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Principles of
Epidemiology
and
Descriptive
Epidemiology
Dr. Sonam Aggarwal
MD Community Medicine
Contents:
ā€¢ History
ā€¢ Introduction
ā€¢ Definition
ā€¢ Aims and objectives of epidemiology
ā€¢ Epidemiological approach
ā€¢ Measurement in epidemiology
ā€¢ Epidemiological studies
ā€¢ Descriptive study
ā€¢ References
History
ā€¢ Epidemiology originates from Hippocratesā€™
observation that environmental factors influence the
occurrence of disease.
ā€¢ Snowā€™s epidemiological studies were one aspect of
wide ranging series of investigations that examined
related physical, chemical, biological, sociological
and political processes.
History
Introduction
ā€¢ Epidemiology is the basic science of Preventive
and Social Medicine.
ā€¢ Epidemiology is scientific discipline of public
health to study diseases in the community to
acquire knowledge for health care of the
society. (prevention, control and treatment).
ā€¢ Epidemiological principles and methods are applied in ā€“
- Clinical research,
- Disease prevention,
- Health promotion,
- Health protection and
- Health services research.
ā€¢ The results of epidemiological studies are also used by
other scientists, including health economists, health
policy analysts, and health services managers.
Definition
ā€œThe study of the distribution and determinants of
health-related states or events in specified
populations, and the application of this study to the
prevention and control of health problemsā€ .
As defined by John M. Last (1988)
Aims & Objectives of Epidemiology
1. To describe the distribution and magnitude of
health and disease problems in human population.
2. To identify etiological factors (risk factors) in the
pathogenesis of disease.
3. To provide data essential to the planning,
implementation and evaluation of services for the
prevention, control and treatment of disease and
setting priorities among those services.
(Acc. to International Epidemiological Association)
Ultimate Aim of Epidemiology
1. To eliminate or reduce the health problems of
community.
2. To promote the health and well-being of society as
a whole.
Distribution
ā€¢ Distribution of disease occurs in a PATTERN.
ā€¢ PATTERN- Time, Place, Person .
ā€¢ PATTERN ā€“ Hypothesis for Causative/Risk factor ā€“
Etiological Hypothesis.
ā€¢ Descriptive Epidemiology.
Determinants
ā€¢ Identifying the causes and risk factors for diseases.
ā€¢ Testing the Hypothesis ā€“ (Biostatistics)
ā€¢ Analytical Epidemiology
Epidemiology and public health
ā€¢ Public health, refers to collective actions to improve
population health.
ā€¢ Epidemiology, one of the tools for improving public
health, is used in several ways.
Applications of epidemiology in
public health
ā€¢ 1. Preventing disease and promoting health.
ā€¢ 2.Community health assessment (Community
Diagnosis) and priority setting.
ā€¢ 3. Improving diagnosis, treatment and prognosis of
clinical diseases.
ā€¢ 4. Evaluating health interventions and programmes.
Epidemiology & Clinical Medicine
ā€¢ 1. In Clinical Medicine the unit of study is a ā€˜caseā€™,
but in the Epidemiology the unit of study is ā€˜defined
populationā€™or ā€˜population at riskā€™.
ā€¢ Physician is concerned with the disease in the
individual patient, whereas Epidemiologist is
concern with the disease pattern in entire population.
ā€¢ So, the Epidemiology is concern with the both Sick
& Healthy.
ā€¢ 2. In Clinical Medicine, the physician seeks to
diagnosis for which he derives prognosis and
prescribes specific treatment.
ā€¢ The Epidemiologist is confronted with the relevant
data derived from the particular epidemiological
study. (Community Diagnosis)
ā€¢ He seek to identify the source of infection, mode of
transmission, and an etiological factor to determine
the future trends, prevention and control measure.
3. In Clinical Medicine patient comes to the Doctor.
ā€¢ Epidemiologist, goes to the community to find out
the disease pattern and suspected causal factors in
the question.
Epidemiological approach
ā€¢ 1. Asking questions.
ā€¢ 2. Making Comparisons.
1. Asking questions
These questions can be referred to as:
1. Case definition - (what)
2. Person - (who)
3. Place - (where)
4. Time - (when)
5. Causes - (why)
2.Making Comparisons
ā€¢ To find out the differences in the AGENT, HOST
and ENVIRONMENT conditions between two
groups.
ā€¢ Weighs, balances and contrasts give clues to
ETIOLOGICAL HYPOTHESIS.
MEASURING DISEASE
FREQUENCY
Incidence and Prevalence
ā€¢ These are fundamentally different ways of
measuring disease frequency.
ā€¢ The incidence of disease represents the rate of
occurrence of new cases arising in a given period in a
specified population, while
ā€¢ Prevalence is the number of existing cases (old+
new) in a defined population at a given point in time.
Incidence
ā€¢ ā€œNumber of new cases occurring in defined
population during specified period of timeā€
ā€¢ Incidence = Number of new cases during given
period / Population at risk x 1000
ā€¢ Cumulative incidence proportion- all individual at
risk
ā€¢ Incidence density- person time as denominator.
Prevalence
ā€¢ Prevalence is total no of existing cases ( old + new)
in a defined population at a particular point in time or
specified period.
ā€¢ Prevalence = Total no. of cases at given point of
time / Estimated population at time x 100
Relation between Incidence &
Prevalence
Prevalence = Incidence x Mean duration of
disease.
P = I x D
Example ā€“ if,
I= 10 cases per 1000 per year.
D = 5 years.
P = 10 x 5
50 cases per 1000 population.
ā€¢ 1. Point Prevalence
Prevalence for given point of
time.
ā€¢ 2. Period Prevalence
Prevalence for specified period.
Relation between Incidence &
Prevalence
Factors influencing the
prevalence
TOOLS OF MEASUREMENTS
ā€¢ Numerator and Denominator
ā€¢ Numerator ā€“ Number of events in a population
during specified time.
ā€¢ Denominator -
1. Total population
- Mid-year population
- Population at risk
2. Total events
Tools of Measurements
Basic tools are -
ā€¢ 1. Rate
ā€¢ 2. Ratio
ā€¢ 3. Proportion
ā€¢ Used for expression of disease magnitude.
Rate
ā€¢ A ā€œRateā€ measures the occurrence of some specific
event in a population during given time period.
ā€¢ Example ā€“
Death Rate = total no. of death in 1 year /
Mid-year population x 1000.
ELEMENTS ā€“ Numerator, Denominator, Time &
Multiplier.
Ratio
ā€¢ Ratio measures the relationship of size of two
random quantities.
ā€¢ Numerator is not component of denominator.
ā€¢ Ratio = x / y
ā€¢ Example-
- Sex ā€“ Ratio
- Doctor Population Ratio.
Proportion
ā€¢ Proportion is ratio which indicates the relation in a
magnitude of a part of whole.
ā€¢ The Numerator is always part of Denominator.
ā€¢ Usually expressed in percentage.
SCOPE OF MEASUREMENTS
IN EPIDEMIOLOGY
Measurements in Epidemiology
1. Measurement of mortality.
2. Measurement of morbidity.
3. Measurement of disability.
4. Measurement of natality.
5. Measurement of presence or absence of attributes.
6. Measurement of health care need.
7. Measurement of environmental & other risk
factors.
8. Measurement of demographic variables.
EPIDEMIOLOGIC
RESEARCH METHODS
Epidemiological Studies
1. Observational Studies
ā€¢ Observational studies allow nature to take its
course.
ā€¢ The investigator measures but does not intervene.
2. Experimental Studies
ā€¢ Active involvement to change disease determinants.
ā€¢ such as an exposure or a behavior ā€“ or the progress
of a disease through treatment.
ā€¢ are similar in design to experiments in other
sciences.
Observational Studies
1. Descriptive Study
ā€¢Descriptive Study is often the first step in an
epidemiological investigation.
ā€¢ is limited to a description of the occurrence of a disease in a
population.
ā€¢ Formulation of Hypothesis.
2. Analytical Study
ā€¢ analyze relationships between health status and other
variables.
ā€¢ Testing of Hypothesis.
Types of Epidemiologic Study
Designs
OBSERVATIONAL -
EPIDEMIOLOGY
Descriptive Epidemiologic Studies
ā€¢ A simple description of the health status of a
community.
ā€¢ Based on routinely available data or data obtained in
special surveys.
ā€¢ is often the first step in an epidemiological
investigation.
Procedure in Descriptive Studies
1. Defining population to be studied.
2. Defining disease under study.
3. Describing disease by
- Time
- Place
- Person
4. Measurement of disease.
5. Comparing with known indices.
6. Formulation of etiological hypothesis.
1. Defining population to be studied.
ā€¢ It is a ā€˜Population studyā€™not of an individual.
ā€¢Defining population by total number and
composition (age, sex, occupation etc. )
ā€¢ Defined population- can ā€˜whole populationā€™ or ā€˜a
representative sampleā€™.
ā€¢ It provides ā€˜denominatorā€™ for calculating rates and
frequency.
2. Defining disease under study.
ā€¢ Operational Definition - of disease is essential for
measuring the disease in defined population.
ā€¢ ā€˜Case definitionā€™ should be adhered throughout the
study.
3. Describing disease
4. Measurement of disease.
ā€¢ To obtain the clear picture of ā€˜disease loadā€™ in the
population.
ā€¢ In terms of Mortality, Morbidity and Disability.
ā€¢ Morbidity has two aspects ā€“
- Incidence ā€“ Longitudinal Studies
- Prevalence - Cross-sectional studies.
5. Comparing with known indices.
ā€¢ Basic epidemiological approach ā€“
1. Making comparisons.
2. Asking questions.
ā€¢ Making comparison with known indices in
population.
ā€¢ By making comparisons - clues about
- disease aetiology and
- high risk population.
6. Formulation of etiological
hypothesis.
ā€¢ A hypothesis is supposition arrived at observation or
reflection.
ā€¢ Hypothesis should specify ā€“
1. Population.
2. Specific cause ā€“ risk factors/exposures.
3. Outcome ā€“ disease/disability.
4. Dose-response relationship.
5. Time response relationship.
Hypothesis should be formulated in a manner that it can
be tested with above parameters.
Hypothesis-
ā€œCigarette smoking causes lung cancerā€
ā€¢ Improved-
ā€œSmoking 30-40 Cigarette /day for 20 years of causes
lung cancer in 10% of smokers.ā€
TESTING OF HYPOTHESIS
ā€˜Hypothesisā€™ can be accepted or rejected by using the
techniques of Analytical Epidemiology
Example- Descriptive study
Death rates from heart disease among men aged over 30 years. 1950ā€“2002
Uses of Descriptive Epidemiology
1. Provide data of magnitude of problem- disease
load.
2. Provide clues for etiology.
3. Provide background data for planning, organizing
and evaluating the preventive and curative services.
4. Contributes to research.
References:
1. Park K. Preventive and Social Medicine. 25th
Edition. India: M/s Banarsidas Bhanot Publishers;
2019.
2. Gordis L. Epidemiology. 6th Edition. Canada:
Elsevier Saunders; 2019.
3. Bonita R. Basic Epidemiology. Second edition.
China: WHO ; 2006.
Thank You..

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Basics of Epidemiology and Descriptive epidemiology by Dr. Sonam Aggarwal

  • 2. Contents: ā€¢ History ā€¢ Introduction ā€¢ Definition ā€¢ Aims and objectives of epidemiology ā€¢ Epidemiological approach ā€¢ Measurement in epidemiology ā€¢ Epidemiological studies ā€¢ Descriptive study ā€¢ References
  • 3. History ā€¢ Epidemiology originates from Hippocratesā€™ observation that environmental factors influence the occurrence of disease. ā€¢ Snowā€™s epidemiological studies were one aspect of wide ranging series of investigations that examined related physical, chemical, biological, sociological and political processes.
  • 5. Introduction ā€¢ Epidemiology is the basic science of Preventive and Social Medicine. ā€¢ Epidemiology is scientific discipline of public health to study diseases in the community to acquire knowledge for health care of the society. (prevention, control and treatment).
  • 6. ā€¢ Epidemiological principles and methods are applied in ā€“ - Clinical research, - Disease prevention, - Health promotion, - Health protection and - Health services research. ā€¢ The results of epidemiological studies are also used by other scientists, including health economists, health policy analysts, and health services managers.
  • 7. Definition ā€œThe study of the distribution and determinants of health-related states or events in specified populations, and the application of this study to the prevention and control of health problemsā€ . As defined by John M. Last (1988)
  • 8.
  • 9. Aims & Objectives of Epidemiology 1. To describe the distribution and magnitude of health and disease problems in human population. 2. To identify etiological factors (risk factors) in the pathogenesis of disease. 3. To provide data essential to the planning, implementation and evaluation of services for the prevention, control and treatment of disease and setting priorities among those services. (Acc. to International Epidemiological Association)
  • 10. Ultimate Aim of Epidemiology 1. To eliminate or reduce the health problems of community. 2. To promote the health and well-being of society as a whole.
  • 11. Distribution ā€¢ Distribution of disease occurs in a PATTERN. ā€¢ PATTERN- Time, Place, Person . ā€¢ PATTERN ā€“ Hypothesis for Causative/Risk factor ā€“ Etiological Hypothesis. ā€¢ Descriptive Epidemiology.
  • 12. Determinants ā€¢ Identifying the causes and risk factors for diseases. ā€¢ Testing the Hypothesis ā€“ (Biostatistics) ā€¢ Analytical Epidemiology
  • 13. Epidemiology and public health ā€¢ Public health, refers to collective actions to improve population health. ā€¢ Epidemiology, one of the tools for improving public health, is used in several ways.
  • 14. Applications of epidemiology in public health ā€¢ 1. Preventing disease and promoting health. ā€¢ 2.Community health assessment (Community Diagnosis) and priority setting. ā€¢ 3. Improving diagnosis, treatment and prognosis of clinical diseases. ā€¢ 4. Evaluating health interventions and programmes.
  • 15. Epidemiology & Clinical Medicine ā€¢ 1. In Clinical Medicine the unit of study is a ā€˜caseā€™, but in the Epidemiology the unit of study is ā€˜defined populationā€™or ā€˜population at riskā€™. ā€¢ Physician is concerned with the disease in the individual patient, whereas Epidemiologist is concern with the disease pattern in entire population. ā€¢ So, the Epidemiology is concern with the both Sick & Healthy.
  • 16. ā€¢ 2. In Clinical Medicine, the physician seeks to diagnosis for which he derives prognosis and prescribes specific treatment. ā€¢ The Epidemiologist is confronted with the relevant data derived from the particular epidemiological study. (Community Diagnosis) ā€¢ He seek to identify the source of infection, mode of transmission, and an etiological factor to determine the future trends, prevention and control measure.
  • 17. 3. In Clinical Medicine patient comes to the Doctor. ā€¢ Epidemiologist, goes to the community to find out the disease pattern and suspected causal factors in the question.
  • 18. Epidemiological approach ā€¢ 1. Asking questions. ā€¢ 2. Making Comparisons.
  • 20. These questions can be referred to as: 1. Case definition - (what) 2. Person - (who) 3. Place - (where) 4. Time - (when) 5. Causes - (why)
  • 21. 2.Making Comparisons ā€¢ To find out the differences in the AGENT, HOST and ENVIRONMENT conditions between two groups. ā€¢ Weighs, balances and contrasts give clues to ETIOLOGICAL HYPOTHESIS.
  • 23. Incidence and Prevalence ā€¢ These are fundamentally different ways of measuring disease frequency. ā€¢ The incidence of disease represents the rate of occurrence of new cases arising in a given period in a specified population, while ā€¢ Prevalence is the number of existing cases (old+ new) in a defined population at a given point in time.
  • 24. Incidence ā€¢ ā€œNumber of new cases occurring in defined population during specified period of timeā€ ā€¢ Incidence = Number of new cases during given period / Population at risk x 1000 ā€¢ Cumulative incidence proportion- all individual at risk ā€¢ Incidence density- person time as denominator.
  • 25. Prevalence ā€¢ Prevalence is total no of existing cases ( old + new) in a defined population at a particular point in time or specified period. ā€¢ Prevalence = Total no. of cases at given point of time / Estimated population at time x 100
  • 26. Relation between Incidence & Prevalence Prevalence = Incidence x Mean duration of disease. P = I x D Example ā€“ if, I= 10 cases per 1000 per year. D = 5 years. P = 10 x 5 50 cases per 1000 population.
  • 27. ā€¢ 1. Point Prevalence Prevalence for given point of time. ā€¢ 2. Period Prevalence Prevalence for specified period.
  • 29.
  • 31.
  • 32. TOOLS OF MEASUREMENTS ā€¢ Numerator and Denominator ā€¢ Numerator ā€“ Number of events in a population during specified time. ā€¢ Denominator - 1. Total population - Mid-year population - Population at risk 2. Total events
  • 33. Tools of Measurements Basic tools are - ā€¢ 1. Rate ā€¢ 2. Ratio ā€¢ 3. Proportion ā€¢ Used for expression of disease magnitude.
  • 34. Rate ā€¢ A ā€œRateā€ measures the occurrence of some specific event in a population during given time period. ā€¢ Example ā€“ Death Rate = total no. of death in 1 year / Mid-year population x 1000. ELEMENTS ā€“ Numerator, Denominator, Time & Multiplier.
  • 35. Ratio ā€¢ Ratio measures the relationship of size of two random quantities. ā€¢ Numerator is not component of denominator. ā€¢ Ratio = x / y ā€¢ Example- - Sex ā€“ Ratio - Doctor Population Ratio.
  • 36. Proportion ā€¢ Proportion is ratio which indicates the relation in a magnitude of a part of whole. ā€¢ The Numerator is always part of Denominator. ā€¢ Usually expressed in percentage.
  • 37. SCOPE OF MEASUREMENTS IN EPIDEMIOLOGY
  • 38. Measurements in Epidemiology 1. Measurement of mortality. 2. Measurement of morbidity. 3. Measurement of disability. 4. Measurement of natality. 5. Measurement of presence or absence of attributes. 6. Measurement of health care need. 7. Measurement of environmental & other risk factors. 8. Measurement of demographic variables.
  • 40. Epidemiological Studies 1. Observational Studies ā€¢ Observational studies allow nature to take its course. ā€¢ The investigator measures but does not intervene. 2. Experimental Studies ā€¢ Active involvement to change disease determinants. ā€¢ such as an exposure or a behavior ā€“ or the progress of a disease through treatment. ā€¢ are similar in design to experiments in other sciences.
  • 41. Observational Studies 1. Descriptive Study ā€¢Descriptive Study is often the first step in an epidemiological investigation. ā€¢ is limited to a description of the occurrence of a disease in a population. ā€¢ Formulation of Hypothesis. 2. Analytical Study ā€¢ analyze relationships between health status and other variables. ā€¢ Testing of Hypothesis.
  • 42. Types of Epidemiologic Study Designs
  • 43. OBSERVATIONAL - EPIDEMIOLOGY Descriptive Epidemiologic Studies ā€¢ A simple description of the health status of a community. ā€¢ Based on routinely available data or data obtained in special surveys. ā€¢ is often the first step in an epidemiological investigation.
  • 44. Procedure in Descriptive Studies 1. Defining population to be studied. 2. Defining disease under study. 3. Describing disease by - Time - Place - Person 4. Measurement of disease. 5. Comparing with known indices. 6. Formulation of etiological hypothesis.
  • 45. 1. Defining population to be studied. ā€¢ It is a ā€˜Population studyā€™not of an individual. ā€¢Defining population by total number and composition (age, sex, occupation etc. ) ā€¢ Defined population- can ā€˜whole populationā€™ or ā€˜a representative sampleā€™. ā€¢ It provides ā€˜denominatorā€™ for calculating rates and frequency.
  • 46. 2. Defining disease under study. ā€¢ Operational Definition - of disease is essential for measuring the disease in defined population. ā€¢ ā€˜Case definitionā€™ should be adhered throughout the study.
  • 48. 4. Measurement of disease. ā€¢ To obtain the clear picture of ā€˜disease loadā€™ in the population. ā€¢ In terms of Mortality, Morbidity and Disability. ā€¢ Morbidity has two aspects ā€“ - Incidence ā€“ Longitudinal Studies - Prevalence - Cross-sectional studies.
  • 49. 5. Comparing with known indices. ā€¢ Basic epidemiological approach ā€“ 1. Making comparisons. 2. Asking questions. ā€¢ Making comparison with known indices in population. ā€¢ By making comparisons - clues about - disease aetiology and - high risk population.
  • 50. 6. Formulation of etiological hypothesis. ā€¢ A hypothesis is supposition arrived at observation or reflection. ā€¢ Hypothesis should specify ā€“ 1. Population. 2. Specific cause ā€“ risk factors/exposures. 3. Outcome ā€“ disease/disability. 4. Dose-response relationship. 5. Time response relationship. Hypothesis should be formulated in a manner that it can be tested with above parameters.
  • 51. Hypothesis- ā€œCigarette smoking causes lung cancerā€ ā€¢ Improved- ā€œSmoking 30-40 Cigarette /day for 20 years of causes lung cancer in 10% of smokers.ā€ TESTING OF HYPOTHESIS ā€˜Hypothesisā€™ can be accepted or rejected by using the techniques of Analytical Epidemiology
  • 52. Example- Descriptive study Death rates from heart disease among men aged over 30 years. 1950ā€“2002
  • 53. Uses of Descriptive Epidemiology 1. Provide data of magnitude of problem- disease load. 2. Provide clues for etiology. 3. Provide background data for planning, organizing and evaluating the preventive and curative services. 4. Contributes to research.
  • 54. References: 1. Park K. Preventive and Social Medicine. 25th Edition. India: M/s Banarsidas Bhanot Publishers; 2019. 2. Gordis L. Epidemiology. 6th Edition. Canada: Elsevier Saunders; 2019. 3. Bonita R. Basic Epidemiology. Second edition. China: WHO ; 2006.