporation UNP $196.01 39% $157,027 19% 886% $21,212 53% 7.4x 14.1x 20.6x 13.5x 19.7x Canadian National Railway Company CNR $116.09 50% $92,879 12% 782% $11,373 52% 8.2x 15.8x 22.0x 16.2x 25.3x CSX Corporation CSX $29.74 56% $80,778 17% 804% $11,920 55% 6.8x 12.4x 18.6x 11.9x 19.1x Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC $239.25 64% $71,669 18% 716% $10,863 51% 6.6x 12.9x 20.3x 12.7x 19.9x Canadian Pacific Railway Limited CP $65.42 49% $50,231 13% 951% $6,301 57% 8.0x 13.9x 17.7x 15.1x 21.3x Kansas City Southern KSU $270.64 113% $28,457 13% 682% $2,893 52% 9.8x 18.9x 255.4x 18.6x 33.2x Median 53% 15% 7.7x 14.0x 20.5x 14.3x 20.6x Logistics Intermodal United Parcel Service, Inc. UPS $182.10 95% $174,876 9% 777% $94,412 12% 1.9x 16.1x 24.6x 11.3x 15.7x FedEx Corporation FDX $219.29 81% $87,725 34% 614% $78,752 11% 1.1x 10.2x 19.2x 8.9x 12.2x Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. EXPD $119.13 79% $19,020 -6% 1714% $14,640 11% 1.3x 11.7x 17.4x 10.5x 15.6x TFI International Inc. TFII $102.49 368% $11,488 17% 759% $6,202 13% 1.9x 14.1x 17.7x 11.1x 20.9x XPO Logistics, Inc. XPO $79.58 63% $16,329 44% 455% $18,436 9% 0.9x 9.9x 26.9x 13.0x 18.2x GXO Logistics, Inc. GXO $78.44 nm $11,078 19% 0% $7,444 8% 1.5x 19.0x 71.9x 17.7x 39.0x C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. CHRW $87.00 31% $12,968 12% 1072% $21,150 5% 0.6x 12.1x 15.0x 10.9x 13.7x Forward Air Corporation FWRD $83.02 64% $2,512 10% 802% $1,553 11% 1.6x 14.7x 36.9x 12.9x 20.0x Hub Group, Inc. HUBG $68.75 51% $2,394 1% 468% $3,929 7% 0.6x 8.2x 21.6x 7.6x 17.2x Air Transport Services Group, Inc. ATSG $25.81 41% $3,289 42% 414% $1,651 31% 2.0x 6.4x 9.9x 6.1x 15.4x Echo Global Logistics, Inc. ECHO $47.71 179% $1,357 6% 508% $3,475 3% 0.4x 13.5x 21.7x 10.1x 16.2x Radiant Logistics, Inc. RLGT $6.39 65% $374 16% 657% $907 5% 0.4x 8.0x 19.0x 8.0x 10.1x Median 65% 14% 1.2x 11.9x 20.4x 10.7x 15.9x Source: SP Global Market Intelligence USD millions except per share values | Financial statement data as of Q3 2021 Publicly Traded Companies
  • 20. Mercer Capital Transportation Logistics Industry Services Contact Us Copyright © 2021 Mercer Capital Management, Inc. All rights reserved. It is illegal under Federal law to reproduce this publication or any portion of its contents without the publisher’s permission. Media quotations with source attribution are encouraged. Reporters requesting additional information or editorial comment should contact Barbara Walters Price at 901.685.2120. Mercer Capital’s Industry Focus is published quarterly and does not constitute legal or financial consulting advice. It is offered as an information service to our clients and friends. Those interested in specific guidance for legal or accounting matters should seek competent professional advice. Inquiries to discuss specific valuation matters are welcomed. To add your name to our mailing list to receive this complimentary publication, visit our web site at www.mercercapital.com. Mercer Capital provides valuation and transaction advisory services to the transportation logistics industry. Industry Segments Mercer Capital serves the following industry segments: • Trucking • Air Freight • Marine • Railroads • Logistics Intermodal Contact a Mercer Capital professional to discuss your needs in confidence. Timothy R. Lee, ASA 901.322.9740 leet@mercercapital.com Nicholas J. Heinz, ASA 901.685.2120 heinzn@mercercapital.com Scott A. Womack, ASA, MAFF 615.345.0234 womacks@mercercapital.com Samantha L. Albert, ASA 901.322.9702 alberts@mercercapital.com www.mercercapital.com BUSINESS VALUATION FINANCIAL ADVISORY SERVICES Services Provided • Valuation of transportation and logistics companies • Transaction advisory for acquisitions and divestitures • Valuations for purchase accounting and impairment testing • Fairness and solvency opinions • Litigation support for economic damages and valuation and shareholder disputes