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Data design &
economic opportunities
Twain Liu
© TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
2
1842: ADA LOVELACE, computer code 1941: HEDY LAMARR, wi-fi
1985: RADIA PERLMAN, STP
????
NATURAL LANGUAGE AI
EMOTIONAL CONTEXT
ECONOMIC SYSTEMS
Designed & built by women
© TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
3
Women account for $20+ trillion in
consumer and business spending globally.
Over the next decade, we’ll control 2/3 of consumer wealth.
Women make or influence 85% of all purchasing
decisions, and purchase over 50% of traditional male
products, including automobiles, home improvement
products and consumer electronics.
91% of women say advertisers don’t understand them
Systems aren’t coded to think perceptually or to understand language.
Female $pending power
© TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
4
The problem
© TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
5
The Ad Fisher team found that
when Google presumed users to be
male job seekers, they were much
more likely to be shown ads for
high-paying executive jobs. Google
showed the ads 1,852 times to the
male group — but just 318 times to
the female group.
The bias
© TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
6
How recommendations work (1)
© TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
7
How recommendations work (2)
© TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
8
Every one becomes a number
© TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
9
Maths matters
© TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
10
Are we a probability?
© TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
11
0 1
Which one are we?
© TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
12
0
1
0
N% chance
(100-N)% chance
Nothing exists
Nothing exists
Something exists
Can this explain the whole of us?
© TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
13
C17th philosophy
Descartes (1596 --- 1650)
1	 0	 1	 0	
Is this how we reason?
© TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
14
Quibit
memory chips
Computing is based on
deterministic binary 0,1 code (bits)
+ probability and proximity of cells
and their sub-branches.
We are more than binary and probability
© TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
15
•  We’re not dice.
•  We’re not zero-sum.
•  We have a sense of self and of teamwork.
We are WHOLE
© TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
16
1860: Maxwell, 1872: Boltzmann 1985: Geoff Hinton and Terry Sejnowski create Boltzmann machines
2013: Tomas Mikolov, Kai Chen, Greg Corrado, Jeffrey Dean of Google
Word2Vec
MIT Technology Review, July 2016: Tolga Bolukbasi at Boston University
and a few pals from Microsoft Research say there is a problem with this
database (Google Word2Vec): it is blatantly sexist."
Ask “Father:doctor :: mother:?” it answers
“nurse.” For “man: computer programmer ::
woman:?” it will give you “homemaker.”
Wrong use of science => unintentional sexism
© TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
17
https://implicit.harvard.edu
Implicit Assumptions test
© TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
18
MACHINE LOGIC
( PROBABILITY + STATS, GAME THEORY )
Fair means an equally likely chance of a
random throw of a dice landing on any face.
Probability (any face of dice) = 1/6
= 16.7%
Bias is any deviation from the population
parameter being measured. So if “2” shows
up more times than any other face of the dice,
the dice is said to be biased (it’s an over-
estimate). If “4” shows up less times, it’s also a
bias (it’s an under-estimate error)
ECONOMICS
Fair value is a rational and unbiased estimate
of the potential market price of a good,
service, or asset. It takes into account such
objective factors as: acquisition/production/
distribution costs, replacement costs, or costs
of close substitutes.
HUMAN LANGUAGE
Fair means either (1.) impartial and just
treatment or behavior without favoritism or
discrimination or (2.) quality of having light-
colored hair or a pale complexion.
Bias is any prejudice in favor of or against one
thing, person, or group compared with
another usually in a way that's considered to
be unfair
LEGAL
(1.) : the balance or impartiality (of a court
proceeding) that is essential to due process.
(2.) : a subjective standard by which a court
proceeding is deemed to have followed due
process.
Language gap : machines vs humans

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Practical AI workshop, AWS pop-up loft SF, June 20 2017 --- Data design & economic opportunities

  • 1. Data design & economic opportunities Twain Liu
  • 2. © TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. 2 1842: ADA LOVELACE, computer code 1941: HEDY LAMARR, wi-fi 1985: RADIA PERLMAN, STP ???? NATURAL LANGUAGE AI EMOTIONAL CONTEXT ECONOMIC SYSTEMS Designed & built by women
  • 3. © TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. 3 Women account for $20+ trillion in consumer and business spending globally. Over the next decade, we’ll control 2/3 of consumer wealth. Women make or influence 85% of all purchasing decisions, and purchase over 50% of traditional male products, including automobiles, home improvement products and consumer electronics. 91% of women say advertisers don’t understand them Systems aren’t coded to think perceptually or to understand language. Female $pending power
  • 4. © TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. 4 The problem
  • 5. © TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. 5 The Ad Fisher team found that when Google presumed users to be male job seekers, they were much more likely to be shown ads for high-paying executive jobs. Google showed the ads 1,852 times to the male group — but just 318 times to the female group. The bias
  • 6. © TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. 6 How recommendations work (1)
  • 7. © TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. 7 How recommendations work (2)
  • 8. © TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. 8 Every one becomes a number
  • 9. © TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. 9 Maths matters
  • 10. © TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. 10 Are we a probability?
  • 11. © TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. 11 0 1 Which one are we?
  • 12. © TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. 12 0 1 0 N% chance (100-N)% chance Nothing exists Nothing exists Something exists Can this explain the whole of us?
  • 13. © TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. 13 C17th philosophy Descartes (1596 --- 1650) 1 0 1 0 Is this how we reason?
  • 14. © TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. 14 Quibit memory chips Computing is based on deterministic binary 0,1 code (bits) + probability and proximity of cells and their sub-branches. We are more than binary and probability
  • 15. © TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. 15 •  We’re not dice. •  We’re not zero-sum. •  We have a sense of self and of teamwork. We are WHOLE
  • 16. © TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. 16 1860: Maxwell, 1872: Boltzmann 1985: Geoff Hinton and Terry Sejnowski create Boltzmann machines 2013: Tomas Mikolov, Kai Chen, Greg Corrado, Jeffrey Dean of Google Word2Vec MIT Technology Review, July 2016: Tolga Bolukbasi at Boston University and a few pals from Microsoft Research say there is a problem with this database (Google Word2Vec): it is blatantly sexist." Ask “Father:doctor :: mother:?” it answers “nurse.” For “man: computer programmer :: woman:?” it will give you “homemaker.” Wrong use of science => unintentional sexism
  • 17. © TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. 17 https://implicit.harvard.edu Implicit Assumptions test
  • 18. © TWAIN 刘秋 2017。 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. 18 MACHINE LOGIC ( PROBABILITY + STATS, GAME THEORY ) Fair means an equally likely chance of a random throw of a dice landing on any face. Probability (any face of dice) = 1/6 = 16.7% Bias is any deviation from the population parameter being measured. So if “2” shows up more times than any other face of the dice, the dice is said to be biased (it’s an over- estimate). If “4” shows up less times, it’s also a bias (it’s an under-estimate error) ECONOMICS Fair value is a rational and unbiased estimate of the potential market price of a good, service, or asset. It takes into account such objective factors as: acquisition/production/ distribution costs, replacement costs, or costs of close substitutes. HUMAN LANGUAGE Fair means either (1.) impartial and just treatment or behavior without favoritism or discrimination or (2.) quality of having light- colored hair or a pale complexion. Bias is any prejudice in favor of or against one thing, person, or group compared with another usually in a way that's considered to be unfair LEGAL (1.) : the balance or impartiality (of a court proceeding) that is essential to due process. (2.) : a subjective standard by which a court proceeding is deemed to have followed due process. Language gap : machines vs humans