Climate Change
Expert Group
Towards a successful outcome of the
first global stocktake
_______
Sirini Jeudy-Hugo (OECD)
Hybrid CCXG Global Forum | 22 March 2023
Based on: “Towards a successful outcome of the first global stocktake of the Paris Agreement”,
S. Jeudy-Hugo and L. Charles (2023, draft)

Outline
• Brief overview of GST process
• Unpacking what a successful GST1 means
• Understanding what is needed to reach a successful outcome of GST1
• Options for structuring impactful outputs from GST1
• Conclusions

Overview of GST process and intended outcome
• Inputs to GST
portal
• Synthesis reports
• Identification of
information gaps
Information
collection and
preparation
• Summary reports of
technical dialogues
• Factual synthesis
report
Technical
assessment
• High-level events
• Decision and/or
declaration
Consideration of
outputs (CO)
• Inform national
actions and
support
• Enhance
international
co-operation
Outcome
Consideration of
outputs (CO)

Considerations for a successful outcome of GST1
• Goes beyond CO of GST1 to an “implementation arc” in 2024-2025 – culminate in updated
NDCs “informed” by GST1 submitted by COP30.
• Be realistic in considering success of GST1 – learning-by-doing exercise and opportunity for
improvement in future GST cycles.
Is the process consistent with agreed
principles?
i.e. set out in the Paris Agreement and
Decision 19/CMA.1
Is the intended outcome achieved?
i.e. of informing national actions and
enhancing international cooperation

What is needed to reach a successful outcome of GST1?
A well designed and sequenced CO
o Structured around different phases
o Engaging relevant actors
A package of final outputs which are “fit for purpose”
o Focused, targeted and accessible
o Reaches relevant actors
o Establishes follow-up processes and feedback loops
Maintaining momentum beyond 2023
o Implement follow-up processes and feedback loops
o Use political pressure points to ensure implementation

Potential elements of a package of technical outputs from GST1
Factual synthesis report
Target audience: Negotiators and decision makers
Technical annexes
Target audience: Policymakers and practioners
Key cards summarising technical findings
Target audience: Broad audience beyond UNFCCC process

Potential elements of a package of political outputs from GST1
Draft decision
Coordinated by Joint Contact Group
Draft political declaration
Coordinated by High-level Committee
Draft cover decision
Coordinated by COP28 Presidency
Presidency initiatives
Coordinated by COP28 Presidency + High-level Climate Champions

Conclusions
• GST1 could deliver concrete results and set a foundation for improved approaches over time by:
• Translating findings from the technical discussions into strong political messages and
recommendations
• Identifying lessons learned from GST1 to inform future GSTs
• Establishing follow-up processes to assess progress
• Utilising political moments to maintain momentum
• GST1 provides an important opportunity for Parties and the international community to
course correct and one we cannot afford to let pass by.

THANK YOU!
Climate Change
Expert Group
http://oe.cd/ccxg
sirini.jeudy-hugo@oecd.org
caa@spiceisle.com