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201201 LOMA Resource: Forecast 2012 - A Closer Look
201201 LOMA Resource: Forecast 2012 - A Closer Look
201201 LOMA Resource: Forecast 2012 - A Closer Look
201201 LOMA Resource: Forecast 2012 - A Closer Look
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201201 LOMA Resource: Forecast 2012 - A Closer Look
201201 LOMA Resource: Forecast 2012 - A Closer Look
201201 LOMA Resource: Forecast 2012 - A Closer Look
201201 LOMA Resource: Forecast 2012 - A Closer Look
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201101 LOMA Resource: Industry Forecast for 2011201101 LOMA Resource: Industry Forecast for 2011
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201201 LOMA Resource: Forecast 2012 - A Closer Look

  1. ResourceFor Insurance & Financial Services Management® April 2011 Copy Goes Here ResourceFor Insurance & Financial Services Management® January 2012 NY Life Unit Using LOMA Courses Cybersecurity Council FC_Jan_2012.indd 1FC_Jan_2012.indd 1 12/19/2011 12:53:17 PM12/19/2011 12:53:17 PM
  2. Now that you’ve gotten the big picture from the C-suite, it’s time to delve into the particulars. Here, a seasoned industry consultant does just that. By Steve M. Callahan, CMC® , ChFC, CLU, FFSI, FLHC, FLMI Senior Consultant and Practice Development Director Robert E. Nolan Company cover focus 18 January 2012 RESOURCE 018-025_Forecast_A_Closer_Look.indd 18018-025_Forecast_A_Closer_Look.indd 18 12/19/2011 12:18:16 PM12/19/2011 12:18:16 PM
  3. www.loma.org 19 he life and annuity industry relies upon economic conditions to define growth and performance outlooks, withparticularemphasisonunemploymentrates,which tend to define the buying population, and interest rates, which intertwine to define product competitiveness and company earnings. Projections for 2012, therefore, must take into account the expected economic environment. Specifically, Recent White House estimates average unemployment at nine percent, dropping to 8.5 percent in 2013 and not reaching a normal range of five percent until 2018 Overall economic growth is expected to rise to a projected 2.6 percent (from an estimated 1.7 percent in 2011) The Federal Reserve’s “Maturity Extension Program and Reinvestment Policy” announced in September 2011 intends to rely upon the poor economic conditions to keep Fed Funds rates at zero percent until 2013, translating to lower short-term rates as well These conditions all lead to lower consumer confidence, greater sensitivity to volatility, and a demand for stronger guarantees, all in an environment where insurers face rate compressions, reserve demands, low earnings, and increased competition. What is the result? Given individual life insurance and annuity pre- miums tend to track disposable personal income (DPI) over time, projected to run at approximately 2.6 percent in 2012, industry growth expecta- tions for 2012 are likely to run in that range. Despite the increase in DPI, consumer confidence is likely to remain low, generating resistancetogrowth.Furthercomplicationswillresultfromchanges intheallocationofdiscretionaryspendingtohealthinsuranceand retirement income products, with the health insurance impact lagging the retirement income intensity by a few years. Lastly, the downward pressure on interest rates will cre- ate an assortment of challenges for insurers as the duration increases. With 10-year treasury yields dropping from four per- cent to slightly over two percent, the pressure has intensified. In response, insurers have attempted to adjust to lower interest rates, dropping from five percent to three percent in 2010, with continued drops likely as older products roll over into newer lines. Even with these changes, current portfolio yields have not been fully impacted. The size of existing portfolios combined with one-time actions adjusting credit spreads and booking mortgage fees have diluted the impact of the low rates. These low interest rates, expected to continue into 2013, will continue to dete- riorate portfolio yields, accelerating spread compression. As a result, reserves, specifically on new business, will continue to increase based on the use of enhanced adequacy analysis and cash flow testing. On the life side, many products are already at their guarantee level, which generates problems since the com- pany’s earnings rate may be below the guaranteed rate, driving decisions towards potentially more risky investments in the over- all portfolio. Constrained by these variables with little room to maneuver, earnings are likely to remain low throughout 2012. Regardless of demographic and economic changes, life insurance remains a critical need, as over 58 million households indicated they do not have enough life insurance according to a recent LIMRA study. Demographically, the age 60 and over market continues to be the only segment with sustained and material increases in life insurance apps, while the age 0 to 44 market continues an extended trend of declining apps, all while the 45 to 59 market hovers barely above the growth line. These dynamics lend themselves to further defining the products that will prove most appealing in the near term. In this context, whole life continues to provide stability and a consistent performance, and remains unlikely to be negatively affected by economic conditions. Over the past 10 years, whole life has been the only product to produce positive premium growth for all but two of those years, and is the only product to have produced positive growth all of the last six years. Even more notable is the slight increasefromapolicycountperspective,whichhasonlyoccurred twice since 1990. Conversely, term has continued to experience a decrease in premium and policy count, although there is a clear shift to and growth in term universal life (UL) products. This shift is consistent with the continued growth in popularity of UL products, expected to represent over 40 percent of the life insurance market by 2013. Challenges have arisen with the secondary guarantees combined with many UL products, of most significance being the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) review of reserve adequacy for these guarantees, but companies have already started adjusting in advance of any findings or problems by lowering the guarantees, increasing the degree of hedging, and increasing the cost of insurance where appropriate—a fine balance with the need for minimal impact on persistency and retaining competitiveness. Similarly, lifetime guaran- teed UL, although a higher reserves risk product, con- tinues to show growth for the companies that kept the product, even when 40 percent of their competitors dropped it. Given consumer demands, versions of UL STEVE CALLAHAN www.loma.org 19 a decrease in premium and policy count, although there is a clear shift to and growth in term universal life ((UL)) prp oducts. This shift is consistent witithh ththe continued growth in populariity of UL products, exexppected to represent over 40 percent of the life insurance maarkrket by 2013. Challennges have arisen with the secondary guarantees combinedd with many UL products, of most significance being the Natitional Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) revieww of reserve adequacy for thhese guarantees, but comppanies have already startted adjusting in advance of anny findings or problems by llowering the guarantees, incrreasing the degree of heddging, and increasing the cost of insurance where apppropriate—a fine balance witth the need for minimal imppact on persistency and retaaining competitiveness. Simmilarly, lifetime guaran- teedd UL, although a higher reseerves risk product, con- tinuese to show growth for the companies that kept the prproduct, even when 40 percennt of their competitors droppeed it. Given consumer demandds, versions of UL Regardless of demographic and economic changes, life insurance remains a critical need. 018-025_Forecast_A_Closer_Look.indd 19018-025_Forecast_A_Closer_Look.indd 19 12/19/2011 12:18:39 PM12/19/2011 12:18:39 PM
  4. 20 January 2012 RESOURCE that include guarantees will continue to dominate new life insurance sales in 2012. An increasingly popular and innovative option is indexed UL, which provides a good upside but does not link directly to interest rates. This line has shown tremen- dousgrowth—representingover25percent of UL sales in 2011—and is expected to continue to grow. Combining indexed UL with secondary guarantees represents an even more appealing product, although that combination runs the risk of the NAIC task force on reserves. As a product, though, indexed UL is seen as a key source of competitive growth as long as interest rates remain low. While variable universal life (VUL) has also shown periods of growth as a percentage of a lower base, market volatility and consumer con- fidence continue to create swings in popu- larity; in fact, much of the VUL sales in 2011 came from corporate- owned life insurance (COLI) products. At a macro level, it is worth noting that annuities have rep- resented the greater source of premium as well as profits for decades, with life insurance falling from a high of nearly 29 percent in 1996 to a low of 17.5 percent in 2010. Taking that a step further,basedonarecentLIMRAresearch study, over 29 million Americans control- ling over US$ 880 billion in retirement assets will retire over the next five years, creating a tremendous market demand for income generating vehicles like annui- ties. Carrying over from prior years and a continued popularity, variable annuities (VAs) with high interest rates are suffering. Innovative approaches to address the dis- intermediation include an auto-balancing feature that moves the money from equity to fixed income based investments on market declines and then shifts them back as markets start to improve. Alter- natively, VAs can have an inherent hedge built into them by structuring the funds to be more in line with a balanced funds approach that reduces equity exposures to risk and volatility. Both approaches are being taken on new annuity offerings to balance the need for competitive returns with company risk mitigation. The final adjustmentbeingtakenisa gradual decrease in rates paid that will impact mar- ket share, persistency, and profit as well. Increases in retir- ing populations have driven up the demand singlepremiumimmediate annuities (SPIAs) as con- version to income has taken precedence over asset accumulation. This trend is likely to continue throughout 2012 as the search for a guaranteed, oratleastlow-risk,income stream is pursued by those holding material amounts of accumulated assets. Not surprisingly, similar to the life mar- kets, indexed annuities have proven a source of significant growth, having captured over 45 percent of the fixed annuity market in 2011, with estimates of having a record year in 2012. Note that this refers to the fixed indexed annuity. Registered indexed annuities, those sold by broker-dealers, have almost disappeared in terms of mate- rial sales. The challenge, as pointed out by ING, an early leader in this market, is that the minimum guaranteed interest rate required was too high for the current interest rate environment. For the most part, the registered indexed annuity will likely be shelved until such a time as interest rates return to a higher level. VA sales returned better than the market in 2011 on average and as a result benefited from their 6th consecutive quarter of positive growth, with the last threequartersallinthedoubledigits.When available, the guaranteed life benefits are selected nearly 90 percent of the time, rein- forcing the growing demand for security as well as the pricing complexity that comes with providing it. As expected in a low interest rate environment, fixed annuities continue to decline as they continue to prove unable to meet consumer needs and expectations. There was sales growth in 2011, but with ING pulling out of the market, and excluding the debate over the status of the registered annuity Infla- tion Guard by John Hancock, registered indexed annuities are unlikely to be players in 2012. Structural Change Takingmergersandacquisitionsfirst,despite asurfaceappealfortheopportunity,thereis limited immediate interest within the U.S. One major player, Allianz, views prices as toohighrelativetotheunderlyingvalueand does not see the market opening up until at leastaftertheriskcapitalrulesareresolved. Forothers,acombinationoflowreturns,low interest rates and excess capital combine to drivedownthepotentialreturnonexpense (ROE). Yet it may be an issue of timing or location, as another study indicates close to two-thirds of surveyed executives expect to be involved in a merger or acquisition over the next two years, backed by a good deal of cash on the balance sheets. Still, from anhistoricalperspective,thesuccessrateof mergershasbeenrelativelylow,withgreater value attributed to stock buybacks, retiring debt, and organic growth. True structural change will come from acceleration in globalization, which brings financial, political, economic, and cultural challenges requiring careful due diligence and collaborative management. Despite relatively slow cross-border activity lately, itisexpectedthatthepacewillpickuponan internationalbasis.Astherateofglobaliza- tionaccelerates,therewillbeanincreasein interest rates. This line has shown tremen- dousgrowth—representingover25percent of UL sales in 2011—and is expected to continue to grow. Combininingg ininddexed UL with secondary guaararantees represents an even more appepeaaling product, although that combinaattion runs the risk of the NAIC taskk force on reserves. AAs a product, though, iindexed UL is seen ass a key source of comppeetitive growth as long as interest rates remmain low. While varriable universal life (VVUUL) has also shown peeriods of growth as a peercentage of a lower base, market volatility aand consumer con- fiidence continue to crreate swings in popu- laarity; in fact, much of thhe VUL sales in 2011 caame from corporate- owwned life insurance (COOLI) products. AAt a macro level, it is wworth noting that annuitities have rep- resenteded the greater source off prp emium as well as profits for decades, withh life insurance falling from a built into them by structuring the to be more in line with a balanced apapprproaoachc that reduces equity exp to risk and volati ility. BoBothth approach being taken on new annuity oofferi balance the need for competitivee r with company risk mitigation. Th adjustmentbeingtak gradual decrease in paid that will impac ket share, persistenc profit as well. Increases in ing populations driven up the de singlepremiumimm annuities (SPIAs) a version to incom taken precedence asset accumulation trend is likely to co throughout 2012 a search for a guara oratleastlow-risk,in stream is pursue those holding ma amounts of accum assets. Not surpri similar to the life kets, indexed ann have proven a sou significant growth, having capturee 45 percent of the fixed annuityy mma Another structural change in 2012 will be a gradual shift in distribution methods and channels. 018-025_Forecast_A_Closer_Look.indd 20018-025_Forecast_A_Closer_Look.indd 20 12/19/2011 12:19:07 PM12/19/2011 12:19:07 PM
  5. www.loma.org 21 international mergers and acquisitions, in particular U.S. firms acquiring a presence in emerging or developing markets. Deals will involve swaps and divestitures with European firms to balance out books of business, and there will be active pursuit of investments in the Asian insurance industry in recognition of the opportunity it represents. Another structural change in 2012 will be a more gradual shift in distribution methods and channels to new platforms andapproaches.Theinevitableintegration ofsocialnetworkingsiteslikeFacebookand LinkedIn with advanced communications toolslikeTwitterandYouTube,crossinginto the realm of GPS and mobile platforms, togetherputthepowerofmassmediainthe hands of the individual. This is, as many have discovered, a double-edged sword in terms of the empowerment of consum- ers to comment back and communicate dissatisfaction equally as broadly, raising the bar on the sales dialogue and trusted advisorrelationship.Italsoimposesuponor enables, depending upon your perspective, more proactively engaging specific seg- ments with individualized messages, more relevant information, and a personal brand presence. This change comes with new requirements for compliance, many unclearly defined, making it a competitive frontier at this point. Still, the structure of distribution will alter even though the necessity of an agent or advisor will remain a key component of sales and service. The internal equivalent of the struc- tural change in distribution will involve the recruiting, training, motivating, and incenting required to appeal to potential Gen Y producers. Research conducted by Maddock Douglas identified Gen Y entrepreneurs as having a different set of values and motivators than the traditional agent. This key source of talent is middle aged, parents, nearly equal in gender split, wanting to run their own business, and coming from a background more of financial planning and investments than life insurance. Impatience and autonomy combine with the need to be involved in profitability analysis, expanded business and services, working against a growth plan, and succession planning while achieving a work-life balance. Other structural changes are more mundane in that they have occurred through the years: organizational shifts to address new regulatory demands, realign- ment to customer bases, integration of ana- lytics at an enterprise level, and a constant flux of technologically driven alterations will persist through 2012. New Technologies Buzzwords abound, and new technologies are proliferating daily as extensions and offshoots of existing ones incorporate new features or enhance functionality. The challenge with answering this question is the word “new”, as many if not all of the technologies that would benefit our industry have been around in some form— perhaps less elegant than today, but still around. So let’s define new as recent, and help as generate profitable growth, reduce expenses, or enhance service. Tablet computing in conjunction with custom developed apps that link to agency and home office systems put tremendous horsepower in the hands of the sales agent. Incorporate predefined sales tracks, quoting systems, training vid- eos, scenario responses, expense tracking, and even videoconferencing and suddenly the man- agement of a field force and the availability of information and tools are amplified tremen- dously. Transitioning to electronic apps with signature pad (versus digital signature) apps, click to apply, jet review table based apps, and access to a variety of quoting engines as well asallthenecessaryforms gives the average agent a distinct advantage over a less equipped competitor. An old technology—but one yet to be well implemented by many companies—is a holistic customer relationship manage- ment (CRM) system that crosses product silos, integrates letters, voice and email, and provides a profitability view of a client based on all coverage purchased along with family members and durations, includingbreaksincoverage.Thiswouldbe versus the more common single instances in legacy systems. In order to effectively deliver service as a competitively differ- entiating advantage, a single view of the customer is critical to fully understanding their relationship with the company and the various interactions they may have had with an auto claim, a health claim, a policy loan,anemailchangingonebeneficiary,as well as supplemental information incorpo- rating location data and demographics to better inform the customer service agent. Attempts to do this with legacy systems have proven less than ideal, as have attempts to integrate coverage information into phone or email based management systems. Whatever the solution, this is truly a critical need for advancing the quality of service differentiation. Cloud computing can have an immediate impact in the context of sales force management and extended CRM to the field, particularly given the availability of access via tablets and iPads. While there remain security concerns about core applications and potential exposures, thereexistsagreatoppor- tunity to leverage cloud computing’s ability to provide all the function- ality of CRM, field man- agement, lead tracking, sales reporting, and even simplified data entry (like enrollments) along www.lw.loma.o sing sted nor tive, seg- more onal with many itive ture the main ruc- olve and ntial cted n Y et of onal ddle plit, and e of han omy d in industry have been around in some form perhaps less elegant than today, but still around. So let’s define new as rececenentt, aandnd help as generatee pprorofifitable growth, reduce expenses, oror enhance service. Tablblet computing in conjunction with customom developed apps that link to agency andd home office systems put tremendous hoorsepower in the hands of the sales agent. InIncorporate predefined ssales tracks, quoting systems, training vid- eos, scenario responses, expense tracking, and even videoconferencing and suddenly the man- agement of a field force and the availability of information and tools are amplified tremen- dously. Transitioning to electronic apps with signature pad (versus digital signature) apps, click to apply, jet review table based apps, and access to a variety of quoting engines as well asallthenecessaryforms ggives the average agent g g p better inform the customer service AtA tempts to do this with legacy s have provenn lelessss than ideal, a attempts to integrate cooveverage infor into phone or email basedd manag systems. Whatever the solution, tht is a critical need for advancing thhee of service differentiation. Cloud comp can have an imm impact in the con sales force manag and extended CR the field, partic given the avail of access via t and iPads. While remain security co about core appli and potential exp thereexistsagreat tunity to leverage computing’s abi provide all the fu ality of CRM, fiel agement, lead tr sales reporting, an simplified data (like enrollments)s) Predictive modeling has been around a while, but is gaining ground slowly in the life and annuity industry. 018-025_Forecast_A_Closer_Look.indd 21018-025_Forecast_A_Closer_Look.indd 21 12/19/2011 12:19:51 PM12/19/2011 12:19:51 PM
  6. 22 January 2012 RESOURCE with instant messaging to the home office or other agents, cloud based storage for device independence, and installation of select software as a service (SaaS) solutions within the cloud that benefit from variable use pricing, nonstandard hardware plat- forms, and geographic dispersion. Predictive modeling as a category of solutions has been around awhile, but is gaining ground slowly in the life and annuity industry. Submission patterns, profitability analysis, agent projects, and the simpler applications are becoming more common. A more advanced use would be generalized linear modeling (GLM) for underwriting purposes, result- ing in a less expensive, more accurate, and more granular risk decision. It could also beusedtodevelopmoregranularratesthat can drive higher competitiveness by target market segments as well as assist in the set- ting of economic reserves and capital. Social media, and in particular the leveraging of YouTube, Facebook, Linke- dIn, and Twitter to create a collaborative set of forums for communicating with or messaging to customers, creating corpo- rate personalities that build brand identity (like Flo), obtaining in effect free focus group and customer feedback, extending special offers and information immedi- ately upon availability versus relying upon campaigns or emails, providing agent branded presences in their local markets that enhance their reputation and ability to sell and serve, and a variety of other already accomplished as well as some not yet accomplished community based activi- ties that personalize the insurance owner- ship experience in a positive way. There is alsotheopportunitytoharvestinformation about individuals to assist in better timing communications and offerings to events as well as to connect to those with shared interests or possible leads. Virtual learning centers developed using avatars and virtual classrooms by subject matter as well as a “break room” for cross-class collaborations. Properly developed, the classes can provide con- tinuing education (CE), and can integrate a simulated personal experience that includesblackboards,videos,tests,surveys, and even videoconferencing as part of the training process. The virtual classroom does not have to focus on employees or agents; it can even offer customers training on safety, like teen drivers, or related topics as an added value service. Other older tech- nologies are still worth mentioning just to keep top of mind for those that have not had the opportunity to imple- ment and benefit from them. Customer and Agent Portals that allow fortheexchangeofinfor- mation, prospectus, let- ters, statements, email, chat, and forms are still not as prevalent as they should be in terms of full functionality. Com- panies can save a great dealundertheauspicesof “goinggreen”withthese portals while improving service, saving time, and saving money. The other dated technology that I still see many companies lacking is call center management and scheduling software that allows the integration of a blending of call and transactional services sothateventdrivenspikes(calls)canbeload- balanced with time-driven work (written transactions). Centers that have integrated scheduling software have been able to benefit from material improvements in response times as well as staff savings and service improvements. Service Differentiation Given low interest rates, principle based reserverequirements,regulatoryoversight, common mortality tables, and several decades of product innovation, one could arguethatweareatthepointapproachinga nearlycommoditizedproductsetthatstands on the legs of brand distinction and service differentiation. What about product? In general, the minor differences tend to blur together as the purchaser focuses on his needs, his research, his family and friends, and his agent or advisor. Yes, there are differences,butgenerallyspeakingthesimi- larities far outweigh the differences to the point that other factors carry more weight. Simply put, companies focusing on product dif- ferentiation as their pri- marystrategywillrapidly findthemselveslaggingin sales and market share. Brand distinction is measuredbyrecognition, industry ratings, word of mouth, advertising investment, reputation, and perceived perfor- mance. Brand certainly playsaroleincreatingan advantage;however,even the less known regional may come out ahead if its ratings, stability, or even reputation are the same or better. With the world at his fingertips, today’s purchaser is able to quickly find out an extensiveamountofinformationaboutany company—andwilltendtorelyonthatmore than advertisements or flyers. For effective service differentiation, two equally important customers must be considered—the agent and the purchaser. Agent relationships brings the business to thedoor,andrepresentsanentirelyseparate dimension of service as a differentiator— companies must recognize that the service they provide their distributors on often the most seemingly trivial of requests can quickly translate into losing business to a competitor. Yet it is surprising the number of companies that miss this point as they engage in customer experience projects or voice of the customer efforts, bypassing distributors and focusing on purchasers. In aworldofservicedifferentiation,bothmust be considered. Continued on page 24 ffice for n of ions able plat- y of but and rns, and ming use ling sult- and also that rget set- the nke- tive h or po- ntity ocus ding edi- pon gent kets ility a simulated personal experience that includesblackboards,videosos,,teteststss,ssurveys, and even videococonfnferencing as part of the training pprorocess. The virtual classroom does notot have to focus on employees or agentsts; it can even offer customers training on ssaafety, like teen drivers, or related topics as an added value service. Other older tech- nnologies are still worth mentioning just to keep top of mind for those that have not had the opportunity to imple- ment and benefit from them. Customer and Agent Portals that allow fortheexchangeofinfor- mation, prospectus, let- ters, statements, email, chat, and forms are still not as prevalent as they should be in terms of full functionality. Com- panies can save a great dealundertheauspicesof “goinggreen”withthese pop rtals while improving sservice, saving time, annd saving money. The othher dated technology thatt I still see many companies lacking is call ccene ter management and scheduling softwaree that allows the integration of a blending off cacall and transactional services differentiation. What about product generarall, tthehe minor differences tend to together as the puurcrchah ser focuses on needs, his research, his ffamamily and frie and his agent or advisor. YeYes, there differences,butgenerallyspeakiningthes larities far outweigh the differenceces to point that other factors carry more wew Simply put, comppa focusing on producct ferentiation as their marystrategywillrap findthemselveslaggin sales and market sha Brand distinctio measuredbyrecogni industry ratings, w of mouth, adverti investment, reputat and perceived per mance. Brand certa playsaroleincreatin advantage;however,e the less known regi may come out ahea its ratings, stability even reputation are same or better. With world at his finger today’s purchaser is to quickly find out extensiveamountofinformationabouout company—andwilltendtorelyonthahatm than advertisements or flyers. For effective service didiffferentiat For effective service differentiation, two equally important customers must be considered – the agent and the purchaser. 018-025_Forecast_A_Closer_Look.indd 22018-025_Forecast_A_Closer_Look.indd 22 12/19/2011 12:20:12 PM12/19/2011 12:20:12 PM
  7. 24 January 2012 RESOURCE Service is a critical source of dif- ferentiation based on two key factors: it is hard to do, and it is hard to replicate. If a company can achieve delivering first-rate, low-cost customer service, com- petitors will be hard pressed to replicate it without a lot of time, hard work, and false starts. Why? The quality of service deliv- ered originates with a company’s culture andpermeateseverypersondeliveringcus- tomerservice.Itisbasedonhumanbeings understandingtheneedsofeachcustomer micro-segment, whether generational or ethnic or situational or otherwise defined, and knowing how to individualize the service given that micro-segment. And once you make your competitive differ- encebaseduponyouremployees,youhave moveditoutsidetherealmoftechnological or mechanical solutions. That is not meant to downplay the important role technology plays in deliv- ering quality service. There remains the need for responding in the manner best suited to that specific customer whether by a personal telephone call as preferred by earlier generations or online changes withchatforthetech-savvy,andanywhere in between. And, in the language spoken or read by your customer, and without breaching a cultural standard. How is this achieved? First and fore- most, the most significant investment companies can make is in their people, developing their ability to fully under- stand and engage customers as unique individuals, empowering them to solve problems without escalation, enabling them to address customer requests on a once-and-donebasis,andrewardingthem with recognition, training, flexibility, and a rich work environment. A pleasant and informed, competent voice may not be as efficient as a recorded message, but it will likely leave the customer with a good feeling about the company. Next, working with the staff, segment the customers as finely as possible, deter- mine differing service preferences, and then develop the common solution set of call centers, Web services, interactive voiceresponse(IVR)systems,mobileapps, and agent support tools made available in a manner that addresses customers’ needs when, how, and where they prefer. All while focusing on relevance, conve- nience, simplicity, speed, accuracy, and follow-through. Ultimate Key In his opening address at the recent LIMRA Annual Meeting, Bob Kerzner, president and CEO of LL Global, dis- cussed the true systemic challenge facing the industry, which is hidden amid all the critically relevant and immediate economic, regulatory, and competi- tive distractions. The vision: Achieving growth by leveraging technology to innovatively change the way insurance is communicated, sold, and serviced. The barrier: The chaos of challenges currently churningthroughtheindustrydemanding immediate resolution and taking up all of management’sbandwidth.Thetechnology is available, the need is clearly researched, there is a tremendous diversity of markets tobeserved,andtheindustryhassurvived thegreatrecessionandisstillhealthy.The problem:Whatislackingisthewherewithal to define, focus, innovate, and deliver the solutions. Considering how fast 2011 has come and nearly gone, it is likely that 2012 will pass just as quickly. And at the end, how much innovation will have been accom- plished given all the intellectual capital and management bandwidth? It will have more than likely all been expended on immediate needs including: Minimizingtheimpactoftheeconomy, political issues, financial performance, and regulatory shifts on the ability to profitablydeliverreliableproductsthat consistently meet consumer needs Sustaining current products in a man- nerthatisnotdetrimentaltoconsumers concurrent with the introduction of new products that do not trade off long-term security and risk mitiga- tion for sales appeal and short term performance Meeting new reserving and capital requirements along with enhanced reporting while operating in one of the most challenging economic environ- ments in decades Pricingtoallowforincreasinglifespans thatfarexceedthoseinitiallyintendedto becoveredbylifeinsuranceorannuities, balancing consumer protections with adequate high-probability margins Addressingtheneedsofanincreasingly diversified market that crosses genera- tions and cultures, bringing expecta- tions of more personalized products and services Developing a strong talent pool that blends new entrants into the industry with experienced veterans while lever- aging strengths, balancing differing values, and building collaboration Rebuilding a declining distribution resulting in fewer apps of higher face values getting written, driven by the dramatic reduction in agents from 145,000 National Association of Insur- ance Agents and Advisors in the 1980s to under 50,000 today Competing effectively in a dynamic, tough, and highly competitive market offering consumers more alternatives, distractions, complexities, and chal- lenges to the industry’s credibility Protectingthebrandfromanonslaught of new sources of technologically enabledtarnishingandincreasingrisks of unintentional non-compliance Nowonderinnovationistheindustry’s greatest challenge. After addressing the above, little is left for shaping and deliver- ing strategically innovative solutions. Yet innovation remains the ultimate key, It will only be through innovation that a cost-effective and profitable solu- tion will be found to change the fact that “58 million U.S. households believe they do not have enough life insurance” and to provide risk-appropriate solutions to the “29 million Americans controlling US$ 881 billion of retirement assets,” according to LIMRA. 018-025_Forecast_A_Closer_Look.indd 24018-025_Forecast_A_Closer_Look.indd 24 12/19/2011 12:21:27 PM12/19/2011 12:21:27 PM
  8. www.loma.org 25 Make Documents Work for You in 2012 View from Hyland The name of the game in 2012 is operational efficiency. Among life insurers, reducing the costs of everyday business processes continues to play a part in keeping up profitability. Many insurance companies have legacy imaging systems that no longer meet their needs. Document-based processes still take too long and require too much manual intervention. Newbusinessapplicationprocessingiskeytogettingmoneyin the door faster. As branch offices send in applications and checks, many life insurers are still manually matching balance sheets, policies and check amounts. While an imaging system captures andstoresthisinformation,anenterprisecontent management(ECM)solutiongoesbeyondthatto automate many of the tasks that follow: assign- ing each document the correct policy number, matching up the information, and sending it on tothenextstepwithoutanymanualintervention. Only the exceptions require quick review and troubleshooting by staff, so instead of looking at hundreds of policies, they only have to look at a few. New applications process more quickly, money comes in faster, and customer service improves. As companies evolve, they require solutions that do the same, offering them more scalability, more flexibility and more customization. ECM offers life insurers much more than simple scan- ning and indexing. Make ECM part of your strategy to meet the demands you’ll face in 2012 and beyond. To learn more, visit Hyland.com/Insurance. Use of New Technology Expected View from MajescoMastek MajescoMastek expects life, health and annuity carriers to con- tinue to create new methods of evaluating modern technology and even explore different modes for the utilization of those offer- ings. Carriers have realized that modern web based applications can be delivered via ASP and “private cloud” modes and have started to think outside the box when it comes to mission critical applications like new product development and policy adminis- tration. Various business models are now being explored where carriers can “greenhouse” new insurance or annuity products by placing their model office in a “private cloud” environment. This minimizes the investment costs while giving the carrier the opportunity of exploring, learning and testing a new platform. “If the summer of 2011 is any indication of next year, the industry is in for an exciting year” says Erik Stockwell, Senior Vice President of MajescoMastek. “Our life and annuity sales team here in North America experienced an extremely high level of activity coming from the carrier community in all forms of creative RFIs, RFPs, demonstrations and even proof of concept exercises. The dialogues are centered around core policy admin- istration replacements to drive down costs on all fronts.” For more information, visit www.majescomastek.com. Interest Rate Challenges Seen Study from Conning Analysis of life insurers’ assets and investments in 2010 reveals an industry in recovery from the credit crisis but facing a new and longer-term set of challenges from the lowest interest rates seen since the 1950’s, according to a new study by Conning Research & Consulting. “Our analysis of life insurers’ invest- ment profile through 2010 and into 2011 indicates that their appropriate response to the credit crisis — increasing cash and sovereign debt holdings — now exposes insurers to other risks, especially in light of our current expectations about a long-term low interest rate environment,” said Mary Pat Campbell, analyst at Conning Research & Consulting. “The Federal Reserve’s August decision in favor of long-term low inter- est rates creates a real strategic problem for life insurers. In addition to the obvious issue of low returns on an asset portfolio composed primar- ily of fixed income securities, the low interest rate environment may cause other problems with regulatory requirements and hedging programs. Approaches to dealing with this challenge will require greater sophistication than ever before.” The Conning Research study, Life Insurance Industry Invest- ments: Investigating Interest Rate and Sovereign Risk analyzes life industry investments for the period 2006-2010 for the indus- try as a whole and for four underwriting market peer groups. Further, the study also provides detail regarding the industry’s position at the start of 2011 and analyzes how the prolonged low interest rate environment and other challenges may influence insurers’ strategic investment decisions in the future. “Looking at the industry through 2011 and beyond, the Fed’s commitment to a long, low-rate environment is compounded by the downgrade of U.S. sovereign debt,” said Stephan Christiansen, director of research at Conning. “Insurers must attend to their risk profiles and consider their options. Looking forward, with emerging dynamic capital and risk analysis requirements, our modeling shows that lower interest rates may have particularly perni- cious effects on capital charges relating to some asset classes in support of particular annuity products. Thereport isavailableforpurchasefromConningResearch & Consulting by calling (888) 707-1177 or by visiting the com- pany’s website at www.conningresearch.com Other Forecast Views 018-025_Forecast_A_Closer_Look.indd 25018-025_Forecast_A_Closer_Look.indd 25 12/19/2011 12:21:53 PM12/19/2011 12:21:53 PM
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