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CONFERENCE summaRy




Social Media Metrics
Listening, Understanding and Predicting
the Impacts of Social Media on Your Business

Insights from a May 2010 workshop on social media metrics,
presented as a Marketing Lab session at the eMetrics conference
in San Jose, CA
Featuring:

Katie Delahaye Paine, CEO, KDPaine & Partners
Mark Chaves, sas Director of media Intelligence, Customer
Intelligence Product management
social media metrics




Although relatively new on the scene, social media is spreading fast. By some
estimates, social networking now accounts for 11 percent of all time spent online
in the US. Between December 2008 and December 2009, total visits to the top 10
social networking sites increased 63 percent. Nearly one in 10 Internet visits ends
up at a social network; nearly one in four page views is on a social networking site.

The conversations taking place on these social networks can build or erode your
brand, your reputation, leads, sales and revenue. Outspoken and respected
individuals can influence masses of friends and followers to change their opinions
about you. They can trash you or defend you. You can assuage them, cultivate
them and turn them into your strongest advocates; or not.

Collectively – representing more than 100 million unique visitors and more than a
billion tweets per month – social media is a force too powerful to ignore.




How Do You Measure and Manage the Impact
of Social Media?

There’s a wealth of customer and business insight to be found in all these
interactions. But organizations are struggling to understand, measure and
capitalize on this untamed, open forum. Savvy marketers are reading and
responding to social media content, but few organizations consolidate and analyze
it in a systematic and strategic way. It is no wonder; harnessing data from the
ephemeral, global conversation is like herding cats.

Effective social media measurement is the leading topic in marketing right now,
and rightly so. That’s why SAS partnered with the leading measurement and
accountability research consultancy to discuss the topic in a workshop at the May
2010 eMetrics conference in San Jose, CA.

Social media requires marketing professionals to completely rethink their
definitions of success, said Katie Paine, CEO of KDPaine & Partners. “The whole
world has fundamentally changed with the arrival of social media. For years and
years and years, everybody counted ‘eyeballs.’ Eyeballs were important because
way back in the history of time, Proctor & Gamble and AT&T and all these people
figured out that if your message or ad was seen by a certain number of people,
you would sell a certain number of bottles of shampoo. This was simply accepted
as fact, that eyeballs were good because they sold stuff.”

Marketers carried that traditional metric with them even as marketing shifted into
the online world. Then, eyeballs became “hits.” The numbers were much larger, so
sales would follow accordingly, right? “Sometimes it was true, and sometimes it
wasn’t that true,” Paine said. “I’ve been arguing for years that hits stands for ‘how
idiots track success,’ because fundamentally, unless you sell something, save
money or do something differently as a result, hits don’t matter.”


                                                                                                           1
social media metrics




A hit only tells you that somebody visited a piece of online content. It doesn’t tell
you about the visitor or what was subsequently done with the content, if anything.
It doesn’t tell you about the full dynamic of what is now a two-way mosh pit of
open conversation.

Now the Holy Grail is “engagement,” Paine said. “Proctor & Gamble last summer           ■ “There are no ‘eyeballs’ in so-
said to all of its media folks, ‘We’re no longer paying you for eyeballs. We don’t         cial media. It’s all conversations.
care about how many eyeballs there are, all we care about is engagement.’                  and it’s not just about marketing
Needless to say, the media folks said, ‘What’s engagement?’ And they said, ‘We             anymore. With all the conversations
want some evidence that the people you’re reaching are at least alive and at least         happening	in	the	social	universe,	
somewhat interested in the brand. If they clicked on something, bought something,          it’s	imperative	we	learn	to	capture,	
downloaded something, retweeted something, or said they liked us, then we have             analyze	and	act	on	this	up-to-the-
some sign of life out there. That’s what we’re going to pay for.’ Good thinking.”          minute data.”
                                                                                                              Katie Paine, CEO
A 2009 IBM study of 250 chief marketing officers revealed that organizations                                KDPaine & Partners
are shifting significant amounts of money away from traditional advertising and
into public relations, particularly mobile and online channels, Paine said. “So
measurement is shifting away from ‘impressions’ and ‘eyeballs’ and toward
‘engagement’ and ‘impact-based metrics.’ This isn’t me saying this; this is
250 CMOs out there who are predicting that most of this will happen within the
next three years.”

so, what exactly is engagement? Paine classifies information consumers into five
levels of engagement, based on how they interact with online channels.

•	 At	the	most	passive	level	are	the	Searchers. They scan online resources to find
   specific	information	and	largely	ignore	social	media.	A	count	of	unique	visitors	
   captures	your	best	view	of	this	silent	group.

•	 Next	are	the	Lurkers,	who	listen	in	on	the	conversation	but	don’t	participate.	
   These	users	can	be	tracked	as	repeat	visitors	above	a	certain	frequency,	say,	
   more	than	three	or	five	visits	per	month.

•	 Somewhat	more	engaged	are	the	Casuals,	who	participate	lightly	in	social	media.	
   They	might	be	identified	through	metrics	such	as	percentages	of	visitors	who	post	
   comments or who become your friend on Facebook or your follower on Twitter.

•	 Higher	up	the	value	chain	are	the	Actives, who retweet to others, regularly
   participate	in	interactive	threads	and	post	comments	frequently.

•	 Most	organizations	would	love	to	cultivate	the	strong	voice	of	Defenders, those
   who serve as your most influential ambassadors – advocating, recommending
   and defending the brand.




2
social media metrics




“There’s a totally different dynamic going on now,” said Paine. “It’s not just
about pushing your message out there and hoping that awareness leads to
preference and then purchase. It is about a far richer and more complex set of
interactions. As Proctor & Gamble was quick to realize, you don’t necessarily need
bigger numbers; you need more engagement – the ability to turn disinterested
Searchers into Casuals who hang out on your site for a while, then into Actives
and Defenders.
                                                                                           ■ “ultimately, you want those
“All of those folks out there who are still trying to count eyeballs are going to be
                                                                                             Defenders out there. They’re the
left in the ditch if they don’t come up with a better way to understand the impact
                                                                                             ones who will come out and say,
of all these conversations,” said Paine. “While you’re out there measuring hits and
                                                                                             ‘you know what, I don’t care if
downloads, there is so much else going on in the marketplace. If you don’t take all
                                                                                             that airline lost your baggage last
that into account, your data is fundamentally incomplete.”
                                                                                             week; I still love them because
                                                                                             they treated me great.’”
Paine presented her battle-tested seven steps to an effective social media
                                                                                                               Katie Paine, CEO
measurement system:                                                                                          KDPaine & Partners


1. Define the “R,” the expected results. as with traditional media, the goal
   determines the metrics. according to Paine, social media goals fall into three
   primary	categories:

   •	 Marketing – building awareness, generating leads and sales.

   •	 Communications	–	engaging	with	people	in	support	of	a	civic	or	safety	mission.

   •	 Perception	–	improving	the	organization’s	relationships,	reputation	
      or	positioning.

2. Define the “I” – what’s the investment? social media is not free. It costs about
   $10,000	to	run	a	contest	on	FaceBook,	for	example.	And	you	have	to	pay	people	
   to	read	and	respond	to	social	media	sites.	The	payback	can	be	tremendous,	but	
   you	do	have	to	know	what	and	where	to	invest,	to	expect	to	show	credible	ROI.

3. Understand your audiences and what motivates them. This knowledge
   determines	which	channels	to	focus	on,	what	tone	of	voice	to	adopt,	and	what	
   types	of	responses,	offers	and	online	content	to	provide.

4. Define the metrics (what you want to become).	Click-throughs,	unique	visitors,	
   repeat	visitors,	number	of	friends,	followers,	comments,	repeat	comments,	
   tweets and retweets … metrics will vary by goal, audience and vertical market.

   •	 If	your	goal	is	marketing-oriented,	your	metrics	could	include	percent	that	are	
      hearing,	percent	that	are	believing	(as	determined	by	surveys)	and	percent	that	
      are acting.

   •	 If	the	goal	is	awareness,	you	could	assess	the	degree	to	which	the	messages	
      are	not	just	communicated,	but	passed	along	and	picked	up	on	other	
      websites, feeds, threads and blogs.

   •	 If	the	goal	is	improving	reputation	and	relationships,	your	metrics	could	revolve	
      around	relationship	scores	(based	on	analysis	of	specific	phrases	that	determine	
      the	state	of	relationships),	recommendations,	positioning	and	engagement.


                                                                                                                                   3
social media metrics




5. Determine what you are benchmarking against.	How	do	your	social	media	
   metrics	compare	to	your	closest	competitors?	To	industry	leaders?	To	your	
   performance	last	quarter	or	last	year?

6. Pick an analytical tool and conduct research. mine some actionable insights out
   of	structured	data	(hits,	unique	visitors,	frequency	of	visits,	etc.)	and	unstructured	
   data	(free-form	text	in	comments,	tweets,	blog	entries,	articles,	etc.).

7. Analyze results and glean insight, take action, measure again. Do this in a
   continuously	improving,	closed-loop	process.




Exploit the Volumes of Information Found in Social Media

There is valuable insight contained in all the user-generated content on social media
sites.	But	how	do	you	dig	it	out	of	dozens	of	review	sites,	thousands	of	blogs,	millions	
of	Facebook	posts	and	billions	of	tweets?

“Once	you	get	your	head	around	what	you’re	trying	to	accomplish	–	your	goal	for	
social	media	–	there	are	some	very	sexy,	shiny	new	tools	to	help	you	track	and	analyze	
all that,” said Paine. These analysis tools fall into three broad categories:

•	 Descriptive statistics clarify activity and trends, such as how many followers you
   have, how many reviews were generated on Facebook, and which channels are
   being used most often.

•	 Social network analysis follows the links between friends, fans and followers to
   identify connections of influence as well as the biggest sources of influence.

•	 Text analytics examines the content in online conversations to identify themes,
   sentiments and connections that would not be revealed by casual surveillance.

Our	presenters	offered	some	recommendations	and	best	practices	for	organizations	
that	hope	to	use	these	tools	to	affect	change	and	improve	performance,	not	just	
generate	hindsight	reporting.




4
social media metrics




Think of Measurement as a Guidance System, not a Rating System

“Measurement	shouldn’t	be	about	punishment	or	rewards,”	said	Paine.	“It	is	about	
figuring out what the most effective tools are, what needs to be discontinued because
it doesn’t work, and what needs to be done more because it does work.

“a good analytics system will tell you where you need to focus. maybe all that
emphasis	on	FaceBook	doesn’t	really	matter,	because	that’s	not	where	your	audience	
is. maybe they’re all on Twitter, or vice versa.”

Channel	preference	won’t	necessarily	be	intuitive,	said	Mark	Chaves,	SAS	Director	
of media Intelligence, Customer Intelligence Product marketing. “We just worked
with a hotel that had virtually no activity on Twitter for one brand but lots of Twitter
activity for one of their higher brands.” Without an accurate measurement tool, you
wouldn’t know.



Track the Elusive Sentiment

Customers want to take what they are hearing and learning from online conversations,
and	put	some	action	to	it,	said	Chaves.	“The	key	lies	in	being	precise	in	extracting	and	
tagging sentiment.”

Text	analytic	tools	can	categorize	online	content,	uncover	linked	concepts,	and	reveal	      ■ “Ideally, you would love to be able
the	sentiment	in	a	conversation	as	“positive,”	“negative”	or	“neutral,”	based	on	the	           to	attribute	sentiment	to	a	specific	
words	people	use.	The	technology	gets	down	to	very	specific	elements	and	can	                   business	unit.	The	more	precise	
separate	positive	and	negative	remarks	within	a	single	comment.                                 you can get in understanding the
                                                                                                tone	and	perception	that	people	
“A	mixed-polarity	phrase,	such	as	‘hotel	in	great	location	but	bathroom	was	smelly’	            express,	the	more	actionable	the	
should not be tagged as ‘neutral,’ if you want it to be actionable,” said Chaves. “Be           information, because you’re mitigat-
specific;	‘bathroom	was	smelly’	is	something	someone	can	own	and	improve	upon.”                 ing	concerns	about	mixed	polarity.”

                                                                                                                      Mark Chaves
You	can	classify	and	categorize	these	sentiments,	look	at	trends	over	time,	and	see	             SAS Director of Media Intelligence,
significant	differences	in	the	way	people	speak	either	positively	or	negatively	about	                       Customer Intelligence
you.	Furthermore,	you	can	compare	sentiment	about	your	brand	to	your	competitors.                                Product Marketing




Continuously Improve the Accuracy of Text Analysis

An	industry-specific	text	analytics	package	will	already	know	the	vocabulary	of	your	
business. The system will have linguistic rules built into it, but it learns over time and
gets better and better. much as you would tune a statistical model as you get more
data,	better	parameters	or	new	techniques	to	deliver	better	results,	you	would	do	the	
same	thing	with	the	natural	language	processing	that	goes	into	sentiment	analysis.	
You	set	up	rules,	taxonomies,	categorization,	meanings	of	words;	watch	what	the	
results look like, and then go back and do it again.




                                                                                                                                     5
social media metrics




Look at the Ripple Effect

It’s	one	thing	to	get	a	great	hit	on	a	high-profile	site,	but	that’s	only	the	start.	There’s	a	
difference between a great hit that just sits there and goes away, versus a great hit that
is	tweeted,	retweeted	and	picked	up	by	influential	bloggers.	Analysis	should	show	you	
which	social	media	activities	go	“viral”	and	which	quickly	go	dormant	–	and	why.

“Generally	I’m	interested	in	seeing	the	actual	spread	of	a	specific	message,	tracking	
keywords,”	said	an	audience	member.	“If	we	place	something	in	the	Wall Street
Journal,	that’s	awesome.	If	15	other	people	pick	it	up	because	of	that,	that’s	a	
better	story	for	me.	If	it	gets	picked	up	by	multiple	blogs,	I	want	to	know	what	the	
conversation	around	that	looks	like.	Are	there	themes	or	clusters	or	specific	terms	that	
are	emerging?	Should	I	be	encouraging	the	conversation,	responding	or	correcting?”



Look Beyond the Brand

The	biggest	mistake	people	make	is	to	concern	themselves	only	with	looking	up	their	
brand,	said	Paine.	“That’s	the	last	thing	you	want	to	do.”	To	successfully	analyze	and	
act on social media, you need to understand not just what is being said about your
brand,	but	the	broader	conversation	about	the	spectrum	of	issues	surrounding	your	
product	or	service.

“First	you	have	to	define	the	marketplace,	the	topic,	the	universe	of	conversations,”	
said Paine. “Customers don’t fundamentally care about you or your message or your
brand. They care about themselves. so you want to know what they are talking about,
where they are talking, and where their interests are.”



Identify Your Most Powerful Influencers

Organizations	struggle	to	identify	who	has	the	most	pull	in	shaping	public	opinion,	
Chaves	said.	“Customers	often	say,	‘There	are	hundreds	of	people	out	there	talking	
about	us;	help	me	gauge	and	rank	the	ones	we	should	be	engaging.’	We	do	some	
data mining to identify who are those influencers – both consumer-generated
influencers	and	professionals.”	These	are	the	people	you’d	want	to	target	with	special	
campaigns/offers	and	proactive	communications.

Your	most	important	influencers	are	not	necessarily	the	ones	who	advocate	specifically	
for your brand; they are the ones who influence the whole realm of conversation about
your	topic,	said	Chaves.	“Are	they	saying	nice	things,	expressing	support	or	simply	
making	observations	or	critiquing?	What	is	the	nature	of	their	conversations?	How	is	
my	brand	being	positioned	relative	to	the	competition	in	that	space?	Once	you	have	
that	big,	broad	picture,	then	you	can	build	your	strategy.”




6
social media metrics




Look Closely at the Accuracy of Your Analytic Tool

Until	recently,	computer-based	tools	were	not	as	accurate	as	humans	for	sifting	             ■ “One tool out there arbitrarily
through online content, said Paine. “If you train readers well and give them very               determines that a FaceBook friend
specific	coding	instructions,	you	can	get	two	readers	to	agree	88	percent	of	the	               is worth $5 and a Twitter friend is
time, on average. The [automated] system I initially used and then discarded was                worth $3. Where is the accuracy in
45	percent	accurate.	The	best	I’d	ever	had,	prior	to	using	SAS®,	was	65	percent	                that? Where is the data that says
accuracy.	So	when	SAS	Social	Media	Analytics	gets	up	to	90	percent	accuracy,	                   that is true?”
I	say,	‘Okay,	I	believe	it;	computers	can	actually	do	this.’”                                                      Katie Paine, CEO
                                                                                                                 KDPaine & Partners
“Accuracy	varies	depending	on	the	media,”	Chaves	noted.	“For	product	review	
sites,	hotel	review	sites	and	Twitter,	it	can	reach	anywhere	between	80-90	percent	
accuracy, because the context is more boxed in. When you start looking at blogs and
discussion forums, where the conversation is more wide-ranging, the software can
deliver	60-70	percent	accuracy.”

These	figures	will	increase	over	time,	because	the	open	system	is	continually	
upgraded	with	new	rules	and	improved	algorithms	to	reflect	field	experience,	
new	products,	changing	market	conditions	and	emerging	patterns	of	speech.



Incorporate Social Media Intelligence into Planning
                                                                                             ■		 The	computer	system	for	social	
                                                                                               “
Once	you	have	big-picture	perspective	and	detailed	insight,	you	can	begin	to	                   media analysis has to accommo-
incorporate	this	information	into	your	planning	cycle.	But	that	is	easier	said	than	done.	      date	adaptive	learning,	to	improve	
A	quick	audience	poll	revealed	that	very	few	people	currently	incorporate	learning	from	        accuracy over time. With closed
online	conversations	into	their	planning	cycles.	“Many	organizations	are	still	struggling	      ‘black box’ systems, you can’t
to understand how to use this rich new data source,” said Chaves.                               make them more accurate or
                                                                                                adapt	them	to	new	conditions	and	
A	first	step	is	to	find	time-linked	associations	between	social	media	metrics	and	              conversations. The beauty of the
other	business	activities	or	market	events.	“Social	media	is	typically	either	organically	      sas system is that you can actually
invoked	or	invoked	by	something	your	organization	does,”	said	Chaves.	“If	we	saw	a	             teach it to become more accurate
spike	in	activity	in	April,	we	want	to	know,	what	was	behind	that?”                             over time.”
                                                                                                                   Katie Paine, CEO
An	analytics	tool	should	be	able	to	show	you	trends	in	positive,	negative	and	neutral	                           KDPaine & Partners
activity, and enable you to drill down and see the actual comments. By seeing
changes over time, you can correlate social media trends with the circumstances
that	triggered	those	trends,	such	as:	traditional	marketing	activities,	organizational	or	
product	changes,	world	events	and	market	conditions.




                                                                                                                                   7
social media metrics




Figure 1. SAS Social Media Analytics lets you track trends in positive, negative
and neutral activity.




Figure 2. Track trends over time with SAS Social Media Analytics.


Suppose	you	were	a	retailer	anticipating	a	peak	of	activity	for	back-to-school	shopping	
in	August.	It	would	be	helpful	to	know	what	people	were	talking	about	in	August	
last	year,	and	where,	down	to	the	specific	website	–	and	use	that	information	in	
your	planning.

Chaves	provided	a	second	example	of	a	financial	institution	that	saw	a	rebound	in	
positive	sentiment	immediately	after	announcing	its	plans	to	pay	back	TARP	(Troubled	
Asset	Relief	Program)	funds.	“If	you	can	track	dynamic	changes	in	sentiment	over	
time,	and	pinpoint	the	time	frame,	you	can	associate	it	with	changes	in	the	business	or	
market climate.”

8
social media metrics




Closing Thoughts

Social	media	holds	tremendous	power	and	promise	for	organizations	of	all	types.	It	
can	heighten	brand	awareness,	open	new	touch	points	to	spread	your	message,	drive	
people	to	your	website,	and	boost	search	engine	rankings,	awareness	and	affinity.	
Social	media	has	the	potential	to	deepen	the	relationship	with	customers	and	their	
social connections on many levels and over time – at remarkably little cost.

Social	media	sites	are	proving	to	be	serious	sales	channels	as	well.	For	instance,	Dell	
did	$6	million	in	Twitter	direct	sales	last	year.	Humane	Society	of	the	United	States	
raised	$650,000	from	an	online	contest	that	only	cost	them	$1,000	to	set	up	on	Flickr.	
A	major	food	service	company	improved	personnel	recruitment	efforts	so	much	by	
using Twitter that they eliminated their entire $300,000 monster ad budget, Paine said.

Who	would	want	to	overlook	so	powerful	a	social	force?	New	analytic	tools,	coupled	
with	best	practices,	enable	organizations	to	maximize	the	triple	value	of	social	media	–	
as	an	outbound	channel,	inbound	touch	point	and	wellspring	of	new	intelligence.




About SAS®

SAS	has	helped	organizations	across	all	industries	realize	the	full	potential	of	their	
greatest	asset:	data.	Simply	put,	SAS	allows	you	to	transform	data	about	customers,	
performance,	financials	and	more	into	information	and	predictive	insight	that	lays	the	
groundwork for solid and coherent decisions. That’s why sas is used at more than
45,000	sites	in	over	100	countries,	including	92	of	the	top	100	companies	on	the	
2009	FORTUNE	Global	500® list. www.sas.com

SAS	Social	Media	Analytics	is	an	enterprise	hosted	solution	that	integrates	and	
analyzes	content	gleaned	from	online	conversations	on	professional	and	consumer-
generated	media	sites.	It	enables	organizations	to	attribute	online	conversations	to	
specific	parts	of	their	business,	to	respond	quickly	to	opportunities,	shifts	in	sentiment	
and changing market conditions.




For More Information

To	learn	more	about	the	topics	described	in	this	paper,	visit	the	SAS	blog,	
Get,	Grow,	Keep:	Successful	Customer	Intelligence	Strategies	from	the	Field.	
http://blogs.sas.com/getgrowkeep




                                                                                                                 9
SAS Institute Inc. World Headquarters                              +1 919 677 8000
To contact your local SAS office, please visit: www.sas.com/offices
SAS and all other SAS Institute Inc. product or service names are registered trademarks or trademarks of SAS Institute Inc. in the USA
and other countries. ® indicates USA registration. Other brand and product names are trademarks of their respective companies.
Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved. 104631_S58906.0710

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Social Media Metrics Conference Summary

  • 1. CONFERENCE summaRy Social Media Metrics Listening, Understanding and Predicting the Impacts of Social Media on Your Business Insights from a May 2010 workshop on social media metrics, presented as a Marketing Lab session at the eMetrics conference in San Jose, CA Featuring: Katie Delahaye Paine, CEO, KDPaine & Partners Mark Chaves, sas Director of media Intelligence, Customer Intelligence Product management
  • 2. social media metrics Although relatively new on the scene, social media is spreading fast. By some estimates, social networking now accounts for 11 percent of all time spent online in the US. Between December 2008 and December 2009, total visits to the top 10 social networking sites increased 63 percent. Nearly one in 10 Internet visits ends up at a social network; nearly one in four page views is on a social networking site. The conversations taking place on these social networks can build or erode your brand, your reputation, leads, sales and revenue. Outspoken and respected individuals can influence masses of friends and followers to change their opinions about you. They can trash you or defend you. You can assuage them, cultivate them and turn them into your strongest advocates; or not. Collectively – representing more than 100 million unique visitors and more than a billion tweets per month – social media is a force too powerful to ignore. How Do You Measure and Manage the Impact of Social Media? There’s a wealth of customer and business insight to be found in all these interactions. But organizations are struggling to understand, measure and capitalize on this untamed, open forum. Savvy marketers are reading and responding to social media content, but few organizations consolidate and analyze it in a systematic and strategic way. It is no wonder; harnessing data from the ephemeral, global conversation is like herding cats. Effective social media measurement is the leading topic in marketing right now, and rightly so. That’s why SAS partnered with the leading measurement and accountability research consultancy to discuss the topic in a workshop at the May 2010 eMetrics conference in San Jose, CA. Social media requires marketing professionals to completely rethink their definitions of success, said Katie Paine, CEO of KDPaine & Partners. “The whole world has fundamentally changed with the arrival of social media. For years and years and years, everybody counted ‘eyeballs.’ Eyeballs were important because way back in the history of time, Proctor & Gamble and AT&T and all these people figured out that if your message or ad was seen by a certain number of people, you would sell a certain number of bottles of shampoo. This was simply accepted as fact, that eyeballs were good because they sold stuff.” Marketers carried that traditional metric with them even as marketing shifted into the online world. Then, eyeballs became “hits.” The numbers were much larger, so sales would follow accordingly, right? “Sometimes it was true, and sometimes it wasn’t that true,” Paine said. “I’ve been arguing for years that hits stands for ‘how idiots track success,’ because fundamentally, unless you sell something, save money or do something differently as a result, hits don’t matter.” 1
  • 3. social media metrics A hit only tells you that somebody visited a piece of online content. It doesn’t tell you about the visitor or what was subsequently done with the content, if anything. It doesn’t tell you about the full dynamic of what is now a two-way mosh pit of open conversation. Now the Holy Grail is “engagement,” Paine said. “Proctor & Gamble last summer ■ “There are no ‘eyeballs’ in so- said to all of its media folks, ‘We’re no longer paying you for eyeballs. We don’t cial media. It’s all conversations. care about how many eyeballs there are, all we care about is engagement.’ and it’s not just about marketing Needless to say, the media folks said, ‘What’s engagement?’ And they said, ‘We anymore. With all the conversations want some evidence that the people you’re reaching are at least alive and at least happening in the social universe, somewhat interested in the brand. If they clicked on something, bought something, it’s imperative we learn to capture, downloaded something, retweeted something, or said they liked us, then we have analyze and act on this up-to-the- some sign of life out there. That’s what we’re going to pay for.’ Good thinking.” minute data.” Katie Paine, CEO A 2009 IBM study of 250 chief marketing officers revealed that organizations KDPaine & Partners are shifting significant amounts of money away from traditional advertising and into public relations, particularly mobile and online channels, Paine said. “So measurement is shifting away from ‘impressions’ and ‘eyeballs’ and toward ‘engagement’ and ‘impact-based metrics.’ This isn’t me saying this; this is 250 CMOs out there who are predicting that most of this will happen within the next three years.” so, what exactly is engagement? Paine classifies information consumers into five levels of engagement, based on how they interact with online channels. • At the most passive level are the Searchers. They scan online resources to find specific information and largely ignore social media. A count of unique visitors captures your best view of this silent group. • Next are the Lurkers, who listen in on the conversation but don’t participate. These users can be tracked as repeat visitors above a certain frequency, say, more than three or five visits per month. • Somewhat more engaged are the Casuals, who participate lightly in social media. They might be identified through metrics such as percentages of visitors who post comments or who become your friend on Facebook or your follower on Twitter. • Higher up the value chain are the Actives, who retweet to others, regularly participate in interactive threads and post comments frequently. • Most organizations would love to cultivate the strong voice of Defenders, those who serve as your most influential ambassadors – advocating, recommending and defending the brand. 2
  • 4. social media metrics “There’s a totally different dynamic going on now,” said Paine. “It’s not just about pushing your message out there and hoping that awareness leads to preference and then purchase. It is about a far richer and more complex set of interactions. As Proctor & Gamble was quick to realize, you don’t necessarily need bigger numbers; you need more engagement – the ability to turn disinterested Searchers into Casuals who hang out on your site for a while, then into Actives and Defenders. ■ “ultimately, you want those “All of those folks out there who are still trying to count eyeballs are going to be Defenders out there. They’re the left in the ditch if they don’t come up with a better way to understand the impact ones who will come out and say, of all these conversations,” said Paine. “While you’re out there measuring hits and ‘you know what, I don’t care if downloads, there is so much else going on in the marketplace. If you don’t take all that airline lost your baggage last that into account, your data is fundamentally incomplete.” week; I still love them because they treated me great.’” Paine presented her battle-tested seven steps to an effective social media Katie Paine, CEO measurement system: KDPaine & Partners 1. Define the “R,” the expected results. as with traditional media, the goal determines the metrics. according to Paine, social media goals fall into three primary categories: • Marketing – building awareness, generating leads and sales. • Communications – engaging with people in support of a civic or safety mission. • Perception – improving the organization’s relationships, reputation or positioning. 2. Define the “I” – what’s the investment? social media is not free. It costs about $10,000 to run a contest on FaceBook, for example. And you have to pay people to read and respond to social media sites. The payback can be tremendous, but you do have to know what and where to invest, to expect to show credible ROI. 3. Understand your audiences and what motivates them. This knowledge determines which channels to focus on, what tone of voice to adopt, and what types of responses, offers and online content to provide. 4. Define the metrics (what you want to become). Click-throughs, unique visitors, repeat visitors, number of friends, followers, comments, repeat comments, tweets and retweets … metrics will vary by goal, audience and vertical market. • If your goal is marketing-oriented, your metrics could include percent that are hearing, percent that are believing (as determined by surveys) and percent that are acting. • If the goal is awareness, you could assess the degree to which the messages are not just communicated, but passed along and picked up on other websites, feeds, threads and blogs. • If the goal is improving reputation and relationships, your metrics could revolve around relationship scores (based on analysis of specific phrases that determine the state of relationships), recommendations, positioning and engagement. 3
  • 5. social media metrics 5. Determine what you are benchmarking against. How do your social media metrics compare to your closest competitors? To industry leaders? To your performance last quarter or last year? 6. Pick an analytical tool and conduct research. mine some actionable insights out of structured data (hits, unique visitors, frequency of visits, etc.) and unstructured data (free-form text in comments, tweets, blog entries, articles, etc.). 7. Analyze results and glean insight, take action, measure again. Do this in a continuously improving, closed-loop process. Exploit the Volumes of Information Found in Social Media There is valuable insight contained in all the user-generated content on social media sites. But how do you dig it out of dozens of review sites, thousands of blogs, millions of Facebook posts and billions of tweets? “Once you get your head around what you’re trying to accomplish – your goal for social media – there are some very sexy, shiny new tools to help you track and analyze all that,” said Paine. These analysis tools fall into three broad categories: • Descriptive statistics clarify activity and trends, such as how many followers you have, how many reviews were generated on Facebook, and which channels are being used most often. • Social network analysis follows the links between friends, fans and followers to identify connections of influence as well as the biggest sources of influence. • Text analytics examines the content in online conversations to identify themes, sentiments and connections that would not be revealed by casual surveillance. Our presenters offered some recommendations and best practices for organizations that hope to use these tools to affect change and improve performance, not just generate hindsight reporting. 4
  • 6. social media metrics Think of Measurement as a Guidance System, not a Rating System “Measurement shouldn’t be about punishment or rewards,” said Paine. “It is about figuring out what the most effective tools are, what needs to be discontinued because it doesn’t work, and what needs to be done more because it does work. “a good analytics system will tell you where you need to focus. maybe all that emphasis on FaceBook doesn’t really matter, because that’s not where your audience is. maybe they’re all on Twitter, or vice versa.” Channel preference won’t necessarily be intuitive, said Mark Chaves, SAS Director of media Intelligence, Customer Intelligence Product marketing. “We just worked with a hotel that had virtually no activity on Twitter for one brand but lots of Twitter activity for one of their higher brands.” Without an accurate measurement tool, you wouldn’t know. Track the Elusive Sentiment Customers want to take what they are hearing and learning from online conversations, and put some action to it, said Chaves. “The key lies in being precise in extracting and tagging sentiment.” Text analytic tools can categorize online content, uncover linked concepts, and reveal ■ “Ideally, you would love to be able the sentiment in a conversation as “positive,” “negative” or “neutral,” based on the to attribute sentiment to a specific words people use. The technology gets down to very specific elements and can business unit. The more precise separate positive and negative remarks within a single comment. you can get in understanding the tone and perception that people “A mixed-polarity phrase, such as ‘hotel in great location but bathroom was smelly’ express, the more actionable the should not be tagged as ‘neutral,’ if you want it to be actionable,” said Chaves. “Be information, because you’re mitigat- specific; ‘bathroom was smelly’ is something someone can own and improve upon.” ing concerns about mixed polarity.” Mark Chaves You can classify and categorize these sentiments, look at trends over time, and see SAS Director of Media Intelligence, significant differences in the way people speak either positively or negatively about Customer Intelligence you. Furthermore, you can compare sentiment about your brand to your competitors. Product Marketing Continuously Improve the Accuracy of Text Analysis An industry-specific text analytics package will already know the vocabulary of your business. The system will have linguistic rules built into it, but it learns over time and gets better and better. much as you would tune a statistical model as you get more data, better parameters or new techniques to deliver better results, you would do the same thing with the natural language processing that goes into sentiment analysis. You set up rules, taxonomies, categorization, meanings of words; watch what the results look like, and then go back and do it again. 5
  • 7. social media metrics Look at the Ripple Effect It’s one thing to get a great hit on a high-profile site, but that’s only the start. There’s a difference between a great hit that just sits there and goes away, versus a great hit that is tweeted, retweeted and picked up by influential bloggers. Analysis should show you which social media activities go “viral” and which quickly go dormant – and why. “Generally I’m interested in seeing the actual spread of a specific message, tracking keywords,” said an audience member. “If we place something in the Wall Street Journal, that’s awesome. If 15 other people pick it up because of that, that’s a better story for me. If it gets picked up by multiple blogs, I want to know what the conversation around that looks like. Are there themes or clusters or specific terms that are emerging? Should I be encouraging the conversation, responding or correcting?” Look Beyond the Brand The biggest mistake people make is to concern themselves only with looking up their brand, said Paine. “That’s the last thing you want to do.” To successfully analyze and act on social media, you need to understand not just what is being said about your brand, but the broader conversation about the spectrum of issues surrounding your product or service. “First you have to define the marketplace, the topic, the universe of conversations,” said Paine. “Customers don’t fundamentally care about you or your message or your brand. They care about themselves. so you want to know what they are talking about, where they are talking, and where their interests are.” Identify Your Most Powerful Influencers Organizations struggle to identify who has the most pull in shaping public opinion, Chaves said. “Customers often say, ‘There are hundreds of people out there talking about us; help me gauge and rank the ones we should be engaging.’ We do some data mining to identify who are those influencers – both consumer-generated influencers and professionals.” These are the people you’d want to target with special campaigns/offers and proactive communications. Your most important influencers are not necessarily the ones who advocate specifically for your brand; they are the ones who influence the whole realm of conversation about your topic, said Chaves. “Are they saying nice things, expressing support or simply making observations or critiquing? What is the nature of their conversations? How is my brand being positioned relative to the competition in that space? Once you have that big, broad picture, then you can build your strategy.” 6
  • 8. social media metrics Look Closely at the Accuracy of Your Analytic Tool Until recently, computer-based tools were not as accurate as humans for sifting ■ “One tool out there arbitrarily through online content, said Paine. “If you train readers well and give them very determines that a FaceBook friend specific coding instructions, you can get two readers to agree 88 percent of the is worth $5 and a Twitter friend is time, on average. The [automated] system I initially used and then discarded was worth $3. Where is the accuracy in 45 percent accurate. The best I’d ever had, prior to using SAS®, was 65 percent that? Where is the data that says accuracy. So when SAS Social Media Analytics gets up to 90 percent accuracy, that is true?” I say, ‘Okay, I believe it; computers can actually do this.’” Katie Paine, CEO KDPaine & Partners “Accuracy varies depending on the media,” Chaves noted. “For product review sites, hotel review sites and Twitter, it can reach anywhere between 80-90 percent accuracy, because the context is more boxed in. When you start looking at blogs and discussion forums, where the conversation is more wide-ranging, the software can deliver 60-70 percent accuracy.” These figures will increase over time, because the open system is continually upgraded with new rules and improved algorithms to reflect field experience, new products, changing market conditions and emerging patterns of speech. Incorporate Social Media Intelligence into Planning ■ The computer system for social “ Once you have big-picture perspective and detailed insight, you can begin to media analysis has to accommo- incorporate this information into your planning cycle. But that is easier said than done. date adaptive learning, to improve A quick audience poll revealed that very few people currently incorporate learning from accuracy over time. With closed online conversations into their planning cycles. “Many organizations are still struggling ‘black box’ systems, you can’t to understand how to use this rich new data source,” said Chaves. make them more accurate or adapt them to new conditions and A first step is to find time-linked associations between social media metrics and conversations. The beauty of the other business activities or market events. “Social media is typically either organically sas system is that you can actually invoked or invoked by something your organization does,” said Chaves. “If we saw a teach it to become more accurate spike in activity in April, we want to know, what was behind that?” over time.” Katie Paine, CEO An analytics tool should be able to show you trends in positive, negative and neutral KDPaine & Partners activity, and enable you to drill down and see the actual comments. By seeing changes over time, you can correlate social media trends with the circumstances that triggered those trends, such as: traditional marketing activities, organizational or product changes, world events and market conditions. 7
  • 9. social media metrics Figure 1. SAS Social Media Analytics lets you track trends in positive, negative and neutral activity. Figure 2. Track trends over time with SAS Social Media Analytics. Suppose you were a retailer anticipating a peak of activity for back-to-school shopping in August. It would be helpful to know what people were talking about in August last year, and where, down to the specific website – and use that information in your planning. Chaves provided a second example of a financial institution that saw a rebound in positive sentiment immediately after announcing its plans to pay back TARP (Troubled Asset Relief Program) funds. “If you can track dynamic changes in sentiment over time, and pinpoint the time frame, you can associate it with changes in the business or market climate.” 8
  • 10. social media metrics Closing Thoughts Social media holds tremendous power and promise for organizations of all types. It can heighten brand awareness, open new touch points to spread your message, drive people to your website, and boost search engine rankings, awareness and affinity. Social media has the potential to deepen the relationship with customers and their social connections on many levels and over time – at remarkably little cost. Social media sites are proving to be serious sales channels as well. For instance, Dell did $6 million in Twitter direct sales last year. Humane Society of the United States raised $650,000 from an online contest that only cost them $1,000 to set up on Flickr. A major food service company improved personnel recruitment efforts so much by using Twitter that they eliminated their entire $300,000 monster ad budget, Paine said. Who would want to overlook so powerful a social force? New analytic tools, coupled with best practices, enable organizations to maximize the triple value of social media – as an outbound channel, inbound touch point and wellspring of new intelligence. About SAS® SAS has helped organizations across all industries realize the full potential of their greatest asset: data. Simply put, SAS allows you to transform data about customers, performance, financials and more into information and predictive insight that lays the groundwork for solid and coherent decisions. That’s why sas is used at more than 45,000 sites in over 100 countries, including 92 of the top 100 companies on the 2009 FORTUNE Global 500® list. www.sas.com SAS Social Media Analytics is an enterprise hosted solution that integrates and analyzes content gleaned from online conversations on professional and consumer- generated media sites. It enables organizations to attribute online conversations to specific parts of their business, to respond quickly to opportunities, shifts in sentiment and changing market conditions. For More Information To learn more about the topics described in this paper, visit the SAS blog, Get, Grow, Keep: Successful Customer Intelligence Strategies from the Field. http://blogs.sas.com/getgrowkeep 9
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