Publicidad
Publicidad

Más contenido relacionado

Presentaciones para ti(20)

Similar a The Digitally Enabled Grid: How can utilities survive the energy demand disruption?(20)

Publicidad
Publicidad

The Digitally Enabled Grid: How can utilities survive the energy demand disruption?

  1. How can utilities survive the energy demand disruption?
  2. 2Copyright © 2015 Accenture All rights reserved. How will new energy technologies increasingly disrupt network costs and performance, and existing business models? 15% Potential of demand reduction from rapidly evolving energy technologies by 2025 Energy conservation and demand response Energy efficiency (Building shell insulation, efficient appliances) Energy substitution (Electrification of transport and heating) Distributed generation (Photovoltaics, storage, mini and micro CHP)
  3. 3Copyright © 2015 Accenture All rights reserved. Accenture Digitally Enabled Grid research program An annual research program to evaluate the implications and opportunities of an increasingly digital grid (2014) Survey: (2014) Scenario analysis model: 85 utilities executives interviewed in 20 countries Extensive modelling to assess how distributed energy resources, energy efficiency, energy substitution and energy conservation and demand response would impact the network and business models
  4. 4Copyright © 2015 Accenture All rights reserved. Source: Accenture’s Digitally Enabled Grid program, 2014 and 2013 executive surveys. Increasing internal and external pressure to address the complexity, cost implications and opportunities from the future grid Competition to grow Risk of grid faults to rise Threats to revenue to increase 2013 2014 43% 61% Distributed generation? Competition in data-related services? 2013 2014 85% 92% Distributed renewable generation (low-voltage connection)? 2013 2014 41% 61%
  5. 5Copyright © 2015 Accenture All rights reserved. How far will new energy technologies disrupt costs and performance, and existing business models? Up to $48bn revenue at risk in the United States based on load reduction Up to €61bn revenue at risk in Europe* based on load reduction STATUS QUO DEMAND DISRUPTION PERFECT STORM 3 scenarios to assess the impact of new technologies on load and the utility business model Source: Accenture Analysis. * Europe analysis includes Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom.
  6. 6Copyright © 2015 Accenture All rights reserved. PERFECT STORM STATUS QUO DEMAND DISRUPTION Reduction in load Increase in impact on operations and reliability Drop in revenues The most likely scenario? Changes accelerate with favorable economics Greater penetration of energy efficiency distributed generation due to customer behavior, lower technology prices and higher electricity prices
  7. 7Copyright © 2015 Accenture All rights reserved. Beyond the meter services Distribution platform integrator Energy services “Obligation to serve” “Commitment to optimize” Commodity delivery Distributed energy production services Information services Intelligent grid operator Pure-play transport Utilities will need to rethink their role and scope in the value chain
  8. 8Copyright © 2015 Accenture All rights reserved. 3major areas of focus to manage migration to a new model Protect earnings in current model and shape migration to new model FOCUS AREAS ACTIONS Regulations and tariffs New customer model and services Grid optimization Invest in key capabilities in preparation for new model Make strategic choices on role and scope of services in market
  9. 9Copyright © 2015 Accenture All rights reserved. 1strategic roadmap that considers the three focus areas critical to migration to the new model Grid operations improvement (0 to 3 years) Improved integration and control (2 to 5 years) Fully digital grid (3-10 years) New tariffs and policies for DG (0 to 3 years) Distribution communities (2 to 5 years) Platform distribution provider (3-10 years) Digital customer interaction model (0 – 2 years) Service trials and extensions (0 to 3 years) Scale digital services and platform (3-5 years) Grid optimization Regulations and tariffs New customer model and services
  10. 10Copyright © 2015 Accenture All rights reserved. Grid operations improvement (0 to 3 years) Improved integration and control (2 to 5 years) Fully digital grid (3-10 years) Grid optimization Source: Accenture’s Digitally Enabled Grid program, 2013 and 2014 executive surveys. Utilities see increasing value from smart solutions, in particular in grid operations 2013 2014 58% 68% 2013 2014 58% 68% Distribution sensing and automation? Distribution management systems (DMS?)
  11. 11Copyright © 2015 Accenture All rights reserved. New tariffs and policies for DG (0 to 3 years) Distribution communities (2 to 5 years) Platform distribution provider (3-10 years) Regulations and tariffs No Yes - moderate Yes - significant 65% 31% 4% 2013 34% 61% 5% 2014 Source: Accenture’s Digitally Enabled Grid program, 2013 and 2014 executive surveys. Utilities expect increasing development of microgrids in the next five years
  12. 12Copyright © 2015 Accenture All rights reserved. Digital customer interaction model (0 – 2 years) Service trials and extensions (0 to 3 years) Scale digital services and platform (3-5 years) New customer model and services 74% A company that focuses exclusively on solar energy 71% Your energy provider 41% Home improvement or electronics provider 38% Cooperative or community organization 33% A home maintenance and repair company 18% Phone or cable provider 16% Online retailer Source: Accenture, The New Energy Consumer: Architecting for the Future, 2014. Utilities are consumers’ number two preferred providers of solar energy products and services
  13. 13Copyright © 2015 Accenture All rights reserved. • Distributed energy resources (DER) are at a tipping point • Consumer deployment choices will result in technical and financial stresses • Competition from new entrants is anticipated to build • The distribution company model will have to change Focusing on grid optimization, tariffs and regulation and new customer services and models will be key, as well as investing in new capabilities Toward a digitally enabled grid model
  14. 14Copyright © 2015 Accenture All rights reserved. Learn more about how utilities can survive energy disruption Digitally Enabled Grid program www.accenture.com/digitallyenabledgrid.com Follow us at: @AccentureGrid
Publicidad