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  1. 1. CVA and Risk: World Vision Experience in Somalia
  2. 2. Global Commitments –WVI WVI will seek to deliver 50% of its humanitarian aid through a multi-sectoral and multi-purpose cash first approach by 2020, where context is appropriate, such as in urban settings. 2019 achievements –WV Somalia ✓ 67% of the assistance was given through Cash and Voucher compared to 33% assistance given through food (in kind) ✓ $24.5 M value of C&V distributed to over 280,000 people
  3. 3. 3
  4. 4. Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) World Vision has adopted ERM Enterprise Risk Management as a discipline is designed to be a high-level “umbrella” to unify all specialized forms of Risk Management ( Project, IT, Financial, insurance, security, strategic) 4
  5. 5. Enterprise Risk Management Process Establish the Context Risk Identification Risk Analysis Risk Evaluation Risk Treatment Communication And Consultation Monitoring And Review
  6. 6. 1. Establishing the Context Internal context • The social, cultural, political, natural environment • E.g. PESTLE Analysis, Fraud/Corruption Index • Community interviews, FGD, KIIs • Internal Audits, Peer Reviews, security risk assessme Child Protection risk assessments • WVI ERM Policy • WVI RM Framework • Local / Industry Requirements • Risk Appetite • Risk Tolerance • Risk Capacity Defining risk criteria External context Context of the RM process 6
  7. 7. • There are two main sources for risk identification: • Forward looking: what possibly could happen? • Historic: what has already happened? Scope of Risk Assessment Context and culture Programming Finance Contractual Responsiveness/ readiness 2. Risk Identification 7
  8. 8.  Project implementation is disrupted by insecurity that makes it difficult to move and disrupts markets  Breach of fraud protection policies and standards by staff, contractors and partners engaging in fraudulent and corruption activities  Less assistance to the registered beneficiaries due to pipeline breaks or due to technical challenges resulting in beneficiaries not receiving their stipulated rations.  Terrorism financing  Protection issues  Taxation of beneficiaries Examples of Risks in WV Somaia 8
  9. 9. Purpose: • Risk Analysis is the process by which we comprehend the nature of risk and to determine the level of risk. Another way to say this is risk is a combination of: • The Impact of an event if it were to occur and • The Likelihood of that event occurring at that magnitude 3. Risk Analysis 9
  10. 10. Purpose: To determine if a risk is acceptable or unacceptable Assists in making decisions, which areas are in need of the most attention? Identify Key Controls, and assign the cumulative set of Controls a “Control Effectiveness Rating.” 4. Risk Evaluation 10
  11. 11. Guideline for Impact Rating: Sample impact ratings across different dimensions. (A risk can have an impact on multiple dimensions, use these as a guideline to select one overall impact rating.) Rate Impact Operational People Financial Reputation 5 Critical Extreme impact on operations and ability to achieve ministry objectives on a longterm basis. Recovery may not be possible. Multiple fatalities or permanent total disabilities from an accident or occupational illness. Direct loss > $3 million Partnership-wide international impact: International public & media attention 4 Severe Major impact on operations and ability to achieve ministry objectives and outcomes on a medium term basis. Difficult recovery. Single fatality or permanent total disability from an accident or occupational illness Direct loss $250k - 3 million Regional impact: Negative regional public and media attention 3 Moderate Moderate impact on operation ability to achieve ministry objectives. Medium duration, and ability to recover. Major injury or health effects (absences, irreversible health damage chronic condition) Direct loss of $25k - 250k National impact: Considerable negative public and media attention 2 Minor Minor impact on operations and ability to achieve outcomes. Short duration, no long term impact. Recovery possible. Minor injuries or health effects (restricted work case or lost time). Limited reversible health effects. Direct loss of $5k - $25k Localized impact: Some local public attention, some local media attention Minimal impact to operations and ability to Slight injury or health Slight impact: Public Risk Evaluation: Impact 11
  12. 12. Guideline for Likelihood Rating: The potential for problems to occur at The impact level identified. Rating Likelihood 5 Certain Happens often Could occur within days to weeks 4 Very Likely Could easily happen Could occur within weeks to months 3 Likely Could happen, has happened before Could occur within a year or so 2 Moderately Likely Has not happened, but could Could occur after several years 1 Unlikely Conceivable but only in extreme circumstances. A 100-year event Risk Evaluation: Likelihood 12
  13. 13. Control Effectiveness Rating Scales Rating Guidelines Fully Effective Requires no further action beyond monitoring current controls in place. Controls are well designed for the risk and address the root causes. Management believes they are effective and reliable at all times. Substantially Effective Most controls are designed correctly, are in place, and are effective. Some more work could be done to improve operating effectiveness. -OR- Management has doubts about operational effectiveness and reliability. Partially Effective While the design of controls may be largely correct in that they treat most of the root causes of the risk, they are not currently very effective - OR- Some of the controls do not seem correctly designed in that they do not treat root causes; those that are correctly designed are operating effectively. Largely Ineffective Significant control gaps exist. Either controls do not treat root causes or they do not operate effectively. Totally Ineffective Virtually no credible controls exist. Management has no confidence that any degree of control is being achieved due to poor control design and/or very limited operational effectiveness. Risk Evaluation: Control Effectiveness 13
  14. 14. • World Vision conduct block party screening (BPS) on all transactions where funds are spent • Airlifting or use of contracted transporters to deliver the supplies/ equipment in areas with accessibility challenges • WV conduct annual partner capacity assessment and carry out capacity development alongside regular review of partner project and financial documents. These partners cover the areas where WV cannot implement directly • Policy enforcement to zero fraud, regular documents review • Third party Monitors engaged to support in hard to reach/ Insecure areas • Back ground checks on all and potential employees and vendors/ partners • Humanitarian Accountability Partnership (HAP) /Complaint Response Mechanism training for WV/communities to help community give their feedback/complaints • Continuous community sensitization • Aging analysis of invoices, follow up of long outstanding invoices • Market assessments on prices and availability of goods in the markets • Post Distribution monitoring Examples of controls in Somalia 14
  15. 15. Purpose: • This is where Risk Management turns into action, and ultimately creates value to the organization. Examples of Risk treatment • Regular engagement with WV regional ofiice and support offices on the changing context • Quarterly partnership meetings with donors to review the projects progress • Staff and partners training on quality registration The results of the risk assessments, including controls and treatment plans, are recorded in a risk register. 5. Risk Treatment 15
  16. 16. Risk Category Risk Title Description of Risk Inherent Risk Rating Controls Control Effectiveness Net Risk Rating Risk Owner Risk Treat ment (Select One Category under Tab 2) (Select one Title under the category chosen on Tab 2) Describe the Risk following this model: "Something happens…impactingsomething…causedby something." Impact: 1 = Negligible 2 = Minor 3 = Moderate 4 = Significant 5 = Critical Likelihood: 1 = Unlikely 2 = Moderately Likely 3 = Likely 4 = Very Likely 5 = Certain Risk Rating (Impact x Likelihood) See Tab 3 List all systems,processes, and controls in place to prevent this risk from occurring or reducing it's impact. Rate the total effectiveness of all controls for each risk (see Tab 4) Impact: 1 = Negligible 2 = Minor 3 = Moderate 4 = Significant 5 = Critical Likelihood: 1 = Unlikely 2 = Moderately Likely 3 = Likely 4 = Very Likely 5 = Certain Risk Rating (Impact x Likelihood) See Tab 3 (Person responsible for Risk item) List Ref# of the applicable Risk Treatment Conclusion s from Tab 5 that apply to each Risk. LEGAL, REGULATORY & COMPLIANCE Non-compliance with external / country laws and regulations WV Xanadu gains registration status but due to various restrictive government requirements on registration, WV Xanadu faces challenges in maintaining its current mode of operation in Xanadu, leading to unsustainable WV programming at ADP level. 4 4 16 1. Change in Operating models from direct management of ADP to working through local partners within WV Development Programming Approach (DPA) contextualized to Xanadu context in line with local legislation. 3. Partially Effective 4 3 12 SLT, including ND Jose Garcia and Ops Director Julia Brown #1 HUMAN RESOURCES Insufficient recruitment, retention, and succession of key roles Due to unattractive remuneration when compared with technical qualifications required and limited recruitment efforts, staff recruitment does not reaching the manpower plan, leading to many departments unable to achieve their operations as planned. 5 4 20 1. Engage Universities and churches for recruitment 2. Engage with other NGOs to find suitable candidates 3. Internal recruitment 3. Partially Effective 3 4 12 P&C Director, John Smith; P&C Manager Maria Juarez; and Payroll Department Manager, Grace Okeke #2 FINANCE Financial losses due to fraud and corruption (refer to fraud and corruption) Due to the structure at the project- level and non-segregation of roles and responsibilities between accountant and finance officers, there is a risk of fraudulent behavior of our staff, which has a negative impact to our organization, including reputational damage and loss of trust and reduction of donation in addition to untrustworthy staff and declining office morale. 4 4 16 1. Corruption reporting channels are in place 2. Project disbursement needs to be reviewed and approved by IPM 3. Bookkeeper randomly reviews accounting and financial activities 4. Regular Internal audits 5. Financial and resource reports to the board 6. Board Stewardship Committee meet quarterly 3. Partially Effective 3 3 9 Finance and Accounting Manager, David Jones #3 Sample of a Risk Register 16
  17. 17. • Risks are always changing, either through Risk treatment activities or through changing environments, and therefore this step is essential to good risk management. • The risk management committee update the risk register regularly (Quarterly), and agree on which of the risks should be reported to Snr. Management and/or the Board. • Identify and prioritize new risks and take into account the changing context. 6. Monitor and Review 17
  18. 18. Purpose: • Helps to establish the context appropriately • Takes place during all stages of the risk management process • Stakeholders interests understood & considered • Risks from all areas of the organization are identified • Bring expertise together for risk analysis • Ensure different views are considered when defining risk criteria and in evaluating risks • Secure support for risk treatment plans • Utilize process for team & capacity building 7. Communication and Consultation 18
  19. 19. In Practice: • Consult with Senior management to secure support for the ERM program • Engage management from all major operational areas, on the Risk Committee to ensure their input and risks are captured in the process • Listen to your stakeholders, and adapt your program as necessary to be relevant to your office context! RM is not useful if we don’t have engagement and partnership. Communication and Consultation, cont. 19
  20. 20. Conclusion - Key Elements People: • Risk Primes – One in every office (national, Regional, Global) • Management – Risk Owners/”Clients” • Board Members – Holds Management responsible for managing risk in line with policy. Committees: • The Risk Committee – Oversees the process of Risk Management. Ensures it’s success, acts on behalf of management. Processes: • The Risk Assessment • Risk Reporting • Risk Escalation 20
  21. 21. Key Elements (Cont) Tools: • Risk Templates ( Register, Rating Scales, Matrix, Risk Treatment worksheet, etc..) • Risk Software (Riskonnect) • Risk Reporting Templates • Risk Committee Charters • The Risk Framework • WVI ERM Policy • Risk Appetite/Tolerance/Criteria 21
  22. 22. Recommendation on Risk Management • Have a risk framework • Have tools for use for in risk management • Regular monitoring • Continuous consultation with community and other stakeholders • Escalation mechanism from the field office to the global level • Have resources for personnel 22
  23. 23. Questions?

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