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Inputs, Process Indicators, & Intermediate
Outcomes: Tools for Answering Evaluation
           Research Questions
                      Session 3
    Steve Kimball, Tony Milanowski, & Chris Thorn
            Value-Added Research Center
          University of Wisconsin – Madison

   Bush Foundation Teacher Effectiveness Initiative
                January 12 & 13, 2010
                  Minneapolis, MN
Session Goals
• Consider useful alternatives to
  experimental or quasi-experimental
  designs
  – For mid-course corrections
  – To provide some evidence of program effects

• Review & help you develop measures of
  processes & intermediate outcomes
Typical Situation
• Evaluation starts after program
  implementation has begun
  – No pre-implementation data on some key
    variables, such as instructional practice
• No randomization of treatment
  – Educator choice or assignment based on
    perceived need
  – Hard to find equivalent control group
• Limited resources
Basic Design Elements
• Mixed methods process tracing
  – How did the purported causal chain play out?
• Non-equivalent but policy-relevant
  comparison groups
• Implementation variation
  – If within-project variation was present, was
    that variation related to outcomes?
Logic for Pattern-Match Design
• Program was well implemented
• Expected intermediate outcomes occurred
• Outcome measures changed in intended
  direction


• Conclusion: theory of action appears to be
  operating & changes in outcomes likely due to
  program
Basic Design
                       Intermediate Outcomes
Implementation     Educator        Behavior
•Fidelity
•Variation         Reactions       Change



                                     Outcome
                                     Change
                    Context
Potential Non-equivalent Comparison
               Groups
• Non-implementers
• District average
• Benchmark schools
• State average for demographically similar
  schools/districts
Comparing Trends I
                     45

                     40

                     35

                     30

                     25                         Comparison Group
                     20                         Project Schools

                     15
m
M
O
o
u
s
a
e
c
r
t




                     10

                      5

                      0
    -6    -4    -2        0   2     4       6
         Years Before/After Project Start
Comparing Trends II
          Program Schools          Turnover Rate -Other

    14%

    12%

    10%

    8%

    6%
R
o
n
u
T
a
e
v
r
t




    4%

    2%
          -5   -4   -3 -2 -1 0         1    2   3   4   5
                     Yrs Before/After Program Start
Measuring Inputs, Processes, &
 Intermediate Outcomes
Logic Model
Measuring Implementation
• Key processes from logic model
• Supplement by reviewing common
  implementation problems:
  – Educators do not understand the program
  – Lack of stakeholder support
  – Conflicting/competing initiatives
  – Supporting systems not in place
Implementation Measures: Inputs
• Spending patterns & costs
  – Were funds spent as planned?
  – Was funding provided sufficient to support planned
    activities?
• Staffing: adequacy & continuity; champion
• Stakeholder attitudes
• Context features that would work with/against
  program
• Data system adequacy (data quality plan)
Implementation Measures – Activities &
                Outputs
• Quantitative
   –   # of communication sessions/newsletters/web site hits
   –   % of schools in which leaders communicated program to staff
   –   % of target educators receiving communications
   –   % of schools with program coordinators in place & trained
   –   % of teachers with valid teacher-student link
   –   Change in attributes of incoming teacher candidates
   –   Planned vs. actual $ spent on in school supports
   –   Actual vs. planned warranty costs (differentiation)
• Data sources: grant application, budgets, self-assessments,
  annual reports, administrative data
Implementation Measures – Activities &
              Outcomes
• Qualitative Examples
   – Educators have access to clear & complete description of
     program via multiple channels
   – Performance measures actually used to evaluation
     teachers and programs were the same as in the design
   – Process in place & used to correct performance
     measurement or mentoring problems
   – Alignment of program with potentially
     competing/conflicting initiatives
• Data sources: interviews, document review (grant
  applications, self-assessments, annual reports,
  meeting agendas & minutes)
Implementation Rubrics, Indices &
               Scorecards
• Combine quantitative output measures & qualitative
  assessments to summarize quality of implementation &
  implementation fidelity on key dimensions
• Provide a way to translate judgments into numbers for use
  in statistical analyses (e.g., is variation across schools
  related to intermediate or long range outcomes?)
• Examples
   – TAP Implementation Standards
   – Berends, Bodilly, & Kirby, 2002, Chapter 4 (RAND study of New
     American Schools)
Measuring Intermediate Outcomes:
              Educator Reactions
• Priority Areas
  – Program understanding
  – Warranty costs
  – Performance-reward contingency
  – Effort-performance link
  – Fairness
Educator Reactions Surveys

•   Motivation Model Elements
•   Motivational Responses
•   See “Short Form Teacher Reaction Survey”
•   Other examples:
• http://www.performanceincentives.org/data/files/news/BooksNe
• http://www.performanceincentives.org/data/files/directory/Conf
Educator Reactions Interview

• Find out what higher education faculty,
  schools & teachers are doing in response to
  the program
• Uncover unexpected consequences
• Facilitate survey development
• Some examples of what we have learned
  via interviews
Is motivation taking place?
Interview Questions
  – How has the program redesign affected your teaching?
  – How has the program affected how your school is run?
  – Has the introduction of a warranty changed how you focus
    your efforts?
  – Have you done anything differently in order to improve
    your chances of receiving the incentive?
  – Has the warranty motivated you to work harder or change
    the focus of your efforts?
Measuring Intermediate Outcomes:
             Behavior Change
•   Surveys
•   Focus groups
•   Interviews
•   Observations
•   Unobtrusive Measures
Measuring Intermediate Outcomes:
             Behavior Change
Surveys of instructional practice are attractive, but hard to do
  right.
• Need at theory of instruction
• Content specificity
• Response Problems
   – Social desirability/demand effects
   – Memory
   – Can most educators recognize depth of practice change?
• Can you build a confirmatory survey based on interviews or
  focus groups?
Potential Interview Questions
• Principals/other school leaders
   – Have teachers been doing anything differently in the
     classroom since the program began?
• Teachers
   – Have your school administrators been doing anything
     differently since the program began?
• Central office administrators
   – Have the school administrators you work with been doing
     anything differently since the program began?
Unobtrusive Measures

•   Change in PD demand (volume, content)
•   Curriculum material purchases
•   Scheduling changes/time allocations
•   Staffing changes
•   Staff meeting agendas
•   School improvement plans
Your Turn

• Work on developing process & intermediate
  outcome measures that fit your program


• Share innovative ways you have used to
  measure inputs, processes, & intermediate
  outcomes

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2010 bush foundation inputs, process indicators, and intermediate outcomes

  • 1. Inputs, Process Indicators, & Intermediate Outcomes: Tools for Answering Evaluation Research Questions Session 3 Steve Kimball, Tony Milanowski, & Chris Thorn Value-Added Research Center University of Wisconsin – Madison Bush Foundation Teacher Effectiveness Initiative January 12 & 13, 2010 Minneapolis, MN
  • 2. Session Goals • Consider useful alternatives to experimental or quasi-experimental designs – For mid-course corrections – To provide some evidence of program effects • Review & help you develop measures of processes & intermediate outcomes
  • 3. Typical Situation • Evaluation starts after program implementation has begun – No pre-implementation data on some key variables, such as instructional practice • No randomization of treatment – Educator choice or assignment based on perceived need – Hard to find equivalent control group • Limited resources
  • 4. Basic Design Elements • Mixed methods process tracing – How did the purported causal chain play out? • Non-equivalent but policy-relevant comparison groups • Implementation variation – If within-project variation was present, was that variation related to outcomes?
  • 5. Logic for Pattern-Match Design • Program was well implemented • Expected intermediate outcomes occurred • Outcome measures changed in intended direction • Conclusion: theory of action appears to be operating & changes in outcomes likely due to program
  • 6. Basic Design Intermediate Outcomes Implementation Educator Behavior •Fidelity •Variation Reactions Change Outcome Change Context
  • 7. Potential Non-equivalent Comparison Groups • Non-implementers • District average • Benchmark schools • State average for demographically similar schools/districts
  • 8. Comparing Trends I 45 40 35 30 25 Comparison Group 20 Project Schools 15 m M O o u s a e c r t 10 5 0 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 Years Before/After Project Start
  • 9. Comparing Trends II Program Schools Turnover Rate -Other 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% R o n u T a e v r t 4% 2% -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 Yrs Before/After Program Start
  • 10. Measuring Inputs, Processes, & Intermediate Outcomes
  • 12. Measuring Implementation • Key processes from logic model • Supplement by reviewing common implementation problems: – Educators do not understand the program – Lack of stakeholder support – Conflicting/competing initiatives – Supporting systems not in place
  • 13. Implementation Measures: Inputs • Spending patterns & costs – Were funds spent as planned? – Was funding provided sufficient to support planned activities? • Staffing: adequacy & continuity; champion • Stakeholder attitudes • Context features that would work with/against program • Data system adequacy (data quality plan)
  • 14. Implementation Measures – Activities & Outputs • Quantitative – # of communication sessions/newsletters/web site hits – % of schools in which leaders communicated program to staff – % of target educators receiving communications – % of schools with program coordinators in place & trained – % of teachers with valid teacher-student link – Change in attributes of incoming teacher candidates – Planned vs. actual $ spent on in school supports – Actual vs. planned warranty costs (differentiation) • Data sources: grant application, budgets, self-assessments, annual reports, administrative data
  • 15. Implementation Measures – Activities & Outcomes • Qualitative Examples – Educators have access to clear & complete description of program via multiple channels – Performance measures actually used to evaluation teachers and programs were the same as in the design – Process in place & used to correct performance measurement or mentoring problems – Alignment of program with potentially competing/conflicting initiatives • Data sources: interviews, document review (grant applications, self-assessments, annual reports, meeting agendas & minutes)
  • 16. Implementation Rubrics, Indices & Scorecards • Combine quantitative output measures & qualitative assessments to summarize quality of implementation & implementation fidelity on key dimensions • Provide a way to translate judgments into numbers for use in statistical analyses (e.g., is variation across schools related to intermediate or long range outcomes?) • Examples – TAP Implementation Standards – Berends, Bodilly, & Kirby, 2002, Chapter 4 (RAND study of New American Schools)
  • 17. Measuring Intermediate Outcomes: Educator Reactions • Priority Areas – Program understanding – Warranty costs – Performance-reward contingency – Effort-performance link – Fairness
  • 18. Educator Reactions Surveys • Motivation Model Elements • Motivational Responses • See “Short Form Teacher Reaction Survey” • Other examples: • http://www.performanceincentives.org/data/files/news/BooksNe • http://www.performanceincentives.org/data/files/directory/Conf
  • 19. Educator Reactions Interview • Find out what higher education faculty, schools & teachers are doing in response to the program • Uncover unexpected consequences • Facilitate survey development • Some examples of what we have learned via interviews
  • 20. Is motivation taking place? Interview Questions – How has the program redesign affected your teaching? – How has the program affected how your school is run? – Has the introduction of a warranty changed how you focus your efforts? – Have you done anything differently in order to improve your chances of receiving the incentive? – Has the warranty motivated you to work harder or change the focus of your efforts?
  • 21. Measuring Intermediate Outcomes: Behavior Change • Surveys • Focus groups • Interviews • Observations • Unobtrusive Measures
  • 22. Measuring Intermediate Outcomes: Behavior Change Surveys of instructional practice are attractive, but hard to do right. • Need at theory of instruction • Content specificity • Response Problems – Social desirability/demand effects – Memory – Can most educators recognize depth of practice change? • Can you build a confirmatory survey based on interviews or focus groups?
  • 23. Potential Interview Questions • Principals/other school leaders – Have teachers been doing anything differently in the classroom since the program began? • Teachers – Have your school administrators been doing anything differently since the program began? • Central office administrators – Have the school administrators you work with been doing anything differently since the program began?
  • 24. Unobtrusive Measures • Change in PD demand (volume, content) • Curriculum material purchases • Scheduling changes/time allocations • Staffing changes • Staff meeting agendas • School improvement plans
  • 25. Your Turn • Work on developing process & intermediate outcome measures that fit your program • Share innovative ways you have used to measure inputs, processes, & intermediate outcomes