New Trends in Societal Security research in the Nordic countries 26 - 27 November 2014 in Stockholm

1. Towards an evidence based
Vision Zero on residential fires
Ragnar Andersson

2. Background
• Around 100 people killed each year; many
more injured
• Elderly and disabled dominate among victims
• Existing Vision Zero policy inoperative?
• Insufficient scientific underpinning
• Need of innovative thinking related to those at
particular risk

3. Skewed population at risk
– what explains the selection?
Normal
population
Elderly,
disabled
and diseased
Selection process
Exposed Accident process Victims
• Initial safety standard and fire onset frequency?
• Individual response and escape capacities?
• Individual susceptibility and survival ability?
• Rescuing conditions?

4. Tentative model

5. Seven sub-projects, focusing:
• Socio-demographic determinants of fire onset
• Socio-demographic patterns of serious injury from fire
• Socio-demographic patterns of death from fire
• Determinants of survival from fire
• The effectiveness of rescue services with regard to
different victim categories
• Medical susceptibility to heat and smoke by age, sex
and health status
• Synthesis report on further needs for a credible zero
vision on residential fire

6. Research Group
• Anders Jonsson, MSB and KaU, PhD student
• Johanna Gustavsson, KaU, PhD student
• Henrik Jaldell, KaU, PhD
• Björn Sund, MSB and KaU, PhD
• Liselotte Englund, KaU, PhD
• Finn Nilson, KaU, PhD
• Fredrik Huss, UU, Associate Professor
• Per Nilsen, LiU, Professor
• Ragnar Andersson, KaU, Professor
• Mattias Strömgren, MSB, investigator
• Carl Bonander, KaU, PhD student
• Thomas Gell, MSB, head of division
• Anders Bergqvist, Sv Brandskyddsföreningen, director