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The โ€˜Greenhouse Effectโ€™
and the
โ€˜Enhanced Greenhouse
Effectโ€™
What controls climate?
๏ฎ Energy from the Sun โ€“ Radiation
๏ฎ Consider the 4 inner planets of the solar system:
SUN
Receives
342 W m-2
solar radiation
1
Relative
Distance
from Sun
0.39 0.72 1.5
2250 W m-2
660 W m-2
150 W m-2
Scales with
1
distance2
Mercury Venus Mars
Earth
Planetary Albedo
๏ฎ A fraction of the incoming solar radiation (S) is
reflected back into space, the rest is absorbed
by the planet. Each planet has a different
reflectivity, or albedo (ฮฑ):
๏ต Earth ฮฑ = 0.31 (31% reflected, 69% absorbed)
๏ต Mars ฮฑ = 0.15
๏ต Venus ฮฑ = 0.59
๏ต Mercury ฮฑ = 0.1
๏ฎ Net incoming solar radiation = S(1 - ฮฑ)
๏ฎ One possible way of changing Earthโ€™s climate
is by changing its albedo.
Land has
higher
albedo than
ocean
Clouds have
high albedo
Ice and snow
have high
albedo
Christmas fires in Sydney 2001/2002
Smoke aerosol
more reflective
than ocean
Radiative Equilibrium
๏ฎ Each planet must balance net incoming solar
radiation with outgoing radiation, determined by its
temperature.
๏ฎ Stefan-Boltzmann Law:
๏ต โ€œA body at temperature T radiates energy at a rate
proportional to T4 โ€ (T in Kelvin)
๏ฎ Balance incoming and outgoing radiation:
Net incoming radiation=Outgoing radiation
S(1-ฮฑ) = ฯƒ T4
(ฯƒ is the Stefan-Boltzmann constant = 5.67 x 10-8 W m-2 K-4)
Temperature of the inner planets
Relative
distance
Solar
radiation
(S) W m-2
Albedo
(ฮฑ)
Net solar
radiation
S(1- ฮฑ)
Equilib
-rium
T (ยฐC)
Actual
surface
T (ยฐC)
Mercury 0.39 2250 0.1 180
Venus 0.72 660 0.59 453
Earth 1 342 0.31 236 -19 15
Mars 1.5 150 0.15 -43
S(1-ฮฑ) = ฯƒ T4
(ฯƒ = 5.67 x 10-8 W m-2 K-4)
Rearranging: T = S(1- ฮฑ)
ฯƒ
{ }
ยผ
T(ยฐC) = T(K) - 273
Temperature of the inner planets
Relative
distance
Solar
radiation
(S) W m-2
Albedo
(ฮฑ)
Net solar
radiation
S(1- ฮฑ)
Equilib
-rium
T (ยฐC)
Actual
surface
T (ยฐC)
Mercury 0.39 2250 0.1 2025 162 180
Venus 0.72 660 0.59 271 -10 453
Earth 1 342 0.31 236 -19 15
Mars 1.5 150 0.15 128 -55 -43
S(1-ฮฑ) = ฯƒ T4 Rearranging: T = S(1- ฮฑ)
ฯƒ
{ }
ยผ
T(ยฐC) = T(K) - 273
(ฯƒ = 5.67 x 10-8 W m-2 K-4)
Just about agrees
Disagrees badly
Disagrees
Nearly agrees
The โ€˜Greenhouse Effectโ€™
๏ฎ Radiative equilibrium works for Mercury (no atmosphere) and just
about for Mars (thin atmosphere)
๏ฎ The disagreement for Venus and the Earth is because these two
planets have atmospheres containing certain gases which modify
their surface temperatures.
๏ฎ This is the โ€˜Greenhouse Effectโ€™ in action:
Earthโ€™s surface is 34ยฐC warmer than if there were no atmosphere
Venus has a โ€˜runawayโ€™ Greenhouse effect, and is over 400ยฐC
warmer
Mars atmosphere slightly warms its surface, by about 10ยฐC
โ€ข The existence of the Greenhouse Effect is universally accepted (it
is not controversial), and it links the composition of a planetโ€™s
atmosphere to its surface temperature.
Earthโ€™s Climate
System
Sun
Ice
Ocean
Land
Sub-surface Earth
Atmosphere
Terrestrial
radiation
About 31%
reflected
into space
69% absorbed at surface
Solar
radiation
Earthโ€™s Energy Balance
Enhanced greenhouse effect
Terrestrial
radiation
Extract and burn fossil fuels
add CO2 to atmosphere
More greenhouse
gases, more
radiation absorbed
To get same
amount of net
radiation, need
higher surface
temperatures
Composition of the Atmosphere
Nitrogen N2 78.084%
Oxygen O2 20.948%
Argon Ar 0.934%
๏ฎ Carbon Dioxide CO2 0.036% (360 ppmv)
๏ฎ Methane CH4 1.7 ppmv
Hydrogen H2 0.55 ppmv
๏ฎ Nitrous Oxide N2O 0.31 ppmv
๏ฎ Ozone O3 10-500 ppbv (troposphere)
0.5-10 ppmv (stratosphere)
๏ฎ Water H2O 100 pptv โ€“ 4%
Greenhouse
Gases
A greenhouse gas is one that absorbs terrestrial (LW)
radiation, i.e. emitted from the Earthโ€™s surface/atmosphere
14
Aerosols
also from
human
activity
Rising levels of CO2, N2O, and CH4 as a result of human activity
Aerosols
๏ฎ Clumps of molecules โ€“ typically of order 1 micron (1 ฮผm = 10-6 m) in
diameter, e.g., โ€˜sulphate aerosolโ€™, formed when SO2 is oxidised.
๏ฎ Main effect is to reflect incoming solar radiation โ€“ effectively increasing
albedo (e.g. Sydney fires image earlier)
๏ฎ Haze in the atmosphere is due to aerosols โ€“ most aerosols are directly
linked to air pollution (but also natural sources, e.g. volcanoes)
๏ฎ Generally have a cooling influence on climate โ€“ they act to offset the
warming from greenhouse gases
๏ฎ Aerosols have short residence times in the atmosphere (days). This
means they are not well-mixed through the atmosphere (unlike, e.g.,
CO2). So aerosols are mainly found close to their sources (e.g., over
industrialised countries).
๏ฎ Aerosol impact on climate is much more uncertain than the effect of
greenhouse gases
๏ฎ Measures to reduce air pollution (e.g., SO2), are removing the cooling
influence of aerosols, i.e. adding to the warming from GHGs
IPCC(2007)
Warming from
increases
in greenhouse
gases
General cooling
from increases
in aerosols โ€“
but high uncertainty
The Enhanced Greenhouse Effect
Solar (S) and longwave (L) radiation in Wm-2 at the top of the atmosphere
S L
236 236
T = -18ยฐC
S L
236 232
CO2 x 2
S L
236 236
CO2 x 2
S L
236 236
CO2 x 2
+ Feedbacks
H2O (+60%)
Ice/Albedo (+20%)
Cloud?
Ocean?
TS = 15ยฐC TS = 15ยฐC DTS ~ 1.2K DTS ~ 2.5K
Summary 2 (Greenhouse Effectโ€ฆ)
๏ฎ Radiation from the Sun drives our climate
๏ฎ Our distance from the Sun, and the reflectivity of the Earth
determines how much radiation is absorbed
๏ฎ Earthโ€™s atmosphere traps outgoing radiation (the Greenhouse
Effect), warming the surface by about 34ยฐC
๏ฎ On Venus, a runaway Greenhouse Effect warms its surface by
over 400ยฐC; Mars thin atmosphere warms its surface by about
10ยฐC
๏ฎ So there is good evidence from the other planets that the
atmospheric composition is important in determining the surface
temperature
๏ฎ Global Warming is often called โ€˜The Greenhouse Effectโ€™ โ€“ really it
is the Enhanced Greenhouse Effect โ€“ the addition of more
Greenhouse Gases (mainly from burning fossil fuels) to the
atmosphere enhances the existing effect.
๏ฎ Humans have also changed the Earthโ€™s albedo โ€“ mainly by adding
aerosols to the atmosphere โ€“ these tend to cool climate, offsetting
the GHG warming

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Greenhouse Effect

  • 1. The โ€˜Greenhouse Effectโ€™ and the โ€˜Enhanced Greenhouse Effectโ€™
  • 2. What controls climate? ๏ฎ Energy from the Sun โ€“ Radiation ๏ฎ Consider the 4 inner planets of the solar system: SUN Receives 342 W m-2 solar radiation 1 Relative Distance from Sun 0.39 0.72 1.5 2250 W m-2 660 W m-2 150 W m-2 Scales with 1 distance2 Mercury Venus Mars Earth
  • 3. Planetary Albedo ๏ฎ A fraction of the incoming solar radiation (S) is reflected back into space, the rest is absorbed by the planet. Each planet has a different reflectivity, or albedo (ฮฑ): ๏ต Earth ฮฑ = 0.31 (31% reflected, 69% absorbed) ๏ต Mars ฮฑ = 0.15 ๏ต Venus ฮฑ = 0.59 ๏ต Mercury ฮฑ = 0.1 ๏ฎ Net incoming solar radiation = S(1 - ฮฑ) ๏ฎ One possible way of changing Earthโ€™s climate is by changing its albedo.
  • 4. Land has higher albedo than ocean Clouds have high albedo Ice and snow have high albedo
  • 5. Christmas fires in Sydney 2001/2002 Smoke aerosol more reflective than ocean
  • 6. Radiative Equilibrium ๏ฎ Each planet must balance net incoming solar radiation with outgoing radiation, determined by its temperature. ๏ฎ Stefan-Boltzmann Law: ๏ต โ€œA body at temperature T radiates energy at a rate proportional to T4 โ€ (T in Kelvin) ๏ฎ Balance incoming and outgoing radiation: Net incoming radiation=Outgoing radiation S(1-ฮฑ) = ฯƒ T4 (ฯƒ is the Stefan-Boltzmann constant = 5.67 x 10-8 W m-2 K-4)
  • 7. Temperature of the inner planets Relative distance Solar radiation (S) W m-2 Albedo (ฮฑ) Net solar radiation S(1- ฮฑ) Equilib -rium T (ยฐC) Actual surface T (ยฐC) Mercury 0.39 2250 0.1 180 Venus 0.72 660 0.59 453 Earth 1 342 0.31 236 -19 15 Mars 1.5 150 0.15 -43 S(1-ฮฑ) = ฯƒ T4 (ฯƒ = 5.67 x 10-8 W m-2 K-4) Rearranging: T = S(1- ฮฑ) ฯƒ { } ยผ T(ยฐC) = T(K) - 273
  • 8. Temperature of the inner planets Relative distance Solar radiation (S) W m-2 Albedo (ฮฑ) Net solar radiation S(1- ฮฑ) Equilib -rium T (ยฐC) Actual surface T (ยฐC) Mercury 0.39 2250 0.1 2025 162 180 Venus 0.72 660 0.59 271 -10 453 Earth 1 342 0.31 236 -19 15 Mars 1.5 150 0.15 128 -55 -43 S(1-ฮฑ) = ฯƒ T4 Rearranging: T = S(1- ฮฑ) ฯƒ { } ยผ T(ยฐC) = T(K) - 273 (ฯƒ = 5.67 x 10-8 W m-2 K-4) Just about agrees Disagrees badly Disagrees Nearly agrees
  • 9. The โ€˜Greenhouse Effectโ€™ ๏ฎ Radiative equilibrium works for Mercury (no atmosphere) and just about for Mars (thin atmosphere) ๏ฎ The disagreement for Venus and the Earth is because these two planets have atmospheres containing certain gases which modify their surface temperatures. ๏ฎ This is the โ€˜Greenhouse Effectโ€™ in action: Earthโ€™s surface is 34ยฐC warmer than if there were no atmosphere Venus has a โ€˜runawayโ€™ Greenhouse effect, and is over 400ยฐC warmer Mars atmosphere slightly warms its surface, by about 10ยฐC โ€ข The existence of the Greenhouse Effect is universally accepted (it is not controversial), and it links the composition of a planetโ€™s atmosphere to its surface temperature.
  • 12. Enhanced greenhouse effect Terrestrial radiation Extract and burn fossil fuels add CO2 to atmosphere More greenhouse gases, more radiation absorbed To get same amount of net radiation, need higher surface temperatures
  • 13. Composition of the Atmosphere Nitrogen N2 78.084% Oxygen O2 20.948% Argon Ar 0.934% ๏ฎ Carbon Dioxide CO2 0.036% (360 ppmv) ๏ฎ Methane CH4 1.7 ppmv Hydrogen H2 0.55 ppmv ๏ฎ Nitrous Oxide N2O 0.31 ppmv ๏ฎ Ozone O3 10-500 ppbv (troposphere) 0.5-10 ppmv (stratosphere) ๏ฎ Water H2O 100 pptv โ€“ 4% Greenhouse Gases A greenhouse gas is one that absorbs terrestrial (LW) radiation, i.e. emitted from the Earthโ€™s surface/atmosphere
  • 14. 14 Aerosols also from human activity Rising levels of CO2, N2O, and CH4 as a result of human activity
  • 15. Aerosols ๏ฎ Clumps of molecules โ€“ typically of order 1 micron (1 ฮผm = 10-6 m) in diameter, e.g., โ€˜sulphate aerosolโ€™, formed when SO2 is oxidised. ๏ฎ Main effect is to reflect incoming solar radiation โ€“ effectively increasing albedo (e.g. Sydney fires image earlier) ๏ฎ Haze in the atmosphere is due to aerosols โ€“ most aerosols are directly linked to air pollution (but also natural sources, e.g. volcanoes) ๏ฎ Generally have a cooling influence on climate โ€“ they act to offset the warming from greenhouse gases ๏ฎ Aerosols have short residence times in the atmosphere (days). This means they are not well-mixed through the atmosphere (unlike, e.g., CO2). So aerosols are mainly found close to their sources (e.g., over industrialised countries). ๏ฎ Aerosol impact on climate is much more uncertain than the effect of greenhouse gases ๏ฎ Measures to reduce air pollution (e.g., SO2), are removing the cooling influence of aerosols, i.e. adding to the warming from GHGs
  • 16. IPCC(2007) Warming from increases in greenhouse gases General cooling from increases in aerosols โ€“ but high uncertainty
  • 17. The Enhanced Greenhouse Effect Solar (S) and longwave (L) radiation in Wm-2 at the top of the atmosphere S L 236 236 T = -18ยฐC S L 236 232 CO2 x 2 S L 236 236 CO2 x 2 S L 236 236 CO2 x 2 + Feedbacks H2O (+60%) Ice/Albedo (+20%) Cloud? Ocean? TS = 15ยฐC TS = 15ยฐC DTS ~ 1.2K DTS ~ 2.5K
  • 18. Summary 2 (Greenhouse Effectโ€ฆ) ๏ฎ Radiation from the Sun drives our climate ๏ฎ Our distance from the Sun, and the reflectivity of the Earth determines how much radiation is absorbed ๏ฎ Earthโ€™s atmosphere traps outgoing radiation (the Greenhouse Effect), warming the surface by about 34ยฐC ๏ฎ On Venus, a runaway Greenhouse Effect warms its surface by over 400ยฐC; Mars thin atmosphere warms its surface by about 10ยฐC ๏ฎ So there is good evidence from the other planets that the atmospheric composition is important in determining the surface temperature ๏ฎ Global Warming is often called โ€˜The Greenhouse Effectโ€™ โ€“ really it is the Enhanced Greenhouse Effect โ€“ the addition of more Greenhouse Gases (mainly from burning fossil fuels) to the atmosphere enhances the existing effect. ๏ฎ Humans have also changed the Earthโ€™s albedo โ€“ mainly by adding aerosols to the atmosphere โ€“ these tend to cool climate, offsetting the GHG warming

Editor's Notes

  1. 2. Greenhouse Effect