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Master Thesis Defense
Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam
                    Department of Finance

                      Master Thesis
              M&A and Corporate Governance
 “Impact of CEO Compensation Structure on M&A Performance”


                                                             Anton Zhukov
                                                       Student ID: 336825
                                                RSM Finance & Investments
                                                Coach: Michiel Wolfswinkel
                                                  Co-reader: Jordan Otten
                                                       Date: 07/09/2012


                                           Master Thesis Defense
Presentation Outline
• Topic Introduction
• Research Question
• Hypotheses
• Methodology & Data Collection
• Data Analysis
• Research Findings
• Conclusion



                                  Master Thesis Defense
Topic Introduction
Topic - M&A and Corporate Governance

• Literature Review
    I. Firm Size Theory
    II. Free Cash Flow Theory
    III. Hubris Hypothesis
    IV. CEOs’ Personal Risk Hypothesis



                                         Master Thesis Defense
Research Question
“…we document a strong positive relation between acquiring managers’ equity-based
 compensation (EBC) and stock price performance around and following acquisition
            announcements.” - Datta, Iskander-Datta, Raman (2001)



“How does CEOs compensation structure affect M&A performance?”




                                                       Master Thesis Defense
Hypotheses
M&A Performance measures
   • Acquisition Premiums
   • Acquisition Abnormal Returns (ARs)

• Equity-based compensation (EBC) and Acquisition Premiums
    H1: Higher fraction of equity in total compensation leads to lower acquisition
    premiums paid by acquiring companies.

• Equity-based compensation (EBC) and Acquisition Abnormal Returns
    H2: Higher fraction of equity in total compensation leads to higher cumulative
    abnormal returns (CARs) to the shareholders of acquiring companies.



                                                          Master Thesis Defense
Methodology & Data Collection
Independent Variable (X) in time t-1   Dependent Variables (Y) in time t

CEO Compensation Components             Acquisition Premium Hypothesis
  • Base Salary                           • Price per Share/Target Share Price 4
  • Bonus                                   Weeks Prior to Announcement
  • Other Annual
  • Restricted Stock Granted            Acquisition Abnormal Returns (ARs)
  • Options Granted (Black-Scholes)     Hypothesis
  • Long-term Incentives Payouts          • Cumulative Abnormal Returns (CARs)
  • All Other Total                       • Market Model (MM) - benchmark




                                                       Master Thesis Defense
Methodology & Data Collection
Period: January 1, 1995 – December 31, 2007
Acquirer & Target are public companies
Industry: High-Tech
Location: the United States
Deal Type: Disclosed Value M&A
Deal Status: Completed
Acquiror holds more than 50% of stock after acquisition
Final Number of Analyzed Transactions: 332 transactions by 216 acquirers
Databases:
     • Thomson One Banker
     • Compustat Standard & Poor’s ExecuComp Annual Compensation (WRDS)
     • CRSP/Compustat Merged - Fundamentals Annual (WRDS)
     • Eventus (WRDS)

                                                    Master Thesis Defense
Data Analysis




                Master Thesis Defense
Data Analysis
H1: Equity-Based Compensation and Acquisition Premiums
     • Median equity-based compensation = 61.39%



    Average Acquisition
                              1995-1999    2000-2002     2003-2007   1995-2007
         Premium
       High EBC Firms          55.61%       73.87%        46.30%      58.49%
       Low EBC Firms           52.05%       50.19%        52.97%      51.88%




                                                         Master Thesis Defense
Data Analysis
H2: Equity-Based Compensation and Acquisition Abnormal Returns
     • Median equity-based compensation = 61.39%



    Average Cumulative
                              1995-1999    2000-2002    2003-2007   1995-2007
     Abnormal Returns
       High EBC Firms           -4.18%       -4.97%       -2.26%     -3.77%
       Low EBC Firms            -1.40%       0.02%        -0.33%     -0.77%




                                                         Master Thesis Defense
Findings
Regression Analysis
    H1: Equity-based Compensation and Acquisition Premiums
    PREMIUM = 50.753 + 0.035*OFFPR_TO_EPS – 0.192*EBC_PCT + εit

    This confirms our initial H1 hypothesis, which holds that higher proportion of equity-
    based compensation in a total CEOs’ compensation leads to lower acquisition premiums.

    H2: Equity-based Compensation and Acquisition Abnormal Returns
    CAR = -0.004 + 1.4189296448509635E-5*RSIZE - 4.315350812132981E-
    4*EBC_PCT + εit

    These findings contradict our initial hypothesis H2, which holds that higher fraction of
    equity in total compensation leads to higher cumulative abnormal returns (CAR) to the
    shareholders of acquiring companies.



                                                               Master Thesis Defense
Conclusion
• Higher fraction of equity in total compensation can lead to lower acquisition
  premiums paid by acquiring companies.

• Higher fraction of equity in total compensation does not necessary lead to
  higher cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) to the shareholders of acquiring
  companies.

    Possible explanation
    “Risk-reducing strategies may be emphasized as managers expand their stock
    ownership. Consequently the risk-reducing acquisitions lead to lower abnormal
    returns to the shareholders of the acquiring firms.” - Wright et al. (2002)




                                                       Master Thesis Defense
Master Thesis Defense
Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam
                    Department of Finance

                      Master Thesis
              M&A and Corporate Governance
 “Impact of CEO Compensation Structure on M&A Performance”




                    Date: 07/09/2012


                                           Master Thesis Defense

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Impact of CEO Pay on M&A Performance

  • 1. Master Thesis Defense Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam Department of Finance Master Thesis M&A and Corporate Governance “Impact of CEO Compensation Structure on M&A Performance” Anton Zhukov Student ID: 336825 RSM Finance & Investments Coach: Michiel Wolfswinkel Co-reader: Jordan Otten Date: 07/09/2012 Master Thesis Defense
  • 2. Presentation Outline • Topic Introduction • Research Question • Hypotheses • Methodology & Data Collection • Data Analysis • Research Findings • Conclusion Master Thesis Defense
  • 3. Topic Introduction Topic - M&A and Corporate Governance • Literature Review I. Firm Size Theory II. Free Cash Flow Theory III. Hubris Hypothesis IV. CEOs’ Personal Risk Hypothesis Master Thesis Defense
  • 4. Research Question “…we document a strong positive relation between acquiring managers’ equity-based compensation (EBC) and stock price performance around and following acquisition announcements.” - Datta, Iskander-Datta, Raman (2001) “How does CEOs compensation structure affect M&A performance?” Master Thesis Defense
  • 5. Hypotheses M&A Performance measures • Acquisition Premiums • Acquisition Abnormal Returns (ARs) • Equity-based compensation (EBC) and Acquisition Premiums H1: Higher fraction of equity in total compensation leads to lower acquisition premiums paid by acquiring companies. • Equity-based compensation (EBC) and Acquisition Abnormal Returns H2: Higher fraction of equity in total compensation leads to higher cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) to the shareholders of acquiring companies. Master Thesis Defense
  • 6. Methodology & Data Collection Independent Variable (X) in time t-1 Dependent Variables (Y) in time t CEO Compensation Components Acquisition Premium Hypothesis • Base Salary • Price per Share/Target Share Price 4 • Bonus Weeks Prior to Announcement • Other Annual • Restricted Stock Granted Acquisition Abnormal Returns (ARs) • Options Granted (Black-Scholes) Hypothesis • Long-term Incentives Payouts • Cumulative Abnormal Returns (CARs) • All Other Total • Market Model (MM) - benchmark Master Thesis Defense
  • 7. Methodology & Data Collection Period: January 1, 1995 – December 31, 2007 Acquirer & Target are public companies Industry: High-Tech Location: the United States Deal Type: Disclosed Value M&A Deal Status: Completed Acquiror holds more than 50% of stock after acquisition Final Number of Analyzed Transactions: 332 transactions by 216 acquirers Databases: • Thomson One Banker • Compustat Standard & Poor’s ExecuComp Annual Compensation (WRDS) • CRSP/Compustat Merged - Fundamentals Annual (WRDS) • Eventus (WRDS) Master Thesis Defense
  • 8. Data Analysis Master Thesis Defense
  • 9. Data Analysis H1: Equity-Based Compensation and Acquisition Premiums • Median equity-based compensation = 61.39% Average Acquisition 1995-1999 2000-2002 2003-2007 1995-2007 Premium High EBC Firms 55.61% 73.87% 46.30% 58.49% Low EBC Firms 52.05% 50.19% 52.97% 51.88% Master Thesis Defense
  • 10. Data Analysis H2: Equity-Based Compensation and Acquisition Abnormal Returns • Median equity-based compensation = 61.39% Average Cumulative 1995-1999 2000-2002 2003-2007 1995-2007 Abnormal Returns High EBC Firms -4.18% -4.97% -2.26% -3.77% Low EBC Firms -1.40% 0.02% -0.33% -0.77% Master Thesis Defense
  • 11. Findings Regression Analysis H1: Equity-based Compensation and Acquisition Premiums PREMIUM = 50.753 + 0.035*OFFPR_TO_EPS – 0.192*EBC_PCT + εit This confirms our initial H1 hypothesis, which holds that higher proportion of equity- based compensation in a total CEOs’ compensation leads to lower acquisition premiums. H2: Equity-based Compensation and Acquisition Abnormal Returns CAR = -0.004 + 1.4189296448509635E-5*RSIZE - 4.315350812132981E- 4*EBC_PCT + εit These findings contradict our initial hypothesis H2, which holds that higher fraction of equity in total compensation leads to higher cumulative abnormal returns (CAR) to the shareholders of acquiring companies. Master Thesis Defense
  • 12. Conclusion • Higher fraction of equity in total compensation can lead to lower acquisition premiums paid by acquiring companies. • Higher fraction of equity in total compensation does not necessary lead to higher cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) to the shareholders of acquiring companies. Possible explanation “Risk-reducing strategies may be emphasized as managers expand their stock ownership. Consequently the risk-reducing acquisitions lead to lower abnormal returns to the shareholders of the acquiring firms.” - Wright et al. (2002) Master Thesis Defense
  • 13. Master Thesis Defense Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam Department of Finance Master Thesis M&A and Corporate Governance “Impact of CEO Compensation Structure on M&A Performance” Date: 07/09/2012 Master Thesis Defense