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Re-novating Our Enterprise
1. HOW DO WE SEE THE
      FUTURE?


AN EARLY AND IMPORTANT
    CHOICE TO MAKE
EMOTIONS SHAPE OF SENSE OF
FUTURE
Feel Good Optimism
   Belief in Higher Power
   Belief in Destiny
   Belief in Progress
   Good Luck
Feel Bad Pessimism
   Fear of failure
   Self Limiting Beliefs (not good enough)
   Bad Luck
Rational Optimism
 Start with what you have got
 Learn from the Past

 Calculate future knowns and
  unknowns
 Use imagination

 Plan the next steps

 Manage Risks

 Take One Step at a time
1. Why Renovation?
It is not yet here ?
It is has gone past ?
It is moving now ?
TRANSITION
Past Present Future
TRANSITION IMPLIES



 Systems that change in interconnected ways
 An inevitable destination
 An unpredictable Journey
e.g. growing up!
Transition is slow + simple
  Pastis clear
  Present is obvious
  Future can be predicted


Transition is fast + complex
  Pastneeds analysis
  Present is slippery
  Future is uncertain
HOW DOES OUR BUSINESS
PLANNING NEED TO CHANGE?
ACCEPT:
WE ARE ALL PART OF A RADICAL
TRANSITION TO A MATURE &
SUSTAINABLE WORLD

RAPID, ACCELERATING AND
DEEP
What powers our world energy


What enables our world economy + technology


What connects our world networks + internet


       Who we are the networked self


  What we think is important global values


     Who runs the world global politics
WE NEED TO RE- NOVATE: MAKE SYSTEMATIC
TIME PATH CHOICES
 Think Systems
 Think Growth Path
 Think Inter-Generational
 Embrace Uncertainty
HUGE
GENERATIONAL
SHIFTS IN THINKING
RE-NOVATION IS A 7-STEP PROCESS
OF MAKING SYSTEMATIC TRANSITION
PATH CHOICES
PROCESS
   Constant adaptation
SYSTEMATIC
   A systems view
TRANSITION
 Predictable destination
 Unpredictable journey

PATH CHOICES
 Sequences
 consequences
6. A Model for Enterprise
      Re-novation
Ambition



Business
             Brand
 Model
AMBITION
OUR ENTERPRISE IS A TREE
BUSINESS MODEL
INFRASTRUCTURE                              OFFER                                    CUSTOMER
                   PARTNER                                        CUSTOMER
                   NETWORK                                       RELATIONSHIP
     CORE                                   VALUE                                     TARGET
  CAPABILITIES                           PROPOSITION                                 CUSTOMER
                     VALUE                                       DISTRIBUTION
                 CONFIGURATION                                     CHANNEL




                     COST                  FINANCE                 REVENUE
                  STRUCTURE                                        STREAMS




                  a business model describes the value an organization offers to
                   various customers and portrays the capabilities and partners
                  required for creating, marketing, and delivering this value and
                   relationship capital with the goal of generating profitable and
                                    sustainable revenue streams
BRAND
BRAND ESSENCE       BRAND IDENTITY




MEDIA BRAND          LIVED BRAND




BRAND REPUTATION   BRAND PROMISE
. Seven Steps to Re-
7
     novation
(1) Build a timeline.
(2) What’s working /not working
right now?
(3) How did we get here?
(4) Where do we want to be?
(5) How do we get there?
(6) What story do we build?
(7) What do we do next?
1)BUILD A TIMELINE
   WE DEVELOP THE CONCEPT OF PAST,
PRESENT AND FUTURE TIMELINE AND DEAL
WITH DISTANT, DEEP AND PROXIMATE TIME
               HORIZONS
(2)WHAT’S WORKING /NOT
    WORKING RIGHT NOW?
USING A SYSTEMS APPROACH WE EXPLORE
   WHAT’S WORKING AND WHAT’S NOT
            WORKING NOW.
Enterprise   Working    Not        How does it need to perform?
Element      List 1-3   working
                        List 1-3




Ambition

Business
Model


Brand
(3) HOW DID WE GET HERE?
   WE WORK BACK FROM THE PRESENT
THROUGH OUR PAST TO UNDERSTAND HOW
 OUR ENTERPRISE EVOLVED, LOOKING AT
BOTH HOW THE WORLD CHANGED AND HOW
         CHOICES WERE MADE
HOW DID     WHAT      HOW DID     HOW DID     HOW DID
           THE         DRIVERS   OUR         TRENDS      OUR
           INDUSTRY    SHAPED    CHOICES     SHAPE OUR   CHOICES
           BUSINESS    OUR       SHAPE OUR   INDUSTRY    SHAPE OUR
           MODEL       INDUST    BUSINESS    IN THE      BUSINESS
           TRANSITIO   RY IN     IN THE      RECENT      IN THE
           N IN THE    THE       LONG PAST   PAST?       RECENT
           DISTANT     LONG      ?                       PAST?
           PAST        PAST?




Ambition

Business
Model

Brand
(4) WHERE DO WE WANT TO BE?
 WE REVIEW OR GENERATE ON HOW THE
 WORLD IS LIKELY TO CHANGE, EXPLORE
 POSSIBLE FUTURES AND SKETCH OUT A
PLAUSIBLE FUTURE WE BELIEVE THAT WE
             CAN CREATE.
(4) Where       do we want to be?
We review how the world is likely to change, explore possible futures
  and sketch out a plausible future we believe that we can create.


Business       WHAT TRANSITION IN WHAT WILL            HOT TRENDS FOR
Sphere         THE DISTANT FUTURE DRIVE THE            THE IMMEDIATE
               ?                  LONG TERM            FUTURE?
                                  FUTURE ?




Ambition

Business
Model

Brand
OUR            LONG TERM FUTURE
           AMBITION FOR
Business                  BUSINESS AS        BIG STRETCH : OUR   MIDDLE WAY: A   WILDCARDS:
           THE DISTANT
                          USUAL : OUR PAST   BEST POSSIBLE       PLAUSIBLE AND   WINDFALLS OR
Sphere     FUTURE
                          CREATES OUR        FUTURE              DESIREABLE      WIPEOUTS
                          FUTURE                                 FUTURE

Ambition
Business
Model
Brand
(5) HOW DO WE GET THERE?
   WE BUILD SCENARIOS ON HOW OUR
CHOICES WILL IMPACT ON THE FUTURE WE
           WISH TO CREATE
“Humans create their own futures
….and they do so by making decisions and taking
action.
Scenarios…..enable…..better decisions as a result
of a better understanding of the choices they may
face and the potential consequences of those choices.
….allow decision makers ….to design custom
systems …”
The Role of System Theory in Scenario Planning
Thomas Chermack Journal of Futures Studies, May
2004, 8(4): 15 - 30
.




Business   Top Change   Impact:        Uncertainty   Impact       Rank of
Element    Issue:       How            : How much    Score        Importanc
                        important is   are we able   Multiplied   e: highest
           What needs
                        it to our      to do about   byUncertai   score =
           to change?
                        survival or    it? How       nty Score    most
                        success?       much          to get       important
                        (Score 1-5)    choice do     Overall
                                       we have?      Score Out
                                                     of 25
                                       What is our
                                       Room to
                                       Move?

                                       (Score 1-5)
Ambition
Business
Model
Brand
Change   Best       Worst
Issue    Possible   Possible
         Approach   Approach

#1:

#2:
What do I do in                                What do I do in this
    this Action             Best Approach          Action Scenario:
    Scenario:              to Issue # 1            • Text
    • Text                                         • Text
    • Text                                         • Text
    • Text                                         • Text
                       Name of
                         this       Name of
 Worst Approach        Scenario       this
to Issue # 2                        Scenario          Best Approach to
                                                      Issue # 2


                       Name of      Name of
What do I do in this     this         this     What do I do in this
Action Scenario:
•   Text
                       Scenario     Scenario   Action Scenario:
                                               •   Text
•   Text                                       •   Text
•   Text                                       •   Text
•   Text                                       •   Text
                         Worst Approach to
                         Issue # 1
                                                                   54
Creating a Step Path

 How will we measure progress?
 Reworking our steps to get to the desired Future
  To  get to the Long Term Future , we will need to have
   achieved ….ABC in 3 years
  to get to ABC we will need to have achieved ….XYZ
   by the end of this year
  this means we need to get the following done in the
   next three months
6) WHAT STORY DO WE BUILD?
  WE WRITE UP THE STORY AND CREATE A
PICTURE OF THE FUTURE THAT WE DESIRE.
Summary Sentence



DISTANT FUTURE

LONG TERM FUTURE

IMMEDIATE FUTURE

PRESENT TIME

RECENT PAST

LONG PAST

DISTANT PAST
7) WHAT DO WE DO NEXT?
WE DESIGN OUR SYSTEMS AND SET TARGETS
 FOR HOW WE WILL CREATE THE FUTURE
           THAT WE DESIRE.
LETS NOT REPEAT THE PAST
 Why did our previous strategies succeed / fail?
 Ten Good Reasons for Not Giving Up

 SUPPORT SYSTEMS
 Finance, Technical Advice, Professional Networks, Social
  Networks, Mentors, Coaches, Courses and Programmes

OUR BUSINESS PLAN

 What are the tough choices that we need to make soon?
 What are our Objectives and Time Frames?
 What obstacles and possible Wild Cards could cause me us go
  off track?
 How are we going to manage transition?
ABOUT Shahid Solomon




Shahid is a strategist and skilled leader, coach,
innovator and programme manager.
Planner/ Economist
 Graduated as a planner at UCT in 1986
 Worked his way to executive level in planning and economic development in the City
   of Cape Town through its various transitions to 2004.
 Strategist / Futurist
   Entered consulting practice in 2005
   Has worked on economic strategy, tourism, growth management, integrated
    planning and foresight strategies throughout South Africa .

Talent Builder
 Shahid has been a leader and manager in the public sector for 17 years and in the
  private sector for 6 years
 Has coached people and teams in line, process and project settings
 Has managed mentoring and enterprise development programmes, established and
  developed his own companies and mentored many entrepreneurs.

Coach / Re-novator
   At 54 years in age, Shahid sees himself as a coach and re-novator ploughing his
    experience and expertise back to where it is needed.
Rates Per Hour




 Corporate  R 1 500
 Government R 800
 NGO        R 400
Telephone    +27 (0) 71 917 5011
Telephone:   + 27 (0) 82 6580 617
Email:        shahidsolomon@gmail.com
               shahid@novation2050.co.za
Fax:         +27(0) 86 773 6615
Twitter:               @ShahidSolomon
Skype:        shahidsolomon
Facebook:        shahid.solomon.1@facebook.com
                novation 2050@facebook.com

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Renovating Our Enterprise for the Future

  • 2. 1. HOW DO WE SEE THE FUTURE? AN EARLY AND IMPORTANT CHOICE TO MAKE
  • 3. EMOTIONS SHAPE OF SENSE OF FUTURE
  • 4. Feel Good Optimism  Belief in Higher Power  Belief in Destiny  Belief in Progress  Good Luck
  • 5. Feel Bad Pessimism  Fear of failure  Self Limiting Beliefs (not good enough)  Bad Luck
  • 6. Rational Optimism  Start with what you have got  Learn from the Past  Calculate future knowns and unknowns  Use imagination  Plan the next steps  Manage Risks  Take One Step at a time
  • 8. It is not yet here ? It is has gone past ? It is moving now ?
  • 9.
  • 11. TRANSITION IMPLIES  Systems that change in interconnected ways  An inevitable destination  An unpredictable Journey
  • 13. Transition is slow + simple  Pastis clear  Present is obvious  Future can be predicted Transition is fast + complex  Pastneeds analysis  Present is slippery  Future is uncertain
  • 14. HOW DOES OUR BUSINESS PLANNING NEED TO CHANGE?
  • 15. ACCEPT: WE ARE ALL PART OF A RADICAL TRANSITION TO A MATURE & SUSTAINABLE WORLD RAPID, ACCELERATING AND DEEP
  • 16. What powers our world energy What enables our world economy + technology What connects our world networks + internet Who we are the networked self What we think is important global values Who runs the world global politics
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19. WE NEED TO RE- NOVATE: MAKE SYSTEMATIC TIME PATH CHOICES  Think Systems  Think Growth Path  Think Inter-Generational  Embrace Uncertainty
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23. RE-NOVATION IS A 7-STEP PROCESS OF MAKING SYSTEMATIC TRANSITION PATH CHOICES
  • 24. PROCESS  Constant adaptation SYSTEMATIC  A systems view TRANSITION  Predictable destination  Unpredictable journey PATH CHOICES  Sequences  consequences
  • 25. 6. A Model for Enterprise Re-novation
  • 26. Ambition Business Brand Model
  • 28.
  • 31.
  • 32. INFRASTRUCTURE OFFER CUSTOMER PARTNER CUSTOMER NETWORK RELATIONSHIP CORE VALUE TARGET CAPABILITIES PROPOSITION CUSTOMER VALUE DISTRIBUTION CONFIGURATION CHANNEL COST FINANCE REVENUE STRUCTURE STREAMS a business model describes the value an organization offers to various customers and portrays the capabilities and partners required for creating, marketing, and delivering this value and relationship capital with the goal of generating profitable and sustainable revenue streams
  • 33. BRAND
  • 34. BRAND ESSENCE BRAND IDENTITY MEDIA BRAND LIVED BRAND BRAND REPUTATION BRAND PROMISE
  • 35. . Seven Steps to Re- 7 novation
  • 36. (1) Build a timeline. (2) What’s working /not working right now? (3) How did we get here? (4) Where do we want to be? (5) How do we get there? (6) What story do we build? (7) What do we do next?
  • 37. 1)BUILD A TIMELINE WE DEVELOP THE CONCEPT OF PAST, PRESENT AND FUTURE TIMELINE AND DEAL WITH DISTANT, DEEP AND PROXIMATE TIME HORIZONS
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42. (2)WHAT’S WORKING /NOT WORKING RIGHT NOW? USING A SYSTEMS APPROACH WE EXPLORE WHAT’S WORKING AND WHAT’S NOT WORKING NOW.
  • 43. Enterprise Working Not How does it need to perform? Element List 1-3 working List 1-3 Ambition Business Model Brand
  • 44. (3) HOW DID WE GET HERE? WE WORK BACK FROM THE PRESENT THROUGH OUR PAST TO UNDERSTAND HOW OUR ENTERPRISE EVOLVED, LOOKING AT BOTH HOW THE WORLD CHANGED AND HOW CHOICES WERE MADE
  • 45. HOW DID WHAT HOW DID HOW DID HOW DID THE DRIVERS OUR TRENDS OUR INDUSTRY SHAPED CHOICES SHAPE OUR CHOICES BUSINESS OUR SHAPE OUR INDUSTRY SHAPE OUR MODEL INDUST BUSINESS IN THE BUSINESS TRANSITIO RY IN IN THE RECENT IN THE N IN THE THE LONG PAST PAST? RECENT DISTANT LONG ? PAST? PAST PAST? Ambition Business Model Brand
  • 46. (4) WHERE DO WE WANT TO BE? WE REVIEW OR GENERATE ON HOW THE WORLD IS LIKELY TO CHANGE, EXPLORE POSSIBLE FUTURES AND SKETCH OUT A PLAUSIBLE FUTURE WE BELIEVE THAT WE CAN CREATE.
  • 47.
  • 48. (4) Where do we want to be? We review how the world is likely to change, explore possible futures and sketch out a plausible future we believe that we can create. Business WHAT TRANSITION IN WHAT WILL HOT TRENDS FOR Sphere THE DISTANT FUTURE DRIVE THE THE IMMEDIATE ? LONG TERM FUTURE? FUTURE ? Ambition Business Model Brand
  • 49. OUR LONG TERM FUTURE AMBITION FOR Business BUSINESS AS BIG STRETCH : OUR MIDDLE WAY: A WILDCARDS: THE DISTANT USUAL : OUR PAST BEST POSSIBLE PLAUSIBLE AND WINDFALLS OR Sphere FUTURE CREATES OUR FUTURE DESIREABLE WIPEOUTS FUTURE FUTURE Ambition Business Model Brand
  • 50. (5) HOW DO WE GET THERE? WE BUILD SCENARIOS ON HOW OUR CHOICES WILL IMPACT ON THE FUTURE WE WISH TO CREATE
  • 51. “Humans create their own futures ….and they do so by making decisions and taking action. Scenarios…..enable…..better decisions as a result of a better understanding of the choices they may face and the potential consequences of those choices. ….allow decision makers ….to design custom systems …” The Role of System Theory in Scenario Planning Thomas Chermack Journal of Futures Studies, May 2004, 8(4): 15 - 30
  • 52. . Business Top Change Impact: Uncertainty Impact Rank of Element Issue: How : How much Score Importanc important is are we able Multiplied e: highest What needs it to our to do about byUncertai score = to change? survival or it? How nty Score most success? much to get important (Score 1-5) choice do Overall we have? Score Out of 25 What is our Room to Move? (Score 1-5) Ambition Business Model Brand
  • 53. Change Best Worst Issue Possible Possible Approach Approach #1: #2:
  • 54. What do I do in What do I do in this this Action Best Approach Action Scenario: Scenario: to Issue # 1 • Text • Text • Text • Text • Text • Text • Text Name of this Name of Worst Approach Scenario this to Issue # 2 Scenario Best Approach to Issue # 2 Name of Name of What do I do in this this this What do I do in this Action Scenario: • Text Scenario Scenario Action Scenario: • Text • Text • Text • Text • Text • Text • Text Worst Approach to Issue # 1 54
  • 55. Creating a Step Path  How will we measure progress?  Reworking our steps to get to the desired Future  To get to the Long Term Future , we will need to have achieved ….ABC in 3 years  to get to ABC we will need to have achieved ….XYZ by the end of this year  this means we need to get the following done in the next three months
  • 56. 6) WHAT STORY DO WE BUILD? WE WRITE UP THE STORY AND CREATE A PICTURE OF THE FUTURE THAT WE DESIRE.
  • 57. Summary Sentence DISTANT FUTURE LONG TERM FUTURE IMMEDIATE FUTURE PRESENT TIME RECENT PAST LONG PAST DISTANT PAST
  • 58.
  • 59. 7) WHAT DO WE DO NEXT? WE DESIGN OUR SYSTEMS AND SET TARGETS FOR HOW WE WILL CREATE THE FUTURE THAT WE DESIRE.
  • 60. LETS NOT REPEAT THE PAST  Why did our previous strategies succeed / fail?  Ten Good Reasons for Not Giving Up SUPPORT SYSTEMS  Finance, Technical Advice, Professional Networks, Social Networks, Mentors, Coaches, Courses and Programmes OUR BUSINESS PLAN  What are the tough choices that we need to make soon?  What are our Objectives and Time Frames?  What obstacles and possible Wild Cards could cause me us go off track?  How are we going to manage transition?
  • 61.
  • 62. ABOUT Shahid Solomon Shahid is a strategist and skilled leader, coach, innovator and programme manager.
  • 63. Planner/ Economist  Graduated as a planner at UCT in 1986  Worked his way to executive level in planning and economic development in the City of Cape Town through its various transitions to 2004. Strategist / Futurist  Entered consulting practice in 2005  Has worked on economic strategy, tourism, growth management, integrated planning and foresight strategies throughout South Africa . Talent Builder  Shahid has been a leader and manager in the public sector for 17 years and in the private sector for 6 years  Has coached people and teams in line, process and project settings  Has managed mentoring and enterprise development programmes, established and developed his own companies and mentored many entrepreneurs. Coach / Re-novator  At 54 years in age, Shahid sees himself as a coach and re-novator ploughing his experience and expertise back to where it is needed.
  • 64. Rates Per Hour  Corporate R 1 500  Government R 800  NGO R 400
  • 65. Telephone +27 (0) 71 917 5011 Telephone: + 27 (0) 82 6580 617 Email: shahidsolomon@gmail.com shahid@novation2050.co.za Fax: +27(0) 86 773 6615 Twitter: @ShahidSolomon Skype: shahidsolomon Facebook: shahid.solomon.1@facebook.com novation 2050@facebook.com