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Energy and The Election
                               The National Press Club

                                     October 16, 2012


                                   Dean Thomas Gilligan
                              The McCombs School of Business
             Dr. Wayne Hoyer                               Sheril Kirshenbaum
Executive Director of The Energy Poll Project           Director of The Energy Poll
Impartial and authoritative source of public
     perspectives on energy to inform and guide
discussion, business planning and policy development



              Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 2
Background
    • First questionnaire developed in 2010 (Inaugural launch Oct. 2011)
    •Collaborative effort with representatives from academic institutions, polling
    companies, non-governmental organizations, energy producers and energy
    consumers

Third release
    • Online survey conducted September 6-17, 2012
    • 2,092 respondents, weighted to reflect U.S. Census demographics

General Topics
• Energy prices and availability
• Energy concerns
• Satisfaction with government
• Consumer behaviors and voting preferences
• Hot topic: Energy and the Election

                       Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 3
When it comes to dealing with energy issues that face our
          nation, do you think things are headed in the...?




September 2011 Base: 3406, March 2012 Base: 2371, September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                       Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 4
Looking ahead, do you expect that 6 months from today, the
                       price for gasoline will…?




September 2011 Base: 3406, March 2012 Base: 2371, September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                       Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 5
How likely are you to seek more information about each of the
                   following in the next 6 months?




March 2012 Base: 2371, September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                       Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 6
Over the next five years, how do you think U.S. energy policy will
affect your choices for more affordable and clean energy?




March 2012 Base: 2371, September 2012 Base: 2092
All results based on weighted data
                                       Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 7
Over the next five years, how do you think U.S. energy policy will
affect your choices for more affordable and clean energy?




September 2012 Base: 2092
All results based on weighted data
                                     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 8
Who do you trust to provide information on
                                    how to conserve energy?

                                                                   %




September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 9
Who do you trust to provide information on
                                    how to conserve energy?

                                                                   %




September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 10
Do you trust the academic/scientific community to provide
                   information on how to conserve energy?




September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 11
Do you trust oil and gas companies to provide
                           information on how to conserve energy?




September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 12
How likely is it that you will do each of the following
                                within the next 5 years?




September 2011 Base: 3406, September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                       Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 13
How likely is it that you will do each of the following
                                within the next 5 years?




September 2011 Base: 3406, September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                       Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 14
How likely is it that you will use “smart meter” technology
                               within the next 5 years?




September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 15
Which benefits do you most associate with
                                renewable energy sources?




          %




September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 16
Which benefits do you most associate with
                                renewable energy sources?




          %




September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 17
How satisfied are you with the job that each is doing to
            address the energy issues most important to you?




September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 18
Compared to most people you know, how knowledgeable are
     you about how energy is produced, delivered and used?




September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 19
Compared to most people you know, how knowledgeable are
     you about how energy is produced, delivered and used?




September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 20
Do you think climate change is occurring?




March 2012 Base: 2371, July 2012 Base: 1029. September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                        Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 21
Do you think climate change is occurring?


                                                                                                                Sep-12
                                                                                                              80% of both
                                                                                                                 African
                                                                                                             Americans and
                                                                                                              Hispanics say
                                                                                                            climate change is
                                                                                                                occurring




March 2012 Base: 2371, July 2012 Base: 1029. September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                        Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012               Page 22
Do you think climate change is occurring?




March 2012 Base: 2371, July 2012 Base: 1029. September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                        Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 23
Do you think climate change is occurring?




                                                                                                            Alabama
                                                                                                            Arkansas
                                                                                                            District of Columbia
                                                                                                            Delaware
                                                                                                            Florida
                                                                                                            Georgia
                                                                                                            Kentucky
                                                                                                            Louisiana
                                                                                                            Maryland
                                                                                                            Mississippi
                                                                                                            North Carolina
                                                                                                            Oklahoma
                                                                                                            South Carolina
                                                                                                            Tennessee
                                                                                                            Texas
                                                                                                            Virginia
                                                                                                            West Virginia




March 2012 Base: 2371, July 2012 Base: 1029. September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                        Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012                  Page 24
Indicate if you think each of the following is a significant factor
                            contributing to global climate change:




September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 25
Do you support or oppose the use of nuclear energy?




September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 26
Do you support or oppose the use of nuclear energy?


                                                                                              37% of those who say
                                                                                              climate change is
                                                                                              occurring support nuclear




                                                                                                         60% of those who say
                                                                                                         climate change isn’t
                                                                                                         occurring support
                                                                                                         nuclear




September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012                     Page 27
Which presidential candidate do you believe has the
                     best energy platform for the country?




September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 28
Which presidential candidate do you believe has the
                     best energy platform for the country?




September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 29
Would you be more likely to vote for a
                              presidential candidate who supports..?




September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 30
Would you be more likely to vote for a
                              presidential candidate who supports..?




September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 31
Would you be more likely to vote for a presidential candidate
  who supports decreasing the use of coal as an energy source?




September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 32
How concerned are you about each of the following?




September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 33
To what extent do you agree or disagree with the statement:
    “The President has the power to manage the cost of gasoline.”




September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 34
Who or what do you believe is most responsible for
                       the price of gasoline at the pump?




September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 35
Would you be more likely to vote for a presidential candidate who
         promises to make gasoline less expensive?




September 2012 Base: 2092.
All results based on weighted data
                                     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 36
%




Percentage of people who selected the issues as 1st or 2nd choices.




July 2012, UT Energy Poll, with American Clean Skies Foundation and Politico All
results based on weighted data
                                           Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 37
For more information:

            www.utenergypoll.com

sheril.kirshenbaum@mccombs.utexas.edu

                    (512) 232-5942



     Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012   Page 38

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Energy and Election Poll

  • 1. Energy and The Election The National Press Club October 16, 2012 Dean Thomas Gilligan The McCombs School of Business Dr. Wayne Hoyer Sheril Kirshenbaum Executive Director of The Energy Poll Project Director of The Energy Poll
  • 2. Impartial and authoritative source of public perspectives on energy to inform and guide discussion, business planning and policy development Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 2
  • 3. Background • First questionnaire developed in 2010 (Inaugural launch Oct. 2011) •Collaborative effort with representatives from academic institutions, polling companies, non-governmental organizations, energy producers and energy consumers Third release • Online survey conducted September 6-17, 2012 • 2,092 respondents, weighted to reflect U.S. Census demographics General Topics • Energy prices and availability • Energy concerns • Satisfaction with government • Consumer behaviors and voting preferences • Hot topic: Energy and the Election Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 3
  • 4. When it comes to dealing with energy issues that face our nation, do you think things are headed in the...? September 2011 Base: 3406, March 2012 Base: 2371, September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 4
  • 5. Looking ahead, do you expect that 6 months from today, the price for gasoline will…? September 2011 Base: 3406, March 2012 Base: 2371, September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 5
  • 6. How likely are you to seek more information about each of the following in the next 6 months? March 2012 Base: 2371, September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 6
  • 7. Over the next five years, how do you think U.S. energy policy will affect your choices for more affordable and clean energy? March 2012 Base: 2371, September 2012 Base: 2092 All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 7
  • 8. Over the next five years, how do you think U.S. energy policy will affect your choices for more affordable and clean energy? September 2012 Base: 2092 All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 8
  • 9. Who do you trust to provide information on how to conserve energy? % September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 9
  • 10. Who do you trust to provide information on how to conserve energy? % September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 10
  • 11. Do you trust the academic/scientific community to provide information on how to conserve energy? September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 11
  • 12. Do you trust oil and gas companies to provide information on how to conserve energy? September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 12
  • 13. How likely is it that you will do each of the following within the next 5 years? September 2011 Base: 3406, September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 13
  • 14. How likely is it that you will do each of the following within the next 5 years? September 2011 Base: 3406, September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 14
  • 15. How likely is it that you will use “smart meter” technology within the next 5 years? September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 15
  • 16. Which benefits do you most associate with renewable energy sources? % September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 16
  • 17. Which benefits do you most associate with renewable energy sources? % September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 17
  • 18. How satisfied are you with the job that each is doing to address the energy issues most important to you? September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 18
  • 19. Compared to most people you know, how knowledgeable are you about how energy is produced, delivered and used? September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 19
  • 20. Compared to most people you know, how knowledgeable are you about how energy is produced, delivered and used? September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 20
  • 21. Do you think climate change is occurring? March 2012 Base: 2371, July 2012 Base: 1029. September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 21
  • 22. Do you think climate change is occurring? Sep-12 80% of both African Americans and Hispanics say climate change is occurring March 2012 Base: 2371, July 2012 Base: 1029. September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 22
  • 23. Do you think climate change is occurring? March 2012 Base: 2371, July 2012 Base: 1029. September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 23
  • 24. Do you think climate change is occurring? Alabama Arkansas District of Columbia Delaware Florida Georgia Kentucky Louisiana Maryland Mississippi North Carolina Oklahoma South Carolina Tennessee Texas Virginia West Virginia March 2012 Base: 2371, July 2012 Base: 1029. September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 24
  • 25. Indicate if you think each of the following is a significant factor contributing to global climate change: September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 25
  • 26. Do you support or oppose the use of nuclear energy? September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 26
  • 27. Do you support or oppose the use of nuclear energy? 37% of those who say climate change is occurring support nuclear 60% of those who say climate change isn’t occurring support nuclear September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 27
  • 28. Which presidential candidate do you believe has the best energy platform for the country? September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 28
  • 29. Which presidential candidate do you believe has the best energy platform for the country? September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 29
  • 30. Would you be more likely to vote for a presidential candidate who supports..? September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 30
  • 31. Would you be more likely to vote for a presidential candidate who supports..? September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 31
  • 32. Would you be more likely to vote for a presidential candidate who supports decreasing the use of coal as an energy source? September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 32
  • 33. How concerned are you about each of the following? September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 33
  • 34. To what extent do you agree or disagree with the statement: “The President has the power to manage the cost of gasoline.” September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 34
  • 35. Who or what do you believe is most responsible for the price of gasoline at the pump? September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 35
  • 36. Would you be more likely to vote for a presidential candidate who promises to make gasoline less expensive? September 2012 Base: 2092. All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 36
  • 37. % Percentage of people who selected the issues as 1st or 2nd choices. July 2012, UT Energy Poll, with American Clean Skies Foundation and Politico All results based on weighted data Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 37
  • 38. For more information: www.utenergypoll.com sheril.kirshenbaum@mccombs.utexas.edu (512) 232-5942 Source: University of Texas at Austin Energy Poll, September 2012 Page 38