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R E S E A
R C H 2014 OCT 27 PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS THE FUTURE OF PERSONALIZED HEALTH CARE
A R O C K
R E P O R T B Y E DISTINCTLY REMEMBER THE MOMENT THAT SCIENTISTS CLAIMED Wvictory against all nature of future disease after the human genome had successfully been decoded. However, over the ensuing decade-plus, it has become clear that our health is not quite that deterministic. Clinicians must weigh not just a string of nucleotides when making decisions about our care, but must also incorporate a growing set of health data that is generated and controlled by patients. Incorporating this data into health care to enable better decisions is at the heart of this report. The benefits of using predictive analytics are the same as many categories of digital health: better care and lower costs. The difference is that the path to realizing these benefits— through personalized care—is only possible by implementing these technologies. The concern that care will be reduced to a set of algorithmically-derived probabilities is important and real. But the promise is as well. AUTHORED BY WITH HELP FROM MALAY GANDHI @mgxtro TERESA WANG @teresawang6 ROCK HEALTH is powering the future of the digital health ecosystem, bringing together the brightest minds across disciplines to build better solutions. Rock Health funds and supports startups building the next generation of technologies transforming healthcare. ROCK HEALTH partners include Abbott, Blue Shield of California, Boehringer Ingelheim, Deloitte, GE, Genentech, Harvard Medical School, Kaiser Permanente, Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, Mayo Clinic, Mohr Davidow Ventures, Montreux Equity Partners, Qualcomm Life, UCSF and UnitedHealth Group. LEARN MORE AT rockhealth.com LAUREN DEVOS @lauren_devos
[Genome science] will revolutionize the
diagnosis, prevention and treatment of most, if not all, human diseases.” PRESIDENT BILL CLINTON “ Remarks on the completion of the first survey of the entire human genome (June 26, 2000)
Predictive analytics is not reinventing
the wheel. It’s applying what doctors have been doing on a larger scale. What's changed is our ability to better measure, aggregate, and make sense of previously hard-to-obtain or non-existent behavioral, psychosocial, and biometric data. Combining these new datasets with the existing sciences of epidemiology and clinical medicine allows us to accelerate progress in understanding the relationships between external factors and human biology—ultimately resulting in enhanced reengineering of clinical pathways and truly personalized care.” VINNIE RAMESH Chief Technology Officer Co-founder Wellframe enables health plans and healthcare providers to better manage clinical and financial risk, while augmenting the impact of their existing care resources “
PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS is the process
of learning from historical data in order to make predictions about the future (or any unknown) FOR HEALTH CARE, predictive analytics will enable the best decisions to be made, allowing for care to be personalized to each individual
“The keystone of any successful
predictive analytics model is the ability to improve the prediction based on a feedback loop. Within seconds, Google knows whether its search engine prediction is correct. But in health care, the feedback loop—which is often measured in terms of impact on biometric or cost outcomes—can take years.” CHRISTINE LEMKE Co-founder and CEO The Activity Exchange is the connective tissue between healthcare companies and their populations to build and manage relationships to improve outcomes.
“Healthcare providers don’t just want
predictive analytics to output graphs and statistics. They need something that’s actionable. You have to distill it down to what matters and is actionable. Because there’s a hundred thousand things that come into play in health care, predictive analytics has to tell us what matters and how we can act on it.” ANIL JAIN Chief Medical Officer Explorys offers a software platform solution that helps healthcare systems aggregate, analyze, and manage their big data
We are underestimating the potential
impact of predictive analytics in process tools to help physicians make better decisions. Every week, at the airport, I get on an airplane, and I don’t worry about flying at all. There are so many tools deployed to assist the pilot. I was talking with a pilot about the new 787–and the pilot said he basically monitors the plane. We’re going to see more of that in health care. Physicians will be monitoring algorithms.” KEVIN FICKENSCHER President, AMC Health Former President, AMIA AMC Health provides customized, scalable telehealth solutions for organizations serving at-risk populations through remote patient monitoring programs. “