SlideShare una empresa de Scribd logo
1 de 51
Guy Spier



            May, 2008
Cumulative Return (Net of Fees Since Inception Sep, 1997)



300%



200%



100%



 0%    Historical performance represents Aquamarine Fund, Inc. Returns are based on estimated results as of 12/31/07.



                   Fund                                   DJIU                             S&P 500                      FT 100
Aquamarine Compound Annualized Net Returns
                                  (as of 12/31/07)
                                                   Aquamarine Fund                            S&P 500
30%




20%




10%




0%
                        10-year                                            5-year                                      2-year
      Historical performance represents Aquamarine Fund, Inc. Returns are based on estimated results as of 12/31/07.
Aquamarine Fund Inc. Portfolio Concentration
                    (% of net assets)
120%

100%
80%

60%

40%

20%

 0%
          Top 5       Top 10     Total Invested   Cash
        Positions    Positions
Aquam arine Capital Assets Under Managem ent
                          ($ in millions)
$100


 $80


 $60


 $40


 $20


  $0
       1997   1998   1999   2000   2001 2002   2003 2004   2005   2006 2007
                                      5
Aquamarine Capital Management, LLC

Realized gains and losses since inception




                          Realized Gains
                           = $45.3 mm




                                            Realized
                                             Losses
                                            = $(1.8)
20 Punch Card
1.   Neue Zurcher Zeitung    10.   Nestle
2.   Edipresse               11.   Weetabix
                             12.   Heineken
3.   Duff and Phelps
4.   Moodys                  13.   Kinder Morgan
5.   Crisil                  14.   Plains Resources
                             15.   Crosstex Energy
6.   Investment Technology
     Group                   16.   DeVry
                             17.   EVCI
7.   RLI Insurance           18.   Raffles Education
8.   Berkshire
9.   Aflac
                             7
8
Focus on Great Businesses


   Consumer Brands
   Education
   Credit Rating
   Insurance
   Networks/Infrastructure




                           9
10
Common Characteristics

 Our Investment Candidates:

    – Are cash generative (not dependent on raising additional capital)

    – Have minimal or no leverage

    – Are run by honest management (must allocate capital well)

    – Publish financial reports in English

    – Have a very wide moat
        Low cost operator
        Pricing power/product differentiation
        Other sustainable competitive advantage

    – Have a margin of safety between market price and intrinsic value

    Uncommon characteristics, but can be found all over the world if one is willing to look

                                             11
Consumer Brands
Consumables           Aspiration Brands

Nestle                Nike
Weetabix              Puma
Parmalat              Adidas
Alaska Milk           Asics
Smart Balance         K-Swiss
NamYang Dairy         Everlast
                      Under Armor



                        12
14
Investment Example – Nestle SA




Purchase
Prices
$120 –
$145




           Source: Bloomberg, Aquamarine Fund, Inc., Aquamarine Master Fund, L.P.
           *Adjusted for Splits.


                                                                   15
Weetabix
                                                                                     Sold GBP
                                                                                      54.75




Initial
Purchase
Price GBP
21 - 30




            Source: Bloomberg, Aquamarine Fund, Inc., Aquamarine Master Fund, L.P.




                                                                    17
19
Education


1.   DeVry                  1.        Raffles Education
2.   Corinthian Colleges    2.        IBT Education
3.   Career Education       3.        Nord Anglia Education
4.   Laureate               4.        Stamford College Berhad
5.   Education Management   5.        NIIT
6.   Argosy Education       6.        Kroton
7.   EVCI Career Colleges   7.        AdvTech
8.   UTI                    8.        Far Eastern University




                                 20
Investment Example – DeVry, Inc.
                                                                                     Sale Prices
                                                                                     $28.00 – $58.00




Initial
Purchase
Prices
$15.00 –
$32.00




           Source: Bloomberg, Aquamarine Fund, Inc., Aquamarine Master Fund, L.P .

                                                                        21
23
24
Investment Example – Raffles Education
                                                                                     Sold 80%

           (RLS – Singapore Exchange)                                                of Position
                                                                                     $1.10 - $1.15




Initial
Purchase
Price
$0.25 –
$0.30*




            Source: Bloomberg, Aquamarine Fund, Inc., Aquamarine Master Fund, L.P.
            *Adjusted for Spin Offs and Splits.


                                                                    26
Consumer Brands
Consumables           Aspiration Brands

Nestle                Nike
Weetabix              Puma
Parmalat              Adidas
Alaska Milk           Asics
Smart Balance         K-Swiss
NamYang Dairy         Everlast
                      Under Armor



                        28
29
Investment Example – Nike




Initial
Purchase
Price
$41 - $43




            Source: Bloomberg, Aquamarine Fund, Inc., Aquamarine Master Fund, L.P.




                                                                    30
31
32
Investment Example – Everlast
                                                                                     Acquired
                                                                                       $33




Initial
Purchase
Price
$17 - $20




            Source: Bloomberg, Aquamarine Fund, Inc., Aquamarine Master Fund, L.P.




                                                                    33
Credit Rating

   Duff and Phelps
   Dun and Bradstreet
   Moody’s
   Midroog
   Crisil
   ICRA
   Xinhua Finance
   Pefindo
   Kis Info
                         34
Duff and Phelps Credit Rating
                                                                                        Sale Price
                                                                                          $100




Purchase
Price $15.15




               Source: Bloomberg, Aquamarine Fund, Inc., Aquamarine Master Fund, L.P.




                                                                       35
Moody’s




Initial
Purchase
Price
$10-$12*




           Initial Purchase Price Adjusted for Spin Off from Dunn and Bradstreet.

           Source: Bloomberg, Aquamarine Fund, Inc., Aquamarine Master Fund, L.P.




                                                                       36
CRISIL
           (CRISIL – Credit Rating of India)




Purchase
Prices
$120 –
$550




                                           37
Insurance

   Berkshire Hathaway
   AIG
   Aflac
   Bancinsurance
   Direct General
   IDI (Israel Direct Insurance)




                          38
43
44
Conclusions

Align Incentives With Investors

 90% of my family’s net worth
  invested in the fund
 No significant other investments
 Family a substantial proportion of the
  fund

 Managers should be principals, not
  just agents
                   49
Meeting with Buffett – new share class




   0% of the Assets
   25% of the profits above 6%
   1 year rolling lockup




                            50
Gracias !

     51

Más contenido relacionado

Destacado

Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - NV De Scheepvaart
Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - NV De ScheepvaartLogistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - NV De Scheepvaart
Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - NV De ScheepvaartInnovatiecentrum Limburg vzw
 
Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - Stad hasselt City Depot
Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - Stad hasselt City DepotLogistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - Stad hasselt City Depot
Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - Stad hasselt City DepotInnovatiecentrum Limburg vzw
 
eLearning and Project Management: Free is good freedom is better
eLearning and Project Management: Free is good freedom is bettereLearning and Project Management: Free is good freedom is better
eLearning and Project Management: Free is good freedom is betterSophie Carter
 
Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - Stad hasselt City Depot
Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - Stad hasselt City DepotLogistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - Stad hasselt City Depot
Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - Stad hasselt City DepotInnovatiecentrum Limburg vzw
 
How to use Social Media for your business
How to use Social Media for your businessHow to use Social Media for your business
How to use Social Media for your businessthinktomorrowbe
 
Imágenes congo
Imágenes congoImágenes congo
Imágenes congoMNOspain
 
MeCC: Memory Comparison-based Code Clone Detector
MeCC: Memory Comparison-based Code Clone DetectorMeCC: Memory Comparison-based Code Clone Detector
MeCC: Memory Comparison-based Code Clone Detector영범 정
 
Coping with obsessive compulsive disorder, anger and
Coping with obsessive compulsive disorder, anger andCoping with obsessive compulsive disorder, anger and
Coping with obsessive compulsive disorder, anger andpsychomaniac64
 

Destacado (20)

Katrien Barrat - Duurzaam innoveren in 3 stappen
Katrien Barrat - Duurzaam innoveren in 3 stappenKatrien Barrat - Duurzaam innoveren in 3 stappen
Katrien Barrat - Duurzaam innoveren in 3 stappen
 
Www
WwwWww
Www
 
Tornillo
TornilloTornillo
Tornillo
 
Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - NV De Scheepvaart
Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - NV De ScheepvaartLogistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - NV De Scheepvaart
Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - NV De Scheepvaart
 
Logistieke Barcamp 26 mei 2011 - Asap
Logistieke Barcamp 26 mei 2011 - AsapLogistieke Barcamp 26 mei 2011 - Asap
Logistieke Barcamp 26 mei 2011 - Asap
 
Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - Stad hasselt City Depot
Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - Stad hasselt City DepotLogistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - Stad hasselt City Depot
Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - Stad hasselt City Depot
 
Logistieke Barcamp 12 mei 2011 - Phl
Logistieke Barcamp 12 mei 2011 - PhlLogistieke Barcamp 12 mei 2011 - Phl
Logistieke Barcamp 12 mei 2011 - Phl
 
Luiz Luizzi VIF 2010
Luiz Luizzi VIF 2010Luiz Luizzi VIF 2010
Luiz Luizzi VIF 2010
 
CEIS
CEISCEIS
CEIS
 
Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - Ewals
Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - EwalsLogistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - Ewals
Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - Ewals
 
eLearning and Project Management: Free is good freedom is better
eLearning and Project Management: Free is good freedom is bettereLearning and Project Management: Free is good freedom is better
eLearning and Project Management: Free is good freedom is better
 
Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - Stad hasselt City Depot
Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - Stad hasselt City DepotLogistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - Stad hasselt City Depot
Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - Stad hasselt City Depot
 
How to use Social Media for your business
How to use Social Media for your businessHow to use Social Media for your business
How to use Social Media for your business
 
Imágenes congo
Imágenes congoImágenes congo
Imágenes congo
 
Expeditie mont blanc
Expeditie mont blancExpeditie mont blanc
Expeditie mont blanc
 
Logistieke Barcamp 12 mei 2011 - Pearl chain
Logistieke Barcamp 12 mei 2011 - Pearl chainLogistieke Barcamp 12 mei 2011 - Pearl chain
Logistieke Barcamp 12 mei 2011 - Pearl chain
 
MeCC: Memory Comparison-based Code Clone Detector
MeCC: Memory Comparison-based Code Clone DetectorMeCC: Memory Comparison-based Code Clone Detector
MeCC: Memory Comparison-based Code Clone Detector
 
Machu Picchu
Machu PicchuMachu Picchu
Machu Picchu
 
Coping with obsessive compulsive disorder, anger and
Coping with obsessive compulsive disorder, anger andCoping with obsessive compulsive disorder, anger and
Coping with obsessive compulsive disorder, anger and
 
Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - Tri-Vizor
Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - Tri-VizorLogistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - Tri-Vizor
Logistieke Barcamp 9 juni 2011 - Tri-Vizor
 

Más de Value Investing Forum (10)

FEMSA (José A. Fernández)
FEMSA (José A. Fernández)FEMSA (José A. Fernández)
FEMSA (José A. Fernández)
 
Joao Alves de Queroz VIF 2010
Joao Alves de Queroz VIF 2010Joao Alves de Queroz VIF 2010
Joao Alves de Queroz VIF 2010
 
Ken Shubin Stein VIF 2008.
Ken Shubin Stein VIF 2008.Ken Shubin Stein VIF 2008.
Ken Shubin Stein VIF 2008.
 
Zeke Ashton VIF 2008.
Zeke Ashton VIF 2008.Zeke Ashton VIF 2008.
Zeke Ashton VIF 2008.
 
Whitney Tilson VIF 2008.
Whitney Tilson VIF 2008.Whitney Tilson VIF 2008.
Whitney Tilson VIF 2008.
 
Mohnish Pabrai VIF 2008.
Mohnish Pabrai VIF 2008.Mohnish Pabrai VIF 2008.
Mohnish Pabrai VIF 2008.
 
Whitney Tilson VIF 2009.
Whitney Tilson VIF 2009.Whitney Tilson VIF 2009.
Whitney Tilson VIF 2009.
 
Carlos Labarthe VIF 2010.
Carlos Labarthe VIF 2010.Carlos Labarthe VIF 2010.
Carlos Labarthe VIF 2010.
 
Antonio del Valle VIF 2010.
Antonio del Valle VIF 2010.Antonio del Valle VIF 2010.
Antonio del Valle VIF 2010.
 
Antonio Chedraui VIF 2010
Antonio Chedraui VIF 2010Antonio Chedraui VIF 2010
Antonio Chedraui VIF 2010
 

Último

Call Girls Near Me WhatsApp:+91-9833363713
Call Girls Near Me WhatsApp:+91-9833363713Call Girls Near Me WhatsApp:+91-9833363713
Call Girls Near Me WhatsApp:+91-9833363713Sonam Pathan
 
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh KumarThe Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh KumarHarsh Kumar
 
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办fqiuho152
 
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...Amil baba
 
Governor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraint
Governor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraintGovernor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraint
Governor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraintSuomen Pankki
 
Overview of Inkel Unlisted Shares Price.
Overview of Inkel Unlisted Shares Price.Overview of Inkel Unlisted Shares Price.
Overview of Inkel Unlisted Shares Price.Precize Formely Leadoff
 
Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170
Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170
Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170Sonam Pathan
 
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)ECTIJ
 
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdfStock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdfMichael Silva
 
magnetic-pensions-a-new-blueprint-for-the-dc-landscape.pdf
magnetic-pensions-a-new-blueprint-for-the-dc-landscape.pdfmagnetic-pensions-a-new-blueprint-for-the-dc-landscape.pdf
magnetic-pensions-a-new-blueprint-for-the-dc-landscape.pdfHenry Tapper
 
NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...
NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...
NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...Amil baba
 
The Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance Leader
The Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance LeaderThe Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance Leader
The Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance LeaderArianna Varetto
 
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview documentHouse of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview documentHenry Tapper
 
Call Girls Near Delhi Pride Hotel, New Delhi|9873777170
Call Girls Near Delhi Pride Hotel, New Delhi|9873777170Call Girls Near Delhi Pride Hotel, New Delhi|9873777170
Call Girls Near Delhi Pride Hotel, New Delhi|9873777170Sonam Pathan
 
NO1 WorldWide Love marriage specialist baba ji Amil Baba Kala ilam powerful v...
NO1 WorldWide Love marriage specialist baba ji Amil Baba Kala ilam powerful v...NO1 WorldWide Love marriage specialist baba ji Amil Baba Kala ilam powerful v...
NO1 WorldWide Love marriage specialist baba ji Amil Baba Kala ilam powerful v...Amil baba
 
Bladex 1Q24 Earning Results Presentation
Bladex 1Q24 Earning Results PresentationBladex 1Q24 Earning Results Presentation
Bladex 1Q24 Earning Results PresentationBladex
 
AnyConv.com__FSS Advance Retail & Distribution - 15.06.17.ppt
AnyConv.com__FSS Advance Retail & Distribution - 15.06.17.pptAnyConv.com__FSS Advance Retail & Distribution - 15.06.17.ppt
AnyConv.com__FSS Advance Retail & Distribution - 15.06.17.pptPriyankaSharma89719
 
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdfgovernment_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdfshaunmashale756
 

Último (20)

Call Girls Near Me WhatsApp:+91-9833363713
Call Girls Near Me WhatsApp:+91-9833363713Call Girls Near Me WhatsApp:+91-9833363713
Call Girls Near Me WhatsApp:+91-9833363713
 
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh KumarThe Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
 
Q1 2024 Newsletter | Financial Synergies Wealth Advisors
Q1 2024 Newsletter | Financial Synergies Wealth AdvisorsQ1 2024 Newsletter | Financial Synergies Wealth Advisors
Q1 2024 Newsletter | Financial Synergies Wealth Advisors
 
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办
 
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...
 
Governor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraint
Governor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraintGovernor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraint
Governor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraint
 
Overview of Inkel Unlisted Shares Price.
Overview of Inkel Unlisted Shares Price.Overview of Inkel Unlisted Shares Price.
Overview of Inkel Unlisted Shares Price.
 
Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170
Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170
Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170
 
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
 
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdfStock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdf
 
magnetic-pensions-a-new-blueprint-for-the-dc-landscape.pdf
magnetic-pensions-a-new-blueprint-for-the-dc-landscape.pdfmagnetic-pensions-a-new-blueprint-for-the-dc-landscape.pdf
magnetic-pensions-a-new-blueprint-for-the-dc-landscape.pdf
 
NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...
NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...
NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...
 
The Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance Leader
The Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance LeaderThe Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance Leader
The Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance Leader
 
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview documentHouse of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
 
Call Girls Near Delhi Pride Hotel, New Delhi|9873777170
Call Girls Near Delhi Pride Hotel, New Delhi|9873777170Call Girls Near Delhi Pride Hotel, New Delhi|9873777170
Call Girls Near Delhi Pride Hotel, New Delhi|9873777170
 
NO1 WorldWide Love marriage specialist baba ji Amil Baba Kala ilam powerful v...
NO1 WorldWide Love marriage specialist baba ji Amil Baba Kala ilam powerful v...NO1 WorldWide Love marriage specialist baba ji Amil Baba Kala ilam powerful v...
NO1 WorldWide Love marriage specialist baba ji Amil Baba Kala ilam powerful v...
 
Bladex 1Q24 Earning Results Presentation
Bladex 1Q24 Earning Results PresentationBladex 1Q24 Earning Results Presentation
Bladex 1Q24 Earning Results Presentation
 
AnyConv.com__FSS Advance Retail & Distribution - 15.06.17.ppt
AnyConv.com__FSS Advance Retail & Distribution - 15.06.17.pptAnyConv.com__FSS Advance Retail & Distribution - 15.06.17.ppt
AnyConv.com__FSS Advance Retail & Distribution - 15.06.17.ppt
 
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdfgovernment_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
 
🔝+919953056974 🔝young Delhi Escort service Pusa Road
🔝+919953056974 🔝young Delhi Escort service Pusa Road🔝+919953056974 🔝young Delhi Escort service Pusa Road
🔝+919953056974 🔝young Delhi Escort service Pusa Road
 

Guy Spier VIF 2008.

  • 1. Guy Spier May, 2008
  • 2. Cumulative Return (Net of Fees Since Inception Sep, 1997) 300% 200% 100% 0% Historical performance represents Aquamarine Fund, Inc. Returns are based on estimated results as of 12/31/07. Fund DJIU S&P 500 FT 100
  • 3. Aquamarine Compound Annualized Net Returns (as of 12/31/07) Aquamarine Fund S&P 500 30% 20% 10% 0% 10-year 5-year 2-year Historical performance represents Aquamarine Fund, Inc. Returns are based on estimated results as of 12/31/07.
  • 4. Aquamarine Fund Inc. Portfolio Concentration (% of net assets) 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Top 5 Top 10 Total Invested Cash Positions Positions
  • 5. Aquam arine Capital Assets Under Managem ent ($ in millions) $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 5
  • 6. Aquamarine Capital Management, LLC Realized gains and losses since inception Realized Gains = $45.3 mm Realized Losses = $(1.8)
  • 7. 20 Punch Card 1. Neue Zurcher Zeitung 10. Nestle 2. Edipresse 11. Weetabix 12. Heineken 3. Duff and Phelps 4. Moodys 13. Kinder Morgan 5. Crisil 14. Plains Resources 15. Crosstex Energy 6. Investment Technology Group 16. DeVry 17. EVCI 7. RLI Insurance 18. Raffles Education 8. Berkshire 9. Aflac 7
  • 8. 8
  • 9. Focus on Great Businesses  Consumer Brands  Education  Credit Rating  Insurance  Networks/Infrastructure 9
  • 10. 10
  • 11. Common Characteristics  Our Investment Candidates: – Are cash generative (not dependent on raising additional capital) – Have minimal or no leverage – Are run by honest management (must allocate capital well) – Publish financial reports in English – Have a very wide moat  Low cost operator  Pricing power/product differentiation  Other sustainable competitive advantage – Have a margin of safety between market price and intrinsic value Uncommon characteristics, but can be found all over the world if one is willing to look 11
  • 12. Consumer Brands Consumables Aspiration Brands Nestle Nike Weetabix Puma Parmalat Adidas Alaska Milk Asics Smart Balance K-Swiss NamYang Dairy Everlast Under Armor 12
  • 13.
  • 14. 14
  • 15. Investment Example – Nestle SA Purchase Prices $120 – $145 Source: Bloomberg, Aquamarine Fund, Inc., Aquamarine Master Fund, L.P. *Adjusted for Splits. 15
  • 16.
  • 17. Weetabix Sold GBP 54.75 Initial Purchase Price GBP 21 - 30 Source: Bloomberg, Aquamarine Fund, Inc., Aquamarine Master Fund, L.P. 17
  • 18.
  • 19. 19
  • 20. Education 1. DeVry 1. Raffles Education 2. Corinthian Colleges 2. IBT Education 3. Career Education 3. Nord Anglia Education 4. Laureate 4. Stamford College Berhad 5. Education Management 5. NIIT 6. Argosy Education 6. Kroton 7. EVCI Career Colleges 7. AdvTech 8. UTI 8. Far Eastern University 20
  • 21. Investment Example – DeVry, Inc. Sale Prices $28.00 – $58.00 Initial Purchase Prices $15.00 – $32.00 Source: Bloomberg, Aquamarine Fund, Inc., Aquamarine Master Fund, L.P . 21
  • 22.
  • 23. 23
  • 24. 24
  • 25.
  • 26. Investment Example – Raffles Education Sold 80% (RLS – Singapore Exchange) of Position $1.10 - $1.15 Initial Purchase Price $0.25 – $0.30* Source: Bloomberg, Aquamarine Fund, Inc., Aquamarine Master Fund, L.P. *Adjusted for Spin Offs and Splits. 26
  • 27.
  • 28. Consumer Brands Consumables Aspiration Brands Nestle Nike Weetabix Puma Parmalat Adidas Alaska Milk Asics Smart Balance K-Swiss NamYang Dairy Everlast Under Armor 28
  • 29. 29
  • 30. Investment Example – Nike Initial Purchase Price $41 - $43 Source: Bloomberg, Aquamarine Fund, Inc., Aquamarine Master Fund, L.P. 30
  • 31. 31
  • 32. 32
  • 33. Investment Example – Everlast Acquired $33 Initial Purchase Price $17 - $20 Source: Bloomberg, Aquamarine Fund, Inc., Aquamarine Master Fund, L.P. 33
  • 34. Credit Rating  Duff and Phelps  Dun and Bradstreet  Moody’s  Midroog  Crisil  ICRA  Xinhua Finance  Pefindo  Kis Info 34
  • 35. Duff and Phelps Credit Rating Sale Price $100 Purchase Price $15.15 Source: Bloomberg, Aquamarine Fund, Inc., Aquamarine Master Fund, L.P. 35
  • 36. Moody’s Initial Purchase Price $10-$12* Initial Purchase Price Adjusted for Spin Off from Dunn and Bradstreet. Source: Bloomberg, Aquamarine Fund, Inc., Aquamarine Master Fund, L.P. 36
  • 37. CRISIL (CRISIL – Credit Rating of India) Purchase Prices $120 – $550 37
  • 38. Insurance  Berkshire Hathaway  AIG  Aflac  Bancinsurance  Direct General  IDI (Israel Direct Insurance) 38
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43. 43
  • 44. 44
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47.
  • 48.
  • 49. Conclusions Align Incentives With Investors  90% of my family’s net worth invested in the fund  No significant other investments  Family a substantial proportion of the fund  Managers should be principals, not just agents 49
  • 50. Meeting with Buffett – new share class  0% of the Assets  25% of the profits above 6%  1 year rolling lockup 50
  • 51. Gracias ! 51