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The Case of SAFE and SMART Cities


    November, 2012



Balaji Srimoolanathan
Principal Consultant
Aerospace, Defence & Security




                                        1
AGENDA


           Presentation on SAFE and SMART Cities

- Overview and Definition of SAFE and SMART Cities
- Key Trends and Concepts
- SAFE/SMART Cities of the Future
- Competitive Environment and Convergence
- Go - To Market Models




                                                     2
Urbanization Challenge
                50% of the world’s population lives in cities today and 70% of the global population is expected to
                live in urban environments by 2050

         Urban
                                                                                               Key Drivers
         population
         share by                                                              Growth/ Development/ Acuteness of:
         continent
                                                                                       – Terrorism, Crime and Emergencies
                                                                                       – Road congestion
                                                                                       – Energy consumption
                                                                                       – Gas emission and waste contamination
                                                                                       – Demographics
                                                                                       – …
                                                                               Need/ requirement for:
                                                                                       – Clean water and air storage
                                                                                       – Effective transportation networks
   Source: UN Population Division, World Urbanization Prospects
                                                                                       – Reliability and efficiency of energy
•50% of the worlds GDP is produced in Cities with over                                 – Safety and Security
750k population                                                                        – Connectivity and Communication

•75% of energy produced is consumed by cities
                                                                   Ability and necessity to transfer current approach of urbanization
•80% of the world Co2 Emissions are from cities                            development to the format of Safe and Smart Cities

                                                                                                                                3
Why are we talking about Cities?
                                   • Security becomes more critical as cities and their infrastructure evolve;
                                   • Cities get bigger (urbanisation) = more and more anonymous threats;
                                   • Increasing pressure on Local authorities to cope with expected and unexpected security
                                     threats against citizens
                                   • Large number of potential end-users with real budget is another key driver and a
                                     challenge at the same time
                                   • Technology adoption and penetration allows us to think about a connected Safe City
      50% Of The Top 20 Megacities In 2025 Will Be From The Developing Countries
                               45                                          Top 20 Megacities in 2025
                                                                           Top 20 Megacities in 2025
                               40
                                         1.
      Population (million)




                               35      Tokyo
                                                                    6.                  9.        11.Mumbai
                               30             2.                  Mexico               São
                                                                   City       8.      Paulo                              16. Delhi
                               25            New                           Shanghai                  12. Osaka-
                                             York                                                       Kobe                                New definition of Megacity ‘25
                               20
                               15        3. Los                                                                                           18. Guangzhou
                                                                                                        14. Beijing      17. Moscow
                                         Angeles                                           10.                                                               U.N. definition
                               10                                                        Buenos                                                             of Megacity ‘09
                                                                                          Aires
                                   5                        5. Chicago     7.Paris                                    15.Hong Kong        19.Seoul
                                                4. London                                                                                                 20. Miami
                                                                                               13.Philadelphia
                                   0
(3)                          (1)         1          3         5             7          9         11         13           15          17          19           21          23
                                                                                Ranking based on population and GDP                              * Size of the bubble – GDP 2025

                  * Size of the bubble – GDP 2009
                  * Cities with current or future plans to become Safe Cities                                                                                                    4
                                                                                                     Note: All figures are rounded; the base year is 2009. Source: Frost & Sullivan
Defining Safe Cities

       Safe City can be defined as:                                        Safe City

       (1) An initiative to integrate security solutions across
        stakeholder groups in a given city to enhance response to
        security and safety incidents…
                                                                         Integrated Solutions
       (2) The implementation of reliable and all-coverage security
        measures to counter incidents that a city and its inhabitants             +
        are susceptible to…
                                                                              Reliability

       (3) A combination of civic partners (law enforcement,                      +
        businesses, and residents) to maintain order and create
        stability in cities by deploying advanced security systems…      Centralised & Remote
                                                                                Control

       (4) Security concept where key entities of a city work together            +
        to identify and act in real-time to security threats of any
        scale and time                                                    Scalable Response



Safe City is a plan to enhance public security and welfare by deploying networked security systems
  across several entities in a society to optimise the necessary response from detection to action

                                                                                                 5
Defining SMART vs Sustainable Cities

                           Smart City                                                     Sustainable City




• Smart cities are cities built on “Smart” and “Intelligent”   • Sustainable cities are cities that are built on eco-friendly
  Solutions and technology that will lead to adoption of         basis. These may not necessarily include “intelligent”
  at least 5 out of the 8 following smart parameters             systems but are built more on an energy-efficient or
• Smart Energy                                                   environmental friendly objective. Sustainable Cities will
• Smart Building                                                 have 1 or more parameters of the following:
• Smart Mobility                                               • Green energy
• Smart Healthcare                                             • Green buildings
• Smart Infrastructure                                         • Green mobility
• Smart Technology                                             • Green healthcare
• Smart Governance                                             • Green infrastructure
• Smart Citizens                                               • Green technology
• Frost & Sullivan believes as of 2012, there is no smart      • Green governance
  city. We expect 26 complete smart cities in 2025. We         • Green citizens
  exclude smart “projects” within a city in this count – as    • Frost & Sullivan research indicates there will be 92
  they do not apply to an entire city                            sustainable cities in 2025
                                                                                                                        6
How SMART drives SAFE and Vice-Versa
 SMART Buildings: At least                                    SMART Mass Transport:
 50% of Buildings Will be                                     Multimodal Transport Hubs
 Green and Intelligent Built                                  Providing Excellent Air, Rail, Road
 with BIPV; 20% of the                                        Connectivity to Other Mega
 Buildings Will be Net Zero               ‘SAFE’
                                                              Cities.
 Buildings.
                                                                                   SMART
                                                                                   Energy: 20%
                                                                                   of Energy
                                                                                   Produced in
SMART                                                                              the City Will
Technology:                                                                        be Renewable
Intelligent                                                                        (Wind, Solar
Communication                                                                      etc).
Systems
Connecting




                                                               ‘SAFE’
Home, Office,                                                                   SMART GRID:
iPhone and Car                                                                  Infrastructure to
on a Single                                                                     Enable Real Time
Wireless IT                                                                     Monitoring of
Platform.                                                                       Power Flow and
                                                                                Provide Energy
                                                                                Surplus Back to
 Satellite Towns: Main                                                          the Grid.
 City Centre Will Merge
 with Several Satellite
                                                       SMART Cars: At least 10% of Cars
 Towns to Form ONE BIG
                                                       will be Electric Vehicles. Free Fast
 MEGA CITY.
                                                       Charging Stations at Every Half Mile.
Source: Google Images
                                                                                                    7
Integration is the Key Enabler and the biggest
                                  Challenge to “Creating” a Safe or SMART city

                                                                     City Infrastructure

                                                   Energy                  Transport             Communications

  Safe City
Key Elements                                                          City Operators
                                               Law Enforcers          Service Providers           Infrastructure
                                              (Fire, Police, etc.)    (medical, wastage, etc.)      Operators


                                                                          City Users

                                                 Inhabitants                Visitors               Businesses
                                                    (People)                (People)             (People & Infras.)



Implications
      • It demands the procurement of new systems.
      • It increases workload by sharing responsibility across different operators.
      • It is a long-term commitment that is susceptible to governance chance and political agenda.

                                                                                                                      8
Communication Infrastructure is Critical
                                                 and is the Backbone for Scalability
                                        Access Control, Video Surveillance Intrusion
                                        Detection, Biometrics, Perimeter and
                                        Occupancy Sensors, Fire Alarm Panels,
                                        Detection Devices (Smoke/Heat/Gas/Flame),
                                        Fire suppression, Notification and Evacuation



Energy Logistics, Distribution                              Physical                       Integrated Fire Department,
                                                            Security                       Police and Medical Services,
Channels (electricity, water, gas),                        and Safety
Utility Monitor, Heat, Lighting,                                                           Centralised and Remote
                                          Energy                           Response        Command and Control,
Back-Up Power, Leakage Monitor          Management                        Management       Scalable Decision Making
                                                         Universal                         Process
                                                       Communication
Voice/Video/Data, Audio Visual,          Logical
Structured Cabling, TCP/IP/BAS           Security
                                           and                            Mobility         Traffic Control & Monitoring
Protocols, Remote VPN Access,
                                      Communications                     Management        (rail, underground, buses,
Computer Logon, Network Access                           Building
                                                        Management                         personal vehicles), 24/7 Supply
Logon, Firewalls, Managed
                                                                                           Management (logistics)
Security Services, Mobile Security,
Security Infrastructure

                                        Building Automation, Building Control, Networked
                                        Systems, Crisis Management Solution (power,
                                        infrastructure damage, evacuation)
                                                                                                                             9
Operating a Safe or SMART City: The Challenge of
                                                     “WHO vs HOW” – Multi – Agency Co - Operation is
                                                     Critical for Successful City Operations
                        The WHO                                                                    The HOW
                                                                                              City Governance


                         City Operators                                                            City Operators
Law Enforcers           Service Providers        Infrastructure      Infrastructure            City Operators
                                                                                                Service Providers              Law Enforcers
(Fire, Police, etc.)    (medical, wastage,)      Operators           Operators                 (medical, wastage, etc)         (Fire, Police, etc)




                                                                                                                                          Centralised
                                                                                                      Universal
                                                                                                    Communication
                                                                                                                                          Operator

  City Infrastructure                         City Users

                                          Citizens                                                                        Response
  Transport
                                          (People)                                                                       Management

                                                                      Energy           Mobility
                                                                    Management        Management
                                          Businesses
  Energy
                                          (People & Infras.)                                            Logical
                                                                                                                                          Building
                                                                                                        Security
                                                                                                                            Physical     Management
                                                                                                          and
                                                                  City Infrastructure                Communications
                                                                                                                            Security
                                          Visitors                                                                         and Safety
  Communications
                                          (People)                    City Users
                                                                                                                                                     10
“SMART” City Opportunities




                             11
Smart Cities Now and Tomorrow

                          Smart Cities Selection                                       Current Smart Cities Mapping
              "Smart Growth“ concept has emerged in the last 10–20
              years driven by "new guard" urban planners, innovative                                       Europe

              architects, visionary developers, community activists                                        37%
                                                                                       North
              and historic preservationists. There are many                            America
              institutions engaged in Smart City selection, which apply >100 active    34%                    Middle
                                                                                                                             Asia
                                                                                                              East
              similar approach to 6 aforementioned elements, but        and upcoming                                         Pacific
                                                                                                              6%
              with different criteria.                                  Smart City                                           21%

                                                                        projects
                                                                                                 Latin
                                                                        worldwide                America
         Participator       Short         Different       Final
                                                                                                 2%
         application        listing     Diagnostics      Scoring




         Sum-up of existing Smart City projects                             Worldwide spending in technologies for Smart
•   Two types: “Greenfield” and “Brownfield”                                          City programs development
                                                                      $bn
•   Population in size of less 1.5 millions of citizens
•   Presence of major initiator (often a Grid company)                                                                 About $115bn in
                                                                                                                       cumulative
•   Community of different stakeholders
                                                                                             CAGR                      spending is
•   Sufficient “room” for smart mobility and grid issues                                      30%                      expected during
•   Proper and convenient territory allocation                                                                         2012 – 2017 period
•   Government support (legal and financial)
•   Set of prepared investors


                                                                                                                                       12
Over 26 Global Cities to be “Complete” SMART
                                               Cities by 2025 - More than 50% of Smart cities of
                                               2025 will be from Europe and N. America
                                   Calgary                Amsterdam            Copenhagen
    Vancouver                                                                                                   Beijing
                                                                                                                                         Tokyo




                                                                         Stockholm
                                                                  Oslo         Helsinki

                                                            London         Berlin
                                          Toronto              Paris
                  Seattle                                                   Vienna
                                Chicago                  Barcelona
          San Francisco                       New York
              Los Angeles                                                                                  Tianjin
                                                                                                       Wuhan       Seoul         Singapore
                                                                                                      Shenzhen




                                                                                                                                                  Sydney




                                                                                       Photo Credits: Dreamstime, willgoto.com, tanamatales.com, sol-group.net
Selected Smart Cities in 2025                                            Source: Forbes Smart City List, Innovation City Index, Specific Smart Project Websites for
                                                                                                                                          Each City, Frost & Sullivan
                                                                                                                                                              13
Selection of Worldwide Cities Engaged in
                                                                         Smart Projects (listed alphabetically)


1. Amsterdam (The Netherlands)                                         18. Gold Coast City (Australia)    35. Recife (Brazil)
2. Ballarat (Australia)                                                19. Gujarat Tech-city (India)      36. Riverside (U.S.A.)
3. Besançon (France)                                                   20. Ipswich (Australia)            37. Rotterdam (The Netherlands)
4. Birmingham (U.K.)                                                   21. Issy-les-Moulineaux (France)   38. Shanghai (China)
5. Bottrop (Germany)                                                   22. Jubail (Saudi Arabia)          39. Shenyang (China)
6. Bristol (U.S.A.)                                                    23. Kalundborg (Denmark)           40. Songdo (South Korea)
7. Cape Town (South Africa)                                            24. Lavasa (India)                 41. Sopron (Hungary)
8. Chattanooga (U.S.A.)                                                25. Lyon (France)                  42. Suwon (South Korea)
9. Cleveland (U.S.A.)                                                  26. Malaga (Spain)                 43. Tallinn (Estonia)
10. Copenhagen (Denmark)                                               27. Malmö (Sweden)                 44. Taoyuan (Taiwan)
11. Curitiba (Brazil)                                                  28. Masdar (UAE)                   45. Tianjin Binhai (China)
12. Dakota County (U.S.A.)                                             29. Moncton (Canada)               46. Toronto (Canada)
13. Dongtan (China)                                                    30. Ottawa (Canada)                47. Trikala (Greece)
14. Dublin (Ireland)                                                   31. Paredes (Portugal)             48. Trondheim (Norway)
15. Dublin (U.S.A.)                                                    32. Pedra Branca (Brazil)          49. Urumqi (China)
16. Eindhoven (The Netherlands)                                        33. Porto Alegre (Brazil)          50. Windsor-Essex (Canada)
17. Gdansk (Poland)                                                    34. Quebec City (Canada)           51. Winnipeg (Canada)

 Source: “Getting Smart about Smart Cities” by Alcatel-Lucent (2011)

                                                                                                                                       14
Emerging Markets which are Accessible to International
                           Companies have Started to Implement and/or Plan
                           Safe/SMART City Projects


                                          Fast Growing Security Market with over 7 Safe City
India
                                          Projects Announced to Begin in the Next Few Years




         Successful Deployment of Safe City Concepts in Mexico City is Fostering the Interest of Other Local
Mexico
                                          Authorities across the Country




                                           High Growth in the HLS Domain is also Driving Authorities to
Poland                                     Expand Security Measures to Municipalities in the Med-term




Brazil                              Safe City Projects Driven by the 2014 World Cup



           2010             2011              2012              2013             2014             2015         (Beyond)


                                                                                                                  15
Safe City:
Competitive Environment




                          16
Competitive Environment – “A Fuzzy Picture”
           The figure below highlights the complexities of the competitive landscape in relation to safe city
           solutions but also opportunities. Competition, partnerships, and future acquisition will occur across
           application and solution areas.



   CNI

                                                                                 Defence
                      Defence Integrators                                      Integrators

  Public Safety
                              Commercial   Information Technology
                              Integrators          Security
                               & Building        Technology
                              Technology          Providers                     Network
Commercial                                                                      Security
                               Communication Providers



Residential            Residential Integrators &
                           Service Providers


                    System Integration             Technology                  Cyber/Network
                                                                                             Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
                                                                                                                         17
What is Included in a Safe City and Who is
                                                 Providing it?
                        The range of security solutions required for a safe city solution provider is not supplied by one
                        single player. A selection of some of the providers below highlights the gaps that exist in product
                        portfolios today. Systems integrators will not always look to fill the gap.

                                             Video                           Networks &    Systems                     Data Mining &
               Video          Sensors                             C3i                                  Cyber
                                            Analytics                         Storage     Integrator                     Analytics


      IT


  Defence


  Telecoms


 Security
Technology

 Building
Technology

 Network
 Security


Residential

                                                  Approximately
                                                                        Most
                                 Isolated         half of the                             Industry
              No capability                                             organisations
                                 Examples         industry has                            Leadership
                                                                        have capability
                                                  capability
                                                                                                          Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

                                                                                                                                   18
What is Included in a Safe City and Who is
                                              Providing it?

             The following is a non-exhaustive list of organisations that are respective leaders in their field. The list is
             not an indication of market share but players that have demonstrated strong security credentials and/or
             public safety expertise.

                                                               Video:
                                                Cisco, Pelco, Axis, Panasonic, Bosch,                         C3I:
        Analytics & Integration:                Sony, Toshiba, Samsung, IQinVision,         AGT International, Northrop Grumman,
AGT International, ObjectVideo, Nice,                          Verint                       Lockheed Martin, L3 Communications,
Cieffe, Viasys, ioimage, Verint, Vidsys,                                                     Frequentis, Unisys, Avaya, NSN, Selex
    Avigilon, Arcont Vision, Axxon                                                             Elsag, Sepura, Rohde & Schwarz,
                                                                                            Motorola, Siemens, Thales, EADS, Rohill,
                                                                                                   Mer Systems, Intergraph



          Next Generation:                                                                               Sensors:
           UAV, UAS, GIS
                                                     Safe City Solution                           ShotSpotter, Lenel, Harris




                                                                                                      Network & Storage:
                                                                                             EMC, IBM, Nexsan, Hewlett Packard,
Services and System Integrators:                                                                 Cisco, HDS, NetApp, Dell, Sun
AGT International, Cisco, Raytheon,                                                          Microsystems, Pivot3, Intransa, Vico,
Lockheed Martin, Cassidian, Thales,                                                           Kintronics, QNAP, Veracity, Avaya,
BAE Systems, IBM, Alcate-Lucent,                                                                Alctatel Lucent, Huawei, NSN,
Frequentis, Mer Group, AIS                                                                  Motorola, Airware, Seupra, NEC, Fujitsu,
                                                                                                         among others

                                                                                                           Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

                                                                                                                                      19
Safe Cities:
Go-to Market Models




                      20
Steps in City Development Initiatives


Strategy Development:                                     Roadmapping:
• Develop vision and strategy                             • Pre-select initiatives on feasibility,
• Principles and technical architecture                     cost and sustainability
  definition                                              • Identify and attract potential
• Approach determination                                    partners
                                                          • Program plan and legal
                                                            framework development




                                                         Projects:
Full Scale Roll-out:
                                                         • Projects, plans, business cases
• Evaluation and selection of successful
                                                         • Partner funding
  initiatives and partners
                                                         • Project execution
• Result communication
                                                         • Project monitoring
• Full scale implementation support


                                                                                             21
Miscellaneous Business Models of
                                            Smart Cities

          General Motivations                                           Big company challenge
                                                         One or several large domestic companies initiate and manage
Economic:                                                a smart city project with the focus on their business
•   Innovation and hi-tech                               engagement. The business model is basically based on private
                                                         company funding of the projects.
•   Industrial basis support        Different factors:
•   New jobs and opportunities         Stakeholder
                                       balance                       All-sufficient environment
•   Overall state competitiveness
                                       Government        Turnkey smart cities in which many elements are covered in a
                                                         very ambitious and wide ranging plan. The business model
                                       involvement       involves public-private initiatives with an important
Social:                                Environment       contribution provided by governments or government
•   Better living conditions           conditions        agencies.
•   Improved government services       Residents’
•   Convenient communications          mentality                          Specifically focused
                                       …                 The projects are usually treated as independent and separate,
                                                         with little or no integration to a global smart city concept.
Sustainability:                     comes to four        Various aspects of the smart city applications can be taken as
                                                         basis, though grid often used as starting point.
•   Eco-friendly industries         business models
•   Smart & eco – apartments
                                                                             National pride
•   Prudent resource management
                                                         The project is usually led and managed by a government or
•   Renewable energy
                                                         government affiliated agency. A closed ecosystem includes
•   Carbon footprint reduction                           carefully selected companies which are in most cases
                                                         government-affiliated (or important domestic) companies.

                                                                                                                  22
Different Levels of Government
                                          Involvement (Examples)

                                                                                   Private companies with
     Government alone takes all         Government work closely with
                                                                                     minor government
            initiatives                      private companies
                                                                                           support
 • Masdar City                          • Amsterdam                             • Jubail
   Presidential law created a special     Government in cooperation with         Bechtel Group started the project to
   economic zone                          an electric grid operator (Liander)    make better use of natural gas
                                          started a project to reduce energy     resources and to develop related
 • Cape Town                              consumption and tackle related
                                          ecological challenges                 • Lavasa
   Local government issued a decree                                              Lavasa Corporation in partnership with
   transforming the way local
                                        • Birmingham                             Wipro plans, builds and manages ICT
   government services are delivered
                                                                                 services
                                          City council worked with partners
                                          from the business, public and local   • Malaga
 • Suwon city
                                          communities to stimulate               Endesa company leads management
   Korean Ministry of Information         economic growth and inward
   and Communication in                                                          over 50 partners for a project to
                                          investment                             reduce energy consumption and CO2
   collaboration with the Ministry of
   Construction and Transportation                                               emissions
   created a task force to cope with    • Dublin                                • Songdo City
   issues related to Ubiquitous City      Government cooperated with an
                                                                                 Gale International (U.S. real estate
   (U-city) environments that will be     energy agency (Codema) to
                                                                                 firm) and Posco (Korean steelmaker)
   realized mainly in newly created       reduce energy consumption and
   communities                            CO2 emissions                          are backers of a project to build a new
                                                                                 city on a 1,500 acre man-made island
                                                                                 off the coast of Incheon
                                                                                                                    23
23
Return on Security Investment




     Security              Risk                   Strategic
  Effectiveness         Protection                Security



Traditional Return    Additional Pillars of Return on Security
  on Investment                      Investment

Direct calculations   Calculations based on Investments, Direct
     based on         Gains, Loss Prevention, Risk Management,
 Investments and       Operational Efficiencies, Cost Savings,
  Gains from the              Revenue Implications etc.
    Investment



                                                                  24
Where is the Return on Investment in
                                             Security?


               High
                                                                             Strategic Security
                                                                             Increase revenue,
                                                                              reduce operating
                                                                                 expenses
Total Return




                                                  Risk Protection
                                                Business continuity,
                                                 productivity, asset
                            Security            protection, reputation
                         Effectiveness
                          Total Cost of
                       Ownership, Security
                        CAPEX, Security
                             OPEX
               Low
                      Reduce                        Streamline           Reduce Variable Costs
                      Fixed Costs                     Costs                 Increase Revenues

                                                  Sources of ROSI




                                                                                                  25
Delivering Safe/Smart City Projects

Challenges for Municipalities and City Corporations




                         How will the Industry Deal with
                         this Squeeze?




                                                           26
Delivering Safe/Smart City Projects –
                                        PPP Contract Model

Major Installations
   During Core
Investment Period


  Pre -Financing                                 Annuity Financing




                              Operations, Maintenance and Obsolence Management
                               through regular monthly/quarterly/ annual payments


Investment Period (Upto 5 years)
                                       O&M Period (20 Years)


                                                                               End of Contract


                                                                                         27
Delivering Safe/Smart City Projects –
                                           Accepting the Risk Transfer

         Municipalities/City Corporations                     Integrator/Security Supplier

     • Price risks of personal, material               • Planning risks

     • Changes in regulation                           • Effects of delay and cost overruns

     • Change of legal and technical standards         • Financial risk

     • Costs in consequence of accidents and           • Availability of facilities
     vandalism
                                                       • Operation and maintenance risks

• PPP and partnering contracts offer fast replacement of old facilities to improve safety and security

• The models can be standardised and repeated, but financing needs to be adapted to the institutions
available.




                                                                                                     28
The Last Word




                29
The Challenges Associated with Cities



            End Users                                              Industry



             • Budget                                      • Revenue Opportunities
     (Need to understand the ROI)                              (where? Who?)

       • Political Aspirations                               • Market Positioning
     (legacy vs. budget allocated)             • (Integrator vs. System Supplier vs. Partnerships)

     • Technology Limitations                                 • Open Innovation
• (scalability, upgrade, maintenance)
                                                            • Value proposition
                                                        (What solutions? What price?)




                                                                                                     30
Thank You




            31

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The Case of SAFE and Smart cities

  • 1. The Case of SAFE and SMART Cities November, 2012 Balaji Srimoolanathan Principal Consultant Aerospace, Defence & Security 1
  • 2. AGENDA Presentation on SAFE and SMART Cities - Overview and Definition of SAFE and SMART Cities - Key Trends and Concepts - SAFE/SMART Cities of the Future - Competitive Environment and Convergence - Go - To Market Models 2
  • 3. Urbanization Challenge 50% of the world’s population lives in cities today and 70% of the global population is expected to live in urban environments by 2050 Urban Key Drivers population share by Growth/ Development/ Acuteness of: continent – Terrorism, Crime and Emergencies – Road congestion – Energy consumption – Gas emission and waste contamination – Demographics – … Need/ requirement for: – Clean water and air storage – Effective transportation networks Source: UN Population Division, World Urbanization Prospects – Reliability and efficiency of energy •50% of the worlds GDP is produced in Cities with over – Safety and Security 750k population – Connectivity and Communication •75% of energy produced is consumed by cities Ability and necessity to transfer current approach of urbanization •80% of the world Co2 Emissions are from cities development to the format of Safe and Smart Cities 3
  • 4. Why are we talking about Cities? • Security becomes more critical as cities and their infrastructure evolve; • Cities get bigger (urbanisation) = more and more anonymous threats; • Increasing pressure on Local authorities to cope with expected and unexpected security threats against citizens • Large number of potential end-users with real budget is another key driver and a challenge at the same time • Technology adoption and penetration allows us to think about a connected Safe City 50% Of The Top 20 Megacities In 2025 Will Be From The Developing Countries 45 Top 20 Megacities in 2025 Top 20 Megacities in 2025 40 1. Population (million) 35 Tokyo 6. 9. 11.Mumbai 30 2. Mexico São City 8. Paulo 16. Delhi 25 New Shanghai 12. Osaka- York Kobe New definition of Megacity ‘25 20 15 3. Los 18. Guangzhou 14. Beijing 17. Moscow Angeles 10. U.N. definition 10 Buenos of Megacity ‘09 Aires 5 5. Chicago 7.Paris 15.Hong Kong 19.Seoul 4. London 20. Miami 13.Philadelphia 0 (3) (1) 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 Ranking based on population and GDP * Size of the bubble – GDP 2025 * Size of the bubble – GDP 2009 * Cities with current or future plans to become Safe Cities 4 Note: All figures are rounded; the base year is 2009. Source: Frost & Sullivan
  • 5. Defining Safe Cities Safe City can be defined as: Safe City (1) An initiative to integrate security solutions across stakeholder groups in a given city to enhance response to security and safety incidents… Integrated Solutions (2) The implementation of reliable and all-coverage security measures to counter incidents that a city and its inhabitants + are susceptible to… Reliability (3) A combination of civic partners (law enforcement, + businesses, and residents) to maintain order and create stability in cities by deploying advanced security systems… Centralised & Remote Control (4) Security concept where key entities of a city work together + to identify and act in real-time to security threats of any scale and time Scalable Response Safe City is a plan to enhance public security and welfare by deploying networked security systems across several entities in a society to optimise the necessary response from detection to action 5
  • 6. Defining SMART vs Sustainable Cities Smart City Sustainable City • Smart cities are cities built on “Smart” and “Intelligent” • Sustainable cities are cities that are built on eco-friendly Solutions and technology that will lead to adoption of basis. These may not necessarily include “intelligent” at least 5 out of the 8 following smart parameters systems but are built more on an energy-efficient or • Smart Energy environmental friendly objective. Sustainable Cities will • Smart Building have 1 or more parameters of the following: • Smart Mobility • Green energy • Smart Healthcare • Green buildings • Smart Infrastructure • Green mobility • Smart Technology • Green healthcare • Smart Governance • Green infrastructure • Smart Citizens • Green technology • Frost & Sullivan believes as of 2012, there is no smart • Green governance city. We expect 26 complete smart cities in 2025. We • Green citizens exclude smart “projects” within a city in this count – as • Frost & Sullivan research indicates there will be 92 they do not apply to an entire city sustainable cities in 2025 6
  • 7. How SMART drives SAFE and Vice-Versa SMART Buildings: At least SMART Mass Transport: 50% of Buildings Will be Multimodal Transport Hubs Green and Intelligent Built Providing Excellent Air, Rail, Road with BIPV; 20% of the Connectivity to Other Mega Buildings Will be Net Zero ‘SAFE’ Cities. Buildings. SMART Energy: 20% of Energy Produced in SMART the City Will Technology: be Renewable Intelligent (Wind, Solar Communication etc). Systems Connecting ‘SAFE’ Home, Office, SMART GRID: iPhone and Car Infrastructure to on a Single Enable Real Time Wireless IT Monitoring of Platform. Power Flow and Provide Energy Surplus Back to Satellite Towns: Main the Grid. City Centre Will Merge with Several Satellite SMART Cars: At least 10% of Cars Towns to Form ONE BIG will be Electric Vehicles. Free Fast MEGA CITY. Charging Stations at Every Half Mile. Source: Google Images 7
  • 8. Integration is the Key Enabler and the biggest Challenge to “Creating” a Safe or SMART city City Infrastructure Energy Transport Communications Safe City Key Elements City Operators Law Enforcers Service Providers Infrastructure (Fire, Police, etc.) (medical, wastage, etc.) Operators City Users Inhabitants Visitors Businesses (People) (People) (People & Infras.) Implications • It demands the procurement of new systems. • It increases workload by sharing responsibility across different operators. • It is a long-term commitment that is susceptible to governance chance and political agenda. 8
  • 9. Communication Infrastructure is Critical and is the Backbone for Scalability Access Control, Video Surveillance Intrusion Detection, Biometrics, Perimeter and Occupancy Sensors, Fire Alarm Panels, Detection Devices (Smoke/Heat/Gas/Flame), Fire suppression, Notification and Evacuation Energy Logistics, Distribution Physical Integrated Fire Department, Security Police and Medical Services, Channels (electricity, water, gas), and Safety Utility Monitor, Heat, Lighting, Centralised and Remote Energy Response Command and Control, Back-Up Power, Leakage Monitor Management Management Scalable Decision Making Universal Process Communication Voice/Video/Data, Audio Visual, Logical Structured Cabling, TCP/IP/BAS Security and Mobility Traffic Control & Monitoring Protocols, Remote VPN Access, Communications Management (rail, underground, buses, Computer Logon, Network Access Building Management personal vehicles), 24/7 Supply Logon, Firewalls, Managed Management (logistics) Security Services, Mobile Security, Security Infrastructure Building Automation, Building Control, Networked Systems, Crisis Management Solution (power, infrastructure damage, evacuation) 9
  • 10. Operating a Safe or SMART City: The Challenge of “WHO vs HOW” – Multi – Agency Co - Operation is Critical for Successful City Operations The WHO The HOW City Governance City Operators City Operators Law Enforcers Service Providers Infrastructure Infrastructure City Operators Service Providers Law Enforcers (Fire, Police, etc.) (medical, wastage,) Operators Operators (medical, wastage, etc) (Fire, Police, etc) Centralised Universal Communication Operator City Infrastructure City Users Citizens Response Transport (People) Management Energy Mobility Management Management Businesses Energy (People & Infras.) Logical Building Security Physical Management and City Infrastructure Communications Security Visitors and Safety Communications (People) City Users 10
  • 12. Smart Cities Now and Tomorrow Smart Cities Selection Current Smart Cities Mapping "Smart Growth“ concept has emerged in the last 10–20 years driven by "new guard" urban planners, innovative Europe architects, visionary developers, community activists 37% North and historic preservationists. There are many America institutions engaged in Smart City selection, which apply >100 active 34% Middle Asia East similar approach to 6 aforementioned elements, but and upcoming Pacific 6% with different criteria. Smart City 21% projects Latin worldwide America Participator Short Different Final 2% application listing Diagnostics Scoring Sum-up of existing Smart City projects Worldwide spending in technologies for Smart • Two types: “Greenfield” and “Brownfield” City programs development $bn • Population in size of less 1.5 millions of citizens • Presence of major initiator (often a Grid company) About $115bn in cumulative • Community of different stakeholders CAGR spending is • Sufficient “room” for smart mobility and grid issues 30% expected during • Proper and convenient territory allocation 2012 – 2017 period • Government support (legal and financial) • Set of prepared investors 12
  • 13. Over 26 Global Cities to be “Complete” SMART Cities by 2025 - More than 50% of Smart cities of 2025 will be from Europe and N. America Calgary Amsterdam Copenhagen Vancouver Beijing Tokyo Stockholm Oslo Helsinki London Berlin Toronto Paris Seattle Vienna Chicago Barcelona San Francisco New York Los Angeles Tianjin Wuhan Seoul Singapore Shenzhen Sydney Photo Credits: Dreamstime, willgoto.com, tanamatales.com, sol-group.net Selected Smart Cities in 2025 Source: Forbes Smart City List, Innovation City Index, Specific Smart Project Websites for Each City, Frost & Sullivan 13
  • 14. Selection of Worldwide Cities Engaged in Smart Projects (listed alphabetically) 1. Amsterdam (The Netherlands) 18. Gold Coast City (Australia) 35. Recife (Brazil) 2. Ballarat (Australia) 19. Gujarat Tech-city (India) 36. Riverside (U.S.A.) 3. Besançon (France) 20. Ipswich (Australia) 37. Rotterdam (The Netherlands) 4. Birmingham (U.K.) 21. Issy-les-Moulineaux (France) 38. Shanghai (China) 5. Bottrop (Germany) 22. Jubail (Saudi Arabia) 39. Shenyang (China) 6. Bristol (U.S.A.) 23. Kalundborg (Denmark) 40. Songdo (South Korea) 7. Cape Town (South Africa) 24. Lavasa (India) 41. Sopron (Hungary) 8. Chattanooga (U.S.A.) 25. Lyon (France) 42. Suwon (South Korea) 9. Cleveland (U.S.A.) 26. Malaga (Spain) 43. Tallinn (Estonia) 10. Copenhagen (Denmark) 27. Malmö (Sweden) 44. Taoyuan (Taiwan) 11. Curitiba (Brazil) 28. Masdar (UAE) 45. Tianjin Binhai (China) 12. Dakota County (U.S.A.) 29. Moncton (Canada) 46. Toronto (Canada) 13. Dongtan (China) 30. Ottawa (Canada) 47. Trikala (Greece) 14. Dublin (Ireland) 31. Paredes (Portugal) 48. Trondheim (Norway) 15. Dublin (U.S.A.) 32. Pedra Branca (Brazil) 49. Urumqi (China) 16. Eindhoven (The Netherlands) 33. Porto Alegre (Brazil) 50. Windsor-Essex (Canada) 17. Gdansk (Poland) 34. Quebec City (Canada) 51. Winnipeg (Canada) Source: “Getting Smart about Smart Cities” by Alcatel-Lucent (2011) 14
  • 15. Emerging Markets which are Accessible to International Companies have Started to Implement and/or Plan Safe/SMART City Projects Fast Growing Security Market with over 7 Safe City India Projects Announced to Begin in the Next Few Years Successful Deployment of Safe City Concepts in Mexico City is Fostering the Interest of Other Local Mexico Authorities across the Country High Growth in the HLS Domain is also Driving Authorities to Poland Expand Security Measures to Municipalities in the Med-term Brazil Safe City Projects Driven by the 2014 World Cup 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 (Beyond) 15
  • 17. Competitive Environment – “A Fuzzy Picture” The figure below highlights the complexities of the competitive landscape in relation to safe city solutions but also opportunities. Competition, partnerships, and future acquisition will occur across application and solution areas. CNI Defence Defence Integrators Integrators Public Safety Commercial Information Technology Integrators Security & Building Technology Technology Providers Network Commercial Security Communication Providers Residential Residential Integrators & Service Providers System Integration Technology Cyber/Network Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 17
  • 18. What is Included in a Safe City and Who is Providing it? The range of security solutions required for a safe city solution provider is not supplied by one single player. A selection of some of the providers below highlights the gaps that exist in product portfolios today. Systems integrators will not always look to fill the gap. Video Networks & Systems Data Mining & Video Sensors C3i Cyber Analytics Storage Integrator Analytics IT Defence Telecoms Security Technology Building Technology Network Security Residential Approximately Most Isolated half of the Industry No capability organisations Examples industry has Leadership have capability capability Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 18
  • 19. What is Included in a Safe City and Who is Providing it? The following is a non-exhaustive list of organisations that are respective leaders in their field. The list is not an indication of market share but players that have demonstrated strong security credentials and/or public safety expertise. Video: Cisco, Pelco, Axis, Panasonic, Bosch, C3I: Analytics & Integration: Sony, Toshiba, Samsung, IQinVision, AGT International, Northrop Grumman, AGT International, ObjectVideo, Nice, Verint Lockheed Martin, L3 Communications, Cieffe, Viasys, ioimage, Verint, Vidsys, Frequentis, Unisys, Avaya, NSN, Selex Avigilon, Arcont Vision, Axxon Elsag, Sepura, Rohde & Schwarz, Motorola, Siemens, Thales, EADS, Rohill, Mer Systems, Intergraph Next Generation: Sensors: UAV, UAS, GIS Safe City Solution ShotSpotter, Lenel, Harris Network & Storage: EMC, IBM, Nexsan, Hewlett Packard, Services and System Integrators: Cisco, HDS, NetApp, Dell, Sun AGT International, Cisco, Raytheon, Microsystems, Pivot3, Intransa, Vico, Lockheed Martin, Cassidian, Thales, Kintronics, QNAP, Veracity, Avaya, BAE Systems, IBM, Alcate-Lucent, Alctatel Lucent, Huawei, NSN, Frequentis, Mer Group, AIS Motorola, Airware, Seupra, NEC, Fujitsu, among others Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis. 19
  • 21. Steps in City Development Initiatives Strategy Development: Roadmapping: • Develop vision and strategy • Pre-select initiatives on feasibility, • Principles and technical architecture cost and sustainability definition • Identify and attract potential • Approach determination partners • Program plan and legal framework development Projects: Full Scale Roll-out: • Projects, plans, business cases • Evaluation and selection of successful • Partner funding initiatives and partners • Project execution • Result communication • Project monitoring • Full scale implementation support 21
  • 22. Miscellaneous Business Models of Smart Cities General Motivations Big company challenge One or several large domestic companies initiate and manage Economic: a smart city project with the focus on their business • Innovation and hi-tech engagement. The business model is basically based on private company funding of the projects. • Industrial basis support Different factors: • New jobs and opportunities Stakeholder balance All-sufficient environment • Overall state competitiveness Government Turnkey smart cities in which many elements are covered in a very ambitious and wide ranging plan. The business model involvement involves public-private initiatives with an important Social: Environment contribution provided by governments or government • Better living conditions conditions agencies. • Improved government services Residents’ • Convenient communications mentality Specifically focused … The projects are usually treated as independent and separate, with little or no integration to a global smart city concept. Sustainability: comes to four Various aspects of the smart city applications can be taken as basis, though grid often used as starting point. • Eco-friendly industries business models • Smart & eco – apartments National pride • Prudent resource management The project is usually led and managed by a government or • Renewable energy government affiliated agency. A closed ecosystem includes • Carbon footprint reduction carefully selected companies which are in most cases government-affiliated (or important domestic) companies. 22
  • 23. Different Levels of Government Involvement (Examples) Private companies with Government alone takes all Government work closely with minor government initiatives private companies support • Masdar City • Amsterdam • Jubail Presidential law created a special Government in cooperation with Bechtel Group started the project to economic zone an electric grid operator (Liander) make better use of natural gas started a project to reduce energy resources and to develop related • Cape Town consumption and tackle related ecological challenges • Lavasa Local government issued a decree Lavasa Corporation in partnership with transforming the way local • Birmingham Wipro plans, builds and manages ICT government services are delivered services City council worked with partners from the business, public and local • Malaga • Suwon city communities to stimulate Endesa company leads management Korean Ministry of Information economic growth and inward and Communication in over 50 partners for a project to investment reduce energy consumption and CO2 collaboration with the Ministry of Construction and Transportation emissions created a task force to cope with • Dublin • Songdo City issues related to Ubiquitous City Government cooperated with an Gale International (U.S. real estate (U-city) environments that will be energy agency (Codema) to firm) and Posco (Korean steelmaker) realized mainly in newly created reduce energy consumption and communities CO2 emissions are backers of a project to build a new city on a 1,500 acre man-made island off the coast of Incheon 23 23
  • 24. Return on Security Investment Security Risk Strategic Effectiveness Protection Security Traditional Return Additional Pillars of Return on Security on Investment Investment Direct calculations Calculations based on Investments, Direct based on Gains, Loss Prevention, Risk Management, Investments and Operational Efficiencies, Cost Savings, Gains from the Revenue Implications etc. Investment 24
  • 25. Where is the Return on Investment in Security? High Strategic Security Increase revenue, reduce operating expenses Total Return Risk Protection Business continuity, productivity, asset Security protection, reputation Effectiveness Total Cost of Ownership, Security CAPEX, Security OPEX Low Reduce Streamline Reduce Variable Costs Fixed Costs Costs Increase Revenues Sources of ROSI 25
  • 26. Delivering Safe/Smart City Projects Challenges for Municipalities and City Corporations How will the Industry Deal with this Squeeze? 26
  • 27. Delivering Safe/Smart City Projects – PPP Contract Model Major Installations During Core Investment Period Pre -Financing Annuity Financing Operations, Maintenance and Obsolence Management through regular monthly/quarterly/ annual payments Investment Period (Upto 5 years) O&M Period (20 Years) End of Contract 27
  • 28. Delivering Safe/Smart City Projects – Accepting the Risk Transfer Municipalities/City Corporations Integrator/Security Supplier • Price risks of personal, material • Planning risks • Changes in regulation • Effects of delay and cost overruns • Change of legal and technical standards • Financial risk • Costs in consequence of accidents and • Availability of facilities vandalism • Operation and maintenance risks • PPP and partnering contracts offer fast replacement of old facilities to improve safety and security • The models can be standardised and repeated, but financing needs to be adapted to the institutions available. 28
  • 30. The Challenges Associated with Cities End Users Industry • Budget • Revenue Opportunities (Need to understand the ROI) (where? Who?) • Political Aspirations • Market Positioning (legacy vs. budget allocated) • (Integrator vs. System Supplier vs. Partnerships) • Technology Limitations • Open Innovation • (scalability, upgrade, maintenance) • Value proposition (What solutions? What price?) 30
  • 31. Thank You 31