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© Swedbank
Swedbank’s first quarter 2014 results
Michael Wolf, CEO
Göran Bronner, CFO
Anders Karlsson, CRO
© Swedbank
Stronger market position in southern Sweden
• Acquisition of 100 per cent of Sparbanken
Öresund
• Creation of Sweden’s largest savings
bank Sparbanken Skåne
– Swedbank will own 22 per cent of
Sparbanken Skåne
• Significant financial upside for Swedbank
– Cost and capital synergies
• Awaiting approval from the Swedish FSA
2
Market position
Swedbank: 27
Sparbanken Öresund: 16
Number of branches:
Sparbanken Skåne: 45
Stable results
• Lower deposit margins
– Stibor
– Number of days effect
• Stable mortgage margins
• Good economic activity
supports fee income
• Solid asset quality
3
Swedish Banking
SEKm Q1 14 Q4 13 Q1 13 ▲ Q/Q ▲ Y/Y
Net interest income 3 314 3 448 3 331 - 134 -17
Net commissions 1 649 1 649 1 589 0 60
Total income 5 422 5 536 5 378 -114 44
Total expenses 2 443 2 526 2 399 -83 44
Profit before
impairments
2 979 3 010 2 979 -23 0
Credit impairments 31 140 55 -109 -24
ROE, % 28.3 27.7 28.1
C/I ratio 0.45 0.46 0.45
Strong Return on Equity
• Strong client activity within
Debt Capital Markets and
Corporate finance
• Positive deposit volume trend
• Solid asset quality
• Planned cost increases
4
Large Corporates & Institutions
SEKm Q1 14 Q4 13 Q1 13 ▲ Q/Q ▲ Y/Y
Net interest income 867 889 783 -22 84
Net commissions 630 558 420 72 210
Net gains and losses 565 491 579 74 -14
Total income 2 099 1 986 1 813 113 286
Total expenses 834 881 733 -47 101
Profit before
impairments
1 265 1 105 1 080 160 185
Credit impairments -30 5 74 -35 -104
ROE, % 26.9 20.1 16.8
C/I ratio 0.40 0.44 0.40
Solid performance
• Continued re-pricing
• Good underlying customer
activity
• Latvian EUR-entry
– Decreased risk
– Negative income impact
• Continued net recoveries
• Uncertain growth prospect due
to geopolitical situation in
Russia and Ukraine
5
Baltic Banking
SEKm Q1 14 Q4 13 Q1 13 ▲ Q/Q ▲ Y/Y
Net interest income 874 844 742 30 132
Net commissions 429 454 388 -25 41
Total income 1 465 1 512 1 282 -47 183
Total expenses 607 664 589 -57 18
Profit before
impairments
858 848 693 10 165
Credit impairments -101 -177 -70 -76 -31
ROE, % 15.2 15.0 12.6
C/I ratio 0.41 0.44 0.46
• Mixed margin development
- Lower deposit margins
- Stable mortgage margins
• Continued solid asset quality
• Risk position enables
competitive funding
• Continued customer and cost
focus
Stable quarter
6
Group results
SEKm Q1 14 Q4 13 Q1 13 ▲Q/Q ▲Y/Y
Net interest income 5 483 5 626 5 353 -143 130
Net commission
income
2 693 2 699 2 388 -6 305
Net gains and losses 345 461 557 -116 -212
Total income 9 320 9 652 9 082 -332 238
Total expenses 4 226 4 484 4 043 -258 183
Profit before
impairments
5 094 5 168 5 039 -74 55
Credit impairments -100 -32 60 -68 -160
Other impairments 135 323 85 -188 50
Tax 1 074 1 212 976 -138 98
Profit from continuing
operations
3 985 3 665 3 918 320 67
ROE continuing
operations, %
14.6 13.6 15.3
Cost/income ratio 0.45 0.46 0.45
CET1 Capital ratio, % 18.3 18.3 16.4
Strong asset quality
• Legacy impaired portfolios almost worked-out
• Ektornet – continued asset sales
• Russia and Ukraine exited – limited remaining exposures
7
Asset quality
Credit impairments,
SEKm
Q1 14 Q4 13 Q1 13
Swedish Banking 31 140 55
Large Corporates &
Institutions
-30 5 74
Baltic Banking -101 -177 -70
Group Functions &
Other
0 0 1
Swedbank Group -100 -32 60
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Impaired loans, SEKbn
* Russia and Ukraine reported as discontinued operations.
Swedbank’s first quarter 2014 results
Q & A
Appendix
Focus on customer activities
• Flat expenses target for 2014
10
Expenses
Expenses
2012
Expenses
2013
Customer
related
cost
IT
development
Ektornet
Group
functions
Efficiency
measures
Expenses
2013
Expenses
2014
Other?
25% Risk weight floor on
Swedish mortgages
15% Risk weight floor on
Swedish mortgages
0-2.5% Countercyclical buffer
12% Minimum CET1 (Pillar 1)
requirement (incl. SIFI-buffer and
Capital conservation buffer)
Regulatory uncertainty – higher capital requirements
• Countercyclical buffer
• RW floor on mortgages
• Pillar 2
• Hard limits vs buffers
• Leverage ratio – corporate
risk weights
11
Capital
16.5 - ? %
CET1 ratio
Conservative provision ratio
12
Asset quality
* Russia and Ukraine reported as discontinued operations
SEKm
10 951
9 934
7 077
4 429 4 047 3 570 2 818 2 514
2 040
1 774
1 545
1 420 1 398
1 325
1 256 1 238
64% 65%
62%
57%
54% 53% 54%
60%
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113* Q213* Q313* Q413* Q114*
Individual provisions Portfolio provisions Provision ratio
Provision ratio, % Q114
Swedish Banking 76
LC&I 196
Baltic Banking 51
Group 60
Shipping and offshore
16
5
4
24
23
26
25 26 25
0
10
20
30
Q4-12 Q1-13 Q2-13 Q3-13 Q4-13 Q1-14
SEKbn Shipping and Offshore
Offshore Tanker Other
13
Credit portfolio – Large Corporates & Institutions
• Lending exposure to Shipping & Offshore
sector of SEK 25.0bn
- Portfolio duration 3.77 years (weighted on
commitments)
- Average fleet age 7 years
- Strong employment profiles
0.5
7.4
1.5
3.4
1.3
1.5
0.6
2.4
0.7
3.0
0.2
0.7
1.8
0 2 4 6 8 10
Cruise
Drilling & exploration
Oil service
Supply
Accommodation
Floating production
Chemical
Product
Crude oil
Gas (LNG/LPG)
Dry bulk
Container
RORO
Q1-14
Q4-13
0 5 10 15 20 25
SEK
EUR
USD
NOK
JPY
Q1-14
Q4-13
Shipping and Offshore Portfolio by currency,
SEKbn
Shipping and Offshore Portfolio by subsegment,
SEKbn
Source: Swedbank, Mar 31, 2014
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Covered bonds Senior unsecured
Lower funding needs
• LCR 144% (Swedish FSA definition FFFS 2012:6)
• NSFR 89% / 102% (Basel committee)
• Issued SEK 36bn of term-funding in Q1 2014
• FY 2014 funding plan of SEK 120bn
14
Liquidity and funding
Term funding issuance – completed and planned
SEKbn
Source: Swedbank, Mar 31, 2014, nominal amounts
0
50
100
150
200
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020-
Government
guaranteed debt
Senior unsecured
debt
Covered bonds
15
Long-term funding maturity profile
• Funding plan of SEK 120bn to meet next 12 months’ nominal SEK 125bn maturities
Long-term funding maturity profile, by funding source
Source: Swedbank Mar 31, 2014
Liquidity and funding
SEKbn
0
50
100
150
200
250
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280 300 320 340 365
Prefunded in excess of 12 months
16
Liquidity and funding
SEKbn
Source: Swedbank Mar 31, 2014
Days forward
Real estate prices – Sweden 12-month development
17
Swedish housing and mortgage market
Single-family homes1 Tenant-owner rights2 Combined3
12M Δ 12M Δ 12M Δ
Jan/13 3% 7% 5%
Feb/13 4% 7% 5%
Mar/13 3% 7% 5%
Apr/13 2% 8% 4%
May/13 4% 8% 5%
Jun/13 4% 10% 6%
Jul/13 4% 9% 6%
Aug/13 5% 11% 7%
Sep/13 5% 11% 7%
Oct/13 6% 11% 8%
Nov/13 4% 13% 7%
Dec/13 4% 13% 7%
Source: Valuegard www.valuegard.se (Based on data from Mäklarstatistik), 1 HOXHOUSESWE, 2 HOXFLATSWE, 3 HOXSWE
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1 800
Jan-05
Jul-05
Jan-06
Jul-06
Jan-07
Jul-07
Jan-08
Jul-08
Jan-09
Jul-09
Jan-10
Jul-10
Jan-11
Jul-11
Jan-12
Jul-12
Jan-13
Jul-13
Jan-14
Tallinn
Nr.of deals EUR/m2
Baltic countries
Real estate prices
18
EUR/m2 /Nr of deals
EUR/m2 /Nr of deals
EUR/m2 /Nr of deals
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1 800
Jan-05
Jul-05
Jan-06
Jul-06
Jan-07
Jul-07
Jan-08
Jul-08
Jan-09
Jul-09
Jan-10
Jul-10
Jan-11
Jul-11
Jan-12
Jul-12
Jan-13
Jul-13
Jan-14
Riga
Nr.of deals EUR/m2
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1 800
Jan-05
Jul-05
Jan-06
Jul-06
Jan-07
Jul-07
Jan-08
Jul-08
Jan-09
Jul-09
Jan-10
Jul-10
Jan-11
Jul-11
Jan-12
Jul-12
Jan-13
Jul-13
Jan-14
Vilnius
Nr.of deals EUR/m2

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Presentation Swedbank's First Quarter 2014 results

  • 1. © Swedbank Swedbank’s first quarter 2014 results Michael Wolf, CEO Göran Bronner, CFO Anders Karlsson, CRO
  • 2. © Swedbank Stronger market position in southern Sweden • Acquisition of 100 per cent of Sparbanken Öresund • Creation of Sweden’s largest savings bank Sparbanken Skåne – Swedbank will own 22 per cent of Sparbanken Skåne • Significant financial upside for Swedbank – Cost and capital synergies • Awaiting approval from the Swedish FSA 2 Market position Swedbank: 27 Sparbanken Öresund: 16 Number of branches: Sparbanken Skåne: 45
  • 3. Stable results • Lower deposit margins – Stibor – Number of days effect • Stable mortgage margins • Good economic activity supports fee income • Solid asset quality 3 Swedish Banking SEKm Q1 14 Q4 13 Q1 13 ▲ Q/Q ▲ Y/Y Net interest income 3 314 3 448 3 331 - 134 -17 Net commissions 1 649 1 649 1 589 0 60 Total income 5 422 5 536 5 378 -114 44 Total expenses 2 443 2 526 2 399 -83 44 Profit before impairments 2 979 3 010 2 979 -23 0 Credit impairments 31 140 55 -109 -24 ROE, % 28.3 27.7 28.1 C/I ratio 0.45 0.46 0.45
  • 4. Strong Return on Equity • Strong client activity within Debt Capital Markets and Corporate finance • Positive deposit volume trend • Solid asset quality • Planned cost increases 4 Large Corporates & Institutions SEKm Q1 14 Q4 13 Q1 13 ▲ Q/Q ▲ Y/Y Net interest income 867 889 783 -22 84 Net commissions 630 558 420 72 210 Net gains and losses 565 491 579 74 -14 Total income 2 099 1 986 1 813 113 286 Total expenses 834 881 733 -47 101 Profit before impairments 1 265 1 105 1 080 160 185 Credit impairments -30 5 74 -35 -104 ROE, % 26.9 20.1 16.8 C/I ratio 0.40 0.44 0.40
  • 5. Solid performance • Continued re-pricing • Good underlying customer activity • Latvian EUR-entry – Decreased risk – Negative income impact • Continued net recoveries • Uncertain growth prospect due to geopolitical situation in Russia and Ukraine 5 Baltic Banking SEKm Q1 14 Q4 13 Q1 13 ▲ Q/Q ▲ Y/Y Net interest income 874 844 742 30 132 Net commissions 429 454 388 -25 41 Total income 1 465 1 512 1 282 -47 183 Total expenses 607 664 589 -57 18 Profit before impairments 858 848 693 10 165 Credit impairments -101 -177 -70 -76 -31 ROE, % 15.2 15.0 12.6 C/I ratio 0.41 0.44 0.46
  • 6. • Mixed margin development - Lower deposit margins - Stable mortgage margins • Continued solid asset quality • Risk position enables competitive funding • Continued customer and cost focus Stable quarter 6 Group results SEKm Q1 14 Q4 13 Q1 13 ▲Q/Q ▲Y/Y Net interest income 5 483 5 626 5 353 -143 130 Net commission income 2 693 2 699 2 388 -6 305 Net gains and losses 345 461 557 -116 -212 Total income 9 320 9 652 9 082 -332 238 Total expenses 4 226 4 484 4 043 -258 183 Profit before impairments 5 094 5 168 5 039 -74 55 Credit impairments -100 -32 60 -68 -160 Other impairments 135 323 85 -188 50 Tax 1 074 1 212 976 -138 98 Profit from continuing operations 3 985 3 665 3 918 320 67 ROE continuing operations, % 14.6 13.6 15.3 Cost/income ratio 0.45 0.46 0.45 CET1 Capital ratio, % 18.3 18.3 16.4
  • 7. Strong asset quality • Legacy impaired portfolios almost worked-out • Ektornet – continued asset sales • Russia and Ukraine exited – limited remaining exposures 7 Asset quality Credit impairments, SEKm Q1 14 Q4 13 Q1 13 Swedish Banking 31 140 55 Large Corporates & Institutions -30 5 74 Baltic Banking -101 -177 -70 Group Functions & Other 0 0 1 Swedbank Group -100 -32 60 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Impaired loans, SEKbn * Russia and Ukraine reported as discontinued operations.
  • 8. Swedbank’s first quarter 2014 results Q & A
  • 10. Focus on customer activities • Flat expenses target for 2014 10 Expenses Expenses 2012 Expenses 2013 Customer related cost IT development Ektornet Group functions Efficiency measures Expenses 2013 Expenses 2014
  • 11. Other? 25% Risk weight floor on Swedish mortgages 15% Risk weight floor on Swedish mortgages 0-2.5% Countercyclical buffer 12% Minimum CET1 (Pillar 1) requirement (incl. SIFI-buffer and Capital conservation buffer) Regulatory uncertainty – higher capital requirements • Countercyclical buffer • RW floor on mortgages • Pillar 2 • Hard limits vs buffers • Leverage ratio – corporate risk weights 11 Capital 16.5 - ? % CET1 ratio
  • 12. Conservative provision ratio 12 Asset quality * Russia and Ukraine reported as discontinued operations SEKm 10 951 9 934 7 077 4 429 4 047 3 570 2 818 2 514 2 040 1 774 1 545 1 420 1 398 1 325 1 256 1 238 64% 65% 62% 57% 54% 53% 54% 60% 0 5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113* Q213* Q313* Q413* Q114* Individual provisions Portfolio provisions Provision ratio Provision ratio, % Q114 Swedish Banking 76 LC&I 196 Baltic Banking 51 Group 60
  • 13. Shipping and offshore 16 5 4 24 23 26 25 26 25 0 10 20 30 Q4-12 Q1-13 Q2-13 Q3-13 Q4-13 Q1-14 SEKbn Shipping and Offshore Offshore Tanker Other 13 Credit portfolio – Large Corporates & Institutions • Lending exposure to Shipping & Offshore sector of SEK 25.0bn - Portfolio duration 3.77 years (weighted on commitments) - Average fleet age 7 years - Strong employment profiles 0.5 7.4 1.5 3.4 1.3 1.5 0.6 2.4 0.7 3.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 0 2 4 6 8 10 Cruise Drilling & exploration Oil service Supply Accommodation Floating production Chemical Product Crude oil Gas (LNG/LPG) Dry bulk Container RORO Q1-14 Q4-13 0 5 10 15 20 25 SEK EUR USD NOK JPY Q1-14 Q4-13 Shipping and Offshore Portfolio by currency, SEKbn Shipping and Offshore Portfolio by subsegment, SEKbn Source: Swedbank, Mar 31, 2014
  • 14. 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Covered bonds Senior unsecured Lower funding needs • LCR 144% (Swedish FSA definition FFFS 2012:6) • NSFR 89% / 102% (Basel committee) • Issued SEK 36bn of term-funding in Q1 2014 • FY 2014 funding plan of SEK 120bn 14 Liquidity and funding Term funding issuance – completed and planned SEKbn Source: Swedbank, Mar 31, 2014, nominal amounts
  • 15. 0 50 100 150 200 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020- Government guaranteed debt Senior unsecured debt Covered bonds 15 Long-term funding maturity profile • Funding plan of SEK 120bn to meet next 12 months’ nominal SEK 125bn maturities Long-term funding maturity profile, by funding source Source: Swedbank Mar 31, 2014 Liquidity and funding SEKbn
  • 16. 0 50 100 150 200 250 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280 300 320 340 365 Prefunded in excess of 12 months 16 Liquidity and funding SEKbn Source: Swedbank Mar 31, 2014 Days forward
  • 17. Real estate prices – Sweden 12-month development 17 Swedish housing and mortgage market Single-family homes1 Tenant-owner rights2 Combined3 12M Δ 12M Δ 12M Δ Jan/13 3% 7% 5% Feb/13 4% 7% 5% Mar/13 3% 7% 5% Apr/13 2% 8% 4% May/13 4% 8% 5% Jun/13 4% 10% 6% Jul/13 4% 9% 6% Aug/13 5% 11% 7% Sep/13 5% 11% 7% Oct/13 6% 11% 8% Nov/13 4% 13% 7% Dec/13 4% 13% 7% Source: Valuegard www.valuegard.se (Based on data from Mäklarstatistik), 1 HOXHOUSESWE, 2 HOXFLATSWE, 3 HOXSWE
  • 18. 0 200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400 1 600 1 800 Jan-05 Jul-05 Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Tallinn Nr.of deals EUR/m2 Baltic countries Real estate prices 18 EUR/m2 /Nr of deals EUR/m2 /Nr of deals EUR/m2 /Nr of deals 0 200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400 1 600 1 800 Jan-05 Jul-05 Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Riga Nr.of deals EUR/m2 0 200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400 1 600 1 800 Jan-05 Jul-05 Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Vilnius Nr.of deals EUR/m2