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Rt Hon Paul Burstow MP
Care Minister, 2010-2012
Commons convenor
Lib Dem Health Team
A revolution in survival

Number of centenarians in the UK,

Thousands

1981-2081

700
600

500
400
300
200
100
0

1981

1991

2001

2011

2021

2031

2041

2051

2061

2071

2081
The oldest old: growing fast
Percentage of people aged 85+,
United Kingdom, 2011-2081
10%
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%

2011

2021

2031

2041

2051

2061

2071

2081
The pressure on families
Dependency ratio

UK, 1950-2100

Oldest old support ratio

0.9

18

0.8

16

0.7

14

0.6

12

0.5

10

0.4

8

0.3

6

0.2

4

0.1

2

0.0

0
1950

1970

1990

2010

2030

2050

2070

2090
Reform: from FOR to WITH
 Welfare to Well-being

 Rescue to Prevention
 Fragmentation to

Integration
 Transactional to
relational
 CARE BILL: Enabling
Framework
Funding reform
 State accepts

responsibility for tailend risk
 Means test made more
generous
 Eligibility is nationalised
 Everyone has a stake
 BUT. Market response

awaited
Challenges: Changing culture
 Stigma: fear to hope

 Leadership:
institutional to system
 Workforce: silos to
teams
 Money: short to long

term
 Trust: hospital to
home
Changing attitudes
A Benefit NOT a Burden
Informal care;
£34bn

Volunteering;
£10bn

Goods and
Services; £76bn

Taxes; £45bn

£175 billion

Donations,
etc; £10bn

Source: RVS

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Paul Burstow: The need for care reform in England

  • 1. Rt Hon Paul Burstow MP Care Minister, 2010-2012 Commons convenor Lib Dem Health Team
  • 2.
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  • 6. A revolution in survival Number of centenarians in the UK, Thousands 1981-2081 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1981 1991 2001 2011 2021 2031 2041 2051 2061 2071 2081
  • 7. The oldest old: growing fast Percentage of people aged 85+, United Kingdom, 2011-2081 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 2011 2021 2031 2041 2051 2061 2071 2081
  • 8. The pressure on families Dependency ratio UK, 1950-2100 Oldest old support ratio 0.9 18 0.8 16 0.7 14 0.6 12 0.5 10 0.4 8 0.3 6 0.2 4 0.1 2 0.0 0 1950 1970 1990 2010 2030 2050 2070 2090
  • 9. Reform: from FOR to WITH  Welfare to Well-being  Rescue to Prevention  Fragmentation to Integration  Transactional to relational  CARE BILL: Enabling Framework
  • 10. Funding reform  State accepts responsibility for tailend risk  Means test made more generous  Eligibility is nationalised  Everyone has a stake  BUT. Market response awaited
  • 11. Challenges: Changing culture  Stigma: fear to hope  Leadership: institutional to system  Workforce: silos to teams  Money: short to long term  Trust: hospital to home
  • 13. A Benefit NOT a Burden Informal care; £34bn Volunteering; £10bn Goods and Services; £76bn Taxes; £45bn £175 billion Donations, etc; £10bn Source: RVS