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2020 State of the Community Report
Live from The Graduate Chapel Hill
presented by
2020 Community Data Partners
Data Produced in Partnership with:
Thank you!
Thank you!
13 Years
The Data Book
A Feeling
An Elephant
Race
Resilience
Know ThySelf
2020 Context
Orange County + Chatham County + Neighbors
Local Covid Impact
Orange County COVID-19 Cases
Source: Orange County Health Department
COVID-19 Cases & Deaths by Race in Orange
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates | NC DHHS
2,371 cases & 50 deaths as of 9/4/2020
Note: Other includes American-Indian, multi-racial, & other race. Race data is missing for 605 cases.
77%
58%
48%
12%
15% 42%
8%
4%
2%
3%
23%
8%
Total Population COVID Cases COVID Deaths
White Black Asian Other
COVID-19 Cases & Deaths by Ethnicity in Orange
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates | NC DHHS
2,371 cases & 50 deaths as of 9/4/2020
Note: Ethnicity data is missing for 772 cases.
91%
67%
96%
8%
33%
4%
Total Population COVID Cases COVID Deaths
Non-Hispanic Hispanic
COVID-19 Cases & Deaths by Age in Orange
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates | NC DHHS
2,371 cases & 50 deaths as of 9/4/2020
Note: Age data is missing for 1 case.
19% 8%
19% 47%
30%
26%
4%
18%
10%
12%
9% 4%
22%
5% 5%
62%
Total Population COVID Cases COVID Deaths
0-17 18-24 25-49 50-64 65-74 75+
Demographics
Educational Attainment
Percent of Residents with Bachelors Degree 2x State Average
Source: 2018 5-Year American Community Survey
Percent of Residents 25+ With a Bachelors Degree or Higher, 2018
Cambridge, MA,
Chapel Hill, NC,
Carrboro, NC,
Orange County, NC,
58%
Wake County, NC,
52%
Durham County, NC,
Hillsborough, NC, 47%
Chatham County, NC,
Alamance County, NC,
Cambridge, MA
Ann Arbor, MI
Chapel Hill, NC
Boulder, CO
Berkeley, CA
Carrboro, NC
Amherst Center CDP, MA
Evanston, IL
Sunnyvale, CA
Corvallis, OR
Santa Clara, CA
Orange County, NC
Bloomington, IN
Fort Collins, CO
Charlottesville, VA
Wake County, NC
Burlington,, VT
Austin, TX
Boston, MA
Tallahassee, FL
Durham County, NC
Hillsborough, NC
Gainesville, FL
San Jose, CA
Athens-Clarke County, GA
Chatham County, NC
Columbus, OH
Alamance County, NC
Percent of Residents with Bachelors Degree 2x State Average
Source: 2018 5-Year American Community Survey
Percent of Residents 25+ With a Bachelors Degree or Higher, 2018
Cambridge, MA,
Chapel Hill, NC,
Carrboro, NC,
Orange County, NC,
58%
Wake County, NC,
52%
Durham County, NC,
Hillsborough, NC, 47%
Chatham County, NC,
Alamance County, NC,
Cambridge, MA
Ann Arbor, MI
Chapel Hill, NC
Boulder, CO
Berkeley, CA
Carrboro, NC
Amherst Center CDP, MA
Evanston, IL
Sunnyvale, CA
Corvallis, OR
Santa Clara, CA
Orange County, NC
Bloomington, IN
Fort Collins, CO
Charlottesville, VA
Wake County, NC
Burlington,, VT
Austin, TX
Boston, MA
Tallahassee, FL
Durham County, NC
Hillsborough, NC
Gainesville, FL
San Jose, CA
Athens-Clarke County, GA
Chatham County, NC
Columbus, OH
Alamance County, NC
Race & Ethnicity
Orange County Population by Race/Ethnicity
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Decennial Census | Population Estimates
80% 76% 71% 70%
16%
14%
12% 11%
4%
8% 9%
3%
4% 7% 8%
2% 3% 3%
1990 2000 2010 2019
Other or
Multiracial
Asian
Hispanic
Black
White
Values less than
1% not labeled
Orange Minority Population by Race/Ethnicity
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Decennial Census | 2019 Population Estimates
14,847 16,175 15,722 16,820
5,273
11,017 12,8164,860
9,031
11,812
3,360
3,808
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
1990 2000 2010 2019
Black Hispanic (Any Race) Asian All Other
Chatham Minority Population by Race/Ethnicity
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Decennial Census | 2019 Population Estimates
8,794 8,355 8,272 8,763
4,743
8,228
9,026
709
1,588
1,425
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
1990 2000 2010 2019
Black Hispanic Asian All Other Races
Chapel Hill Minority Population by Race/Ethnicity
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Decennial Census | 2018 5-Year American Community Survey
4,840 5,517 5,460 5,801
1,564
3,638 3,934
3,508
6,786 7,377
1,916
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
1990 2000 2010 2018
Black Hispanic Asian All Other Races
Carrboro Minority Population by Race/Ethnicity
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Decennial Census | 2018 5-Year American Community Survey
1,916 2,231 1,933 2,210
2,062 2,706 1,708
862
1,592
2,254
557 1,106
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
1990 2000 2010 2018
Black Hispanic Asian All Other Races
Hillsborough Minority Population by Race/Ethnicity
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Decennial Census | 2018 5-Year American Community Survey
1,660 1,893 1,777 1,632
404 626
152
227
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
1990 2000 2010 2018
Black Hispanic Asian All Other Races
Population &
Population Growth
County and Municipal Population Totals
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates
2010 2019 Growth Growth Rate
Orange County 133,693 148,476 14,783 11% (1.1% PY)
Hillsborough 6,599 7,161 562 8.5% (0.9% PY)
Carrboro 19,568 21,190 1,622 8.3% (0.9% PY)
Chapel Hill 57,221 64,051 6,830 11.9% (1.2% PY)
Chatham County 63,485 74,470 10,985 17.3% (1.7% PY)
North Carolina 9,535,751 10,488,084 952,333 10% (1.0% PY)
County and Municipal Population Totals
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates
2010 2019 Growth Growth Rate
Orange County 133,693 148,476 14,783 11% (1.1% PY)
Hillsborough 6,599 7,161 562 8.5% (0.9% PY)
Carrboro 19,568 21,190 1,622 8.3% (0.9% PY)
Chapel Hill 57,221 64,051 6,830 11.9% (1.2% PY)
Chatham County 63,485 74,470 10,985 17.3% (1.7% PY)
North Carolina 9,535,751 10,488,084 952,333 10% (1.0% PY)
County and Municipal Population Totals
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates
2010 2019 Growth Growth Rate
Orange County 133,693 148,476 14,783 11% (1.1% PY)
Hillsborough 6,599 7,161 562 8.5% (0.9% PY)
Carrboro 19,568 21,190 1,622 8.3% (0.9% PY)
Chapel Hill 57,221 64,051 6,830 11.9% (1.2% PY)
Chatham County 63,485 74,470 10,985 17.3% (1.7% PY)
North Carolina 9,535,751 10,488,084 952,333 10% (1.0% PY)
County and Municipal Population Totals
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates
2010 2019 Growth Growth Rate
Orange County 133,693 148,476 14,783 11% (1.1% PY)
Hillsborough 6,599 7,161 562 8.5% (0.9% PY)
Carrboro 19,568 21,190 1,622 8.3% (0.9% PY)
Chapel Hill 57,221 64,051 6,830 11.9% (1.2% PY)
Chatham County 63,485 74,470 10,985 17.3% (1.7% PY)
North Carolina 9,535,751 10,488,084 952,333 10% (1.0% PY)
Increases in Residents 65+ Drove Majority of NC, County Growth
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates
Share of 2010-2019 Population Growth Due to 65+ Growth
27.2%
34.0%
37.8%
54.3%
59.5%
63.8%
Wake County
Durham County
Alamance County
North Carolina
Orange County
Chatham County
Share of Population 65+ Increased Statewide, Locally
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates
Population Proportion 65+, April 1, 2010 vs. July 1, 2019
13%
15%
18%
10% 10% 8%
17% 17%
25%
14% 15%
12%
North Carolina Alamance
County
Chatham
County
Durham
County
Orange County Wake County
2010 2019
Orange County 2010s Population Growth Smaller Than
All Decades Since the 1960s
Source: Decennial Census and Census Population Estimates
Numeric Population Growth by Decade, 1930-2019
1,901
11,363
8,535
14,737
19,348
16,796
24,376
15,57414,783
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s
2010s Second-Slowest Decade of Population Growth
since 1930s for Orange County
Source: Decennial Census and Census Population Estimates
Percent Population Increase by Decade, 1930-2019
9%
49%
25%
34% 34%
22%
26%
13% 11%
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s
2010s Second-Slowest Decade of Population Growth
since 1930s for Orange County
Source: Decennial Census and Census Population Estimates
Percent Population Increase by Decade, 1930-2019
9%
49%
25%
34% 34%
22%
26%
13% 11%
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s
Chatham County Population Increases
Now Second-Largest Since 1930s
Source: Decennial Census and Census Population Estimates
Numeric Population Growth by Decade, 1930-2019
549 666 1,393
2,769
3,861
5,344
10,570
14,176
10,985
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s
2010s Now Third-Fastest Decade of
Growth for Chatham County
Source: Decennial Census and Census Population Estimates
Percent Population Increase by Decade, 1930-2019
2% 3%
5%
10%
13%
16%
27% 29%
17%
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s
2010s Slowest-Growing Decade for Chapel Hill Since 1970s
Source: Decennial Census and Census Population Estimates
Percent Population Increase by Decade, 1970-2019
24%
19% 19%
24%
12%
1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s
Carrboro Population Growth Less Than 10%
Source: Decennial Census and Census Population Estimates
Percent Population Increase by Decade, 1970-2019
45%
65%
38%
17%
8%
1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s
2010s Slowest-Growing Decade for Hillsborough Since 1970s
Source: Decennial Census and Census Population Estimates
Percent Population Increase by Decade, 1970-2019
109%
41%
28%
12% 9%
1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s
So, who is the fastest growing municipality
in Orange and Chatham?
Mebane’s Population Growth Rate Exceeds
all Orange and Chatham County Municipalities
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates
Population Growth Rate, April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2019
42%
17%
12%
8%
9%
Mebane
Pittsboro
Chapel Hill
Carrboro
Hillsborough
Regional Perspective
PopulationGainsSince2010Smallestin ChathamCounty
Source: Decennial Census and Census Population Estimates
10,985
14,783
18,354
51,487
210,709
Chatham County
Orange County
Alamance County
Durham County
Wake County
Numeric Population Growth, April 1, 2010 – July 1, 2019
Migration
~75% of Orange County Growth from Migration
Source: Census Components of Change
Components of Orange County’s Estimated 14,783-Person Growth, 2010-2019
14,783
11,171
-7,293
5,233 5,653
Total Change Births Deaths Domestic Migration
International
Migration
Note: The difference between total change and the sum of the individual components of change is known as the "residual". It is not shown here.
Domestic Migration Drives Growth in Chatham County
Source: Census Components of Change
Components of Chatham County’s Estimated 10,985-Person Growth, 2010-2019
10,985
5,921
-6,138
11,136
-25
Total Change Births Deaths
Domestic
Migration
International
Migration
Note: The difference between total change and the sum of the individual components of change is known as the "residual". It is not shown here.
2020 Census
Orange, Chatham in Top 5 for Census Response
Census 2020 Self-Response Rates by County, 8/30/2020
Source: CUNY HTC 2020
Locally, Highest Pockets of Responses Are in Wake
Census 2020 Self-Response Rates by Census Tract, 8/30/2020
Source: CUNY HTC 2020
Chapel Hill, Siler City Response Rates Lag Behind 2010
Census 2020 Self-Response Rates vs. 2010 Rates, by Census Tract, 8/30/2020
Source: CUNY HTC 2020
Let’s Talk for a Minute
Dr. Rebecca Tippett
Carolina Demography
Program Sponsor
Internet Access
and Subscription
8% in Orange, 21% in Alamance Have No Internet Access
Source: 5 Year American Community Survey, 2014-2018
Internet Subscription Type By County
76% 77% 86% 87% 90%
3% 6% 3% 4% 3%21% 17% 11% 8% 7%
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
Broadband (Any Type) Subscription Non-Broadband (Dial-Up) Internet Subscription
Internet Access Without a Subscription No Internet Access
Note: Values less than 1% are not labeled
In Orange County, 22% of Black Households and
15% of Hispanic Households Lack Computer Access or Internet
Source: 5 Year American Community Survey, 2014-2018
PC Access and Internet Subscription by Race/Ethnicity - Orange County
92%
76%
95% 93% 84%
5%
9%
5% 4% 10%
3% 13% 1% 3% 5%
White Black Asian Multi-Racial Hispanic
Has Computer with Dial-Up Has Computer with Broadband
Has Computer without Internet Subscription No Computer
Note: Values less than 1% are not labeled
In Chatham County, 38% of Black Households and
29% of Hispanic Households Lack Computer Access or Internet
Source: 5 Year American Community Survey, 2014-2018
PC Access and Internet Subscription by Race/Ethnicity - Chatham County
85%
61%
82%
70%
7%
21%
9%
19%
8% 17% 8% 10%
White Black Multi-Racial Hispanic
Has Computer with Dial-Up Has Computer with Broadband
Has Computer without Internet Subscription No Computer
Note: Values less than 1% are not labeled
Pockets of Low Internet Access in Western Chatham
Source: 5 Year American Community Survey, 2014-2018
% of People with Computer and Fixed Broadband Access at Home
Resiliency
Health Indicators
Orange County Ranks 1st in Length of Life & Clinical Care
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation Health Indicators
2020 Health Indicator Orange Chatham #1
Length of Life 1 7 Orange
Quality of Life 4 14 Wake
Health Behaviors 3 2 Wake
Clinical Care 1 10 Orange
Social and Economic Factors 3 17 Wake
Physical Environment 46 73 Graham
All Cancers Rate Declines In All Counties
Source: NC State Center for Health Statistics
All Cancer Rate per 100,000, 2009-13 vs. 2014-18
491
464 458
507
481 479459
414
438
493
453 442
North Carolina Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake
2009-13 2014-18
Adult Smoking
Source: 2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation County Health Rankings
17%
14% 14% 15%
17%
12%
11%
20%
12%
20%
12%
10%
14% 14%
Adult Obesity
Source: 2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation County Health Rankings
31%
23% 24% 25%
32%
25%
15%
24% 23%
25% 25%
21%
27% 28%
Access to Exercise Opportunities
Source: 2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation County Health Rankings
74%
84%
63%
90%
80%
90%
96%
82%
94%
87% 90%
97%
92% 89%
Violent Crime (per 100,000)
Source: 2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation County Health Rankings
351
160 165
666
382
115
242
405
227
307 303
238
436
353
Uninsured Adults
Source: 2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation County Health Rankings
16%
12%
17%
16%
18%
12%
7%
19%
4%
5%
6%
8%
11%
10%
Uninsured Children
Source: 2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation County Health Rankings
5% 5%
7%
5% 5%
4%
2%
7%
1%
2%
3%
4% 4%
6%
Black/White Residential Segregation
Source: 2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation County Health Rankings
(0: Complete Integration – 100: Complete Segregation)
50
29 32
40 41 43
54
29
51
58
50 49
60
48
Life Expectancy
Source: 2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation County Health Rankings
78
82.1 81.7
77.5
80.3
81.6
78.5 78.5
79.2
81.4 81.7
83.0 82.7
80.0
Children in Poverty
Source: 2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation County Health Rankings
20%
11%
14%
20% 19%
10%
7%
30%
8%
14% 13% 13%
11%
15%
Percent of Children in Poverty
Source: 2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation County Health Rankings
20%
11%
14%
20% 19%
10%
North Carolina Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake
Percentage of Children (Under 18) Living in Poverty
Source: 2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation County Health Rankings
by Race/Ethnicity
24%
30%
14%
6%
24%
22%
3%
Asian Black Hispanic White
Chatham Orange
Income
Orange County Highest Per Capita Income in State
Source: 5-Year American Community Survey; 2018
Orange County (1),
$40,650
Chatham County (2),
Wake County (3),
Durham County (6), $34,063
Alamance County (35),
Robeson County
(100), $17,881
$-
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
$35,000
$40,000
$45,000
OrangeCounty
ChathamCounty
WakeCounty
MecklenburgCounty
UnionCounty
DurhamCounty
DareCounty
MooreCounty
NewHanoverCounty
IredellCounty
CarteretCounty
BuncombeCounty
BrunswickCounty
CabarrusCounty
PolkCounty
CurrituckCounty
ForsythCounty
HendersonCounty
GuilfordCounty
DavieCounty
HaywoodCounty
LincolnCounty
MaconCounty
CravenCounty
PenderCounty
TransylvaniaCounty
PamlicoCounty
NashCounty
CamdenCounty
CatawbaCounty
ClayCounty
FranklinCounty
BeaufortCounty
GranvilleCounty
AlamanceCounty
GastonCounty
PersonCounty
JohnstonCounty
PerquimansCounty
PittCounty
GatesCounty
MadisonCounty
RowanCounty
DavidsonCounty
StokesCounty
WataugaCounty
StanlyCounty
AlexanderCounty
CumberlandCounty
WilsonCounty
RandolphCounty
WayneCounty
ChowanCounty
JacksonCounty
AsheCounty
SurryCounty
MitchellCounty
LeeCounty
OnslowCounty
WilkesCounty
PasquotankCounty
RockinghamCounty
YadkinCounty
BurkeCounty
MartinCounty
YanceyCounty
VanceCounty
HarnettCounty
CaswellCounty
CaldwellCounty
MontgomeryCounty
CherokeeCounty
McDowellCounty
RutherfordCounty
WarrenCounty
LenoirCounty
ColumbusCounty
SampsonCounty
ClevelandCounty
JonesCounty
AlleghanyCounty
WashingtonCounty
HalifaxCounty
SwainCounty
BladenCounty
RichmondCounty
HokeCounty
NorthamptonCounty
BertieCounty
AveryCounty
AnsonCounty
EdgecombeCounty
DuplinCounty
GrahamCounty
HertfordCounty
TyrrellCounty
HydeCounty
GreeneCounty
ScotlandCounty
RobesonCounty
Wake, Chatham, and Orange Lead in Household Income
Source: 2018 U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)
Median Household Income
$61,937
$53,922
$71,920 $73,703
$50,480
$59,329
$80,169
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
$70,000
$80,000
$90,000
United
States
North
Carolina
Orange
County
Chatham
County
Alamance
County
Durham
County
Wake
County
Median Household Income
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)
Inflation Adjusted $2018
Orange, $71,920
Chatham, $73,703
Durham County,
$59,329
Alamance, $50,480
Wake, $80,169
NC, $53,922
US, $61,937
$40,000
$45,000
$50,000
$55,000
$60,000
$65,000
$70,000
$75,000
$80,000
$85,000
Orange and Chatham Inflation Adjusted Income Grows
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)
Percent Change in Median Household Income From 1998 to 2018 (Inflation Adjusted $2018)
-1.3%
-4.0%
-7.3%
11.7%
15.7%
1.8%
8.2%United States
Orange
Chatham
Alamance
Durham
Wake
NC
Orange and Chatham Income Growth Exceeds Inflation
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)
Dollar Change in Median Household Income From 1998 to 2018 (Inflation Adjusted $2018)
$4,683
$942
$9,782
$7,704
($3,947)
($2,467)
($1,061)
United States
NC
Orange
Chatham
Alamance
Durham
Wake
Food Insecurity
2018 Food Insecurity Rate
Source: Feeding America
Food Insecurity is the lack of consistent access to enough food for an active, healthy life.
14.0%
10.8%
11.9%
14.0% 13.5%
10.4%
North Carolina Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake
Number of People Experiencing Food Insecurity, 2018
Source: Feeding America; 2018
Food Insecurity is the lack of consistent access to enough food for an active, healthy life.
15,470
8,280
22,470
41,310
108,650
Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake
Number of Food Insecure People Declines 2013 to 2018
Source: Feeding America
Food Insecurity is the lack of consistent access to enough food for an active, healthy life.
(5,430)
530
(2,980)
(9,070)
(24,810)
Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake
Percent Change in Food Insecure People 2013-2018
Source: Feeding America
Food Insecurity is the lack of consistent access to enough food for an active, healthy life.
-19.2%
-26.0%
6.8%
-11.7%
-18.0% -18.6%
North
Carolina Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake
County Food &
Nutrition Services
Orange County FNS Caseload & Participants Approaching Mid-
Recession Peak After Start of COVID-19
Source: NC Department of Health and Human Services
5,421
4,506
6,129
2,925
10,537
8,941
11,779
6,111
Cases Participants
Orange County FNS Caseload & Participants Approaching Mid-
Recession Peak After Start of COVID-19
Source: NC Department of Health and Human Services
5,421
4,506
6,129
2,925
10,537
8,941
11,779
6,111
Cases Participants
Chatham County FNS Caseload & Participants Rise as a
Result of COVID-19
Source: NC Department of Health and Human Services
2,4812,131
3,079
1,345
5,0834,401
6,632
2,948
Cases Participants
Orange County
Farming
Orange County’s Number of Farms Increasing
Source: USDA Agricultural Census, 2017
604
645
686
2007 2012 2017
Orange County Farmland (acres)
Source: USDA Agricultural Census, 2017
60,057
56,666
69,908
2007 2012 2017
Market Value of Orange County Products Sold
Source: USDA Agricultural Census, 2017
$28,084,000
$30,613,000
$37,713,000
$0
$5,000,000
$10,000,000
$15,000,000
$20,000,000
$25,000,000
$30,000,000
$35,000,000
$40,000,000
2007 2012 2017
Orange County Farmland by Use
Source: USDA Agricultural Census, 2017
43% 39% 46%
27% 32%
27%
21% 21% 20%
2007 2012 2017
Cropland Woodland Pastureland
Orange County Farms by Value of Sales
Source: USDA Agricultural Census, 2017
70% 68% 66%
19% 20% 17%
3% 6%
7%
8% 6% 10%
2007 2012 2017
Less than $10K $10 - $49.9K $50 - $100K Over $100K
1) Create dramatically more
affordable housing
2) Increase all students’
performance and close the
achievement gap
​3) Accelerate innovation
and workforce
development
Program Sponsor
Early Childhood
Education
62,287 North Carolina Kids Pre-K Eligible,
But Only 29,509 Served (58,587 Remain Ineligible)
Source: National Institute for Early Education Research (NIEER), 2018
In Chatham, More Than 75% of Eligible Children Served,
In Orange 50%-70% Unserved
Source: National Institute for Early Education Research (NIEER), 2018
Number of Children Eligible for PreK But Without Access
Varies Across Counties
Source: National Institute for Early Education Research (NIEER), 2018
Public School Spending
Total Per Pupil Expenditure (2018-19)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
$9,263
$9,413
$10,878
$11,538
$11,751
$12,941
$13,394
Alamance-Burlington Schools
Wake County Schools
Chatham County Schools
Orange County Schools
Durham County Schools
Chapel Hill/Carrboro City Schools
Asheville City Schools
Local Per Pupil Expenditure (2018-19)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
$1,974
$2,827
$3,688
$4,017
$4,428
$5,949
$6,345
Alamance-Burlington Schools
Wake County Schools
Chatham County Schools
Durham County Schools
Orange County Schools
Asheville City Schools
Chapel Hill/Carrboro City Schools
Performance
3rd Grade Reading
End of Grade (EOG)
Testing
3rd Grade Reading End of Grade (EOG)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Percent of Students ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+), 2019
57%
52%
61%
74%
53%
45%
66%
NC Orange Chatham CHCCS Alamance-
Burlington
Durham Wake
Orange and CHCCS 3rd Grade Reading EOG Performance
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Percent of Students ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+) on End of Grade (EOG), 2014-2019
75% 78% 76% 74% 71% 74%
63% 61% 58% 56%
48% 52%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
CHCCS Orange
CHCCS 3rd Grade Reading EOG By Race/Ethnicity
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Percent of Students ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+) End of Grade (EOG), 2018 vs. 2019
73%
43% 39%
89%
77%
57%
42%
88%
Asian Black Hispanic White
2018 2019
CHCCS 3rd Grade Reading EOG By Race/Ethnicity
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Percent of Students ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+) End of Grade (EOG), 2018 vs. 2019
77%
57%
42%
88%
Asian Black Hispanic White
2019
CHCCS 3rd Grade Reading EOG By Race/Ethnicity
Percent of Students ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+) on End of Grade (EOG), 2014-2019
75% 74%
79% 77%
34%
57%
44% 42%
92% 88%
%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
All Asian Black Hispanic White
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
CHCCS 3rd Grade Reading EOG By Race/Ethnicity
Percent of Students ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+) on End of Grade (EOG), 2014-2019
75% 74%
79% 77%
34%
57%
44% 42%
92% 88%
%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
All Asian Black Hispanic White
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Orange County Schools 3rd Grade Reading EOG
by Race/Ethnicity
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Percent of Students ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+) on End of Grade (EOG), 2018-19
37%
26%
70%
Black Hispanic White
Orange County Schools 3rd Grade Reading EOG
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Percent of Students ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+) by Race/Ethnicity, 2014-2019
63% 61%
58% 56%
48%
52%
46% 44% 44%
35%
39% 37%
37% 39%
34%
29%
23% 26%
73% 74% 71% 74%
61%
70%
%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
All Black Hispanic White
Chatham County Schools 3rd Grade Reading EOG
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Percent of Students ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+) by Race/Ethnicity, 2018-19
44% 43%
76%
Black Hispanic White
3rd Grade Reading White/Black Percentage Point Gap
Decreases CHCCS
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Grade 3 Reading EOG White/Black Percentage Point Gap, ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+), 2014-2019
58
37
45
34
47
30
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
3rd Grade Reading White/Black Percentage Point Gap
Decreases in Chatham
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Grade 3 Reading EOG White/Black Percentage Point Gap, ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+), 2014-2019
38
29
33
43
36
32
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
3rd Grade Reading White/Black Percentage Point Gap
Increases in Orange County Schools
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Grade 3 Reading EOG White/Black Percentage Point Gap, ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+), 2014-2019
27
30
27
39
22
33
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
8th Grade Science End
of Grade (EOG) Test
CHCCS 8th Grade Science End of Grade (EOG)
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Percent of Students ‘College and Career Ready’ (Level 4 or 5) by Subgroups, 2019
82%
50%
61%
51%
30%
All Black Hispanic EDS SWD
2019
(Students with Disabilities)(Economically Disadvantaged
Students)
Orange County Schools 8th Grade Science EOG
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Percent of Students ‘College and Career Ready’ (Level 4 or 5) End of Grade (EOG) by Subgroups, 2018 vs. 2019
78%
55%
67% 68%
37%
73%
67% 71% 67%
43%
All Black Hispanic EDS SWD
2018
2019
(Economically Disadvantaged
Students)
(Students with Disabilities)
8th Grade Science EOG | Black Students
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Percent of Black Students ‘College and Career Ready’ (Level 4 or 5) on End of Grade (EOG), 2019
52%
67%
35%
50%
38%
51%
54%
NC Orange Chatham CHCCS Alamance Durham Wake
8th Grade Science EOG | Black Students
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Percent of Black Students ‘College and Career Ready’ (Level 4 or 5) on End of Grade (EOG), 2014-2019
42%
NC, 52%
42%
Orange, 67%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
SAT & ACT
2019 Average SAT Scores
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
1091
1159
1083
1287
1050 1071
1155
NC Orange Chatham CHCCS Alamance-
Burlington
Durham Wake
2019 Average SAT Math Scores
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
542
575
533
643
521 541
577
NC Orange Chatham CHCCS Alamance-
Burlington
Durham Wake
2019 Average SAT Evidence-Based Reading and Writing Scores
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
549
584
550
644
529 530
578
NC Orange Chatham CHCCS Alamance-
Burlington
Durham Wake
Percent of All Students Meeting All 4 ACT Subtest
Benchmarks, 2018-19
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
16%
22% 20%
51%
10%
13%
27%
NC Orange Chatham CHCCS Alamance-
Burlington
Durham Wake
Percent of All Students Earning a UNC System-Eligible
ACT Composite Score (17+) 2018-19
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
56%
62% 62%
83%
47% 47%
67%
NC Orange Chatham CHCCS Alamance-
Burlington
Durham Wake
Percent of CHCCS Students Earning a UNC System-Eligible ACT
Composite Score by Subgroup, 2018-19
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
83% 84%
42%
62%
91% 94%
44%
All Asian Black Hispanic Multi-Racial White ED
Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools
Economically
Disadvantaged
Note: For privacy reasons, NCDPI does not disclose data if the student population is
small, explaining the missing data for the Asian subgroup in Orange County.
Percent of Black Students Earning a UNC System-Eligible
ACT Composite Score (17+) 2018-19
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
32% 34%
36%
42%
28%
37% 38%
NC Orange Chatham CHCCS Alamance-
Burlington
Durham Wake
Percent of Hispanic Students Earning a UNC System-
Eligible ACT Composite Score (17+), 2018-19
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
40% 41% 40%
62%
28%
36%
45%
NC Orange Chatham CHCCS Alamance-
Burlington
Durham Wake
Durham Tech
51% of Durham Tech
Students Who
Graduated from Chapel
Hill & Orange County
Schools Received
Financial Aid (Pell
Grants & Other Forms)
Source: Durham Tech
51%
Durham Tech 2019 Licensure Pass Rates
Source: Durham Tech
98%
86%
86%
89%
100%
Practical Nursing
Registered Nursing
EMT
EMT-P
Esthetician
Durham Tech Student Transfer Performance Over 85%
Source: Durham Tech
Durham Tech Transfer Performance
85% 89% 86%
2017 2018 2019
Durham Tech Orange County Campus CCP & Orange
Promise Awards
Source: Durham Tech
59
108
143 151
91
178 190
156
2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20
Career and College Promise (CCP) Orange Promise Awards
Pause
Let’s Talk for a Minute
Anna Richards
Chapel Hill-Carrboro NAACP
Program Sponsor
Housing
Orange County
Total Value Per
Acre
Source: Urban3
Orange
County Land
Distribution
Source: 5 Year American Community Survey, 2014-2018
Total = 398 sq. miles
[CELLRANGE]
6.5 sq. miles
1.6%
[CELLRANGE]
19.5 sq. miles
4.9%
[CELLRANGE]
5.3 sq. miles
1.3%
[CELLRANGE]
1.8 sq miles
0.5%
[CELLRANGE]
365 sq. miles
91.6%
Orange County
Housing Unit
Distribution
Total = 57,502 units
Source: 5 Year American Community Survey, 2014-2018
[CELLRANG
E]
9,781 units,
17%
[CELLRANGE]
20,064 units,
35%
[CELLRANGE]
2,949 units, 5%
[CELLRANGE]
1,151 units,
2%
[CELLRANGE]
23,546 units,
41%
For Sale Housing
Orange County Homes Sold Exceeds Previous Record
Source: Triangle MLS, 2020
Annual Home Sales, 2007-August 2020
1,751
1,275
1,1431,1431,128
1,277
1,630
1,433
1,650
1,8151,782
1,8691,915
1,209
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
(through August)
Chatham County Home Sales Even 2013-2019
Source: Triangle MLS, 2020
Annual Home Sales, 2007- August 2020
1,008
797
699
782
858
1,037
1,3201,3181,297
1,412
1,3231,2971,315
924
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
(through August)
Chatham County Median Residential Closing Price
Grows, Orange Remained Flat Until 2020 Uptick
Source: Triangle MLS
Median Residential Closing Price
$263,930
$399,000
$275,000
$315,000
$200,000
$225,000
$250,000
$275,000
$300,000
$325,000
$350,000
$375,000
$400,000
$425,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Chatham Orange
Chatham County Median Residential Closing Price
Grows, Orange Remained Flat Until 2020 Uptick
Source: Triangle MLS
Median Residential Closing Price
$399,000
$429,950
$315,000
$325,000
$200,000
$225,000
$250,000
$275,000
$300,000
$325,000
$350,000
$375,000
$400,000
$425,000
$450,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Chatham Orange
(through
August)
New Construction
Orange Adds Fewest New Homes in the Region
Source: Triangle MLS, 2020
New For-Sale Housing Units Build Since 2010
1,977
3,424
7,768
38,928
Orange
Chatham
Durham
Wake
Less Than 4% of Orange and 12% of Chatham Homes
Built Since 2010
Source: Triangle MLS, 2020
Percent of Available Housing Units Built Since 2010
3.6%
11.9%
6.5%
10.5%
Orange
Chatham
Durham
Wake
Hillsborough Construction Drives Orange
New Home Growth
Source: Triangle MLS, 2020
New Construction Units per Year
253
336
313
410
0
250
500
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Orange Chatham
47% of Orange Homes Sold for Under $300,000
Source: Triangle MLS, 2020
2019 Home Sales by Price
17%
17%
17%
30%
18%
45%
18%
18%
18%
22%
28%
16%
13%
21%
5%
Orange County (All)
CHCCS District
Not CHCCS
<$200,000 $200,000-$299,999 $300,000-$399,999 $400,000-$600,000 $600,000 or more
324 Homes Sold for Under $200,000 and 906 for under $300,000
Source: Triangle MLS, 2020
2019 Number of Transactions
324
168
156
582
178
404
343
179
164
427
287
140
258
212
46
Orange County (All)
CHCCS District
Not CHCCS
<$200,000
$200,000-$299,999
$300,000-$399,999
$400,000-$600,000
$600,000 or more
Rental Housing
More Than 50% of Chapel Hill/Carrboro Residents Rent
Source: 2018 5 Year American Community Survey
Share Renting
35%
38%
23%
51%
57%
32%
35%
46%
36%
North
Carolina
Orange Chatham Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Alamance Durham
County
Wake
Median Rent Exceeds $1,000 in Orange Munis and Wake
Source: 5 Year American Community Survey
2014-2018 Median Rent
$1,172
$1,102
$1,077
$1,036
$1,014
$1,002
$877
$833
$798
Chapel Hill
Wake
Orange
Carrboro
Durham County
Hillsborough
North Carolina
Chatham
Alamance
Chapel Hill, Carrboro See Largest Increase in Median Rents
Source: 5 Year American Community Survey
Growth in Median Rent, 2013 vs. 2018
5%
15%
1%
18%
16%
10% 10%
1%
12%
North
Carolina
Orange Chatham Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Durham
County
Alamance Wake
Change in Median Rent
Source: 5 Year American Community Survey
2009-2013 vs. 2014-2018 ACS
$180
$140
$137
$121
$91
$87
$40
$7
$6
Chapel Hill
Carrboro
Orange
Wake County
Durham County
Hillsborough
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Share of Cost-Burdened Renters 50% or Greater in
Orange, Chapel Hill, Carrboro and Hillsborough
Source: 2018 5 Year American Community Survey
Cost-Burdened Households (Greater than 30% Household Income)
48% 50%
46%
58%
51% 55%
50% 49%
44%
North
Carolina
Orange Chatham Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Alamance Durham
County
Wake
Orange County Housing Wage is $17.35 for a 1BR
Source: National Low-Income Housing Coalition, Out of Reach 2019
Housing Wage = Hourly Wages Needed to Afford FMR, 2019
North
Carolina
Durham-Chapel
Hill HMFA
Raleigh MSA
Alamance
County
Zero Bedroom $13.50 $16.04 $16.27 $10.79
One Bedroom $14.17 $17.35 $18.25 $12.25
Two Bedroom $16.95 $20.29 $20.88 $15.62
Three Bedroom $22.77 $27.60 $26.85 $20.60
Four Bedroom $27.75 $31.23 $33.92 $23.81
Orange County Housing Wage is $17.35 for a 1BR
Source: National Low-Income Housing Coalition, Out of Reach 2019
Housing Wage = Hourly Wages Needed to Afford FMR, 2019
North
Carolina
Durham-Chapel
Hill HMFA
Raleigh MSA
Alamance
County
Zero Bedroom $13.50 $16.04 $16.27 $10.79
One Bedroom $14.17 $17.35 $18.25 $12.25
Two Bedroom $16.95 $20.29 $20.88 $15.62
Three Bedroom $22.77 $27.60 $26.85 $20.60
Four Bedroom $27.75 $31.23 $33.92 $23.81
112 Hours of Work Needed for Minimum Wage Worker to Afford Local
2 Bedroom Rental
Weekly Hours of Minimum Wage Work Needed to Afford FMR, 2019
North
Carolina
Durham-Chapel
Hill HMFA
Raleigh MSA
Alamance
County
Zero Bedroom 74 88 90 60
One Bedroom 78 96 101 68
Two Bedroom 94 112 115 86
Three Bedroom 126 152 148 114
Four Bedroom 153 172 187 131
Source: National Low-Income Housing Coalition, Out of Reach 2019
COVID Impacts on
Housing
Steady Increase in Calls, Emails to Housing Helpline
Source: Orange County Housing and Community Development
2020 Orange County Partnership to End Homelessness Helpline
210
617
1,005 915
1,527
116 194
598
1,529
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
April May June July August
Number of Calls Number of Emails
Orange County Households Served by Emergency Housing
Assistance Rising
Source: Orange County Housing and Community Development
644 Unique Households Over 8 Months
4 8 9
36
69
152
166
200
January February March April May June July August MTD
Orange County Emergency Housing Assistance
Source: Orange County Housing and Community Development
Emergency Housing Assistance Amount by Month | $886,954 Over 8 Months
$8,265 $6,595 $11,135
$54,836
$73,870
$194,622
$231,028
$306,603
$-
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
January February March April May June July August
MTD
Value of Orange
County
Orange County Assessed Value Per Acre
Source: Urban3
2019 Orange
County Total
Assessed Value
(millions)
Total = $16.7 billion
Source: Orange County Tax Assessor, 2019
Chapel Hill,
$7,278
Carrboro,
$2,202Hillsborough,
$1,024
Mebane, $267
Rest of Orange
County, $5,963
2019 Orange
County
Commercial
Assessed Value
(millions)
Total = $2.23 billion
Source: Orange County Tax Assessor
Chapel Hill,
$1,435
Carrboro,
$234
Hillsborough, $304
Mebane,
$77
Rest of
Orange
County,
$183
2019 Orange
County Residential
Assessed Value
(millions)
Total = $13.39 billion
Source: Orange County Tax Assessor
Chapel Hill,
$5,145
Carrboro,
$1,702
Hillsborough, $631
Mebane, $173
Rest of
Orange
County,
$5,738
2019 Orange
County
Apartment
Assessed Value
(millions)
Total = $1.08 billion
Source: Orange County Tax Assessor
Chapel Hill,
$697
Carrboro,
$267
Hillsborough,
$89
Mebane,
$17
Rest of
Orange
County,
$13
2019 Orange County Assessed Value
Source: Orange County Tax Assessor
70.7% 77.3%
61.6% 64.8%
96.7%
80.1%
19.7% 10.6%
29.7% 28.8%
3.1%
13.4%
9.6% 12.1% 8.7% 6.4%
0.2%
6.5%
Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Mebane Rest of Orange
County
Total County
Residential Commercial Apartment
2019 Orange County Assessed Value (millions)
Source: Orange County Tax Assessor
$5,145
$1,702
$631 $173
$5,738
$1,435
$234
$304 $77
$183
$697
$267
$89 $17
$13
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
$8,000
Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Mebane Rest of Orange
County
Residential Commercial Apartment
An OpportunityAn Opportunity
Research Triangle Logistics Park (RTLP)
• 160 Acres (near intersection of Old 86 and I-
40)Research Triangle Logistics Park (RTLP)
• $150 Million Investment
• 2.25 million SF for Lease for light assembly and
distribution operations
• 1000+ Living Wage Jobs
• 40 Acres Preserved as Open Space (25%)
• In Long-Stablished County Economic
Development District
Interstate 40
Old NC 86
Davis Rd
Research Triangle Logistics Park (RTLP)
• FYI/FYA: Orange County Commissioners will discuss
the proposal on Sept 15, 2020.
• Learn more: Review the project summary and FAQs
at https://www.orangecountync.gov/1722/Current-
Interest-Projects
Employment &
Employers
Annual Unemployment Rate
Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) via NC Department of Commerce
1990-2019, Unadjusted
6.1%
8.6%
10.9%
2%
6.6%
3%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Chapel Hill Chatham County North Carolina Orange County
May 2020 Unemployment Rate Above Recession Peaks
Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) via NC Department of Commerce
1/2008 to 6/2020, Unadjusted
12.0%
12.7%
9.6%
7.7%
9.1%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
1/2008
4/2008
7/2008
10/2008
1/2009
4/2009
7/2009
10/2009
1/2010
4/2010
7/2010
10/2010
1/2011
4/2011
7/2011
10/2011
1/2012
4/2012
7/2012
10/2012
1/2013
4/2013
7/2013
10/2013
1/2014
4/2014
7/2014
10/2014
1/2015
4/2015
7/2015
10/2015
1/2016
4/2016
7/2016
10/2016
1/2017
4/2017
7/2017
10/2017
1/2018
4/2018
7/2018
10/2018
1/2019
4/2019
7/2019
10/2019
1/2020
4/2020
7/2020
North Carolina Orange County Chapel Hill Chatham County
May 2020 July 2020
NC: 12.7% NC: 8.9%
Chatham: 9.1% Chatham: 6.7%
Orange: 9% Orange: 6.7%
Chapel Hill: 8.6% Chapel Hill: 6.7%
Monthly Unemployed Individuals
Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) via NC Department of Commerce
July 2011 to July 2020
5,103
5,044
2,217
1,973
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
7/2011 1/2012 7/2012 1/2013 7/2013 1/2014 7/2014 1/2015 7/2015 1/2016 7/2016 1/2017 7/2017 1/2018 7/2018 1/2019 7/2019 1/2020 7/2020
Orange County Chapel Hill
Monthly Unemployed Individuals
January 2019 to July 2020
2,429
1,9731,350
2,985
2,278
3,019
6,516
5,044
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
1/2019 2/2019 3/2019 4/2019 5/2019 6/2019 7/2019 8/2019 9/2019 10/2019 11/2019 12/2019 1/2020 2/2020 3/2020 4/2020 5/2020 6/2020 7/2020
Chapel Hill Chatham County Orange County
Orange County
‘Employer Firms’
(Firms With Employees)
Estimated
Number of
Orange County
Employer Firms
Total = 2,885
Source: Census Bureau | 2017 Annual Business Survey
Carrboro, 391
(14%)
Chapel Hill, 1502
(52%)
Hillsborough, 321,
(11%)
Rest of
Orange, 671
(23%)
33% of All Carrboro Firms are Women-Owned
Source: Census Bureau | 2017 Annual Business Survey
Estimated Women-Owned Firms as a Percent of All Firms, Percent of Total Sales, and Percent of Total Payroll
20%
22%
18%
22%
33%
17%
20% 21%
4%
6% 6%
4%
23%
2% 2%
4%
6%
8% 7% 8%
20%
3% 3%
7%
NC Orange Chatham Chapel Hill Carrboro Alamance Durham Wake
% of All Firms % of Total Sales % of Total Payroll
Minority-Owned Employers Make Up 11-18% of All Firms
Source: Census Bureau | 2017 Annual Business Survey
Estimated Minority-Owned Firms as a Percent of All Firms, Percent of Total Sales, and Percent of Total Payroll
11%
12% 12%
18%
11% 11%
15%
12%
3% 3%
4%
2% 2% 2%
3%
2%
3% 3%
4%
3% 3% 3%
4%
3%
Chapel Hill Orange
County
Chatham
County
Durham
County
Alamance
County
Johnston
County
Wake
County
North
Carolina
% of All Firms % of Total Sales % of Total Payroll
Estimated Minority-Owned Employer Firms
Source: Census Bureau | 2017 Annual Business Survey
Estimated Number of Minority-Owned Firms With Employees By County
349
155
1,051
262 318
Orange County Chatham County Durham County Alamance County Johnston County
Innovation at UNC
Source: UNC-Chapel Hill
Founders’ UNC Status at Time of Founding
# of Startups
256
87
121 116 104
46
Faculty Graduate
Students
Graduate Alumni Undergraduate
Students
Undergraduate
Alumni
Staff
Note: Founder data will not sum to total number of startups, due to some startups having multiple founders.
Source: UNC-Chapel Hill
Funding Achievements by UNC Startups
July 2018 – June 2019 All Years
Private Investments $831,926,191 $7,165,924,410
Grants/Awards $26,852,208 $2,287,973,124
SBIR/STTR Grants Only $17,269,544 $191,413,813
M&A, IPO, Corporate Partnerships $600,550,000 $5,524,683,437
Total, all funding types $1,459,328,399 $14,978,580,971
Total Funding: FY19 (July – June): All Years:
$1.5 billion $15.0 billion
FundingDetail:
Source: UNC-Chapel Hill
Active UNC Startups by NC County (424)
County # of Active Startups
Alamance 3
Beaufort 1
Bertie 1
Buncombe 2
Cabarrus 2
Carteret 1
Caswell 1
Catawba 1
Chatham 7
Cleveland 1
Craven 2
Cumberland 1
Davidson 1
Durham 103
County # of Active Startups
Forsyth 4
Franklin 1
Guilford 4
Lee 1
Mecklenburg 8
Moore 1
New Hanover 3
Orange 200
Pitt 3
Union 1
Wake 69
Watauga 1
Wilkes 1
Source: UNC-Chapel Hill
Active UNC Startups by NC County (424)
County # of Active Startups
Alamance 3
Beaufort 1
Bertie 1
Buncombe 2
Cabarrus 2
Carteret 1
Caswell 1
Catawba 1
Chatham 7
Cleveland 1
Craven 2
Cumberland 1
Davidson 1
Durham 103
County # of Active Startups
Forsyth 4
Franklin 1
Guilford 4
Lee 1
Mecklenburg 8
Moore 1
New Hanover 3
Orange 200
Pitt 3
Union 1
Wake 69
Watauga 1
Wilkes 1
Source: UNC-Chapel Hill
UNC Student
& Employee Populations
UNC-Chapel Hill Student Population
Exceeds 30,000 in 2018
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
30,011
21,465
2019 UNC
Student
Enrollment by
Housing Type
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
Resident
Student
Housing
27%, 8,067
Married
Student
Housing
2%, 598Off-Campus
Housing
64%, 19,121
Fraternity and
Sorority Housing
3%, 836
Other University-Affiliated Housing (Granville
Towers)
4%, 1,195
12,744 People Work for UNC-Chapel Hill with EHRA &
Faculty Driving Growth
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
6291
6453
0
2,500
5,000
7,500
10,000
12,500
15,000
EHRA & Faculty SPA
UNC Funding
State Appropriations to UNC-Chapel Hill Remain Below
2008 Levels (1980-2018)
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
$518 million
$543 million
$108 million
UNC-Chapel Hill Revenues Rise Rapidly,
State Appropriations See Modest Growth
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
$3.4 billion
$294 million
$518 million
$108 million
UNC-CH North Carolina
Value of UNC-Chapel Hill Endowment, 1980-2018
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
$3.31 billion
$39.7
million
UNC Annual Research Funding Exceeds $883 Million
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
$883 million
$70 million
UNC-Chapel Hill Campus Grows Past 21 Million Square Feet
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
21.2 million
7.8 million
Program Sponsor
Worker Inflow, Outflow, &
Commuting
Orange Worker Inflows/Outflows
Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES), 2017
46,164 Drive In, 37,073 Drive Out, and 19,953 Live and Work in Orange County
Chapel Hill Worker Inflows/Outflows
Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES), 2017
41,779 Drive In, 14,008 Drive Out, and 6,627 Live and Work in Chapel Hill
Where Do Chapel Hill Workers Commute From?
Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES), 2017
Residence of Chapel Hill Workers
9,194
6,627
3,071
2,969
2,236
698
647
545
438
417
21,564
Durham city, NC
Chapel Hill town, NC
Carrboro town, NC
Raleigh city, NC
Cary town, NC
Apex town, NC
Burlington city, NC
Mebane city, NC
Charlotte city, NC
Greensboro city, NC
All Other Locations
Chapel Hill Workers Less Likely to Live in CH, Carrboro
Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES), 2017
Numeric Change in Where Chapel Hill Workers Live, 2007 vs. 2017
712
-794
-466
1,083
827
246
159
235
-99
76
1,481
Durham city, NC
Chapel Hill town, NC
Carrboro town, NC
Raleigh city, NC
Cary town, NC
Apex town, NC
Burlington city, NC
Mebane city, NC
Charlotte city, NC
Greensboro city, NC
All Other Locations
Carrboro Worker Inflows/Outflows
Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES), 2017
3,666 Drive In, 8,561 Drive Out, and 571 Live and Work in Carrboro
Where do Carrboro Workers Commute From?
Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES), 2017
Residence of Carrboro Workers
606
571
430
168
101
60
57
53
44
39
2,108
Durham city, NC
Carrboro town, NC
Chapel Hill town, NC
Raleigh city, NC
Cary town, NC
Burlington city, NC
Mebane city, NC
Greensboro city, NC
Charlotte city, NC
Graham city, NC
All Other Locations
Hillsborough Worker Inflows/Outflows
Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES)
4,593 Drive In, 2,810 Drive Out, and 236 Live and Work in Hillsborough
Twice As Many Hillsborough Workers Live in Durham
Than Hillsborough
Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES), 2017
Where Hillsborough Workers Live
630
236
184
172
137
110
102
78
62
56
3,062
Durham city, NC
Hillsborough town, NC
Burlington city, NC
Mebane city, NC
Chapel Hill town, NC
Raleigh city, NC
Carrboro town, NC
Graham city, NC
Cary town, NC
Greensboro city, NC
All Other Locations
Orange County Workers Driving In for Work
Growing Faster than Workers Driving Out
Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES), 2017
26,751
32,262
37,915
36,38230,747
37,935
40,520
48,026
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Driving Out for Work Driving In for Work
Orange Becoming More of an Employment Center and
Less of a Bedroom Community
Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES)
Percent Change, 2010-2017
16.2%
8.3% 9.0% 7.9%
19.9%
Total Work in
Orange
Total Live in
Orange
Live and Work in
Orange
Drive Out Drive In
University Commuting
45%
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research and Analysis
of UNC Employees
Live in Orange
County (2018)
Living in
Orange County
45%
Living
Outside
of
Orange
County
55%
Fewer UNC Employees Living in Orange County
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research and Analysis
Percent of UNC Chapel Hill Employees Living In Orange County
47.1%
47.8%
46.6%
46.4%
45.9%
45.2%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Distribution of UNC-CH’s 12,742 Employees
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research and Analysis
UNC Employees by County of Home Address (2018)
5,762
2,551
1,703
1,160
674
596
70
70
62
29
25
24
16
Orange
Durham
Wake
Alamance
Other
Chatham
Person
Lee
Guilford
Mecklenburg
Randolph
Granville
New Hanover
Young Workers
(Age 29 and Under)
Total People 29 & Younger Working in Orange County
Increasing From 2012 Low
Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES)
13,847
14,489
12,199
14,383
11,000
11,500
12,000
12,500
13,000
13,500
14,000
14,500
15,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Workers 29 & Under Driving into Orange County for
Work Increases to an All-Time High
Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES)
8,774
8,840
10,351
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Transportation
49% of Chatham Workers Driving Alone Travel 30+ Minutes
Source: 5 Year American Community Survey, 2014-2018
Percent of Workers That Drive Alone and Have a 30+ Minute Commute
33% 32%
49%
21%
36%
29%
33%
26%
35%
NC Orange Chatham Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Alamance Durham
County
Wake
Total Chapel Hill Transit Ridership (in millions)
Source: Chapel Hill Transit
FY 2004 – FY 2020
5.3
5.8 6.0 6.0
6.4
7.2 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.7
6.3 6.2
6.6
7.0
5.6
FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20
Total Chapel Hill Transit Ridership (in millions)
Source: Chapel Hill Transit
FY 2004 – FY 2020
5.3
5.8 6.0 6.0
6.4
7.2 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.7
6.3 6.2
6.6
7.0
5.6
FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20
Monthly Chapel Hill Transit Ridership
Source: Chapel Hill Transit
January - July 2019 vs. January - July 2020
584,907
622,868
557,054
609,969
425,115
345,864
375,978
624,560 625,303
184,798
13,522 13,279 32,934 34,018
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
January February March April May June July
2019 2020
Total GoTriangle Transit Ridership (in millions)
Source: GoTriangle
FY 2004 – FY 2020
0.7
0.8 0.8 0.9
0.9
1.1 1.1
1.3
1.6
1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8
1.7 1.6 1.7
1.4
FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20
Monthly GoTriangle Ridership
Source: GoTriangle
2019 & 2020
145,591
139,457
146,417 150,871 142,669
129,090
137,069
139,117 128,154
80,032
50,060 55,462
66,016
87,936
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
January February March April May June July
2019 2020
Program Sponsor
Property Tax
Local Municipal Tax Rates in the Middle of NC Cities
Source: NC Department of Revenue
2018-19 City and Town Property Tax Rates
Huntersville,
Cary, 0.350
Apex, 0.415
Raleigh, 0.438
Chapel Hill, 0.528
Durham,
Carrboro,
Hillsborough,
0.620
Salisbury,
Huntersville
Cary
Morrisville
Apex
Asheville
Raleigh
Concord
Charlotte
Wilmington
Fayetteville
Greenville
Chapel Hill
Gastonia
Hickory
Wilson
Durham
Carrboro
Burlington
Winston-Salem
Monroe
Hillsborough
Kannapolis
Greensboro
Jacksonville
High Point
Goldsboro
Rocky Mount
Salisbury
Local Cities Highest Total Tax Rate Among Other NC Cities
Source: NC Department of Revenue
2018-19 All Jurisdictions Property Tax Rates (City + County + School Taxes)
Cary, 1.004
Apex, 1.069
Raleigh, 1.093
Durham, 1.357
Hillsborough,
Chapel Hill,
1.580
Carrboro,
Cary
Morrisville
Wilmington
Apex
Asheville
Raleigh
Huntersville
Hickory
Burlington
Concord
Greenville
Fayetteville
Wilson
Charlotte
Goldsboro
Winston-Salem
Jacksonville
Monroe
Kannapolis
Rocky Mount
Durham
Greensboro
High Point
Salisbury
Gastonia
Hillsborough
Chapel Hill
Carrboro
Local Property Tax Obligation Well Outpaces Other NC Cities
Source: NC Department of Revenue, Zillow
2018-19 Taxes Assessed in Median Home Value, May 2020
Burlington, $1,553
Raleigh, $3,191
Durham, $3,498
Cary, $3,882
Apex, $4,059
Hillsborough,
Carrboro, $4,808
Chapel Hill,
$6,375
Rocky Mount
Burlington
Fayetteville
Wilson
Greenville
Goldsboro
Winston-Salem
Hickory
High Point
Jacksonville
Kannapolis
Salisbury
Greensboro
Gastonia
Wilmington
Monroe
Concord
Raleigh
Charlotte
Asheville
Morrisville
Durham
Huntersville
Cary
Apex
Hillsborough
Carrboro
Chapel Hill
Retail Sales &
Sales Tax
Orange County Taxable Sales Approach $2 Billion
Source: NC Department of Revenue
County Taxable Sales in Millions (Inflation Adjusted $2020)
$1,163$1,181$1,165$1,116$1,170$1,168$1,190
$1,303
$1,552$1,609
$1,687
$1,819$1,816
$1,943$1,956
$-
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
Orange County Taxable Sales Approach $2 Billion
Source: NC Department of Revenue
County Taxable Sales in Millions (Inflation Adjusted $2020)
$1,163$1,181$1,165$1,116$1,170$1,168$1,190
$1,303
$1,552$1,609
$1,687
$1,819$1,816
$1,943$1,956
$-
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
Orange County Sales Tax Collections Exceed $93 million
Source: NC Department of Revenue
County Sales Tax Collections in Millions (Inflation Adjusted $2020)
$40.8 $41.8 $41.5 $41.0
$52.5
$58.8
$51.5
$56.1
$67.8 $70.5
$74.8
$82.3 $84.3
$91.7 $93.3
$-
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
$100
Chatham County Taxable Sales Exceed $730 million
Source: NC Department of Revenue
County Taxable Sales in Millions (Inflation Adjusted $2020)
$311
$375 $369
$346
$405 $417 $423 $436
$462
$520
$580
$612 $620
$660
$733
$-
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
Chatham County Taxable Sales Exceed $730 million
Source: NC Department of Revenue
County Taxable Sales in Millions (Inflation Adjusted $2020)
$311
$375 $369
$346
$405 $417 $423 $436
$462
$520
$580
$612 $620
$660
$733
$-
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
Chatham County Sales Tax Collection Exceed $35 million
Source: NC Department of Revenue
Sales Tax Collections in Millions (Inflation Adjusted $2020)
$10
$13 $13 $13
$18
$21
$18 $19
$20
$23
$26
$28 $29
$31
$35
$-
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
$40
COVID-19 Impact
on Retail Sales
Monthly Orange County Retail Sales (millions)
Source: NC Department of Revenue
$167.9
$145.9 $145.1
$164.5
$173.3
$165.5
$173.5
$158.9
$143.3
$154.2
$138.3
$155.1
115
125
135
145
155
165
175
January February March April May June
2019 2020
Orange County Retail Sales Decline During Pandemic
Source: NC Department of Revenue
Percent Change in 2020 Retail Sales vs. Same Month, Previous Year
-6.3%
-20.2%
-6.3%
-1.2%
8.9%
3.3%
-25.0%
-20.0%
-15.0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
JuneMayAprilMarchFebruaryJanuary
Monthly Chatham County Retail Sales (millions)
Source: NC Department of Revenue
$61.0
$48.1
$46.5
$55.9 $55.2
$58.8
$71.8
$54.0
$55.8
$62.7 $64.0 $63.8
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
January February March April May June
2019 2020
Chatham Retail Sales Increase During Pandemic
Source: NC Department of Revenue
Percent Change in 2020 Retail Sales vs. Same Month, Previous Year
8.5%
15.9%
12.2%
19.9%
12.3%
17.6%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
JuneMayAprilMarchFebruaryJanuary
Orange Sales Down and Chatham Up Jan-June 2020
Source: NC Department of Revenue
Retail Sales Percentage Growth or Decline January-June 2020 vs. January-June 2019
-4.0%
14.3%
0.2%
5.1%
0.4%
-4.4%
Orange Chatham Johnston Davidson Pitt Watauga
And Where Does Sales Tax Go?And Where Does Sales Tax Go?
2019-20 Orange County Sales Tax Distribution
Source: NC Department of Revenue
59%
27%
9.5%
3.4% 1.0% 0.0%
Orange County Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Mebane Durham
2019-20 Orange County Sales Tax Distribution
Source: NC Department of Revenue
$30,355,863
$13,679,532
$4,844,839
$1,733,371 $498,036 $7,542
Orange County
(overall)
Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Mebane Durham
The Chamber
50 Business Index
Local Business Credit Card Transactions Value Declines
Source: Infintech and The Chamber’s 50 Business Index
Total Monthly Credit Card Transaction Value from Chamber’s Sample “50 Business Index”
Apr 2018,
$1,994,152
Apr 2019,
$1,826,414
Apr 2020,
$526,260
July 2020,
$995,580
$0
$500,000
$1,000,000
$1,500,000
$2,000,000
$2,500,000
Local Business Credit Card Transactions Value Declines
Source: Infintech and The Chamber’s 50 Business Index
Total Monthly Credit Card Transaction Value from Chamber’s Sample “50 Business Index”
Apr 2018,
$1,994,152
Apr 2019,
$1,826,414
Apr 2020,
$526,260
July 2020,
$995,580
$0
$500,000
$1,000,000
$1,500,000
$2,000,000
$2,500,000
Local Business Credit Card Transactions Volume Declines
Source: Infintech and The Chamber’s 50 Business Index
Total Monthly Credit Card Transaction Volume from Chamber’s Sample “50 Business Index”
Apr 2018, 17,893
Apr 2019, 15,870
Apr 2020, 4,883
July 2020, 8,036
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
Hotels & Tourism
Orange County Domestic Visitor
Expenditures Exceeds $218 Million
Source: Visit NC | CPI Inflation Values from Federal Reserve
Inflation Adjusted $2018 (in millions)
$157.17
$218.38
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
Local Tax Revenues from Tourism $4.7 Million
Source: Visit NC | CPI Inflation Values from Federal Reserve
Inflation Adjusted $2018 (in millions)
$9.3
$11.6
$3.4
$4.7
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
$14
$16
$18
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
State Tax Receipts Local Tax Receipts
Covid-19 Negatively Impacts Hotel Occupancy
Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
Orange County Average Daily Hotel Occupancy, 2011-2020
64.1% 65.1% 65.1%
69.9% 70.5% 70.1%
66.7% 66.9% 67.2%
37.7%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
(through June)
Covid-19 Negatively Impacts Hotel Occupancy
Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
Orange County Average Daily Hotel Occupancy, 2011-2020
64.1% 65.1% 65.1%
69.9% 70.5% 70.1%
66.7% 66.9% 67.2%
37.7%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
(through June)
Covid-19 Caused Hotel Occupancy to Fall to 13% in April
Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
Monthly Average Hotel Occupancy, 2019 vs. 2020
52%
68%
72% 73% 72% 72%
68%
53%
66%
35%
13%
21%
32%
38%
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
2019 2020
Covid-19 Negatively Impacting Hotel ADR
Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
Orange County Average Daily Rate (ADR) 2011-2020
$101.61
$104.38
$106.49
$113.65
$121.48
$124.43
$126.22 $126.32
$129.94
$112.46
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
(through June)
Orange Hotel Monthly ADR Down 41% in May 2020
Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
Orange County Average Daily Rate (ADR), 2019 vs. 2020
$114.76
$124.90 $125.51
$129.89
$149.01
$124.16
$113.62
$122.30
$136.09
$117.70
$91.27
$87.46 $89.14 $87.40
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
2019 2020
Covid-19 Cuts Orange Hotel RevPAR by 52%
Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
Orange County Average Revenue Per Available Room (RevPAR), 2011-2020
$65.15 $68.00 $69.60
$79.45
$85.69 $87.18 $84.24 $84.54 $87.26
$42.38
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
(through June)
Orange Hotels RevPAR Down 87% in April 2020
Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
Orange County Monthly Average Revenue Per Available Room (RevPAR), 2019 vs. 2020
$59.34
$85.25
$90.09
$95.27
$107.29
$89.82
$77.74
$65.31
$89.24
$41.21
$12.15
$18.70
$28.23
$33.50
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
2019 2020
The Environment
Protected Land
Orange County Protected Land Acreage
Source: Orange County State of the Environment Report, 2019
4,380
9,318
16,397
20,413
22,907
24,647 24,647 25,471
Pre-1981 1981-90 1991-2000 2001-04 2005-08 2009-13 2014 2019
Renewables
Regional Renewable Energy Capacity
Source: NC Sustainable Agriculture Association, 2020
(Megawatts)
3.18 6.31.89 6.64
36.8
47.8
23.6
19.1
56.6
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
Biomass Hydroelectric Solar
Installed Renewable Energy Systems
Source: NC Sustainable Agriculture Association, 2020
Waste
Water
Check In
Time for Breakouts?
Question and Answer?
2020 State of the Community Report
Live from The Graduate Chapel Hill
presented by
2020 State of the Community Report
Live from The Graduate Chapel Hill
presented by
Presenting Sponsor
Presenting Sponsor
Presenting Sponsor
Program Sponsors
Program Sponsors
Contributing Sponsors
Contributing Sponsors
2020 Community Data Partners
Data Produced in Partnership with:
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2020 State of the Community Report

  • 1. 2020 State of the Community Report Live from The Graduate Chapel Hill presented by
  • 2. 2020 Community Data Partners Data Produced in Partnership with:
  • 5. 13 Years The Data Book A Feeling An Elephant Race Resilience Know ThySelf
  • 7. Orange County + Chatham County + Neighbors
  • 9. Orange County COVID-19 Cases Source: Orange County Health Department
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. COVID-19 Cases & Deaths by Race in Orange Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates | NC DHHS 2,371 cases & 50 deaths as of 9/4/2020 Note: Other includes American-Indian, multi-racial, & other race. Race data is missing for 605 cases. 77% 58% 48% 12% 15% 42% 8% 4% 2% 3% 23% 8% Total Population COVID Cases COVID Deaths White Black Asian Other
  • 13. COVID-19 Cases & Deaths by Ethnicity in Orange Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates | NC DHHS 2,371 cases & 50 deaths as of 9/4/2020 Note: Ethnicity data is missing for 772 cases. 91% 67% 96% 8% 33% 4% Total Population COVID Cases COVID Deaths Non-Hispanic Hispanic
  • 14. COVID-19 Cases & Deaths by Age in Orange Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates | NC DHHS 2,371 cases & 50 deaths as of 9/4/2020 Note: Age data is missing for 1 case. 19% 8% 19% 47% 30% 26% 4% 18% 10% 12% 9% 4% 22% 5% 5% 62% Total Population COVID Cases COVID Deaths 0-17 18-24 25-49 50-64 65-74 75+
  • 17. Percent of Residents with Bachelors Degree 2x State Average Source: 2018 5-Year American Community Survey Percent of Residents 25+ With a Bachelors Degree or Higher, 2018 Cambridge, MA, Chapel Hill, NC, Carrboro, NC, Orange County, NC, 58% Wake County, NC, 52% Durham County, NC, Hillsborough, NC, 47% Chatham County, NC, Alamance County, NC, Cambridge, MA Ann Arbor, MI Chapel Hill, NC Boulder, CO Berkeley, CA Carrboro, NC Amherst Center CDP, MA Evanston, IL Sunnyvale, CA Corvallis, OR Santa Clara, CA Orange County, NC Bloomington, IN Fort Collins, CO Charlottesville, VA Wake County, NC Burlington,, VT Austin, TX Boston, MA Tallahassee, FL Durham County, NC Hillsborough, NC Gainesville, FL San Jose, CA Athens-Clarke County, GA Chatham County, NC Columbus, OH Alamance County, NC
  • 18. Percent of Residents with Bachelors Degree 2x State Average Source: 2018 5-Year American Community Survey Percent of Residents 25+ With a Bachelors Degree or Higher, 2018 Cambridge, MA, Chapel Hill, NC, Carrboro, NC, Orange County, NC, 58% Wake County, NC, 52% Durham County, NC, Hillsborough, NC, 47% Chatham County, NC, Alamance County, NC, Cambridge, MA Ann Arbor, MI Chapel Hill, NC Boulder, CO Berkeley, CA Carrboro, NC Amherst Center CDP, MA Evanston, IL Sunnyvale, CA Corvallis, OR Santa Clara, CA Orange County, NC Bloomington, IN Fort Collins, CO Charlottesville, VA Wake County, NC Burlington,, VT Austin, TX Boston, MA Tallahassee, FL Durham County, NC Hillsborough, NC Gainesville, FL San Jose, CA Athens-Clarke County, GA Chatham County, NC Columbus, OH Alamance County, NC
  • 20. Orange County Population by Race/Ethnicity Source: U.S. Census Bureau Decennial Census | Population Estimates 80% 76% 71% 70% 16% 14% 12% 11% 4% 8% 9% 3% 4% 7% 8% 2% 3% 3% 1990 2000 2010 2019 Other or Multiracial Asian Hispanic Black White Values less than 1% not labeled
  • 21. Orange Minority Population by Race/Ethnicity Source: U.S. Census Bureau Decennial Census | 2019 Population Estimates 14,847 16,175 15,722 16,820 5,273 11,017 12,8164,860 9,031 11,812 3,360 3,808 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 1990 2000 2010 2019 Black Hispanic (Any Race) Asian All Other
  • 22. Chatham Minority Population by Race/Ethnicity Source: U.S. Census Bureau Decennial Census | 2019 Population Estimates 8,794 8,355 8,272 8,763 4,743 8,228 9,026 709 1,588 1,425 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 1990 2000 2010 2019 Black Hispanic Asian All Other Races
  • 23. Chapel Hill Minority Population by Race/Ethnicity Source: U.S. Census Bureau Decennial Census | 2018 5-Year American Community Survey 4,840 5,517 5,460 5,801 1,564 3,638 3,934 3,508 6,786 7,377 1,916 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 1990 2000 2010 2018 Black Hispanic Asian All Other Races
  • 24. Carrboro Minority Population by Race/Ethnicity Source: U.S. Census Bureau Decennial Census | 2018 5-Year American Community Survey 1,916 2,231 1,933 2,210 2,062 2,706 1,708 862 1,592 2,254 557 1,106 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 1990 2000 2010 2018 Black Hispanic Asian All Other Races
  • 25. Hillsborough Minority Population by Race/Ethnicity Source: U.S. Census Bureau Decennial Census | 2018 5-Year American Community Survey 1,660 1,893 1,777 1,632 404 626 152 227 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 1990 2000 2010 2018 Black Hispanic Asian All Other Races
  • 27. County and Municipal Population Totals Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates 2010 2019 Growth Growth Rate Orange County 133,693 148,476 14,783 11% (1.1% PY) Hillsborough 6,599 7,161 562 8.5% (0.9% PY) Carrboro 19,568 21,190 1,622 8.3% (0.9% PY) Chapel Hill 57,221 64,051 6,830 11.9% (1.2% PY) Chatham County 63,485 74,470 10,985 17.3% (1.7% PY) North Carolina 9,535,751 10,488,084 952,333 10% (1.0% PY)
  • 28. County and Municipal Population Totals Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates 2010 2019 Growth Growth Rate Orange County 133,693 148,476 14,783 11% (1.1% PY) Hillsborough 6,599 7,161 562 8.5% (0.9% PY) Carrboro 19,568 21,190 1,622 8.3% (0.9% PY) Chapel Hill 57,221 64,051 6,830 11.9% (1.2% PY) Chatham County 63,485 74,470 10,985 17.3% (1.7% PY) North Carolina 9,535,751 10,488,084 952,333 10% (1.0% PY)
  • 29. County and Municipal Population Totals Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates 2010 2019 Growth Growth Rate Orange County 133,693 148,476 14,783 11% (1.1% PY) Hillsborough 6,599 7,161 562 8.5% (0.9% PY) Carrboro 19,568 21,190 1,622 8.3% (0.9% PY) Chapel Hill 57,221 64,051 6,830 11.9% (1.2% PY) Chatham County 63,485 74,470 10,985 17.3% (1.7% PY) North Carolina 9,535,751 10,488,084 952,333 10% (1.0% PY)
  • 30. County and Municipal Population Totals Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates 2010 2019 Growth Growth Rate Orange County 133,693 148,476 14,783 11% (1.1% PY) Hillsborough 6,599 7,161 562 8.5% (0.9% PY) Carrboro 19,568 21,190 1,622 8.3% (0.9% PY) Chapel Hill 57,221 64,051 6,830 11.9% (1.2% PY) Chatham County 63,485 74,470 10,985 17.3% (1.7% PY) North Carolina 9,535,751 10,488,084 952,333 10% (1.0% PY)
  • 31. Increases in Residents 65+ Drove Majority of NC, County Growth Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates Share of 2010-2019 Population Growth Due to 65+ Growth 27.2% 34.0% 37.8% 54.3% 59.5% 63.8% Wake County Durham County Alamance County North Carolina Orange County Chatham County
  • 32. Share of Population 65+ Increased Statewide, Locally Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates Population Proportion 65+, April 1, 2010 vs. July 1, 2019 13% 15% 18% 10% 10% 8% 17% 17% 25% 14% 15% 12% North Carolina Alamance County Chatham County Durham County Orange County Wake County 2010 2019
  • 33. Orange County 2010s Population Growth Smaller Than All Decades Since the 1960s Source: Decennial Census and Census Population Estimates Numeric Population Growth by Decade, 1930-2019 1,901 11,363 8,535 14,737 19,348 16,796 24,376 15,57414,783 1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s
  • 34. 2010s Second-Slowest Decade of Population Growth since 1930s for Orange County Source: Decennial Census and Census Population Estimates Percent Population Increase by Decade, 1930-2019 9% 49% 25% 34% 34% 22% 26% 13% 11% 1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s
  • 35. 2010s Second-Slowest Decade of Population Growth since 1930s for Orange County Source: Decennial Census and Census Population Estimates Percent Population Increase by Decade, 1930-2019 9% 49% 25% 34% 34% 22% 26% 13% 11% 1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s
  • 36. Chatham County Population Increases Now Second-Largest Since 1930s Source: Decennial Census and Census Population Estimates Numeric Population Growth by Decade, 1930-2019 549 666 1,393 2,769 3,861 5,344 10,570 14,176 10,985 1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s
  • 37. 2010s Now Third-Fastest Decade of Growth for Chatham County Source: Decennial Census and Census Population Estimates Percent Population Increase by Decade, 1930-2019 2% 3% 5% 10% 13% 16% 27% 29% 17% 1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s
  • 38. 2010s Slowest-Growing Decade for Chapel Hill Since 1970s Source: Decennial Census and Census Population Estimates Percent Population Increase by Decade, 1970-2019 24% 19% 19% 24% 12% 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s
  • 39. Carrboro Population Growth Less Than 10% Source: Decennial Census and Census Population Estimates Percent Population Increase by Decade, 1970-2019 45% 65% 38% 17% 8% 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s
  • 40. 2010s Slowest-Growing Decade for Hillsborough Since 1970s Source: Decennial Census and Census Population Estimates Percent Population Increase by Decade, 1970-2019 109% 41% 28% 12% 9% 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s
  • 41. So, who is the fastest growing municipality in Orange and Chatham?
  • 42. Mebane’s Population Growth Rate Exceeds all Orange and Chatham County Municipalities Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates Population Growth Rate, April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2019 42% 17% 12% 8% 9% Mebane Pittsboro Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough
  • 44. PopulationGainsSince2010Smallestin ChathamCounty Source: Decennial Census and Census Population Estimates 10,985 14,783 18,354 51,487 210,709 Chatham County Orange County Alamance County Durham County Wake County Numeric Population Growth, April 1, 2010 – July 1, 2019
  • 46. ~75% of Orange County Growth from Migration Source: Census Components of Change Components of Orange County’s Estimated 14,783-Person Growth, 2010-2019 14,783 11,171 -7,293 5,233 5,653 Total Change Births Deaths Domestic Migration International Migration Note: The difference between total change and the sum of the individual components of change is known as the "residual". It is not shown here.
  • 47. Domestic Migration Drives Growth in Chatham County Source: Census Components of Change Components of Chatham County’s Estimated 10,985-Person Growth, 2010-2019 10,985 5,921 -6,138 11,136 -25 Total Change Births Deaths Domestic Migration International Migration Note: The difference between total change and the sum of the individual components of change is known as the "residual". It is not shown here.
  • 49. Orange, Chatham in Top 5 for Census Response Census 2020 Self-Response Rates by County, 8/30/2020 Source: CUNY HTC 2020
  • 50. Locally, Highest Pockets of Responses Are in Wake Census 2020 Self-Response Rates by Census Tract, 8/30/2020 Source: CUNY HTC 2020
  • 51. Chapel Hill, Siler City Response Rates Lag Behind 2010 Census 2020 Self-Response Rates vs. 2010 Rates, by Census Tract, 8/30/2020 Source: CUNY HTC 2020
  • 52. Let’s Talk for a Minute
  • 56. 8% in Orange, 21% in Alamance Have No Internet Access Source: 5 Year American Community Survey, 2014-2018 Internet Subscription Type By County 76% 77% 86% 87% 90% 3% 6% 3% 4% 3%21% 17% 11% 8% 7% Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake Broadband (Any Type) Subscription Non-Broadband (Dial-Up) Internet Subscription Internet Access Without a Subscription No Internet Access Note: Values less than 1% are not labeled
  • 57. In Orange County, 22% of Black Households and 15% of Hispanic Households Lack Computer Access or Internet Source: 5 Year American Community Survey, 2014-2018 PC Access and Internet Subscription by Race/Ethnicity - Orange County 92% 76% 95% 93% 84% 5% 9% 5% 4% 10% 3% 13% 1% 3% 5% White Black Asian Multi-Racial Hispanic Has Computer with Dial-Up Has Computer with Broadband Has Computer without Internet Subscription No Computer Note: Values less than 1% are not labeled
  • 58. In Chatham County, 38% of Black Households and 29% of Hispanic Households Lack Computer Access or Internet Source: 5 Year American Community Survey, 2014-2018 PC Access and Internet Subscription by Race/Ethnicity - Chatham County 85% 61% 82% 70% 7% 21% 9% 19% 8% 17% 8% 10% White Black Multi-Racial Hispanic Has Computer with Dial-Up Has Computer with Broadband Has Computer without Internet Subscription No Computer Note: Values less than 1% are not labeled
  • 59. Pockets of Low Internet Access in Western Chatham Source: 5 Year American Community Survey, 2014-2018 % of People with Computer and Fixed Broadband Access at Home
  • 62. Orange County Ranks 1st in Length of Life & Clinical Care Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation 2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation Health Indicators 2020 Health Indicator Orange Chatham #1 Length of Life 1 7 Orange Quality of Life 4 14 Wake Health Behaviors 3 2 Wake Clinical Care 1 10 Orange Social and Economic Factors 3 17 Wake Physical Environment 46 73 Graham
  • 63. All Cancers Rate Declines In All Counties Source: NC State Center for Health Statistics All Cancer Rate per 100,000, 2009-13 vs. 2014-18 491 464 458 507 481 479459 414 438 493 453 442 North Carolina Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake 2009-13 2014-18
  • 64. Adult Smoking Source: 2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation County Health Rankings 17% 14% 14% 15% 17% 12% 11% 20% 12% 20% 12% 10% 14% 14%
  • 65. Adult Obesity Source: 2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation County Health Rankings 31% 23% 24% 25% 32% 25% 15% 24% 23% 25% 25% 21% 27% 28%
  • 66. Access to Exercise Opportunities Source: 2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation County Health Rankings 74% 84% 63% 90% 80% 90% 96% 82% 94% 87% 90% 97% 92% 89%
  • 67. Violent Crime (per 100,000) Source: 2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation County Health Rankings 351 160 165 666 382 115 242 405 227 307 303 238 436 353
  • 68. Uninsured Adults Source: 2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation County Health Rankings 16% 12% 17% 16% 18% 12% 7% 19% 4% 5% 6% 8% 11% 10%
  • 69. Uninsured Children Source: 2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation County Health Rankings 5% 5% 7% 5% 5% 4% 2% 7% 1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 6%
  • 70. Black/White Residential Segregation Source: 2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation County Health Rankings (0: Complete Integration – 100: Complete Segregation) 50 29 32 40 41 43 54 29 51 58 50 49 60 48
  • 71. Life Expectancy Source: 2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation County Health Rankings 78 82.1 81.7 77.5 80.3 81.6 78.5 78.5 79.2 81.4 81.7 83.0 82.7 80.0
  • 72. Children in Poverty Source: 2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation County Health Rankings 20% 11% 14% 20% 19% 10% 7% 30% 8% 14% 13% 13% 11% 15%
  • 73. Percent of Children in Poverty Source: 2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation County Health Rankings 20% 11% 14% 20% 19% 10% North Carolina Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake
  • 74. Percentage of Children (Under 18) Living in Poverty Source: 2020 Robert Wood Johnson Foundation County Health Rankings by Race/Ethnicity 24% 30% 14% 6% 24% 22% 3% Asian Black Hispanic White Chatham Orange
  • 76. Orange County Highest Per Capita Income in State Source: 5-Year American Community Survey; 2018 Orange County (1), $40,650 Chatham County (2), Wake County (3), Durham County (6), $34,063 Alamance County (35), Robeson County (100), $17,881 $- $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 $30,000 $35,000 $40,000 $45,000 OrangeCounty ChathamCounty WakeCounty MecklenburgCounty UnionCounty DurhamCounty DareCounty MooreCounty NewHanoverCounty IredellCounty CarteretCounty BuncombeCounty BrunswickCounty CabarrusCounty PolkCounty CurrituckCounty ForsythCounty HendersonCounty GuilfordCounty DavieCounty HaywoodCounty LincolnCounty MaconCounty CravenCounty PenderCounty TransylvaniaCounty PamlicoCounty NashCounty CamdenCounty CatawbaCounty ClayCounty FranklinCounty BeaufortCounty GranvilleCounty AlamanceCounty GastonCounty PersonCounty JohnstonCounty PerquimansCounty PittCounty GatesCounty MadisonCounty RowanCounty DavidsonCounty StokesCounty WataugaCounty StanlyCounty AlexanderCounty CumberlandCounty WilsonCounty RandolphCounty WayneCounty ChowanCounty JacksonCounty AsheCounty SurryCounty MitchellCounty LeeCounty OnslowCounty WilkesCounty PasquotankCounty RockinghamCounty YadkinCounty BurkeCounty MartinCounty YanceyCounty VanceCounty HarnettCounty CaswellCounty CaldwellCounty MontgomeryCounty CherokeeCounty McDowellCounty RutherfordCounty WarrenCounty LenoirCounty ColumbusCounty SampsonCounty ClevelandCounty JonesCounty AlleghanyCounty WashingtonCounty HalifaxCounty SwainCounty BladenCounty RichmondCounty HokeCounty NorthamptonCounty BertieCounty AveryCounty AnsonCounty EdgecombeCounty DuplinCounty GrahamCounty HertfordCounty TyrrellCounty HydeCounty GreeneCounty ScotlandCounty RobesonCounty
  • 77. Wake, Chatham, and Orange Lead in Household Income Source: 2018 U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) Median Household Income $61,937 $53,922 $71,920 $73,703 $50,480 $59,329 $80,169 $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000 $90,000 United States North Carolina Orange County Chatham County Alamance County Durham County Wake County
  • 78. Median Household Income Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) Inflation Adjusted $2018 Orange, $71,920 Chatham, $73,703 Durham County, $59,329 Alamance, $50,480 Wake, $80,169 NC, $53,922 US, $61,937 $40,000 $45,000 $50,000 $55,000 $60,000 $65,000 $70,000 $75,000 $80,000 $85,000
  • 79. Orange and Chatham Inflation Adjusted Income Grows Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) Percent Change in Median Household Income From 1998 to 2018 (Inflation Adjusted $2018) -1.3% -4.0% -7.3% 11.7% 15.7% 1.8% 8.2%United States Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake NC
  • 80. Orange and Chatham Income Growth Exceeds Inflation Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) Dollar Change in Median Household Income From 1998 to 2018 (Inflation Adjusted $2018) $4,683 $942 $9,782 $7,704 ($3,947) ($2,467) ($1,061) United States NC Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake
  • 82. 2018 Food Insecurity Rate Source: Feeding America Food Insecurity is the lack of consistent access to enough food for an active, healthy life. 14.0% 10.8% 11.9% 14.0% 13.5% 10.4% North Carolina Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake
  • 83. Number of People Experiencing Food Insecurity, 2018 Source: Feeding America; 2018 Food Insecurity is the lack of consistent access to enough food for an active, healthy life. 15,470 8,280 22,470 41,310 108,650 Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake
  • 84. Number of Food Insecure People Declines 2013 to 2018 Source: Feeding America Food Insecurity is the lack of consistent access to enough food for an active, healthy life. (5,430) 530 (2,980) (9,070) (24,810) Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake
  • 85. Percent Change in Food Insecure People 2013-2018 Source: Feeding America Food Insecurity is the lack of consistent access to enough food for an active, healthy life. -19.2% -26.0% 6.8% -11.7% -18.0% -18.6% North Carolina Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake
  • 87. Orange County FNS Caseload & Participants Approaching Mid- Recession Peak After Start of COVID-19 Source: NC Department of Health and Human Services 5,421 4,506 6,129 2,925 10,537 8,941 11,779 6,111 Cases Participants
  • 88. Orange County FNS Caseload & Participants Approaching Mid- Recession Peak After Start of COVID-19 Source: NC Department of Health and Human Services 5,421 4,506 6,129 2,925 10,537 8,941 11,779 6,111 Cases Participants
  • 89. Chatham County FNS Caseload & Participants Rise as a Result of COVID-19 Source: NC Department of Health and Human Services 2,4812,131 3,079 1,345 5,0834,401 6,632 2,948 Cases Participants
  • 91. Orange County’s Number of Farms Increasing Source: USDA Agricultural Census, 2017 604 645 686 2007 2012 2017
  • 92. Orange County Farmland (acres) Source: USDA Agricultural Census, 2017 60,057 56,666 69,908 2007 2012 2017
  • 93. Market Value of Orange County Products Sold Source: USDA Agricultural Census, 2017 $28,084,000 $30,613,000 $37,713,000 $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 $30,000,000 $35,000,000 $40,000,000 2007 2012 2017
  • 94. Orange County Farmland by Use Source: USDA Agricultural Census, 2017 43% 39% 46% 27% 32% 27% 21% 21% 20% 2007 2012 2017 Cropland Woodland Pastureland
  • 95. Orange County Farms by Value of Sales Source: USDA Agricultural Census, 2017 70% 68% 66% 19% 20% 17% 3% 6% 7% 8% 6% 10% 2007 2012 2017 Less than $10K $10 - $49.9K $50 - $100K Over $100K
  • 96. 1) Create dramatically more affordable housing 2) Increase all students’ performance and close the achievement gap ​3) Accelerate innovation and workforce development
  • 99. 62,287 North Carolina Kids Pre-K Eligible, But Only 29,509 Served (58,587 Remain Ineligible) Source: National Institute for Early Education Research (NIEER), 2018
  • 100. In Chatham, More Than 75% of Eligible Children Served, In Orange 50%-70% Unserved Source: National Institute for Early Education Research (NIEER), 2018
  • 101. Number of Children Eligible for PreK But Without Access Varies Across Counties Source: National Institute for Early Education Research (NIEER), 2018
  • 103. Total Per Pupil Expenditure (2018-19) Source: NC Department of Public Instruction $9,263 $9,413 $10,878 $11,538 $11,751 $12,941 $13,394 Alamance-Burlington Schools Wake County Schools Chatham County Schools Orange County Schools Durham County Schools Chapel Hill/Carrboro City Schools Asheville City Schools
  • 104. Local Per Pupil Expenditure (2018-19) Source: NC Department of Public Instruction $1,974 $2,827 $3,688 $4,017 $4,428 $5,949 $6,345 Alamance-Burlington Schools Wake County Schools Chatham County Schools Durham County Schools Orange County Schools Asheville City Schools Chapel Hill/Carrboro City Schools
  • 106. 3rd Grade Reading End of Grade (EOG) Testing
  • 107. 3rd Grade Reading End of Grade (EOG) Source: NC Department of Public Instruction Percent of Students ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+), 2019 57% 52% 61% 74% 53% 45% 66% NC Orange Chatham CHCCS Alamance- Burlington Durham Wake
  • 108. Orange and CHCCS 3rd Grade Reading EOG Performance Source: NC Department of Public Instruction Percent of Students ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+) on End of Grade (EOG), 2014-2019 75% 78% 76% 74% 71% 74% 63% 61% 58% 56% 48% 52% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 CHCCS Orange
  • 109. CHCCS 3rd Grade Reading EOG By Race/Ethnicity Source: NC Department of Public Instruction Percent of Students ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+) End of Grade (EOG), 2018 vs. 2019 73% 43% 39% 89% 77% 57% 42% 88% Asian Black Hispanic White 2018 2019
  • 110. CHCCS 3rd Grade Reading EOG By Race/Ethnicity Source: NC Department of Public Instruction Percent of Students ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+) End of Grade (EOG), 2018 vs. 2019 77% 57% 42% 88% Asian Black Hispanic White 2019
  • 111. CHCCS 3rd Grade Reading EOG By Race/Ethnicity Percent of Students ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+) on End of Grade (EOG), 2014-2019 75% 74% 79% 77% 34% 57% 44% 42% 92% 88% % 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 All Asian Black Hispanic White Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 112. CHCCS 3rd Grade Reading EOG By Race/Ethnicity Percent of Students ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+) on End of Grade (EOG), 2014-2019 75% 74% 79% 77% 34% 57% 44% 42% 92% 88% % 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 All Asian Black Hispanic White Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 113. Orange County Schools 3rd Grade Reading EOG by Race/Ethnicity Source: NC Department of Public Instruction Percent of Students ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+) on End of Grade (EOG), 2018-19 37% 26% 70% Black Hispanic White
  • 114. Orange County Schools 3rd Grade Reading EOG Source: NC Department of Public Instruction Percent of Students ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+) by Race/Ethnicity, 2014-2019 63% 61% 58% 56% 48% 52% 46% 44% 44% 35% 39% 37% 37% 39% 34% 29% 23% 26% 73% 74% 71% 74% 61% 70% % 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 All Black Hispanic White
  • 115. Chatham County Schools 3rd Grade Reading EOG Source: NC Department of Public Instruction Percent of Students ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+) by Race/Ethnicity, 2018-19 44% 43% 76% Black Hispanic White
  • 116. 3rd Grade Reading White/Black Percentage Point Gap Decreases CHCCS Source: NC Department of Public Instruction Grade 3 Reading EOG White/Black Percentage Point Gap, ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+), 2014-2019 58 37 45 34 47 30 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
  • 117. 3rd Grade Reading White/Black Percentage Point Gap Decreases in Chatham Source: NC Department of Public Instruction Grade 3 Reading EOG White/Black Percentage Point Gap, ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+), 2014-2019 38 29 33 43 36 32 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
  • 118. 3rd Grade Reading White/Black Percentage Point Gap Increases in Orange County Schools Source: NC Department of Public Instruction Grade 3 Reading EOG White/Black Percentage Point Gap, ‘Grade Level Proficient’ (Level 3+), 2014-2019 27 30 27 39 22 33 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
  • 119. 8th Grade Science End of Grade (EOG) Test
  • 120. CHCCS 8th Grade Science End of Grade (EOG) Source: NC Department of Public Instruction Percent of Students ‘College and Career Ready’ (Level 4 or 5) by Subgroups, 2019 82% 50% 61% 51% 30% All Black Hispanic EDS SWD 2019 (Students with Disabilities)(Economically Disadvantaged Students)
  • 121. Orange County Schools 8th Grade Science EOG Source: NC Department of Public Instruction Percent of Students ‘College and Career Ready’ (Level 4 or 5) End of Grade (EOG) by Subgroups, 2018 vs. 2019 78% 55% 67% 68% 37% 73% 67% 71% 67% 43% All Black Hispanic EDS SWD 2018 2019 (Economically Disadvantaged Students) (Students with Disabilities)
  • 122. 8th Grade Science EOG | Black Students Source: NC Department of Public Instruction Percent of Black Students ‘College and Career Ready’ (Level 4 or 5) on End of Grade (EOG), 2019 52% 67% 35% 50% 38% 51% 54% NC Orange Chatham CHCCS Alamance Durham Wake
  • 123. 8th Grade Science EOG | Black Students Source: NC Department of Public Instruction Percent of Black Students ‘College and Career Ready’ (Level 4 or 5) on End of Grade (EOG), 2014-2019 42% NC, 52% 42% Orange, 67% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
  • 125. 2019 Average SAT Scores Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 1091 1159 1083 1287 1050 1071 1155 NC Orange Chatham CHCCS Alamance- Burlington Durham Wake
  • 126. 2019 Average SAT Math Scores Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 542 575 533 643 521 541 577 NC Orange Chatham CHCCS Alamance- Burlington Durham Wake
  • 127. 2019 Average SAT Evidence-Based Reading and Writing Scores Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 549 584 550 644 529 530 578 NC Orange Chatham CHCCS Alamance- Burlington Durham Wake
  • 128. Percent of All Students Meeting All 4 ACT Subtest Benchmarks, 2018-19 Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 16% 22% 20% 51% 10% 13% 27% NC Orange Chatham CHCCS Alamance- Burlington Durham Wake
  • 129. Percent of All Students Earning a UNC System-Eligible ACT Composite Score (17+) 2018-19 Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 56% 62% 62% 83% 47% 47% 67% NC Orange Chatham CHCCS Alamance- Burlington Durham Wake
  • 130. Percent of CHCCS Students Earning a UNC System-Eligible ACT Composite Score by Subgroup, 2018-19 Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 83% 84% 42% 62% 91% 94% 44% All Asian Black Hispanic Multi-Racial White ED Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Economically Disadvantaged Note: For privacy reasons, NCDPI does not disclose data if the student population is small, explaining the missing data for the Asian subgroup in Orange County.
  • 131. Percent of Black Students Earning a UNC System-Eligible ACT Composite Score (17+) 2018-19 Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 32% 34% 36% 42% 28% 37% 38% NC Orange Chatham CHCCS Alamance- Burlington Durham Wake
  • 132. Percent of Hispanic Students Earning a UNC System- Eligible ACT Composite Score (17+), 2018-19 Source: NC Department of Public Instruction 40% 41% 40% 62% 28% 36% 45% NC Orange Chatham CHCCS Alamance- Burlington Durham Wake
  • 134. 51% of Durham Tech Students Who Graduated from Chapel Hill & Orange County Schools Received Financial Aid (Pell Grants & Other Forms) Source: Durham Tech 51%
  • 135. Durham Tech 2019 Licensure Pass Rates Source: Durham Tech 98% 86% 86% 89% 100% Practical Nursing Registered Nursing EMT EMT-P Esthetician
  • 136. Durham Tech Student Transfer Performance Over 85% Source: Durham Tech Durham Tech Transfer Performance 85% 89% 86% 2017 2018 2019
  • 137. Durham Tech Orange County Campus CCP & Orange Promise Awards Source: Durham Tech 59 108 143 151 91 178 190 156 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 Career and College Promise (CCP) Orange Promise Awards
  • 138. Pause
  • 139. Let’s Talk for a Minute
  • 143. Orange County Total Value Per Acre Source: Urban3
  • 144. Orange County Land Distribution Source: 5 Year American Community Survey, 2014-2018 Total = 398 sq. miles [CELLRANGE] 6.5 sq. miles 1.6% [CELLRANGE] 19.5 sq. miles 4.9% [CELLRANGE] 5.3 sq. miles 1.3% [CELLRANGE] 1.8 sq miles 0.5% [CELLRANGE] 365 sq. miles 91.6%
  • 145. Orange County Housing Unit Distribution Total = 57,502 units Source: 5 Year American Community Survey, 2014-2018 [CELLRANG E] 9,781 units, 17% [CELLRANGE] 20,064 units, 35% [CELLRANGE] 2,949 units, 5% [CELLRANGE] 1,151 units, 2% [CELLRANGE] 23,546 units, 41%
  • 147. Orange County Homes Sold Exceeds Previous Record Source: Triangle MLS, 2020 Annual Home Sales, 2007-August 2020 1,751 1,275 1,1431,1431,128 1,277 1,630 1,433 1,650 1,8151,782 1,8691,915 1,209 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 (through August)
  • 148. Chatham County Home Sales Even 2013-2019 Source: Triangle MLS, 2020 Annual Home Sales, 2007- August 2020 1,008 797 699 782 858 1,037 1,3201,3181,297 1,412 1,3231,2971,315 924 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 (through August)
  • 149. Chatham County Median Residential Closing Price Grows, Orange Remained Flat Until 2020 Uptick Source: Triangle MLS Median Residential Closing Price $263,930 $399,000 $275,000 $315,000 $200,000 $225,000 $250,000 $275,000 $300,000 $325,000 $350,000 $375,000 $400,000 $425,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Chatham Orange
  • 150. Chatham County Median Residential Closing Price Grows, Orange Remained Flat Until 2020 Uptick Source: Triangle MLS Median Residential Closing Price $399,000 $429,950 $315,000 $325,000 $200,000 $225,000 $250,000 $275,000 $300,000 $325,000 $350,000 $375,000 $400,000 $425,000 $450,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Chatham Orange (through August)
  • 152. Orange Adds Fewest New Homes in the Region Source: Triangle MLS, 2020 New For-Sale Housing Units Build Since 2010 1,977 3,424 7,768 38,928 Orange Chatham Durham Wake
  • 153. Less Than 4% of Orange and 12% of Chatham Homes Built Since 2010 Source: Triangle MLS, 2020 Percent of Available Housing Units Built Since 2010 3.6% 11.9% 6.5% 10.5% Orange Chatham Durham Wake
  • 154. Hillsborough Construction Drives Orange New Home Growth Source: Triangle MLS, 2020 New Construction Units per Year 253 336 313 410 0 250 500 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Orange Chatham
  • 155. 47% of Orange Homes Sold for Under $300,000 Source: Triangle MLS, 2020 2019 Home Sales by Price 17% 17% 17% 30% 18% 45% 18% 18% 18% 22% 28% 16% 13% 21% 5% Orange County (All) CHCCS District Not CHCCS <$200,000 $200,000-$299,999 $300,000-$399,999 $400,000-$600,000 $600,000 or more
  • 156. 324 Homes Sold for Under $200,000 and 906 for under $300,000 Source: Triangle MLS, 2020 2019 Number of Transactions 324 168 156 582 178 404 343 179 164 427 287 140 258 212 46 Orange County (All) CHCCS District Not CHCCS <$200,000 $200,000-$299,999 $300,000-$399,999 $400,000-$600,000 $600,000 or more
  • 158. More Than 50% of Chapel Hill/Carrboro Residents Rent Source: 2018 5 Year American Community Survey Share Renting 35% 38% 23% 51% 57% 32% 35% 46% 36% North Carolina Orange Chatham Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Alamance Durham County Wake
  • 159. Median Rent Exceeds $1,000 in Orange Munis and Wake Source: 5 Year American Community Survey 2014-2018 Median Rent $1,172 $1,102 $1,077 $1,036 $1,014 $1,002 $877 $833 $798 Chapel Hill Wake Orange Carrboro Durham County Hillsborough North Carolina Chatham Alamance
  • 160. Chapel Hill, Carrboro See Largest Increase in Median Rents Source: 5 Year American Community Survey Growth in Median Rent, 2013 vs. 2018 5% 15% 1% 18% 16% 10% 10% 1% 12% North Carolina Orange Chatham Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Durham County Alamance Wake
  • 161. Change in Median Rent Source: 5 Year American Community Survey 2009-2013 vs. 2014-2018 ACS $180 $140 $137 $121 $91 $87 $40 $7 $6 Chapel Hill Carrboro Orange Wake County Durham County Hillsborough North Carolina Alamance Chatham
  • 162. Share of Cost-Burdened Renters 50% or Greater in Orange, Chapel Hill, Carrboro and Hillsborough Source: 2018 5 Year American Community Survey Cost-Burdened Households (Greater than 30% Household Income) 48% 50% 46% 58% 51% 55% 50% 49% 44% North Carolina Orange Chatham Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Alamance Durham County Wake
  • 163. Orange County Housing Wage is $17.35 for a 1BR Source: National Low-Income Housing Coalition, Out of Reach 2019 Housing Wage = Hourly Wages Needed to Afford FMR, 2019 North Carolina Durham-Chapel Hill HMFA Raleigh MSA Alamance County Zero Bedroom $13.50 $16.04 $16.27 $10.79 One Bedroom $14.17 $17.35 $18.25 $12.25 Two Bedroom $16.95 $20.29 $20.88 $15.62 Three Bedroom $22.77 $27.60 $26.85 $20.60 Four Bedroom $27.75 $31.23 $33.92 $23.81
  • 164. Orange County Housing Wage is $17.35 for a 1BR Source: National Low-Income Housing Coalition, Out of Reach 2019 Housing Wage = Hourly Wages Needed to Afford FMR, 2019 North Carolina Durham-Chapel Hill HMFA Raleigh MSA Alamance County Zero Bedroom $13.50 $16.04 $16.27 $10.79 One Bedroom $14.17 $17.35 $18.25 $12.25 Two Bedroom $16.95 $20.29 $20.88 $15.62 Three Bedroom $22.77 $27.60 $26.85 $20.60 Four Bedroom $27.75 $31.23 $33.92 $23.81
  • 165. 112 Hours of Work Needed for Minimum Wage Worker to Afford Local 2 Bedroom Rental Weekly Hours of Minimum Wage Work Needed to Afford FMR, 2019 North Carolina Durham-Chapel Hill HMFA Raleigh MSA Alamance County Zero Bedroom 74 88 90 60 One Bedroom 78 96 101 68 Two Bedroom 94 112 115 86 Three Bedroom 126 152 148 114 Four Bedroom 153 172 187 131 Source: National Low-Income Housing Coalition, Out of Reach 2019
  • 167. Steady Increase in Calls, Emails to Housing Helpline Source: Orange County Housing and Community Development 2020 Orange County Partnership to End Homelessness Helpline 210 617 1,005 915 1,527 116 194 598 1,529 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 April May June July August Number of Calls Number of Emails
  • 168. Orange County Households Served by Emergency Housing Assistance Rising Source: Orange County Housing and Community Development 644 Unique Households Over 8 Months 4 8 9 36 69 152 166 200 January February March April May June July August MTD
  • 169. Orange County Emergency Housing Assistance Source: Orange County Housing and Community Development Emergency Housing Assistance Amount by Month | $886,954 Over 8 Months $8,265 $6,595 $11,135 $54,836 $73,870 $194,622 $231,028 $306,603 $- $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000 $300,000 $350,000 January February March April May June July August MTD
  • 171. Orange County Assessed Value Per Acre Source: Urban3
  • 172. 2019 Orange County Total Assessed Value (millions) Total = $16.7 billion Source: Orange County Tax Assessor, 2019 Chapel Hill, $7,278 Carrboro, $2,202Hillsborough, $1,024 Mebane, $267 Rest of Orange County, $5,963
  • 173. 2019 Orange County Commercial Assessed Value (millions) Total = $2.23 billion Source: Orange County Tax Assessor Chapel Hill, $1,435 Carrboro, $234 Hillsborough, $304 Mebane, $77 Rest of Orange County, $183
  • 174. 2019 Orange County Residential Assessed Value (millions) Total = $13.39 billion Source: Orange County Tax Assessor Chapel Hill, $5,145 Carrboro, $1,702 Hillsborough, $631 Mebane, $173 Rest of Orange County, $5,738
  • 175. 2019 Orange County Apartment Assessed Value (millions) Total = $1.08 billion Source: Orange County Tax Assessor Chapel Hill, $697 Carrboro, $267 Hillsborough, $89 Mebane, $17 Rest of Orange County, $13
  • 176. 2019 Orange County Assessed Value Source: Orange County Tax Assessor 70.7% 77.3% 61.6% 64.8% 96.7% 80.1% 19.7% 10.6% 29.7% 28.8% 3.1% 13.4% 9.6% 12.1% 8.7% 6.4% 0.2% 6.5% Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Mebane Rest of Orange County Total County Residential Commercial Apartment
  • 177. 2019 Orange County Assessed Value (millions) Source: Orange County Tax Assessor $5,145 $1,702 $631 $173 $5,738 $1,435 $234 $304 $77 $183 $697 $267 $89 $17 $13 $0 $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $7,000 $8,000 Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Mebane Rest of Orange County Residential Commercial Apartment
  • 179. Research Triangle Logistics Park (RTLP) • 160 Acres (near intersection of Old 86 and I- 40)Research Triangle Logistics Park (RTLP) • $150 Million Investment • 2.25 million SF for Lease for light assembly and distribution operations • 1000+ Living Wage Jobs • 40 Acres Preserved as Open Space (25%) • In Long-Stablished County Economic Development District
  • 180. Interstate 40 Old NC 86 Davis Rd
  • 181. Research Triangle Logistics Park (RTLP) • FYI/FYA: Orange County Commissioners will discuss the proposal on Sept 15, 2020. • Learn more: Review the project summary and FAQs at https://www.orangecountync.gov/1722/Current- Interest-Projects
  • 183. Annual Unemployment Rate Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) via NC Department of Commerce 1990-2019, Unadjusted 6.1% 8.6% 10.9% 2% 6.6% 3% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Chapel Hill Chatham County North Carolina Orange County
  • 184. May 2020 Unemployment Rate Above Recession Peaks Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) via NC Department of Commerce 1/2008 to 6/2020, Unadjusted 12.0% 12.7% 9.6% 7.7% 9.1% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 1/2008 4/2008 7/2008 10/2008 1/2009 4/2009 7/2009 10/2009 1/2010 4/2010 7/2010 10/2010 1/2011 4/2011 7/2011 10/2011 1/2012 4/2012 7/2012 10/2012 1/2013 4/2013 7/2013 10/2013 1/2014 4/2014 7/2014 10/2014 1/2015 4/2015 7/2015 10/2015 1/2016 4/2016 7/2016 10/2016 1/2017 4/2017 7/2017 10/2017 1/2018 4/2018 7/2018 10/2018 1/2019 4/2019 7/2019 10/2019 1/2020 4/2020 7/2020 North Carolina Orange County Chapel Hill Chatham County May 2020 July 2020 NC: 12.7% NC: 8.9% Chatham: 9.1% Chatham: 6.7% Orange: 9% Orange: 6.7% Chapel Hill: 8.6% Chapel Hill: 6.7%
  • 185. Monthly Unemployed Individuals Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) via NC Department of Commerce July 2011 to July 2020 5,103 5,044 2,217 1,973 - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 7/2011 1/2012 7/2012 1/2013 7/2013 1/2014 7/2014 1/2015 7/2015 1/2016 7/2016 1/2017 7/2017 1/2018 7/2018 1/2019 7/2019 1/2020 7/2020 Orange County Chapel Hill
  • 186. Monthly Unemployed Individuals January 2019 to July 2020 2,429 1,9731,350 2,985 2,278 3,019 6,516 5,044 - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 1/2019 2/2019 3/2019 4/2019 5/2019 6/2019 7/2019 8/2019 9/2019 10/2019 11/2019 12/2019 1/2020 2/2020 3/2020 4/2020 5/2020 6/2020 7/2020 Chapel Hill Chatham County Orange County
  • 188. Estimated Number of Orange County Employer Firms Total = 2,885 Source: Census Bureau | 2017 Annual Business Survey Carrboro, 391 (14%) Chapel Hill, 1502 (52%) Hillsborough, 321, (11%) Rest of Orange, 671 (23%)
  • 189. 33% of All Carrboro Firms are Women-Owned Source: Census Bureau | 2017 Annual Business Survey Estimated Women-Owned Firms as a Percent of All Firms, Percent of Total Sales, and Percent of Total Payroll 20% 22% 18% 22% 33% 17% 20% 21% 4% 6% 6% 4% 23% 2% 2% 4% 6% 8% 7% 8% 20% 3% 3% 7% NC Orange Chatham Chapel Hill Carrboro Alamance Durham Wake % of All Firms % of Total Sales % of Total Payroll
  • 190. Minority-Owned Employers Make Up 11-18% of All Firms Source: Census Bureau | 2017 Annual Business Survey Estimated Minority-Owned Firms as a Percent of All Firms, Percent of Total Sales, and Percent of Total Payroll 11% 12% 12% 18% 11% 11% 15% 12% 3% 3% 4% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% Chapel Hill Orange County Chatham County Durham County Alamance County Johnston County Wake County North Carolina % of All Firms % of Total Sales % of Total Payroll
  • 191. Estimated Minority-Owned Employer Firms Source: Census Bureau | 2017 Annual Business Survey Estimated Number of Minority-Owned Firms With Employees By County 349 155 1,051 262 318 Orange County Chatham County Durham County Alamance County Johnston County
  • 194. Founders’ UNC Status at Time of Founding # of Startups 256 87 121 116 104 46 Faculty Graduate Students Graduate Alumni Undergraduate Students Undergraduate Alumni Staff Note: Founder data will not sum to total number of startups, due to some startups having multiple founders. Source: UNC-Chapel Hill
  • 195. Funding Achievements by UNC Startups July 2018 – June 2019 All Years Private Investments $831,926,191 $7,165,924,410 Grants/Awards $26,852,208 $2,287,973,124 SBIR/STTR Grants Only $17,269,544 $191,413,813 M&A, IPO, Corporate Partnerships $600,550,000 $5,524,683,437 Total, all funding types $1,459,328,399 $14,978,580,971 Total Funding: FY19 (July – June): All Years: $1.5 billion $15.0 billion FundingDetail: Source: UNC-Chapel Hill
  • 196. Active UNC Startups by NC County (424) County # of Active Startups Alamance 3 Beaufort 1 Bertie 1 Buncombe 2 Cabarrus 2 Carteret 1 Caswell 1 Catawba 1 Chatham 7 Cleveland 1 Craven 2 Cumberland 1 Davidson 1 Durham 103 County # of Active Startups Forsyth 4 Franklin 1 Guilford 4 Lee 1 Mecklenburg 8 Moore 1 New Hanover 3 Orange 200 Pitt 3 Union 1 Wake 69 Watauga 1 Wilkes 1 Source: UNC-Chapel Hill
  • 197. Active UNC Startups by NC County (424) County # of Active Startups Alamance 3 Beaufort 1 Bertie 1 Buncombe 2 Cabarrus 2 Carteret 1 Caswell 1 Catawba 1 Chatham 7 Cleveland 1 Craven 2 Cumberland 1 Davidson 1 Durham 103 County # of Active Startups Forsyth 4 Franklin 1 Guilford 4 Lee 1 Mecklenburg 8 Moore 1 New Hanover 3 Orange 200 Pitt 3 Union 1 Wake 69 Watauga 1 Wilkes 1 Source: UNC-Chapel Hill
  • 198. UNC Student & Employee Populations
  • 199. UNC-Chapel Hill Student Population Exceeds 30,000 in 2018 Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research 30,011 21,465
  • 200. 2019 UNC Student Enrollment by Housing Type Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research Resident Student Housing 27%, 8,067 Married Student Housing 2%, 598Off-Campus Housing 64%, 19,121 Fraternity and Sorority Housing 3%, 836 Other University-Affiliated Housing (Granville Towers) 4%, 1,195
  • 201. 12,744 People Work for UNC-Chapel Hill with EHRA & Faculty Driving Growth Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research 6291 6453 0 2,500 5,000 7,500 10,000 12,500 15,000 EHRA & Faculty SPA
  • 203. State Appropriations to UNC-Chapel Hill Remain Below 2008 Levels (1980-2018) Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research $518 million $543 million $108 million
  • 204. UNC-Chapel Hill Revenues Rise Rapidly, State Appropriations See Modest Growth Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research $3.4 billion $294 million $518 million $108 million UNC-CH North Carolina
  • 205. Value of UNC-Chapel Hill Endowment, 1980-2018 Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research $3.31 billion $39.7 million
  • 206. UNC Annual Research Funding Exceeds $883 Million Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research $883 million $70 million
  • 207. UNC-Chapel Hill Campus Grows Past 21 Million Square Feet Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research 21.2 million 7.8 million
  • 209. Worker Inflow, Outflow, & Commuting
  • 210. Orange Worker Inflows/Outflows Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES), 2017 46,164 Drive In, 37,073 Drive Out, and 19,953 Live and Work in Orange County
  • 211. Chapel Hill Worker Inflows/Outflows Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES), 2017 41,779 Drive In, 14,008 Drive Out, and 6,627 Live and Work in Chapel Hill
  • 212. Where Do Chapel Hill Workers Commute From? Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES), 2017 Residence of Chapel Hill Workers 9,194 6,627 3,071 2,969 2,236 698 647 545 438 417 21,564 Durham city, NC Chapel Hill town, NC Carrboro town, NC Raleigh city, NC Cary town, NC Apex town, NC Burlington city, NC Mebane city, NC Charlotte city, NC Greensboro city, NC All Other Locations
  • 213. Chapel Hill Workers Less Likely to Live in CH, Carrboro Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES), 2017 Numeric Change in Where Chapel Hill Workers Live, 2007 vs. 2017 712 -794 -466 1,083 827 246 159 235 -99 76 1,481 Durham city, NC Chapel Hill town, NC Carrboro town, NC Raleigh city, NC Cary town, NC Apex town, NC Burlington city, NC Mebane city, NC Charlotte city, NC Greensboro city, NC All Other Locations
  • 214. Carrboro Worker Inflows/Outflows Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES), 2017 3,666 Drive In, 8,561 Drive Out, and 571 Live and Work in Carrboro
  • 215. Where do Carrboro Workers Commute From? Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES), 2017 Residence of Carrboro Workers 606 571 430 168 101 60 57 53 44 39 2,108 Durham city, NC Carrboro town, NC Chapel Hill town, NC Raleigh city, NC Cary town, NC Burlington city, NC Mebane city, NC Greensboro city, NC Charlotte city, NC Graham city, NC All Other Locations
  • 216. Hillsborough Worker Inflows/Outflows Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES) 4,593 Drive In, 2,810 Drive Out, and 236 Live and Work in Hillsborough
  • 217. Twice As Many Hillsborough Workers Live in Durham Than Hillsborough Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES), 2017 Where Hillsborough Workers Live 630 236 184 172 137 110 102 78 62 56 3,062 Durham city, NC Hillsborough town, NC Burlington city, NC Mebane city, NC Chapel Hill town, NC Raleigh city, NC Carrboro town, NC Graham city, NC Cary town, NC Greensboro city, NC All Other Locations
  • 218. Orange County Workers Driving In for Work Growing Faster than Workers Driving Out Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES), 2017 26,751 32,262 37,915 36,38230,747 37,935 40,520 48,026 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Driving Out for Work Driving In for Work
  • 219. Orange Becoming More of an Employment Center and Less of a Bedroom Community Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES) Percent Change, 2010-2017 16.2% 8.3% 9.0% 7.9% 19.9% Total Work in Orange Total Live in Orange Live and Work in Orange Drive Out Drive In
  • 221. 45% Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research and Analysis of UNC Employees Live in Orange County (2018) Living in Orange County 45% Living Outside of Orange County 55%
  • 222. Fewer UNC Employees Living in Orange County Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research and Analysis Percent of UNC Chapel Hill Employees Living In Orange County 47.1% 47.8% 46.6% 46.4% 45.9% 45.2% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
  • 223. Distribution of UNC-CH’s 12,742 Employees Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research and Analysis UNC Employees by County of Home Address (2018) 5,762 2,551 1,703 1,160 674 596 70 70 62 29 25 24 16 Orange Durham Wake Alamance Other Chatham Person Lee Guilford Mecklenburg Randolph Granville New Hanover
  • 224. Young Workers (Age 29 and Under)
  • 225. Total People 29 & Younger Working in Orange County Increasing From 2012 Low Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES) 13,847 14,489 12,199 14,383 11,000 11,500 12,000 12,500 13,000 13,500 14,000 14,500 15,000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
  • 226. Workers 29 & Under Driving into Orange County for Work Increases to an All-Time High Source: U.S. Census Bureau OnTheMap (LODES) 8,774 8,840 10,351 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
  • 228. 49% of Chatham Workers Driving Alone Travel 30+ Minutes Source: 5 Year American Community Survey, 2014-2018 Percent of Workers That Drive Alone and Have a 30+ Minute Commute 33% 32% 49% 21% 36% 29% 33% 26% 35% NC Orange Chatham Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Alamance Durham County Wake
  • 229. Total Chapel Hill Transit Ridership (in millions) Source: Chapel Hill Transit FY 2004 – FY 2020 5.3 5.8 6.0 6.0 6.4 7.2 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.7 6.3 6.2 6.6 7.0 5.6 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20
  • 230. Total Chapel Hill Transit Ridership (in millions) Source: Chapel Hill Transit FY 2004 – FY 2020 5.3 5.8 6.0 6.0 6.4 7.2 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.7 6.3 6.2 6.6 7.0 5.6 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20
  • 231. Monthly Chapel Hill Transit Ridership Source: Chapel Hill Transit January - July 2019 vs. January - July 2020 584,907 622,868 557,054 609,969 425,115 345,864 375,978 624,560 625,303 184,798 13,522 13,279 32,934 34,018 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 January February March April May June July 2019 2020
  • 232. Total GoTriangle Transit Ridership (in millions) Source: GoTriangle FY 2004 – FY 2020 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.4 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20
  • 233. Monthly GoTriangle Ridership Source: GoTriangle 2019 & 2020 145,591 139,457 146,417 150,871 142,669 129,090 137,069 139,117 128,154 80,032 50,060 55,462 66,016 87,936 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 January February March April May June July 2019 2020
  • 236. Local Municipal Tax Rates in the Middle of NC Cities Source: NC Department of Revenue 2018-19 City and Town Property Tax Rates Huntersville, Cary, 0.350 Apex, 0.415 Raleigh, 0.438 Chapel Hill, 0.528 Durham, Carrboro, Hillsborough, 0.620 Salisbury, Huntersville Cary Morrisville Apex Asheville Raleigh Concord Charlotte Wilmington Fayetteville Greenville Chapel Hill Gastonia Hickory Wilson Durham Carrboro Burlington Winston-Salem Monroe Hillsborough Kannapolis Greensboro Jacksonville High Point Goldsboro Rocky Mount Salisbury
  • 237. Local Cities Highest Total Tax Rate Among Other NC Cities Source: NC Department of Revenue 2018-19 All Jurisdictions Property Tax Rates (City + County + School Taxes) Cary, 1.004 Apex, 1.069 Raleigh, 1.093 Durham, 1.357 Hillsborough, Chapel Hill, 1.580 Carrboro, Cary Morrisville Wilmington Apex Asheville Raleigh Huntersville Hickory Burlington Concord Greenville Fayetteville Wilson Charlotte Goldsboro Winston-Salem Jacksonville Monroe Kannapolis Rocky Mount Durham Greensboro High Point Salisbury Gastonia Hillsborough Chapel Hill Carrboro
  • 238. Local Property Tax Obligation Well Outpaces Other NC Cities Source: NC Department of Revenue, Zillow 2018-19 Taxes Assessed in Median Home Value, May 2020 Burlington, $1,553 Raleigh, $3,191 Durham, $3,498 Cary, $3,882 Apex, $4,059 Hillsborough, Carrboro, $4,808 Chapel Hill, $6,375 Rocky Mount Burlington Fayetteville Wilson Greenville Goldsboro Winston-Salem Hickory High Point Jacksonville Kannapolis Salisbury Greensboro Gastonia Wilmington Monroe Concord Raleigh Charlotte Asheville Morrisville Durham Huntersville Cary Apex Hillsborough Carrboro Chapel Hill
  • 240. Orange County Taxable Sales Approach $2 Billion Source: NC Department of Revenue County Taxable Sales in Millions (Inflation Adjusted $2020) $1,163$1,181$1,165$1,116$1,170$1,168$1,190 $1,303 $1,552$1,609 $1,687 $1,819$1,816 $1,943$1,956 $- $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500
  • 241. Orange County Taxable Sales Approach $2 Billion Source: NC Department of Revenue County Taxable Sales in Millions (Inflation Adjusted $2020) $1,163$1,181$1,165$1,116$1,170$1,168$1,190 $1,303 $1,552$1,609 $1,687 $1,819$1,816 $1,943$1,956 $- $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500
  • 242. Orange County Sales Tax Collections Exceed $93 million Source: NC Department of Revenue County Sales Tax Collections in Millions (Inflation Adjusted $2020) $40.8 $41.8 $41.5 $41.0 $52.5 $58.8 $51.5 $56.1 $67.8 $70.5 $74.8 $82.3 $84.3 $91.7 $93.3 $- $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80 $90 $100
  • 243. Chatham County Taxable Sales Exceed $730 million Source: NC Department of Revenue County Taxable Sales in Millions (Inflation Adjusted $2020) $311 $375 $369 $346 $405 $417 $423 $436 $462 $520 $580 $612 $620 $660 $733 $- $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800
  • 244. Chatham County Taxable Sales Exceed $730 million Source: NC Department of Revenue County Taxable Sales in Millions (Inflation Adjusted $2020) $311 $375 $369 $346 $405 $417 $423 $436 $462 $520 $580 $612 $620 $660 $733 $- $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800
  • 245. Chatham County Sales Tax Collection Exceed $35 million Source: NC Department of Revenue Sales Tax Collections in Millions (Inflation Adjusted $2020) $10 $13 $13 $13 $18 $21 $18 $19 $20 $23 $26 $28 $29 $31 $35 $- $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40
  • 247. Monthly Orange County Retail Sales (millions) Source: NC Department of Revenue $167.9 $145.9 $145.1 $164.5 $173.3 $165.5 $173.5 $158.9 $143.3 $154.2 $138.3 $155.1 115 125 135 145 155 165 175 January February March April May June 2019 2020
  • 248. Orange County Retail Sales Decline During Pandemic Source: NC Department of Revenue Percent Change in 2020 Retail Sales vs. Same Month, Previous Year -6.3% -20.2% -6.3% -1.2% 8.9% 3.3% -25.0% -20.0% -15.0% -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% JuneMayAprilMarchFebruaryJanuary
  • 249. Monthly Chatham County Retail Sales (millions) Source: NC Department of Revenue $61.0 $48.1 $46.5 $55.9 $55.2 $58.8 $71.8 $54.0 $55.8 $62.7 $64.0 $63.8 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 January February March April May June 2019 2020
  • 250. Chatham Retail Sales Increase During Pandemic Source: NC Department of Revenue Percent Change in 2020 Retail Sales vs. Same Month, Previous Year 8.5% 15.9% 12.2% 19.9% 12.3% 17.6% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% JuneMayAprilMarchFebruaryJanuary
  • 251. Orange Sales Down and Chatham Up Jan-June 2020 Source: NC Department of Revenue Retail Sales Percentage Growth or Decline January-June 2020 vs. January-June 2019 -4.0% 14.3% 0.2% 5.1% 0.4% -4.4% Orange Chatham Johnston Davidson Pitt Watauga
  • 252. And Where Does Sales Tax Go?And Where Does Sales Tax Go?
  • 253. 2019-20 Orange County Sales Tax Distribution Source: NC Department of Revenue 59% 27% 9.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.0% Orange County Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Mebane Durham
  • 254. 2019-20 Orange County Sales Tax Distribution Source: NC Department of Revenue $30,355,863 $13,679,532 $4,844,839 $1,733,371 $498,036 $7,542 Orange County (overall) Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Mebane Durham
  • 256. Local Business Credit Card Transactions Value Declines Source: Infintech and The Chamber’s 50 Business Index Total Monthly Credit Card Transaction Value from Chamber’s Sample “50 Business Index” Apr 2018, $1,994,152 Apr 2019, $1,826,414 Apr 2020, $526,260 July 2020, $995,580 $0 $500,000 $1,000,000 $1,500,000 $2,000,000 $2,500,000
  • 257. Local Business Credit Card Transactions Value Declines Source: Infintech and The Chamber’s 50 Business Index Total Monthly Credit Card Transaction Value from Chamber’s Sample “50 Business Index” Apr 2018, $1,994,152 Apr 2019, $1,826,414 Apr 2020, $526,260 July 2020, $995,580 $0 $500,000 $1,000,000 $1,500,000 $2,000,000 $2,500,000
  • 258. Local Business Credit Card Transactions Volume Declines Source: Infintech and The Chamber’s 50 Business Index Total Monthly Credit Card Transaction Volume from Chamber’s Sample “50 Business Index” Apr 2018, 17,893 Apr 2019, 15,870 Apr 2020, 4,883 July 2020, 8,036 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000
  • 260. Orange County Domestic Visitor Expenditures Exceeds $218 Million Source: Visit NC | CPI Inflation Values from Federal Reserve Inflation Adjusted $2018 (in millions) $157.17 $218.38 $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250
  • 261. Local Tax Revenues from Tourism $4.7 Million Source: Visit NC | CPI Inflation Values from Federal Reserve Inflation Adjusted $2018 (in millions) $9.3 $11.6 $3.4 $4.7 $0 $2 $4 $6 $8 $10 $12 $14 $16 $18 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 State Tax Receipts Local Tax Receipts
  • 262. Covid-19 Negatively Impacts Hotel Occupancy Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau Orange County Average Daily Hotel Occupancy, 2011-2020 64.1% 65.1% 65.1% 69.9% 70.5% 70.1% 66.7% 66.9% 67.2% 37.7% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 (through June)
  • 263. Covid-19 Negatively Impacts Hotel Occupancy Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau Orange County Average Daily Hotel Occupancy, 2011-2020 64.1% 65.1% 65.1% 69.9% 70.5% 70.1% 66.7% 66.9% 67.2% 37.7% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 (through June)
  • 264. Covid-19 Caused Hotel Occupancy to Fall to 13% in April Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau Monthly Average Hotel Occupancy, 2019 vs. 2020 52% 68% 72% 73% 72% 72% 68% 53% 66% 35% 13% 21% 32% 38% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 2019 2020
  • 265. Covid-19 Negatively Impacting Hotel ADR Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau Orange County Average Daily Rate (ADR) 2011-2020 $101.61 $104.38 $106.49 $113.65 $121.48 $124.43 $126.22 $126.32 $129.94 $112.46 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 (through June)
  • 266. Orange Hotel Monthly ADR Down 41% in May 2020 Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau Orange County Average Daily Rate (ADR), 2019 vs. 2020 $114.76 $124.90 $125.51 $129.89 $149.01 $124.16 $113.62 $122.30 $136.09 $117.70 $91.27 $87.46 $89.14 $87.40 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 2019 2020
  • 267. Covid-19 Cuts Orange Hotel RevPAR by 52% Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau Orange County Average Revenue Per Available Room (RevPAR), 2011-2020 $65.15 $68.00 $69.60 $79.45 $85.69 $87.18 $84.24 $84.54 $87.26 $42.38 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 (through June)
  • 268. Orange Hotels RevPAR Down 87% in April 2020 Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau Orange County Monthly Average Revenue Per Available Room (RevPAR), 2019 vs. 2020 $59.34 $85.25 $90.09 $95.27 $107.29 $89.82 $77.74 $65.31 $89.24 $41.21 $12.15 $18.70 $28.23 $33.50 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 2019 2020
  • 271. Orange County Protected Land Acreage Source: Orange County State of the Environment Report, 2019 4,380 9,318 16,397 20,413 22,907 24,647 24,647 25,471 Pre-1981 1981-90 1991-2000 2001-04 2005-08 2009-13 2014 2019
  • 273. Regional Renewable Energy Capacity Source: NC Sustainable Agriculture Association, 2020 (Megawatts) 3.18 6.31.89 6.64 36.8 47.8 23.6 19.1 56.6 Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake Biomass Hydroelectric Solar
  • 274. Installed Renewable Energy Systems Source: NC Sustainable Agriculture Association, 2020
  • 275. Waste
  • 276. Water
  • 279. 2020 State of the Community Report Live from The Graduate Chapel Hill presented by
  • 280. 2020 State of the Community Report Live from The Graduate Chapel Hill presented by
  • 288. 2020 Community Data Partners Data Produced in Partnership with:

Notas del editor

  1. The Indian word ""perquimans"" means ""land of beautiful women"" and was coined by a sect of the Yeopim tribe, later becoming the 'Perquiman'
  2. Note Chatham in Blue, Orange in Orange, Hillsborough Yellow, Carrboro Navy, Chapel Hill Carolina Blue
  3. *All other includes American-Indian, multi-racial, & other races
  4. *All other includes American-Indian, multi-racial, & other races
  5. *All other includes American-Indian, multi-racial, & other races
  6. This is *NOT* 10-year growth rate. It is from April 1, 2010 through July 1, 2019 – 9.25 years.
  7. This is *NOT* 10-year growth rate. It is from April 1, 2010 through July 1, 2019 – 9.25 years.
  8. This is *NOT* 10-year growth rate. It is from April 1, 2010 through July 1, 2019 – 9.25 years.
  9. This is *NOT* 10-year growth rate. It is from April 1, 2010 through July 1, 2019 – 9.25 years. Note the current populaitons and that Chatham is about half the population of Orange
  10. Of the growth of 14700 in Orange, 59.5% over 65, or Chatham’s 10,900, 63.8% over 65
  11. Some in migration and some growing older Anyone who was 56 in 2010… you are in this number
  12. Who who is the fastest in the region?
  13. Audience asked to guess who is growing the fastest
  14. Regional Counties are growing. Across NC, 43 Counties have lost population since 2010. Wake is 62 people a day and we are 4
  15. Audience: name the three NC Counties named for women
  16. FNS just looks at gross income to determine eligibility for SNAP. https://www.ncdhhs.gov/assistance/low-income-services/food-nutrition-services-food-stamps (Just as a side note I’ve never seen anyone actually get the max benefit, but I also only worked with single folks, not families)
  17. On track for the lowest transaction volume in 5 years
  18. Lowest volume in 9 years
  19. Last year we reported Chatham at 388K
  20. With the exception of Hillsborough - everywhere that median rent increased it is statistically significant
  21. We had a net gain of 27K daytime population and have been living 6 months with out all of that
  22. 2x more from Durahm than Hillsborough and 5 x more from Chapel Hill
  23. And Wake has where the Growth has been
  24. On target for the highest ridership ever
  25. On target for the highest ridership ever