1. Looking Through the Crystal Ball
Mega Trends That Will Shape the Future of
the World
12th May 2011
Courtesy of :
Money Talks Forum
1
2. Definition of a Mega Trend
Impact of Mega Trends on Key
What is a Mega Trend?
Organisational Functions
Mega Trends are global, sustained
and macro economic forces of
development that impact business,
economy, society, cultures and
personal lives thereby defining our
future world and its increasing pace
of change
2
3. Overview of Top Mega Trends
URBANIZATIO
Mega City Future of Global Power Generation
ENERG
Mega City Future of Global Power Generation
Mega Regions Innovating to Zero !: Zero Emission
Y
Mega Regions Innovating to Zero !: Zero Emission
N
Mega Corridors
Mega Corridors Technologies
Technologies
SMART Cities and SMART
SMART Cities and SMART
Infrastructure
Infrastructure
MOBILITY
Generation Y Electric
Electric Vehicles
Vehicles
Generation Y
E-
Women Empowerment and Women CE Electric
Electric Aircrafts
Aircrafts
Women Empowerment and Women CE
SOCIAL
Power to the Middle Class
Power to the Middle Class
Reverse Brain Drain and CXO Positions in
Reverse Brain Drain and CXO Positions in
Developing Economies
Developing Economies
INFRASTRUCTU
Six Degrees Apart: Geo Socialization
Six Degrees Apart: Geo Socialization Future Investment in
Future Investment in
Infrastructure:
Infrastructure:
RE
Power, Water and Transport
Power, Water and Transport
Beyond BRIC: The Next Game Change
Beyond BRIC: The Next Game Change
ECONOMY
New Shores: Emerging Outsourcing
New Shores: Emerging Outsourcing Emerging Transportation Corridors
Emerging Transportation Corridors
Hotspots
Hotspots
Future Global 500 Companies by Region
Future Global 500 Companies by Region
New Trade Zones
New Trade Zones
BUSINES
New Business Models
New Business Models
S
SMART Clouds: The Next in Cloud
SMART Clouds: The Next in Cloud
Computing
Computing
SPACE JAM: Congested Satellite
TECHNOLOGY
SPACE JAM: Congested Satellite
WELLNESS
HEALTH &
Orbits
Orbits From Fat to Fit: Health,
From Fat to Fit: Health,
Virtual World: Fluid Interfaces and
Virtual World: Fluid Interfaces and Wellness and Well Being
Wellness and Well Being
Haptic Technology
Haptic Technology
RoboSlaves
RoboSlaves
Future of Consumer Electronics
Future of Consumer Electronics
Wireless Intelligence
FACTOR
Wireless Intelligence Factory of the Future: SMART and
SMART
Factory of the Future: SMART and
Future Broadband Applications
Future Broadband Applications GREEN
Y
GREEN
World War 3: Cyber Warfare
World War 3: Cyber Warfare
3
4. What were the Top Mega Trends in 2000?
• China as an emerging Super power
• E-
Internet Retail and E-Commerce
• From Industrial to Information Society
• Outsourcing as a business model
• .......
4
5. Three Main Trends in Urbanisation: Development
of Mega Cities, Mega Regions and Mega Corridors
MEGA CITY MEGA REGIONS MEGA CORRIDORS
City With A Minimum Cities Combining With The Corridors Connecting
Population Of 10 Suburbs To Form Regions. Two Major Cities or Mega
Million (Population over 15 Million) Regions
EXAMPLE: Greater EXAMPLE: Johannesburg EXAMPLE: Hong Kong-
London and Pretoria (forming Shenzhen-Guangzhou in
“Jo-Toria”) China (Population 120
Million)
5
6. Top 20 Megacities – Ranking
50% Of The Top 20 Megacities In 2025 Will Be From The
Developing Countries
Evolution of Megacities: Top 20 Megacities - Ranking (Global), 2009-2025
2009-
45 Top 20 Megacities in 2025
Top 20 Megacities in 2025
40
1.
Population (million)
10 Cities from the
35 Tokyo developing economies.
6. 9. 11.Mumbai
30 2. Mexico São
City 8. Paulo 16. Delhi
25 New Shanghai 12. Osaka-
York Kobe New definition of Megacity ‘25
20
15 3. Los 18. Guangzhou
14. Beijing 17. Moscow
Angeles 10. U.N. definition
10 Buenos of Megacity ‘09
Aires
5 5. Chicago 7.Paris 15.Hong Kong 19.Seoul
4. London 20. Miami
13.Philadelphia
0
(3) (1) 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23
Ranking based on population and GDP * Size of the bubble – GDP 2025
45
Top 20 Megacities in 2009
Top 20 Megacities in 2009
40 8 Cities from the developing
Population (million)
35 1. economies.
Tokyo
30
25 8. Mexico City 19.Mumbai
2. 9. São Paulo 17. Shanghai
13.
20 New York 7. Osaka- Moscow
Kobe
15 20. Rio de Janeiro
3. Los 5. Paris 11. Buenos 14. Seoul
Angeles Aires U.N. definition
10
16. Toronto of Megacity ‘09
5 4. London
6.Chicago 12.Hong Kong 18. Madrid
10.Philadelphia 15. Miami
0
(3) (1) 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23
* Size of the bubble – GDP 2009
Ranking based on population and GDP
* Cities from emerging economies Note: All figures are rounded; the base year is 2009. Source: Frost & Sullivan
M65B-18 6
7. Smart Cities – “Green” Replaced by “SMART” Concepts
Smart Diamond to define Smart City
‘S”
Governance
‘S’ Citizen ‘S’ Business
Source: Frost & Sullivan
‘S’ City ‘S’ Buildings
Planning
‘S’ ICT
‘S’ Mobility ‘S’
Energy
‘S’
Information
Technology
7
8. Over 40 Global Cities to be SMART Cities in 2020 - More than 50% of
Smart cities of 2025 will be from Europe and North America.
China and India to see over 50 New “Sustainable” Cities
Amsterdam
London
Boulder
Tianjin
GIFT
San Francisco Göteborg
Stockholm
Reykjavik Oslo Hammarby Sjöstad Songdo
Montreal Clonburris Copenhagen
Vancouver
St Davids
Seattle Toronto Freiburg
Portland
Paris Dongtan
Treasure Island Barcelona Changsha
Destiny
Coyote Springs Meixi Lake
Babcock Ranch Khajuraho
Arcosanti
Pune Singapore City
Bogota Kochi
Legend Waitakere, N.Z.
Cities built from scratch Curitiba
Cape Town Masdar
Moreland, Australia
Existing eco cities
Existing eco megacities
Source: Frost & Sullivan
8
9. “Smart” Market Opportunity: Convergence of Technology Will Lead to
Convergence of Competition
Energy/Infrastructure
Players
• T&D Technology
• Power Electronics
• Renewable Energy
• Integrated Distribution Management
• Substation Automation
• AMI-Enabled Metering
• Etc.
• IP Networks • Building Automation
• Digital Technology • Demand-Side Management
• Analysis Software • Connectivity of devices
• Wireless Communication • Monitoring and Sensing
• Technology Integration • Smart Grid Integration
• Network Security • Etc.
• Etc.
Automation/Building
IT Players Control Players
Source: Frost & Sullivan.
9
10. “Smart” is the New Green
Smart Cities Smart Smart Smart
Technology Infrastructure Energy
Smart Smart
Smart Grids Smart Clouds
Mobility Buildings
Smart Smart Smart
Smart Meters
Materials Bandages Phones
10
11. Six Degrees Apart: Geo Socialisation in 2020
Used For: Used For:
Meet Ups, Restaurant and Digital Marketing:
Nightclub Reviews, Receiving Updates on
Concert Events Promotion and Offers
Used For: Used For:
Networking in Business Local Real Estate News,
Conferences: Updates on Geo Socialising with
Potential Contacts Friends
11
12. Generation Y: Goods and Services Catered to Values, Beliefs, Interest
and Lifestyle
Personalization Techno Savvy Civic and Demanding and
and and Connected Environmentally Impatient – “Fast
Individualization 24 X 7 Friendly and the Furious”
Gaming Gizmos
Personalized Search and Instant Text Messaging
Eco- Transport
News
Smart Phones
Social Networking Profiles
Bag-For-Life (Paper Bags
Instead of Plastic) Instant Chat
Facebook-on-the Move
Personalized Products
Paperless Banking Speed Oriented
Gaming (Car Racing)
Microblogs
12
13. Future RoboSlave: Pervasive Robotic Technology in 2020 That Will
“Act as a Butler” in Everyday Life
Robots as Pets Robots for
Household
Chores
Robots to Wait
on Hand and
Robots for
Foot
Companionship
Robots as
Robots To Help
With Strategic Waiters
Planning and
Business
Robots as
Nannies
13
14. Artificial Intelligence and Robotics: Future Machine Technology With
Multiple Applications
Welding Drilling Medical Robots Performing
Robots in Space
Low Invasive Surgery
Robotic Industrial Applications in 2020
Material Packaging Transportation Robots Military Robots
Handling
14
15. Virtual World 2020: 3D Simulated Environment for Interaction and
Experience Impacting Personal Mobility
Virtual Shopping Allowing Customers to Try Virtual Surgeries
and Medical Training Virtual Business Conferences
Products without leaving their homes
Virtual Classes and Laboratories Social Networking: 3D Avatars
and Daily 3D Field Trips Enabling People to Lead
to Different Countries and Planets Multiple Lives
15
16. Fluid Interfaces: Haptic Technology Enabling Seamless, Gestural,
Intuitive and Ambient Interaction Between Physical and Virtual Realms
“Holodecks”: F-16 Haptic Entertainment
Flight Simulator Experiences Wearable Computing:
Gestural Interfaces Are
Being Developed that
Allows Humans to
Interact and Augment
Physical World with
Digital Data
Applications of Wearable
Computing: Using Hand as
a Keypad or Dial Pad
Intuitive Haptic Gaming Experiences
Surface Computers:
Browsing of Internet
on Any Surface
Through Gestures
Source: MIT Media Group, 2010
16
17. New Consumer Electronics In 2020: Faster, Smaller, Cheaper and
Innovative & Customized with Even Shorter Development Life-Cycles
From Laptops To Tabletops
From Laptops To Tabletops Mobile Phones: Projection,
Mobile Phones: Projection,
From 2D to 3D HDTV
From 2D to 3D HDTV
Visual Search and Morphing
Visual Search and Morphing
Holographic “Projection Keyboard”
Mobile Projection Technology
Technologies in 2020
3D HDTV– use of auto
stereoscopic displays with micro Touchscreen Window With Built-in
lenses) to transmit images Camera, Scanner, Wi-fi, Google
Maps Intuitive Search Tools.
differently to right and left eyes
Laptops with integrated monitor
and keyboard. E-Media
E-Media
E-Book E-Newspaper
Reader
Morphing– Allowing Users to Transform
Mobiles Into Different Shapes
M65B-18 17
18. Real-Time Wireless Intelligence in 2020: IT Infrastructure To Be
Around 80% Wireless on a Single Integrated Platform
UTILITIES: Smart Meters, Wireless
GPS: Atleast 75% of automobiles
Technology and Sensors enabling
installed with GPS equipment
Machine to Machine (M2M)
enabling intelligent traffic
communication and monitoring of
management system.
energy use
4G Mobile technology
(LTE, WiMAX)
enabling integration
into any wireless BUILDINGS: Wireless
AIRPORTS: Free Wi-Fi platform Building Automation
Access and Real – Time CCTV surveillance with built-in Systems at Homes and
Virtual Monitoring with Network Card, DVR and LCD Offices Connected to
secure, high-speed, wireless Monitor integrated into the iPhone, Laptop, Car
data networking wireless platform Systems for Easy
Control and
NETWORK Communication
INTELLIGENCE
Managed by A
Central Server SATELLITE
TECHNOLOGY (such
as GALILEO) to provide
navigation for aviation,
ground and maritime
HOTSPOTS: City-wide Wi-Fi operations
Network (Eg. Sunnyvale,
California) with Hotspots in
Cafes, Hotels and other
RAILWAYS: Real-Time important locations
EMERGENCY SERVICES:
Wireless Video Surveillance in Wireless surveillance connecting fire
railways stations for event and police forces to Central Server
detection, preparedness, for monitoring, control and command
prevention, protection, response communications
and recovery
M65B-18 18
19. Innovative Technologies of the Future
Advanced Batteries and Storage
Flexible SMART Materials
Electronics
Green IT
Nanomaterials
Top 10 Technologies of the
Future
Lasers
Solar PV
White Biotech
3D Integration
Autonomous Systems
19
20. Global Power Generation in 2020: Shifting Regional and Fuel Balance
– Power Generation from Renewables and Nuclear Energy to Increase to 36% in 2020 (from 32% in 2007)
By 2020, nearly half of world electricity to be produced in emerging regions
2007 Energy Market: Global Power Generation (TWh) by Region (World), 2020 2020
26,620 TWh
19,756 TWh
Power Generation in TWh
Source: Frost & Sullivan / International Energy Agency
20
21. Top 10 Global Energy Trends
Major
Trend 2010 2015 2020
Power Demand Non-OECD countries China becomes Global electrification Big expansion of
1 Growth Surpass OECD largest consumer reaches 80% electric/hybrid vehicles
New Age of CCGT favourite generation technology Growth in global pipeline network
2 Natural Gas Massive boost in LNG availability Shale gas boom in USA
Clean Coal
Carbon Capture and Storage pilot plants Commercial CCS viability & large-scale dev-t
3 Commercialisa
tion Ultrasupercritical technology becomes prevalent
Nuclear 56 reactors under construction globally Nuclear renaissance in 480+ reactors
4 resurgence Massive nuclear expansion in China some European countries operational
Renewable grid Solar and wind reach grid parity in EU and Japan Renewables share in power
5 parity Grid parity reached in majority of developed world generation: 25% - globally, 30% - EU
Smarter Expansion of virtual power plants
6 Grids Smart meters take off in US and Europe Smart meters reach most consumers in developed world
Energy Green buildings become norm in developed world Global penetration of micro-
7 Efficiency Global coverage for energy-efficient lighting renewables and micro-CHP
Energy storage market Improved battery technologies emerge Grid-scale energy storage takes off
8 Energy Storage
reaches $50 billion (Li-ion, NiZn, Molten Salt) (pumped storage, CAES)
“Peak shaving” through energy efficiency, Smart meters optimise consumer Direct load control of smart
9 Demand
Management promotion of embedded generation usage patterns and flatten peak demand appliances via remote man-t
Market Most power generation markets fully liberalised Growing trans-regional power trading
10 Liberalisation Focus on emerging markets retail liberalisation
21
22. Global Energy & Environment Market … Headline Market Issues
The global energy market is challenged by three
interlocking issues that make present energy Fossil Fuel Power will continue to
markets both attractive and complex: dominate and will grow dramatically in
the next 20 years.
Fuel Costs & Security of Supply Issues,
Global Primary Energy demand to
Environmental Issues
increase by over 50% between now and
Growth in Global Energy Demand 2030.
World Electricity Demand to increase
60% for same period.
Fuel Supply Over 70% of this increase comes from
and Costs developing countries, led by China and
India.
CO2 Emissions reach 40 Gt in 2030, a
55% increase over 2005 level.
Significant Global Growth
Global
Opportunities for Power Generation,
Environment Energy
Demand Energy Efficiency and Water
Management.
22
23. Global Energy & Environment Market …. Evolution of Market
Issues
Major 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Issue
Libya nationalises Major strikes in UK
Extremely cold weather in
British Petroleum as coal production Fears over security
Fuel concession & Iraq is cut
Europe increases demand US boom
of gas supplies from
and oil prices followed by
Supply/Cost follows soon e.g Russia
crash
Trends Acceleration of
First wave of
‘Dash for Gas’ oil prices
Nuclear
German government
Prices rise as oil announces plans to phase
Global Windfall profits tax enacted out nuclear power
embargo begins Emergence of major
and later reduced
Energy capacity gaps across
Demand Oil embargo ends Production outages in China Europe & NA
North Sea boom
Greenhouse gas Heightened public
EU Directive for air-quality Adoption of EU Large emissions allowance objection to
standards and smoke Combustion Plant trading scheme emissions
Environment Directive (LCPD)
Issues Chernobyl disaster 20: 20: 20 EU
challenges nuclear Global water
vision for
safety Stress
renewables
2011:
• Security of Energy Supply
• Portfolio Diversification
• Energy Efficiency
• Capacity Optimisation
• Integration of Renewables
• Sustainable Water
23
24. Timeline for Major Market Issues
Major 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Issue
Energy from Waste
Oil passes Demand for liquid fuel Coal reaches
in Emerging Resurgence
$100 per falling after 2015 Almost 45% of energy
Markets Of Nuclear
Fuel Supply barrel Consumption, following
Growth of natural gas growth in India and China
And Costs Oil drops
Acceleration of kept in check by high
To $35 per Continued acceleration
Natural gas gas prices
barrel of coal-fired power
Growth dominated Long-running Global Energy Demand
By India & China boom in Russia almost double 2000 levels
Global Energy Developing economies
Deceleration and
pass 40% of electricity
Demand maturation of EU
demand
Growth Resumed Electricity generation passes
in all regions 30,000 billion kWh
Potable water
China overtakes the US as Accelerated investment
20% Renewable consumption up
the world’s biggest emitter in carbon capture
Energy in Europe 50% on 1995
Environment of CO2 and storage
Global
Issues Stationary fuel cells
CO2 Emissions
Global Renewables Boom in RO contribute to
reach 40 Gt
Growth Desalination distributed generation
30,000
Global
Electricity
20,000
Generation
(billion kWrh)
10,000
0
2010 2015 2020 2025 Source: Frost & Sullivan and EIA.
24
25. Growth in Electricity Generation by Fuel
35,000
2.1%
30,000 Coal
Other 1.3%
renewables
-3.3%
Electricity Generation (TWh)
25,000 Wind -1.8% Oil
2.4% 2007-2020
Hydro Gas
20,000 1.5%
2020-2030
1.8%
Nuclear Nuclear
2.9%
15,000
Gas 2.2%
Hydro
2.2%
10,000
Oil 15.2%
Wind
5.0%
5,000 Coal
7.7%
Other renewables
7.2%
0
-5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
2007 2020 2030
Compound Annual Growth Rate
Source : International Energy Agency, Frost & Sullivan
Continuing strong global growth for renewables:
Expect further drops in price and cost competitiveness
Expect ongoing expansion of the technology supply base
25
26. Renewable Energy Industry – EU Snapshot, Future
Growth
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Example: EU Installed Capacity, MW, 2015
Wind Energy
• Wind energy will continue to be the most
important renewable energy source, with most of
the total installed capacity in 2015.
Solar Energy
Wind Power = 153 GW
Biomass Energy
Solar Power = 80 GW
Geothermal Energy
Biomass Power = 20 GW
Geothermal Power = 8 GW
Marine Energy
Marine Power less than 200 MW
Source: Frost & Sullivan.
26
27. How CleanTech has Expanded and how the Segments Look
Today …
Environmental Technologies and Services
Fuels & Feedstocks Alternative/ Emission Energy
Renewables Reduction Efficiency
• Wind, Solar, Biomass • Advanced turbines • Smart meters & grids
• Clean fuels
Power • Biofuels • Fuel cells • Air pollution control • Energy management
& Energy • Hydro • Coal to gas • T&D infrastructure
• Hydrogen
• Wave, tidal • Filter technology • Energy storage
• Biomass
• Geothermal • Clean coal • Advanced batteries
• Waste to Energy
• CCS
• Biomass • Micro-renewables • Ventilation • Green buildings
Building • Fuel Management • Solar thermal • Extraction • Low energy lighting
Technologies • Heat pumps • Insulation • Building controls
• BIPV • Smart homes
• Bio solids • Gasification • Air filtration • Waste to energy
Environment • Bio wastes • Anaerobic digestion • VOC control • Water recycling
(CleanTech) • Biogas • Pyrolysis • Water & wastewater • Energy recovery
treatment • Waste recycling
• Waste management • Desalination
• Biodiesel • Fuel cell vehicles • Electric vehicles • Mass transportation
Transport • Ethanol • Solar • Hybrid vehicles • Vehicle efficiency
(Road, rail, air) • LPG • Filters technology
• Dual fuel systems • Converters etc.
• Power converters • Energy management
• Fuel delivery & • Advanced process
Industrial dispensing … valves, • SCADA control
software
• Wireless comms • Motors & drives
actuators etc.
• Pumps, compressors etc.
27
28. CleanTech Issues, Challenges & Opportunities
Issues & Challenges:
• Green investment is too often not price competitive
• Too many markets remain beholden to incentives & grants
• Regulations cover the ‘What’ and not so much the ‘How’
Opportunities:
• When the issues go beyond green
• Where the added value becomes truly tangible
• When secure financing is available
• When there is a real RoI
• .... When the risk for the customer is low.
28
29. Outlook for the Environment & Energy Industry
Top 10 Technologies and Markets to Watch For in 2020
Energy Efficiency in
Buildings
Carbon Capture
and Storage SMART
Buildings
Energy Recovery
from Waste
Top 10 Markets of the
LED Lighting
Future Revolution
Key technology platforms that
Key technology platforms that
are poised to have a profound
are poised to have a profound
impact on a number of sectors
impact on a number of sectors
across the globe. These areas
across the globe. These areas
present a potential high ROI.
present a potential high ROI.
Water Re-Use &
Desalination
SMART Grid
Advanced Batteries
Solar PV and Energy Storage
Fuel Cells Source: Frost & Sullivan
29
30. Factory of the Future: SMART and GREEN: “Flexibility in Capacity” And
“Robotic Technology” Combined with Artificial Intelligence Are Key Features
Future Plant SMART Factory 2020
Current Plant
Material Handling conveyer Factory of the future will Lower Production Costs and shorten Innovation and
Production Cycles
Mixing Plant
Processing Plant Work Simulation Material Handling conveyer
Drying Chamber 10% decrease in production time; 30%
Separation Plant savings in project cost; 20% reduction in Mixing & Processing Plant
Waste Water manual labour; Reduced CO2 emissions LV and MV drives
Processing Plant Heating Plant coupled with energy
Batching & Blending efficient products
Plant Drying Chamber
Separation Plant
Cleaning Plant
Chilling Plant Waste Water
Processing Plant Heating Plant
Quality Plant
Packaging Shop Premium Batching & Blending
efficiency class Plant
motors, pumps
and compressors; Chilling Plant
all requiring low
voltage drives Remote Support and Diagnosis
FUTURE TECHNOLOGIES of Production Equipment,
Cleaning Plant
Virtual Reality based
• Current Sensing
• Reduced Complexity maintenance and Planning
• Cloud Computing
• Software as a Service
• Digital Factory
• Software configurable hardware Quality Plant
• Mobile Applications Packaging Shop
• Sustainability
• OELD Displays
• Virtualization
M65B-18 30
31. Rapid Developments in IT will Drive Interoperability, Miniaturization
and Intelligence of Systems
Broad Segmentation of Smart Factory Predictive Maintenance
Maintenance decisions based on future predictions
Detection anomalies early and understanding its
implications on the equipment
Equipment Diagnostics
Acquire Validate Temp, pressure, flow etc
Data
Source: www.smartfactory-kl.de Analyze Design information, Maintenance
Validated Data Performance History, Operating Mode
Successful working of a Smart Factory depends on rapid
Standardized
developments in IT and its influence across industrial
Performance Predict Degraded Economics
technologies Operation
These include smart field devices, communication protocols,
control systems, PDAs and manufacturing software solutions Cost Benefits
from avoiding Take
Industrial wireless is expected to play a very crucial role in Corrective
potential failures
enabling communication between all these smart devices and Action
digital networks
Prioritizing Maintenance
work orders
31
32. Convergence of Sustainable and Smart Solutions will Drive Automation Growth
Market How to achieve greater
Requirement: operational efficiency Market How do I enable effective
through sustainable Requirement: information flow among IT
means? and Automation solutions?
Response:
Vendor independent Response: Seamless communication
services from design from plant to business
stages onwards until end Strategic level powered by solutions
product life Services like MES, EMI, PLM …
Energy Manufacturing
Efficiency Software
Market How much more efficient is Smart
Requirement: the product from Supplier Technology Market How can I have smarter plant?
A than Supplier B??? Requirement:
Response: Energy efficient ratings of
products will be a norm Response: Industrial wireless, predictive
maintenance and smart
devices will synergize to offer
Source: Frost & Sullivan. real time intelligence
32
33. E-Mobility : Over 40 Million Electric 2 Wheelers and 4 Wheelers will be
Sold Annually Around the Globe in 2020
Total 30 million – Total 10 Million –
2 Wheelers (2020) 4 Wheelers (2020)
Sanyo Enacle XM 3000 Electric Moped The GEM Peapod The Smith Newton
33
34. Electric Vehicle Market Provides Opportunity to Enter New Fields
Cooperation to simultaneously promote EV use and electricity as a fuel
Integrators to create partnerships with Utilities, OEMs
and Government
Utilities Integrators OEMs
Key
Responsibility:
Key
Development of
Responsibility:
Charging
Infrastructure Promotion of EV
use
Supplies
Development of
infrastructure to
performing
distribute their
batteries
energy
Infrastructure
Charging supplier System/Battery
Station Government
Manufacturers
Manufacturers
Could work to improve charging time and safety
34
35. Mobility Integrators (MI) to Offer Innovative Mobility Solutions To
Complement Commuters’ Inter-modality and Multi-Modality Travel Split
Telecom
Operators
The Concept of a Dynamic
Transport Operators
Transport Solution Integrating
Rail Bus
Different Modes Under a
Single Entity to make
Personal Transportation Easy
and Simple
Online Mobility Carsharing
Booking Agencies:
Long Distance Mobility
Bikes
Mobility
Integrator
Short Distance Urban Mobility
MIs will start exploiting the
Web 2.0 and Mobile 2.0
Internet service to offer
Technology mobility-based
Payment Engine Solutions Provider applications (apps) on smart
phones.
Technology Evolution
MOBILE
2.0
WEB 2.0
*The company logos mentioned are only for descriptive purpose
Source: Frost & Sullivan
35
36. Final Thoughts
CleanTech markets are converging ….. Efficiency is emerging as the most important
value proposition
Huge mid and long-term potential for renewables still very much exists (short-term
dominated by wind; solar gaining share)
Smart technology is re-defining the market and becoming integral to energy efficiency
… Smart Solutions have leapfrogged pure ‘Green’ Solutions
Technology convergence leads to convergence of competition and re-defined value
chains … Supply relationships are changing
It is important to understand the eco-system of the Mega Trend and the elements of the
value chain which have most profitability for you
All these trends are global and have global ramifications thereby offering scalable
opportunities
36