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Overview of Statistical
                 Process Control (SPC)




March 18, 2009
SPC Defined
• Basic
  – Shows the behavior of a characteristic over time
  – Shows the influence of different variables on the
    characteristic
  – Shows where the process is located and how much
    variation is present in the process
  – Helps us get a process in a state of control
• Advanced
  – Is the basis for establishing process capability
     • Process capability defines how well (or not well) our process
       can meet the needs of our customers
  – Separates common cause variation from special
    cause variation
                                                                       2
Process Limits-Not Customer Limits




   If the process remains stable and in control, we expect the
   process’ output to run between these limits almost 100% of
   the time.                                                     3
The Relationship of Process Limits to
Customer Limits (Process Capability)



      The process limits are wider than the customer’s
                                                               The process limits are tighter than the customer’s
      limits. The process is not capable. You have three
                                                               limits. This is a capable process and no significant
      options: Get your customer to relax his
                                                               action is needed other than make sure the process
      requirement, 100% inspect the output of the
                                                               is followed.
      process, or change the process to meet the
      customer’s requirements




The process limits are marginally better than the customer’s   The process limits are tighter than the customer’s limits but
limits. The process is centered so variation must be           the process is off target (to high side). Adjust process to 4
reduced. Great case for six sigma.                             target. If the process can’t be adjusted, then reduce variation.
                                                               Great case for six sigma
Common Cause and Special Cause
                Variation
                                   Lower Process Limit            Upper Process Limit
• Common cause variation is
  what we expect to happen
  99.97% of the time if the
  process is in control.
• Common cause variation
  exists between the process
  limits
• Special cause variation is not
  expected to happen and has
  assignable causes.
• Special cause variation occurs
  outside the process limits
                                                         99.97%




                                                                              5
Common Cause                                                                           Special Cause
                            Variation                                                                              Variation
                                     Histogram of Process Week One                                                                 Histogram of Process Week One
              20                                                                                         14


                                                                                                         12
              15
                                                                                                         10

                                                                                                                                                                                               If only common cause
  Frequency




                                                                                             Frequency
                                                                                                             8
              10



                                                                                                                                                                                               variation is present in
                                                                                                             6

               5                                                                                             4


                                                                                                                                                                                               the process, the
                                                                                                             2
               0
                          1.68          1.76          1.84               1.92         2.00                   0

                                                                                                                                                                                               histogram will look the
                                                  Peen Height                                                           1.68        1.74      1.80       1.86          1.92          1.98
                                                                                                                                                 Peen Height

                                                                                                                                   Histogram of Process Week Two
                                     Histogram of Process Week Two

                                                                                                                                                                                               same over time
                                                                                                         12
              12


                                                                                                         10
              10


                                                                                                             8
               8




                                                                                             Frequency
 Frequency




                                                                                                             6
               6



                                                                                                                                                                                               If special cause
                                                                                                             4
               4

                                                                                                             2
               2

                                                                                                                                                                                               variation exists, the
                                                                                                             0
                                                                                                                 1.65      1.70       1.75    1.80     1.85       1.90        1.95      2.00
               0
                          1.68       1.74       1.80       1.86          1.92      1.98                                                          Peen Height

                                                                                                                                                                                               histogram will change
                                                   Peen Height
                                    Histogramof Process W Three
                                                         eek
              18

                                                                                                                                                                                               over time in location
                                                                                                                                  Histogram of Process Week Three
              16
                                                                                                         4
              14
                                                                                                                                                                                               and/or spread
              12
                                                                                                         3
Frequency




              10
                                                                                             Frequency




              8                                                                                          2

              6

              4                                                                                          1

              2

                                                                                                         0
              0
                                                                                                             1.65         1.70      1.75     1.80     1.85      1.90      1.95        2.00
                   1.65      1.70     1.75     1.80     1.85      1.90      1.95    2.00
                                                                                                                                                Peen Height
                                                  Peen Height




                                                                                                                                                                                                                   6
Examples of Common
     Cause/Special Cause Variation
•   Body Temperature
    – If our body’s processes are in control, we expect temperature to vary slightly
      above and below 98.6 degrees F. This is the common cause (or expected)
      variation.
    – If a virus (special cause) enters our body, a process will be altered and
      temperature will spike significantly high
•   Teenage Behavior
    – Teenagers do teenage things. Always have and always will. Parents must
      decide what is expected behavior and what is not expected behavior. The
      former (good or bad) usually warrants a stern lecture while the latter deserves
      punishment.
    – Special causes often drive teenage behavior. The breakup by a girlfriend. Being
      cut from a sports team. Making a bad grade. If they are not acting as expected,
      we often must find the special cause before acting in return.
    – An example-My eighteen year old often challenges me on my philosophies and
      opinions. That is fine. I expect him to do that. I’m glad he does it. Sometimes
      he goes too far with his mother and can be disrespectful. That’s outside the
      boundaries of normal behavior and incurs my wrath.




                                                                                       7
Exercise #1
• Run product from machine determine
  upper and lower process limits
• Run product to see how the process limits
  hold
• Introduce special causes
  – Increased standard deviation
  – Shift in average


                                              8
The Sections of a Control Chart:
       Process Information
• Process information:
  This is needed to keep
  production records to go
  along with the data.
• What you should record:
   – Date data was collected
   – Time data was collected
   – Who collected the data




                                     9
The Sections of a Control Chart:
               Subgroups
•   The data is recorded in subgroups
•   The subgroups are set up to be a
    certain size. The size of a
    subgroup is the number of
    readings recorded.
     – Typical sizes are three and
        five
•   A completed control chart is one
    with at least twenty completed
    subgroups on the page




                                        10
The Sections of a Control Chart:
             Subgroup Statistics
    •   Once the data is recorded in the
        subgroups, we need to perform
        calculations for each subgroup
         – A measure of where the process
           is located. The mean (or average)
X          shows us where the process is
           located
         – A measure of how much variation
           is in the process. The range
R
           shows us how much variation is in
           the process.




                                               11
What is a Mean?
• The mean is the
  center of weight for
  data. Also called
  average.



                         50%         50%
                         Weight      Weight

                              Mean



                                              12
How to Calculate a Mean
• Add up the measurements
  and divide by the number
  of measurements
   –   Add up measurements:
   o   1.81+1.81+1.82
   o   Sum=5.44
   o   Number of measurements: 3
   –   Divide sum by the number of
       measurements
        5.44
             = 1.813
          3
   Note: Always record the mean to   1.82
   one more decimal place than the
                                     1.813   13
   original data point
What is a Range?
• The range indicates
  how similar (or dis-
                              Largest
  similar) the                measurement:
                              1.80
  measurements are in
                              Smallest
  a subgroup                  measurement:
• To calculate the            1.75

  range                       Range:
                              1.80-1.75=0.05
  – Subtract the smallest
    measurement from the
    largest measurement

                                           14
Exercise #2
• Collect subgroups of data
• Calculate mean and range




                              15
Overall Mean X


                     1     2                  45               6        78              9 10
                                     3




                                                                                 27.16
Number of means:10       Sum:2.73+2.71+2.72+2.72+2.72+2.72+2.70.2.72+2.71+2.71
                                                                                       = 2.716
                                                                                  10
                         Sum=27.16
                                                                                                 16
                         Divide sum by number of means
Overall Range R
• Number of ranges: 10
• Sum of ranges:
  o 0.09+0.05+0.05+0.06+0.12+0.08+0.08+0.06+0.07+0.04
  o Sum=0.7
  o Divide Sum by number of ranges 0.7 = 0.07
                                   10




                                                        17
Sections of a Control Chart: Plot of
               Means and Ranges




             Plot of
                                        X
             Means
           Plot of
                                            R
           Ranges
•The plots show
how the process is
behaving over time
•We expect the
points to fall above
and below the
                                                18
center line which is
the overall mean
Sections of the Control Chart:
                  Control Limits
•   Control limits are calculated for means
    and ranges
•   Control limits represent the boundaries
    between normal and abnormal
    variation or common cause from
    special cause variation
•   Common cause variation is:
     –   What we expect to happen the majority
         of time.
     –   Common cause variation is everything
         between the limits. You can also call it
         50/50 variation. When you flip a coin,
         there is a 50% chance of getting a
         head and a 50% chance of getting a
         tail. Meaning, the only thing driving the
         outcome is chance. Same with
         production. If only common cause
         variation is present, there is a 50%
         chance of being above the target and a
         50% chance of being below the target.
         The majority of points should fall within
         the limits.



                                                     19
Exercise #3
• Collect more subgroups and calculate
  control limits




                                         20
Interpreting Charts
• There are different pictures you might see
  in the plots of means and ranges.
• Key point: Look for abnormal patterns in
  the data. Something is causing the
  abnormal pattern. This “something” is
  called a assignable cause.



                                               21
Interpreting Control Charts and
                  Taking Action
                                                    • The averages are
                                                      randomly falling above
         Process In Control with Chance Variation
                                                      and below the centerline.
    15                                              • There are no points
                                                      outside the upper control
    10                                                limit.
                                                    • The variation is common
    5                                                 cause variation. No
X
                                                      special causes of
    0                                                 variation are present


                                                                              22
Trends
                       • The plot of averages was
                         behaving randomly but
           Trends
                         something occurred to
                         make the process start
                         drifting upward.
    1500               • The process is no longer
                         behaving randomly.
    1000                 Special cause variation is
                         present
                       • Find the assignable
    500
X
                         cause
                       • Document your actions
      0                  on the control chart

                                                  23
Jumps in Process Level
                                • The process is not
                                  exhibiting random
       Jumps in Process Level
                                  behavior
                                • Special cause
1500
                                  variation exists
1000                            • Find the assignable
                                  cause
500                             • Document your
                                  actions on the control
  0                               chart

                                                       24
Cyclic Pattern
                          • There is a repeating
                            cycle to the data
      Recurring Cycles

                          • This is not random
600                         behavior
                          • Find the assignable
400
                            cause
200                       • Document your
                            actions on the control
 0
                            chart

                                                 25
Point Near the Control Limit

                     • Point at the upper control
                       limit but not outside the
1500                   upper control limit
                     • Proper action to take:
1000                    – Pull another sample and
                          plot the average and range.
                          If the average is still near
500                       the upper limit, action may
                          be needed
                        – Document your actions on
  0                       the control chart



                                                    26
Point Well Outside the Upper Limit
                                                  • This is a strong signal
                                                    that an assignable
       Process In Control with Chance Variation
                                                    cause exists for this
                                                    special cause
1500                                                variation
                                                  • Find the assignable
1000
                                                    cause
500                                               • Document your
                                                    actions on the control
  0                                                 chart

                                                                          27
Point Just Above or Just Below
            Control Limit
                                                  • Don’t take the limit so literally.
                                                    Remember, there is a small
                                                    probability of a point falling
       Process In Control with Chance Variation
                                                    outside the limit. We can
                                                    expect this to happen less than
                                                    1% of the time.
1500                                              • Proper action to take:
                                                      – Don’t be so quick to adjust the
1000                                                    machine or process
                                                      – Pull another sample and plot
                                                        the average and range. If the
500                                                     average is still near the upper
                                                        limit, action may be needed
                                                      – Document your action on the
  0                                                     control chart


                                                                                     28
Taking and Documenting Action
• When special cause
  variation is present,
  find and eliminate the
  assignable cause
• Document the actions
  taken on the control
  chart. Record the
  date and time for the
  action

                            29
Exercise #4
• Collect more subgroups and evaluate
  chart
  – Change in process level
  – OOC point




                                        30

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Basic Statistical Process Control

  • 1. Overview of Statistical Process Control (SPC) March 18, 2009
  • 2. SPC Defined • Basic – Shows the behavior of a characteristic over time – Shows the influence of different variables on the characteristic – Shows where the process is located and how much variation is present in the process – Helps us get a process in a state of control • Advanced – Is the basis for establishing process capability • Process capability defines how well (or not well) our process can meet the needs of our customers – Separates common cause variation from special cause variation 2
  • 3. Process Limits-Not Customer Limits If the process remains stable and in control, we expect the process’ output to run between these limits almost 100% of the time. 3
  • 4. The Relationship of Process Limits to Customer Limits (Process Capability) The process limits are wider than the customer’s The process limits are tighter than the customer’s limits. The process is not capable. You have three limits. This is a capable process and no significant options: Get your customer to relax his action is needed other than make sure the process requirement, 100% inspect the output of the is followed. process, or change the process to meet the customer’s requirements The process limits are marginally better than the customer’s The process limits are tighter than the customer’s limits but limits. The process is centered so variation must be the process is off target (to high side). Adjust process to 4 reduced. Great case for six sigma. target. If the process can’t be adjusted, then reduce variation. Great case for six sigma
  • 5. Common Cause and Special Cause Variation Lower Process Limit Upper Process Limit • Common cause variation is what we expect to happen 99.97% of the time if the process is in control. • Common cause variation exists between the process limits • Special cause variation is not expected to happen and has assignable causes. • Special cause variation occurs outside the process limits 99.97% 5
  • 6. Common Cause Special Cause Variation Variation Histogram of Process Week One Histogram of Process Week One 20 14 12 15 10 If only common cause Frequency Frequency 8 10 variation is present in 6 5 4 the process, the 2 0 1.68 1.76 1.84 1.92 2.00 0 histogram will look the Peen Height 1.68 1.74 1.80 1.86 1.92 1.98 Peen Height Histogram of Process Week Two Histogram of Process Week Two same over time 12 12 10 10 8 8 Frequency Frequency 6 6 If special cause 4 4 2 2 variation exists, the 0 1.65 1.70 1.75 1.80 1.85 1.90 1.95 2.00 0 1.68 1.74 1.80 1.86 1.92 1.98 Peen Height histogram will change Peen Height Histogramof Process W Three eek 18 over time in location Histogram of Process Week Three 16 4 14 and/or spread 12 3 Frequency 10 Frequency 8 2 6 4 1 2 0 0 1.65 1.70 1.75 1.80 1.85 1.90 1.95 2.00 1.65 1.70 1.75 1.80 1.85 1.90 1.95 2.00 Peen Height Peen Height 6
  • 7. Examples of Common Cause/Special Cause Variation • Body Temperature – If our body’s processes are in control, we expect temperature to vary slightly above and below 98.6 degrees F. This is the common cause (or expected) variation. – If a virus (special cause) enters our body, a process will be altered and temperature will spike significantly high • Teenage Behavior – Teenagers do teenage things. Always have and always will. Parents must decide what is expected behavior and what is not expected behavior. The former (good or bad) usually warrants a stern lecture while the latter deserves punishment. – Special causes often drive teenage behavior. The breakup by a girlfriend. Being cut from a sports team. Making a bad grade. If they are not acting as expected, we often must find the special cause before acting in return. – An example-My eighteen year old often challenges me on my philosophies and opinions. That is fine. I expect him to do that. I’m glad he does it. Sometimes he goes too far with his mother and can be disrespectful. That’s outside the boundaries of normal behavior and incurs my wrath. 7
  • 8. Exercise #1 • Run product from machine determine upper and lower process limits • Run product to see how the process limits hold • Introduce special causes – Increased standard deviation – Shift in average 8
  • 9. The Sections of a Control Chart: Process Information • Process information: This is needed to keep production records to go along with the data. • What you should record: – Date data was collected – Time data was collected – Who collected the data 9
  • 10. The Sections of a Control Chart: Subgroups • The data is recorded in subgroups • The subgroups are set up to be a certain size. The size of a subgroup is the number of readings recorded. – Typical sizes are three and five • A completed control chart is one with at least twenty completed subgroups on the page 10
  • 11. The Sections of a Control Chart: Subgroup Statistics • Once the data is recorded in the subgroups, we need to perform calculations for each subgroup – A measure of where the process is located. The mean (or average) X shows us where the process is located – A measure of how much variation is in the process. The range R shows us how much variation is in the process. 11
  • 12. What is a Mean? • The mean is the center of weight for data. Also called average. 50% 50% Weight Weight Mean 12
  • 13. How to Calculate a Mean • Add up the measurements and divide by the number of measurements – Add up measurements: o 1.81+1.81+1.82 o Sum=5.44 o Number of measurements: 3 – Divide sum by the number of measurements 5.44 = 1.813 3 Note: Always record the mean to 1.82 one more decimal place than the 1.813 13 original data point
  • 14. What is a Range? • The range indicates how similar (or dis- Largest similar) the measurement: 1.80 measurements are in Smallest a subgroup measurement: • To calculate the 1.75 range Range: 1.80-1.75=0.05 – Subtract the smallest measurement from the largest measurement 14
  • 15. Exercise #2 • Collect subgroups of data • Calculate mean and range 15
  • 16. Overall Mean X 1 2 45 6 78 9 10 3 27.16 Number of means:10 Sum:2.73+2.71+2.72+2.72+2.72+2.72+2.70.2.72+2.71+2.71 = 2.716 10 Sum=27.16 16 Divide sum by number of means
  • 17. Overall Range R • Number of ranges: 10 • Sum of ranges: o 0.09+0.05+0.05+0.06+0.12+0.08+0.08+0.06+0.07+0.04 o Sum=0.7 o Divide Sum by number of ranges 0.7 = 0.07 10 17
  • 18. Sections of a Control Chart: Plot of Means and Ranges Plot of X Means Plot of R Ranges •The plots show how the process is behaving over time •We expect the points to fall above and below the 18 center line which is the overall mean
  • 19. Sections of the Control Chart: Control Limits • Control limits are calculated for means and ranges • Control limits represent the boundaries between normal and abnormal variation or common cause from special cause variation • Common cause variation is: – What we expect to happen the majority of time. – Common cause variation is everything between the limits. You can also call it 50/50 variation. When you flip a coin, there is a 50% chance of getting a head and a 50% chance of getting a tail. Meaning, the only thing driving the outcome is chance. Same with production. If only common cause variation is present, there is a 50% chance of being above the target and a 50% chance of being below the target. The majority of points should fall within the limits. 19
  • 20. Exercise #3 • Collect more subgroups and calculate control limits 20
  • 21. Interpreting Charts • There are different pictures you might see in the plots of means and ranges. • Key point: Look for abnormal patterns in the data. Something is causing the abnormal pattern. This “something” is called a assignable cause. 21
  • 22. Interpreting Control Charts and Taking Action • The averages are randomly falling above Process In Control with Chance Variation and below the centerline. 15 • There are no points outside the upper control 10 limit. • The variation is common 5 cause variation. No X special causes of 0 variation are present 22
  • 23. Trends • The plot of averages was behaving randomly but Trends something occurred to make the process start drifting upward. 1500 • The process is no longer behaving randomly. 1000 Special cause variation is present • Find the assignable 500 X cause • Document your actions 0 on the control chart 23
  • 24. Jumps in Process Level • The process is not exhibiting random Jumps in Process Level behavior • Special cause 1500 variation exists 1000 • Find the assignable cause 500 • Document your actions on the control 0 chart 24
  • 25. Cyclic Pattern • There is a repeating cycle to the data Recurring Cycles • This is not random 600 behavior • Find the assignable 400 cause 200 • Document your actions on the control 0 chart 25
  • 26. Point Near the Control Limit • Point at the upper control limit but not outside the 1500 upper control limit • Proper action to take: 1000 – Pull another sample and plot the average and range. If the average is still near 500 the upper limit, action may be needed – Document your actions on 0 the control chart 26
  • 27. Point Well Outside the Upper Limit • This is a strong signal that an assignable Process In Control with Chance Variation cause exists for this special cause 1500 variation • Find the assignable 1000 cause 500 • Document your actions on the control 0 chart 27
  • 28. Point Just Above or Just Below Control Limit • Don’t take the limit so literally. Remember, there is a small probability of a point falling Process In Control with Chance Variation outside the limit. We can expect this to happen less than 1% of the time. 1500 • Proper action to take: – Don’t be so quick to adjust the 1000 machine or process – Pull another sample and plot the average and range. If the 500 average is still near the upper limit, action may be needed – Document your action on the 0 control chart 28
  • 29. Taking and Documenting Action • When special cause variation is present, find and eliminate the assignable cause • Document the actions taken on the control chart. Record the date and time for the action 29
  • 30. Exercise #4 • Collect more subgroups and evaluate chart – Change in process level – OOC point 30