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Global Consumer Goods
Sector Report 2012




                     www.mergers-alliance.com
Sector Report 2012



Contents
                            Report                                         2

                            Introduction                                   3

                            Report Highlights                              4

                            Deal Focus by Country

                                           Americas
                                           Brazil                         8
                                           Mexico                         10
                                           USA                            12

                                           Asia, Africa and Middle East
                                           China                          14
                                           India                          16
                                           Japan                          18
                                           Turkey                         20

                                           Europe
                                           France                         22
                                           Germany                        24
                                           Italy                          26
                                           The Netherlands                28
                                           Poland                         30
                                           Russia                         32
                                           Spain                          34
                                           United Kingdom                 36


                            Contacts                                      38

                            Transactions                                  40




Consumer Goods - Contents
                                                                          1
Sector Report 2012



  p
Report
About the report
This sector report was edited by                  For more information on this                    Other sector reports available
Andre Johnston of the Mergers                     report please contact Andre                     to download from mergers-
Alliance central team. To compile                 Johnston, Mergers Alliance                      alliance.com include:
our findings we conducted                         Research Manager.
                                                                                                     Global Cleantech Report
interviews with our sector experts
from each member firm within the                  Andre Johnston                                     Global Engineering Review
Mergers Alliance partnership. We                  Mergers Alliance                                   Global Food & Drink
also surveyed owners and senior                   +44 207 881 2967
executives within consumer good                   andrejohnston@mergers-alliance.com                 European Plastic Packaging
sector organisations and private
equity investors worldwide.




Deal Focus
Within each country’s Deal Focus                  overview of the consumer goods                  Key terminology: FMCG (Fast
we review merger and acquisition                  sector as a whole, highlighting the             moving consumer goods)
(M&A) activity, focusing on key                   market structure as well as                     CF+T (Cosmetics, fragrances
deals and trends within the                       commenting on the key trends                    and toiletries) y-o-y (year on
consumer goods sector with an                     and the factors influencing M&A.                year), CAGR (Compound annual
emphasis on branded goods.                                                                        growth rate) BRIC (Brazil, China,
                                                  We provide our own insight on
                                                                                                  India, Russia). All deal values are
We have included tables of                        how we think the market might
                                                                                                  in US dollars unless otherwise
recent transactions where the                     play out over the coming 18
                                                                                                  stated.
target company is located in                      months and attempt to identify
the country under review.                         key investment opportunities.
Additionally, we provide an




Disclaimer                                        not be acted on or relied upon or used as a     this cannot be guaranteed and neither
                                                  basis for any investment or other decision or   Mergers Alliance nor any of its member firms
This publication contains general information     action that may affect you or your business.    or other related entity shall have any liability
and is not intended to be comprehensive nor       Before taking any such decision you should      to any person or entity which relies on the
to provide financial, investment, legal, tax or   consult a suitably qualified professional       information contained in this publication,
other professional advice or services. This       adviser. Whilst reasonable effort has been      including incidental or consequential
publication is not a substitute for such          made to ensure the accuracy of the              damages arising from errors of omissions.
professional advice or services, and it should    information contained in this publication,      Any such reliance is solely at the user’s risk.



                                                                                                                   Consumer Goods - Report
  2
Sector Report 2012




Introduction
                            Caution and uncertainty continue to affect the major
                            economies and depress consumer confidence levels,
                            especially in the US and Europe. Whilst the consumer
                            product industry has been particularly exposed to the
                            prevailing economic conditions we are optimistic that
                            confidence will improve in 2012, creating new
                            opportunities across all consumer markets.


As you will see from our report,          2012 and beyond: how emerging          seek growth through acquisitions,
mergers and acquisitions (M&A)            markets are critical to consumer       wish to restructure or realise value
activity in the sector has been           product company growth; why            in your business, our international
progressively rising since the            multi-channel sales strategies are     advisors are in a unique position
nadir of the global downturn in           driving investment activity and        to help you. Our member firms
2009. The report highlights that          how companies at the value,            have a prominent position in
despite very challenging markets          premium and luxury ends of             boardrooms across the world and
transactions are being completed          consumer markets are benefiting        are renowned for delivering an
in many different consumer                from those operating in the            award-winning partner-led
segments and geographies.                 middle of the market. Our work         advisory service with seamless
In addition a large proportion            also highlights the level of private   international cooperation.
of these deals are cross-border           equity investment in the sector
transactions reflecting the               and how mid-cap companies and          We hope you find our report
increasingly global characteristics       global corporates are shaping          enlightening and welcome any
of the sector.                            their acquisition strategies.          feedback on our observations
                                                                                 and conclusions.
Our report also contains a great          As the global recovery takes hold,
deal of market-leading insight into       we at Mergers Alliance are ideally
the key issues facing the sector in       placed to help you. Whether you




Andy Currie
Chairman of Mergers Alliance
Managing Partner of Catalyst Corporate Finance LLP
+ 44 207 881 2960
andycurrie@catalystcf.co.uk




Consumer Goods - Introduction
                                                                                                                 3
Sector Report 2012



  p      g g
Report Highlights
                       We at Mergers Alliance believe the main factors
                       to shape M&A in the consumer goods sector
                       over the next three years will be:
                       Consumer confidence
                       ready to recover
                       Whilst there remains much uncertainty
                       in the global economy, the latest
                       consumer polls indicate that consumer
                       confidence has reached a plateau
                       and that tentative signs of a recovery
                       are emerging (see Figure 1).


                     Figure 1: Consumer confidence
                                             120
                                                                                                                                                                   10%
                     Consumer Confidence




                                             110




                                                                                                                                                                         Unemployment Rate
                                             100
                                                                                                                                                                   9%
                                              90
                                              80                                                                                                                   8%
                                              70
                                                                                                                                                                   7%
                                              60
                                              50                                                                                                                   6%
                                              40
                                                                                                                                                                   5%
                                              30
                                              20                                                                                                                   4%
                                                                                                                            10




                                                                                                                                             11
                                                                                        08
                                                              07




                                                                                                        09




                                                                                                                                   10
                                                   07




                                                                                                                  10
                                                                               08
                                                                       08




                                                                                                                                                      1

                                                                                                                                                              12
                                                                                                9




                                                                                                                                                  01
                                                                                             00




                                                                                                                        20




                                                                                                                                          20
                                                                                    20
                                                           20




                                                                                                       20




                                                                                                                                 20
                                                 20




                                                                                                              20
                                                                            20
                                                                   20




                                                                                                                                                          20
                                                                                                                                                 t2
                                                                                           r2




                                                                                                                       ay




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                                              ar




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                                                                                         Ap




                                                                                                                             De
                                                      Au




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                                                                                                            Fe
                                                                        Ju
                                                                Ja




                                                                                                                                                       Ja
                                             M




                                                                                                                   M




                                                                                                                                      M




                                                   United States of America - Consumer Confidence Index
                                                   United States of America - Unemployment Rate




                     We expect this recovery in consumer
                     confidence, which may be slow initially,
                     to feed into consumer markets over the
                     next two years. Consequently this will
                     further stimulate corporate and
                     institutional investment and M&A
                     activity across the consumer goods
                     sector (see Figure 2).




                     Figure 2: Total deal volume global
                                              1200
                        Transaction volume




                                              1000

                                                 800
                                                 600

                                                 400
                                                 200
                                                      0
                                                                        2008                    2009                         2010                      2011



                                                                                                                                                  Consumer Goods - Report Highlights
4
Emerging markets rising
Consumer goods companies have
recognised that emerging markets are
a requisite for growth rather than just
a complementary source of revenue.
We expect this corporate focus to drive
more Western investment into emerging
economies directly through acquisitions
or joint ventures.

Our research shows the rise of
consumer sector M&A in emerging
markets and in particular Asia. Since
2008, the proportion of M&A in these
economies has increased by over a fifth
to represent 30% of all deals globally
(see Figure 3).



Figure 3: Emerging markets

                                                             4%   1%
                  100                                                        Africa and the Middle East
                   90                                                        Asia Pacific
                   80                                                        Latin America & Caribbean
M&A Deal Volume




                   70
                   60
                   50
                   40
                   30
                   20
                                                                       25%
                   10
                   0
                        M&A Volume 2009    M&A Volume 2011

                        Rest of World
                        Europe and North America



The deal flow is two way. Indian
consumer companies Godrej and
Gitanjali have been among the ten most
active acquirers globally over the past
three years, having completed 15 deals
between them. As with other BRIC
headquartered multinationals, they have
set ambitious growth plans and have
acquired branded goods companies in
both developed and other developing
countries.




Consumer Goods - Report Highlights
                                                                                                          5
Sector Report 2012



  p      g g
Report Highlights
                         Adoption of multi-channel Private equity continues
                         sales approach driving    its love affair with
                         M&A                       consumer brands
                         Almost all consumer product                 The private equity industry has an
                         companies have adopted a multi-             established track record of working
                         channel retail distribution model, which    with private businesses to expand the




“
M&A is now one of the
main growth strategies
for consumer
companies domiciled
                         included high street retail, online, mail
                         order and television distribution. Online
                         shopping accounted for the majority of
                         overall retail sales growth in a number
                         of developed markets during 2011 and
                         is set to continue to dominate growth.
                                                                     distribution of consumer branded
                                                                     products in most developed countries.
                                                                     This trend has continued through the
                                                                     economic downturn although the focus
                                                                     has moved away from single channel
                                                                     retail distribution to multi-channel
in mature economies.                                                 distributed products.




                     ”
                         Companies in the US, UK, Germany
                         and the Netherlands have been               Some of the more well known specialist
                         particularly active in acquiring online     sector investors such as L Capital and
                         businesses and we expect further            Change Capital have been active
                         consolidation to occur across the           recently as well as global players like
                         developed economies.                        Carlyle Group, Oaktree Capital, Eurazeo
                                                                     and Blackstone Group.
                         The Chinese market is forecast to
                         become the biggest home shopping
                         market globally – the B2C e-commerce
                         market growing at 75% CAGR up to            High prices paid for
                         2014. It is inevitable that successful      high-end brands
                         local online businesses will be targets
                                                                     During the past three years corporate
                         of both acquisitive overseas and
                                                                     and private equity activity in the luxury
                         local buyers.
                                                                     and premium segment has risen to
                                                                     reflect the increase in demand for
                                                                     premium goods from Asia, Russia
                         Pressure on brands                          and South America.
                         has intensified
                                                                     European luxury brands have been in
                         Consumers in developed markets have         particular demand and commanded
                         been increasingly focused on price and      high prices. The leading French luxury
                         brand equity. Whilst this has meant         conglomerate LVMH has made seven
                         growth at both the premium end and          acquisitions since 2008 including Italian
                         value end of the branded goods              jewellery maker Bulgari. Jimmy Choo,
                         spectrum, there has been intense            the iconic British lifestyle brand, was
                         competition and margin pressure in          acquired for c. $930m by Labelux, the
                         the middle. Many of these brands have       Austrian firm, which includes Bally and
                         found themselves competing directly         Belstaff amongst its portfolio. VF Corp,
                         against their distribution networks,        the leading US branded apparel
                         which have developed private labels         conglomerate, acquired Timberland
                         offerings – currently growing at 10%        for $2.2bn, at a valuation of 12.3x
                         in the US and 6% in Europe.                 historic EBITDA.

                         This has created a number of
                         ‘distressed’ sales and both corporate
                         and private equity investors such as
                         Sun Capital have capitalised on these
                         opportunities. We expect further
                         distressed opportunities to emerge
                         in the short term.
                                                                         Consumer Goods - Report Highlights
    6
We expect to see the luxury and           ceiling in terms of organic growth due
premium brand conglomerates               to the mature and consolidated nature
continue to consolidate the market        of their respective markets, will be
and provide the best exit route for       compelled to pursue globalisation
investors, who would have considered      strategies.
an IPO in previous years.
                                          The larger multinationals already have
                                          global sales and distribution operations,
                                          and are generally the first to acquire in
Companies in lower                        emerging markets however, we expect
growth, mature                            to see more mid sized businesses
economies need                            acquire in BRIC countries as the risks
                                          become more understood and the M&A
to acquire
                                          approach more accepted.
M&A is now one of the main growth
strategies for consumer companies
domiciled in mature economies.
Companies that have reached a




Consumer power                            One billion new middle class consumers
A consumer tidal wave is on its way
in the form of the BRIC countries.         1600                                       1,350
Whilst the economies in each country
vary significantly, their consumer         1400
markets are characterised by a largely
untapped rural consumer population,        1200
expanding middle classes and the high
income disparities between the rural       1000
and urban populations. It is estimated
                                                                                        China
that one billion more consumers will        800
emerge in less than 15 years.
                                            600
Whilst the consumption of basic goods
such as food, beverages and clothing                              250
                                            400
have grown most in line with GDP, the                                                   India
consumption mix is changing. Certain
                                            200
sub-sectors, such as skin-care in China
and India and cosmetics and baby                                                        Brazil
                                                0                                       Others
diapers in Brazil, are growing faster
than GDP. As a result, competition                               Year 2009            Year 2025
for local brands is intensifying and
acquirers are paying high premiums as     Source: McKinsey & Company
consolidation takes place. We expect
premiums to remain high as demand
for these brands and companies
exceed supply.




Consumer Goods - Report Highlights
                                                                                                  7
Brazil                     A BRIC success                              The baby diapers segment has
                                                                       experienced double digit growth over
                           Brazil’s appeal to investors grows day      the past few years - a trend that is
                           by day and is quickly becoming one          expected to continue due to the
                           of the most appealing of the BRIC’s         increasing purchasing power
                           thanks to its booming economy and           of the consumer and relatively
                           improving business conditions.              high birth rates.
                           Brazilian GDP grew 7.5% in 2010 and
                           is estimated to expand by 3.4% in
          “With the rise   2012, mainly driven by its internal         Footwear IPO alerts sellers
                           market, which benefits from record high
          in consumer      employment and rising income levels.
                                                                       Arezzo, Brazil’s leading footwear
                                                                       company that holds an 11% market
          income and       This social migration process is
                                                                       share and operates through franchises
                           reaching over 30 million people who are
          the emergence                                                as well as its own stores, went public in
                           either joining the consumer base or are
                                                                       January 2011 raising US$339m. A large
                           increasing their consumption habits.
of 30 million new                                                      chunk of the proceeds (roughly 35%)
                           The upper, middle and lower-middle          will be used to acquire smaller brands.
consumers, the             (or A-B-C) income segments now              It has been reported that other local
Brazilian consumer         represent 74% of the population vs.         footwear companies are also currently
                           49% in 2005 thanks to the sharp             seeking acquisitions both domestically
market has attracted       increase in lower income consumer           and overseas. Expect substantial
                           spending power. A strong commitment         consolidation activity in this sub-sector
global attention.          to economic stability, along with a         over the next 18 months.
Despite substantial        structurally sound financial sector, has
                           contributed to consumer confidence
consolidation in recent    and capital expansion which should
years there are still      have a positive effect on general
                           economic growth.
plenty of M&A
opportunities.”
                           Population increase
Felipe Monaco,             driving diaper market
Broadspan
                           Multinationals are becoming
                           increasingly attracted to the baby
                           diaper segment. In September 2011
                           personal care giants Svenska Cellulosa
                           Aktiebolaget (SCA) acquired baby
                           diapers and wet wipes specialists           Strong private equity
                           Pro Descart Indústria E Comércio            involvement
                           for US$71m.
                                                                       Private equity involvement in the
                           Domestic consolidation is also taking       Latin American market is becoming
                           place, in August 2010 multi-billion         increasingly evident.
                           dollar Brazilian conglomerate
                           Hypermarcas acquired the Brazil based       The Carlyle Group looked to expand its
                           diapers, tissues and feminine care          consumer portfolio by acquiring a 51%
                           producer Mabesa from Grupo PI Mabe          stake in Scalina, Brazil’s largest
                           in a US$195m transaction which              manufacturer and retailer of women’s
                           represented an estimated 8.5 x EV           hosiery and lingerie, for approximately
                           to EBITDA ratio. Hypermarcas also           US$160m. In the last five years, the
                           acquired two other leading diaper           Brazilian lingerie market has outpaced
                           Brazilian companies (Pom Pom in             GDP growth by circa 100%; a figure
                           November 2009 for US$173m and               that can be attributed to the
                           Sapeka in March 2010 for US$211m)           proliferation of the middle class and
                           establishing its national leadership with   the rising number of women with
                           a 35% market share.                         expendable incomes.




                                                                                             Deal Focus - Brazil
 8
Indeed, women are quickly becoming                     Due to the highly fragmented nature of
a major economic force and are                         the apparel market in particular (the top
expected to have a profound effect                     five players hold just 16% of the total
on consumption habits. The cosmetics,                  market share) we expect the growing
fragrances and toiletries (CF&T),                      eagerness to buy brands rather than
footwear and apparel segments                          generic to drive M&A directed at
are all expected to be boosted.                        emerging Brazilian clothing brands.

Closer to home, in May 2011, Latin
American private equity fund Southern
Cross acquired a controlling stake in                  E-commerce maturing
Brinox, a kitchenware manufacturer                     Local consumer firms that have
with revenues of US$80m in 2010.                       traditionally sold their brands in retail
Apart from the major players, the                      stores are expanding into e-commerce,
kitchenware market is highly                           a channel growing at over 30% per
fragmented and Southern Cross hopes                    annum. Consequently, we anticipate
to benefit by continuing its buy and                   moves by consumer firms looking to
build strategy - acquiring other                       expand their distribution network to
associated brands through Brinox.                      acquire domestically domiciled online
                                                       retail specialists.

                                                       Overall, the Brazilian consumer market
Consumers switching                                    has experienced a boom in recent
to brands                                              years, however several inefficiencies
                                                       still exist, such as fragmented markets.
Although Brazil is becoming                            This should nonetheless encourage
increasingly prosperous, the consumer                  major consumer players, foreign
base is still composed of mostly lower                 and domestic, that have their own
to middle income consumers;                            distribution channels and that
consequently pricing is still central to               rely on economies of scale.
consumer choice. However, branding
has been gaining traction over the past
several years with shoppers becoming
more willing to spend that extra amount
on quality branded products.




Recent transactions                                                               M&A activity
                                                                                                       12                                       120
 Date    Target              Description         Acquirer            Deal Value
                                                                      (US$m)
                                                                                                                                                100
                                                                                                                                                         Average deal value $m

Feb 12   Natura              Cosmetics           Lazard Asset       n/d
                                                                                                       10
                                                                                  Transaction volume




         Cosméticos S.A.                         Management LLC (USA)
                                                                                                        8                                       80
Oct 11   Bobstore            Apparel             InBrands               32

Sep 11   Descart Indústria   Baby diapers        Svenska Cellulosa     71                               6                                       60
         E Comércio                              Aktiebolaget (Sweden)
May 11   Brinox              Kitchenware         Southern Cross         n/d                             4                                       40
         Metalúrgica                             Group (Argentina)
May 11   Ecologie/           Cosmetics           Bombril                 9                              2                                       20
         Nick&Vick
Feb 11   VR Kidswear     Apparel                 InBrands               n/d                             0                                       0
         and VR Menswear                                                                                    2008   2009   2010         2011
Jan 11   Perfex (Johnson     Household           Hypermarcas            17
         & Johnson)          cleaning
                                                                                                                                 Total deal volume
Nov 10   Colgate-Palmolive, Soap                 Hypermarcas            50
                                                                                  Source: Capital IQ and
         Pom Pom Soap
                                                                                  Mergers Alliance Analysis                      Average deal value $m
Nov 10   Scalina             Hosiery; lingerie   The Carlyle Group      160
                                                 (USA)
Aug 10   Mabesa do           Diapers             Hypermarcas            195
         Brasil




Deal Focus - Brazil
                                                                                                                                                     9
Mexico                      Sound fundamentals                           Brand integration
                            The Mexican consumer goods sector            An increasingly common theme in
                            swept through the global economic            Mexican consumer oriented M&A
                            downturn unimpeded, experiencing             has been for diversified consumer
                            6% compound annual growth over the           companies to buy smaller brands
                            past three years.                            to then incorporate into their
                                                                         product lines.
                            Consumer growth is expected to at
                            least equal GDP growth which is              In October 2010, Genomma Lab
          “The              currently at 4%. Indeed, a rising middle     Internacional SAB, a Mexico based
                            class may push growth in consumer            developer and marketer of over-the-
          development       goods higher still. Other positive indices   counter pharmaceutical and personal
          priority of       include a relatively low inflation rate      care products, agreed to acquire the
                            (at 3.14%) and stable consumer               Pomada de la Campana, Galaflex,
          many firms has    confidence levels. Moreover,                 Affair, Vanart and Sante Haircare brands
                            consumer credit is recovering after          for a total consideration of US$85m.
been outward of late to     a sharp contraction in 2009 and is           The brands, that reported combined
take advantage of the       expected to reach 2007 levels in 2012.       annual sales of US$38m in 2009, will be
                                                                         incorporated into Genomma’s already
rapidly growing middle      Overall deal volume in consumer goods        extensive portfolio of over 90 brands
                            has traditionally been low relative to the
class. Solid macro          general market; however, it has been
fundamentals along          steadily rising since 2009.
                                                                         Largest luxury market
with the increase in                                                     in Latin America
consumer credit, rolled     Multinationals investing                     The luxury goods market is the second
                            in Mexico                                    most important in Mexico after the
out by both department                                                   mass segment. Indeed, Mexico rates
                            Large multinationals have sought to          above Argentina and Brazil with 55% of
and specialist stores,      capitalise on concentrated sector            the total sales of luxury goods in Latin
has led to a surge in       growth. One such firm was Svenska            America. According to AC Nielsen,
                            Cellulosa Aktiebolaget, the Swedish          6,4 million Mexicans will have annual
Mexican consumerism.        consumer goods giant and owner of            incomes of over US$60,000 by 2030.
                            brands such as Bodyform and Tempo.
With this, Mexico           In July 2010 it agreed to acquire
                                                                         A number of major international luxury
                                                                         brands rely on the affluent Mexican
remains one of the          Copamex S.A, a baby diaper business          consumer as much as they do the
                            that targets the Mexican and Central         European. Hugo Boss for example
more attractive             American market, for US$50m. The             derives c. 15% of its global sales
                            deal involves the rights to the brands
emerging market             Tessy Babies and Dry Kids among
                                                                         from Mexico.

propositions.”              others and will take advantage of the
                            growing Mexican and Central American
Christian Garcini Garcia,   baby diaper market.                          Apparel acquisition
Sinergia Capital                                                         opportunities
                                                                         We expect the trend of Mexican brands
                                                                         being bought with the intention of being
                                                                         integrated into the buying company’s
                                                                         product line to continue. We expect this
                                                                         trend to take place in the apparel sector
                                                                         in particular, where a number of
                                                                         successful local brands have
                                                                         emerged. These include:




                                                                                             Deal Focus - Mexico
10
Julio: Quality clothing at low prices.
  It currently has 48 stores and 15
  franchises in Mexico.

  Ivonne: The brand has positioned
  itself as one of the leading
  companies in selling fashion and
                                                      “        The luxury goods
                                                               market is the second
                                                               most important in
                                                               Mexico after the mass
  accessories to a wide segment of                             segment. Indeed,
  the female population. Has recently
  opened its first stores in the US.                           Mexico rates above
  Marsel: It currently has 20 stores                           Argentina and Brazil
  in shopping malls across the
  country, Marsel has been
                                                               with 55% of the
  expanding at a fast pace.                                    total sales of luxury
  Highlife: Clothing for men; one of                           goods in Latin
  the market leaders in the sector.
                                                               America.
  Andrea: Catalogue sales of shoes
  with a large share of the Mexican
  market.

In our view the above present a good
opportunity for foreign firms looking to
invest in the infrastructure of some well
                                                                                    ”
established and potentially high growth
Mexican brands.




Recent transactions                                                                     M&A activity
                                                                                                             7                                       120
 Date    Target               Description         Acquirer             Deal Value
                                                                        (US$m)                                                                       90
                                                                                                             6
                                                                                                                                                           Average deal value $m

Oct 11   Scientific-Atlanta   Set-top boxes       PCE Paragon             45                                                                         80
                                                                                        Transaction volume




         de Mexico                                Solutions kft (Hungary)                                    5                                       70
Aug 11   Moda Holding         Footwear            Nexxus Capital,         n/d
                                                                                                                                                     60
         S.A.P.I. de C.V.                         S.C. developer                                             4
Aug 11   Various Brands       Various brands      Genomma Lab              85                                                                        50
                                                  Internacional SAB                                          3                                       40
Jul 11   Toshiba              Electronics         Just International      n/d                                2                                       30
         Electromex                               Ltd. (Taiwan)
                                                                                                                                                     20
Oct 10   Colgate-Palmolive Personal care          Genomma Lab             29                                 1
         (Mexican brands)                         Interacional SAB                                                                                   10
Jul 10   Copamex, S.A.        Personal care       Svenska Cellulosa     50                                   0                                       0
         de C.V.                                  Aktiebolaget (Sweden)                                          2008   2009   2010         2011
Mar 10   Laboratorios KSK     Natural products    Takashi Tsuru           n/d
                              company             Kayaba
                                                                                                                                      Total deal volume
Mar 10   Impco, S. de         Household           Sylvan Holdings         n/d
                                                                                        Source: Capital IQ and
         R.L. de C.V.         appliances          Pte. Ltd (Singapore)
                                                                                        Mergers Alliance Analysis                     Average deal value $m
Jan 09   Iconix Brand         Various brands      New Brands               6
         Group, Inc                               Americas LLC (USA)
Aug 08   Barajas y Naipes     Leisure equipment   Cartamundi NV;      n/d
         de Mexico                                Copag da Amazônia S.A.




Deal Focus - Mexico
                                                                                                                                                          11
USA                          Strategies change on                         remained relatively constant since
                                                                          2008 through the end of 2011
                             macro deterioration                          at approximately 200 reported
                             As goes the consumer so goes the             transactions per annum. While most of
                             consumer products industry and the           the deals had undisclosed value and
                             consumers throughout the world are           terms, the ones that did disclose
                             still recovering from the local and global   exhibited an increased average
                             recession and personal deleveraging.         transaction size from a low in 2008
                                                                          through 2010. This increase in the
                             The US consumers buying behaviour            average deal size was reflective of the
           “The US           has fundamentally changed from the           financial turmoil in 2008 in which many
           consumer          mid-2000’s and consumer goods                of the sellers were "distressed" and
                             manufacturers and the retail channels        buyers had limited sources of capital.
           products M&A      will continue to have to adjust to this      Average deal size spiked in 2010 as
                             new buying paradigm.
           activity has                                                   there were five US$1bn+ transactions
                             The continued contraction of credit          including NBTY and Alberto-Culver for
proven to be rather          availability to the consumer (be it from     US$4bn each, whereas the largest
                                                                          disclosed deal in 2008 was only
resilient in this volatile   credit cards, home equity loans, 401k)
                                                                          US$500m.
                             combined with declining assets,
environment. Given           dropping consumer confidence and             Approximately 13% of the companies
                             increased unemployment, has made
the strong corporate         the US consumer more price sensitive,
                                                                          acquired in the US have been bought
                                                                          by a non-US based entity. In 2011,
balance sheets, and          decrease discretionary spending and          there was an increase in cross-border
                             become more willing to consider              transactions which was driven by the
backlog of aging             alternative channels for key purchases.      weak dollar and a desire for European
owners of privately-held     The consumer goods manufacturers             and Chinese companies seeking
                             have also faced a dramatically               "foothold" acquisitions in the US.
CP companies, we are         changing environment in the US.
bracing for a strong         Rising inflation on the back of monetary
                             stimulus has meant that companies            Large deals and hostile
surge of M&A activity        have faced rising commodity prices           takeovers
over the next few years.”    while at the same time being pressured
                                                                          VF Corp, one of the leading owners
                             to maintain, if not lower, its retail
                             pricing. Many branded companies              of branded apparel companies, added
Brian Mulvaney,
                             faced new competition from private           Timberland to its portfolio in June 2011
Headwaters MB                                                             in a US$2.2bn deal. This valuation was
                             label offerings. In addition, companies
                             remain challenged by tight credit            a 40% premium to Timberlands recent
                             markets, a volatile dollar and increasing    stock price, 1.2 x revenue and 12.3 x
                             employee benefit costs.                      EBITDA.

                                                                          Timberland, which was publicly traded
                                                                          but family managed, had suffered a
                                                                          decline in profitability and was facing
                                                                          investor criticism. By being acquired by
                                                                          VF, Timberland’s cost structure should
                                                                          improve and sales will benefit from VF’s
                                                                          global distribution network. VF, which
                                                                          owns such brands as Vans, North Face,
                                                                          JanSport, Reef, Wrangler and Lee has
                                                                          stated that it will continue to look to
                                                                          build its brand portfolio in all of its
                                                                          categories both in the US and
                                                                          overseas.

                             Stable M&A levels
                             Despite volatile economic conditions
                             affecting the consumer space, the
                             annual number of transactions has


                                                                                                 Deal Focus - USA
12
M&A driving company                                      and direct response (e.g. infomercials                      grow, but brands that fall in the middle
                                                         and direct mailers) continue to take a                      with medium quality at full prices will
growth                                                   larger share of the consumer’s wallet,                      continue to decline.
The US consumer goods market is                          which has required the consumer
                                                         goods manufacturers to develop                              Lastly, US companies will have to
comprised of over 7,500 companies of
                                                         multi-channel strategies.                                   develop ways in which to enter the
which only 330 are publicly traded and
                                                                                                                     higher growth emerging markets such
just over 1,000 are private equity
                                                         Indeed, in order to compete, many                           as Brazil and China in order to fuel
backed. Of this group, 350 companies
                                                         companies are challenging their                             growth and to establish sourcing and
disclosed revenue that totalled
                                                         traditional business models in order                        manufacturing internationally in order
US$323bn, lead by Procter & Gamble
                                                         to deliver a better experience to the                       to lower costs and increase capacity.
(P&G) with US$79bn and the next nine
                                                         consumer. Some of these changes
accounting for US$114bn.                                                                                             While the larger companies already
                                                         include brand building using social
                                                         media, creating exclusive product                           have global sales and distribution
Of note, the industry growth of the top
                                                         features for retailers, changing                            networks, many of the mid-size
companies has been nominal with the
                                                         warranty/return policies, willingness to                    companies (e.g. sales of $50-500
top 10 companies only growing 0.6%
                                                         offer private label products, entering                      million) do not. In order to mitigate
in three years and 2.2% in five years,
                                                         new countries and use of alternative                        the risk of these new market launches,
whereas the top 50 companies have
                                                         channels such as direct-to-consumer,                        US companies are becoming more
grown 1.5% in three years and 4.6% in
                                                         multi-level marketing and                                   receptive to joint ventures, acquisitions
five years. The highest growth category
                                                         discount chains.                                            or distribution agreements with
in the top 50 was apparel, with PVH
                                                                                                                     companies either domiciled or
(Calvin Klein, Tommy Hilfiger) growing
                                                                                                                     established in those target markets.
88% in five years through acquisitions.
                                                                                                                     As has been the case over the last few
Most of the other top 50 companies                       New strategies and                                          years, this continual need for changing
experienced low or no organic growth
                                                         new markets                                                 strategies will drive M&A activity in the
and the few that did have some growth
                                                                                                                     US and internationally.
were primarily driven by acquisitions                    Over the next few years the US
(e.g. Jarden).                                           consumer goods market is expected
                                                         to remain at the low-single digit growth
                                                         rate, but will have more dramatic
Changing shape of the                                    changes within the different consumer
                                                         sectors and distribution channels.
consumer industry
                                                         We expect to see growth at both ends
The retail distribution channels have
                                                         of the branded goods spectrum and a
evolved quite significantly over the past
                                                         decline in the middle. Meaning that
five years. The “bricks & mortar” stores
                                                         high-end brands like Nike and Coach
that are doing well are the luxury
                                                         and value brands like Costco’s Kirkland
retailers and the discount retailers.
                                                         and Target’s Cherokee will continue to
Non-traditional channels such as online




Recent transactions                                                                M&A activity

 Date    Target               Description         Acquirer            Deal Value                        300                                               300
                                                                       (US$m)
                                                                                                        250                                               250
                                                                                                                                                                Average deal value $m

Dec 11   Kukdong Apparel      Apparel             Kukdong Corp.          11
                                                                                   Transaction volume




         (America) Inc.
                                                                                                        200                                               200
Dec 11   Baby Trend, Inc.     Juvenile products   GIA Investments        45
                                                  Corp.
Sep 11   JAKKS Pacific        Toys                Oaktree Capital        608                            150                                               150

Jun 11   Timberland Co.       Apparel &           V.F. Corp.            2,200                           100                                               100
                              footwear
May 11   Acushnet             Recreational        FILA (Korea)          1,200                            50                                               50
         Company (Titleist)   equipment
May 11   Volcom               Apparel             PPR SA (France)        607                              0                                               0
                                                                                                              2008       2009       2010         2011
Jan 11   Rafaella Apparel     Apparel             Perry Ellis            195

                                                                                                                                           Total deal volume
Jan 11   Klipsch Group        Consumer            Audiovox               232
                                                                                   Source: Capital IQ and
                              electronics
                                                                                   Mergers Alliance Analysis                               Average deal value $m
Dec 10   Sara Lee Shoe        Household           SC Johnson             323
         Care (Kiwi brand)    products
Sep 10   Alberto-Culver       Personal care       The Carlyle Group     3,900
                              products




Deal Focus - USA
                                                                                                                                                               13
China                         Steady shift to a more                      Indeed, the past three years has
                                                                          seen M&A targeted at home appliance
                              consumer driven economy                     electronics firms gather pace; further
                              The Chinese consumer class, riding on       deals included the purchase of
                              the wave of constant macroeconomic          Shenzhen based United Opto-
                              growth, has been expanding at a             Electronics, a firm engaged in the
                              rapid rate.                                 design and manufacturing of projection
                                                                          televisions and related products, by
                              Just seven years ago 4.2 million            keypad specialists Karce International
                              households were earning US$10,000           Holdings for US$346m and the majority
           “China is the      a year, that household figure has since     stake purchase of Hefei Royalstar
           most significant   risen to just over 20 million and rising.   Industrial, by its domestic peer Wuxi
                              Despite this, consumption still only        Little Swan for US$78m.
           prize in the       makes up 35% of GDP compared
                              to 70% in the US. It is clear that the
           consumer           consumption capacity of the Chinese
                                                                          Homegrown brands take
goods sector. The             has not come close to realising its
                                                                          to the world stage
                              full potential. Indeed, analysts expect
middle-class in China         China’s consumer market to grow to
                                                                          China is home to a number of
                              three times the size of the US market
is increasingly becoming      over the next two decades.
                                                                          multibillion dollar brands, some of
                                                                          which have had more exposure to
a wealthy one with a          China’s 12th five year plan, which runs     Western markets than others.
growing appetite for          until 2015, places an emphasis on           The brands range from electronics
                              balancing the economy to be more            to sporting goods and top among them
consumer goods.               higher-value-add consumer driven            is multinational computer firm Levono.
                              and less reliant on cheap exports.          The company manufactures and
Companies, both               Even with this, China will remain a         markets desktop, tablet and notebook
domestic and foreign,         relatively frugal state relative to its     computers. Currently the world's
                              western counterparts and saving will        number two PC brand, the company
will vie for market           remain firmly entrenched in the culture;    has already been active in global M&A
                                                                          with its acquisition of IBM’s personal
share through M&A.”           an economic dynamic that can only
                                                                          computer division in 2005 being its
                              prove supportive to the long term
                              health of the economy.                      most high-profile deal. Looking ahead
Andre Johnston,
                                                                          it recently stated that it is looking for
Mergers Alliance                                                          overseas acquisitions to expand its
                                                                          nascent mobile device division.
                              Large interest in home
                              appliances                                  The next two biggest non food and
                                                                          drink consumer companies are Anta
                              China has been a fairly active hub of       and Li-Ning, both sporting goods
                              consumer goods M&A in recent years          firms that design sports apparel and
                              and although there was a contraction        equipment under their own brand
                              in 2010, 2011 surpassed the peaks           names. Li-Ning surpassed Adidas
                              in both volume and average deal             domestically in 2009 to become the
                              value. Interestingly, over half of all      second largest sports brand by market
                              transactions over the past three years      share (after Nike). In the same year it
                              have been cross-border.                     bought Hong Kong based sportswear
                              Recent among them was renowned              firm Kason Sports for US$24m. Anta
                              Swedish outdoor recreational brand          meanwhile has ambitiously declared its
                              Hestra-Handsken’s acquisition of a          intention to open 10,000 new stores
                              50% stake in outdoor sportswear and         across China.
                              equipment firm Zhejiang Pinghu
                              Huashen in February 2011 for an
                              undisclosed sum. In the same month
                              French electrical appliances company
                              SEB Internationale acquired a 20%
                              stake in kitchenware appliances brand
                              Zhejiang Supor for US$526m.



                                                                                                Deal Focus - China
14
Personal care opens                               Interestingly, there has been notable                       Monetary policy could
                                                  outbound involvement as well; China
its borders                                       Investment Corporation invested
                                                                                                              influence M&A
Due to its substantial growth prospects           US$50m into French beauty and home                          If the Chinese government stops
one industry that has been more active            products firm L'Occitane International                      artificially suppressing its currency and
than most in M&A has been the CF&T                during its floatation.                                      allows the RNB to float freely (which
(cosmetics, fragrances and toiletries)                                                                        may happen sooner than anticipated
segment.                                                                                                      due to domestic inflation concerns) the

In December 2010 Coty Inc, the world’s
                                                  Luxury sensibilities                                        consumer’s purchasing power will rise
                                                                                                              sharply. Not only will this enable the
largest fragrance company                         By 2015 China is set to overtake the                        Chinese to outbid foreign consumers
headquartered in Paris and New York               US and Japan to become the world’s                          on products they themselves make,
and privately owned by German holding             largest luxury market. Heavy tariffs                        it will also provide Chinese firms with
company Joh. A. Benckiser, acquired a             levied on certain consumer goods such                       the additional purchasing power to
majority stake in TJoy Holdings, a                as a 50% duty on cosmetics and a                            participate in outbound M&A more
Jiangsu Province based brand that                 30% duty on high-end watches are to                         aggressively.
manufactures skin care products, for              be repealed with further reductions on
US$400m. Although Tjoy has negligible             import tariffs to follow. Such a move
market share (estimated at 1%) Coty               may actually discourage China targeted
was attracted to one of the Chinese               M&A by foreign luxury companies as
firm's lucrative skin whitening and male          home advantage no longer becomes a
skincare products lines. These products           prerequisite to penetrating the market.
have been experiencing high double
digit growth in recent years.                     Currently, only a small fraction of the
                                                  population can afford premium goods,
In 2008 Johnson & Johnson China                   most of whom are confined to the
Investment Co, a subsidiary of New                major cities, however, prosperity
Jersey based Johnson & Johnson,                   and goods are now swelling into
bought Beijing Dabao Cosmetics, one               the second and third tier cities.
of China’s best known cosmetic brands
(the firm had previously been majority
state owned). The purchase has so far
facilitated Johnson & Johnson’s entry
into the Chinese market through
Dabao’s 3,000 mainland outlets.




Recent transactions                                                          M&A activity
                                                                                                  60                                                60
 Date    Target            Description      Acquirer            Deal Value
                                                                 (US$m)
                                                                                                                                                    50
                                                                                                                                                         Average deal value $m

Dec 11   Shanghai Watches Watches           Shenzhen Fiyta          7
                                                                                                  50
                                                                             Transaction volume




         Company Limited                    Holdings Ltd
                                                                                                  40                                                40
Dec 11   Shenzhen          Consumer         Sichuan Changhong      32
         Changhong         electronics      Electronics Group
Nov 11   Yiwu Nengdali     Apparel          China Fashion          n/d                            30                                                30
         Garments Co.,Ltd.                  Holdings Ltd.
Aug 11   Parel             Cosmetics        Ming Fai Holdings       5                             20                                                20
         Cosmetics Ltd.                     Limited
Aug 11   BSW Household     Electornics      Bosch and Siemens 19                                  10                                                10
         Appliances                         Home Appliances (Ger)
Aug 11   FAB Enterprise    Electronics      Wizzard Software       15                              0                                                0
                                                                                                       2008      2009        2010         2011
Mar 11   Zhejiang Putian   Household        Elica SpA (Italy)      42
         Electric          appliances
                                                                                                                                    Total deal volume
Feb 11   Zhejiang Supor    Housewares and   SEB SA (France)        526
                                                                             Source: Capital IQ and
                           specialties
                                                                             Mergers Alliance Analysis                              Average deal value $m
Feb 11   Zhejiang Pinghu   Sportswear and   Hestra-Handsken        n/d
         Huashen           equipment        AB (Sweden)
Apr 08   United Opto-      Electronics      Karce International    346
         Electronics                        Holdings




Deal Focus - China
                                                                                                                                                        15
India                      Growing middle class                       Foreign private equity
                           boosts M&A                                 interest in Indian apparel
                           India is one the world’s most lucrative    Disposable income in India is growing
                           consumer markets and there is still        at 5% annually; yearly growth of the
                           ample room for expansion in a country      apparel sector however is c. 13%. This
                           where, similar to China, consumption       figure can be partly attributed to more
                           makes up less than half of the total       money being in the hands of young
                           GDP.                                       people and an increase in demand for
          “Consumer        A number of multinational consumer
                                                                      office wear by both men and women.

          companies        giants have had a presence in India for    The past three years have seen the
                           decades: Unilever initially entered the    growth in apparel reflected in the M&A
          have often       Indian market in 1930 and Procter &        market where many of the consumer
                           Gamble commenced its first operations      transactions took place.
          struggled to     in the 1950’s.
                                                                      A number of financial funds competed
penetrate the disparate    M&A participation in the sector            to invest in Genesis Colors, a company
and often volatile         although always evident, has increased     that owns a variety of premium fashion
                           over the past five years thanks to         labels. Investors included L Capital,
Indian market as           favourable consumer drivers including      the private equity arm of luxury
                           high GDP growth, a growing middle          conglomerate LVMH, who recently
modern retail chains       class (which is expected to swell to       acquired a 40% stake. Previously, UK
are relatively weak and    around 500 million by 2025) and a          based Henderson Global Investors
                           rise in per capita income for rural        acquired a 12% stake for US$17m and
the majority of            inhabitants.                               US based venture capital firms Sequoia
consumer goods are                                                    Capital and Mayfield Fund contributed
                                                                      US$26m. The new funds have been
sold in traditional        High valuations in                         used to open new branches, market
                                                                      one of its flagship brands, Satya Paul,
shops. Entering these      personal care                              and fund future acquisitions.
markets requires           India’s personal care market is growing
                                                                      In 2010 private equity firms Bain
                           rapidly thanks to the rise in the
powerful independent       population’s purchasing power and
                                                                      Capital and TPG Capital purchased
                                                                      undisclosed stakes in Indian kids-wear
distribution networks,     increasing health awareness. The sector
                                                                      firm Lilliput for US$86m. The new
                           has attracted many overseas cash rich
                                                                      funds will allow one of India’s most
therefore, most would      buyers. Unfortunately, the number
                                                                      recognisable kids-wear brands to
                           of brands for sale has not satisfied
be better off acquiring    demand which has contributed to
                                                                      extend its product range as well as its
                                                                      store footprint. The deal is also seen as
or partnering with local   the high multiples being paid.
                                                                      a precursor to its initial share offering
                                                                      that is said to be taking place over the
established brands.”       This was illustrated by the bidding
                                                                      next 12 months.
                           war, involving both multinational and
Sujay Kotak,               domestic players, for Paras
Singhi Advisors            Pharmaceuticals, a household and
                           personal care company. The auction         Seeking global coverage
                           was eventually won by UK based
                           Reckitt Benckiser who bid a sizable        A growing number of Indian firms are
                           US$725m (price/sales multiple of over      seeking international exposure to both
                           8 x). Reckitt is the world's largest       hedge against domestic competition
                           producer of personal and household         and to capitalise on some of the
                           products boasting global brands such       lucrative diaspora market. Historically,
                           as Durex and Vanish. As well as            Indian firms have sold identical product
                           extending these brands already             lines in the targeted overseas markets
                           discernable presence in India, the         to the ones sold locally, however, firms
                           acquisition will allow Reckitt to expand   are now customising their brand
                           its product line through Paras’ own        portfolio to better suit the tastes of
                           extensive portfolio which includes         international consumers. M&A has
                           brands such as D’Cold, Moor and            helped facilitate the cross-over and one
                           Dermicool.                                 such example was the acquisition of
                                                                      UK based CF&T company Keyline

                                                                                             Deal Focus - India
16
Brands by Godrej Consumer Products,                  Industry insight                                           India and through our global operations.
the consumer division of the Indian                                                                             On top of that, we expect a 10%
conglomerate. The buy enabled Godrej                 Name: Vivek Gambhir                                        compounded annual growth rate from
to introduce new product ranges to the               Company: Godrej Group                                      acquisitions. This would be financed by
UK and Europe as well bring Keyline’s                Position: Chief Strategy Officer                           the surpluses generated each year and
brands to the Indian market. Indeed,                                                                            by maintaining a debt equity ratio of
Godrej has been one of the world’s                                                                              about 1:1.
most acquisitive consumer companies
over the past three years. A trend that                                                                         10 times in 10 years is a compounded
we expect to continue as firms in                                                                               annual growth rate of about 27%,
emerging markets go out of their                                                                                which we fully expect to achieve.
way to achieve global coverage.                                                                                 Ultimately our growth aspirations are
                                                                                                                indicative of the Indian consumer
                                                                                                                market as a whole.”

Outlook                                                                                                         The Godrej Group is an Indian
                                                                                                                conglomerate headquartered in
The majority of the rural population will                                                                       Mumbai, India and has a turnover
emerge from subsistence consumption                                                                             of US$2.6bn. Godrej Consumer
                                                      “At Godrej Consumer Products we
to a level that consistently consumes                                                                           Products is a leader among India's
                                                      have a financial goal of what we call
tailored, though still affordable,                                                                              FMCG companies, with leading
                                                      10x10, which essentially means 10
products. The market potential in terms                                                                         household and personal care
                                                      times the size in 10 years. We expect
of volume for mass premium products                                                                             products.
                                                      to grow organically by around 15-
and FMCG’s is considerable. We
                                                      20% over the next 10 years both in
believe this holds true for products
in beauty and skin care products in
particular and this is where we expect
further M&A activity to take place over
the next three years.

Despite its eclectic language structure
and vast landmass, the current Indian
consumer climate is relatively
homogenous. Nonetheless, a rise in
purchasing power and an increase in
scale will necessitate more complex
business models with regards to
branding and general operations.
An effort than can be facilitated by
foreign expertise.




Recent transactions                                                            M&A activity

 Date    Target              Description    Acquirer              Deal Value                        35                                               100
                                                                   (US$m)                                                                            90
                                                                                                    30
                                                                                                                                                           Average deal value $m

Sep 11   Genesis Colors      Apparel        L Capital, Henderson 43                                                                                  80
                                                                               Transaction volume




                                            Mayfield (Various)                                      25                                               70
Jun 11   Darling Group       Hair care      Godrej Consumer          100
                                                                                                    20                                               60
         Holdings                           Products Ltd.
                                                                                                                                                     50
Apr 11   Henkel India Ltd.   Fabric care    Jyothy                   170
                                            Laboratories Ltd.                                       15                                               40
Apr 11   Weekender           Apparels for   Madhusudan               21                             10                                               30
         Clothing            children       Securities (Vietnam)
                                                                                                                                                     20
Jan 11   Maya Appliances     Household      Koninklijke Philips      n/d                             5
         Industry            appliances     Electronics (Egypt)                                                                                      10
Dec 10   Naturesse           Hair care      Godrej Consumer          n/d                             0                                               0
         Consumer Care                      Products                                                     2008      2009       2010         2011
Dec 10   Paras               Healthcare     Reckitt Benckiser        725
         Pharmaceuticals                    (UK)
                                                                                                                                     Total deal volume
Dec 10   Essence Consumer Fabric care       Godrej Consumer          n/d
                                                                               Source: Capital IQ and
         Care Products                      Products
                                                                               Mergers Alliance Analysis                             Average deal value $m
Dec 10   Bachi Shoes         Footwear       Tata International       26
         India Private
Sep 10   Lilliput            Kids apparel   Bain Capital,            86
                                            TPG Capital (USA)




Deal Focus - India
                                                                                                                                                          17
p
Japan                            Factors determining M&A                    as deal value plunged briefly once
                                                                            again reflecting the uncertainty
                                 Major economic drivers of M&A in           surrounding the after-effects of the
                                 the consumer goods sector in Japan         earthquake. In 2011, Japanese
                                 include demographics, deflation and        corporations turned to outbound M&A
                                 the strong yen to name a few.              as a risk diversification measure and to
                                 According to the 2010 census, the          take advantage of the strengthening
                                 population of Japan in 2010 was 128        yen against major foreign currencies.
                                 million, virtually the same as in 2005.
           “The flat             The percentage of the population aged
                                 65 and over reached 23%, the highest       Reorganisation of Japanese
           Japanese              in the world, followed by Germany and      electronics takes place
           population            Italy at 20%. Mature and shrinking
                                                                            The much predicted reorganisation of
                                 markets in Japan have led to
           growth and            consolidation among domestic               Japan’s consumer electronics industry
                                 consumer goods companies. Deflation        was realised in 2008 with the start of
shrinking consumer               in Japan has created price competition     the acquisition of Sanyo Electric by
goods market in Japan            putting pressure on margins, further       Panasonic Corporation.
                                 forcing players to consolidate to find     The initial 50.2% stake in the listed
is underpinning M&A              cost synergies. The strong yen has also    Sanyo Electric amounted to over
activity in this sector.         levelled the domestic playing field        US$12bn. With major electric
                                 attracting foreign global players to the   companies like Hitachi, Toshiba and
We expect to see more            market. Global consumer brands such        Mitsubishi surging domestically, Sanyo
                                 as H&M and Zara in apparel and Ikea
consolidation of                 in furniture have been successful
                                                                            could not compete by itself in many of
                                                                            its product areas. In 2011, Haier Group
marginal local                   in Japan.                                  Company of China, acquired nine
                                                                            subsidiaries of Sanyo which mainly
consumer products                At the same time these factors have
                                                                            produced washing machines and
                                 also been drivers for outbound M&A
companies along with             as Japanese consumer companies             refrigerators in Japan and Asia.
                                 seek faster growing markets abroad.
MBOs and private                                                            M&A was not limited to domestic
                                                                            players seeking consolidation. In 2008,
equity investment, while                                                    Bain Capital saw a brand enhancing
                                 Great East Japan                           opportunity in the Japanese audio
the stronger companies
                                 earthquake impacts M&A                     electronics market by acquiring the
look abroad to the                                                          Tokyo Stock Exchange listed D&M
                                 Prior to the impact of the Lehman          Holdings for US$686m. Bain purchased
higher growth markets            shock, Japan saw a number of major         the stakes of RHJ International and
                                 mid and large-sized consumer deals.        Phillips and D&M was delisted from
in the BRICs, South              Panasonic acquired Sanyo electric in a     the stock exchange. D&M holds audio
East Asia and Africa.”           deal worth US$12bn. Moreover, foreign      electronic brands such as Denon,
                                 buyers made selective acquisitions         Marantz, and McIntosh.
Tomoki Tanaka,                   such as Newell Rubbermaids purchase
IBS Yamaichi Securities Co Ltd   of the baby stroller company Aprica. In
                                 2009 consumer sector deals declined
                                                                            Strong yen driving foreign
                                 on the back of the market uncertainty
                                 following the global credit crunch.        expansion
                                 In 2010 deal volumes and values            Given the strong yen and healthy cash
                                 quickly rebounded from a realisation       balances, Japanese corporations are
                                 that the consumer market was relatively    increasingly seeking M&A opportunities
                                 unaffected compared to other               in growing markets outside Japan to
                                 developed economies. However, this         build up existing overseas networks in
                                 changed dramatically in March 2011         Europe and North America and diversify
                                 with the Great East Japan earthquake       their brand offerings.




                                                                                                 Deal Focus - Japan
18
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European Plastic Packaging Report

  • 1. Global Consumer Goods Sector Report 2012 www.mergers-alliance.com
  • 2.
  • 3. Sector Report 2012 Contents Report 2 Introduction 3 Report Highlights 4 Deal Focus by Country Americas Brazil 8 Mexico 10 USA 12 Asia, Africa and Middle East China 14 India 16 Japan 18 Turkey 20 Europe France 22 Germany 24 Italy 26 The Netherlands 28 Poland 30 Russia 32 Spain 34 United Kingdom 36 Contacts 38 Transactions 40 Consumer Goods - Contents 1
  • 4. Sector Report 2012 p Report About the report This sector report was edited by For more information on this Other sector reports available Andre Johnston of the Mergers report please contact Andre to download from mergers- Alliance central team. To compile Johnston, Mergers Alliance alliance.com include: our findings we conducted Research Manager. Global Cleantech Report interviews with our sector experts from each member firm within the Andre Johnston Global Engineering Review Mergers Alliance partnership. We Mergers Alliance Global Food & Drink also surveyed owners and senior +44 207 881 2967 executives within consumer good andrejohnston@mergers-alliance.com European Plastic Packaging sector organisations and private equity investors worldwide. Deal Focus Within each country’s Deal Focus overview of the consumer goods Key terminology: FMCG (Fast we review merger and acquisition sector as a whole, highlighting the moving consumer goods) (M&A) activity, focusing on key market structure as well as CF+T (Cosmetics, fragrances deals and trends within the commenting on the key trends and toiletries) y-o-y (year on consumer goods sector with an and the factors influencing M&A. year), CAGR (Compound annual emphasis on branded goods. growth rate) BRIC (Brazil, China, We provide our own insight on India, Russia). All deal values are We have included tables of how we think the market might in US dollars unless otherwise recent transactions where the play out over the coming 18 stated. target company is located in months and attempt to identify the country under review. key investment opportunities. Additionally, we provide an Disclaimer not be acted on or relied upon or used as a this cannot be guaranteed and neither basis for any investment or other decision or Mergers Alliance nor any of its member firms This publication contains general information action that may affect you or your business. or other related entity shall have any liability and is not intended to be comprehensive nor Before taking any such decision you should to any person or entity which relies on the to provide financial, investment, legal, tax or consult a suitably qualified professional information contained in this publication, other professional advice or services. This adviser. Whilst reasonable effort has been including incidental or consequential publication is not a substitute for such made to ensure the accuracy of the damages arising from errors of omissions. professional advice or services, and it should information contained in this publication, Any such reliance is solely at the user’s risk. Consumer Goods - Report 2
  • 5. Sector Report 2012 Introduction Caution and uncertainty continue to affect the major economies and depress consumer confidence levels, especially in the US and Europe. Whilst the consumer product industry has been particularly exposed to the prevailing economic conditions we are optimistic that confidence will improve in 2012, creating new opportunities across all consumer markets. As you will see from our report, 2012 and beyond: how emerging seek growth through acquisitions, mergers and acquisitions (M&A) markets are critical to consumer wish to restructure or realise value activity in the sector has been product company growth; why in your business, our international progressively rising since the multi-channel sales strategies are advisors are in a unique position nadir of the global downturn in driving investment activity and to help you. Our member firms 2009. The report highlights that how companies at the value, have a prominent position in despite very challenging markets premium and luxury ends of boardrooms across the world and transactions are being completed consumer markets are benefiting are renowned for delivering an in many different consumer from those operating in the award-winning partner-led segments and geographies. middle of the market. Our work advisory service with seamless In addition a large proportion also highlights the level of private international cooperation. of these deals are cross-border equity investment in the sector transactions reflecting the and how mid-cap companies and We hope you find our report increasingly global characteristics global corporates are shaping enlightening and welcome any of the sector. their acquisition strategies. feedback on our observations and conclusions. Our report also contains a great As the global recovery takes hold, deal of market-leading insight into we at Mergers Alliance are ideally the key issues facing the sector in placed to help you. Whether you Andy Currie Chairman of Mergers Alliance Managing Partner of Catalyst Corporate Finance LLP + 44 207 881 2960 andycurrie@catalystcf.co.uk Consumer Goods - Introduction 3
  • 6. Sector Report 2012 p g g Report Highlights We at Mergers Alliance believe the main factors to shape M&A in the consumer goods sector over the next three years will be: Consumer confidence ready to recover Whilst there remains much uncertainty in the global economy, the latest consumer polls indicate that consumer confidence has reached a plateau and that tentative signs of a recovery are emerging (see Figure 1). Figure 1: Consumer confidence 120 10% Consumer Confidence 110 Unemployment Rate 100 9% 90 80 8% 70 7% 60 50 6% 40 5% 30 20 4% 10 11 08 07 09 10 07 10 08 08 1 12 9 01 00 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 t2 r2 ay ay v g p c ar b n n n No Oc Ap De Au Se Fe Ju Ja Ja M M M United States of America - Consumer Confidence Index United States of America - Unemployment Rate We expect this recovery in consumer confidence, which may be slow initially, to feed into consumer markets over the next two years. Consequently this will further stimulate corporate and institutional investment and M&A activity across the consumer goods sector (see Figure 2). Figure 2: Total deal volume global 1200 Transaction volume 1000 800 600 400 200 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 Consumer Goods - Report Highlights 4
  • 7. Emerging markets rising Consumer goods companies have recognised that emerging markets are a requisite for growth rather than just a complementary source of revenue. We expect this corporate focus to drive more Western investment into emerging economies directly through acquisitions or joint ventures. Our research shows the rise of consumer sector M&A in emerging markets and in particular Asia. Since 2008, the proportion of M&A in these economies has increased by over a fifth to represent 30% of all deals globally (see Figure 3). Figure 3: Emerging markets 4% 1% 100 Africa and the Middle East 90 Asia Pacific 80 Latin America & Caribbean M&A Deal Volume 70 60 50 40 30 20 25% 10 0 M&A Volume 2009 M&A Volume 2011 Rest of World Europe and North America The deal flow is two way. Indian consumer companies Godrej and Gitanjali have been among the ten most active acquirers globally over the past three years, having completed 15 deals between them. As with other BRIC headquartered multinationals, they have set ambitious growth plans and have acquired branded goods companies in both developed and other developing countries. Consumer Goods - Report Highlights 5
  • 8. Sector Report 2012 p g g Report Highlights Adoption of multi-channel Private equity continues sales approach driving its love affair with M&A consumer brands Almost all consumer product The private equity industry has an companies have adopted a multi- established track record of working channel retail distribution model, which with private businesses to expand the “ M&A is now one of the main growth strategies for consumer companies domiciled included high street retail, online, mail order and television distribution. Online shopping accounted for the majority of overall retail sales growth in a number of developed markets during 2011 and is set to continue to dominate growth. distribution of consumer branded products in most developed countries. This trend has continued through the economic downturn although the focus has moved away from single channel retail distribution to multi-channel in mature economies. distributed products. ” Companies in the US, UK, Germany and the Netherlands have been Some of the more well known specialist particularly active in acquiring online sector investors such as L Capital and businesses and we expect further Change Capital have been active consolidation to occur across the recently as well as global players like developed economies. Carlyle Group, Oaktree Capital, Eurazeo and Blackstone Group. The Chinese market is forecast to become the biggest home shopping market globally – the B2C e-commerce market growing at 75% CAGR up to High prices paid for 2014. It is inevitable that successful high-end brands local online businesses will be targets During the past three years corporate of both acquisitive overseas and and private equity activity in the luxury local buyers. and premium segment has risen to reflect the increase in demand for premium goods from Asia, Russia Pressure on brands and South America. has intensified European luxury brands have been in Consumers in developed markets have particular demand and commanded been increasingly focused on price and high prices. The leading French luxury brand equity. Whilst this has meant conglomerate LVMH has made seven growth at both the premium end and acquisitions since 2008 including Italian value end of the branded goods jewellery maker Bulgari. Jimmy Choo, spectrum, there has been intense the iconic British lifestyle brand, was competition and margin pressure in acquired for c. $930m by Labelux, the the middle. Many of these brands have Austrian firm, which includes Bally and found themselves competing directly Belstaff amongst its portfolio. VF Corp, against their distribution networks, the leading US branded apparel which have developed private labels conglomerate, acquired Timberland offerings – currently growing at 10% for $2.2bn, at a valuation of 12.3x in the US and 6% in Europe. historic EBITDA. This has created a number of ‘distressed’ sales and both corporate and private equity investors such as Sun Capital have capitalised on these opportunities. We expect further distressed opportunities to emerge in the short term. Consumer Goods - Report Highlights 6
  • 9. We expect to see the luxury and ceiling in terms of organic growth due premium brand conglomerates to the mature and consolidated nature continue to consolidate the market of their respective markets, will be and provide the best exit route for compelled to pursue globalisation investors, who would have considered strategies. an IPO in previous years. The larger multinationals already have global sales and distribution operations, and are generally the first to acquire in Companies in lower emerging markets however, we expect growth, mature to see more mid sized businesses economies need acquire in BRIC countries as the risks become more understood and the M&A to acquire approach more accepted. M&A is now one of the main growth strategies for consumer companies domiciled in mature economies. Companies that have reached a Consumer power One billion new middle class consumers A consumer tidal wave is on its way in the form of the BRIC countries. 1600 1,350 Whilst the economies in each country vary significantly, their consumer 1400 markets are characterised by a largely untapped rural consumer population, 1200 expanding middle classes and the high income disparities between the rural 1000 and urban populations. It is estimated China that one billion more consumers will 800 emerge in less than 15 years. 600 Whilst the consumption of basic goods such as food, beverages and clothing 250 400 have grown most in line with GDP, the India consumption mix is changing. Certain 200 sub-sectors, such as skin-care in China and India and cosmetics and baby Brazil 0 Others diapers in Brazil, are growing faster than GDP. As a result, competition Year 2009 Year 2025 for local brands is intensifying and acquirers are paying high premiums as Source: McKinsey & Company consolidation takes place. We expect premiums to remain high as demand for these brands and companies exceed supply. Consumer Goods - Report Highlights 7
  • 10. Brazil A BRIC success The baby diapers segment has experienced double digit growth over Brazil’s appeal to investors grows day the past few years - a trend that is by day and is quickly becoming one expected to continue due to the of the most appealing of the BRIC’s increasing purchasing power thanks to its booming economy and of the consumer and relatively improving business conditions. high birth rates. Brazilian GDP grew 7.5% in 2010 and is estimated to expand by 3.4% in “With the rise 2012, mainly driven by its internal Footwear IPO alerts sellers market, which benefits from record high in consumer employment and rising income levels. Arezzo, Brazil’s leading footwear company that holds an 11% market income and This social migration process is share and operates through franchises reaching over 30 million people who are the emergence as well as its own stores, went public in either joining the consumer base or are January 2011 raising US$339m. A large increasing their consumption habits. of 30 million new chunk of the proceeds (roughly 35%) The upper, middle and lower-middle will be used to acquire smaller brands. consumers, the (or A-B-C) income segments now It has been reported that other local Brazilian consumer represent 74% of the population vs. footwear companies are also currently 49% in 2005 thanks to the sharp seeking acquisitions both domestically market has attracted increase in lower income consumer and overseas. Expect substantial spending power. A strong commitment consolidation activity in this sub-sector global attention. to economic stability, along with a over the next 18 months. Despite substantial structurally sound financial sector, has contributed to consumer confidence consolidation in recent and capital expansion which should years there are still have a positive effect on general economic growth. plenty of M&A opportunities.” Population increase Felipe Monaco, driving diaper market Broadspan Multinationals are becoming increasingly attracted to the baby diaper segment. In September 2011 personal care giants Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget (SCA) acquired baby diapers and wet wipes specialists Strong private equity Pro Descart Indústria E Comércio involvement for US$71m. Private equity involvement in the Domestic consolidation is also taking Latin American market is becoming place, in August 2010 multi-billion increasingly evident. dollar Brazilian conglomerate Hypermarcas acquired the Brazil based The Carlyle Group looked to expand its diapers, tissues and feminine care consumer portfolio by acquiring a 51% producer Mabesa from Grupo PI Mabe stake in Scalina, Brazil’s largest in a US$195m transaction which manufacturer and retailer of women’s represented an estimated 8.5 x EV hosiery and lingerie, for approximately to EBITDA ratio. Hypermarcas also US$160m. In the last five years, the acquired two other leading diaper Brazilian lingerie market has outpaced Brazilian companies (Pom Pom in GDP growth by circa 100%; a figure November 2009 for US$173m and that can be attributed to the Sapeka in March 2010 for US$211m) proliferation of the middle class and establishing its national leadership with the rising number of women with a 35% market share. expendable incomes. Deal Focus - Brazil 8
  • 11. Indeed, women are quickly becoming Due to the highly fragmented nature of a major economic force and are the apparel market in particular (the top expected to have a profound effect five players hold just 16% of the total on consumption habits. The cosmetics, market share) we expect the growing fragrances and toiletries (CF&T), eagerness to buy brands rather than footwear and apparel segments generic to drive M&A directed at are all expected to be boosted. emerging Brazilian clothing brands. Closer to home, in May 2011, Latin American private equity fund Southern Cross acquired a controlling stake in E-commerce maturing Brinox, a kitchenware manufacturer Local consumer firms that have with revenues of US$80m in 2010. traditionally sold their brands in retail Apart from the major players, the stores are expanding into e-commerce, kitchenware market is highly a channel growing at over 30% per fragmented and Southern Cross hopes annum. Consequently, we anticipate to benefit by continuing its buy and moves by consumer firms looking to build strategy - acquiring other expand their distribution network to associated brands through Brinox. acquire domestically domiciled online retail specialists. Overall, the Brazilian consumer market Consumers switching has experienced a boom in recent to brands years, however several inefficiencies still exist, such as fragmented markets. Although Brazil is becoming This should nonetheless encourage increasingly prosperous, the consumer major consumer players, foreign base is still composed of mostly lower and domestic, that have their own to middle income consumers; distribution channels and that consequently pricing is still central to rely on economies of scale. consumer choice. However, branding has been gaining traction over the past several years with shoppers becoming more willing to spend that extra amount on quality branded products. Recent transactions M&A activity 12 120 Date Target Description Acquirer Deal Value (US$m) 100 Average deal value $m Feb 12 Natura Cosmetics Lazard Asset n/d 10 Transaction volume Cosméticos S.A. Management LLC (USA) 8 80 Oct 11 Bobstore Apparel InBrands 32 Sep 11 Descart Indústria Baby diapers Svenska Cellulosa 71 6 60 E Comércio Aktiebolaget (Sweden) May 11 Brinox Kitchenware Southern Cross n/d 4 40 Metalúrgica Group (Argentina) May 11 Ecologie/ Cosmetics Bombril 9 2 20 Nick&Vick Feb 11 VR Kidswear Apparel InBrands n/d 0 0 and VR Menswear 2008 2009 2010 2011 Jan 11 Perfex (Johnson Household Hypermarcas 17 & Johnson) cleaning Total deal volume Nov 10 Colgate-Palmolive, Soap Hypermarcas 50 Source: Capital IQ and Pom Pom Soap Mergers Alliance Analysis Average deal value $m Nov 10 Scalina Hosiery; lingerie The Carlyle Group 160 (USA) Aug 10 Mabesa do Diapers Hypermarcas 195 Brasil Deal Focus - Brazil 9
  • 12. Mexico Sound fundamentals Brand integration The Mexican consumer goods sector An increasingly common theme in swept through the global economic Mexican consumer oriented M&A downturn unimpeded, experiencing has been for diversified consumer 6% compound annual growth over the companies to buy smaller brands past three years. to then incorporate into their product lines. Consumer growth is expected to at least equal GDP growth which is In October 2010, Genomma Lab “The currently at 4%. Indeed, a rising middle Internacional SAB, a Mexico based class may push growth in consumer developer and marketer of over-the- development goods higher still. Other positive indices counter pharmaceutical and personal priority of include a relatively low inflation rate care products, agreed to acquire the (at 3.14%) and stable consumer Pomada de la Campana, Galaflex, many firms has confidence levels. Moreover, Affair, Vanart and Sante Haircare brands consumer credit is recovering after for a total consideration of US$85m. been outward of late to a sharp contraction in 2009 and is The brands, that reported combined take advantage of the expected to reach 2007 levels in 2012. annual sales of US$38m in 2009, will be incorporated into Genomma’s already rapidly growing middle Overall deal volume in consumer goods extensive portfolio of over 90 brands has traditionally been low relative to the class. Solid macro general market; however, it has been fundamentals along steadily rising since 2009. Largest luxury market with the increase in in Latin America consumer credit, rolled Multinationals investing The luxury goods market is the second in Mexico most important in Mexico after the out by both department mass segment. Indeed, Mexico rates Large multinationals have sought to above Argentina and Brazil with 55% of and specialist stores, capitalise on concentrated sector the total sales of luxury goods in Latin has led to a surge in growth. One such firm was Svenska America. According to AC Nielsen, Cellulosa Aktiebolaget, the Swedish 6,4 million Mexicans will have annual Mexican consumerism. consumer goods giant and owner of incomes of over US$60,000 by 2030. brands such as Bodyform and Tempo. With this, Mexico In July 2010 it agreed to acquire A number of major international luxury brands rely on the affluent Mexican remains one of the Copamex S.A, a baby diaper business consumer as much as they do the that targets the Mexican and Central European. Hugo Boss for example more attractive American market, for US$50m. The derives c. 15% of its global sales deal involves the rights to the brands emerging market Tessy Babies and Dry Kids among from Mexico. propositions.” others and will take advantage of the growing Mexican and Central American Christian Garcini Garcia, baby diaper market. Apparel acquisition Sinergia Capital opportunities We expect the trend of Mexican brands being bought with the intention of being integrated into the buying company’s product line to continue. We expect this trend to take place in the apparel sector in particular, where a number of successful local brands have emerged. These include: Deal Focus - Mexico 10
  • 13. Julio: Quality clothing at low prices. It currently has 48 stores and 15 franchises in Mexico. Ivonne: The brand has positioned itself as one of the leading companies in selling fashion and “ The luxury goods market is the second most important in Mexico after the mass accessories to a wide segment of segment. Indeed, the female population. Has recently opened its first stores in the US. Mexico rates above Marsel: It currently has 20 stores Argentina and Brazil in shopping malls across the country, Marsel has been with 55% of the expanding at a fast pace. total sales of luxury Highlife: Clothing for men; one of goods in Latin the market leaders in the sector. America. Andrea: Catalogue sales of shoes with a large share of the Mexican market. In our view the above present a good opportunity for foreign firms looking to invest in the infrastructure of some well ” established and potentially high growth Mexican brands. Recent transactions M&A activity 7 120 Date Target Description Acquirer Deal Value (US$m) 90 6 Average deal value $m Oct 11 Scientific-Atlanta Set-top boxes PCE Paragon 45 80 Transaction volume de Mexico Solutions kft (Hungary) 5 70 Aug 11 Moda Holding Footwear Nexxus Capital, n/d 60 S.A.P.I. de C.V. S.C. developer 4 Aug 11 Various Brands Various brands Genomma Lab 85 50 Internacional SAB 3 40 Jul 11 Toshiba Electronics Just International n/d 2 30 Electromex Ltd. (Taiwan) 20 Oct 10 Colgate-Palmolive Personal care Genomma Lab 29 1 (Mexican brands) Interacional SAB 10 Jul 10 Copamex, S.A. Personal care Svenska Cellulosa 50 0 0 de C.V. Aktiebolaget (Sweden) 2008 2009 2010 2011 Mar 10 Laboratorios KSK Natural products Takashi Tsuru n/d company Kayaba Total deal volume Mar 10 Impco, S. de Household Sylvan Holdings n/d Source: Capital IQ and R.L. de C.V. appliances Pte. Ltd (Singapore) Mergers Alliance Analysis Average deal value $m Jan 09 Iconix Brand Various brands New Brands 6 Group, Inc Americas LLC (USA) Aug 08 Barajas y Naipes Leisure equipment Cartamundi NV; n/d de Mexico Copag da Amazônia S.A. Deal Focus - Mexico 11
  • 14. USA Strategies change on remained relatively constant since 2008 through the end of 2011 macro deterioration at approximately 200 reported As goes the consumer so goes the transactions per annum. While most of consumer products industry and the the deals had undisclosed value and consumers throughout the world are terms, the ones that did disclose still recovering from the local and global exhibited an increased average recession and personal deleveraging. transaction size from a low in 2008 through 2010. This increase in the The US consumers buying behaviour average deal size was reflective of the “The US has fundamentally changed from the financial turmoil in 2008 in which many consumer mid-2000’s and consumer goods of the sellers were "distressed" and manufacturers and the retail channels buyers had limited sources of capital. products M&A will continue to have to adjust to this Average deal size spiked in 2010 as new buying paradigm. activity has there were five US$1bn+ transactions The continued contraction of credit including NBTY and Alberto-Culver for proven to be rather availability to the consumer (be it from US$4bn each, whereas the largest disclosed deal in 2008 was only resilient in this volatile credit cards, home equity loans, 401k) US$500m. combined with declining assets, environment. Given dropping consumer confidence and Approximately 13% of the companies increased unemployment, has made the strong corporate the US consumer more price sensitive, acquired in the US have been bought by a non-US based entity. In 2011, balance sheets, and decrease discretionary spending and there was an increase in cross-border become more willing to consider transactions which was driven by the backlog of aging alternative channels for key purchases. weak dollar and a desire for European owners of privately-held The consumer goods manufacturers and Chinese companies seeking have also faced a dramatically "foothold" acquisitions in the US. CP companies, we are changing environment in the US. bracing for a strong Rising inflation on the back of monetary stimulus has meant that companies Large deals and hostile surge of M&A activity have faced rising commodity prices takeovers over the next few years.” while at the same time being pressured VF Corp, one of the leading owners to maintain, if not lower, its retail pricing. Many branded companies of branded apparel companies, added Brian Mulvaney, faced new competition from private Timberland to its portfolio in June 2011 Headwaters MB in a US$2.2bn deal. This valuation was label offerings. In addition, companies remain challenged by tight credit a 40% premium to Timberlands recent markets, a volatile dollar and increasing stock price, 1.2 x revenue and 12.3 x employee benefit costs. EBITDA. Timberland, which was publicly traded but family managed, had suffered a decline in profitability and was facing investor criticism. By being acquired by VF, Timberland’s cost structure should improve and sales will benefit from VF’s global distribution network. VF, which owns such brands as Vans, North Face, JanSport, Reef, Wrangler and Lee has stated that it will continue to look to build its brand portfolio in all of its categories both in the US and overseas. Stable M&A levels Despite volatile economic conditions affecting the consumer space, the annual number of transactions has Deal Focus - USA 12
  • 15. M&A driving company and direct response (e.g. infomercials grow, but brands that fall in the middle and direct mailers) continue to take a with medium quality at full prices will growth larger share of the consumer’s wallet, continue to decline. The US consumer goods market is which has required the consumer goods manufacturers to develop Lastly, US companies will have to comprised of over 7,500 companies of multi-channel strategies. develop ways in which to enter the which only 330 are publicly traded and higher growth emerging markets such just over 1,000 are private equity Indeed, in order to compete, many as Brazil and China in order to fuel backed. Of this group, 350 companies companies are challenging their growth and to establish sourcing and disclosed revenue that totalled traditional business models in order manufacturing internationally in order US$323bn, lead by Procter & Gamble to deliver a better experience to the to lower costs and increase capacity. (P&G) with US$79bn and the next nine consumer. Some of these changes accounting for US$114bn. While the larger companies already include brand building using social media, creating exclusive product have global sales and distribution Of note, the industry growth of the top features for retailers, changing networks, many of the mid-size companies has been nominal with the warranty/return policies, willingness to companies (e.g. sales of $50-500 top 10 companies only growing 0.6% offer private label products, entering million) do not. In order to mitigate in three years and 2.2% in five years, new countries and use of alternative the risk of these new market launches, whereas the top 50 companies have channels such as direct-to-consumer, US companies are becoming more grown 1.5% in three years and 4.6% in multi-level marketing and receptive to joint ventures, acquisitions five years. The highest growth category discount chains. or distribution agreements with in the top 50 was apparel, with PVH companies either domiciled or (Calvin Klein, Tommy Hilfiger) growing established in those target markets. 88% in five years through acquisitions. As has been the case over the last few Most of the other top 50 companies New strategies and years, this continual need for changing experienced low or no organic growth new markets strategies will drive M&A activity in the and the few that did have some growth US and internationally. were primarily driven by acquisitions Over the next few years the US (e.g. Jarden). consumer goods market is expected to remain at the low-single digit growth rate, but will have more dramatic Changing shape of the changes within the different consumer sectors and distribution channels. consumer industry We expect to see growth at both ends The retail distribution channels have of the branded goods spectrum and a evolved quite significantly over the past decline in the middle. Meaning that five years. The “bricks & mortar” stores high-end brands like Nike and Coach that are doing well are the luxury and value brands like Costco’s Kirkland retailers and the discount retailers. and Target’s Cherokee will continue to Non-traditional channels such as online Recent transactions M&A activity Date Target Description Acquirer Deal Value 300 300 (US$m) 250 250 Average deal value $m Dec 11 Kukdong Apparel Apparel Kukdong Corp. 11 Transaction volume (America) Inc. 200 200 Dec 11 Baby Trend, Inc. Juvenile products GIA Investments 45 Corp. Sep 11 JAKKS Pacific Toys Oaktree Capital 608 150 150 Jun 11 Timberland Co. Apparel & V.F. Corp. 2,200 100 100 footwear May 11 Acushnet Recreational FILA (Korea) 1,200 50 50 Company (Titleist) equipment May 11 Volcom Apparel PPR SA (France) 607 0 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 Jan 11 Rafaella Apparel Apparel Perry Ellis 195 Total deal volume Jan 11 Klipsch Group Consumer Audiovox 232 Source: Capital IQ and electronics Mergers Alliance Analysis Average deal value $m Dec 10 Sara Lee Shoe Household SC Johnson 323 Care (Kiwi brand) products Sep 10 Alberto-Culver Personal care The Carlyle Group 3,900 products Deal Focus - USA 13
  • 16. China Steady shift to a more Indeed, the past three years has seen M&A targeted at home appliance consumer driven economy electronics firms gather pace; further The Chinese consumer class, riding on deals included the purchase of the wave of constant macroeconomic Shenzhen based United Opto- growth, has been expanding at a Electronics, a firm engaged in the rapid rate. design and manufacturing of projection televisions and related products, by Just seven years ago 4.2 million keypad specialists Karce International households were earning US$10,000 Holdings for US$346m and the majority “China is the a year, that household figure has since stake purchase of Hefei Royalstar most significant risen to just over 20 million and rising. Industrial, by its domestic peer Wuxi Despite this, consumption still only Little Swan for US$78m. prize in the makes up 35% of GDP compared to 70% in the US. It is clear that the consumer consumption capacity of the Chinese Homegrown brands take goods sector. The has not come close to realising its to the world stage full potential. Indeed, analysts expect middle-class in China China’s consumer market to grow to China is home to a number of three times the size of the US market is increasingly becoming over the next two decades. multibillion dollar brands, some of which have had more exposure to a wealthy one with a China’s 12th five year plan, which runs Western markets than others. growing appetite for until 2015, places an emphasis on The brands range from electronics balancing the economy to be more to sporting goods and top among them consumer goods. higher-value-add consumer driven is multinational computer firm Levono. and less reliant on cheap exports. The company manufactures and Companies, both Even with this, China will remain a markets desktop, tablet and notebook domestic and foreign, relatively frugal state relative to its computers. Currently the world's western counterparts and saving will number two PC brand, the company will vie for market remain firmly entrenched in the culture; has already been active in global M&A with its acquisition of IBM’s personal share through M&A.” an economic dynamic that can only computer division in 2005 being its prove supportive to the long term health of the economy. most high-profile deal. Looking ahead Andre Johnston, it recently stated that it is looking for Mergers Alliance overseas acquisitions to expand its nascent mobile device division. Large interest in home appliances The next two biggest non food and drink consumer companies are Anta China has been a fairly active hub of and Li-Ning, both sporting goods consumer goods M&A in recent years firms that design sports apparel and and although there was a contraction equipment under their own brand in 2010, 2011 surpassed the peaks names. Li-Ning surpassed Adidas in both volume and average deal domestically in 2009 to become the value. Interestingly, over half of all second largest sports brand by market transactions over the past three years share (after Nike). In the same year it have been cross-border. bought Hong Kong based sportswear Recent among them was renowned firm Kason Sports for US$24m. Anta Swedish outdoor recreational brand meanwhile has ambitiously declared its Hestra-Handsken’s acquisition of a intention to open 10,000 new stores 50% stake in outdoor sportswear and across China. equipment firm Zhejiang Pinghu Huashen in February 2011 for an undisclosed sum. In the same month French electrical appliances company SEB Internationale acquired a 20% stake in kitchenware appliances brand Zhejiang Supor for US$526m. Deal Focus - China 14
  • 17. Personal care opens Interestingly, there has been notable Monetary policy could outbound involvement as well; China its borders Investment Corporation invested influence M&A Due to its substantial growth prospects US$50m into French beauty and home If the Chinese government stops one industry that has been more active products firm L'Occitane International artificially suppressing its currency and than most in M&A has been the CF&T during its floatation. allows the RNB to float freely (which (cosmetics, fragrances and toiletries) may happen sooner than anticipated segment. due to domestic inflation concerns) the In December 2010 Coty Inc, the world’s Luxury sensibilities consumer’s purchasing power will rise sharply. Not only will this enable the largest fragrance company By 2015 China is set to overtake the Chinese to outbid foreign consumers headquartered in Paris and New York US and Japan to become the world’s on products they themselves make, and privately owned by German holding largest luxury market. Heavy tariffs it will also provide Chinese firms with company Joh. A. Benckiser, acquired a levied on certain consumer goods such the additional purchasing power to majority stake in TJoy Holdings, a as a 50% duty on cosmetics and a participate in outbound M&A more Jiangsu Province based brand that 30% duty on high-end watches are to aggressively. manufactures skin care products, for be repealed with further reductions on US$400m. Although Tjoy has negligible import tariffs to follow. Such a move market share (estimated at 1%) Coty may actually discourage China targeted was attracted to one of the Chinese M&A by foreign luxury companies as firm's lucrative skin whitening and male home advantage no longer becomes a skincare products lines. These products prerequisite to penetrating the market. have been experiencing high double digit growth in recent years. Currently, only a small fraction of the population can afford premium goods, In 2008 Johnson & Johnson China most of whom are confined to the Investment Co, a subsidiary of New major cities, however, prosperity Jersey based Johnson & Johnson, and goods are now swelling into bought Beijing Dabao Cosmetics, one the second and third tier cities. of China’s best known cosmetic brands (the firm had previously been majority state owned). The purchase has so far facilitated Johnson & Johnson’s entry into the Chinese market through Dabao’s 3,000 mainland outlets. Recent transactions M&A activity 60 60 Date Target Description Acquirer Deal Value (US$m) 50 Average deal value $m Dec 11 Shanghai Watches Watches Shenzhen Fiyta 7 50 Transaction volume Company Limited Holdings Ltd 40 40 Dec 11 Shenzhen Consumer Sichuan Changhong 32 Changhong electronics Electronics Group Nov 11 Yiwu Nengdali Apparel China Fashion n/d 30 30 Garments Co.,Ltd. Holdings Ltd. Aug 11 Parel Cosmetics Ming Fai Holdings 5 20 20 Cosmetics Ltd. Limited Aug 11 BSW Household Electornics Bosch and Siemens 19 10 10 Appliances Home Appliances (Ger) Aug 11 FAB Enterprise Electronics Wizzard Software 15 0 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 Mar 11 Zhejiang Putian Household Elica SpA (Italy) 42 Electric appliances Total deal volume Feb 11 Zhejiang Supor Housewares and SEB SA (France) 526 Source: Capital IQ and specialties Mergers Alliance Analysis Average deal value $m Feb 11 Zhejiang Pinghu Sportswear and Hestra-Handsken n/d Huashen equipment AB (Sweden) Apr 08 United Opto- Electronics Karce International 346 Electronics Holdings Deal Focus - China 15
  • 18. India Growing middle class Foreign private equity boosts M&A interest in Indian apparel India is one the world’s most lucrative Disposable income in India is growing consumer markets and there is still at 5% annually; yearly growth of the ample room for expansion in a country apparel sector however is c. 13%. This where, similar to China, consumption figure can be partly attributed to more makes up less than half of the total money being in the hands of young GDP. people and an increase in demand for “Consumer A number of multinational consumer office wear by both men and women. companies giants have had a presence in India for The past three years have seen the decades: Unilever initially entered the growth in apparel reflected in the M&A have often Indian market in 1930 and Procter & market where many of the consumer Gamble commenced its first operations transactions took place. struggled to in the 1950’s. A number of financial funds competed penetrate the disparate M&A participation in the sector to invest in Genesis Colors, a company and often volatile although always evident, has increased that owns a variety of premium fashion over the past five years thanks to labels. Investors included L Capital, Indian market as favourable consumer drivers including the private equity arm of luxury high GDP growth, a growing middle conglomerate LVMH, who recently modern retail chains class (which is expected to swell to acquired a 40% stake. Previously, UK are relatively weak and around 500 million by 2025) and a based Henderson Global Investors rise in per capita income for rural acquired a 12% stake for US$17m and the majority of inhabitants. US based venture capital firms Sequoia consumer goods are Capital and Mayfield Fund contributed US$26m. The new funds have been sold in traditional High valuations in used to open new branches, market one of its flagship brands, Satya Paul, shops. Entering these personal care and fund future acquisitions. markets requires India’s personal care market is growing In 2010 private equity firms Bain rapidly thanks to the rise in the powerful independent population’s purchasing power and Capital and TPG Capital purchased undisclosed stakes in Indian kids-wear distribution networks, increasing health awareness. The sector firm Lilliput for US$86m. The new has attracted many overseas cash rich funds will allow one of India’s most therefore, most would buyers. Unfortunately, the number recognisable kids-wear brands to of brands for sale has not satisfied be better off acquiring demand which has contributed to extend its product range as well as its store footprint. The deal is also seen as or partnering with local the high multiples being paid. a precursor to its initial share offering that is said to be taking place over the established brands.” This was illustrated by the bidding next 12 months. war, involving both multinational and Sujay Kotak, domestic players, for Paras Singhi Advisors Pharmaceuticals, a household and personal care company. The auction Seeking global coverage was eventually won by UK based Reckitt Benckiser who bid a sizable A growing number of Indian firms are US$725m (price/sales multiple of over seeking international exposure to both 8 x). Reckitt is the world's largest hedge against domestic competition producer of personal and household and to capitalise on some of the products boasting global brands such lucrative diaspora market. Historically, as Durex and Vanish. As well as Indian firms have sold identical product extending these brands already lines in the targeted overseas markets discernable presence in India, the to the ones sold locally, however, firms acquisition will allow Reckitt to expand are now customising their brand its product line through Paras’ own portfolio to better suit the tastes of extensive portfolio which includes international consumers. M&A has brands such as D’Cold, Moor and helped facilitate the cross-over and one Dermicool. such example was the acquisition of UK based CF&T company Keyline Deal Focus - India 16
  • 19. Brands by Godrej Consumer Products, Industry insight India and through our global operations. the consumer division of the Indian On top of that, we expect a 10% conglomerate. The buy enabled Godrej Name: Vivek Gambhir compounded annual growth rate from to introduce new product ranges to the Company: Godrej Group acquisitions. This would be financed by UK and Europe as well bring Keyline’s Position: Chief Strategy Officer the surpluses generated each year and brands to the Indian market. Indeed, by maintaining a debt equity ratio of Godrej has been one of the world’s about 1:1. most acquisitive consumer companies over the past three years. A trend that 10 times in 10 years is a compounded we expect to continue as firms in annual growth rate of about 27%, emerging markets go out of their which we fully expect to achieve. way to achieve global coverage. Ultimately our growth aspirations are indicative of the Indian consumer market as a whole.” Outlook The Godrej Group is an Indian conglomerate headquartered in The majority of the rural population will Mumbai, India and has a turnover emerge from subsistence consumption of US$2.6bn. Godrej Consumer “At Godrej Consumer Products we to a level that consistently consumes Products is a leader among India's have a financial goal of what we call tailored, though still affordable, FMCG companies, with leading 10x10, which essentially means 10 products. The market potential in terms household and personal care times the size in 10 years. We expect of volume for mass premium products products. to grow organically by around 15- and FMCG’s is considerable. We 20% over the next 10 years both in believe this holds true for products in beauty and skin care products in particular and this is where we expect further M&A activity to take place over the next three years. Despite its eclectic language structure and vast landmass, the current Indian consumer climate is relatively homogenous. Nonetheless, a rise in purchasing power and an increase in scale will necessitate more complex business models with regards to branding and general operations. An effort than can be facilitated by foreign expertise. Recent transactions M&A activity Date Target Description Acquirer Deal Value 35 100 (US$m) 90 30 Average deal value $m Sep 11 Genesis Colors Apparel L Capital, Henderson 43 80 Transaction volume Mayfield (Various) 25 70 Jun 11 Darling Group Hair care Godrej Consumer 100 20 60 Holdings Products Ltd. 50 Apr 11 Henkel India Ltd. Fabric care Jyothy 170 Laboratories Ltd. 15 40 Apr 11 Weekender Apparels for Madhusudan 21 10 30 Clothing children Securities (Vietnam) 20 Jan 11 Maya Appliances Household Koninklijke Philips n/d 5 Industry appliances Electronics (Egypt) 10 Dec 10 Naturesse Hair care Godrej Consumer n/d 0 0 Consumer Care Products 2008 2009 2010 2011 Dec 10 Paras Healthcare Reckitt Benckiser 725 Pharmaceuticals (UK) Total deal volume Dec 10 Essence Consumer Fabric care Godrej Consumer n/d Source: Capital IQ and Care Products Products Mergers Alliance Analysis Average deal value $m Dec 10 Bachi Shoes Footwear Tata International 26 India Private Sep 10 Lilliput Kids apparel Bain Capital, 86 TPG Capital (USA) Deal Focus - India 17
  • 20. p Japan Factors determining M&A as deal value plunged briefly once again reflecting the uncertainty Major economic drivers of M&A in surrounding the after-effects of the the consumer goods sector in Japan earthquake. In 2011, Japanese include demographics, deflation and corporations turned to outbound M&A the strong yen to name a few. as a risk diversification measure and to According to the 2010 census, the take advantage of the strengthening population of Japan in 2010 was 128 yen against major foreign currencies. million, virtually the same as in 2005. “The flat The percentage of the population aged 65 and over reached 23%, the highest Reorganisation of Japanese Japanese in the world, followed by Germany and electronics takes place population Italy at 20%. Mature and shrinking The much predicted reorganisation of markets in Japan have led to growth and consolidation among domestic Japan’s consumer electronics industry consumer goods companies. Deflation was realised in 2008 with the start of shrinking consumer in Japan has created price competition the acquisition of Sanyo Electric by goods market in Japan putting pressure on margins, further Panasonic Corporation. forcing players to consolidate to find The initial 50.2% stake in the listed is underpinning M&A cost synergies. The strong yen has also Sanyo Electric amounted to over activity in this sector. levelled the domestic playing field US$12bn. With major electric attracting foreign global players to the companies like Hitachi, Toshiba and We expect to see more market. Global consumer brands such Mitsubishi surging domestically, Sanyo as H&M and Zara in apparel and Ikea consolidation of in furniture have been successful could not compete by itself in many of its product areas. In 2011, Haier Group marginal local in Japan. Company of China, acquired nine subsidiaries of Sanyo which mainly consumer products At the same time these factors have produced washing machines and also been drivers for outbound M&A companies along with as Japanese consumer companies refrigerators in Japan and Asia. seek faster growing markets abroad. MBOs and private M&A was not limited to domestic players seeking consolidation. In 2008, equity investment, while Bain Capital saw a brand enhancing Great East Japan opportunity in the Japanese audio the stronger companies earthquake impacts M&A electronics market by acquiring the look abroad to the Tokyo Stock Exchange listed D&M Prior to the impact of the Lehman Holdings for US$686m. Bain purchased higher growth markets shock, Japan saw a number of major the stakes of RHJ International and mid and large-sized consumer deals. Phillips and D&M was delisted from in the BRICs, South Panasonic acquired Sanyo electric in a the stock exchange. D&M holds audio East Asia and Africa.” deal worth US$12bn. Moreover, foreign electronic brands such as Denon, buyers made selective acquisitions Marantz, and McIntosh. Tomoki Tanaka, such as Newell Rubbermaids purchase IBS Yamaichi Securities Co Ltd of the baby stroller company Aprica. In 2009 consumer sector deals declined Strong yen driving foreign on the back of the market uncertainty following the global credit crunch. expansion In 2010 deal volumes and values Given the strong yen and healthy cash quickly rebounded from a realisation balances, Japanese corporations are that the consumer market was relatively increasingly seeking M&A opportunities unaffected compared to other in growing markets outside Japan to developed economies. However, this build up existing overseas networks in changed dramatically in March 2011 Europe and North America and diversify with the Great East Japan earthquake their brand offerings. Deal Focus - Japan 18