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2015.04.02 Deconstructing FUD in our Technological Future - UCSD

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2015.04.02 Deconstructing FUD in our Technological Future - UCSD

  1. 1. Deconstructing FUD in our Technological Future Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist bbaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs Nothing to Fear - Just Click Here! Village West Building – 5th Fl April 2, 2015 9 AM
  2. 2. A Little About Me Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980
  3. 3. Cognitive Biases Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980  People tend to exaggerate the spectacular risks and down play common risks.  The Unknown is perceived to be riskier than the familiar.  Personalized risks are perceived to be riskier than anonymous risks.  People underestimate risks in situation where they have some form of control and overestimate the risks outside their control and they will rationalize their decisions.  People are really, really bad with risk assessment when there are very large numbers, very low probabilities, poor understanding of risks involved.  People have a confirmation bias. Source: Bruce Schneier – Harvard Law
  4. 4. Hype, Momentum, and Trends Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980
  5. 5. Timeline of The Familiar Web 0.0 – Developing the internet Web 1.0 – The shopping carts & static web Web 4.0 – Open, Linked and Intelligent Web Web 3.0 – The semantic executing web Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980 Web 2.0 – The writing and participating web Source: Midexigner
  6. 6. Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980 Tools to Track Hype - Gartner
  7. 7. Drivers of Change to Familiar Source: Reuven Gorsht Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980
  8. 8. Once Unfamiliar (c. 1993) Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980
  9. 9. Went online - $0 Took their training -$0 Created a secured computing Instance complete with servers, network, access control, object and block storage, load balancing, and relational database in less than one hour - $0 Seeing how far it can scale in a secured, controlled, automated, and cost efficient manner – priceless! How can we compete with $0.01/GB for backup/archive storage? Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980 Real World Becoming Familiar Example
  10. 10. IT Familiar (c. 1995) Traditional IT (all performed Inhouse) • CIO reporting directly to CEO • Proprietary Systems • Talent Scarcity makes IT strategic • Homegrown Knowledge Workers • Several Programming languages • Physical Data Center • Physical infrastructure • Infrastructure Engineers • Help Desk/Call Center • PBX/Telephony • Rigid Change Control • Pretty Clear Career Paths to CIO • Deep Technical Skill Sets • Large CapEx budget • Large OpEx budget • Overall: Strategic Advantage Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980
  11. 11. IT Familiar Today (2010-15) Traditional IT (all performed Inhouse) • CIO reporting directly to CEO • Proprietary Systems • Talent Scarcity makes IT strategic • Homegrown Knowledge Workers • Several Programming languages • Physical Data Center • Physical infrastructure • Infrastructure Engineers • Help Desk/Call Center • PBX/Telephony • Rigid Change Control • Career Paths to CIO • Deep Technical Skill Sets • Large CapEx budget • Large OpEx budget • Overall: Strategic Advantage IT (trending to performed outsource) • CIO reporting to CxO • More Open Systems • Talent ubiquity make Commoditization • Outsourced Knowledge Workers • Offshored standardized programming • Outsourced/colo Data Center • Virtual or Cloud infrastructure • Fewer or virtual Infrastructure Engineers • Outsourced Help Desk/Call Center • VoIP/virtual PBX/Telephony • DevOps Change Control • Limited Career Paths – Rise of Siloed Specialist • Fewer Deep Technical Skill Sets on site • Significantly smaller CapEx budget • Smaller OpEx budget • Overall: Competitive Parity Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980
  12. 12. Seismic Shifts in the Familiar  Pace, Speed, Expectations  Changing Workplaces  New Management - Different demographic/generation  Rapidly Shifting Technologies  Rapidly Changing R=G Demographics  Offshoring, Outsourcing, Cloud  Mobile Applications and Mobile Technologies  Cyber-Crime/Security & Forensics  Networking Internal/External Connections  CIOs may be Information Brokers – Vendor Management Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980
  13. 13. Co-worker Demographic Shift Source: HP Enterprise 20/20 Vol 1 http://h22154.www2.hp.com/ Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980
  14. 14. The Internet of Everything as is Today Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980 Source: John Matherly, Shodan
  15. 15. Every Feel Like You are Falling Behind?  Many differing definitions, but ultimately it is a radical shift from Business As Usual, the “Status Quo,” or the Familiar. Historical Backgound Perspective on Change  Agriculture Revolution – 10,000BC  Industrial Revolution – circa 1800s  Digital Revolution – circa 1980s forward  Informational Revolution/New Digital Era (now)  World’s Knowledge Base Rate of Change is increasing exponentially  It took it 1500 years to double from 1AD – 1500  It doubled again in 250 years from 1500-1750  It doubled again in 150 years from 1750-1900  It is now doubling every two years & increasing.  “A full 90 percent of all the data in the world has been generated over the last two years” – Source(s): ScienceDaily; SINTEF; IBM 5/22/2013 Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980
  16. 16. Shifts in Pace “60% of the best jobs in the next ten years have not been invented yet” - Thomas Frey “65% of Kindergarteners will grow up to have jobs that do not exist today” - Irma Wallace, WagePoint “Half of the technology that College Freshmen learn will be outdated by their Junior Year ” - Irma Wallace, WagePoint Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980
  17. 17. Demographic Shifts in Co-Workers Today Millennials are one third of the workforce By 2020 Millennials will be one half of, and the Gen Z Digital Natives will be entering, the workforce or attending college By 2030 Millennials will be almost three quarters and considering retirement while Gen Z Digital Natives will begin hitting age thirty and in full stride in the workplace. Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980
  18. 18. Why Do Millennials Matter? Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980
  19. 19. Social Media Perception Explained Twitter – I’m eating a #donut Facebook – I like donuts Foursquare – This is where I eat donuts Instagram – Here’s a Vintage photo of my donut YouTube – Here I am eating a donut LinkedIn – My skills include donut eating Pinterest – Here’s a donut recipe LastFM – Now listening to “Donuts” G+ - I’m a google employee who eats donuts Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980
  20. 20. Source: Hitachi Data Systems http://web.idg.no/app/web/online/Event/cioforum/2013/bigdata/Kenneth_thomas.pdf - IoE Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980
  21. 21. Reality vs Feeling Check Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980
  22. 22. HR Performance Review - Skills Source: Reuven Gorsht Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980
  23. 23. Soon to be Familiar Careers Daniel Burrus  Mobile HW/SW Services  Remote Visual Communications  Social Business Enterprise Mgmt  Cyber Security & Forensics  Additive Manufacturing/3DPrinting  Gamification of Education  Cloud Services and Virtualization  Big Data & Real-Time Analysis  Intelligent E-Personal Assistants  3D Web  Connected Intelligence Objects  Advanced Robotics & Automation Sparks&Honey  Drone Driver  Personal Digital Curator  Digital Detox Therapist  Corporate Disorganizer  Curiosity Tutor  Alternate Currency Speculator  Privacy Consultant  3D Printing Handyman  Digital Death Manager  Skype Stager Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980
  24. 24. Next Steps 1. View Vendors as knowledge/Info source 2. Look beyond Status Quo to Innovate 3. Refresh Technical Awareness/skills 4. Network, Network, Network 5. Invest some time/effort in one Social Media Platform 6. Eat Lunch with/listen to the Business 7. Build Your Brand - Contribute exp/lessons learned 8. Communicate Successes (IT Marketing) 9. Hire/find/be a coach or mentor 10.Mentor Millennials/Listen to Digital Natives Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980
  25. 25. Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980 Final Thoughts
  26. 26. There are far better things ahead than we leave behind - CS Lewis Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980
  27. 27. Following the Money – Shifting Middle Class and Purchasing Power 2009 • United States 21% • Japan 8% • Germany 6% • France 4% • United Kingdom 4% • Russia 4% • China 4% • Italy 3% • Mexico 3% • Brazil 3% Source: HP Enterprise 20/20 Vol 1 http://h22154.www2.hp.com/ Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980
  28. 28. Following the Money – Shifting Middle Class and Purchasing Power 2009 • United States 21% • Japan 8% • Germany 6% • France 4% • United Kingdom 4% • Russia 4% • China 4% • Italy 3% • Mexico 3% • Brazil 3% 2020 • China 13% • United States 12% • India 11% • Japan 6% • Germany 4% • Russia 3% • France 3% • Indonesia 3% • Mexico 3% Source: HP Enterprise 20/20 Vol 1 http://h22154.www2.hp.com/ Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980
  29. 29. 2009 • United States 21% • Japan 8% • Germany 6% • France 4% • United Kingdom 4% • Russia 4% • China 4% • Italy 3% • Mexico 3% • Brazil 3% 2020 • China 13% • United States 12% • India 11% • Japan 6% • Germany 4% • Russia 3% • France 3% • Indonesia 3% • Mexico 3% 2030 • India 23% • China 18% • United States 7% • Indonesia 4% • Japan 4% • Russia 3% • Germany 2% • Mexico 2% • Brazil 2% • France 2% Source: HP Enterprise 20/20 Vol 1 http://h22154.www2.hp.com/ Following the Money – Shifting Middle Class and Purchasing Power Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980
  30. 30. Phase I • Determine where your career IS vulnerable • Find the Perception of your organization • Mend or improve relationships w/Business – Eat lunch with the business once a week – Have bagels with the technical support staff • $peak in the language of the busine$$ – Know how your business makes money – Know your fixed, variable, & TCO costs for each app & service • Hire/find a coach or mentor • Mentor Millennials/Listen to Digital Natives Next Steps - Detail Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980
  31. 31. Phase II • Work to be innovative with the business – Be prepared and positioned to jettison all IT that’s not core – Manage IT performance versus risk – Focus on the “I” in “IT” – Delegate more and utilize free agents – Balance privacy/security with personalization and access • Repeat continuously Next Steps - Detail Blair Baker Chief Technology Evangelist BBaker@1903Solutions.com @TechsN2Execs 858.431.9980

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