Networks of Agonism and Antagonism: Polarised Discourses about COP26 (and COP27) on Twitter
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Networks of Agonism and Antagonism:
Polarised Discourses about COP26
(and COP27) on Twitter
Axel Bruns, Michelle Riedlinger, Carly Lubicz-Zaorski, Ehsan Dehghan, and Daniel Angus
Digital Media Research Centre, Queensland University of Technology
a.bruns | michelle.riedlinger | carly.lubicz | e.dehghan | daniel.angus @ qut.edu.au
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Networks
• Network visualisation and analysis:
• Filtered for accounts with degree ≥ 10 (interactions with at least 10 other accounts)
• Visualisation using Force Atlas 2 algorithm in Gephi
• Cluster detection using Louvain algorithm in Gephi (modularity resolution 0.5)
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Clusters and their themes
• Compared the likelihood of words appearing in the discourse of one cluster against the
likelihood of terms in the larger corpus
• Keyword analysis using log-likelihood
• More lines = more consistency in discourse (less change in discourse)
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Top 100 Keywords in the discourse of
Climate Activists
Top 100 Keywords in the discourse of
Climate Sceptics
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Images (?)
Clustered using the Image Machine software:
Burgess, J., Angus, D., Carah, N., Andrejevic, M., Hawker, K., Lewis, K., …
Li, L. (2021, November 6). Critical simulation as hybrid digital method for
exploring the data operations and vernacular cultures of visual social media
platforms. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/2cwsu
Memes and Cartoons
4%
Texts, Newspapers, &
Infographics
14%
Flood, fire, famine
13%
Protests, and groups
13%
Slogans
5%
Celebrity profiles
12%
COP26 activity,
inc. leaders, audience
25%
Top 3583 unique image uploads
Embedded in 385,186 tweets (top 37% of all
images shared)
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Communication Styles: E-I Indices
• E-I Index:
• Calculated for each cluster:
• 🔵 All interactions
• 🟠 Retweets only
• 🔴 Other interactions only
• Values:
-1 0 +1
(all internal) (all external)
(balanced)
(Krackhardt & Stern, 1988)
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Conclusions
• Decline in overall attention but stable core:
• Less engagement with COP27 than COP26 (due to location; lower involvement of world
leaders and celebrities, etc.; other world events)
• Major participant groups quite stable in their core membership and themes, but drifting
further apart (especially the climate denialists)
• Far more localised discussion of domestic issues (Colombia, Venezuela, Brazil)
• Central discussion more process-oriented (news, policy, and engagement with activists)
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This research is supported by the ARC Laureate Fellowship project Dynamics of Partisanship and
Polarisation in Online Public Debate and the ARC Discovery projects Evaluating the Challenge of
'Fake News' and Other Malinformation and Using Machine Vision to Explore Instagram’s Everyday
Promotional Cultures.
Acknowledgments
Notas del editor
We acknowledge that we are meeting on the traditional territory of many nations including the Mississaugas of the Credit, the Anishnabeg, the Chippewa, the Haudenosaunee and the Wendat peoples and that Toronto is also home to many diverse First Nations, Inuit and Métis peoples.
SLIDE 15: TOP 100 KEYWORDS IN THE DISCOURSE OF CLIMATE ACTIVISTS
SLIDE 16: TOP 100 KEYWORDS IN THE DISCOURSE OF CLIMATE SCEPTICS
In Slides 15 and 16, the actual words do not matter much. It's not super important to see them on the slide, but overall, the two slides show that there is a higher level of change in the language of climate activists, compared to climate sceptics. (more lines = more common words)
The top 100 keywords in the discourse of climate sceptics remains mainly unchanged, with the biggest theme being that they actually use the phrase 'climate change', but then claim that "climate change is a hoax".
Climate activists, however, adapt their discourse to the year, and their concerns. We can see a higher degree of change in the top 100 keywords in their discourse, and there is a higher number of keywords unique in each year.
SLIDE 17: CLIMATE ACTIVIST KEYWORDS COMMON IN BOTH YEARS
SLIDE 18: CLIMATE SCEPTIC KEYWORDS COMMON IN BOTH YEARS
Again, these two slides show the previous points more clearly: climate activists show a strong focus on Extinction Rebellion, oil, and fossil fuels in COP26. Their emphasis on fossil fuels and oil increases in COP27, while there is less focus on extinction rebellion in COP27.
Also, this cluster avoids using the phrase 'climate change', and rather uses phrases such as climate emergency, climate crisis, climate justice, in English and other languages. Interestingly, the emphasis on 'crisis' increases, while the emphasis on 'justice' decreases. Of course, this does not mean that they don't care about climate justice anymore. It is still one of their top keywords. However, the framing has shifted to emphasis the crisis/emergency more.
For climate sceptics, however, the discourse does not really show much change. The ranking of keywords remains quite similar, and the keywords that show changes in ranking aren't really meaningful. The only exception, perhaps, is the word 'warming' , which seems to have increased in ranking from COP26 to COP27