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Reena Aggarwal
Robert E. McDonough Professor of Finance
Director, Georgetown Center for Financial Markets and Policy
FinTech as a Disruptor of Financial Services
Disruptive Innovations in Financial Services
Institute for Financial Services Analytics
Alfred Lerner College of Business & Economics
University of Delaware
March 2016
Disruption in Financial Services
• Address societal challenges
• Financial inclusion
• Inequality issues
• Access to capital
• SMEs
• Our work with the World Economic Forum/World Bank
•FinTech: Use of technology and innovative business models in financial services
•Companies provide financial services through the use of technology
– These companies provide products and services to users through online and/or
mobile channels
FinTech
Characteristics
Innovation
•Innovative solutions have disrupted the traditional financial services industry
•Promises to include un-served and under-served markets
•Have increasingly provided funding for SMEs especially after the Great Recession
•Face lower costs
Focus
Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015
•Single-purpose solutions: Offer a better experience in a single product or service
•New sets of products: Tailored for small businesses
FinTech as a Disruptor of Financial Services
Business
Models
Market
Segments
Going
Forward
Major
Players
Growth
FinTech
Disruptor
Factors Enabling the Industry’s Growth
Business
Models
Market
Segments
Going
Forward
Major
Players
Growth
FinTech
Disruptor
Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015
Regulation
Regulated banks face higher costs for lines of business FinTech
firms are tapping into
Technology
Macro
Environment
Big data analytics increasingly available
Online financial transactions, alongside big data analysis, have
lowered costs and increased speed
Low interest rates and low loan default rates allow for credit
creation; the former has increased the demand for loans while the
latter has increased investors’ willingness to lend
Investors are seeking assets with higher yields & are comfortable
with higher risk profiles of borrowers
Risks
1. Limited
investor
protection
2. Defaulting
borrowers
3. Systemic
risk
associated
with lack of
regulation
The Growth of FinTech
Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015
• Reduced the
availability of credit
for individuals and
small businesses
• Triggered regulations
that have since
hampered traditional
banks’ ability to meet
the needs of SMEs,
among others
• Big opportunity for
FinTech firms
Great Recession
2007-2008 2005-2011 2013-2014 2015
New players
emerged:
• Prosper (2005)
• Lending Club (2006)
• OnDeck (2006)
• Kabbage (2009)
• SoFi (2011)
New Players
Investment in FinTech
companies grew by four
times in one year,
reaching $12 billion in
2014
Threat to Banks
• 68% of bank
respondents believe
their small business
lending activities
were under “high
threat” from FinTech
firms
Growth
Business
Models
Market
Segments
Going
Forward
Major
Players
Growth
FinTech
Disruptor
Factors Enabling the Industry’s Growth
Business
Models
Market
Segments
Going
Forward
Major
Players
Growth
FinTech
Disruptor
Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015
Approval
Rates for
Small
Business
Loans
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Alternative Lenders
Institutional Investors
Credit Union
Small Bank
Big Bank
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Millennials Gen X Boomers Matures
Millennials Prefer Online and
Mobile More than Other
Generations
Online Giving Mobile Giving
FinTech as a Disruptor of Financial Services
Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015
Facts
Business
Models
Market
Segments
Going
Forward
Major
Players
Growth
FinTech
Disruptor
Mobile P2P payments in the U.S.
reached $16bn in 2015 and are estimated
to reach $86bn in 2018
P2P loan issuance grew by 65
times from 2009 to 2014 on
Lending Club and Prosper,
reaching $1.7bn
Non-banks’ share of
mortgage originations
went from 10% in 2009 to 42% in
2014
60-80 countries already
have a lending platform or one
expected to launch soon
$1.5
$2.7
$5.1
$10.0
$0.0
$2.0
$4.0
$6.0
$8.0
$10.0
$12.0
2011 2012 2013 2014
FundinginBillions
Year
Aggregate Amount of Funding Through Crowdfunding
FinTech as a Disruptor of Financial Services
Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015
Facts
Business
Models
Market
Segments
Going
Forward
Major
Players
Growth
FinTech
Disruptor
Kickstarter crowdfunding platform has reached
$1.6 bn in pledges alone, its largest campaign
raised $17+ million
The Growth of FinTech
Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Year 2013 Year 2014
InvestmentinBillionsofUSD
Investment in FinTech Firms
27%
16%
57%
Breakdown
Consumer Lending Business Lending Others
Business
Models
Market
Segments
Going
Forward
Major
Players
Growth
FinTech
Disruptor
Lending
Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015
Business
Models
Models:
• Balance sheet lenders
• Marketplace lenders
• Hybrids
Focus on:
• P2P lending, Small business lending, Leveraged lending, Student lending,
Mortgage lending, Commercial Real Estate Lending
Key
Characteristics
• Unsecured lending
• Either mediated or direct flow of funds
• Retail or institutional investors
• Innovative credit scoring models
• Low cost structure and more accurate pricing
• Less regulatory obligations and capital requirements than bank
counterparts
Business
Models
Market
Segments
Going
Forward
Major
Players
Growth
FinTech
Disruptor
Practice of lending money to borrowers without traditional financial intermediary
Market Segments, Business Models, and the Main Players
Business
Models
Market
Segments
Going
Forward
Major
Players
Growth
FinTech
Disruptor
Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015
Lending
Merchant and e-Commerce Finance
Invoice Finance
Supply Chain Finance
Trade Finance
Lending
Business
Models
Market
Segments
Going
Forward
Major
Players
Growth
FinTech
Disruptor
Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015
Lending Club and Prosper had 129% CAGR in collective originations 4Q09 to 3Q14
Main Players Description
• P2P lending platform founded in 2006, IPO’d in 2014 (LC)
• Biggest player, yet only has 2% of market share ($4bn in
$240bn market)
• Founded in 2005, focuses on P2P lending and remains
private
• Took 8 years to reach first billion, only six months to reach
second
• Founded in 2006, focuses on business lending
• Quarterly origination volume grew from $61mn/qt in 4Q12
to $313mn/qt in 3Q14; currently has $433 million in loans
outstanding
• Founded in 2011
• Offers refinancing options for students
• No residual risk on originated loans
Lending
Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015
Enablers for
Growth
• Data availability
• Supportive regulation
• Risk-taking investors
• Educated borrowers
• Effective platforms
• Third-party service providers
• Socialization of finance
Risks
Outlook
• Investors’ lack of experience
• Making access to capital too easy
• Sustainability and stability still to be tested
• Systemic rick arising from unregulated sector; regulation likely to increase
• Millennial small business owners are 5 times more likely to use
P2P lending than Boomers
• Consolidation
• Internationalization of payments
• Industry formalization
Business
Models
Market
Segments
Going
Forward
Major
Players
Growth
FinTech
Disruptor
Lending
Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015
Business
Models
Market
Segments
Going
Forward
Major
Players
Growth
FinTech
Disruptor
How Does it Work?
Lending
Club
Partner Bank
(not owned by lending platform)
Investors, banks, institutional
whole loan buyers
Borrowers
(1) Application
(2) Commitment
(5) Cash
(9) Loan Note
(8) Origination Fee
(6) Cash
(7) Loan Note
(4) Loan Note
(3) Net loan proceeds
FinTech Firms in Lending Benefitted from Changes in Regulation
Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015
Changes in regulation are driving businesses out of traditional banking system and into new players
Lending Product Regulation Impact Opportunities
Personal
• CARD Act
• Stricter capital requirements
Diluted returns for banks from higher
capital requirements
Increased credit card interest rates
Non-banks not subject to higher capital
requirements
Can price below banks
Small Business
• CCAR
• Focus on concentration and pricing
Regulated banks unable to price risk
in lower credit loans
Non-banks can change to higher rates
on loans with higher risks
Leverage
• OCC Guidance, “Skin in the game”
rules for securitizers, CCAR
Regulated banks unable to take on
riskier deals
Non-banks tap into riskier deals
Commercial Real Estate
• Basel III
• CCAR
Diluted returns for banks from higher
capital requirements
Other lenders can tap into more
complex deals
Mortgage Banking
• Basel III, Home Mortgage Disclosure
Act, Qualified Mortgage rules for
underwriting, “Skin in the game”
rules for securitizers
Banks have to sell MSRs and decrease
number of mortgage originations
Non-banks have doubled their market
share in mortgage origination
Student
• More oversight by CFPB, 2010
elimination of FFEL loan program,
possible student loan bankruptcy
reform
Big banks stopped originating student
loans, divesting into run-off portfolios
Marketplace lenders’ business model
focused on refinancing student loans at
lower rates
Business
Models
Market
Segments
Going
Forward
Major
Players
Growth
FinTech
Disruptor
Lending
Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015
Market Overview
Business
Models
Market
Segments
Going
Forward
Major
Players
Growth
FinTech
Disruptor
FinTech lending platforms accounted for $60-70
billion in outstanding loan volumes in 2014
Loans worth $40 billion in China and $5
billion in the U.S.
Total addressable unsecured consumer loan
market estimated at $270 billion, out of
which Lending Club and Prosper, the two largest
players, have 1.8% market share
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
Crowdfunding Wealth Management Payments Unsecured Personal
Lending
Small Business Loans Student Loans Annual Loan
Origination of
Mortgages
Market Size (bn)
Immediately Addressable (bn)
Factors Enabling the Industry’s Growth
Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015
Broad Opportunities
Millennials are 5 times more likely than Boomers
to use P2P lending for their small businesses
HENRY’s: Tapping into
under-served markets,
the High Earners, Not Yet Rich
Business
Models
Market
Segments
Going
Forward
Major
Players
Growth
FinTech
Disruptor
$4 trillion of immediately addressable revenue in
the socialization of finance sector
50% of Millennials
believe tech start-ups will
overhaul banks
33% of Millennials believe they will
not need a bank in 5 years and only 50%
expect to use cash on a weekly basis by 2020
Risks Going Forward
• Regulatory Response as FinTech firms become large
• Funding Sources
• Lending Laws
• Operational Structure – technology risk, data protection,
relationship with traditional banks
• Incumbent banks will respond – JP Morgan & OnDeck
• Consolidation
Regulatory Uncertainty Going Forward
China
People’s Bank of China: Online Payments
China Banking Regulatory Comm: Peer to Peer (P2P)
China Securities Regulatory Comm: Crowdfunding
China Insurance Regulatory Comm: Online Insurance

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Fin Tech as a Disruptor of Financial Services

  • 1. Reena Aggarwal Robert E. McDonough Professor of Finance Director, Georgetown Center for Financial Markets and Policy FinTech as a Disruptor of Financial Services Disruptive Innovations in Financial Services Institute for Financial Services Analytics Alfred Lerner College of Business & Economics University of Delaware March 2016
  • 2. Disruption in Financial Services • Address societal challenges • Financial inclusion • Inequality issues • Access to capital • SMEs • Our work with the World Economic Forum/World Bank
  • 3. •FinTech: Use of technology and innovative business models in financial services •Companies provide financial services through the use of technology – These companies provide products and services to users through online and/or mobile channels FinTech Characteristics Innovation •Innovative solutions have disrupted the traditional financial services industry •Promises to include un-served and under-served markets •Have increasingly provided funding for SMEs especially after the Great Recession •Face lower costs Focus Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015 •Single-purpose solutions: Offer a better experience in a single product or service •New sets of products: Tailored for small businesses FinTech as a Disruptor of Financial Services Business Models Market Segments Going Forward Major Players Growth FinTech Disruptor
  • 4. Factors Enabling the Industry’s Growth Business Models Market Segments Going Forward Major Players Growth FinTech Disruptor Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015 Regulation Regulated banks face higher costs for lines of business FinTech firms are tapping into Technology Macro Environment Big data analytics increasingly available Online financial transactions, alongside big data analysis, have lowered costs and increased speed Low interest rates and low loan default rates allow for credit creation; the former has increased the demand for loans while the latter has increased investors’ willingness to lend Investors are seeking assets with higher yields & are comfortable with higher risk profiles of borrowers Risks 1. Limited investor protection 2. Defaulting borrowers 3. Systemic risk associated with lack of regulation
  • 5. The Growth of FinTech Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015 • Reduced the availability of credit for individuals and small businesses • Triggered regulations that have since hampered traditional banks’ ability to meet the needs of SMEs, among others • Big opportunity for FinTech firms Great Recession 2007-2008 2005-2011 2013-2014 2015 New players emerged: • Prosper (2005) • Lending Club (2006) • OnDeck (2006) • Kabbage (2009) • SoFi (2011) New Players Investment in FinTech companies grew by four times in one year, reaching $12 billion in 2014 Threat to Banks • 68% of bank respondents believe their small business lending activities were under “high threat” from FinTech firms Growth Business Models Market Segments Going Forward Major Players Growth FinTech Disruptor
  • 6. Factors Enabling the Industry’s Growth Business Models Market Segments Going Forward Major Players Growth FinTech Disruptor Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015 Approval Rates for Small Business Loans 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Alternative Lenders Institutional Investors Credit Union Small Bank Big Bank
  • 7. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Millennials Gen X Boomers Matures Millennials Prefer Online and Mobile More than Other Generations Online Giving Mobile Giving FinTech as a Disruptor of Financial Services Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015 Facts Business Models Market Segments Going Forward Major Players Growth FinTech Disruptor Mobile P2P payments in the U.S. reached $16bn in 2015 and are estimated to reach $86bn in 2018 P2P loan issuance grew by 65 times from 2009 to 2014 on Lending Club and Prosper, reaching $1.7bn Non-banks’ share of mortgage originations went from 10% in 2009 to 42% in 2014 60-80 countries already have a lending platform or one expected to launch soon
  • 8. $1.5 $2.7 $5.1 $10.0 $0.0 $2.0 $4.0 $6.0 $8.0 $10.0 $12.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 FundinginBillions Year Aggregate Amount of Funding Through Crowdfunding FinTech as a Disruptor of Financial Services Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015 Facts Business Models Market Segments Going Forward Major Players Growth FinTech Disruptor Kickstarter crowdfunding platform has reached $1.6 bn in pledges alone, its largest campaign raised $17+ million
  • 9. The Growth of FinTech Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Year 2013 Year 2014 InvestmentinBillionsofUSD Investment in FinTech Firms 27% 16% 57% Breakdown Consumer Lending Business Lending Others Business Models Market Segments Going Forward Major Players Growth FinTech Disruptor
  • 10. Lending Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015 Business Models Models: • Balance sheet lenders • Marketplace lenders • Hybrids Focus on: • P2P lending, Small business lending, Leveraged lending, Student lending, Mortgage lending, Commercial Real Estate Lending Key Characteristics • Unsecured lending • Either mediated or direct flow of funds • Retail or institutional investors • Innovative credit scoring models • Low cost structure and more accurate pricing • Less regulatory obligations and capital requirements than bank counterparts Business Models Market Segments Going Forward Major Players Growth FinTech Disruptor Practice of lending money to borrowers without traditional financial intermediary
  • 11. Market Segments, Business Models, and the Main Players Business Models Market Segments Going Forward Major Players Growth FinTech Disruptor Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015 Lending Merchant and e-Commerce Finance Invoice Finance Supply Chain Finance Trade Finance
  • 12.
  • 13. Lending Business Models Market Segments Going Forward Major Players Growth FinTech Disruptor Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015 Lending Club and Prosper had 129% CAGR in collective originations 4Q09 to 3Q14 Main Players Description • P2P lending platform founded in 2006, IPO’d in 2014 (LC) • Biggest player, yet only has 2% of market share ($4bn in $240bn market) • Founded in 2005, focuses on P2P lending and remains private • Took 8 years to reach first billion, only six months to reach second • Founded in 2006, focuses on business lending • Quarterly origination volume grew from $61mn/qt in 4Q12 to $313mn/qt in 3Q14; currently has $433 million in loans outstanding • Founded in 2011 • Offers refinancing options for students • No residual risk on originated loans
  • 14.
  • 15. Lending Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015 Enablers for Growth • Data availability • Supportive regulation • Risk-taking investors • Educated borrowers • Effective platforms • Third-party service providers • Socialization of finance Risks Outlook • Investors’ lack of experience • Making access to capital too easy • Sustainability and stability still to be tested • Systemic rick arising from unregulated sector; regulation likely to increase • Millennial small business owners are 5 times more likely to use P2P lending than Boomers • Consolidation • Internationalization of payments • Industry formalization Business Models Market Segments Going Forward Major Players Growth FinTech Disruptor
  • 16. Lending Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015 Business Models Market Segments Going Forward Major Players Growth FinTech Disruptor How Does it Work? Lending Club Partner Bank (not owned by lending platform) Investors, banks, institutional whole loan buyers Borrowers (1) Application (2) Commitment (5) Cash (9) Loan Note (8) Origination Fee (6) Cash (7) Loan Note (4) Loan Note (3) Net loan proceeds
  • 17. FinTech Firms in Lending Benefitted from Changes in Regulation Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015 Changes in regulation are driving businesses out of traditional banking system and into new players Lending Product Regulation Impact Opportunities Personal • CARD Act • Stricter capital requirements Diluted returns for banks from higher capital requirements Increased credit card interest rates Non-banks not subject to higher capital requirements Can price below banks Small Business • CCAR • Focus on concentration and pricing Regulated banks unable to price risk in lower credit loans Non-banks can change to higher rates on loans with higher risks Leverage • OCC Guidance, “Skin in the game” rules for securitizers, CCAR Regulated banks unable to take on riskier deals Non-banks tap into riskier deals Commercial Real Estate • Basel III • CCAR Diluted returns for banks from higher capital requirements Other lenders can tap into more complex deals Mortgage Banking • Basel III, Home Mortgage Disclosure Act, Qualified Mortgage rules for underwriting, “Skin in the game” rules for securitizers Banks have to sell MSRs and decrease number of mortgage originations Non-banks have doubled their market share in mortgage origination Student • More oversight by CFPB, 2010 elimination of FFEL loan program, possible student loan bankruptcy reform Big banks stopped originating student loans, divesting into run-off portfolios Marketplace lenders’ business model focused on refinancing student loans at lower rates Business Models Market Segments Going Forward Major Players Growth FinTech Disruptor
  • 18. Lending Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015 Market Overview Business Models Market Segments Going Forward Major Players Growth FinTech Disruptor FinTech lending platforms accounted for $60-70 billion in outstanding loan volumes in 2014 Loans worth $40 billion in China and $5 billion in the U.S. Total addressable unsecured consumer loan market estimated at $270 billion, out of which Lending Club and Prosper, the two largest players, have 1.8% market share
  • 19. 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 Crowdfunding Wealth Management Payments Unsecured Personal Lending Small Business Loans Student Loans Annual Loan Origination of Mortgages Market Size (bn) Immediately Addressable (bn) Factors Enabling the Industry’s Growth Sources: “The Future of FinTech: A Paradigm Shift in Small Business Finance” World Economic Forum. Oct, 2015. and “The Future of Finance” Parts I-III by Nash, Ryan and Beardsley, Eric. Goldman Sachs. March 2015 Broad Opportunities Millennials are 5 times more likely than Boomers to use P2P lending for their small businesses HENRY’s: Tapping into under-served markets, the High Earners, Not Yet Rich Business Models Market Segments Going Forward Major Players Growth FinTech Disruptor $4 trillion of immediately addressable revenue in the socialization of finance sector 50% of Millennials believe tech start-ups will overhaul banks 33% of Millennials believe they will not need a bank in 5 years and only 50% expect to use cash on a weekly basis by 2020
  • 20. Risks Going Forward • Regulatory Response as FinTech firms become large • Funding Sources • Lending Laws • Operational Structure – technology risk, data protection, relationship with traditional banks • Incumbent banks will respond – JP Morgan & OnDeck • Consolidation
  • 21. Regulatory Uncertainty Going Forward China People’s Bank of China: Online Payments China Banking Regulatory Comm: Peer to Peer (P2P) China Securities Regulatory Comm: Crowdfunding China Insurance Regulatory Comm: Online Insurance