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Study methodology
TOWARDS ATOWARDS A
Colin Blackman
Camford Associates
www.camfordassociates.com
Final Public Workshop, Brussels, 22 November 2010
Study objectives
1. To investigate the deep interrelations existing
between technological, social and economic
trends related to the future internet
2. Explore the future needs of internet users
3. Outline the principles that should guide its
development
Study team
Led by Oxford Internet Institute with SCF Associates and individual experts
Panel of experts:
Rudolf van der Berg (Logica), Erik Bohlin (Chalmers University of
Technology), Jon Crowcroft (University of Cambridge), William Drake
(Graduate Institute), Ian Miles (University of Manchester), Christopher
Marsden (University of Essex), Jun Murai (Keio University), and Xavier
Dalloz (XDC).
Core team: Ian Brown, Project Manager - OII
Colin Blackman – Camford Associates
Jonathan Cave – Warwick Univ/RAND Europe
Simon Forge – SCF Associates
Karmen Guevara – SCF Associates
Lara Srivastava – Webster Univ/infoDev
Motohiro Tsuchiya – Keio Univ
Malte Ziewitz – OII
with Rafael Popper – Univ of Manchester
Project work packages and actions
WP1WP1
Internet History and EvolutionInternet History and Evolution
WP1WP1
Internet History and EvolutionInternet History and Evolution
WP2WP2
Building Future Internet ScenariosBuilding Future Internet Scenarios
Foresight techniques, Scenarios analysis,Foresight techniques, Scenarios analysis,
Delphi surveyDelphi survey
WP2WP2
Building Future Internet ScenariosBuilding Future Internet Scenarios
Foresight techniques, Scenarios analysis,Foresight techniques, Scenarios analysis,
Delphi surveyDelphi survey
WP3WP3
Analysis and recommendationsAnalysis and recommendations
WP3WP3
Analysis and recommendationsAnalysis and recommendations
20% of effort
Desk research, literature survey
etc
60%
Scenario
generation,
Delphi,
workshops
etc
20%
Analysis, findings and
conclusions for policy
Using a Delphi survey and scenario building workshops
to establish guiding principles for the future internet
Delphi round 1
Build initial
scenarios
Test and improve
scenarios
in 1st
Brussels
workshop
Evolved
scenarios
Guiding principles
& tech
requirements
Environmental
scanning
•Initial conditions
•Trends
•Drivers
•Assumptions
•Assertions
•Hypotheses
Test & validate
in MIT and
Tokyo
workshops
Delphi round 2
The Final Report is
available on the study
website
Comments are most
welcome
www.internetfutures.eu
Please visit the study website: www.internetfutures.eu

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Colin Blackman TAFI workshop

  • 1. Study methodology TOWARDS ATOWARDS A Colin Blackman Camford Associates www.camfordassociates.com Final Public Workshop, Brussels, 22 November 2010
  • 2. Study objectives 1. To investigate the deep interrelations existing between technological, social and economic trends related to the future internet 2. Explore the future needs of internet users 3. Outline the principles that should guide its development
  • 3. Study team Led by Oxford Internet Institute with SCF Associates and individual experts Panel of experts: Rudolf van der Berg (Logica), Erik Bohlin (Chalmers University of Technology), Jon Crowcroft (University of Cambridge), William Drake (Graduate Institute), Ian Miles (University of Manchester), Christopher Marsden (University of Essex), Jun Murai (Keio University), and Xavier Dalloz (XDC). Core team: Ian Brown, Project Manager - OII Colin Blackman – Camford Associates Jonathan Cave – Warwick Univ/RAND Europe Simon Forge – SCF Associates Karmen Guevara – SCF Associates Lara Srivastava – Webster Univ/infoDev Motohiro Tsuchiya – Keio Univ Malte Ziewitz – OII with Rafael Popper – Univ of Manchester
  • 4. Project work packages and actions WP1WP1 Internet History and EvolutionInternet History and Evolution WP1WP1 Internet History and EvolutionInternet History and Evolution WP2WP2 Building Future Internet ScenariosBuilding Future Internet Scenarios Foresight techniques, Scenarios analysis,Foresight techniques, Scenarios analysis, Delphi surveyDelphi survey WP2WP2 Building Future Internet ScenariosBuilding Future Internet Scenarios Foresight techniques, Scenarios analysis,Foresight techniques, Scenarios analysis, Delphi surveyDelphi survey WP3WP3 Analysis and recommendationsAnalysis and recommendations WP3WP3 Analysis and recommendationsAnalysis and recommendations 20% of effort Desk research, literature survey etc 60% Scenario generation, Delphi, workshops etc 20% Analysis, findings and conclusions for policy
  • 5. Using a Delphi survey and scenario building workshops to establish guiding principles for the future internet Delphi round 1 Build initial scenarios Test and improve scenarios in 1st Brussels workshop Evolved scenarios Guiding principles & tech requirements Environmental scanning •Initial conditions •Trends •Drivers •Assumptions •Assertions •Hypotheses Test & validate in MIT and Tokyo workshops Delphi round 2
  • 6. The Final Report is available on the study website Comments are most welcome www.internetfutures.eu
  • 7. Please visit the study website: www.internetfutures.eu