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Annual Real Estate Report 2012*



*Hint- It’s the best news in 5 years
Review
In 2012 we saw the real estate recovery gaining momentum in the country and locally.
Now that sales and prices are rising again, we can look back and see the bottom was in
mid to late 2010. 2011 was inconsistent at best with a few months of increases followed
by a few months of decreases. In 2012 we finally had 6 straight months of increasing
prices for the first time since 2007. The recovery is encompassing more areas nationally
which bodes well for price and sales recovery in the Carolinas as we continue to be in-
migration states. Local recovery will continue to be stronger in the radius of 20-25 miles
from Charlotte due to gas prices and the Charlotte job engine.

The Allen Tate Company continues to lead the way in the Charlotte Region and the
Carolinas. In the Charlotte Region we have closed more than 1/3 of all home sales year
to date and our closed sales increase is 10% higher than our competition average. The
Balatow Team has experienced a 31% closed sales increase largely due to an 89%
increase in our inventory of houses listed for sale. Our company and our team are out-
performing the market and we want to especially thank everyone who trusted us with
their home experience this year.

At present, interest rates are below 4% and opportunities for home buyers are still
outstanding. With new construction expected to double in spring 2013, home sellers
should be in top shape and ready to go on the market now or early in 2013 before new
construction homes are completed.

We hope you enjoy the stats and analysis. We want all our clients and friends to be the
best informed real estate owners and consumers in the market.
Market Trends
 • New Construction- Strong Increase early 2013 = Existing home
   sellers should be on the market now
 • Interest Rates- Gradual rise as economy improves = future
   higher cost of ownership per $1 purchased
 • Rental Rates- High rents begin push back to buying = rising
   demand for new and existing houses
 • Home Inventories- Low levels of existing houses for sale = less
   competition for good houses, shorter time on market
 • Price Stabilization- Has occurred = gradual, historical, “normal”
   rise in prices returning
 • Foreclosure-delinquent inventories down = Less competition
   from low price inventory
Please call us at 704-904-8769 or e-mail us at
Bill.Balatow@allentate.com with any questions about the
review, trends or any of the attached tables.
2012 National Statistics and Trends
• Average sales price nationwide was $215,000.
• 87% of buyers financed their purchase and average amount financed was
  91% of purchase price, a strong sign of a more favorable lending
  environment.
• 40% of home buyers and 38% of home sellers chose their agent from a
  referral from a relative, neighbor or friend.
• 39 percent of recent home buyers were first-time buyers, a slight rise from
  2011, but closer to the historical norm of 40 percent.
• 65 percent of recent home buyers were married couples—the highest share
  since 2001.
• For 52 percent of home buyers, the first step in the home-buying process
  was taken online. Over 90% used the internet in their search process.
• The typical home buyer searched for 12 weeks and viewed 10 homes—a
  decline from 12 homes in prior year, which speaks to the tightened inventory
  in many areas.
• 89 percent of buyers purchased their home through a real estate agent or
  broker, a share that steadily increased from 69 percent in 2001.
• 88 percent of sellers were assisted by a real estate agent when selling their
  home.
                                   Source: National Association of Realtors
ALLEN TATE 13 COUNTY
            CHARLOTTE REGION
        COMPARED TO CHARLOTTE MLS
                                Closed Units      Listings Taken


    Allen Tate
    Jan. – September 2012          6,920              5,899
    Percentage Change               26.7                 3.6

    Charlotte MLS
    Jan. – September 2012         20,482             36,996
    Percentage Change               17.3               -0.8

We closed one out of every 3 houses sold in the region!
WE‟RE ON FIRE!
COMPANYWIDE RESULTS- NC & SC
                      Current*   Last Year   Change

 LISTINGS
 Month to Date            877        797      10.0%
 Year to Date          12,369     11,521       7.4%

 SALES
 Month to Date          1,382      1,078     28.2%
 Year to Date          18,089     13,947     29.7%

 CLOSINGS
 Month to Date          1,346       900       49.6%
 Year to Date          14,629     11,379      28.6%
  *As of 11/30/2012
Tate Closed Transactions
     „06   24,446
     „07   22,451
     „08   15,364
     „09   12,610
     „10   12,264
     „11   12,405
     „12   15,211 Estimated
NATIONAL PICTURE
        Home Sales
       Seasonally Adjusted
       4.4       4.8 M
      Distressed 22%
Home Prices $187,400         9%
        6 Straight Months

      Days on Market
         8.2 Last August
         6.1 This August
Mortgage Rate Forecast
           (Average Rate of 5.5% in 2015 ?)
                                     30-year Mortgage
  7
  6
  5
  4
  3
  2
  1
  0




Modestly higher rates could help home sales as banks re-staff mortgage work for home purchase
                          applications and less refinance applications.
100
                            105




                             70
                             75
                             85
                             90
                             95


                             80
                            110
                            115




Source: NAR
              2007 - Jan
              2007 - Apr
               2007 - Jul
              2007 - Oct
              2008 - Jan
              2008 - Apr
               2008 - Jul
              2008 - Oct
              2009 - Jan
              2009 - Apr
                              Homebuyer Tax Credit




               2009 - Jul
              2009 - Oct
              2010 - Jan
                                                     (Seasonally Adjusted)




              2010 - Apr
               2010 - Jul
              2010 - Oct
              2011 - Jan
              2011 - Apr
              2011 - July
                                                                             Monthly Pending Home Sales Index




              2011 - Oct
              2012 - Jan
                2012-Apr
               2012 - Jul
Annual Existing Home Sales:
                        U-Shaped Recovery
           In million units
     8
     7      7.08
     6              6.52
     5                                                        5.05                       5.3    5.6
     4                        5.02
                                     4.12 4.34 4.18 4.26 4.65
     3
     2
     1
     0



                                                               2011
             2005

                     2006

                              2007

                                     2008

                                            2009

                                                        2010




                                                                                  2013

                                                                                         2014

                                                                                                2015
                                                                      2012 est.
11/20/12
11/20/12
                                                   20
Visible Housing Inventory For Sale
       (Existing home inventory at 8-year low)

4,500,000
4,000,000
3,500,000
3,000,000
2,500,000
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
  500,000
        0
100
             200
             300
             500
             600
             700



             400




               0
1964 - Jan
1966 - Jan
1968 - Jan
1970 - Jan
1972 - Jan
1974 - Jan
1976 - Jan
1978 - Jan
1980 - Jan
1982 - Jan
1984 - Jan
1986 - Jan
1988 - Jan
1990 - Jan
1992 - Jan
1994 - Jan
1996 - Jan
1998 - Jan
                           Visible Housing Inventory For Sale




2000 - Jan
2002 - Jan
2004 - Jan
2006 - Jan
                   (Newly Constructed Homes Inventory at 50-year low)




2008 - Jan
2010 - Jan
2012 - Jan
0.5
                     3.0




                     0.0
                     1.0
                     1.5
                     2.0
                     2.5
                     3.5
                     4.0
                     4.5
                     5.0
2000 - Q1
2000 - Q3
2001 - Q1
2001 - Q3
2002 - Q1
2002 - Q3
2003 - Q1
2003 - Q3
2004 - Q1
2004 - Q3
2005 - Q1
2005 - Q3
2006 - Q1
2006 - Q3
2007 - Q1
2007 - Q3
2008 - Q1
2008 - Q3
2009 - Q1
                                                                                                                            million units




2009 - Q3
2010 - Q1
2010 - Q3
2011 - Q1
2011 - Q3
2012 - Q1
                                                                                                                                                                   Shadow Inventory … Falling
                                                                                                  (Seriously delinquent mortgage + homes in foreclosure process)




   2015 … 5%
               2014 … 8%
                                                     2011 … 33%



                           2013 … 15%
                                                                  2010 … 33%



                                        2012 … 25%
                                                                               Market Share
                                                                               Distressed Sales
12000
                                                                        14000
                                                                                           16000



                                            10000




                2000
                              6000
                                     8000


                       4000


            0
2000 - Q1
2000 - Q3
2001 - Q1
2001 - Q3
                                                                                In $ billion



2002 - Q1
2002 - Q3
2003 - Q1
2003 - Q3
2004 - Q1
2004 - Q3
2005 - Q1
2005 - Q3
2006 - Q1
2006 - Q3
2007 - Q1
2007 - Q3
2008 - Q1
2008 - Q3
                                                                          Bubble growth
                                                                                                   Net Equity in Real Estate




2009 - Q1
2009 - Q3
2010 - Q1
2010 - Q3
2011 - Q1
2011 - Q3
                                                    If 4% annual gain




2012 - Q1
25,000
            27,000
            29,000
            31,000
            33,000
            37,000
            39,000
            41,000



            35,000
1980 - Q1
1981 - Q1
1982 - Q1
1983 - Q1
1984 - Q1
1985 - Q1
                 In thousands



1986 - Q1
1987 - Q1
1988 - Q1
1989 - Q1
1990 - Q1
1991 - Q1
1992 - Q1
1993 - Q1
1994 - Q1
1995 - Q1
1996 - Q1
1997 - Q1
1998 - Q1
1999 - Q1
2000 - Q1
                                Renter Households




2001 - Q1
2002 - Q1
2003 - Q1
2004 - Q1
2005 - Q1
2006 - Q1
2007 - Q1
2008 - Q1
2009 - Q1
2010 - Q1
2011 - Q1
2012 - Q1
50,000
                     55,000
                              60,000
                                       65,000
                                                70,000
                                                         75,000
                                                                             80,000
1980 - Q1
1981 - Q1
1982 - Q1
1983 - Q1
1984 - Q1
1985 - Q1
                                                              In thousands


1986 - Q1
1987 - Q1
1988 - Q1
1989 - Q1
1990 - Q1
1991 - Q1
1992 - Q1
1993 - Q1
1994 - Q1
1995 - Q1
1996 - Q1
1997 - Q1
1998 - Q1
1999 - Q1
2000 - Q1
2001 - Q1
2002 - Q1
2003 - Q1
2004 - Q1
2005 - Q1
2006 - Q1
                                                                                      Homeowner Households




2007 - Q1
2008 - Q1
2009 - Q1
2010 - Q1
2011 - Q1
2012 - Q1
59
     60
     61
     62
     63
     64
     66
     67
     68
     69
     70




     65
1965 -…


          %
1966 -…
1967 -…
1968 -…
1969 -…
1970 -…
1971 -…
1972 -…
1973 -…
1974 -…
1975 -…
1976 -…
1977 -…
1978 -…
1979 -…
1980 -…
1981 -…
1982 -…
1983 -…
1984 -…
1985 -…
1986 -…
1987 -…
1988 -…
1989 -…
1990 -…
          (Lowest in 15 years)




1991 -…
1992 -…
1993 -…
1994 -…
1995 -…
1996 -…
1997 -…
1998 -…
1999 -…
2000 -…
2001 -…
2002 -…
2003 -…
                                 Homeownership Rate at 65.5%




2004 -…
2005 -…
2006 -…
2007 -…
2008 -…
2009 -…
2010 -…
2011 -…
2012 -…
2011           2012           2013           2014
                 History        Forecast       Forecast       Forecast
GDP Growth       +1.8%          +2.1%          +2.5%          3.1%


Existing Home    4.26 million   4.64 million   5.05 million   5.3 million
Sales

New Home         301,000        368,000        575,000        650,000
Sales
Housing Starts   612,000        776,000        1,128,000      1,300,000


Existing Home    $166,100       $176,100       $185,200       $195,000
Price
Fed Funds        0.1%           0.1%           0.1%           0.1%
Rate
30-yr Mortgage 4.7%             3.7%           4.0%           4.6%
Thanks for the opportunity to present
 our report and please call or e-mail
        with any questions.

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2012 year end report

  • 1. Annual Real Estate Report 2012* *Hint- It’s the best news in 5 years
  • 2. Review In 2012 we saw the real estate recovery gaining momentum in the country and locally. Now that sales and prices are rising again, we can look back and see the bottom was in mid to late 2010. 2011 was inconsistent at best with a few months of increases followed by a few months of decreases. In 2012 we finally had 6 straight months of increasing prices for the first time since 2007. The recovery is encompassing more areas nationally which bodes well for price and sales recovery in the Carolinas as we continue to be in- migration states. Local recovery will continue to be stronger in the radius of 20-25 miles from Charlotte due to gas prices and the Charlotte job engine. The Allen Tate Company continues to lead the way in the Charlotte Region and the Carolinas. In the Charlotte Region we have closed more than 1/3 of all home sales year to date and our closed sales increase is 10% higher than our competition average. The Balatow Team has experienced a 31% closed sales increase largely due to an 89% increase in our inventory of houses listed for sale. Our company and our team are out- performing the market and we want to especially thank everyone who trusted us with their home experience this year. At present, interest rates are below 4% and opportunities for home buyers are still outstanding. With new construction expected to double in spring 2013, home sellers should be in top shape and ready to go on the market now or early in 2013 before new construction homes are completed. We hope you enjoy the stats and analysis. We want all our clients and friends to be the best informed real estate owners and consumers in the market.
  • 3. Market Trends • New Construction- Strong Increase early 2013 = Existing home sellers should be on the market now • Interest Rates- Gradual rise as economy improves = future higher cost of ownership per $1 purchased • Rental Rates- High rents begin push back to buying = rising demand for new and existing houses • Home Inventories- Low levels of existing houses for sale = less competition for good houses, shorter time on market • Price Stabilization- Has occurred = gradual, historical, “normal” rise in prices returning • Foreclosure-delinquent inventories down = Less competition from low price inventory Please call us at 704-904-8769 or e-mail us at Bill.Balatow@allentate.com with any questions about the review, trends or any of the attached tables.
  • 4. 2012 National Statistics and Trends • Average sales price nationwide was $215,000. • 87% of buyers financed their purchase and average amount financed was 91% of purchase price, a strong sign of a more favorable lending environment. • 40% of home buyers and 38% of home sellers chose their agent from a referral from a relative, neighbor or friend. • 39 percent of recent home buyers were first-time buyers, a slight rise from 2011, but closer to the historical norm of 40 percent. • 65 percent of recent home buyers were married couples—the highest share since 2001. • For 52 percent of home buyers, the first step in the home-buying process was taken online. Over 90% used the internet in their search process. • The typical home buyer searched for 12 weeks and viewed 10 homes—a decline from 12 homes in prior year, which speaks to the tightened inventory in many areas. • 89 percent of buyers purchased their home through a real estate agent or broker, a share that steadily increased from 69 percent in 2001. • 88 percent of sellers were assisted by a real estate agent when selling their home. Source: National Association of Realtors
  • 5. ALLEN TATE 13 COUNTY CHARLOTTE REGION COMPARED TO CHARLOTTE MLS Closed Units Listings Taken Allen Tate Jan. – September 2012 6,920 5,899 Percentage Change 26.7 3.6 Charlotte MLS Jan. – September 2012 20,482 36,996 Percentage Change 17.3 -0.8 We closed one out of every 3 houses sold in the region!
  • 6. WE‟RE ON FIRE! COMPANYWIDE RESULTS- NC & SC Current* Last Year Change LISTINGS Month to Date 877 797 10.0% Year to Date 12,369 11,521 7.4% SALES Month to Date 1,382 1,078 28.2% Year to Date 18,089 13,947 29.7% CLOSINGS Month to Date 1,346 900 49.6% Year to Date 14,629 11,379 28.6% *As of 11/30/2012
  • 7. Tate Closed Transactions „06 24,446 „07 22,451 „08 15,364 „09 12,610 „10 12,264 „11 12,405 „12 15,211 Estimated
  • 8. NATIONAL PICTURE Home Sales Seasonally Adjusted 4.4 4.8 M Distressed 22% Home Prices $187,400 9% 6 Straight Months Days on Market 8.2 Last August 6.1 This August
  • 9. Mortgage Rate Forecast (Average Rate of 5.5% in 2015 ?) 30-year Mortgage 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Modestly higher rates could help home sales as banks re-staff mortgage work for home purchase applications and less refinance applications.
  • 10. 100 105 70 75 85 90 95 80 110 115 Source: NAR 2007 - Jan 2007 - Apr 2007 - Jul 2007 - Oct 2008 - Jan 2008 - Apr 2008 - Jul 2008 - Oct 2009 - Jan 2009 - Apr Homebuyer Tax Credit 2009 - Jul 2009 - Oct 2010 - Jan (Seasonally Adjusted) 2010 - Apr 2010 - Jul 2010 - Oct 2011 - Jan 2011 - Apr 2011 - July Monthly Pending Home Sales Index 2011 - Oct 2012 - Jan 2012-Apr 2012 - Jul
  • 11. Annual Existing Home Sales: U-Shaped Recovery In million units 8 7 7.08 6 6.52 5 5.05 5.3 5.6 4 5.02 4.12 4.34 4.18 4.26 4.65 3 2 1 0 2011 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2013 2014 2015 2012 est. 11/20/12 11/20/12 20
  • 12. Visible Housing Inventory For Sale (Existing home inventory at 8-year low) 4,500,000 4,000,000 3,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0
  • 13. 100 200 300 500 600 700 400 0 1964 - Jan 1966 - Jan 1968 - Jan 1970 - Jan 1972 - Jan 1974 - Jan 1976 - Jan 1978 - Jan 1980 - Jan 1982 - Jan 1984 - Jan 1986 - Jan 1988 - Jan 1990 - Jan 1992 - Jan 1994 - Jan 1996 - Jan 1998 - Jan Visible Housing Inventory For Sale 2000 - Jan 2002 - Jan 2004 - Jan 2006 - Jan (Newly Constructed Homes Inventory at 50-year low) 2008 - Jan 2010 - Jan 2012 - Jan
  • 14. 0.5 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 2000 - Q1 2000 - Q3 2001 - Q1 2001 - Q3 2002 - Q1 2002 - Q3 2003 - Q1 2003 - Q3 2004 - Q1 2004 - Q3 2005 - Q1 2005 - Q3 2006 - Q1 2006 - Q3 2007 - Q1 2007 - Q3 2008 - Q1 2008 - Q3 2009 - Q1 million units 2009 - Q3 2010 - Q1 2010 - Q3 2011 - Q1 2011 - Q3 2012 - Q1 Shadow Inventory … Falling (Seriously delinquent mortgage + homes in foreclosure process) 2015 … 5% 2014 … 8% 2011 … 33% 2013 … 15% 2010 … 33% 2012 … 25% Market Share Distressed Sales
  • 15. 12000 14000 16000 10000 2000 6000 8000 4000 0 2000 - Q1 2000 - Q3 2001 - Q1 2001 - Q3 In $ billion 2002 - Q1 2002 - Q3 2003 - Q1 2003 - Q3 2004 - Q1 2004 - Q3 2005 - Q1 2005 - Q3 2006 - Q1 2006 - Q3 2007 - Q1 2007 - Q3 2008 - Q1 2008 - Q3 Bubble growth Net Equity in Real Estate 2009 - Q1 2009 - Q3 2010 - Q1 2010 - Q3 2011 - Q1 2011 - Q3 If 4% annual gain 2012 - Q1
  • 16. 25,000 27,000 29,000 31,000 33,000 37,000 39,000 41,000 35,000 1980 - Q1 1981 - Q1 1982 - Q1 1983 - Q1 1984 - Q1 1985 - Q1 In thousands 1986 - Q1 1987 - Q1 1988 - Q1 1989 - Q1 1990 - Q1 1991 - Q1 1992 - Q1 1993 - Q1 1994 - Q1 1995 - Q1 1996 - Q1 1997 - Q1 1998 - Q1 1999 - Q1 2000 - Q1 Renter Households 2001 - Q1 2002 - Q1 2003 - Q1 2004 - Q1 2005 - Q1 2006 - Q1 2007 - Q1 2008 - Q1 2009 - Q1 2010 - Q1 2011 - Q1 2012 - Q1
  • 17. 50,000 55,000 60,000 65,000 70,000 75,000 80,000 1980 - Q1 1981 - Q1 1982 - Q1 1983 - Q1 1984 - Q1 1985 - Q1 In thousands 1986 - Q1 1987 - Q1 1988 - Q1 1989 - Q1 1990 - Q1 1991 - Q1 1992 - Q1 1993 - Q1 1994 - Q1 1995 - Q1 1996 - Q1 1997 - Q1 1998 - Q1 1999 - Q1 2000 - Q1 2001 - Q1 2002 - Q1 2003 - Q1 2004 - Q1 2005 - Q1 2006 - Q1 Homeowner Households 2007 - Q1 2008 - Q1 2009 - Q1 2010 - Q1 2011 - Q1 2012 - Q1
  • 18. 59 60 61 62 63 64 66 67 68 69 70 65 1965 -… % 1966 -… 1967 -… 1968 -… 1969 -… 1970 -… 1971 -… 1972 -… 1973 -… 1974 -… 1975 -… 1976 -… 1977 -… 1978 -… 1979 -… 1980 -… 1981 -… 1982 -… 1983 -… 1984 -… 1985 -… 1986 -… 1987 -… 1988 -… 1989 -… 1990 -… (Lowest in 15 years) 1991 -… 1992 -… 1993 -… 1994 -… 1995 -… 1996 -… 1997 -… 1998 -… 1999 -… 2000 -… 2001 -… 2002 -… 2003 -… Homeownership Rate at 65.5% 2004 -… 2005 -… 2006 -… 2007 -… 2008 -… 2009 -… 2010 -… 2011 -… 2012 -…
  • 19. 2011 2012 2013 2014 History Forecast Forecast Forecast GDP Growth +1.8% +2.1% +2.5% 3.1% Existing Home 4.26 million 4.64 million 5.05 million 5.3 million Sales New Home 301,000 368,000 575,000 650,000 Sales Housing Starts 612,000 776,000 1,128,000 1,300,000 Existing Home $166,100 $176,100 $185,200 $195,000 Price Fed Funds 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% Rate 30-yr Mortgage 4.7% 3.7% 4.0% 4.6%
  • 20. Thanks for the opportunity to present our report and please call or e-mail with any questions.