The major economic problem in Canada is slow recovery and weak job growth, not deficits. However, public spending cuts at federal and provincial levels will make this problem worse. The 2012 Ontario budget will cut $17.7 billion from public services over three years, affecting jobs and wages in both public and private sectors. While the government claims spending cuts are needed to eliminate the deficit by 2017, the document argues the recession caused the deficit, Ontario had balanced budgets before, and spending is not the problem. Spending cuts will reduce jobs and hurt the economy, whereas tax increases would achieve deficit reduction with lower economic costs.
Attacks on Jobs, Wages, and Services Hurt Ontario's Economic Recovery
1. “The major economic problem faced
by Canadians is a very slow recovery
and weak job market, not government
deficits or rising debt. But public
spending cuts at the federal and
provincial level will make the real
problem even worse.”
-- Andrew Jackson, Chief Economist, Canadian Labour Congress
2. Attacks on jobs, wages and services
in a time of rising profits
Summer 2012
3. People who depend on public
services – which is everybody – are
seeing many of those services
weakened or wiped out entirely
The 2012 Ontario Budget will cut
$17.7 billion from public services
over the next three years
4. Public employees are facing direct attacks on
their jobs and wages
The government is cutting jobs and demanding
a wage “freeze” (really a wage cut equal to the
rate of inflation) for all provincial workers
Private sector wages are not keeping up either.
In Ontario, overall wages went up just 0.7 per
cent from Feb. 2011 to Feb. 2012. But inflation
was 2.9 per cent. In other words, real wages
(after inflation) fell by 2.2 per cent
5. Premier Dalton
McGuinty is making
these big problems
worse
McGuinty says more
deep cuts to public
services, wages, and
jobs are needed to
get the deficit to zero
by 2017-18
6.
7. The government has
exaggerated how bad
the deficit is
In the early 1990s
there were five years
when the deficit was
worse than it is now
The deficit is
manageable
8. Taking advice from
banker Don Drummond,
McGuinty wants cuts that
are deeper and last longer
than those of the 1990s
Drummond was happy to ignore options
for raising revenues because it helped
“keep the screws on” spending
Based on this, you might think the deficit
was caused by public spending. It wasn’t
9. Ontario’s deficit was caused by the
recession, which cut tax revenues to
governments everywhere
Ontario had balanced budgets for
three years before the recession
Ontario has the lowest spending per
person of any province in Canada
11. Spending cuts will hurt the economy and
reduce government revenues
The Centre for Spatial Economics, a
mainstream forecasting firm, estimates that the
2012 Budget will cost 7,000 jobs in 2012
But by 2015, Ontario will have 105,000 fewer
jobs
In 2015, the unemployment rate will be 0.9 per
cent higher as a result of the Budget
12. Of the
105,000 jobs
missing in
2015, 65,000
will be
public sector
jobs and
40,000 will
be private
sector jobs
13. Cutting spending on public services hurts the
economy more than an equivalent increase in
taxes:
“Raising taxes rather than cutting spending
imposes lower costs on society in terms of
reduced jobs and GDP while achieving the
government’s objective of reducing the deficit.”
- Centre for Spatial Economics, April 2012
14. Cuts and privatization will cut
wages and jobs for workers while
creating more profit opportunities
for investors.
They won’t help struggling
households – in the public sector or
the private sector
15. Consumers and governments have
been propping up corporate profits
for close to three decades – by going
into debt
Meanwhile, corporations in Canada
are sitting on $527 billion in cash
that they are not spending or
investing
16.
17. The global economy is like a
Monopoly game in which one
player has all the money and
the others are broke
It’s time to start a new game.
That can only happen by
redistributing money from
corporations and high-income
individuals to workers and governments to
get the economy rolling again
18. Around the world,
citizens are fighting
back, demanding
solutions that don’t
mean lower wages
and higher profits, or
fewer public services
and more private
ones
19. In the last two years, OPSEU has:
promoted fair taxation at the G-20
campaigned to reveal the link between the
McGuinty wage freeze and corporate tax cuts
launched the satirical “People for Corporate Tax
Cuts” campaign
Supported the Occupy movement and its
opposition to growing inequality
sponsored the Commission on Quality Public
Services and Tax Fairness
20. The 2012 provincial Budget deal that raised
taxes on those earning more than $500,000 a
year will raise around $500 million a year for
public services
More needs to be done to support jobs, wages,
and public services
In 2012, we are fighting “austerity” in our
communities and at the bargaining table
Working people did not cause Ontario’s
problems….
This presentation is intended to give OPSEU members some basic language to talk about what is happening to public services, jobs, and wages in Ontario. What is happening is not about the deficit. Rather, employers and the politicians who work for them are using the deficit as a means to drive down wages across the economy – in the public sector AND the private sector. This boosts profits and creates more investment opportunities as the private sector delivers more public services, but it increases inequality. It also weakens consumer spending, which slows the economy even further. Ontario needs a strategy for jobs, wages, and public services that keeps money in the pockets of working people and calls on corporations and the wealthy to pay their fair share to get our economy – and the province’s finances – back on solid ground.Supporting documents for this presentation include the OPSEU analysis to the 2012 Budget, The Shock Doctrine Comes to Ontario, available at http://www.opseu.org/notices/2012-overview-budget.htm; and the Centre for Spatial Economics report called Budget 2012 and the Public Sector’s Contribution to Ontario’s Economy, available at www.opseu.org/C4SEreport.The questions in the notes for some of the slides are meant to serve as guides to interactive conversations at member meetings.This slide can be on the screen as people are taking their seats before the presentation.
“Austerity” is defined as a policy of cutting public services and wages to reduce spending by governments. It may also be accompanied by contracting-out and the sale of public assets. As a policy, austerity may reduce government deficits and debts, or it may not. Harsh austerity measures stifle economic growth, which in turn causes a reduction in government revenues which may result in higher deficits and debts. Critics of austerity measures say they are more about transferring public wealth to the wealthy than improving public finances. "Austerity" was named “word of the year” for 2010 by the Merriam-Webster dictionary.
Most OPSEU members already know that public services are under attack. But they may not know just how large the attack is. This slide could be a good place to include sector-specific information on job reductions or spending restraint (available in the 2012 Budget).Q. What does the Budget say about your sector or workplace? How will it affect your members? How will it affect the services they provide?
For a breakdown of wage increases and reductions for Ontario by sector, see http://www.statcan.gc.ca/tables-tableaux/sum-som/l01/cst01/labor93g-eng.htm .Q. Are people you know talking about falling wages? Are they talking about inflation more than they used to?
The picture says it all….Q. Do you think Ontarians are onside with what McGuinty is saying?
This chart is from the 2012 Budget. Note that the government has overestimated the deficit in every year since the recession. The government has a great deal of latitude to adjust the deficit in line with political goals. Right now, when they want cuts, they want the deficit to appear higher to put pressure on public employees; if an election is called, they may want the deficit to look lower so they look like responsible managers. One easy way to fiddle with the numbers, for example, is to slow down or speed up the pace of infrastructure projects. The government has budgeted $35 billion for infrastructure over the next three years.
For a detailed look at the ways in which the government has exaggerated the current deficit, see The Shock Doctrine Comes to Ontario, p. 4.
The phrase “keep the screws on” is a direct quote from Drummond. See Cohn, Martin Regg (2012a), “Brace for a budget firestorm across Ontario”, Toronto Star, January 5 (web edition). Available at http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/article/1110700 .
Q. Do your neighbours think Ontario has a spending problem? Do you?
The government admits our spending is low -- the chart here is from the Ontario budget. Note that program spending is all government spending except for interest payments on debt.Q. If you asked your neighbours where Ontario sits in terms of public program spending per person, do you think they would know that Ontario’s is the lowest?
To put these numbers in perspective, Ontario officially had 574,000 unemployed workers in April 2012. Adding another 105,000 to this number won’t increase their chances of finding a job!Q. Do your neighbours think “austerity” will have a significant impact on their own job prospects, or those of their children?
Cutting public services has a major economic impact on the private sector. That’s partly because of “spin-off” effects when public employees who are laid off or have their wages cut don’t have money to spend. But it’s also because 36 cents of every dollar of public spending goes directly into the private sector – for example when government pays to build a new building on a college campus, or a Conservation Officer puts gas in his patrol vehicle.Q. If you asked your neighbours, do you think they know how much of public spending goes directly into the private sector?
Cutting spending cuts the deficit about as much as raising taxes does. But cutting spending does way more damage to the economy than raising taxes does. This is because cutting spending takes more money out of the economy, as virtually all public spending is both spent and spent in Ontario. In comparison, raising taxes actually brings money in to the economy – money that would otherwise have been saved, used to pay down debts, used to purchase imported goods and services, or spent outside of Ontario. Q. Are your neighbours willing to pay higher taxes? Do they support higher taxes on corporations and the wealthy?
For proof that privatization is really about boosting profits, not paying down the deficit, look no further than ServiceOntario. ServiceOntario is a very efficient public service whose central operations are run by government. The government believes ServiceOntario needs to raise money for more technology to provide more online services, and plans to call on the private sector to finance the project as a “public-private partnership.” But that makes no sense: ServiceOntario doesn’t cost money, it makes money. New technology for ServiceOntario will be paid for by service fees whether it is run by the private sector or the public sector. The two big differences? The private sector pays higher interest rates to borrow money for new technology, and private companies demand a profit margin for everything they do. If a private company takes over ServiceOntario, expect higher user fees for the public, lower wages for workers, or both.Q. How might privatization affect your workplace?
The $527 billion number is from the National Economic Accounts table 378-0088. It includes Canadian and foreign currency holdings and deposits of non-financial corporations. If banks are included the amount of money corporations are sitting on is much higher.Q. What do your neighbours think is happening with profits of businesses? Do they know profits and corporate balance sheets are healthy while wages are falling? Why do they think that is?
This chart from CUPE Chief Economist Toby Sanger shows how corporations in Canada are in the pink while citizens and governments have gone into debt to subsidize corporate profits. Note how:government debt rises when recessions begin but falls off when recessions end; corporate debt has fallen steadily for more than 20 years; andhousehold debt compared to income has been rising steadily.Toby’s 20-minute presentation on austerity is excellent and available online at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3y-okQUcvm8&feature=relmfu . The introduction by Ryerson University professor Bryan Evans ends at 1:54 of the video, when Toby begins speaking.
For more options on how to fund public services and strengthen the economy through tax fairness, see The Shock Doctrine Comes to Ontario, pp. 5-7.
At the G-20 in June 2010, OPSEU educated the public about the “Robin Hood Tax,” also known as the Financial Transactions Tax, a tiny tax on trades in stocks, bonds, derivatives and currencies that would raise billions to fund public services, reduce poverty, and climate change.The union mobilized members around the wage freeze and corporate tax cuts in the fall of 2010.The “People for Corporate Tax Cuts” campaign attracted 25,000 visitors to its web site and received province-wide media coverage in January-February 2011.OPSEU provided logistical support for Occupy Toronto in the fall of 2011.Led by former MP Judy Wasylycia-Leis, the Commission on Quality Public Services and Tax Fairness held hearings and town hall forums in 12 communities across Ontario in January-February 2012. The Commission heard presentations from academics, OPSEU members, and communities members. The report of the Commission is available at http://www.publicservicesfoundation.ca/content/new-publication-something-value .
Q. What can your sector, bargaining unit, or local do to join the battle for good jobs, quality public services, and tax fairness?Q. What can you do to increase public support for the fight against austerity in Ontario?
Q. What can your sector, bargaining unit, or local do to join the battle for good jobs, quality public services, and tax fairness?Q. What can you do to increase public support for the fight against austerity?