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Savings Barometer




                                                     QIV 2010




             Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
SEB Savings Barometer
Fourth Quarter 2010

 Total household savings = bank deposits, life insurance,
  mutual funds, bonds, government savings plans, premium
  pensions and - when noted - directly held equities and
  housing.
 Sources: Statistics Sweden, Bank of Sweden, Swedish
  National Board of Student Aid (CSN), Swedish Insurance
  Federation, Swedish Mutual Fund Association, Svensk
  Fondstatistik/MoneyMate, NASDAQ OM Stockholm
  Exchange, NGM/NDX, SHB, Nordea Life, SEB Trygg Life,
  Swedish Pensions Agency, maklarstatistik.se, interim and
  annual reports of companies.
 Compiled by Carl Holm, SEB Trygg Life




                      Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Development Fourth Quarter 2010
•New savings were 49bn kronor, of which 30bn were the yearly
allocation to premium pensions and 36bn were saved in bank
deposits. Bond savings showed a negative figure of 15bn.

•On the Stockholm Stock Exchange (NASDAQ OM) the AGFX
index increased by 7.4 per cent.

•Housing prices decreased by 0.3 per cent.

•Households increased borrowing by 1.5 per cent during the
fourth quarter. For twelve months the increase was 7.4 per
cent.

•SEB had a 12.2 per cent market share and Swedbank 14.4 per
cent. Alecta had 9.8 per cent, Skandia 9.2, Nordea and
Handelsbanken 8.7 each.


                       Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Development Fourth Quarter 2010

SEK bn
Value, beginning of quarter          9,989
Savings                                +49
Value, shareholdings directly held     +57
Value, housing                         -12
Value, other assets                    +86
Value, end of quarter              10,169
Loans                               -2,704
Net assets                           7,465



                   Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Swedish Household Savings
                                                                    Total household savings have
SEK m                                                               increased by 37.9% since year-
                                                                    end 2005, from SEK 7,376 bn to
                                                                    SEK 10,169 bn.
5 000 000
4 500 000
4 000 000
3 500 000
3 000 000                                                                           Bank deposits
2 500 000                                                                           Trad insurance
2 000 000                                                                           Unit-linked insurance
                                                                                    Mutual funds
1 500 000
                                                                                    Bonds
1 000 000                                                                           Premium Pensions
 500 000                                                                            Shareholdings
        0                                                                           Housing
            05-IV   06-IV     07-IV         08-IV         09-IV        10-IV




                            Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Total Household Savings Market
Market Shares December 31 2010 (September 30 2010)



                   Others                         SEB
                13.3 (12.8)%                  12.2 (12.4)%

   Government
    3.4 (3.2)                                            Swedbank
                                                        14.4 (14.4)%

   Alecta
9.8 (9.8) %


   Folksam                                                 Skandia
  4.8 (5.1)%                                              9.2 (9.3)%

     LF                                                        Nordea
 4.6 (4.8)%                         Handelsbanken            8.7 (8.8)%
         AMF           SPP            8.7 (8.5)%
      7.6 (7.6)%    3.2 (3.3)%




                                 Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Household Savings
Market Shares December 31 2010




Share, per cent        Bank       Trad.   U-L        Mutual Bonds Prem          Total
                    deposits     insur. insur.        funds        Pens
SEB                     11.7        9.9 26.1            13.6   9.4   1.8        12.2
Alecta                             26.8                                          9.8
Skandia                  2.7       17.2 19.6               0.0            1.1    9.2
LF                       3.5        6.6    9.4             0.6            3.0    4.6
Folksam                            10.6    7.9                                   4.8
AMF                                17.2    3.9            0.8             8.5    7.6
Handelsbanken           18.5        1.9    6.9           12.9     18.5    3.0    8.7
Storebrand/SPP                      5.4    6.4                            6.1    3.2
Nordea                  16.2        1.2    1.9           20.6      9.7    3.8    8.7
Swedbank                23.9        1.0 14.2             29.3      9.0   18.5   14.4
Government                                                        35.3   27.1    3.4
Others                  23.6        2.2       3.6        22.3     18.1   27.2   13.3




                          Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
”Security Savings”
  December 31 2000                                              December 31 2010




                                Bank deposits
                                Trad insurance
                                U-L insurance
                                Premium Pensions
                                Mutual funds
                                Bonds
                                Shares




            44.6%                                       48.4%


                     Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Total Household Savings

100%

90%

80%

70%

60%                                                                            Housing
50%                                                                            Shareholdings
40%
                                                                               Premium Pensions
                                                                               Bonds
30%
                                                                               Mutual funds
20%                                                                            U-L insurance
10%                                                                            Trad insurance
 0%
                                                                               Bank deposits
       05-IV   06-IV   07-IV           08-IV            09-IV          10-IV




                               Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Total Household Savings
 Market Shares (excluding shareholdings and housing)
 December 31 2010 (December 31 2005)


100%


80%
                                                                                 Others 13.3% (10.3)
                                                                                 Government 3.4% (3.4)
                                                                                 Folksam 4.8% (4.0)
60%                                                                              Alecta 9.8% (10.9)
                                                                                 AMF 7.6% (7.8)
                                                                                 LF 4.6% (5.0)
                                                                                 Storebrand 3.2% (-)
40%                                                                              Handelsbanken 8.7% (11.2)
                                                                                 Nordea 8.7% (8.9)
                                                                                 Skandia 9.2% (11.1)
                                                                                 Swedbank 14.4% (14.4)
20%                                                                              SEB 12.2% (13.1)



 0%
       05-IV   06-IV     07-IV           08-IV          09-IV            10-IV




                                 Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Bank Deposits, Market Shares
   December 31 2010 (December 31 2005)



100%
                                                                       Other banks 23.6% (21.2)

80%
                                                                       Swedbank 23.9% (25.6)

                                                                       Nordea 16.2% (18.3)
60%
                                                                       Handelsbanken 18.5% (15.9)

40%                                                                    LF 3.5% (3.1)

                                                                       Skandia 2.7% (3.7)
20%
                                                                       SEB 11.7% (12.2)

 0%
       05-IV   06-IV   07-IV   08-IV        09-IV        10-IV




                               Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Traditional Insurance, Market Shares
December 31 2010 (December 31 2005)


 100%
                                                                        Others 2,2% (1,5%)
                                                                        Swedbank 1,0% (0,2)
  80%                                                                   AMF 17.2% (16.7)
                                                                        Nordea 1.2% (1.2)
                                                                        Alecta 26.8% (26.2)
  60%
                                                                        Storebrand 5.4% (-)
                                                                        Handelsbanken 1.9% (7.3)
  40%                                                                   Folksam 10.6 (6.9)
                                                                        LF 6.6% (7.2)
                                                                        Skandia 17.2% (20.0)
  20%                                                                   SEB 9.9% (12.8)



   0%
        05-IV   06-IV   07-IV        08-IV        09-IV        10-IV




                                Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Unit-linked Insurance, Market Shares
 December 31 2010 (December 31 2005)




100%
                                                                       Others 3.6% (1.6)
                                                                       AMF 3.9% (2.9)
80%
                                                                       Swedbank 14.2% (16.1)
                                                                       Storebrand 6.4% (-)
60%
                                                                       Handelsbanken 6.9% (14.4)
                                                                       Nordea 1.9% (2.2)
40%
                                                                       Folksam 7.9% (6.5)
                                                                       LF 9.4% (9.2)
20%                                                                    Skandia 19.6% (21.8)
                                                                       SEB 26.1% (25.3)
 0%
       05-IV   06-IV   07-IV      08-IV        09-IV        10-IV




                               Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Mutual Funds, Market Shares
December 31 2010 (December 31 2005)




 100%
  90%                                                                   Övriga 23.0% (19.4)

  80%
                                                                        Swedbank 29.3% (31.1)
  70%
  60%                                                                   Nordea 20.6% (20.6)

  50%
                                                                        Handelsbanken 12.9% (12.9)
  40%
  30%                                                                   Folksam - (0.8)

  20%
                                                                        LF 0,6% (1.7)
  10%
   0%                                                                   SEB 13.6% (13.5)

        05-IV   06-IV   07-IV        08-IV       09-IV       10-IV




                                Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Premium Pensions, Market Shares
December 31 2010 (December 31 2005)




 100%
                                                                        Others 27.2% (20.5)
                                                                        Staten 27.1% (31.1)
  80%
                                                                        Swedbank 18.5% (13.7)
                                                                        Nordea 3.8% (2.6)
  60%
                                                                        Storebrand 6.1% (-)
                                                                        Handelsbanken 3.0% (10.4)
  40%
                                                                        AMF 8.5% (8.3)

                                                                        Folksam - (5.7)
  20%                                                                   LF 3.0% (3.9)
                                                                        Skandia 1.1% (1.6)
   0%                                                                   SEB 1.8% (2.2)
        05-IV   06-IV   07-IV        08-IV       09-IV       10-IV




                                Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Bonds, Market Shares
December 31 2010 (December 31 2005)

                                                                          The change in bonds issued by
                                                                        SEB QI 2007 is mainly caused by the
                                                                         technique used for measurement
                                                                           and is significantly overstating
                                                                                    real changes
 100%

                                                                         Others 18.1% (13.6)
  80%
                                                                         Gov't 35.3% (49.6)

  60%
                                                                         Swedbank 9.0% (12.2)


  40%                                                                    Nordea 9.7% (5.5)

                                                                         Handelsbanken 18.5% (16.4)
  20%
                                                                         SEB 8.4% (2.8)

   0%
        05-IV   06-IV   07-IV        08-IV       09-IV       10-IV




                                Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Savings - Distributed by Company
SEK m
            05-IV     06-II     06-IV      07-II        07-IV             08-II    08-IV    09-II    09-IV   10-II   10-IV
800 000

700 000

600 000

500 000

400 000

300 000

200 000

100 000

        0
                                                                     en
                           nk




                                                   ea
              B




                                                                                                                P
                                                                                             F
                                                                                  LF




                                                                                                        ta
                                     dia




                                                                                           AM
            SE




                                                                                                              SP
                                                                                                      ec
                         ba




                                                                   nk
                                                rd
                                   an




                                                                                                    Al
                                              No




                                                                 ba
                      ed




                                 Sk




                                                             els
                    Sw




                                                          nd
                                                        Ha




                                              Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Savings - Distributed by Assets
          05-IV    06-II     06-IV   07-II   07-IV   08-II   08-IV   09-II   09-IV   10-II   10-IV

  SEK m
  2000000

  1800000

  1600000

  1400000

  1200000

  1000000

   800000

   600000

   400000

   200000

          0
                   Bank            Trad       Unit-linked Mutual funds       Bonds       Premium
                  deposits      insurance         ins                                    Pensions


                                             Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
New Savings                                            Excluding Premium Pensions

 SEK m                                        Quarterly figures
70 000

60 000

50 000

40 000

30 000

20 000

10 000

     0
          06-I 06-II 06-III 06- 07-I 07-II 07-III 07- 08-I 08-II 08-III 08- 09-I 09-II 09-III 09- 10-I 10-II 10-III 10-
-10 000
                             IV                    IV                    IV                    IV                    IV
-20 000

-30 000

-40 000




                                              Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
New Savings                                                         Excluding Premium Pensions

SEK m
                                                  12 month figures
200 000

180 000

160 000

140 000

120 000

100 000

 80 000

 60 000

 40 000

 20 000

        0
            06-I 06-II 06-III 06-IV 07-I 07-II 07-III 07-IV 08-I 08-II 08-III 08-IV 09-I 09-II 09-III 09-IV 10-I 10-II 10-III 10-IV




                                                 Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
New Savings
                                       Fourth Quarter 2010


            Premium Pensions


                          Bonds


                    Mutual funds


                U-L insurance


               Trad insurance


               Bank deposits


-20 000   -10 000                  0               10 000           20 000      30 000   40 000
                                                                                          SEK m




                                        Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
New Savings
                                   Fourth Quarter 2010

                     SPP

                   Alecta
                     AMF

             Swedbank

               Nordea
         Handelsbanken
               Folksam

                      LF
               Skandia

                     SEB

-4 000    -2 000            0   2 000        4 000       6 000       8 000      10 000   12 000   14 000
                                                                                                   SEK m




                                        Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Change of Total Savings
                                      Fourth Quarter 2010


          Premium Pensions

                       Bonds

              Mutual funds

             U-L insurance

            Trad insurance

             Bank deposits

             Shareholdings

                   Housing

-20 000      -10 000           0   10 000      20 000     30 000     40 000     50 000   60 000   70 000
                                                                                                   SEK m




                                            Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Change of Total Savings
                                 Fourth Quarter 2010
          Others
           Gov't
          Alecta
            SPP
            SHB
            AMF
    Swedbank
         Nordea
             LF
         Skandia
            SEB

-5 000             0     5 000   10 000      15 000       20 000       25 000   30 000   35 000
                                                                                          SEK m




                                    Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
New Savings and Change of Savings Stock
 SEK m
 300 000
                                                                    New Savings
                                                                    Change of Savings Stock
 200 000




 100 000




       0
            06-I   06-II   06-III   06-IV   07-I   07-II   07-III    07-IV   08-I   08-II   08-III   08-IV   09-I   09-II   09-III   09-IV   10-I   10-II   10-III   10-IV



 -100 000




 -200 000




 -300 000




                                                                    Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Houshold Assets

                                                    Fixed-income                 Equities              Housing
SEK bn
5 000

4 500

4 000

3 500

3 000

2 500

2 000

1 500

1 000

  500

    0
      -IV     -II     -IV     -II     -IV     -II      -IV      -II     -IV     -II     IV     -II     -IV     -II     -IV     -II     -IV     -II     -IV     -II     -IV
    00      01      01      02      02      03       03       04      04      05      05     06      06      07      07      08      08      09      09      10      10



                                                             Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
”Balance sheet” of Households

    SEK m                                                               Assets          Liabilities

    12 000 000




    10 000 000




     8 000 000




     6 000 000




     4 000 000




     2 000 000




             0
               -IV      -II    -IV      -II    -IV      -II    -IV     -II   V      -II    -IV      -II    -IV      -II    -IV      -II    -IV     -II   V      -II    -IV
            00       01     01       02     02       03     03       04 04 -I    05     05       06     06       07     07       08     08       09 09 -I    10     10




                                                            Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Share Prices in Stockholm

                               AGFX, 1995-12-30= 100 (linked to SIX GX)

450

400

350

300

250

200

150

100

 50

  0
   01     02     03     04          05         06         07           08     09     10
 20     20     20     20          20         20         20           20     20     20



                             Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
New houshold loans QIII
compared with corresponding
quarter previous year
QIV 2010                       + 41 bn

QIV 2009                       + 61 bn

QIV 2008                       + 39 bn

QIV 2007                       + 53 bn

QIV 2006                       + 61 bn

QIV 2005                       + 57 bn

            Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Household loans
(Change in per cent compared to previous year)

  Decembere 31 2001                    +            7.4%

  September 30 2010                    +            8.3%

  June 30 2010                         +            8.3%

  March 31 2010                        +            8.8%

  December 31 2009                     +            8.5%




                     Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Household Assets and Liabilities
December 31 2010



    Housing/Mortgage loans    Equities/Bank loans           Fixed-income/Consumer credits

  12 000

  10 000

    8 000

    6 000

    4 000

    2 000

        0
                   Assets             Liabilities
                                                                     SEK bn



                             Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Household Assets and Liabilities
        December 31 2010



                   Housing/Mortgage loans         Equities/Bank loans          Fixed-income/Consumer credits

             12 000

             10 000

              8 000

              6 000

              4 000

              2 000

                     0
                             Ass   Liab     Ass      Liab     Ass       Liab        Ass   Liab    Ass     Liab
First Quarter of Indicated   '97   '97      '00      '00      '03       '03         '06   '06     '10     '10
Year, SEK bn., for 2010
Fourth Quarter


                                            Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Loans
 SEK m                                                                        SEK 200bn reclassified
                                                                              from mortgage to bank
1 800 000                                                                        loans in QIV 2007

1 600 000
1 400 000
1 200 000
1 000 000
 800 000                                                                          Mortgage loans
 600 000                                                                          Bank loans
                                                                                  Consumer credits
 400 000
                                                                                  Gov't student loans
 200 000
         0
             05-IV   06-IV   07-IV        08-IV         09-IV         10-IV




                              Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Households’ liability/asset ratio

    Per cent                                                         Liability/ asset ratio

     35



     30



     25



     20



     15



     10



       5



       0
         -IV      -II      -IV      -II      -IV      -II      -IV      -II      -IV      -II      -IV      -II      -IV      -II      -IV      -II      -IV      -II      -IV
      01       02       02       03       03       04       04       05       05       06       06       07       07       08       08       09       09       10       10




                                                              Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
SEK m
                        Savings - Distributed by Company
 01-I   01-III   02-I    02-III   03-I   03-III   04-I   04-III   05-I     05-III   06-I   06-III   07-I   07-III   08-I    08-III   09-I   09-III   10-I   10-III

800 000


700 000
                                                                                                                           Slide not updated
600 000


500 000


400 000


300 000


200 000


100 000


        0
                   SEB            Swedbank          Skandia              Nordea      Handelsbanken          LF               AMF              Alecta




                                                              Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
Savings - Distributed by Assets
      01-I      01-III   02-I     02-III   03-I     03-III   04-I   04-III   05-I     05-III   06-I   06-III    07-I   07-III   08-I
      08-III    09-I     09-III   10-I     10-III


 SEK m
2000000
1800000                                                                                                        Slide not updated
1600000
1400000
1200000
1000000
800000
600000
400000
200000
     0
               Bank deposits         Trad insurance          U-L insurance          Mutual funds          Premium                Bonds
                                                                                                          Pensions




                                                Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010

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SEB's Savings Barometer fourth quarter 2010 Graphs

  • 1. Savings Barometer QIV 2010 Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 2. SEB Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010  Total household savings = bank deposits, life insurance, mutual funds, bonds, government savings plans, premium pensions and - when noted - directly held equities and housing.  Sources: Statistics Sweden, Bank of Sweden, Swedish National Board of Student Aid (CSN), Swedish Insurance Federation, Swedish Mutual Fund Association, Svensk Fondstatistik/MoneyMate, NASDAQ OM Stockholm Exchange, NGM/NDX, SHB, Nordea Life, SEB Trygg Life, Swedish Pensions Agency, maklarstatistik.se, interim and annual reports of companies.  Compiled by Carl Holm, SEB Trygg Life Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 3. Development Fourth Quarter 2010 •New savings were 49bn kronor, of which 30bn were the yearly allocation to premium pensions and 36bn were saved in bank deposits. Bond savings showed a negative figure of 15bn. •On the Stockholm Stock Exchange (NASDAQ OM) the AGFX index increased by 7.4 per cent. •Housing prices decreased by 0.3 per cent. •Households increased borrowing by 1.5 per cent during the fourth quarter. For twelve months the increase was 7.4 per cent. •SEB had a 12.2 per cent market share and Swedbank 14.4 per cent. Alecta had 9.8 per cent, Skandia 9.2, Nordea and Handelsbanken 8.7 each. Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 4. Development Fourth Quarter 2010 SEK bn Value, beginning of quarter 9,989 Savings +49 Value, shareholdings directly held +57 Value, housing -12 Value, other assets +86 Value, end of quarter 10,169 Loans -2,704 Net assets 7,465 Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 5. Swedish Household Savings Total household savings have SEK m increased by 37.9% since year- end 2005, from SEK 7,376 bn to SEK 10,169 bn. 5 000 000 4 500 000 4 000 000 3 500 000 3 000 000 Bank deposits 2 500 000 Trad insurance 2 000 000 Unit-linked insurance Mutual funds 1 500 000 Bonds 1 000 000 Premium Pensions 500 000 Shareholdings 0 Housing 05-IV 06-IV 07-IV 08-IV 09-IV 10-IV Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 6. Total Household Savings Market Market Shares December 31 2010 (September 30 2010) Others SEB 13.3 (12.8)% 12.2 (12.4)% Government 3.4 (3.2) Swedbank 14.4 (14.4)% Alecta 9.8 (9.8) % Folksam Skandia 4.8 (5.1)% 9.2 (9.3)% LF Nordea 4.6 (4.8)% Handelsbanken 8.7 (8.8)% AMF SPP 8.7 (8.5)% 7.6 (7.6)% 3.2 (3.3)% Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 7. Household Savings Market Shares December 31 2010 Share, per cent Bank Trad. U-L Mutual Bonds Prem Total deposits insur. insur. funds Pens SEB 11.7 9.9 26.1 13.6 9.4 1.8 12.2 Alecta 26.8 9.8 Skandia 2.7 17.2 19.6 0.0 1.1 9.2 LF 3.5 6.6 9.4 0.6 3.0 4.6 Folksam 10.6 7.9 4.8 AMF 17.2 3.9 0.8 8.5 7.6 Handelsbanken 18.5 1.9 6.9 12.9 18.5 3.0 8.7 Storebrand/SPP 5.4 6.4 6.1 3.2 Nordea 16.2 1.2 1.9 20.6 9.7 3.8 8.7 Swedbank 23.9 1.0 14.2 29.3 9.0 18.5 14.4 Government 35.3 27.1 3.4 Others 23.6 2.2 3.6 22.3 18.1 27.2 13.3 Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 8. ”Security Savings” December 31 2000 December 31 2010 Bank deposits Trad insurance U-L insurance Premium Pensions Mutual funds Bonds Shares 44.6% 48.4% Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 9. Total Household Savings 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% Housing 50% Shareholdings 40% Premium Pensions Bonds 30% Mutual funds 20% U-L insurance 10% Trad insurance 0% Bank deposits 05-IV 06-IV 07-IV 08-IV 09-IV 10-IV Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 10. Total Household Savings Market Shares (excluding shareholdings and housing) December 31 2010 (December 31 2005) 100% 80% Others 13.3% (10.3) Government 3.4% (3.4) Folksam 4.8% (4.0) 60% Alecta 9.8% (10.9) AMF 7.6% (7.8) LF 4.6% (5.0) Storebrand 3.2% (-) 40% Handelsbanken 8.7% (11.2) Nordea 8.7% (8.9) Skandia 9.2% (11.1) Swedbank 14.4% (14.4) 20% SEB 12.2% (13.1) 0% 05-IV 06-IV 07-IV 08-IV 09-IV 10-IV Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 11. Bank Deposits, Market Shares December 31 2010 (December 31 2005) 100% Other banks 23.6% (21.2) 80% Swedbank 23.9% (25.6) Nordea 16.2% (18.3) 60% Handelsbanken 18.5% (15.9) 40% LF 3.5% (3.1) Skandia 2.7% (3.7) 20% SEB 11.7% (12.2) 0% 05-IV 06-IV 07-IV 08-IV 09-IV 10-IV Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 12. Traditional Insurance, Market Shares December 31 2010 (December 31 2005) 100% Others 2,2% (1,5%) Swedbank 1,0% (0,2) 80% AMF 17.2% (16.7) Nordea 1.2% (1.2) Alecta 26.8% (26.2) 60% Storebrand 5.4% (-) Handelsbanken 1.9% (7.3) 40% Folksam 10.6 (6.9) LF 6.6% (7.2) Skandia 17.2% (20.0) 20% SEB 9.9% (12.8) 0% 05-IV 06-IV 07-IV 08-IV 09-IV 10-IV Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 13. Unit-linked Insurance, Market Shares December 31 2010 (December 31 2005) 100% Others 3.6% (1.6) AMF 3.9% (2.9) 80% Swedbank 14.2% (16.1) Storebrand 6.4% (-) 60% Handelsbanken 6.9% (14.4) Nordea 1.9% (2.2) 40% Folksam 7.9% (6.5) LF 9.4% (9.2) 20% Skandia 19.6% (21.8) SEB 26.1% (25.3) 0% 05-IV 06-IV 07-IV 08-IV 09-IV 10-IV Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 14. Mutual Funds, Market Shares December 31 2010 (December 31 2005) 100% 90% Övriga 23.0% (19.4) 80% Swedbank 29.3% (31.1) 70% 60% Nordea 20.6% (20.6) 50% Handelsbanken 12.9% (12.9) 40% 30% Folksam - (0.8) 20% LF 0,6% (1.7) 10% 0% SEB 13.6% (13.5) 05-IV 06-IV 07-IV 08-IV 09-IV 10-IV Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 15. Premium Pensions, Market Shares December 31 2010 (December 31 2005) 100% Others 27.2% (20.5) Staten 27.1% (31.1) 80% Swedbank 18.5% (13.7) Nordea 3.8% (2.6) 60% Storebrand 6.1% (-) Handelsbanken 3.0% (10.4) 40% AMF 8.5% (8.3) Folksam - (5.7) 20% LF 3.0% (3.9) Skandia 1.1% (1.6) 0% SEB 1.8% (2.2) 05-IV 06-IV 07-IV 08-IV 09-IV 10-IV Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 16. Bonds, Market Shares December 31 2010 (December 31 2005) The change in bonds issued by SEB QI 2007 is mainly caused by the technique used for measurement and is significantly overstating real changes 100% Others 18.1% (13.6) 80% Gov't 35.3% (49.6) 60% Swedbank 9.0% (12.2) 40% Nordea 9.7% (5.5) Handelsbanken 18.5% (16.4) 20% SEB 8.4% (2.8) 0% 05-IV 06-IV 07-IV 08-IV 09-IV 10-IV Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 17. Savings - Distributed by Company SEK m 05-IV 06-II 06-IV 07-II 07-IV 08-II 08-IV 09-II 09-IV 10-II 10-IV 800 000 700 000 600 000 500 000 400 000 300 000 200 000 100 000 0 en nk ea B P F LF ta dia AM SE SP ec ba nk rd an Al No ba ed Sk els Sw nd Ha Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 18. Savings - Distributed by Assets 05-IV 06-II 06-IV 07-II 07-IV 08-II 08-IV 09-II 09-IV 10-II 10-IV SEK m 2000000 1800000 1600000 1400000 1200000 1000000 800000 600000 400000 200000 0 Bank Trad Unit-linked Mutual funds Bonds Premium deposits insurance ins Pensions Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 19. New Savings Excluding Premium Pensions SEK m Quarterly figures 70 000 60 000 50 000 40 000 30 000 20 000 10 000 0 06-I 06-II 06-III 06- 07-I 07-II 07-III 07- 08-I 08-II 08-III 08- 09-I 09-II 09-III 09- 10-I 10-II 10-III 10- -10 000 IV IV IV IV IV -20 000 -30 000 -40 000 Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 20. New Savings Excluding Premium Pensions SEK m 12 month figures 200 000 180 000 160 000 140 000 120 000 100 000 80 000 60 000 40 000 20 000 0 06-I 06-II 06-III 06-IV 07-I 07-II 07-III 07-IV 08-I 08-II 08-III 08-IV 09-I 09-II 09-III 09-IV 10-I 10-II 10-III 10-IV Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 21. New Savings Fourth Quarter 2010 Premium Pensions Bonds Mutual funds U-L insurance Trad insurance Bank deposits -20 000 -10 000 0 10 000 20 000 30 000 40 000 SEK m Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 22. New Savings Fourth Quarter 2010 SPP Alecta AMF Swedbank Nordea Handelsbanken Folksam LF Skandia SEB -4 000 -2 000 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000 SEK m Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 23. Change of Total Savings Fourth Quarter 2010 Premium Pensions Bonds Mutual funds U-L insurance Trad insurance Bank deposits Shareholdings Housing -20 000 -10 000 0 10 000 20 000 30 000 40 000 50 000 60 000 70 000 SEK m Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 24. Change of Total Savings Fourth Quarter 2010 Others Gov't Alecta SPP SHB AMF Swedbank Nordea LF Skandia SEB -5 000 0 5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 25 000 30 000 35 000 SEK m Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 25. New Savings and Change of Savings Stock SEK m 300 000 New Savings Change of Savings Stock 200 000 100 000 0 06-I 06-II 06-III 06-IV 07-I 07-II 07-III 07-IV 08-I 08-II 08-III 08-IV 09-I 09-II 09-III 09-IV 10-I 10-II 10-III 10-IV -100 000 -200 000 -300 000 Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 26. Houshold Assets Fixed-income Equities Housing SEK bn 5 000 4 500 4 000 3 500 3 000 2 500 2 000 1 500 1 000 500 0 -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV 00 01 01 02 02 03 03 04 04 05 05 06 06 07 07 08 08 09 09 10 10 Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 27. ”Balance sheet” of Households SEK m Assets Liabilities 12 000 000 10 000 000 8 000 000 6 000 000 4 000 000 2 000 000 0 -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II V -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II V -II -IV 00 01 01 02 02 03 03 04 04 -I 05 05 06 06 07 07 08 08 09 09 -I 10 10 Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 28. Share Prices in Stockholm AGFX, 1995-12-30= 100 (linked to SIX GX) 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 29. New houshold loans QIII compared with corresponding quarter previous year QIV 2010 + 41 bn QIV 2009 + 61 bn QIV 2008 + 39 bn QIV 2007 + 53 bn QIV 2006 + 61 bn QIV 2005 + 57 bn Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 30. Household loans (Change in per cent compared to previous year) Decembere 31 2001 + 7.4% September 30 2010 + 8.3% June 30 2010 + 8.3% March 31 2010 + 8.8% December 31 2009 + 8.5% Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 31. Household Assets and Liabilities December 31 2010 Housing/Mortgage loans Equities/Bank loans Fixed-income/Consumer credits 12 000 10 000 8 000 6 000 4 000 2 000 0 Assets Liabilities SEK bn Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 32. Household Assets and Liabilities December 31 2010 Housing/Mortgage loans Equities/Bank loans Fixed-income/Consumer credits 12 000 10 000 8 000 6 000 4 000 2 000 0 Ass Liab Ass Liab Ass Liab Ass Liab Ass Liab First Quarter of Indicated '97 '97 '00 '00 '03 '03 '06 '06 '10 '10 Year, SEK bn., for 2010 Fourth Quarter Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 33. Loans SEK m SEK 200bn reclassified from mortgage to bank 1 800 000 loans in QIV 2007 1 600 000 1 400 000 1 200 000 1 000 000 800 000 Mortgage loans 600 000 Bank loans Consumer credits 400 000 Gov't student loans 200 000 0 05-IV 06-IV 07-IV 08-IV 09-IV 10-IV Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 34. Households’ liability/asset ratio Per cent Liability/ asset ratio 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV -II -IV 01 02 02 03 03 04 04 05 05 06 06 07 07 08 08 09 09 10 10 Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 35. SEK m Savings - Distributed by Company 01-I 01-III 02-I 02-III 03-I 03-III 04-I 04-III 05-I 05-III 06-I 06-III 07-I 07-III 08-I 08-III 09-I 09-III 10-I 10-III 800 000 700 000 Slide not updated 600 000 500 000 400 000 300 000 200 000 100 000 0 SEB Swedbank Skandia Nordea Handelsbanken LF AMF Alecta Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010
  • 36. Savings - Distributed by Assets 01-I 01-III 02-I 02-III 03-I 03-III 04-I 04-III 05-I 05-III 06-I 06-III 07-I 07-III 08-I 08-III 09-I 09-III 10-I 10-III SEK m 2000000 1800000 Slide not updated 1600000 1400000 1200000 1000000 800000 600000 400000 200000 0 Bank deposits Trad insurance U-L insurance Mutual funds Premium Bonds Pensions Savings Barometer Fourth Quarter 2010