The document discusses the economics of high tunnel farming. It outlines several advantages of high tunnels such as earlier and later harvest seasons compared to field farming. It also discusses costs associated with high tunnel construction and operation. Profitability analyses are presented comparing scenarios with different yield and pricing levels. The key factors that influence profitability are yield per plant, selling price per pound, and total costs of production. The document emphasizes the importance of setting prices that are profitable yet perceived as fair value by customers.
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Basics of high tunnel economics high tunnel conference 12 2010
1. Basics of High Tunnel
Economics
Statewide High Tunnel Conference
December 2, 2010
Karl Foord
University of Minnesota Extension
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2. Today’s presentation
Advantages of high tunnels
reviewed
Business strategy
discussion
Concerns reconsidered
Financial picture
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3. Advantages of High
Tunnels
4-8 weeks earlier spring
production
2-5 weeks later possible fall
production
Very high yield per plant
Reduce cull fruit
Very cost effective
Guarantee a crop
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4. Advantages of High Tunnels
cont.
Crop mix
Grow crops not usually grown in
the area
Natural disease control
Usually no pesticides needed
Insect control
Organic production
Control water
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5. The Trump of Advantages
4 – 8 weeks earlier spring
production
New niche
Customer behavior
Competitive Quality with field
product
Price and margin continuation into
field season
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6. The Trump of Advantages –
cont.
Fresh produce in high demand
after long winter
Selling early crops much-needed
spring income
Produce for the first markets –
advantage
Customers in the habit of coming to
your booth first, and continuing for
whole season
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7. Business Strategy
Discussion
If you are in the fresh
vegetable business how will
you respond to High Tunnel
Competitors?
How will you address the
key features of the 4 – 8
week earlier produce?
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8. Concerns of High Tunnels
Cost involved
Education
Planning
Management
Time
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9. The Trump of Concerns
Costs
Pricing
Margins
Let’s look at each in turn
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10. Costs
Capital costs
Buying and erecting a High
Tunnel
Establishing maintenance
systems to monitor irrigation and
temperature
Operation costs
Tomato budget and assumptions
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11. Capital costs
Buyingand erecting a
High Tunnel
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12. High Tunnel Construction Costs (24' x 96')
Cost Range
Item
Low High
Site Prep. Site specific
Base Upgrade Options Ship-
Distributor
Gothic Kit Door ping
Frame Kit
J.R. Johnson $5,535 $196 $5,535 $5,731
man- Where on the learning
Local Labor 114 $15 per hr. $1,710
hours curve?
Const-
Professional
ruction Per sq. ft. basis Cost per tunnel 2304 sq. ft.
Construction
Estimate $0.50 to $1.00 $1,152 to $2,304 $ $2,304
Non-kit Materials obtained locally for: baseboards, hipboards, rope (may want extra
$300 $500
Materials screws and metal banding)
Irrigation Includes: set up, headers, drip tape $200 $400
Misc. Miscellaneous items not anticipated $100 $200
Totals Construction cost range based on above estimates $7,845 $9,135
J.R. Johnson http://www.hightunnelhub.com/Hightunnel; http://www.farmtek.com;
Note http://www.ledgewoodfarm.com
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15. TUNNEL CROP BUDGET - TOMATOES
Assumptions
Planting rate - 64 plants per 96 ft Variable
Yield
Tunnel dimensions: 96' by 20' expenses -
(lbs./tunnel)
96 ft x 20 x 5 rows = 320 plants per tunnel interest
Yield at 7 lbs. per plant = 2,240 $1,865
Yield at 10 lbs. per plant = 3,200 $2,011
Yield at 14 lbs. per plant = 4,480 $2,150
Yield at 17 lbs. per plant = 5,440 $2,365
Yield at 20 lbs. per plant = 6,400 $2,580
Land area = 1.2 x area of tunnel
Interest expense = 7% loan 9 month term on: variable expenses
Labor @ $10 per hour; Transplants @ $.50 ea
* assigned a land preparation charge in lieu of machinery and equipment expenses
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16. HIGH TUNNEL PRODUCTION SYSTEM - SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Yield Cost Breakeven
YIELD (lbs. per plant) 7 10 14 17 20
YIELD (lbs. per tunnel) 2,240 3,200 4,480 5,440 6,400
TOTAL VARIABLE COSTS $1,497 $1,651 $1,798 $2,025 $2,252
TOTAL FIXED COSTS $730 $730 $730 $730 $730
TOTAL COSTS $2,693 $2,847 $2,993 $3,219 $3,445
BREAKEVEN PRICE
32# box $38.47 $28.47 $21.38 $18.94 $17.23
per pound $1.20 $0.89 $0.67 $0.59 $0.54
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17. Enterprise Profitability
Profitability analysis (Net
Present Value )
Combine capital costs and
operational costs
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18. HIGH TUNNEL PRODUCTION SYSTEM - SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Profitability Scenarios ( 5 year life expectancy of tunnel)
Scenario # 1 - Low Price ($1.50) / Low Yield (7 lbs. per plant)
YEAR
YEAR 0 1 2 3 4 5
AVERAGE YIELD (lbs. per tunnel) 2240 2240 2240 2240 2240
AVERAGE PRICE (per pound) $1.50 $1.50 $1.50 $1.50 $1.50
REVENUES $3,360 $3,360 $3,360 $3,360 $3,360
EXPENSES $2,693 $2,693 $2,693 $2,693 $2,693
PROFIT / CASH FLOW ($8,500) $667 $667 $667 $667 $667
PV OF CASH FLOW @ 7.50 % ($8,500) $620 $577 $537 $499 $465
NPV @ 7.50 % $2,699
($5,801)
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19. HIGH TUNNEL PRODUCTION SYSTEM - SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Profitability Scenarios ( 5 year life expectancy of tunnel)
Scenario # 2 - Medium Price ($2.50) / Medium Yield (14 lbs. per plant)
YEAR
YEAR 0 1 2 3 4 5
AVERAGE YIELD (lbs. per tunnel) 4480 4480 4480 4480 4480
AVERAGE PRICE (per pound) $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50
REVENUES $11,200 $11,200 $11,200 $11,200 $11,200
EXPENSES $2,993 $2,993 $2,993 $2,993 $2,993
PROFIT / CASH FLOW ($8,500) $8,207 $8,207 $8,207 $8,207 $8,207
PV OF CASH FLOW @ 7.50 % ($8,500) $7,634 $7,102 $6,606 $6,145 $5,717
NPV @ 7.50 % $33,205
$24,705
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20. HIGH TUNNEL PRODUCTION SYSTEM - SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Profitability Scenarios ( 5 year life expectancy of tunnel)
Scenario # 3 - High Price ($4.00) / High Yield (20 lbs. per plant)
YEAR
YEAR 0 1 2 3 4 5
AVERAGE YIELD (lbs. per tunnel) 6400 6400 6400 6400 6400
AVERAGE PRICE (per pound) $4.00 $4.00 $4.00 $4.00 $4.00
REVENUES $25,600 $25,600 $25,600 $25,600 $25,600
EXPENSES $3,445 $3,445 $3,445 $3,445 $3,445
PROFIT / CASH FLOW ($8,500) $22,155 $22,155 $22,155 $22,155 $22,155
PV OF CASH FLOW @ 7.50 % ($8,500) $20,609 $19,171 $17,834 $16,590 $15,432
NPV @ 7.50 % $89,637
$81,137
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21. Pricing
Do not be afraid to ask a
profitable price for your
produce
Customers need to be aware
that it costs more to produce
early crops
Highest quality is the only crop
you should market
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22. Customer perceptions
Exchange – Something of
Value for an amount of
satisfaction
The perceived value > the
price
Largely behavioral not
mathematical
Usually an emotional trigger
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23. Price Sensitivity /
Behavior
Price ~ Quality
Unique ~ Value
Fairness
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24. What Are We Really Selling?
“Revlon sells chemicals
Women buy glamour”
Fruits and vegetables
Flowers
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25. What Are People Really
Buying?
Health
Taste
The experience of the
market itself
Support of local growers
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26. Pricing Decision Chart
Pricing COMPANY VIEW OUR
Goal OUR COSTS - OUR GOALS ASKING
($) PRICE
Profit Profitable Enterprise
WIN - WIN
EXCHANGE
Fixed Costs
Total Costs LOSE - WIN
EXCHANGE
Overhead
Salaries, Etc…
Variable Costs
Direct Costs
Materials
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27. Pricing Decision Chart
OUR CUSTOMER CUSTOMER VIEW
ASKING VALUE SATISFY A NEED
PRICE DETERMINATION Customer's Pricing Goal
Perceived Value > Price
NO
EXCHANGE PERCEIVED VALUE
WIN - WIN FOCUS OF MARKETING EFFORTS
EXCHANGE
Perception Factors
LOSE - WIN EMOTIONAL Convenience
EXCHANGE BENEFIT Reference Prices
Other Key Perception Factors:
FUNCTIONALITY Quality - Freshness
Access - hours
Choice / Uniqueness
Method of production
Employee Attitude
Exceptionally Low Prices can
Generate a Low Perceived Value
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28. PRICING DECISION CHART
COMPANY VIEW Customer CUSTOMER VIEW
Our Asking
Value Satisfy a Want
Price
Our Costs - Our Goals Determination
Perceived Value > Price
Pricing
Goal ($) No Exchange Line of Perceived Value
Profit
Profitable Enterprise WIN - WIN Exchange
Focus of Marketing Efforts
LOSE - WIN WIN - LOSE
Total Costs Exchange Exchange
Perception Factors
Convenience
Fixed Costs
Reference Prices
Overhead Salaries, Etc…
Context - Urgency
Emotional Health Benefits
Benefit
Selection - Uniqueness
Variable Costs
Confidence: no frustrations or headaches
Quality - Reputation - Dependability
Direct Costs Materials
Philosophical Match - Ecological
Functionality
Low Perceived Value
J.R. Johnson - September 9, 2010, Karl Foord
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29. Improving customer
experience
Parking & Access
Ease of movement within
market
Stall Presentation
Comfort in all weather
5 Sense your market
Taste, touch, smell, sight,
sound
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30. Understand
Key customer perception factors
Product use & impact of attributes
on value
Value varies among buyers
Manage customer perception
proactively
Expand gap between value
received and price paid
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31. References
http://plasticulture.cas.psu.edu
http://www.plasticulture.org
Minnesota High Tunnel Web Site
http://hightunnels.cfans.umn.edu/
http:// hightunnels.org
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32. High Tunnel Manual on the
Web
www.extension.umn.edu
Click on garden
See “ Whats new on the Web”
Or go direct
www.extension.umn.edu/distribution/horti
culture/M1218.html
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33. Other High Tunnel
Suppliers
Farmtek
http://www.farmtek.com
1440 Field of Dreams Way, Dyersville, IA
52040
Ledgewood Farm
http://www.ledgewoodfarm.com
132 Old Mountain RD, Moultonborough,
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34. Author
Karl Foord Ph.D. MBA
Regional Educator, Horticulture
foord001@umn.edu
(651) 558-1218
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35. Handouts
Tomato Budget (2 sided assumptions on
back)
Tomato Sensitivity Analysis (financial)
High Tunnel Construction Budget
MN High Tunnel Season Extension 12/5/08 - 35
Karl Foord
Notas del editor
Terry’s comment: The people that are successful with high tunnels treat them like a dairy cow .
Consider this a tool for your chosen costs and features
Critical thing to remember is that you need to develop your own budget This one can’t possibly be yours and good exercise to go through your numbers Depreciation is low
If we know our entry input costs and we have a budget we can determine the profitability of the enterprise based on yield and price assumptions. We assume that the tunnel has a 5 year life thus 5 years to absorb the costs of the initial investment
Obviously as yield and price increase the enterprise profitability increases
If we use optimistic assumptions we can see where Dallas can make his statement of paying for the tunnel in two years Used as a tool we can change the costs of construction at year 0 and see how long it takes to pay for the initial investment
Guy with railroad injury – emotional trigger – grain marketing
Price-Quality Challenge Lexus vs. Mercedes – the system is dynamic People who get comfortable with the status quo do so at their own peril Fairness – most people think it is fair to pass on your increased costs i.e. our situation – some will think not - coke machines whose price varies with ambient temperature Unique – University of Minnesota – don’t ever discount your data or your ability to interpret it – we are not a commodity, will never be a commodity, and we would be making a critical error to ever consider ourselves to be one Behaviors: Give people the option to continue their learning with your materials
Talk about Kevin CFFM and their consultant – features vs. client benefits Farmers may have a different perspective on the “cool” parts of software than Win
The visual side of roundup ready fields Bailey’s view on the taste of his wine – what about a French lady bug All things being equal what can you add in this realm – HP Calculators Experience Engineering Inc. - Michael Vance and Walt Disney
Mark Boen – Customers talked about the great taste of the lettuce – they loved the variety Did you hear Mark talk about his customer responses?!! Did you hear him talk about the color shape mouth feel taste of the greens about the great characteristics of his cucumbers Orgasmic as a descriptor!! Did you hear his attitude, what wouldn’t you buy from him? 3rd grade teacher 9 Rubber duckie Berry Ridge Farm – Ron Branch’s farm His customer base has expanded through family lineages Is this the Hatfield McCoy’s or the Pleasantville McCoy’s? Did you hear him talk about his boys?